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RICE

Rice 14 at UAB 40

UAB
2024 · Week 13 · Nov 23, 2024 · Protective Stadium
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Win probability · UAB
modelUAB aheadRICE aheadconfidence bandkey playUAB scoreRICE score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDFGFGTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 8:24 · Patrick Foley punt for 45 yds , Tyson Thompson returns for 6 yds to the RICE 31
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+35.5+17.80−17.8−35.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 59Home team on offense+1.2Pregame prior−9.1Score differential−0.1Garbage-time factor+0.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.4Blowout margin−0.6
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 5:28: Lee Beebe Jr. run for 48 yds for a TD (Jonah Delange KICK) — UAB win probability +3.7 pts (now 44%) (top driver: UAB has the ball).
  2. TD · Q1 3:05: E.J. Warner pass complete to Colin Giffen for 5 yds for a TD (Tim Horn KICK) — RICE win probability +6.6 pts (now 61%) (top driver: RICE has the ball).
  3. FG · Q2 1:45: Jonah Delange 43 yd FG GOOD — UAB win probability +3.8 pts (now 56%) (top driver: UAB has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 0:00: E.J. Warner pass intercepted Adrian Maddox return for 99 yds for a TD (Jonah Delange KICK) — UAB win probability +11.5 pts (now 65%) (top driver: RICE has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 11:01: Lee Beebe Jr. run for 7 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed) — UAB win probability +5.1 pts (now 98%) (top driver: UAB has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
UAB made the numbers' call on 6 of 6RICE made the numbers' call on 3 of 9
  1. Q1 12:19UAB 4th & 5 at UAB 42, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 35.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    35.0%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    35.0%
    average punt
  2. Q1 8:31RICE 4th & 7 at RICE 41, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 63.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    63.4%−0.2
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    63.5%
    average punt
  3. Q1 3:16RICE 4th & 5 at RICE 45, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 56.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    57.0%−0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    57.1%
    average punt
  4. Q2 12:50UAB 4th & 14 at RICE 14, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 40.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    39.6%−0.9
    16% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    40.5%
    84% to make
    Punt
    37.9%−2.6
    average punt
  5. Q2 8:24UAB 4th & 13 at UAB 30, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 42.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    41.7%−1.4
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    43.1%
    average punt
  6. Q2 6:58RICE 4th & 4 at RICE 37, down 3
    Close callPunted · 53.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    53.7%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    53.5%−0.2
    average punt
  7. Q2 2:46UAB 4th & 16 at RICE 47, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 46.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    45.7%−1.0
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    46.8%
    average punt
  8. Q2 1:45UAB 4th & 12 at RICE 25, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 47.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    46.3%−1.5
    22% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    47.8%
    66% to make
    Punt
    42.5%−5.2
    average punt
  9. Q3 11:36RICE 4th & 10 at RICE 45, down 13
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 26.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    26.0%−1.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    27.1%
    average punt
  10. Q3 10:09UAB 4th & 14 at UAB 10, up 13
