Try the model
TEM

Temple 27 at UTSA 51

UTSA
2024 · Week 13 · Nov 22, 2024 · Alamodome
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · UTSA
modelUTSA aheadTEM aheadconfidence bandkey playUTSA scoreTEM score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDTDTDTDFGTDTDFGFGFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 0:46 · Dante Atton punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Chris Carpenter at the UTSA 11
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+37.0+18.50−18.5−37.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 35Pregame prior+29.9Home team on offense+0.7Score differential+0.1Garbage-time factor+0.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.4Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.2
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 10:54: Owen McCown run for 75 yds for a TD (Tate Sandell KICK) — UTSA win probability +3.7 pts (now 87%) (top driver: UTSA has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 4:37: Evan Simon pass complete to Dante Wright for 9 yds for a TD (Maddux Trujillo KICK) — TEM win probability +6.3 pts (now 21%) (top driver: Scoring-chance index: 50%).
  3. TD · Q2 0:27: Antwain Littleton run for 4 yds for a TD (Maddux Trujillo KICK) — TEM win probability +4.6 pts (now 15%) (top driver: TEM has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 7:27: Evan Simon pass complete to Dante Wright for 61 yds for a TD (Maddux Trujillo KICK) — TEM win probability +10.6 pts (now 19%) (top driver: TEM has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 4:59: Owen McCown pass complete to Willie McCoy for 3 yds for a TD (Tate Sandell KICK) — UTSA win probability +6.6 pts (now 93%) (top driver: UTSA has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
UTSA made the numbers' call on 5 of 8TEM made the numbers' call on 9 of 13
  1. Q1 13:01TEM 4th & 9 at TEM 26, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 13.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.9%−0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    14.0%
    average punt
  2. Q1 7:18TEM 4th & 30 at TEM 20, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 14.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.8%−0.3
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    14.0%
    average punt
  3. Q1 6:08TEM 4th & 7 at UTSA 19, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 14.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.5%−0.1
    35% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    14.6%
    77% to make
    Punt
    13.9%−0.7
    average punt
  4. Q1 2:46UTSA 4th & 1 at TEM 42, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 83.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    83.9%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    83.2%−0.7
    30% to make
    Punt
    83.4%−0.6
    average punt
  5. Q1 0:46TEM 4th & 10 at midfield, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 16.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    16.8%−0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    16.9%
    average punt
  6. Q2 13:33UTSA 4th & 1 at UTSA 32, up 4
    Close callPunted · 81.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    82.3%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    81.9%−0.4
    average punt
  7. Q2 11:23TEM 4th & 16 at TEM 13, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 17.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    16.7%−0.8
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    17.5%
    average punt
  8. Q2 9:31TEM 4th & 2 at TEM 28, down 11
    Close callPunted · 13.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.8%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    13.5%−0.2
    average punt
  9. Q2 3:17TEM 4th & 4 at TEM 31, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 12.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.7%−0.2
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    12.9%
    average punt
  10. Q3 11:58UTSA 4th & 4 at TEM 4, up 11
    Close callKicked a field goal · 87.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    87.7%
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    87.4%−0.3
    93% to make
    Punt
    83.6%−4.1
    average punt
  11. Q3 9:54TEM 4th & 2 at TEM 33, down 14
    Close callPunted · 9.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.3%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    10.3%−<0.1
    average punt
  12. Q3 7:43UTSA 4th & 13 at UTSA 27, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 91.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    90.5%−1.7
