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MEM

Memphis 36 at UTSA 44

UTSA
2024 · Week 10 · Nov 2, 2024 · Alamodome
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Win probability · UTSA
modelUTSA aheadMEM aheadconfidence bandkey playUTSA scoreMEM score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGTDTDTDFGTDTDFGTDFGTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 0:29 · (00:29) Kneel down by MCCOWN, Owen at UTSA48 (team loss of 1), clock 00:24.
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+33.5+16.80−16.8−33.5Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 8:42: Seth Henigan pass complete to Demeer Blankumsee for 69 yds for a TD (Caden Costa KICK) — MEM win probability +6.1 pts (now 73%) (top driver: MEM has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 1:27: Owen McCown pass complete to Patrick Overmyer for 4 yds for a TD (Tate Sandell KICK) — UTSA win probability +13.0 pts (now 45%) (top driver: UTSA has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 10:02: Owen McCown pass complete to Houston Thomas for 8 yds for a TD (Tate Sandell KICK) — UTSA win probability +13.2 pts (now 62%) (top driver: UTSA has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 6:53: Brandon High Jr. run for 2 yds for a TD (Tate Sandell KICK) — UTSA win probability +7.0 pts (now 97%) (top driver: UTSA has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 0:48: Seth Henigan pass complete to Mario Anderson Jr. for 5 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed) — MEM win probability +8.4 pts (now 12%) (top driver: MEM has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
UTSA made the numbers' call on 6 of 9MEM made the numbers' call on 6 of 8
  1. Q1 2:50MEM 4th & 4 at UTSA 4, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 62.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    62.7%
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    62.5%−0.2
    93% to make
    Punt
    60.5%−2.1
    average punt
  2. Q2 9:38UTSA 4th & 2 at UTSA 33, down 3
    Close callPunted · 37.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    38.0%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    37.9%−0.1
    average punt
  3. Q2 5:57UTSA 4th & 7 at MEM 36, down 10
    Close callKicked a field goal · 29.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    29.3%
    37% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    29.1%−0.2
    42% to make
    Punt
    28.8%−0.6
    average punt
  4. Q2 3:52MEM 4th & 1 at MEM 47, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 69.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    69.8%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    68.1%−1.7
    average punt
  5. Q2 0:28MEM 4th & 1 at UTSA 46, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 59.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    59.7%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    58.6%−1.0
    23% to make
    Punt
    58.5%−1.1
    average punt
  6. Q3 14:25UTSA 4th & 6 at UTSA 29, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 43.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    44.0%−0.8
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    44.8%
    average punt
  7. Q3 12:15MEM 4th & 22 at MEM 23, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 53.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    50.7%−5.0
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    55.8%
    average punt
  8. Q3 8:56MEM 4th & 15 at MEM 20, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 35.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    32.9%−3.3
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    36.2%
    average punt
  9. Q3 5:06UTSA 4th & 7 at MEM 15, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 70.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    68.9%−1.0
    34% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    69.9%
    83% to make
    Punt
    60.7%−9.2
    average punt
  10. Q3 4:12MEM 4th & 3 at MEM 32, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 24.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    25.4%−0.5
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    25.9%
    average punt
  11. Q3 2:07UTSA 4th & 3 at UTSA 42, up 10
    Close callPunted · 76.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    77.7%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    77.3%−0.4
    average punt
  12. Q4 13:39UTSA 4th & 1 at MEM 21, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 81.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    80.9%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    78.9%−2.0
    74% to make
    Punt
    72.5%−8.5
    average punt
  13. Q4 10:31UTSA 4th & 8 at MEM 31, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 83.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    82.6%−0.2