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 75.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    73.1%−2.4
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    75.5%
    average punt
  11. Q3 7:16RICE 4th & 8 at UAB 32, down 13
    Close callWent for it · 22.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    22.3%−0.2
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    22.4%
    51% to make
    Punt
    21.4%−1.1
    average punt
  12. Q3 3:29RICE 4th & 6 at UAB 6, down 13
    Close callWent for it · 20.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    19.2%−0.3
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    19.5%
    91% to make
    Punt
    10.8%−8.6
    average punt
  13. Q4 7:50RICE 4th & 12 at RICE 39, down 19
    Close callWent for it · 3.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    2.8%−0.2
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    3.0%
    average punt
  14. Q4 1:56RICE 4th & 7 at UAB 12, down 26
    Close callWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.1%−0.3
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    0.4%
    86% to make
    Punt
    0.1%−0.3
    average punt
  15. Q4 1:56RICE 4th & 7 at UAB 12, down 26
    Close callWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.1%−0.3
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    0.4%
    86% to make
    Punt
    0.1%−0.3
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
UAB made the numbers' call on 4 of 5RICE made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 10:28RICE Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    65.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    65.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 10:10UAB Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    36.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    36.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 5:28UAB Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    40.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    40.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q1 3:05RICE Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    60.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    60.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 0:00UAB Touchdown, up 12 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    68.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    68.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 11:01UAB Touchdown, up 19 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    97.0%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    96.5%−0.4
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 7:42UAB Touchdown, up 25 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
UABDrive 1PUNT
7 plays · 17 yds · 2:1936% → 37%
Q1 14:38
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
36.2%
Lee Beebe Jr. run for 8 yds to the UAB 33Similar
Q1 13:57
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+4
36.5%
Lee Beebe Jr. run for 4 yds to the UAB 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:24
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+3
36.8%
Jalen Kitna pass complete to Kam Shanks for 3 yds to the UAB 40Similar
Q1 12:58
2ND & 7
OWN 40
+2
37.0%
Jalen Kitna pass complete to Lee Witherspoon for 2 yds to the UAB 42Similar
Q1 12:26
3RD & 5
OWN 42
0
37.2%
Jalen Kitna pass incomplete to Corri MillinerSimilar
Q1 12:19
4TH & 5
OWN 42
0
37.1%
Patrick Foley punt for 40 yds , Tyson Thompson returns for no gain to the RICE 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 2TD
5 plays · 82 yds · 1:4063% → 64%
Q1 12:08
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+50
37.2%
E.J. Warner pass complete to Braylen Walker for 50 yds to the UAB 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:33
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+23
36.9%
E.J. Warner pass complete to Thai Chiaokhiao-Bowman for 23 yds to the UAB 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:03
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+4
37.0%
Dean Connors run for 4 yds to the UAB 5Similar