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    92.2%
    average punt
  13. Q3 5:36UTSA 4th & 4 at UTSA 41, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 84.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    84.8%−0.2
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    85.0%
    average punt
  14. Q4 14:56TEM 4th & 12 at UTSA 15, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 7.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.2%−1.3
    21% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    7.5%
    83% to make
    Punt
    2.7%−4.8
    average punt
  15. Q4 13:50UTSA 4th & 3 at UTSA 37, up 11
    Close callPunted · 90.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    90.6%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    90.4%−0.2
    average punt
  16. Q4 11:44TEM 4th & 9 at TEM 33, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 8.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.8%−0.7
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    9.4%
    average punt
  17. Q4 8:19UTSA 4th & 17 at TEM 30, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 91.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    90.6%−1.3
    14% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    91.9%
    56% to make
    Punt
    90.9%−1.0
    average punt
  18. Q4 7:17TEM 4th & 8 at TEM 27, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 5.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    4.6%
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    4.4%−0.1
    average punt
  19. Q4 5:24UTSA 4th & 8 at TEM 25, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 96.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.5%−0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    96.6%
    66% to make
    Punt
    94.5%−2.1
    average punt
  20. Q4 5:07TEM 4th & 15 at TEM 20, down 17
    Close callWent for it · 1.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.6%−0.4
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    1.9%
    average punt
  21. Q4 0:38TEM 4th & 11 at TEM 24, down 24
    Close callWent for it · 0.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.4%−<0.1
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.4%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
UTSA made the numbers' call on 4 of 5TEM made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q1 10:47UTSA Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    85.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    85.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 10:54UTSA Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    85.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    85.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 4:37TEM Touchdown, down 5 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    18.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    18.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 1:57UTSA Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    92.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    92.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 0:27TEM Touchdown, down 12 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    11.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    11.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 7:27TEM Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    15.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    15.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 4:59UTSA Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    91.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    91.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 2:29UTSA Touchdown, up 23 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.5%−0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.6%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
TEMDrive 1PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 1:5813% → 14%
Q1 14:59
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
87.0%
Evan Simon pass complete to Antwain Littleton for a loss of 1 yard to the TEM 24Similar
Q1 14:24
2ND & 11
OWN 24
-1
86.8%
Antwain Littleton run for a loss of 1 yard to the TEM 23Similar
Q1 13:46
3RD & 12
OWN 23
+3
86.7%
Evan Simon pass complete to Antwain Littleton for 3 yds to the TEM 26Similar
Q1 13:01
4TH & 9
OWN 26
0
86.5%
Dante Atton punt for 41 yds, downed at the UTSA 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 2TD
6 plays · 67 yds · 2:0286% → 87%
Q1 12:49
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+13
86.4%
Robert Henry run for 13 yds to the UTSA 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:28