    34% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    82.9%
    54% to make
    Punt
    81.7%−1.2
    average punt
  14. Q4 9:38MEM 4th & 5 at MEM 36, down 10
    Close callWent for it · 12.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    13.0%−0.6
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    13.5%
    average punt
  15. Q4 5:23MEM 4th & 1 at MEM 34, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 2.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    2.8%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    2.5%−0.3
    average punt
  16. Q4 5:03UTSA 4th & 1 at MEM 25, up 17
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 97.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    97.3%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    96.6%−0.6
    66% to make
    Punt
    95.1%−2.1
    average punt
  17. Q4 2:43UTSA 4th & 10 at MEM 24, up 17
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 98.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.7%−0.2
    28% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    97.8%
    68% to make
    Punt
    96.8%−1.0
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
UTSA made the numbers' call on 5 of 5MEM made the numbers' call on 3 of 5
  1. Q1 11:37MEM Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    66.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    66.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 8:41UTSA Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    36.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    36.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 0:55UTSA Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    41.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    41.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 11:15MEM Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    61.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    61.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 8:42MEM Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    69.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    69.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 1:27UTSA Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    41.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    41.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 10:02UTSA Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    60.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    60.1%−0.2
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 6:53UTSA Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.5%−0.4
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 1:47MEM Touchdown, down 14 before the try
    Close callKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    2.5%−0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    2.6%
    45% to convert
  10. Q4 0:48MEM Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    4.9%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    4.7%−0.2
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
MEMDrive 1TD
8 plays · 75 yds · 3:2273% → 73%
Q1 14:59
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
26.8%
(14:59) HENIGAN, Seth pass deep up the middle intercepted by DUMAS, Syrus at the UTSA31 intended for BLANKUMSEE, DeMeer. Dumas return for 0 yards to the UTSA31; QB hurried by FRENCH, Martavius, End of Play, clock 14:51. PENALTY UTSA Pass Interference on DUMAS, Syrus enforced 15 yards to the MEM40 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 14:50
1ST & 15
OWN 35
+4
26.8%
Mario Anderson Jr. run for 4 yds to the MEM 39Similar
Q1 14:18
2ND & 11
OWN 39
+9
27.1%
Seth Henigan pass complete to Anthony Landphere for 9 yds to the MEM 48Similar
Q1 13:39
3RD & 2
OWN 48
+4
27.3%
Mario Anderson Jr. run for 4 yds to the UTSA 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:02
1ST & 10
OPP 48
-1
27.5%
Mario Anderson Jr. run for a loss of 1 yard to the UTSA 49Similar
Q1 12:22
2ND & 11
OPP 49
+15
27.8%
(12:22) HENIGAN, Seth pass to the right incomplete intended for DRAKE, Koby thrown to the UTSA38, clock 12:19. PENALTY UTSA Unnecessary Roughness on TAYLOR, Donyai enforced 15 yards from the UTSA49 to the UTSA34 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 12:18
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+18
27.7%
Seth Henigan pass complete to Koby Drake for 18 yds to the UTSA 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:37
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+16
27.0%
Mario Anderson Jr. run for 16 yds for a TD (Caden Costa KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 2TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 2:5527% → 30%
Q1 11:36
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
27.3%
Robert Henry run for no gain to the UTSA 25Similar
Q1 11:15
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