Q1 10:28
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
35.6%
Dean Connors run for 5 yds for a TD (Tim Horn KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 3TD
1 play · 5 yds · 0:0039% → 39%
Q1 10:10
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
38.6%
Jalen Kitna pass complete to Malachi Holt-Bennett for 5 yds for a TD (Jonah Delange KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 4PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 1:1662% → 61%
Q1 9:47
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+7
37.8%
E.J. Warner pass complete to Micah Barnett for 7 yds to the RICE 45Similar
Q1 9:19
2ND & 3
OWN 45
-4
37.7%
Dean Connors run for a loss of 4 yards to the RICE 41Similar
Q1 8:42
3RD & 7
OWN 41
0
38.1%
E.J. Warner pass incomplete to Braylen WalkerSimilar
Q1 8:31
4TH & 7
OWN 41
0
38.6%
Alex Bacchetta punt for 59 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 5TD
7 plays · 80 yds · 2:5439% → 44%
Q1 8:22
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+11
38.5%
Jalen Kitna pass complete to Dallas Payne for 11 yds to the UAB 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:45
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+4
38.8%
Jalen Kitna run for 4 yds to the UAB 35Similar
Q1 7:18
2ND & 6
OWN 35
0
39.2%
Jalen Kitna pass incomplete to Dallas PayneSimilar
Q1 7:08
3RD & 6
OWN 35
+9
38.8%
Jalen Kitna pass complete to Kam Shanks for 9 yds to the UAB 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:36
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+4
39.9%
Lee Witherspoon run for 4 yds to the UAB 48Similar
Q1 6:03
2ND & 6
OWN 48
+4
40.2%
Kam Shanks run for 4 yds to the RICE 48Similar
Q1 5:28
3RD & 2
OPP 48
+48
43.9%
Lee Beebe Jr. run for 48 yds for a TD (Jonah Delange KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 6PUNT
7 plays · 17 yds · 2:0057% → 55%
Q1 5:16
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+1
43.2%
Dean Connors run for 1 yd to the RICE 29Similar
Q1 4:33
2ND & 9
OWN 29
+11
43.8%
E.J. Warner pass complete to Matt Sykes for 11 yds to the RICE 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:12
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
43.5%
E.J. Warner pass incomplete to Matt SykesSimilar
Q1 4:07
2ND & 10
OWN 40
0
43.8%
E.J. Warner pass incomplete to Braylen WalkerSimilar
Q1 3:53
3RD & 10
OWN 40
+5
44.3%
E.J. Warner pass complete to Quinton Jackson for 5 yds to the RICE 45Similar
Q1 3:16
4TH & 5
OWN 45
0
45.0%
Alex Bacchetta punt for 34 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 7FUMBLE
1 play · -16 yds · 0:0045% → 45%
Q1 3:08
1ST & 10
OWN 21
-16
45.2%
Jalen Kitna sacked by Gabriel Taylor for a loss of 16 yards to the UAB 5 Jalen Kitna fumbled, recovered by RICE Charlie Looes , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 8TD
1 play · 5 yds · 0:0061% → 61%
Q1 3:05
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
38.6%
E.J. Warner pass complete to Colin Giffen for 5 yds for a TD (Tim Horn KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 9FG
15 plays · 61 yds · 5:1541% → 43%
Q1 3:05
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
40.5%
PENALTY UAB False Start (Morgan,JonDarius) 5 yards from UAB25 to UAB20. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 2:57
1ST & 15
OWN 20
+28
40.4%
Lee Beebe Jr. run for 28 yds to the UAB 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:00
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+14
42.3%
Jalen Kitna pass complete to Corri Milliner for 14 yds to the RICE 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:44
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+11
42.7%
Lee Beebe Jr. run for 11 yds to the RICE 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:10
1ST & 10
OPP 27
0
43.3%
(01:11) No Huddle-Shotgun Kitna,Jalen pass complete deep middle to Milliner,Corri caught at RICE00, for 27 yards to the RICE00 TOUCHDOWN nullified by penalty, clock 01:10 PENALTY UAB Holding offsetting RICE Holding offsetting. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 1:03
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+13
