Try the model
CLT

Charlotte 39 at Florida Atlantic 27

FAU
2024 · Week 13 · Nov 23, 2024 · FAU Stadium
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · FAU
modelFAU aheadCLT aheadconfidence bandkey playFAU scoreCLT score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDFGFGTDFGFGFGTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 7:47 · Logan Lupo punt for 14 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the FAU 36
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+43.0+21.50−21.5−43.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 21Home team on offense−0.7Pregame prior−12.6Score differential−0.1Garbage-time factor−0.2Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−0.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.2
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q3 1:47: Deshawn Purdie pass complete to O'Mega Blake for 75 yds for a TD (Stephen Rusnak KICK) — CLT win probability +19.0 pts (now 86%) (top driver: CLT has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 0:49: Tyriq Starks pass complete to Omari Hayes for 65 yds for a TD (Morgan Suarez KICK) — FAU win probability +14.8 pts (now 33%) (top driver: FAU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 11:36: CJ Campbell Jr. run for 58 yds for a TD (Morgan Suarez KICK) — FAU win probability +30.7 pts (now 62%) (top driver: FAU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 5:25: Deshawn Purdie pass complete to O'Mega Blake for 47 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed) — CLT win probability +32.8 pts (now 80%) (top driver: CLT has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 2:05: Katron Evans 22 Yd Fumble Return (Stephen Rusnak Kick) — CLT win probability +26.1 pts (now 95%) (top driver: FAU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
FAU made the numbers' call on 6 of 7CLT made the numbers' call on 5 of 8
  1. Q1 10:36FAU 4th & 3 at CLT 3, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 44.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    44.8%
    44% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    44.7%−0.1
    93% to make
    Punt
    44.0%−0.8
    average punt
  2. Q1 7:47FAU 4th & 13 at FAU 22, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 43.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    43.0%−0.6
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    43.7%
    average punt
  3. Q1 6:52CLT 4th & 7 at FAU 33, up 4
    Close callKicked a field goal · 56.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    56.1%
    37% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    56.1%−0.1
    49% to make
    Punt
    55.8%−0.4
    average punt
  4. Q1 4:20FAU 4th & 10 at FAU 36, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 41.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    41.2%−0.4
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    41.5%
    average punt
  5. Q1 1:16CLT 4th & 7 at CLT 40, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 59.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    59.0%−0.2
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    59.2%
    average punt
  6. Q2 12:38FAU 4th & 9 at FAU 43, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 40.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    39.9%−0.8
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    40.7%
    average punt
  7. Q2 8:59CLT 4th & 7 at FAU 28, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 61.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    61.0%−0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    61.1%
    60% to make
    Punt
    57.7%−3.4
    average punt
  8. Q2 1:55CLT 4th & 6 at FAU 35, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 57.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    57.5%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    57.0%−0.5
    45% to make
    Punt
    55.9%−1.5
    average punt
  9. Q2 0:34CLT 4th & 3 at FAU 3, up 3
    Close callKicked a field goal · 58.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    58.5%
    44% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    57.9%−0.6
    93% to make
    Punt
    51.5%−7.1
    average punt
  10. Q3 10:11CLT 4th & 3 at FAU 23, up 6
    Close callKicked a field goal · 65.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    65.1%
    52% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    64.2%−0.9