27.4%
Owen McCown pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:09
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+15
27.3%
(11:09) MCCOWN, Owen pass deep to the left incomplete intended for CARPENTER, Chris thrown to the MEM31, clock 11:03. PENALTY MEM Pass Interference on ROSS, Davion enforced 15 yards to the UTSA40 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 11:02
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+38
27.7%
Owen McCown pass complete to JJ Sparkman for 38 yds to the MEM 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:27
1ST & 10
OPP 22
0
28.1%
Owen McCown pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 10:24
2ND & 10
OPP 22
-5
28.1%
UTSA Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the MEM 27Similar
Q1 10:22
2ND & 15
OPP 27
+3
27.9%
Owen McCown pass complete to Chris Carpenter for 3 yds to the MEM 24Similar
Q1 9:44
3RD & 12
OPP 24
+15
28.0%
Owen McCown pass complete to Jamel Hardy for 15 yds to the MEM 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:03
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
0
28.5%
(09:03) MCCOWN, Owen pass short to the left complete for 1 yard to OVERMYER, Patrick caught at the MEM8 and advanced to the MEM8 (MARTIN, Chandler), clock 08:55. PENALTY UTSA Illegal Touch-Pass on OVERMYER, Patrick enforced 0 yards from the MEM9 to the MEM9, penalty results in a loss of down [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 8:41
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
30.4%
Owen McCown pass complete to Houston Thomas for 9 yds for a TD (Tate Sandell KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 3FG
13 plays · 71 yds · 5:5070% → 69%
Q1 8:40
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+16
29.6%
Seth Henigan pass complete to Demeer Blankumsee for 16 yds to the MEM 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:02
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+3
29.5%
Seth Henigan pass complete to Mario Anderson Jr. for 3 yds to the MEM 44Similar
Q1 7:24
2ND & 7
OWN 44
0
29.6%
Seth Henigan pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:21
3RD & 7
OWN 44
-5
29.8%
Memphis Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the MEM 39Similar
Q1 7:20
3RD & 12
OWN 39
+15
30.2%
UTSA Penalty, Personal Foul (15 Yards) to the UTSA 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:56
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+7
29.7%
Mario Anderson Jr. run for 7 yds to the UTSA 38Similar
Q1 6:18
2ND & 3
OPP 38
+3
29.9%
Seth Henigan pass complete to Roc Taylor for 3 yds to the UTSA 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:33
1ST & 10
OPP 35
-8
30.0%
Seth Henigan sacked by Jon Jones for a loss of 8 yards to the UTSA 43Similar
Q1 4:49
2ND & 18
OPP 43
+38
31.0%
Seth Henigan pass complete to Roc Taylor for 38 yds to the UTSA 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:24
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+1
30.3%
Seth Henigan run for 1 yd to the UTSA 4Similar
Q1 3:42
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
0
30.5%
Mario Anderson Jr. run for no gain to the UTSA 4Similar
Q1 2:57
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
0
31.2%
Seth Henigan pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 2:50
4TH & GOAL
OPP 4
+22
31.1%
Caden Costa 22 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 4TD
5 plays · 75 yds · 1:5431% → 36%
Q1 2:49
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
31.1%
Robert Henry run for 9 yds to the UTSA 34Similar
Q1 2:20
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+60
32.1%
Owen McCown pass complete to Chris Carpenter for 60 yds to the MEM 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:29
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
0
33.5%
Owen McCown pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 1:25
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+1
33.5%
Robert Henry run for 1 yd to the MEM 5Similar
Q1 0:55
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
36.3%
Owen McCown pass complete to Dan Dishman for 5 yds for a TD (Tate Sandell KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 5TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 4:3865% → 69%
Q1 0:53
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
35.3%
Seth Henigan pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 0:49
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+15
35.4%
Seth Henigan pass complete to Demeer Blankumsee for 15 yds to the MEM 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:14
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+8
34.8%
Mario Anderson Jr. run for 8 yds to the MEM 48Similar
Q2 14:59
2ND & 2
OWN 48
+7
34.4%
Seth Henigan pass complete to Demeer Blankumsee for 7 yds to the UTSA 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:36
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+4
34.5%