43.3%
Jalen Kitna pass complete to Dallas Payne for 13 yds to the RICE 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 14
0
43.9%
Solomon Beebe run for no gain to the RICE 14Similar
Q2 14:47
2ND & 10
OPP 14
+12
44.0%
Lee Beebe Jr. run for 12 yds to the RICE 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:51
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
0
44.5%
Terrell McDonald run for no gain to the RICE 2Similar
Q2 13:45
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
-15
44.5%
(13:45) Shotgun Kitna,Jalen pass complete short left to McDonald,Terrell caught at RICE00, for 2 yards to the RICE00 TOUCHDOWN nullified by penalty, clock 13:45 PENALTY UAB Pass Interference (Holt-Bennett,Malachi) 15 yards from RICE02 to RICE17. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 13:45
2ND & GOAL
OPP 17
-5
44.2%
PENALTY UAB False Start (Damous,Bryce) 5 yards from RICE17 to RICE22. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 13:33
2ND & GOAL
OPP 22
+8
44.2%
Jalen Kitna pass complete to Kam Shanks for 8 yds to the RICE 14Similar
Q2 12:56
3RD & GOAL
OPP 14
0
43.4%
Jalen Kitna pass incomplete to Dallas PayneSimilar
Q2 12:50
4TH & GOAL
OPP 14
+32
43.3%
Jonah Delange 32 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 10FUMBLE
6 plays · 37 yds · 2:0856% → 57%
Q2 12:31
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+2
44.3%
Dean Connors run for 2 yds to the RICE 32Similar
Q2 12:04
2ND & 8
OWN 32
+13
44.3%
E.J. Warner pass complete to Dean Connors for 13 yds to the RICE 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:36
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+18
43.4%
Quinton Jackson run for 18 yds to the UAB 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:04
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+1
43.2%
Quinton Jackson run for 1 yd to the UAB 36Similar
Q2 10:23
2ND & 9
OPP 36
+3
43.5%
E.J. Warner pass complete to Elijah Mojarro for 3 yds Elijah Mojarro fumbled, recovered by UAB Tyjon JonesSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 11PUNT
4 plays · -3 yds · 1:3746% → 44%
Q2 10:01
1ST & 10
OWN 33
-6
45.5%
Jalen Kitna run for a loss of 6 yards to the UAB 27Similar
Q2 9:41
2ND & 16
OWN 27
+1
45.3%
Lee Witherspoon run for 1 yd to the UAB 28Similar
Q2 8:59
3RD & 15
OWN 28
+2
44.7%
Jalen Kitna pass complete to Lee Witherspoon for 2 yds to the UAB 30Similar
Q2 8:24
4TH & 13
OWN 30
+6
44.4%
Patrick Foley punt for 45 yds , Tyson Thompson returns for 6 yds to the RICE 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 12PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 1:1654% → 52%
Q2 8:14
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+4
46.3%
E.J. Warner pass complete to Matt Sykes for 4 yds to the RICE 35Similar
Q2 7:48
2ND & 6
OWN 35
0
45.9%
E.J. Warner pass incomplete to Braylen WalkerSimilar
Q2 7:37
3RD & 6
OWN 35
+2
47.0%
E.J. Warner pass complete to Thai Chiaokhiao-Bowman for 2 yds to the RICE 37Similar
Q2 6:58
4TH & 4
OWN 37
0
47.9%
Alex Bacchetta punt for 48 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 13PUNT
9 plays · 38 yds · 4:0248% → 48%
Q2 6:48
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+4
47.6%
Lee Beebe Jr. run for 4 yds to the UAB 19Similar
Q2 5:53
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+11
49.1%
Harrison Barker run for 11 yds to the UAB 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:28
1ST & 10
OWN 47
-5
50.7%
PENALTY UAB False Start (Shanks,Kam) 5 yards from UAB47 to UAB42. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 4:54
1ST & 15
OWN 42
+17
49.4%
Jalen Kitna pass complete to Corri Milliner for 17 yds to the RICE 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:23
1ST & 10
OPP 41
-5
51.9%
UAB Penalty, Intentional Grounding (Jalen Kitna) to the UAB 46Similar
Q2 4:07
2ND & 23
OWN 46
+9
49.9%
Jalen Kitna pass complete to Kam Shanks for 9 yds to the RICE 45Similar
Q2 3:33
3RD & 14
OPP 45
+3
49.6%
Jalen Kitna pass complete to Corri Milliner for 3 yds to the RICE 42Similar
Q2 2:56
4TH & 11
OPP 42
-5
49.0%