    70% to make
    Punt
    56.2%−8.9
    average punt
  11. Q3 1:59FAU 4th & 6 at CLT 6, down 9
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 27.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    25.9%−0.5
    31% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    26.4%
    91% to make
    Punt
    14.0%−12.4
    average punt
  12. Q4 14:44CLT 4th & 7 at FAU 47, up 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 70.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    71.3%−0.2
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    71.6%
    average punt
  13. Q4 7:40FAU 4th & 3 at CLT 21, up 1
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 64.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    64.5%
    51% to convert
    Field goal
    62.8%−1.7
    74% to make
    Punt
    47.6%−17.0
    average punt
  14. Q4 5:25CLT 4th & 7 at FAU 47, down 1
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 41.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    38.5%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    37.8%−0.7
    average punt
  15. Q4 1:22FAU 4th & 1 at FAU 43, down 12
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 4.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    4.5%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    3.6%−0.9
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
FAU made the numbers' call on 3 of 3CLT made the numbers' call on 4 of 4
  1. Q1 8:38CLT Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    56.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    56.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 4:59FAU Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    44.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    44.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 1:47CLT Touchdown, up 12 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    81.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    81.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 0:49FAU Touchdown, down 7 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    29.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    29.7%−0.2
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 11:36FAU Touchdown, tied before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    55.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    54.7%−1.0
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 5:25CLT Touchdown, up 5 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersWent for two · failed
    Kick
    73.9%−1.3
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    75.1%
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 2:05CLT Touchdown, up 11 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.8%−0.5
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
FAUDrive 1FG
11 plays · 72 yds · 4:1836% → 38%
Q1 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
35.9%
CJ Campbell Jr. run for 3 yds to the FAU 28Similar
Q1 14:14
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+6
36.2%
Tyriq Starks pass complete to George Johnson III for 6 yds to the FAU 34Similar
Q1 13:36
3RD & 1
OWN 34
-5
36.5%
(13:53) Shotgun Starks,Tyriq pass complete deep right to Sullivan,Wyatt caught at CHA40, for 34 yards loss to the FAU00 TOUCHDOWN nullified by penalty, clock 13:36 PENALTY FAU Ineligible Downfield on Pass (Lamar,Malcolm) 5 yards from FAU34 to FAU29. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 13:21
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+17
36.5%
Tyriq Starks pass complete to CJ Campbell Jr. for 17 yds to the FAU 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:50
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+3
37.0%
CJ Campbell Jr. run for 3 yds to the FAU 49Similar
Q1 12:32
2ND & 7
OWN 49
+49
37.1%
CJ Campbell Jr. run for 49 yds to the CLT 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:52
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
37.6%
CJ Campbell Jr. run for 1 yd to the CLT 1Similar
Q1 11:16
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
-2
37.9%
CJ Campbell Jr. run for a loss of 2 yards to the CLT 3Similar
Q1 10:40
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
0
38.1%
Tyriq Starks pass incomplete to Kahlil BrantleySimilar
Q1 10:36
4TH & GOAL
OPP 3
+20
38.2%
Morgan Suarez 20 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 2TD