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
86.4%
Owen McCown pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:22
2ND & 10
OWN 46
+4
86.3%
Owen McCown pass complete to David Amador II for 4 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 11:46
3RD & 6
50
+5
86.2%
Owen McCown pass complete to Willie McCoy for 5 yds to the TEM 45Similar
Q1 11:12
4TH & 1
OPP 45
+5
86.0%
(11:12) MCCOWN, Owen pass up the middle complete for 2 yards to AMADOR II, David caught at the TEMPLE45 and advanced to the TEMPLE43 (JOHNSON, Jamel), clock 11:07. PENALTY TEMPLE Offsides on BLACK, Diwun enforced 5 yards from the TEMPLE45 to the TEMPLE40 and results in a 1ST DOWN [NH]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 10:47
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+40
86.8%
Robert Henry run for 40 yds for a TD (Tate Sandell KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 3PUNT
6 plays · -5 yds · 3:2814% → 14%
Q1 10:46
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
86.5%
Antwain Littleton run for a loss of 1 yard to the TEM 24Similar
Q1 10:10
2ND & 11
OWN 24
+16
86.4%
Evan Simon pass complete to Dante Wright for 16 yds to the TEM 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:32
1ST & 10
OWN 40
-3
86.3%
Evan Simon sacked by Jimmori Robinson for a loss of 3 yards to the TEM 37Similar
Q1 8:49
2ND & 13
OWN 37
-5
86.3%
Terrez Worthy run for a loss of 5 yards to the TEM 32Similar
Q1 8:03
3RD & 18
OWN 32
-12
86.4%
Evan Simon sacked by Asyrus Simon for a loss of 12 yards to the TEM 20Similar
Q1 7:18
4TH & 30
OWN 20
+40
86.4%
Dante Atton punt for 40 yds , Chris Carpenter returns for no gain to the UTSA 41 , returns for no gain to the UTSA 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 4FG
6 plays · 22 yds · 1:0214% → 15%
Q1 7:10
1ST & 10
OPP 41
0
85.7%
Evan Simon pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:05
2ND & 10
OPP 41
+14
85.7%
UTSA Penalty, Personal Foul (14 Yards) to the UTSA 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:33
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+3
85.3%
Antwain Littleton run for 3 yds to the UTSA 19Similar
Q1 6:18
2ND & 7
OPP 19
0
85.3%
Evan Simon pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 6:13
3RD & 7
OPP 19
0
85.5%
Evan Simon pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 6:08
4TH & 7
OPP 19
+37
84.8%
Maddux Trujillo 37 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 5DOWNS
9 plays · 25 yds · 3:2285% → 84%
Q1 6:08
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
84.9%
(06:08) MCCOWN, Owen pass short up the middle complete for 4 yards to THOMAS, Houston caught at the UTSA27 and advanced to the UTSA29 (KEATON, Andreas), clock 06:03. PENALTY Before the snap, UTSA Illegal Formation on GARTH, Jaylen enforced 5 yards from the UTSA25 to the UTSA20. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 5:52
1ST & 15
OWN 20
+2
84.8%
Robert Henry run for 2 yds to the UTSA 22Similar
Q1 5:20
2ND & 13
OWN 22
+7
84.7%
Owen McCown pass complete to Houston Thomas for 7 yds to the UTSA 29Similar
Q1 5:03
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+8
84.5%
Owen McCown run for 8 yds to the UTSA 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:31
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+12
84.7%
Robert Henry run for 12 yds to the UTSA 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:55
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+7
84.9%
Robert Henry run for 7 yds to the TEM 44Similar
Q1 3:26
2ND & 3
OPP 44
0
84.9%
Owen McCown pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 3:18
3RD & 3
OPP 44
+2
84.7%
Kevorian Barnes run for 2 yds to the TEM 42Similar
Q1 2:46
4TH & 1
OPP 42
-8
84.3%
Owen McCown pass complete to David Amador II for a loss of 8 yards to the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 6PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 1:5517% → 17%
Q1 2:41
1ST & 10
50
-6
83.3%
Evan Simon sacked by Jimmori Robinson for a loss of 6 yards to the TEM 44Similar
Q1 2:07
2ND & 16
OWN 44
0
83.6%
Terrez Worthy run for no gain to the TEM 44Similar
Q1 1:27
3RD & 16
OWN 44
+6
83.6%
Antwain Littleton run for 6 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 0:46
4TH & 10
50
0
83.5%
Dante Atton punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Chris Carpenter at the UTSA 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 7PUNT
6 plays · 21 yds · 2:0683% → 82%
Q1 0:39
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+7
83.3%
Owen McCown pass complete to David Amador II for 7 yds to the UTSA 18Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 3
OWN 18
+5
83.2%
