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TLSA

Tulsa 21 at UAB 59

UAB
2024 · Week 10 · Nov 2, 2024 · Protective Stadium
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Win probability · UAB
modelUAB aheadTLSA aheadconfidence bandkey playUAB scoreTLSA score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDFGFGTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 1:26 · Angus Davies punt for 48 yds
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialBlowout marginGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsPregame prior
+36.5+18.30−18.3−36.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 39Home team on offense+8.7Score differential+5.7Blowout margin+0.5Garbage-time factor+0.9Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+1.8Pregame prior+4.2
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 12:44: Harrison Barker pass complete to Armoni Goodwin for 20 yds for a TD (Jonah Delange KICK) — UAB win probability +1.0 pts (now 57%) (top driver: UAB has the ball).
  2. TD · Q1 8:51: Jalen Kitna pass complete to Bryce Damous for 14 yds for a TD (Jonah Delange KICK) — UAB win probability +2.3 pts (now 61%) (top driver: UAB has the ball).
  3. TD · Q1 3:13: Jalen Kitna pass complete to Amare Thomas for 16 yds for a TD (Jonah Delange KICK) — UAB win probability +5.0 pts (now 72%) (top driver: UAB has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 14:50: Jalen Kitna pass complete to Kam Shanks for 67 yds for a TD Tulsa Penalty, Defensive Holding (Myles Jackson) declined (Jonah Delange KICK) — UAB win probability +9.2 pts (now 85%) (top driver: UAB has the ball).
  5. FG · Q2 9:07: Jonah Delange 52 yd FG GOOD — TLSA win probability +1.7 pts (now 12%) (top driver: UAB has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
UAB made the numbers' call on 6 of 6TLSA made the numbers' call on 10 of 12
  1. Q1 6:18TLSA 4th & 7 at UAB 48, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 35.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    35.3%−0.2
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    35.5%
    average punt
  2. Q1 3:57UAB 4th & 15 at UAB 15, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 66.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    65.7%−1.7
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    67.4%
    average punt
  3. Q1 1:26TLSA 4th & 10 at TLSA 25, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 23.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    23.5%−0.9
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    24.4%
    average punt
  4. Q2 11:32TLSA 4th & 5 at TLSA 31, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 10.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.7%−1.2
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    11.9%
    average punt
  5. Q2 9:07UAB 4th & 15 at TLSA 34, up 28
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 90.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    89.5%−1.2
    17% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    90.7%
    47% to make
    Punt
    90.0%−0.7
    average punt
  6. Q2 7:30TLSA 4th & 10 at TLSA 10, down 31
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 8.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.3%−0.1
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    8.3%
    average punt
  7. Q2 6:05TLSA 4th & 10 at TLSA 32, down 38
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 4.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.9%−0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.0%
    average punt
  8. Q2 6:05TLSA 4th & 10 at TLSA 32, down 38
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 4.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.9%−0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.0%
    average punt
  9. Q2 1:24TLSA 4th & 4 at UAB 4, down 45
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 3.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    3.8%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    3.7%−<0.1
    93% to make
    Punt
    3.3%−0.4
    average punt
  10. Q2 1:00UAB 4th & 5 at UAB 7, up 45
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 97.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.7%−0.1
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    97.8%
    average punt
  11. Q2 0:24TLSA 4th & 5 at UAB 20, down 45
    Close callWent for it · 3.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    2.9%−0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    3.0%
    75% to make
    Punt
    2.7%−0.3
    average punt
  12. Q3 10:39TLSA 4th & 7 at UAB 44, down 38
    Close callWent for it · 1.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.2%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    1.1%−0.1
    27% to make
    Punt
    1.2%
    average punt