5 plays · 75 yds · 1:4362% → 63%
Q1 10:21
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+13
38.2%
Deshawn Purdie pass complete to Rod Gainey Jr. for 13 yds to the CLT 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:52
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+1
38.2%
Cartevious Norton run for 1 yd to the CLT 39Similar
Q1 9:07
2ND & 9
OWN 39
+7
38.7%
Deshawn Purdie pass complete to Sean Brown for 7 yds to the CLT 46Similar
Q1 8:38
3RD & 2
OWN 46
+54
36.9%
Deshawn Purdie pass complete to O'Mega Blake for 54 yds for a TD (Stephen Rusnak KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 3PUNT
5 plays · -3 yds · 0:4437% → 37%
Q1 8:31
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-3
37.3%
CJ Campbell Jr. run for a loss of 3 yards to the FAU 22Similar
Q1 7:58
2ND & 13
OWN 22
0
37.3%
Tyriq Starks pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:54
3RD & 13
OWN 22
0
37.1%
Tyriq Starks pass incomplete to Jabari SmithSimilar
Q1 7:47
4TH & 13
OWN 22
0
36.9%
Logan Lupo punt for 14 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the FAU 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 4FG
5 plays · 3 yds · 0:4863% → 64%
Q1 7:40
1ST & 10
OPP 36
0
36.8%
Deshawn Purdie pass incomplete to Jairus MackSimilar
Q1 7:31
2ND & 10
OPP 36
+3
36.8%
Hahsaun Wilson run for 3 yds to the FAU 33Similar
Q1 6:57
3RD & 7
OPP 33
0
37.0%
Deshawn Purdie pass incomplete to Isaiah MyersSimilar
Q1 6:52
4TH & 7
OPP 33
+50
35.6%
Stephen Rusnak 50 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 5PUNT
8 plays · 11 yds · 2:1836% → 35%
Q1 6:38
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
36.2%
CJ Campbell Jr. run for 3 yds to the FAU 28Similar
Q1 6:12
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+8
36.3%
CJ Campbell Jr. run for 8 yds to the FAU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:36
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+2
36.5%
Gemari Sands run for 2 yds to the FAU 38Similar
Q1 5:02
2ND & 8
OWN 38
-2
36.6%
Tyriq Starks run for a loss of 2 yards to the FAU 36Similar
Q1 4:39
3RD & 10
OWN 36
0
35.4%
Tyriq Starks pass incomplete to Gemari SandsSimilar
Q1 4:20
4TH & 10
OWN 36
+13
35.1%
Logan Lupo punt for 50 yds , Henry Rutledge returns for 13 yds to the CLT 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 6PUNT
7 plays · 13 yds · 3:0465% → 65%
Q1 4:20
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+3
35.5%
Deshawn Purdie pass complete to Duane Thomas Jr. for 3 yds to the CLT 30Similar
Q1 4:20
2ND & 7
OWN 30
+6
35.3%
Cartevious Norton run for 6 yds to the CLT 36Similar
Q1 4:20
3RD & 1
OWN 36
+1
35.3%
Cartevious Norton run for 1 yd to the CLT 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:20
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+3
35.2%
Cartevious Norton run for 3 yds to the CLT 40Similar
Q1 4:20
2ND & 7
OWN 40
0
34.9%
Deshawn Purdie pass incomplete to Joey Bearns IIISimilar
Q1 4:20
3RD & 7
OWN 40
0
35.2%
Deshawn Purdie pass incomplete to Isaiah MyersSimilar
Q1 1:16
4TH & 7
OWN 40
+2
35.5%
Michael O'Shaughnessy punt for 47 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the FAU 15 , Omari Hayes returns for 2 yds to the FAU 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 7PUNT
9 plays · 28 yds · 3:3835% → 35%
Q1 1:16
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+9
35.1%
Tyriq Starks pass complete to Marlyn Johnson for 9 yds to the FAU 24Similar
Q1 1:16
2ND & 1
OWN 24
+3
35.5%
Tyriq Starks pass complete to CJ Campbell Jr. for 3 yds to the FAU 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 27
-4
35.3%
CJ Campbell Jr. run for a loss of 4 yards to the FAU 23Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 14
OWN 23
+1
35.1%
CJ Campbell Jr. run for 1 yd to the FAU 24Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 13
OWN 24
+18
34.5%
Tyriq Starks pass complete to Milan Tucker for 18 yds to the FAU 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
36.2%
Tyriq Starks pass incomplete to Marlyn JohnsonSimilar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 42
+1
35.8%
CJ Campbell Jr. run for 1 yd to the FAU 43Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 9
OWN 43
0
35.3%
Tyriq Starks pass incomplete to Jabari SmithSimilar
Q2 12:38
4TH & 9
OWN 43
0
34.7%
Logan Lupo punt for 51 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 8FG
7 plays · 66 yds · 3:3965% → 68%
Q2 12:38
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+4