Brandon High Jr. run for 5 yds to the UTSA 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:59
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+7
83.2%
Brandon High Jr. run for 7 yds to the UTSA 30Similar
Q2 14:40
2ND & 3
OWN 30
+2
83.4%
Brandon High Jr. run for 2 yds to the UTSA 32Similar
Q2 14:15
3RD & 1
OWN 32
0
83.0%
Brandon High Jr. run for no gain to the UTSA 32Similar
Q2 13:33
4TH & 1
OWN 32
0
82.3%
Caile Hogan punt for 49 yds, fair catch by Dante Wright at the TEM 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 8PUNT
5 plays · -6 yds · 2:0317% → 17%
Q2 13:26
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+1
82.7%
Antwain Littleton run for 1 yd to the TEM 20Similar
Q2 12:52
2ND & 9
OWN 20
-5
82.7%
(12:52) SIMON, Evan pass to the right complete for 5 yards to LITTLETON II, Antwain caught at the TEMPLE17 and advanced to the TEMPLE25 (NEWELL, Elijah), clock 12:48. PENALTY Before the snap, TEMPLE Illegal Formation enforced 5 yards from the TEMPLE20 to the TEMPLE15. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 12:23
2ND & 14
OWN 15
+6
82.6%
Evan Simon pass complete to Ashton Allen for 6 yds to the TEM 21Similar
Q2 11:49
3RD & 8
OWN 21
-8
82.8%
Evan Simon sacked by Jimmori Robinson for a loss of 8 yards to the TEM 13Similar
Q2 11:23
4TH & 16
OWN 13
0
83.1%
Dante Atton punt for 62 yds, downed at the UTSA 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 9TD
1 play · 75 yds · 0:0087% → 87%
Q2 10:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+75
86.8%
Owen McCown run for 75 yds for a TD (Tate Sandell KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 10PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 1:1614% → 13%
Q2 10:47
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
86.1%
Evan Simon pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 10:40
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+6
86.2%
Antwain Littleton run for 6 yds to the TEM 26Similar
Q2 10:04
3RD & 4
OWN 26
+2
86.3%
Evan Simon pass complete to Daniel Evert for 2 yds to the TEM 28Similar
Q2 9:31
4TH & 2
OWN 28
0
86.7%
Dante Atton punt for 34 yds, downed at the UTSA 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 11INT
5 plays · 50 yds · 2:0787% → 88%
Q2 9:19
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+5
87.4%
Owen McCown pass complete to David Amador II for 5 yds to the UTSA 43Similar
Q2 8:57
2ND & 5
OWN 43
+2
87.5%
Owen McCown pass complete to Robert Henry for 2 yds to the UTSA 45Similar
Q2 8:18
3RD & 3
OWN 45
+10
87.1%
Owen McCown pass complete to David Amador II for 10 yds to the TEM 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:54
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+33
87.4%
Owen McCown pass complete to Dan Dishman for 33 yds to the TEM 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:12
1ST & 10
OPP 12
-15
87.6%
UTSA Penalty, Personal Foul (-15 Yards) to the UTSA 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 12TD
8 plays · 30 yds · 2:2215% → 21%
Q2 6:59
1ST & 10
OPP 30
-10
84.7%
(06:59) WRIGHT, Dante rush to the left for a gain of 4 yards to the UTSA26 (HARRIS, Denver), clock 06:54. PENALTY TEMPLE Holding on TAYLOR, Jamar enforced 10 yards from the UTSA30 to the UTSA40 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 6:33
1ST & 20
OPP 40
0
85.5%
Evan Simon pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 6:31
2ND & 20
OPP 40
+20
86.6%
Antwain Littleton run for 20 yds to the UTSA 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:06
1ST & 10
OPP 20
-2
85.4%
Antwain Littleton run for a loss of 2 yards to the UTSA 22Similar
Q2 5:31
2ND & 12
OPP 22
+2
85.5%
UTSA Penalty, Personal Foul (Brandon Brown) to the UTSA 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:11
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+3
85.3%
Terrez Worthy run for 3 yds to the UTSA 9Similar
Q2 4:37
2ND & 7
OPP 9
+9
79.0%
Evan Simon pass complete to Dante Wright for 9 yds for a TD (Maddux Trujillo KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 13PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 1:0612% → 12%
Q2 4:23
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
87.8%
Terrez Worthy run for 3 yds to the TEM 28Similar
Q2 3:59
2ND & 7
OWN 28
0
87.7%
Evan Simon pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 3:55
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+3
88.0%
Evan Simon run for 3 yds to the TEM 31Similar
Q2 3:17
4TH & 4
OWN 31
0
88.0%
Dante Atton punt for 66 yds, downed at the UTSA 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 14TD
4 plays · 97 yds · 1:0287% → 92%
Q2 2:59
1ST & 10
OWN 3
+1
86.9%
Robert Henry run for 1 yd to the UTSA 4Similar
Q2 2:36
2ND & 9
OWN 4
+88
87.1%