Seth Henigan pass complete to Anthony Landphere for 4 yds to the UTSA 41Similar
Q2 13:51
2ND & 6
OPP 41
+2
34.9%
Mario Anderson Jr. run for 2 yds to the UTSA 39Similar
Q2 13:08
3RD & 4
OPP 39
+7
35.5%
Seth Henigan pass complete to Jyaire Shorter for 7 yds to the UTSA 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:42
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+14
35.0%
Seth Henigan pass complete to Mario Anderson Jr. for 14 yds to the UTSA 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:58
1ST & 10
OPP 18
-3
35.2%
Arrington Maiden run for a loss of 3 yards to the UTSA 21Similar
Q2 11:15
2ND & 13
OPP 21
+21
31.1%
Seth Henigan pass complete to Demeer Blankumsee for 21 yds for a TD (Caden Costa KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 6PUNT
6 plays · 8 yds · 1:3734% → 33%
Q2 11:15
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
33.5%
UTSA Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the UTSA 20Similar
Q2 11:14
1ST & 15
OWN 20
+2
33.3%
Owen McCown run for 2 yds to the UTSA 22Similar
Q2 10:34
2ND & 13
OWN 22
0
33.5%
Owen McCown pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 10:28
3RD & 13
OWN 22
+5
32.8%
(10:28) MCCOWN, Owen pass deep to the right incomplete intended for CARPENTER, Chris broken up by ROSS, Davion at the MEM40, clock 10:22. PENALTY MEM Offsides on HERRING, Elijah enforced 5 yards from the UTSA22 to the UTSA27 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 10:21
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+6
33.0%
Owen McCown pass complete to David Amador II for 6 yds to the UTSA 33Similar
Q2 9:38
4TH & 2
OWN 33
0
33.1%
Caile Hogan punt for 50 yds, fair catch by Koby Drake at the MEM 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 7TD
2 plays · 83 yds · 0:4867% → 73%
Q2 9:30
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+14
33.3%
Seth Henigan pass complete to Demeer Blankumsee for 14 yds to the MEM 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:42
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+69
27.3%
Seth Henigan pass complete to Demeer Blankumsee for 69 yds for a TD (Caden Costa KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 8FG
7 plays · 39 yds · 2:4326% → 29%
Q2 8:40
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
26.2%
Owen McCown pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 8:35
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+4
26.1%
Robert Henry run for 4 yds to the UTSA 29Similar
Q2 7:58
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+32
25.3%
Owen McCown pass complete to Chris Carpenter for 32 yds to the MEM 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:35
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
27.3%
Owen McCown pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 7:28
2ND & 10
OPP 39
-4
27.2%
Robert Henry run for a loss of 4 yards to the MEM 43Similar
Q2 6:43
3RD & 14
OPP 43
+7
26.0%
Owen McCown run for 7 yds to the MEM 36Similar
Q2 5:57
4TH & 7
OPP 36
+54
29.1%
Tate Sandell 54 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 9DOWNS
7 plays · 22 yds · 2:0872% → 69%
Q2 5:56
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+13
27.6%
Mario Anderson Jr. run for 13 yds to the MEM 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:17
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+4
26.5%
Makari Bodiford run for 4 yds to the MEM 42Similar
Q2 4:37
2ND & 6
OWN 42
0
26.3%
Seth Henigan pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 4:33
3RD & 6
OWN 42
+5
26.6%
Seth Henigan pass complete to Roc Taylor for 5 yds to the MEM 47Similar
Q2 3:52
4TH & 1
OWN 47
0
26.3%
Mario Anderson Jr. run for no gain to the MEM 47Similar
Q2 3:48
1ST & 10
OPP 47
-10
30.6%
(03:48) HENRY, Robert rush to the right for no gain to the MEM47 (ROSS, Davion), clock 03:45. PENALTY UTSA Holding on GODINET, Cory enforced 10 yards from the MEM47 to the UTSA43 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 10TD
7 plays · 47 yds · 2:0229% → 45%
Q2 3:29
1ST & 20
OWN 43
+12
28.5%
Owen McCown pass complete to Kevorian Barnes for 12 yds to the MEM 45Similar
Q2 3:02
2ND & 8
OPP 45
+11
30.6%
(03:02) MCCOWN, Owen pass to the left incomplete intended for CARPENTER, Chris thrown to the MEM33, clock 02:58. PENALTY MEM Pass Interference on WATTS, AJ enforced at the spot of the foul for 11 yards to the MEM34 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 2:55
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+4
31.8%
Kevorian Barnes run for 4 yds to the MEM 30Similar
Q2 2:13
2ND & 6
OPP 30
+12
31.6%
Owen McCown run for 12 yds to the MEM 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:59
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+14
31.9%
Kevorian Barnes run for 14 yds to the MEM 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:27
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
44.9%
