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UAB

UAB 18 at Memphis 53

MEM
2024 · Week 12 · Nov 16, 2024 · Simmons Bank Liberty Stadium
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Win probability · MEM
modelMEM aheadUAB aheadconfidence bandkey playMEM scoreUAB score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDTDTDFGTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 1:13 · Joshua Sloan punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Kam Shanks at the UAB 10
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+37.0+18.50−18.5−37.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 37Pregame prior+29.8Home team on offense+4.2Score differential+0.9Garbage-time factor+1.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.8Blowout margin−0.4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 1:55: Jalen Kitna pass complete to Kam Shanks for 10 yds for a TD (T. McDonald Run For Two-point Conversion) — UAB win probability +5.6 pts (now 16%) (top driver: UAB has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 10:57: Seth Henigan pass complete to Greg Desrosiers Jr. for 19 yds for a TD (Tristian Vandenberg KICK) — MEM win probability +6.4 pts (now 94%) (top driver: MEM has the ball).
  3. FG · Q3 6:37: Jonah Delange 32 yd FG GOOD — UAB win probability +3.9 pts (now 11%) (top driver: UAB has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 14:56: Seth Henigan pass complete to Anthony Landphere for 2 yds for a TD (Tristian Vandenberg KICK) — MEM win probability +3.9 pts (now 99%) (top driver: MEM has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 13:23: Terrell McDonald run for 1 yd for a TD (Jonah Delange KICK) — UAB win probability +7.6 pts (now 9%) (top driver: UAB has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
MEM made the numbers' call on 3 of 5UAB made the numbers' call on 4 of 6
  1. Q1 3:43MEM 4th & 10 at UAB 23, up 8
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 85.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    85.1%−0.3
    28% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    85.4%
    70% to make
    Punt
    83.9%−1.5
    average punt
  2. Q1 2:26UAB 4th & 13 at UAB 22, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 13.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.6%−0.4
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    14.1%
    average punt
  3. Q1 1:13MEM 4th & 6 at midfield, up 11
    Close callPunted · 85.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    85.6%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    85.5%−0.1
    average punt
  4. Q2 11:45MEM 4th & 4 at UAB 4, up 11
    Close callKicked a field goal · 86.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    86.3%
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    86.1%−0.3
    93% to make
    Punt
    83.1%−3.2
    average punt
  5. Q2 10:26UAB 4th & 6 at UAB 24, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 13.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.6%−0.2
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    13.8%
    average punt
  6. Q2 1:38MEM 4th & 9 at MEM 26, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 84.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    83.5%−1.0
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    84.5%
    average punt
  7. Q3 13:47UAB 4th & 15 at UAB 30, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 12.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.1%−1.2
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    13.4%
    average punt
  8. Q3 12:16MEM 4th & 2 at UAB 37, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 86.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    86.3%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    84.8%−1.5
    40% to make
    Punt
    84.6%−1.7
    average punt
  9. Q3 6:37UAB 4th & 3 at MEM 14, down 17
    Close callKicked a field goal · 7.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.9%
    51% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    6.5%−0.3
    84% to make
    Punt
    1.1%−5.7
    average punt
  10. Q4 9:04UAB 4th & 13 at UAB 22, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.7%−0.3
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.1%
    average punt
  11. Q4 3:20UAB 4th & 10 at UAB 46, down 28
    Close callWent for it · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.0%−<0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.1%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
MEM made the numbers' call on 6 of 7UAB made the numbers' call on 1 of 2
  1. Q1 11:38MEM Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Close callWent for two · converted
    Kick