Robert Henry run for 88 yds to the TEM 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:57
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
92.3%
Robert Henry run for 8 yds for a TD (Tate Sandell KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 15TD
7 plays · 75 yds · 1:219% → 15%
Q2 1:48
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
91.2%
Evan Simon pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:41
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+27
91.4%
Antwain Littleton run for 27 yds to the UTSA 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:33
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
90.1%
Evan Simon pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:29
2ND & 10
OPP 48
+6
90.7%
Evan Simon pass complete to Ashton Allen for 6 yds to the UTSA 42Similar
Q2 0:44
3RD & 4
OPP 42
+34
90.3%
UTSA Penalty, Personal Foul (Jimmori Robinson) to the UTSA 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:34
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
0
89.4%
Evan Simon pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:27
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
84.8%
Antwain Littleton run for 4 yds for a TD (Maddux Trujillo KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 16MISSED FG
7 plays · 40 yds · 0:2587% → 88%
Q2 0:25
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
87.4%
(00:25) MCCOWN, Owen pass deep to the right incomplete intended for CARPENTER, Chris thrown to the UTSA45, clock 00:22. PENALTY TEMPLE Pass Interference on JOHNSON, Jamel enforced 15 yards to the UTSA40 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 0:21
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+16
88.2%
Owen McCown pass complete to Jamel Hardy for 16 yds to the TEM 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:14
1ST & 10
OPP 44
-3
88.5%
Owen McCown pass complete to Bryson Donnell for a loss of 3 yards to the TEM 47Similar
Q2 0:07
2ND & 13
OPP 47
+12
89.0%
Bryson Donnell run for 12 yds to the TEM 35Similar
Q2 0:00
3RD & 1
OPP 35
+52
88.4%
Tate Sandell 52 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 17FG
7 plays · 44 yds · 3:0089% → 91%
Q3 14:58
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+6
88.6%
Owen McCown pass complete to Patrick Overmyer for 6 yds to the TEM 42Similar
Q3 14:29
2ND & 4
OPP 42
+27
88.6%
Owen McCown pass complete to Patrick Overmyer for 27 yds to the TEM 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:54
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+12
88.6%
Owen McCown pass complete to David Amador II for 12 yds to the TEM 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:12
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
0
88.7%
Owen McCown pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 13:09
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
88.7%
Owen McCown run for 2 yds to the TEM 1Similar
Q3 12:39
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
-3
88.3%
Robert Henry run for a loss of 3 yards to the TEM 4Similar
Q3 11:58
4TH & GOAL
OPP 4
+23
90.6%
Chase Allen 23 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 18PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 2:0310% → 10%
Q3 11:57
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
90.3%
Antwain Littleton run for 1 yd to the TEM 26Similar
Q3 11:23
2ND & 9
OWN 26
0
90.3%
Evan Simon sacked by Jimmori Robinson for 0 yards to the TEM 26Similar
Q3 10:39
3RD & 9
OWN 26
+7
90.5%
Joquez Smith run for 7 yds to the TEM 33Similar
Q3 9:54
4TH & 2
OWN 33
+2
90.2%
Dante Atton punt for 39 yds , Chris Carpenter returns for 2 yds to the UTSA 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 19PUNT
5 plays · -3 yds · 2:0292% → 92%
Q3 9:45
1ST & 10
OWN 30
-6
91.5%
Owen McCown sacked by Elijah Deravil and Sekou Kromah for a loss of 6 yards to the UTSA 24Similar
Q3 9:14
2ND & 16
OWN 24
+1
91.5%
Brandon High Jr. run for 1 yd to the UTSA 25Similar
Q3 8:38
3RD & 15
OWN 25
-5
91.3%
(08:38) MCCOWN, Owen pass up the middle complete for 16 yards to HARDY, Jamel caught at the UTSA25 and advanced to the UTSA41 (KEATON, Andreas), clock 08:30. PENALTY Before the snap, UTSA Illegal Formation on GARTH, Jaylen enforced 5 yards from the UTSA25 to the UTSA20. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 8:20
3RD & 20
OWN 20
+7
91.3%
Brandon High Jr. run for 7 yds to the UTSA 27Similar
Q3 7:43
4TH & 13
OWN 27
0
91.5%
Caile Hogan punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Dante Wright at the TEM 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 20TD
1 play · 61 yds · 0:0019% → 19%
Q3 7:27
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+61
80.9%