Owen McCown pass complete to Patrick Overmyer for 4 yds for a TD (Tate Sandell KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 11DOWNS
7 plays · 29 yds · 0:5763% → 64%
Q2 1:25
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+20
37.5%
Seth Henigan pass complete to Anthony Landphere for 20 yds to the MEM 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:14
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+6
35.1%
Seth Henigan run for 6 yds to the UTSA 49Similar
Q2 1:06
2ND & 4
OPP 49
-2
34.3%
Seth Henigan pass complete to Mario Anderson Jr. for a loss of 2 yards to the MEM 49Similar
Q2 0:59
3RD & 6
OWN 49
+5
35.2%
Seth Henigan pass complete to Mario Anderson Jr. for 5 yds to the UTSA 46Similar
Q2 0:28
4TH & 1
OPP 46
0
36.5%
Mario Anderson Jr. run for no gain to the UTSA 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 12MISSED FG
7 plays · 11 yds · 0:1644% → 48%
Q2 0:20
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+5
44.3%
Owen McCown pass complete to Robert Henry for 5 yds to the MEM 49Similar
Q2 0:08
2ND & 5
OPP 49
+3
47.0%
Owen McCown run for 3 yds to the MEM 46Similar
Q2 0:08
3RD & 2
OPP 46
+3
46.2%
Owen McCown pass complete to Houston Thomas for 3 yds to the MEM 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:04
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+51
47.5%
Tate Sandell 61 Yard Field Goal MissedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 13PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:3442% → 40%
Q3 14:59
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
42.3%
Robert Henry run for 4 yds to the UTSA 29Similar
Q3 14:35
2ND & 6
OWN 29
0
42.9%
Owen McCown pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 14:30
3RD & 6
OWN 29
0
41.6%
Owen McCown pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 14:25
4TH & 6
OWN 29
+12
40.2%
Caile Hogan punt for 48 yds , Koby Drake returns for 12 yds to the MEM 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 14PUNT
6 plays · -12 yds · 1:5762% → 57%
Q3 14:12
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-7
38.3%
Seth Henigan sacked by Brandon Brown for a loss of 7 yards to the MEM 28Similar
Q3 13:35
2ND & 17
OWN 28
+5
39.7%
Seth Henigan pass complete to Anthony Landphere for 5 yds to the MEM 33Similar
Q3 12:54
3RD & 12
OWN 33
-5
41.1%
Memphis Penalty, False Start (Jonah Gambill) to the MEM 28Similar
Q3 12:36
3RD & 17
OWN 28
0
41.4%
Seth Henigan pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 12:31
4TH & 17
OWN 28
-5
42.4%
(12:31) SLOAN, Joshua punt 56 yards to the UTSA16 downed by HAWKINS, Jamari, clock 12:19. PENALTY Before the snap, MEM Illegal Formation enforced 5 yards from the MEM28 to the MEM23. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 12:15
4TH & 22
OWN 23
+23
42.9%
Joshua Sloan punt for 44 yds , Chris Carpenter returns for 23 yds to the MEM 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 15TD
5 plays · 44 yds · 2:0047% → 62%
Q3 12:02
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+7
47.1%
Chris Carpenter run for 7 yds to the MEM 37Similar
Q3 11:30
2ND & 3
OPP 37
+27
47.5%
David Amador II pass complete to Dan Dishman for 27 yds to the MEM 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:50
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
0
48.9%
Owen McCown pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 10:49
2ND & GOAL
OPP 10
+2
48.9%
Kevorian Barnes run for 2 yds to the MEM 8Similar
Q3 10:02
3RD & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
62.1%
Owen McCown pass complete to Houston Thomas for 8 yds for a TD (Tate Sandell KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 16PUNT
5 plays · -5 yds · 1:0442% → 38%
Q3 10:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
58.4%
Mario Anderson Jr. run for no gain to the MEM 25Similar
Q3 9:26
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-5
59.2%
Memphis Penalty, False Start (Koby Drake) to the MEM 20Similar
Q3 9:08
2ND & 15
OWN 20
0
59.8%
Seth Henigan pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 9:01
3RD & 15
OWN 20
0
61.2%
Seth Henigan pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 8:56
4TH & 15
OWN 20
+21
62.1%
Joshua Sloan punt for 49 yds , Chris Carpenter returns for 21 yds to the MEM 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 17FG
10 plays · 33 yds · 3:3566% → 71%
Q3 8:41
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+5
66.0%
Kevorian Barnes run for 5 yds to the MEM 43Similar
Q3 8:11
2ND & 5
OPP 43
+1
68.0%
Robert Henry run for 1 yd to the MEM 42Similar
Q3 7:37
3RD & 4
OPP 42
+11
67.5%
Owen McCown pass complete to Houston Thomas for 11 yds to the MEM 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:58
1ST & 10
OPP 31
0
69.7%
Owen McCown pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 6:51
2ND & 10
OPP 31
+13
69.7%
Owen McCown pass complete to Chris Carpenter for 13 yds to the MEM 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:29