    85.9%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    85.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 6:34MEM Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    91.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    91.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 1:55UAB Touchdown, down 12 before the try
    Close callWent for two · converted
    Kick
    11.8%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    11.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 10:57MEM Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    91.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    91.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 14:56MEM Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 13:23UAB Touchdown, down 15 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    5.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    5.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 10:13MEM Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 4:57MEM Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 0:43MEM Touchdown, up 34 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
MEMDrive 1TD
7 plays · 75 yds · 3:2187% → 87%
Q1 14:59
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+14
86.7%
Mario Anderson Jr. run for 14 yds to the MEM 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:30
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+4
86.6%
Seth Henigan pass complete to Anthony Landphere for 4 yds to the MEM 43Similar
Q1 13:55
2ND & 6
OWN 43
+3
86.5%
Mario Anderson Jr. run for 3 yds to the MEM 46Similar
Q1 13:25
3RD & 3
OWN 46
+37
86.4%
Seth Henigan pass complete to Demeer Blankumsee for 37 yds to the UAB 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:52
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+5
86.3%
Mario Anderson Jr. run for 5 yds to the UAB 12Similar
Q1 12:21
2ND & 5
OPP 12
+10
86.2%
Mario Anderson Jr. run for 10 yds to the UAB 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:38
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
86.6%
Brandon Thomas 2 Yd Run (Caden Costa Pass to Colby Cox for Two-Point Conversion)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 2FUMBLE
8 plays · 65 yds · 3:1014% → 14%
Q1 11:35
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
86.4%
Jalen Kitna pass complete to Kam Shanks for 3 yds to the UAB 28Similar
Q1 11:12
2ND & 7
OWN 28
0
86.3%
Lee Beebe Jr. run for no gain to the UAB 28Similar
Q1 10:37
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+41
86.4%
Jalen Kitna pass complete to Corri Milliner for 41 yds to the MEM 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:47
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+18
85.9%
Jalen Kitna pass complete to Bryce Damous for 18 yds to the MEM 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:06
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+4
85.9%
Jalen Kitna run for 4 yds to the MEM 9Similar
Q1 8:32
2ND & 6
OPP 9
0
85.8%
Jalen Kitna pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 8:25
3RD & 6
OPP 9
-1
85.9%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the MEM 10 fumbled, recovered by MEM Javon Denis J. Denis return for 0 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 3FG
13 plays · 67 yds · 4:4086% → 87%
Q1 8:23
1ST & 10
OWN 10
0
86.3%
Seth Henigan pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 8:16
2ND & 10
OWN 10
+12
86.3%
Seth Henigan pass complete to Brendan Doyle for 12 yds to the MEM 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:36
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+29
86.2%
Seth Henigan pass complete to Anthony Landphere for 29 yds to the UAB 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:55
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
86.5%
(06:55) HENIGAN, Seth scrambles to the right for a gain of 12 yards to the UAB49, out of bounds, 1ST DOWN, clock 06:50. PENALTY MEM Face mask on BRELAND, Malachi UAB Unnecessary Roughness on BRYANT, Sirad , Offsetting penalties [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 6:39
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+7
86.5%
Greg Desrosiers Jr. run for 7 yds to the UAB 42Similar
Q1 6:03
2ND & 3
OPP 42
+4
86.5%
Seth Henigan run for 4 yds to the UAB 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:27
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
86.5%
Seth Henigan pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 5:21
2ND & 10
OPP 38
+15
86.5%
(05:21) HENIGAN, Seth pass deep to the right incomplete intended for DRAKE, Koby broken up by JONES, Tyjon at the UAB14, clock 05:16. PENALTY UAB Pass Interference on JONES, Tyjon enforced 15 yards to the UAB23 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 5:15
1ST & 10
OPP 23
-5
86.6%