PENALTY UAB Delay Of Game 5 yards from RICE42 to RICE47. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 2:46
4TH & 16
OPP 47
0
48.1%
Patrick Foley punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Tyson Thompson at the RICE 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 14INT
5 plays · 3 yds · 0:1450% → 49%
Q2 2:40
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+3
49.9%
Dean Connors run for 3 yds to the RICE 11Similar
Q2 2:36
2ND & 7
OWN 11
0
49.5%
E.J. Warner pass incomplete to Matt SykesSimilar
Q2 2:26
3RD & 7
OWN 11
-16
50.6%
E.J. Warner pass intercepted Tyjon Jones return for 16 yds to the RICE 5Similar
Q2 2:26
3RD & 7
OWN 11
+15
50.6%
UAB Penalty, Personal Foul (15 Yards) to the RICE 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 15FG
6 plays · -2 yds · 0:3353% → 56%
Q2 2:18
1ST & 10
OPP 23
-8
53.2%
Solomon Beebe run for a loss of 8 yards to the RICE 31Similar
Q2 1:56
2ND & 18
OPP 31
+6
52.5%
Lee Beebe Jr. run for 6 yds to the RICE 25Similar
Q2 1:51
3RD & 12
OPP 25
0
52.5%
Jalen Kitna pass incomplete to Kam ShanksSimilar
Q2 1:45
4TH & 12
OPP 25
+43
56.3%
Jonah Delange 43 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 16INT TD
15 plays · 70 yds · 1:3644% → 35%
Q2 1:36
1ST & 10
OWN 27
0
56.4%
E.J. Warner pass incomplete to Braylen WalkerSimilar
Q2 1:33
2ND & 10
OWN 27
+4
57.1%
E.J. Warner pass complete to Dean Connors for 4 yds to the RICE 31Similar
Q2 1:28
3RD & 6
OWN 31
0
57.1%
E.J. Warner pass incomplete to Kobie CampbellSimilar
Q2 1:18
4TH & 6
OWN 31
+30
58.6%
(01:28) Bacchetta,Alex punt 41 yards to the UAB28 PENALTY UAB Roughing The Kicker (Marsch,Aron) UAB Personal Foul (Bryant,Sirad) 30 yards from RICE31 to UAB39, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 1:09
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+5
52.7%
E.J. Warner pass complete to Thai Chiaokhiao-Bowman for 5 yds to the UAB 34Similar
Q2 0:36
2ND & 5
OPP 34
+4
51.2%
Dean Connors run for 4 yds to the UAB 30Similar
Q2 0:20
3RD & 1
OPP 30
+1
52.7%
Dean Connors run for 1 yd to the UAB 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:15
1ST & 10
OPP 29
0
51.3%
E.J. Warner pass incomplete to Graham WalkerSimilar
Q2 0:10
2ND & 10
OPP 29
+26
54.9%
E.J. Warner pass complete to Dean Connors for 26 yds to the UAB 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:06
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
0
53.7%
E.J. Warner pass incomplete to Kobie CampbellSimilar
Q2 0:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
-99
65.1%
E.J. Warner pass intercepted Adrian Maddox return for 99 yds for a TD (Jonah Delange KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 17PUNT
8 plays · 22 yds · 3:2030% → 26%
Q3 14:56
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+6
69.6%
Dean Connors run for 6 yds to the RICE 29Similar
Q3 14:56
2ND & 4
OWN 29
+5
68.9%
Dean Connors run for 5 yds to the RICE 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:56
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+11
69.0%
E.J. Warner run for 11 yds to the RICE 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:56
1ST & 10
OWN 45
-1
68.5%
Quinton Jackson run for a loss of 1 yard to the RICE 44Similar
Q3 14:56
2ND & 11
OWN 44
+1
68.9%
E.J. Warner pass complete to Elijah Mojarro for 1 yd to the RICE 45Similar
Q3 11:44
3RD & 10
OWN 45
0
72.9%
E.J. Warner pass incomplete to Matt SykesSimilar
Q3 11:36
4TH & 10
OWN 45
+1
74.2%
Conor Hunt punt for 42 yds , Kam Shanks returns for 1 yd to the UAB 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 18PUNT
5 plays · -4 yds · 1:1976% → 76%
Q3 11:28
1ST & 10
OWN 14
-5
76.4%
Lee Beebe Jr. run for a loss of 5 yards to the UAB 9Similar
Q3 10:54
2ND & 15
OWN 9
+11
75.8%
Jalen Kitna pass complete to Kam Shanks for 11 yds to the UAB 20Similar
Q3 10:19
3RD & 4
OWN 20
0
76.8%
Jalen Kitna pass incomplete to Kam ShanksSimilar
Q3 10:19
4TH & 4
OWN 20
-10
75.9%
PENALTY UAB UNS: Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Milliner,Corri) 10 yards from UAB20 to UAB10. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 10:09
4TH & 14
OWN 10
+6
75.8%