35.5%
Deshawn Purdie pass complete to O'Mega Blake for 4 yds to the CLT 10Similar
Q2 12:38
2ND & 6
OWN 10
0
35.5%
Deshawn Purdie pass incomplete to Sean BrownSimilar
Q2 12:38
3RD & 6
OWN 10
+59
36.0%
Deshawn Purdie pass complete to Jairus Mack for 59 yds to the FAU 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:38
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+6
33.4%
Hahsaun Wilson run for 6 yds to the FAU 25Similar
Q2 12:38
2ND & 4
OPP 25
+1
33.3%
Hahsaun Wilson run for 1 yd to the FAU 24Similar
Q2 12:38
3RD & 3
OPP 24
-4
33.6%
Deshawn Purdie sacked for a loss of 4 yards to the FAU 28Similar
Q2 8:59
4TH & 7
OPP 28
+45
32.3%
Stephen Rusnak 45 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 9TD
10 plays · 68 yds · 3:5432% → 44%
Q2 8:53
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
31.8%
Tyriq Starks pass incomplete to Elijah BrownSimilar
Q2 8:53
2ND & 10
OWN 32
+10
31.7%
Tyriq Starks pass complete to Kahlil Brantley for 10 yds to the FAU 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:53
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+9
32.6%
CJ Campbell Jr. run for 9 yds to the CLT 49Similar
Q2 8:53
2ND & 1
OPP 49
+5
33.3%
Tyriq Starks run for 5 yds to the CLT 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:53
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
33.3%
Tyriq Starks pass incomplete to Kahlil BrantleySimilar
Q2 8:53
2ND & 10
OPP 44
+2
33.2%
Xavier Terrell run for 2 yds to the CLT 42Similar
Q2 8:53
3RD & 8
OPP 42
+14
33.0%
Xavier Terrell run for 14 yds to the CLT 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:53
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+7
34.2%
Xavier Terrell run for 7 yds to the CLT 21Similar
Q2 4:59
2ND & 3
OPP 21
+21
43.6%
Xavier Terrell run for 21 yds for a TD (Morgan Suarez KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 10FG
18 plays · 72 yds · 4:2561% → 69%
Q2 4:59
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+21
39.4%
Cartevious Norton run for 21 yds to the CLT 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:59
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+1
37.6%
Cartevious Norton run for 1 yd to the CLT 47Similar
Q2 4:59
2ND & 9
OWN 47
-1
37.7%
Cartevious Norton run for a loss of 1 yard to the CLT 46Similar
Q2 4:59
3RD & 10
OWN 46
+15
38.7%
Shotgun Purdie,Deshawn pass incomplete deep left to Mack,Jairus thrown to FAU25 PENALTY FAU Pass Interference (Tooley III,Chris) 15 yards from CHA46 to FAU39, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 4:59
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+4
37.2%
Deshawn Purdie pass complete to Duane Thomas Jr. for 4 yds to the FAU 35Similar
Q2 4:59
2ND & 6
OPP 35
+2
36.1%
Cartevious Norton run for 2 yds to the FAU 33Similar
Q2 2:00
3RD & 4
OPP 33
-2
34.8%
Cartevious Norton run for a loss of 2 yards to the FAU 35Similar
Q2 1:55
4TH & 6
OPP 35
+27
37.3%
Deshawn Purdie pass complete to Sean Brown for 27 yds to the FAU 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:55
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
0
33.8%
Cartevious Norton run for no gain to the FAU 8Similar
Q2 1:55
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
+3
33.8%
Cartevious Norton run for 3 yds to the FAU 5Similar
Q2 0:42
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
+2
34.6%
PENALTY FAU Offside (Davis,Devonta) 2 yards from FAU05 to FAU03. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 0:42
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
0
35.0%
Deshawn Purdie pass incomplete to Colin WeberSimilar
Q2 0:34
4TH & GOAL
OPP 3
+20
30.8%
Stephen Rusnak 20 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 11END OF HALF
3 plays · 6 yds · 0:3438% → 37%
Q2 0:34
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
37.7%
Tyriq Starks pass incomplete to Omari HayesSimilar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+6
37.2%
CJ Campbell Jr. run for 6 yds to the FAU 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 12FG
11 plays · 52 yds · 4:4967% → 72%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
33.2%
Deshawn Purdie pass incomplete to O'Mega BlakeSimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+1
33.8%
Cartevious Norton run for 1 yd to the CLT 26Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 9
OWN 26
+29
34.4%
Deshawn Purdie pass complete to Jairus Mack for 29 yds to the FAU 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 45