(05:15) HENIGAN, Seth pass to the left complete for 11 yards to DRAKE, Koby caught at the UAB12 and advanced to the UAB12 (WATSON, Tariq), clock 05:11. PENALTY MEM Ineligible Receiver Downfield on Pass on ADAMS, Chris enforced 5 yards from the UAB23 to the UAB28 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 4:50
1ST & 15
OPP 28
+5
86.5%
Seth Henigan pass complete to Mario Anderson Jr. for 5 yds to the UAB 23Similar
Q1 4:31
2ND & 10
OPP 23
0
86.5%
Seth Henigan run for no gain to the UAB 23Similar
Q1 3:51
3RD & 10
OPP 23
0
86.3%
Seth Henigan pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 3:43
4TH & 10
OPP 23
+41
86.5%
Tristian Vandenberg 41 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 4PUNT
5 plays · -3 yds · 1:1413% → 13%
Q1 3:40
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
87.0%
Jalen Kitna pass complete to Amare Thomas for 1 yd to the UAB 26Similar
Q1 3:05
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+1
87.0%
Jalen Kitna pass complete to Trace Campbell for 1 yd to the UAB 27Similar
Q1 2:37
3RD & 8
OWN 27
0
86.6%
Jalen Kitna pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 2:36
4TH & 8
OWN 27
-5
86.7%
UAB Penalty, False Start (TEAM) to the UAB 22Similar
Q1 2:26
4TH & 13
OWN 22
+4
86.8%
Patrick Foley punt for 36 yds , Koby Drake returns for 4 yds to the MEM 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 5PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 1:1287% → 86%
Q1 2:25
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+4
86.7%
Greg Desrosiers Jr. run for 4 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 2:03
2ND & 6
50
0
86.7%
Seth Henigan run for no gain to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 1:21
3RD & 6
50
0
86.5%
Seth Henigan pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 1:13
4TH & 6
50
0
86.2%
Joshua Sloan punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Kam Shanks at the UAB 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 6FUMBLE
5 plays · 10 yds · 2:0914% → 14%
Q1 1:08
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+2
86.4%
Lee Beebe Jr. run for 2 yds to the UAB 12Similar
Q1 0:28
2ND & 8
OWN 12
+7
86.4%
Lee Beebe Jr. run for 7 yds to the UAB 19Similar
Q2 14:59
3RD & 1
OWN 19
+2
86.5%
Lee Beebe Jr. run for 2 yds to the UAB 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:29
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+6
86.4%
Jalen Kitna pass complete to Lee Beebe Jr. for 6 yds to the UAB 27Similar
Q2 13:59
2ND & 4
OWN 27
-7
86.3%
Jalen Kitna sacked for a loss of 7 yards to the UAB 20 Jalen Kitna fumbled, recovered by MEM Matt Hudson , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 7MISSED FG
5 plays · 16 yds · 2:0987% → 87%
Q2 13:54
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+10
86.9%
Jamari Hawkins run for 10 yds to the UAB 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:18
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+6
87.6%
Seth Henigan pass complete to Demeer Blankumsee for 6 yds to the UAB 4Similar
Q2 12:35
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
0
87.6%
Mario Anderson Jr. run for no gain to the UAB 4Similar
Q2 11:55
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
0
87.6%
Seth Henigan pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 11:45
4TH & GOAL
OPP 4
+22
87.2%
Tristian Vandenberg 22 Yard Field Goal MissedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 8PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 1:1514% → 13%
Q2 11:41
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-1
86.5%
Lee Witherspoon run for a loss of 1 yard to the UAB 19Similar
Q2 11:10
2ND & 11
OWN 19
+5
86.8%
Jalen Kitna pass complete to Corri Milliner for 5 yds to the UAB 24Similar
Q2 10:31
3RD & 6
OWN 24
0
86.9%
Jalen Kitna pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 10:26
4TH & 6
OWN 24
+16
87.1%
Patrick Foley punt for 45 yds , Koby Drake returns for 16 yds to the MEM 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 9TD
9 plays · 53 yds · 3:4188% → 92%
Q2 10:15
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
88.0%
Seth Henigan pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 10:11
2ND & 10
OWN 47
+17
87.9%
Seth Henigan pass complete to Koby Drake for 17 yds to the UAB 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:46
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+7
88.0%
Seth Henigan pass complete to Mario Anderson Jr. for 7 yds to the UAB 29Similar
Q2 9:28
2ND & 3
OPP 29
+6
88.0%
Mario Anderson Jr. run for 6 yds to the UAB 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:48
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+3
88.1%
Seth Henigan pass complete to Roc Taylor for 3 yds to the UAB 20Similar
Q2 8:11
2ND & 7
OPP 20
+3
87.7%
Mario Anderson Jr. run for 3 yds to the UAB 17Similar
Q2 7:34
3RD & 4
OPP 17
+4
87.9%
Mario Anderson Jr. run for 4 yds to the UAB 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:57