Evan Simon pass complete to Dante Wright for 61 yds for a TD (Maddux Trujillo KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 21PUNT
7 plays · 16 yds · 1:5585% → 82%
Q3 7:26
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
85.1%
Robert Henry run for 3 yds to the UTSA 28Similar
Q3 6:54
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+7
85.0%
Owen McCown run for 7 yds to the UTSA 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:32
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+1
85.2%
Robert Henry run for 1 yd to the UTSA 36Similar
Q3 5:59
2ND & 9
OWN 36
+5
85.4%
Owen McCown pass complete to Bryson Donnell for 5 yds to the UTSA 41Similar
Q3 5:40
3RD & 4
OWN 41
0
85.7%
Owen McCown pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 5:36
4TH & 4
OWN 41
0
84.5%
Caile Hogan punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Dante Wright at the TEM 24Similar
Q3 5:31
1ST & 10
OWN 24
-5
81.9%
Temple Penalty, False Start (Tyquan King) to the TEM 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 22INT
1 play · -5 yds · 0:0018% → 18%
Q3 5:30
1ST & 15
OWN 19
0
82.0%
Evan Simon pass intercepted Zah Frazier return for no gain to the TEM 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 23TD
2 plays · 43 yds · 0:2487% → 93%
Q3 5:23
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+40
86.7%
Owen McCown pass complete to Willie McCoy for 40 yds to the TEM 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:59
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
93.3%
Owen McCown pass complete to Willie McCoy for 3 yds for a TD (Tate Sandell KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 24INT
4 plays · 16 yds · 1:489% → 9%
Q3 4:58
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
91.2%
Terrez Worthy run for 7 yds to the TEM 32Similar
Q3 4:36
2ND & 3
OWN 32
-1
90.4%
Evan Simon run for a loss of 1 yard to the TEM 31Similar
Q3 3:53
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+10
91.4%
Terrez Worthy run for 10 yds to the TEM 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:10
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
91.0%
Evan Simon pass intercepted for a 1ST down return for no gain to the UTSA 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 25INT
4 plays · -3 yds · 0:2894% → 94%
Q3 2:08
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+2
94.2%
Brandon High Jr. run for 2 yds to the UTSA 12Similar
Q3 1:51
2ND & 8
OWN 12
-5
94.2%
UTSA Penalty, False Start (Ben Rios) to the UTSA 7Similar
Q3 1:49
2ND & 13
OWN 7
0
94.1%
Brandon High Jr. run for no gain to the UTSA 7Similar
Q3 1:40
3RD & 13
OWN 7
0
94.3%
Owen McCown pass intercepted Andreas Keaton return for no gain to the UTSA 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 26FG
6 plays · 10 yds · 1:3910% → 11%
Q3 1:35
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+8
89.7%
Evan Simon pass complete to Dante Wright for 8 yds to the UTSA 17Similar
Q3 1:20
2ND & 2
OPP 17
+4
89.9%
Antwain Littleton run for 4 yds to the UTSA 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:55
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+2
90.0%
Antwain Littleton run for 2 yds to the UTSA 11Similar
Q3 0:15
2ND & 8
OPP 11
0
91.0%
Evan Simon pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 0:11
3RD & 8
OPP 11
-4
91.6%
Antwain Littleton run for a loss of 4 yards to the UTSA 15Similar
Q4 14:56
4TH & 12
OPP 15
+33
88.7%
Maddux Trujillo 33 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 27PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 0:5791% → 90%
Q4 14:47
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+4
90.8%
Mekhi Anderson run for 4 yds to the UTSA 34Similar
Q4 14:28
2ND & 6
OWN 34
+3
90.7%
Robert Henry run for 3 yds to the UTSA 37Similar
Q4 13:55
3RD & 3
OWN 37
0
90.8%
Owen McCown pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 13:50
4TH & 3
OWN 37
0
90.3%
Caile Hogan punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Dante Wright at the TEM 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 28PUNT
6 plays · 12 yds · 2:0111% → 9%
Q4 13:45
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+2
89.3%
Terrez Worthy run for 2 yds to the TEM 23Similar
Q4 13:16
2ND & 8
OWN 23
+9
89.5%
Evan Simon pass complete to Terrez Worthy for 9 yds to the TEM 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:36
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
88.5%
Evan Simon pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 12:30
2ND & 10
OWN 32
+1
89.1%
Antwain Littleton run for 1 yd to the TEM 33Similar
Q4 11:49
3RD & 9
OWN 33
0
90.3%
Evan Simon pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 11:44
4TH & 9
OWN 33
0
91.1%