-1
30.9%
Cartevious Norton run for a loss of 1 yard to the FAU 46Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 11
OPP 46
+16
31.0%
Deshawn Purdie pass complete to Miles Burris for 16 yds to the FAU 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+1
30.7%
Hahsaun Wilson run for 1 yd to the FAU 29Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 9
OPP 29
+2
30.7%
Deshawn Purdie pass complete to Sean Brown for 2 yds to the FAU 27Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 7
OPP 27
+4
31.4%
Hahsaun Wilson run for 4 yds to the FAU 23Similar
Q3 10:11
4TH & 3
OPP 23
+40
28.5%
Stephen Rusnak 40 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 13FG
16 plays · 69 yds · 8:1230% → 35%
Q3 10:11
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
29.8%
CJ Campbell Jr. run for 4 yds to the FAU 29Similar
Q3 10:11
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+6
30.3%
Zuberi Mobley run for 6 yds to the FAU 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:11
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+2
30.3%
Zuberi Mobley run for 2 yds to the FAU 37Similar
Q3 10:11
2ND & 8
OWN 37
+4
30.6%
Zuberi Mobley run for 4 yds to the FAU 41Similar
Q3 10:11
3RD & 4
OWN 41
+17
30.8%
Zuberi Mobley run for 17 yds to the CLT 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:11
1ST & 10
OPP 42
-10
32.8%
Shotgun Campbell Jr.,CJ rush left for 0 yards to the CHA42 (Ekwonu,Ositadinma; Burden,Cam) PENALTY FAU Holding (Brown,Elijah) 10 yards from CHA42 to FAU48. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 10:11
1ST & 20
OWN 48
+3
31.3%
CJ Campbell Jr. run for 3 yds to the CLT 49Similar
Q3 10:11
2ND & 17
OPP 49
+5
31.6%
Xavier Terrell run for 5 yds to the CLT 44Similar
Q3 10:11
3RD & 12
OPP 44
+15
31.2%
Tyriq Starks pass complete to Jabari Smith for 15 yds to the CLT 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:11
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+22
34.6%
Tyriq Starks pass complete to Elijah Brown for 22 yds to the CLT 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:11
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
-1
34.6%
Xavier Terrell run for a loss of 1 yard to the CLT 8Similar
Q3 2:38
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
+2
30.3%
Tyriq Starks pass complete to Zeke Moore for 2 yds to the CLT 6Similar
Q3 2:38
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
0
28.6%
Tyriq Starks pass incomplete to Wyatt SullivanSimilar
Q3 1:59
4TH & GOAL
OPP 6
+24
34.5%
Morgan Suarez 24 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 14TD
2 plays · 75 yds · 0:0086% → 86%
Q3 1:47
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+75
14.0%
Deshawn Purdie pass complete to O'Mega Blake for 75 yds for a TD (Stephen Rusnak KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 15TD
4 plays · 75 yds · 0:5817% → 33%
Q3 1:47
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
17.0%
Tyriq Starks run for 9 yds to the FAU 34Similar
Q3 1:47
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+1
18.1%
CJ Campbell Jr. run for 1 yd to the FAU 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:49
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+65
32.9%
Tyriq Starks pass complete to Omari Hayes for 65 yds for a TD (Morgan Suarez KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 16PUNT
7 plays · 28 yds · 1:0572% → 73%
Q3 0:49
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
27.9%
Deshawn Purdie pass incomplete to Jairus MackSimilar
Q3 0:49
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+25
28.8%
Deshawn Purdie pass complete to O'Mega Blake for 25 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:49
1ST & 10
50
0
25.1%
Deshawn Purdie pass incomplete to Colin WeberSimilar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 10
50
+3
25.0%
Hahsaun Wilson run for 3 yds to the FAU 47Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 7
OPP 47
0
25.5%
Deshawn Purdie pass incomplete to O'Mega BlakeSimilar
Q4 14:44
4TH & 7
OPP 47
0
27.2%
Michael O'Shaughnessy punt for 40 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 17TD
7 plays · 93 yds · 3:0831% → 62%
Q4 14:44
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+11
31.4%
Gemari Sands run for 11 yds to the FAU 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:44
1ST & 10
OWN 18
-3
32.2%
Gemari Sands run for a loss of 3 yards to the FAU 15Similar