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+3
88.1%
Mario Anderson Jr. run for 3 yds to the UAB 10Similar
Q2 6:34
2ND & 7
OPP 10
+10
91.7%
Seth Henigan pass complete to Anthony Landphere for 10 yds for a TD (Tristian Vandenberg KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 10TD
12 plays · 70 yds · 4:3610% → 16%
Q2 6:31
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+11
90.5%
Jalen Kitna pass complete to Amare Thomas for 11 yds to the UAB 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:07
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+3
90.3%
Lee Beebe Jr. run for 3 yds to the UAB 44Similar
Q2 5:31
2ND & 7
OWN 44
0
90.4%
Jalen Kitna pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 5:25
3RD & 7
OWN 44
+15
90.6%
(05:25) KITNA, Jalen pass deep up the middle incomplete intended for MILLINER, Corri thrown to the MEM30, clock 05:22. PENALTY MEM Pass Interference on ROSS, Davion enforced 15 yards to the MEM41 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 5:20
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+13
90.0%
Jalen Kitna pass complete to Iverson Hooks for 13 yds to the MEM 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:36
1ST & 10
OPP 28
0
89.6%
Jalen Kitna pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 4:32
2ND & 10
OPP 28
+3
89.8%
Lee Beebe Jr. run for 3 yds to the MEM 25Similar
Q2 3:46
3RD & 7
OPP 25
+12
90.3%
Lee Beebe Jr. run for 12 yds to the MEM 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:05
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+2
89.9%
Lee Beebe Jr. run for 2 yds to the MEM 11Similar
Q2 2:22
2ND & 8
OPP 11
+1
90.0%
Jalen Kitna run for 1 yd to the MEM 10Similar
Q2 1:55
3RD & 7
OPP 10
+10
84.1%
Jalen Kitna pass complete to Kam Shanks for 10 yds for a TD (T. McDonald Run For Two-point Conversion)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 11PUNT
6 plays · 1 yds · 0:1585% → 85%
Q2 1:53
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
85.2%
Seth Henigan pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:47
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-5
85.1%
Memphis Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the MEM 20Similar
Q2 1:46
2ND & 15
OWN 20
+6
85.0%
Greg Desrosiers Jr. run for 6 yds to the MEM 26Similar
Q2 1:42
3RD & 9
OWN 26
0
85.6%
Seth Henigan pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:38
4TH & 9
OWN 26
0
85.1%
Joshua Sloan punt for 56 yds, downed at the UAB 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 12INT
7 plays · 34 yds · 1:0413% → 13%
Q2 1:25
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+7
87.0%
Jalen Kitna pass complete to Amare Thomas for 7 yds to the UAB 25Similar
Q2 1:07
2ND & 3
OWN 25
+12
86.7%
Jalen Kitna pass complete to Kam Shanks for 12 yds to the UAB 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:50
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+20
86.6%
Jalen Kitna pass complete to Amare Thomas for 20 yds to the MEM 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:32
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
84.9%
Jalen Kitna pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:24
2ND & 10
OPP 43
-5
85.4%
Jalen Kitna sacked by William Whitlow Jr. for a loss of 5 yards to the MEM 48Similar
Q2 0:21
3RD & 15
OPP 48
0
86.7%
Jalen Kitna pass intercepted Kourtlan Marsh return for no gain to the MEM 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 13MISSED FG
3 plays · 31 yds · 0:1587% → 88%
Q2 0:17
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+6
86.8%
Seth Henigan pass complete to Greg Desrosiers Jr. for 6 yds to the MEM 34Similar
Q2 0:10
2ND & 4
OWN 34
+25
87.0%
Seth Henigan pass complete to Koby Drake for 25 yds to the UAB 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:02
1ST & 10
OPP 41
0
87.7%
Seth Henigan pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 14PUNT
4 plays · -5 yds · 1:1115% → 13%
Q3 14:58
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+1
84.9%
Lee Beebe Jr. run for 1 yd to the UAB 36Similar
Q3 14:32
2ND & 9
OWN 36
-7
84.8%
Jalen Kitna pass complete to Amare Thomas for a loss of 7 yards to the UAB 30Similar
Q3 13:51
3RD & 15
OWN 30
0
86.9%
Jalen Kitna pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 13:47
4TH & 15
OWN 30
+38
87.2%
Patrick Foley punt for 53 yds , Koby Drake returns for 38 yds to the UAB 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 15TD
6 plays · 45 yds · 2:3487% → 94%
Q3 13:31
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+1
87.2%
Mario Anderson Jr. run for 1 yd to the UAB 44Similar
Q3 12:59
2ND & 9
OPP 44
0
87.5%
Seth Henigan pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 12:53
3RD & 9
OPP 44
+7
86.9%
Seth Henigan pass complete to Roc Taylor for 7 yds to the UAB 37Similar
Q3 12:16
4TH & 2
OPP 37
+4