Patrick Foley punt for 41 yds , Tyson Thompson returns for 6 yds to the UAB 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 19DOWNS
12 plays · 39 yds · 6:3526% → 20%
Q3 10:04
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+11
73.9%
Dean Connors run for 11 yds to the UAB 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:30
1ST & 10
OPP 34
-1
73.2%
Dean Connors run for a loss of 1 yard to the UAB 35Similar
Q3 8:50
2ND & 11
OPP 35
+4
73.8%
E.J. Warner pass complete to Matt Sykes for 4 yds to the UAB 31Similar
Q3 7:59
3RD & 7
OPP 31
-1
76.0%
E.J. Warner pass complete to Quinton Jackson for a loss of 1 yard to the UAB 32Similar
Q3 7:16
4TH & 8
OPP 32
+11
77.9%
E.J. Warner pass complete to Kobie Campbell for 11 yds to the UAB 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:38
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+3
75.1%
Dean Connors run for 3 yds to the UAB 18Similar
Q3 6:07
2ND & 7
OPP 18
-1
75.5%
E.J. Warner pass complete to Micah Barnett for a loss of 1 yard to the UAB 19Similar
Q3 5:18
3RD & 8
OPP 19
+13
77.9%
E.J. Warner pass complete to Graham Walker for 13 yds to the UAB 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:46
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+1
77.0%
Christian Francisco run for 1 yd to the UAB 5Similar
Q3 4:13
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
0
77.4%
E.J. Warner pass incomplete to Matt SykesSimilar
Q3 4:03
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
-1
78.9%
E.J. Warner pass complete to Graham Walker for a loss of 1 yard to the UAB 6Similar
Q3 3:29
4TH & GOAL
OPP 6
0
80.3%
E.J. Warner pass incomplete to Dean ConnorsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 20TD
14 plays · 94 yds · 7:2085% → 98%
Q3 3:21
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+5
84.6%
Lee Beebe Jr. run for 5 yds to the UAB 11Similar
Q3 2:40
2ND & 5
OWN 11
+4
85.5%
Lee Beebe Jr. run for 4 yds to the UAB 15Similar
Q3 2:07
3RD & 1
OWN 15
+2
85.4%
Lee Beebe Jr. run for 2 yds to the UAB 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:36
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+11
86.4%
Lee Beebe Jr. run for 11 yds to the UAB 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:54
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+8
86.9%
Lee Witherspoon run for 8 yds to the UAB 36Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 2
OWN 36
+15
89.9%
Lee Witherspoon run for 15 yds to the RICE 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:54
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+2
90.3%
Lee Beebe Jr. run for 2 yds to the RICE 47Similar
Q4 13:33
3RD & 6
OPP 45
+9
91.1%
Jalen Kitna pass complete to Kam Shanks for 9 yds to the RICE 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:13
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+9
91.7%
Jalen Kitna pass complete to Corri Milliner for 9 yds to the RICE 27Similar
Q4 12:35
2ND & 1
OPP 27
+14
92.0%
Lee Beebe Jr. run for 14 yds to the RICE 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:52
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+5
92.3%
(11:55) Shotgun Beebe Jr.,Lee rush right for 5 yards loss to the RICE18 (Tita,Blaise) PENALTY RICE Illegal Substitution 5 yards from RICE13 to RICE08. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 11:23
1ST & 5
OPP 8
+1
92.4%
Lee Witherspoon run for 1 yd to the RICE 7Similar
Q4 11:01
2ND & 4
OPP 7
+7
97.5%
Lee Beebe Jr. run for 7 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 21INT
11 plays · 26 yds · 3:054% → 4%
Q4 10:55
1ST & 10
OWN 13
0
95.6%
E.J. Warner pass incomplete to Kobie CampbellSimilar
Q4 10:43
2ND & 10
OWN 13
+7
95.8%
E.J. Warner run for 7 yds to the RICE 20Similar
Q4 10:18
3RD & 3
OWN 20
+6
95.9%
Dean Connors run for 6 yds to the RICE 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:08
1ST & 10
OWN 26
0
95.8%
E.J. Warner pass incomplete to Matt SykesSimilar
Q4 9:57
2ND & 10
OWN 26
+4
95.8%
E.J. Warner pass complete to Graham Walker for 4 yds to the RICE 30Similar
Q4 9:26
3RD & 6
OWN 30
+11
95.8%
E.J. Warner pass complete to Kobie Campbell for 11 yds to the RICE 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:17