  13. Q3 4:55TLSA 4th & 9 at midfield, down 38
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.5%−<0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.5%
    average punt
  14. Q3 1:00UAB 4th & 4 at TLSA 48, up 38
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.7%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    99.7%−<0.1
    average punt
  15. Q4 11:56TLSA 4th & 4 at UAB 16, down 45
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.2%
    46% to convert
    Field goal
    0.2%−<0.1
    81% to make
    Punt
    -0.2%−0.3
    average punt
  16. Q4 9:27UAB 4th & 8 at UAB 40, up 45
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.8%−<0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.8%
    average punt
  17. Q4 5:34TLSA 4th & 23 at TLSA 26, down 45
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    -0.0%−0.1
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  18. Q4 1:49UAB 4th & 6 at TLSA 24, up 45
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 100.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%−<0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.9%
    68% to make
    Punt
    99.6%−0.3
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
UAB made the numbers' call on 7 of 7TLSA made the numbers' call on 2 of 3
  1. Q1 12:44UAB Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    59.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    59.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 8:51UAB Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    62.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    62.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 3:13UAB Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    75.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    75.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 14:50UAB Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    88.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    88.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 2:25UAB Touchdown, up 44 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 0:17TLSA Touchdown, down 39 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    2.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    2.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 8:47TLSA Touchdown, down 32 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    1.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    1.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q3 7:30UAB Touchdown, up 37 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q3 1:00UAB Touchdown, up 44 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  10. Q4 0:24TLSA Touchdown, down 39 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.0%−<0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.0%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
UABDrive 1TD
6 plays · 75 yds · 2:0955% → 57%
Q1 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
55.4%
Lee Beebe Jr. run for 1 yd to the UAB 26Similar
Q1 14:29
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+15
55.5%
Jalen Kitna pass complete to Amare Thomas for 15 yds to the UAB 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:03
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+2
55.6%
Lee Beebe Jr. run for 2 yds to the UAB 43Similar
Q1 13:21
2ND & 8
OWN 43
+37
55.7%
Jalen Kitna pass complete to Dallas Payne for 37 yds to the TLSA 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:44
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+20
56.8%
Harrison Barker pass complete to Armoni Goodwin for 20 yds for a TD (Jonah Delange KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TLSADrive 2PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 0:1544% → 43%
Q1 12:33
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
56.5%
Grayson Tempest run for 4 yds to the TLSA 29Similar
Q1 12:22
2ND & 6
OWN 29
0
56.5%
Cooper Legas pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:18
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+4
56.7%
Cooper Legas pass complete to Grayson Tempest for 4 yds to the TLSA 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 3TD
7 plays · 47 yds · 2:5957% → 61%
Q1 11:50
1ST & 10
OPP 47
-5
57.3%
PENALTY UAB False Start (Damous,Bryce) 5 yards from TULSA47 to UAB48. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 11:43
1ST & 15
OWN 48
+10
57.1%
Tulsa Penalty, Defensive Holding (Dayne Hodge) to the TLSA 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:23
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+6
57.5%
Jalen Kitna pass complete to Malachi Holt-Bennett for 6 yds to the TLSA 24Similar
Q1 10:39
2ND & 4
OPP 24
+2
58.0%
Lee Beebe Jr. run for 2 yds to the TLSA 22Similar
Q1 10:03
3RD & 2
OPP 22
+7
58.2%
Jalen Kitna run for 7 yds to the TLSA 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:29