1ST & 10
OPP 18
-5
70.1%
Kevorian Barnes run for a loss of 5 yards to the MEM 23Similar
Q3 5:54
2ND & 15
OPP 23
+8
69.8%
Owen McCown pass complete to Brandon High Jr. for 8 yds to the MEM 15Similar
Q3 5:15
3RD & 7
OPP 15
0
69.4%
Owen McCown pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 5:06
4TH & 7
OPP 15
+32
70.8%
Tate Sandell 32 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 18PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 0:5930% → 28%
Q3 5:05
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
70.1%
Seth Henigan pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 5:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
71.3%
Seth Henigan pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 4:53
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+7
72.6%
Seth Henigan pass complete to Mario Anderson Jr. for 7 yds to the MEM 32Similar
Q3 4:12
4TH & 3
OWN 32
0
72.4%
Joshua Sloan punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Chris Carpenter at the UTSA 25Similar
Q3 4:06
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
71.8%
(04:06) MCCOWN, Owen pass to the right incomplete intended for CARPENTER, Chris thrown to the UTSA33; QB hurried by WHITLOW JR., William, clock 04:03. PENALTY MEM Holding on TAYLOR, Tyrin enforced 10 yards from the UTSA25 to the UTSA35 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 19PUNT
4 plays · 17 yds · 1:5572% → 74%
Q3 4:02
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+2
72.3%
Brandon High Jr. run for 2 yds to the UTSA 37Similar
Q3 3:32
2ND & 8
OWN 37
+2
73.3%
Chris Carpenter run for 2 yds to the UTSA 39Similar
Q3 2:52
3RD & 6
OWN 39
+3
73.7%
Owen McCown pass complete to Houston Thomas for 3 yds to the UTSA 42Similar
Q3 2:07
4TH & 3
OWN 42
0
73.8%
Caile Hogan punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Koby Drake at the MEM 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 20INT
5 plays · 16 yds · 1:2526% → 24%
Q3 1:59
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
73.9%
Seth Henigan pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 1:56
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+7
74.3%
Seth Henigan pass complete to Roc Taylor for 7 yds to the MEM 27Similar
Q3 1:38
3RD & 3
OWN 27
-5
73.9%
Memphis Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the MEM 22Similar
Q3 1:12
3RD & 8
OWN 22
+14
76.6%
Seth Henigan pass complete to Jamari Hawkins for 14 yds to the MEM 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:34
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-4
75.7%
Seth Henigan pass intercepted Jermarius Lewis return for 4 yds to the MEM 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 21DOWNS
5 plays · 21 yds · 1:4780% → 79%
Q3 0:26
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+12
79.6%
Owen McCown pass complete to Patrick Overmyer for 12 yds to the MEM 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:59
1ST & 10
OPP 30
-1
80.6%
Robert Henry run for a loss of 1 yard to the MEM 31Similar
Q4 14:28
2ND & 11
OPP 31
0
80.0%
Owen McCown pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 14:23
3RD & 11
OPP 31
+10
79.0%
Owen McCown pass complete to Houston Thomas for 10 yds to the MEM 21Similar
Q4 13:39
4TH & 1
OPP 21
0
79.4%
Owen McCown pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 22FUMBLE
2 plays · 31 yds · 0:2121% → 24%
Q4 13:36
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+23
79.4%
Seth Henigan run for 23 yds to the MEM 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:15
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+8
76.2%
Seth Henigan pass complete to Roc Taylor for 8 yds Roc Taylor fumbled, recovered by UTSA Syrus Dumas S. Dumas return for 0 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 23MISSED FG
8 plays · 21 yds · 2:2781% → 82%
Q4 12:58
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
81.4%
Owen McCown pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 12:54
2ND & 10
OWN 48
+5
81.1%
Kevorian Barnes run for 5 yds to the MEM 47Similar
Q4 12:18
3RD & 5
OPP 47
+4
81.8%
Owen McCown run for 4 yds to the MEM 43Similar
Q4 11:34
4TH & 1
OPP 43
+10
81.3%
(11:34) MCCOWN, Owen pass to the left incomplete intended for THOMAS, Houston thrown to the MEM29; QB hurried by MARTIN, Chandler, clock 11:30. PENALTY MEM Holding on ROSS, Davion enforced 10 yards from the MEM43 to the MEM33 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NH]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 11:28
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+2
83.6%
Kevorian Barnes run for 2 yds to the MEM 31Similar
Q4 10:46
2ND & 8
OPP 31
0
84.1%
Owen McCown pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 10:40
3RD & 8
OPP 31
0
83.4%
Owen McCown pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 10:31
4TH & 8
OPP 31
+48
81.9%
Tate Sandell 48 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 24DOWNS