86.3%
Seth Henigan run for 4 yds to the UAB 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:31
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+14
87.9%
Seth Henigan pass complete to Koby Drake for 14 yds to the UAB 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:57
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+19
94.2%
Seth Henigan pass complete to Greg Desrosiers Jr. for 19 yds for a TD (Tristian Vandenberg KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 16FG
11 plays · 61 yds · 4:187% → 11%
Q3 10:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
92.6%
Jalen Kitna pass complete to Dallas Payne for 6 yds to the UAB 31Similar
Q3 10:27
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+10
92.3%
Jalen Kitna pass complete to Lee Beebe Jr. for 10 yds to the UAB 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:55
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+6
92.2%
Lee Beebe Jr. run for 6 yds to the UAB 47Similar
Q3 9:26
2ND & 4
OWN 47
-6
92.1%
Jalen Kitna sacked by Devin Baldwin for a loss of 6 yards to the UAB 41Similar
Q3 9:00
3RD & 10
OWN 41
+28
92.9%
Jalen Kitna pass complete to Corri Milliner for 28 yds to the MEM 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:16
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+10
91.7%
Jalen Kitna pass complete to Terrell McDonald for 10 yds to the MEM 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:40
1ST & 10
OPP 21
0
91.5%
Jalen Kitna pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 7:34
2ND & 10
OPP 21
-5
92.4%
UAB Penalty, Delay Of Game (TEAM) to the MEM 26Similar
Q3 7:31
2ND & 15
OPP 26
0
92.7%
Jalen Kitna pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 7:30
3RD & 15
OPP 26
+12
93.3%
Jalen Kitna pass complete to Kam Shanks for 12 yds to the MEM 14Similar
Q3 6:37
4TH & 3
OPP 14
+32
89.5%
Jonah Delange 32 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 17TD
14 plays · 75 yds · 6:4092% → 99%
Q3 6:36
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+17
92.3%
Seth Henigan pass complete to Roc Taylor for 17 yds to the MEM 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:01
1ST & 10
OWN 42
-2
92.8%
Mario Anderson Jr. run for a loss of 2 yards to the MEM 40Similar
Q3 5:27
2ND & 12
OWN 40
+17
92.7%
Seth Henigan pass complete to Brady Kluse for 17 yds to the UAB 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:52
1ST & 10
OPP 43
-10
93.3%
(04:52) HENIGAN, Seth pass to the right incomplete thrown to the UAB30, clock 04:47. PENALTY MEM Holding on BRELAND, Malachi enforced 10 yards from the UAB43 to the MEM47 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 4:45
1ST & 20
OWN 47
0
93.0%
Seth Henigan pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 4:37
2ND & 20
OWN 47
+1
93.0%
Seth Henigan pass complete to Roc Taylor for 1 yd to the MEM 48Similar
Q3 3:53
3RD & 19
OWN 48
+20
92.9%
Seth Henigan pass complete to Mario Anderson Jr. for 20 yds to the UAB 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:04
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+10
93.6%
Mario Anderson Jr. run for 10 yds to the UAB 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:19
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+6
94.7%
Mario Anderson Jr. run for 6 yds to the UAB 16Similar
Q3 1:39
2ND & 4
OPP 16
+6
95.1%
Mario Anderson Jr. run for 6 yds to the UAB 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:57
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
0
95.1%
Seth Henigan run for no gain to the UAB 10Similar
Q3 0:09
2ND & GOAL
OPP 10
+8
95.0%
Mario Anderson Jr. run for 8 yds to the UAB 2Similar
Q4 14:56
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
98.9%
Seth Henigan pass complete to Anthony Landphere for 2 yds for a TD (Tristian Vandenberg KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 18TD
4 plays · 75 yds · 1:322% → 9%
Q4 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+71
98.4%
Iverson Hooks pass complete to Malachi Holt-Bennett for 71 yds for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:27
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
0
97.8%
Jalen Kitna pass complete to Bryce Damous for no gain to the MEM 4Similar
Q4 14:04
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+3
98.3%
Lee Beebe Jr. run for 3 yds to the MEM 1Similar
Q4 13:23
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
90.7%
Terrell McDonald run for 1 yd for a TD (Jonah Delange KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 19TD
6 plays · 67 yds · 2:5995% → 99%
Q4 13:12
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+4
95.1%
Mario Anderson Jr. run for 4 yds to the MEM 37Similar
Q4 12:33
2ND & 6
OWN 37
+4
95.3%
Seth Henigan pass complete to Mario Anderson Jr. for 4 yds to the MEM 41Similar
Q4 12:00
3RD & 2
OWN 41
+34
95.5%