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+1
58.7%
Lee Beebe Jr. run for 1 yd to the TLSA 14Similar
Q1 8:51
2ND & 9
OPP 14
+14
61.0%
Jalen Kitna pass complete to Bryce Damous for 14 yds for a TD (Jonah Delange KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TLSADrive 4PUNT
9 plays · 27 yds · 2:2540% → 37%
Q1 8:43
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
60.4%
Cooper Legas run for 3 yds to the TLSA 28Similar
Q1 8:20
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+10
60.6%
Bill Jackson run for 10 yds to the TLSA 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:53
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
61.1%
Cooper Legas pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:41
2ND & 10
OWN 38
+11
61.4%
Bill Jackson run for 11 yds to the TLSA 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:26
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+3
61.3%
Bill Jackson run for 3 yds to the UAB 48Similar
Q1 6:46
2ND & 7
OPP 48
0
61.8%
Cooper Legas pass complete to Viron Ellison Jr. for no gain to the UAB 48Similar
Q1 6:27
3RD & 7
OPP 48
0
62.1%
Cooper Legas pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 6:18
4TH & 7
OPP 48
0
62.6%
Angus Davies punt for 48 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 5PUNT
6 plays · -5 yds · 2:1864% → 65%
Q1 6:15
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
63.7%
Jalen Kitna pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 5:46
2ND & 10
OWN 20
-5
64.1%
(06:05) No Huddle-Shotgun Kitna,Jalen rush middle for 4 yards gain to the UAB24 fumbled by Kitna,Jalen at UAB24 recovered by UAB Morgan,JonDarius at UAB24, End Of Play PENALTY UAB Illegal Formation 5 yards from UAB20 to UAB15. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 4:35
2ND & 15
OWN 15
+4
65.1%
Jalen Kitna pass complete to Amare Thomas for 4 yds to the UAB 19Similar
Q1 4:21
3RD & 11
OWN 19
+1
64.8%
Jalen Kitna pass complete to Dallas Payne for 1 yd to the UAB 20Similar
Q1 3:58
4TH & 10
OWN 20
-5
64.7%
PENALTY UAB Illegal Snap (Moser,Caleb) 5 yards from UAB20 to UAB15. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 3:57
4TH & 15
OWN 15
+68
64.8%
Noah Grant punt for 50 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 6TD
2 plays · 17 yds · 0:3267% → 72%
Q1 3:45
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+1
66.6%
Harrison Barker run for 1 yd to the TLSA 16Similar
Q1 3:13
2ND & 9
OPP 16
+16
71.5%
Jalen Kitna pass complete to Amare Thomas for 16 yds for a TD (Jonah Delange KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TLSADrive 7PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 1:3928% → 25%
Q1 3:05
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
72.1%
Bill Jackson run for 2 yds to the TLSA 23Similar
Q1 2:37
2ND & 12
OWN 23
+4
73.0%
Cooper Legas run for 4 yds to the TLSA 27Similar
Q1 2:02
3RD & 8
OWN 27
-2
73.8%
Cooper Legas pass complete to Kamdyn Benjamin for a loss of 2 yards to the TLSA 25Similar
Q1 1:26
4TH & 10
OWN 25
0
74.6%
Angus Davies punt for 48 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 8TD
6 plays · 73 yds · 1:2873% → 85%
Q1 1:18
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+1
73.2%
Lee Beebe Jr. run for 1 yd to the UAB 28Similar
Q1 0:47
2ND & 9
OWN 28
0
73.8%
Jalen Kitna pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 0:29
3RD & 9
OWN 28
+13
73.7%
Jalen Kitna pass complete to Lee Beebe Jr. for 13 yds to the UAB 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 41
-8
75.8%
Jalen Kitna sacked by Elijah Wilson for a loss of 8 yards to the UAB 33Similar
Q2 14:50
2ND & 18
OWN 33
+67
85.0%
Jalen Kitna pass complete to Kam Shanks for 67 yds for a TD Tulsa Penalty, Defensive Holding (Myles Jackson) declined (Jonah Delange KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TLSADrive 9PUNT
9 plays · 19 yds · 3:0314% → 12%
Q2 14:35
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+9
85.9%
Lloyd Avant run for 9 yds to the TLSA 21Similar
Q2 14:08
2ND & 1
OWN 21
0
85.8%
Cooper Legas pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:04
3RD & 1
OWN 21
+5
86.1%
(14:08) No Huddle-Shotgun Avant,Lloyd rush middle for 3 yards gain to the TULSA24 (Smalls,Eamon) PENALTY UAB Offside (Maddox,Adrian) 5 yards from TULSA21 to TULSA26, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 13:42
1ST & 10
OWN 26
-13
86.9%
(13:50) No Huddle-Shotgun Legas,Cooper pass complete short right to Avant,Lloyd caught at TULSA25, for 1 yard to the TULSA27 (Bryant,Sirad) PENALTY TULSA Personal Foul (Burnett,Reynard) 13 yards from TULSA26 to TULSA13. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 13:16
1ST & 23
OWN 13
+8
88.0%
Cooper Legas pass complete to Kamdyn Benjamin for 8 yds to the TLSA 21Similar
Q2 12:59
2ND & 15
OWN 21
+1
88.3%
Cooper Legas run for 1 yd to the TLSA 20Similar
Q2 12:32
3RD & 16
OWN 20
+5
88.8%