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:4818% → 14%
Q4 10:26
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+5
82.4%
Seth Henigan pass complete to Koby Drake for 5 yds to the MEM 36Similar
Q4 9:50
2ND & 5
OWN 36
0
82.1%
Seth Henigan pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 9:46
3RD & 5
OWN 36
0
83.5%
Seth Henigan pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 9:38
4TH & 5
OWN 36
0
85.6%
Seth Henigan pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 25TD
5 plays · 36 yds · 2:4085% → 97%
Q4 9:33
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+2
85.3%
Brandon High Jr. run for 2 yds to the MEM 34Similar
Q4 8:57
2ND & 8
OPP 34
+23
87.8%
Owen McCown pass complete to Dan Dishman for 23 yds to the MEM 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:11
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+4
89.6%
Brandon High Jr. run for 4 yds to the MEM 7Similar
Q4 7:33
2ND & 6
OPP 7
+5
89.9%
Brandon High Jr. run for 5 yds to the MEM 2Similar
Q4 6:53
3RD & 1
OPP 2
+2
96.9%
Brandon High Jr. run for 2 yds for a TD (Tate Sandell KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 26DOWNS
4 plays · 9 yds · 1:284% → 3%
Q4 6:51
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-8
95.7%
Seth Henigan sacked by Vic Shaw for a loss of 8 yards to the MEM 17Similar
Q4 6:24
2ND & 18
OWN 17
+8
96.1%
Seth Henigan pass complete to Koby Drake for 8 yds to the MEM 25Similar
Q4 5:52
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+9
96.4%
Seth Henigan pass complete to Jamari Hawkins for 9 yds to the MEM 34Similar
Q4 5:23
4TH & 1
OWN 34
0
96.8%
Seth Henigan pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 27FG
12 plays · 10 yds · 2:3698% → 100%
Q4 5:19
1ST & 10
OPP 34
0
97.7%
Brandon High Jr. run for no gain to the MEM 34Similar
Q4 5:14
2ND & 10
OPP 34
0
98.0%
Owen McCown pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 5:08
3RD & 10
OPP 34
+9
97.9%
Brandon High Jr. run for 9 yds to the MEM 25Similar
Q4 5:03
4TH & 1
OPP 25
+1
98.8%
Brandon High Jr. run for 1 yd to the MEM 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:25
1ST & 10
OPP 24
0
99.2%
Kevorian Barnes run for no gain to the MEM 24Similar
Q4 4:19
2ND & 10
OPP 24
-1
99.3%
Kevorian Barnes run for a loss of 1 yard to the MEM 25Similar
Q4 3:35
3RD & 11
OPP 25
+1
99.3%
Kevorian Barnes run for 1 yd to the MEM 24Similar
Q4 2:43
4TH & 10
OPP 24
+42
99.8%
Tate Sandell 42 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 28TD
6 plays · 75 yds · 0:551% → 4%
Q4 2:42
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+13
99.5%
Seth Henigan pass complete to Roc Taylor for 13 yds to the MEM 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:26
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+24
99.5%
Seth Henigan pass complete to Anthony Landphere for 24 yds to the UTSA 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:03
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+3
99.4%
Seth Henigan pass complete to Mario Anderson Jr. for 3 yds to the UTSA 35Similar
Q4 1:59
2ND & 7
OPP 35
+11
99.2%
Seth Henigan pass complete to Anthony Landphere for 11 yds to the UTSA 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:47
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+24
96.2%
Seth Henigan pass complete to Koby Drake for 24 yds for a TD (Caden Costa PAT MISSED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 29TD
6 plays · 50 yds · 0:563% → 12%
Q4 1:44
1ST & 10
50
0
97.2%
Seth Henigan pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:37
2ND & 10
50
+25
97.3%
Seth Henigan pass complete to Roc Taylor for 25 yds to the UTSA 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:26
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+12
96.3%
Seth Henigan pass complete to Roc Taylor for 12 yds to the UTSA 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:20
1ST & 10
OPP 13
0
96.3%
Seth Henigan pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:14
2ND & 10
OPP 13
+8
96.4%
Seth Henigan pass complete to Koby Drake for 8 yds to the UTSA 5Similar
Q4 0:48
3RD & 2
OPP 5
+5
88.0%
Seth Henigan pass complete to Mario Anderson Jr. for 5 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 30END OF GAME
2 plays · -2 yds · 0:1799% → 99%
Q4 0:46
1ST & 10
50
-1
98.9%
(00:46) Kneel down by MCCOWN, Owen at UTSA49 (team loss of 1), clock 00:42.Similar
Q4 0:29
2ND & 11
OWN 49
-1
98.9%
(00:29) Kneel down by MCCOWN, Owen at UTSA48 (team loss of 1), clock 00:24.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 10:02
Owen McCown pass complete to Houston Thomas for 8 yds for a TD (Tate Sandell KICK)
+13.2
TD · Q2 1:27
Owen McCown pass complete to Patrick Overmyer for 4 yds for a TD (Tate Sandell KICK)
+13
TD · Q4 0:48
Seth Henigan pass complete to Mario Anderson Jr. for 5 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed)
-8.4
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com