Q4 14:44
2ND & 13
OWN 15
+17
31.7%
Gemari Sands run for 17 yds to the FAU 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:44
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+5
32.8%
Gemari Sands run for 5 yds to the FAU 37Similar
Q4 14:44
2ND & 5
OWN 37
-2
34.9%
CJ Campbell Jr. run for a loss of 2 yards to the FAU 35Similar
Q4 14:44
3RD & 7
OWN 35
+7
31.7%
Tyriq Starks pass complete to Marlyn Johnson for 7 yds to the FAU 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:36
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+58
62.4%
CJ Campbell Jr. run for 58 yds for a TD (Morgan Suarez KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 18INT
3 plays · 0 yds · 0:1543% → 42%
Q4 11:36
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
57.1%
Deshawn Purdie pass incomplete to O'Mega BlakeSimilar
Q4 11:21
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-1
57.7%
Deshawn Purdie pass intercepted Phillip Dunnam return for 1 yd to the CLT 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 19DOWNS
7 plays · 19 yds · 3:4164% → 63%
Q4 11:21
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+8
64.4%
Zuberi Mobley run for 8 yds to the CLT 30Similar
Q4 11:21
2ND & 2
OPP 30
+2
65.9%
Zuberi Mobley run for 2 yds to the CLT 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:21
1ST & 10
OPP 28
0
65.9%
Zuberi Mobley run for no gain to the CLT 28Similar
Q4 11:21
2ND & 10
OPP 28
+4
65.7%
Zuberi Mobley run for 4 yds to the CLT 24Similar
Q4 11:21
3RD & 6
OPP 24
+3
64.0%
Zuberi Mobley run for 3 yds to the CLT 21Similar
Q4 7:40
4TH & 3
OPP 21
+2
63.4%
Gemari Sands run for 2 yds to the CLT 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 20TD
6 plays · 81 yds · 2:1542% → 80%
Q4 7:40
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+3
57.8%
Deshawn Purdie pass complete to Jairus Mack for 3 yds to the CLT 22Similar
Q4 7:40
2ND & 7
OWN 22
+28
58.0%
Deshawn Purdie pass complete to Sean Brown for 28 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:40
1ST & 10
50
+3
51.8%
Cartevious Norton run for 3 yds to the FAU 47Similar
Q4 7:40
2ND & 7
OPP 47
0
52.0%
Deshawn Purdie pass incomplete to Miles BurrisSimilar
Q4 7:40
3RD & 7
OPP 47
0
52.6%
Deshawn Purdie pass incomplete to Duane Thomas Jr.Similar
Q4 5:25
4TH & 7
OPP 47
+47
19.8%
Deshawn Purdie pass complete to O'Mega Blake for 47 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 21FUMBLE RETURN TD
7 plays · -3 yds · 3:2026% → 5%
Q4 5:25
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
26.2%
CJ Campbell Jr. run for 2 yds to the FAU 27Similar
Q4 5:25
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+10
26.4%
CJ Campbell Jr. run for 10 yds to the FAU 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:25
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+7
27.6%
Gemari Sands run for 7 yds to the FAU 44Similar
Q4 5:25
2ND & 3
OWN 44
+5
30.4%
Gemari Sands run for 5 yds to the FAU 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:25
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+2
30.6%
Gemari Sands run for 2 yds to the CLT 49Similar
Q4 2:05
2ND & 8
OPP 49
+22
4.6%
Katron Evans 22 Yd Fumble Return (Stephen Rusnak Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 22DOWNS
6 plays · 8 yds · 0:424% → 2%
Q4 2:04
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+4
4.1%
Tyriq Starks run for 4 yds to the FAU 38Similar
Q4 1:57
2ND & 6
OWN 38
+5
2.6%
Tyriq Starks pass complete to CJ Campbell Jr. for 5 yds to the FAU 43Similar
Q4 1:57
3RD & 1
OWN 43
0
2.6%
Tyriq Starks pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:22
4TH & 1
OWN 43
-1
2.4%
CJ Campbell Jr. run for a loss of 1 yard to the FAU 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 23Uncategorized
4 plays · -6 yds · 1:2298% → 98%
Q4 1:22
1ST & 10
OPP 42
-2
2.4%
Kneel down by Charlotte at FAU44 for loss of 2 yards.Similar
Q4 1:19
2ND & 12
OPP 44
-2
2.2%
Kneel down by Charlotte at FAU46 for loss of 2 yards.Similar
Q4 0:00
3RD & 14
OPP 46
-2
2.1%
Kneel down by Charlotte at FAU48 for loss of 2 yards.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 5:25
Deshawn Purdie pass complete to O'Mega Blake for 47 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed)
-32.8
TD · Q4 11:36
CJ Campbell Jr. run for 58 yds for a TD (Morgan Suarez KICK)
+30.7
TD · Q4 2:05
Katron Evans 22 Yd Fumble Return (Stephen Rusnak Kick)
-26.1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com