(12:37) No Huddle-Shotgun Legas,Cooper pass incomplete short right to Williams,Joseph thrown to TULSA35 broken up by Watson,Tariq PENALTY UAB Offside (Little,Desmond) 5 yards from TULSA20 to TULSA25. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 12:19
3RD & 11
OWN 25
+6
88.5%
Cooper Legas pass complete to Luke McGary for 6 yds to the TLSA 31Similar
Q2 11:32
4TH & 5
OWN 31
+34
88.5%
Angus Davies punt for 54 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the UAB 49 , Kam Shanks returns for 34 yds to the UAB 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 10FG
7 plays · 17 yds · 2:1789% → 88%
Q2 11:24
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+6
89.0%
Lee Beebe Jr. run for 6 yds to the TLSA 45Similar
Q2 11:03
2ND & 4
OPP 45
+16
89.3%
Lee Beebe Jr. run for 16 yds to the TLSA 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:43
1ST & 10
OPP 29
0
89.6%
Jalen Kitna pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 10:30
2ND & 10
OPP 29
-1
89.7%
Jalen Kitna pass complete to Kam Shanks for a loss of 1 yard to the TLSA 30Similar
Q2 9:48
3RD & 11
OPP 30
-4
90.1%
Jalen Kitna sacked by Vontroy Malone for a loss of 4 yards to the TLSA 34Similar
Q2 9:07
4TH & 15
OPP 34
+52
88.4%
Jonah Delange 52 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TLSADrive 11PUNT RETURN TD
4 plays · 0 yds · 1:2210% → 5%
Q2 8:52
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+2
89.8%
Bill Jackson run for 2 yds to the TLSA 12Similar
Q2 8:29
2ND & 8
OWN 12
-6
90.1%
Cooper Legas sacked by James Smyre for a loss of 6 yards to the TLSA 6Similar
Q2 8:16
3RD & 14
OWN 6
+4
90.5%
Bill Jackson run for 4 yds to the TLSA 10Similar
Q2 7:30
4TH & 10
OWN 10
+58
95.1%
Angus Davies punt for 48 yds , Kam Shanks returns for 58 yds for a TD (Jonah Delange KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TLSADrive 12PUNT
9 plays · 14 yds · 1:075% → 4%
Q2 7:12
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+5
95.1%
Viron Ellison Jr. run for 5 yds to the TLSA 23Similar
Q2 6:56
2ND & 5
OWN 23
+4
95.6%
Viron Ellison Jr. run for 4 yds to the TLSA 27Similar
Q2 6:34
3RD & 1
OWN 27
+5
95.3%
Viron Ellison Jr. run for 5 yds to the TLSA 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:25
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
95.4%
Cooper Legas pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 6:20
2ND & 10
OWN 32
0
95.6%
Cooper Legas pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 6:15
3RD & 10
OWN 32
0
95.7%
Cooper Legas pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 6:05
4TH & 10
OWN 32
+10
95.8%
Angus Davies punt for 48 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the UAB 30 , Kam Shanks returns for 10 yds to the UAB 30Similar
Q2 6:05
4TH & 10
OWN 32
+10
95.8%
Angus Davies punt for 48 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the UAB 30 , Kam Shanks returns for 10 yds to the UAB 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 13TD
8 plays · 70 yds · 3:3395% → 98%
Q2 5:58
1ST & 10
OWN 30
-5
95.0%
(06:01) No Huddle-Shotgun Beebe Jr.,Lee rush middle for 5 yards gain to the UAB35 (Potter,Gavin; Williams,Zach) PENALTY UAB Illegal Formation (Yates,Quez) 5 yards from UAB30 to UAB25. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 5:26
1ST & 15
OWN 25
+3
95.2%
Jalen Kitna pass complete to Dallas Payne for 3 yds to the UAB 28Similar
Q2 5:03
2ND & 12
OWN 28
0
95.4%
Jalen Kitna pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 4:47
3RD & 12
OWN 28
+24
95.5%
Jalen Kitna pass complete to Xavier Daisy for 24 yds to the TLSA 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:12
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+4
96.1%
Solomon Beebe run for 4 yds to the TLSA 44Similar
Q2 3:21
2ND & 6
OPP 44
+12
96.7%
Jalen Kitna pass complete to Corri Milliner for 12 yds to the TLSA 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:55
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+17
96.9%
Jalen Kitna pass complete to Amare Thomas for 17 yds to the TLSA 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:25
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+15
97.6%
Jalen Kitna pass complete to Amare Thomas for 15 yds for a TD (Jonah Delange KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TLSADrive 14INT
10 plays · 71 yds · 0:472% → 4%
Q2 2:11
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+25
97.6%
Cooper Legas pass complete to Joseph Williams for 25 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:58
1ST & 10
50
+1
97.5%
Cooper Legas run for 1 yd to the UAB 49Similar
Q2 1:50
2ND & 9
OPP 49
+40
97.6%
Cooper Legas pass complete to Joseph Williams for 40 yds to the UAB 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:43
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+1
97.1%
Cooper Legas run for 1 yd to the UAB 10Similar
Q2 1:41
2ND & GOAL
OPP 10
0
97.4%
Cooper Legas run for no gain to the UAB 10Similar
Q2 1:31
3RD & GOAL
OPP 10
+6
97.6%