1ST & 10
OWN 41
-5
95.7%
PENALTY RICE False Start (Chiaokhiao-Bowman,Thai) 5 yards from RICE41 to RICE36. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 8:40
1ST & 15
OWN 36
0
96.2%
E.J. Warner pass complete to Christian Francisco for no gain to the RICE 36Similar
Q4 8:28
2ND & 15
OWN 36
+3
96.3%
E.J. Warner pass complete to Christian Francisco for 3 yds to the RICE 39Similar
Q4 7:59
3RD & 12
OWN 39
0
96.4%
E.J. Warner pass incomplete to Matt SykesSimilar
Q4 7:50
4TH & 12
OWN 39
-8
96.5%
E.J. Warner pass intercepted Michael Moore return for 8 yds to the RICE 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 22TD
2 plays · 45 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 7:42
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+45
99.6%
Jalen Kitna pass complete to Corri Milliner for 45 yds for a TD (Jonah Delange KICK)Similar
Q4 7:42
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-15
99.6%
PENALTY UAB UNS: Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Milliner,Corri) 15 yards from UAB35 to UAB20. NO PLAY.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 23DOWNS
17 plays · 47 yds · 5:410% → 0%
Q4 7:37
1ST & 10
OWN 41
-5
99.8%
(07:37) PENALTY RICE Illegal Substitution 5 yards from RICE41 to RICE36. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 7:29
1ST & 15
OWN 36
+4
99.8%
E.J. Warner pass complete to Braylen Walker for 4 yds to the RICE 40Similar
Q4 7:01
2ND & 11
OWN 40
+10
99.8%
Dean Connors run for 10 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 6:31
3RD & 1
50
+6
99.8%
Dean Connors run for 6 yds to the UAB 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:54
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+8
99.9%
E.J. Warner pass complete to Quinton Jackson for 8 yds to the UAB 36Similar
Q4 5:24
2ND & 2
OPP 36
+5
99.8%
E.J. Warner pass complete to Elijah Mojarro for 5 yds to the UAB 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:51
1ST & 10
OPP 31
-5
99.8%
E.J. Warner sacked by Kendall Johnson for a loss of 5 yards to the UAB 36Similar
Q4 4:19
2ND & 15
OPP 36
0
99.9%
(04:23) Shotgun Warner,E.J. pass complete short right to Walker,Braylen caught at UAB25, for 11 yards to the UAB25, out of bounds at UAB25 PENALTY RICE Face Mask offsetting UAB Roughing The Passer offsetting. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 4:02
2ND & 15
OPP 36
+13
99.9%
Christian Francisco run for 13 yds to the UAB 23Similar
Q4 3:33
3RD & 2
OPP 23
+8
99.9%
Christian Francisco run for 8 yds to the UAB 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:55
1ST & 10
OPP 15
0
99.9%
E.J. Warner pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 2:42
2ND & 10
OPP 15
+6
99.9%
E.J. Warner pass complete to Kobie Campbell for 6 yds to the UAB 9Similar
Q4 2:10
3RD & 10
OPP 15
+3
99.9%
E.J. Warner pass complete to Kobie Campbell for 3 yds to the UAB 12Similar
Q4 1:56
4TH & 7
OPP 12
0
99.8%
E.J. Warner pass incomplete to Dean ConnorsSimilar
Q4 1:56
4TH & 7
OPP 12
0
99.8%
E.J. Warner pass incomplete to Dean ConnorsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 24END OF GAME
4 plays · 34 yds · 1:47100% → 100%
Q4 1:47
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+13
99.9%
Harrison Barker run for 13 yds to the UAB 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:19
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
99.9%
Rice Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (15 Yards) to the UAB 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:43
1ST & 10
OWN 46
-4
99.9%
Solomon Beebe run for a loss of 4 yards to the UAB 42Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 14
OWN 42
+4
99.9%
Solomon Beebe run for 4 yds to the UAB 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 0:00
E.J. Warner pass intercepted Adrian Maddox return for 99 yds for a TD (Jonah Delange KICK)
+11.5
TD · Q1 3:05
E.J. Warner pass complete to Colin Giffen for 5 yds for a TD (Tim Horn KICK)
-6.6
TD · Q4 11:01
Lee Beebe Jr. run for 7 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed)
+5.1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com