Seth Henigan pass complete to Brady Kluse for 34 yds to the UAB 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:35
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+14
95.8%
Brandon Thomas run for 14 yds to the UAB 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:54
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+8
96.1%
Brandon Thomas run for 8 yds to the UAB 3Similar
Q4 10:13
2ND & 2
OPP 3
+3
99.3%
Seth Henigan pass complete to Jamauri Chislom for 3 yds for a TD (Tristian Vandenberg KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 20PUNT
4 plays · -3 yds · 1:071% → 1%
Q4 10:11
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
98.9%
Jalen Kitna pass complete to Malachi Holt-Bennett for 3 yds to the UAB 28Similar
Q4 9:37
2ND & 7
OWN 28
-6
98.8%
Jalen Kitna pass complete to Trace Campbell for a loss of 6 yards to the UAB 22Similar
Q4 9:12
3RD & 13
OWN 22
0
98.9%
Jalen Kitna pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 9:04
4TH & 13
OWN 22
0
98.9%
Patrick Foley punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Koby Drake at the MEM 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 21TD
10 plays · 66 yds · 4:0399% → 100%
Q4 9:00
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+16
99.3%
Mario Anderson Jr. run for 16 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:16
1ST & 10
50
+7
99.4%
Mario Anderson Jr. run for 7 yds to the UAB 43Similar
Q4 7:33
2ND & 3
OPP 43
+5
99.4%
Mario Anderson Jr. run for 5 yds to the UAB 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:51
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+9
99.4%
Mario Anderson Jr. run for 9 yds to the UAB 29Similar
Q4 6:00
2ND & 1
OPP 29
+4
99.5%
Greg Desrosiers Jr. run for 4 yds to the UAB 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:16
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+5
99.5%
Greg Desrosiers Jr. run for 5 yds to the UAB 20Similar
Q4 5:08
2ND & 5
OPP 20
+9
99.6%
Mario Anderson Jr. run for 9 yds to the UAB 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:57
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+11
99.9%
Mario Anderson Jr. run for 11 yds for a TD (Tristian Vandenberg KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 22INT
9 plays · 42 yds · 2:050% → 0%
Q4 4:53
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
100.0%
Jalen Kitna pass complete to Kam Shanks for 7 yds to the UAB 32Similar
Q4 4:32
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+1
100.0%
Lee Beebe Jr. run for 1 yd to the UAB 33Similar
Q4 4:05
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+13
100.0%
Jalen Kitna pass complete to Amare Thomas for 13 yds to the UAB 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:43
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
100.0%
Jalen Kitna pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 3:38
2ND & 10
OWN 46
0
100.0%
Jalen Kitna pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 3:30
3RD & 10
OWN 46
0
100.0%
Jalen Kitna pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 3:20
4TH & 10
OWN 46
+21
100.0%
Jalen Kitna pass complete to Amare Thomas for 21 yds to the MEM 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:52
1ST & 10
OPP 33
0
100.0%
Jalen Kitna pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 2:48
2ND & 10
OPP 33
-79
100.0%
Jalen Kitna pass intercepted AJ Watts return for 79 yds to the UAB 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 23TD
5 plays · 21 yds · 1:45100% → 100%
Q4 2:28
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+7
100.0%
Makari Bodiford run for 7 yds to the UAB 14Similar
Q4 1:58
2ND & 3
OPP 14
+5
100.0%
Makari Bodiford run for 5 yds to the UAB 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:23
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+5
100.0%
Makari Bodiford run for 5 yds to the UAB 4Similar
Q4 0:43
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
100.0%
Harris Boyd run for 4 yds for a TD UAB Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Yards) to the UAB 0 (Tristian Vandenberg KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 24END OF GAME
2 plays · 7 yds · 0:270% → 0%
Q4 0:41
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
100.0%
Jalen Kitna pass complete to Solomon Beebe for 5 yds to the UAB 30Similar
Q4 0:14
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+2
100.0%
Jalen Kitna pass complete to Amare Thomas for 2 yds to the UAB 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 13:23
Terrell McDonald run for 1 yd for a TD (Jonah Delange KICK)
-7.6
TD · Q3 10:57
Seth Henigan pass complete to Greg Desrosiers Jr. for 19 yds for a TD (Tristian Vandenberg KICK)
+6.4
TD · Q2 1:55
Jalen Kitna pass complete to Kam Shanks for 10 yds for a TD (T. McDonald Run For Two-point Conversion)
-5.6
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com