Dante Atton punt for 24 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 29FG
6 plays · 27 yds · 3:1991% → 96%
Q4 11:38
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+1
91.4%
Robert Henry run for 1 yd to the UTSA 44Similar
Q4 11:07
2ND & 9
OWN 44
+33
91.7%
Owen McCown pass complete to David Amador II for 33 yds to the TEM 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:26
1ST & 10
OPP 23
-1
92.9%
Bryson Donnell run for a loss of 1 yard to the TEM 24Similar
Q4 9:49
2ND & 11
OPP 24
+5
93.4%
Owen McCown pass complete to Bryson Donnell for 5 yds to the TEM 19Similar
Q4 9:04
3RD & 6
OPP 19
-11
93.3%
Owen McCown sacked by D.J. Woodbury Sr. for a loss of 11 yards to the TEM 30Similar
Q4 8:19
4TH & 17
OPP 30
+47
95.8%
Tate Sandell 47 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 30DOWNS
4 plays · 2 yds · 1:016% → 5%
Q4 8:18
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
94.0%
Evan Simon run for 7 yds to the TEM 32Similar
Q4 7:47
2ND & 3
OWN 32
0
93.3%
Evan Simon pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 7:43
3RD & 3
OWN 32
-5
93.5%
Antwain Littleton run for a loss of 5 yards to the TEM 27Similar
Q4 7:17
4TH & 8
OWN 27
0
94.7%
Evan Simon pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 31FG
6 plays · 2 yds · 1:4897% → 98%
Q4 7:12
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+4
96.8%
Robert Henry run for 4 yds to the TEM 23Similar
Q4 6:30
2ND & 6
OPP 23
-4
97.0%
Robert Henry run for a loss of 4 yards to the TEM 27Similar
Q4 6:18
3RD & 10
OPP 27
+2
97.4%
Robert Henry run for 2 yds to the TEM 25Similar
Q4 5:24
4TH & 8
OPP 25
+42
98.1%
Tate Sandell 42 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 32DOWNS
5 plays · 2 yds · 0:162% → 2%
Q4 5:23
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
97.9%
Evan Simon pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 5:19
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
97.9%
Evan Simon pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 5:13
3RD & 10
OWN 25
-5
97.9%
Temple Penalty, False Start (Diego Barajas) to the TEM 20Similar
Q4 5:11
3RD & 15
OWN 20
0
98.0%
Evan Simon pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 5:07
4TH & 15
OWN 20
+7
98.0%
Evan Simon pass complete to Terrez Worthy for 7 yds to the TEM 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 33TD
6 plays · 27 yds · 2:3098% → 100%
Q4 4:59
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+2
98.4%
Brandon High Jr. run for 2 yds to the TEM 25Similar
Q4 4:13
2ND & 8
OPP 25
+4
98.7%
Brandon High Jr. run for 4 yds to the TEM 21Similar
Q4 4:05
3RD & 4
OPP 21
+11
98.9%
Owen McCown pass complete to Patrick Overmyer for 11 yds to the TEM 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:19
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+7
99.0%
Brandon High Jr. run for 7 yds to the TEM 3Similar
Q4 2:29
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
99.8%
Brandon High Jr. run for 3 yds for a TD (Tate Sandell KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 34DOWNS
8 plays · 58 yds · 1:500% → 0%
Q4 2:28
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
99.6%
Terrez Worthy run for 9 yds to the TEM 34Similar
Q4 2:01
2ND & 1
OWN 34
-5
99.6%
Temple Penalty, False Start (Diego Barajas) to the TEM 29Similar
Q4 2:00
2ND & 6
OWN 29
-9
99.6%
Evan Simon sacked by Camron Cooper for a loss of 9 yards to the TEM 20Similar
Q4 1:26
3RD & 15
OWN 20
-1
99.7%
Terrez Worthy run for a loss of 1 yard to the TEM 19Similar
Q4 0:49
4TH & 16
OWN 19
+5
99.7%
(00:49) SIMON, Evan sacked for a loss of 14 yards at the TEMPLE5, fumble on the sack (forced by SHAW, Vic), recovered by UTSA RODGERS, Jakevian at the TEMPLE5, returned 0 yards to the TEMPLE5, End of Play, clock 00:39. PENALTY UTSA Offsides on HUFF JR., Timothy enforced 5 yards from the TEMPLE19 to the TEMPLE24 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 0:38
4TH & 11
OWN 24
+59
99.6%
Evan Simon pass complete to Kajiya Hollawayne for 59 yds Kajiya Hollawayne fumbled, recovered by UTSA Davin Martin D. Martin return for 0 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 35END OF GAME
1 play · -1 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 0:22
1ST & 10
OWN 17
-1
99.8%
(00:22) [NH] Kneel down by MCCOWN, Owen at UTSA16 (team loss of 1), clock 00:17.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 7:27
Evan Simon pass complete to Dante Wright for 61 yds for a TD (Maddux Trujillo KICK)
-10.6
TD · Q3 4:59
Owen McCown pass complete to Willie McCoy for 3 yds for a TD (Tate Sandell KICK)
+6.6
TD · Q2 4:37
Evan Simon pass complete to Dante Wright for 9 yds for a TD (Maddux Trujillo KICK)
-6.3
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com