Cooper Legas pass complete to Grayson Tempest for 6 yds to the UAB 4Similar
Q2 1:24
4TH & GOAL
OPP 4
0
96.0%
Cooper Legas pass intercepted AJ Brown return for no gain to the UAB 2Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 15PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:1898% → 97%
Q2 1:18
1ST & 10
OWN 2
0
97.7%
Jalen Kitna pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:14
2ND & 10
OWN 2
+5
97.7%
Jalen Kitna pass complete to Kam Shanks for 5 yds to the UAB 7Similar
Q2 1:10
3RD & 5
OWN 7
0
97.5%
Jalen Kitna pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:00
4TH & 5
OWN 7
+10
97.4%
Noah Grant punt for 53 yds , Zach Williams returns for 10 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TLSADrive 16TD
7 plays · 50 yds · 0:352% → 3%
Q2 0:52
1ST & 10
50
-4
97.8%
Cooper Legas pass complete to Bill Jackson for a loss of 4 yards to the TLSA 46Similar
Q2 0:46
2ND & 14
OWN 46
+29
98.0%
Cooper Legas pass complete to Ethan Hall for 29 yds to the UAB 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:41
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
97.5%
Cooper Legas pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:36
2ND & 10
OPP 25
0
97.6%
Cooper Legas pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:30
3RD & 10
OPP 25
+5
97.7%
Cooper Legas pass complete to Kamdyn Benjamin for 5 yds to the UAB 20Similar
Q2 0:24
4TH & 5
OPP 20
+7
96.8%
Cooper Legas pass complete to Joseph Williams for 7 yds to the UAB 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:17
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+13
97.1%
Cooper Legas pass complete to Joseph Williams for 13 yds for a TD (Seth Morgan KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 17END OF HALF
2 plays · 2 yds · 0:0098% → 98%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+2
97.7%
Solomon Beebe run for 2 yds to the UAB 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TLSADrive 18TD
18 plays · 75 yds · 5:592% → 1%
Q3 14:46
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
97.9%
Cooper Legas run for 4 yds to the TLSA 21Similar
Q3 14:26
2ND & 14
OWN 21
+2
98.1%
Viron Ellison Jr. run for 2 yds to the TLSA 23Similar
Q3 13:53
3RD & 12
OWN 23
+19
98.2%
Cooper Legas pass complete to Kamdyn Benjamin for 19 yds to the TLSA 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:35
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+8
98.1%
Cooper Legas pass complete to Kamdyn Benjamin for 8 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 13:14
2ND & 2
50
-5
98.2%
PENALTY TULSA False Start (Tanner,Jack) 5 yards from TULSA50 to TULSA45. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 12:52
2ND & 7
OWN 45
+4
98.4%
Grayson Tempest run for 4 yds to the TLSA 49Similar
Q3 12:35
3RD & 3
OWN 49
+4
98.4%
Viron Ellison Jr. run for 4 yds to the UAB 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:06
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
98.5%
Cooper Legas pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 11:59
2ND & 10
OPP 47
+4
98.6%
Bill Jackson run for 4 yds to the UAB 43Similar
Q3 11:19
3RD & 6
OPP 43
-1
98.6%
Cooper Legas pass complete to Jacob Emmers for a loss of 1 yard to the UAB 44Similar
Q3 10:39
4TH & 7
OPP 44
+12
98.8%
Cooper Legas pass complete to Joseph Williams for 12 yds to the UAB 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:25
1ST & 10
OPP 32
0
98.6%
Cooper Legas pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 10:17
2ND & 10
OPP 32
+6
98.7%
Viron Ellison Jr. run for 6 yds to the UAB 26Similar
Q3 10:00
3RD & 4
OPP 26
+4
98.7%
Cooper Legas pass complete to Viron Ellison Jr. for 4 yds to the UAB 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:33
1ST & 10
OPP 22
0
98.7%
Cooper Legas pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 9:22
2ND & 10
OPP 22
+6
98.8%
Joseph Williams run for 6 yds to the UAB 16Similar
Q3 8:47
3RD & 4
OPP 16
+16
98.7%
Cooper Legas pass complete to Bill Jackson for 16 yds for a TD (Seth Morgan KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 19TD
4 plays · 55 yds · 0:5299% → 99%
Q3 8:22
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+15
99.2%
Jalen Kitna pass complete to Bryce Damous for 15 yds to the TLSA 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:03
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+6
99.2%
Jalen Kitna pass complete to Malachi Holt-Bennett for 6 yds to the TLSA 34Similar
Q3 7:30
2ND & 4
OPP 34
+34
99.3%
Jalen Kitna pass complete to Kam Shanks for 34 yds for a TD (Jonah Delange KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TLSADrive 20PUNT
8 plays · 25 yds · 2:271% → 1%
Q3 7:22
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
99.3%
Lloyd Avant run for 4 yds to the TLSA 29Similar
Q3 6:58
2ND & 6
OWN 29
0
99.3%
Cooper Legas run for no gain to the TLSA 29Similar
Q3 6:27
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+20
99.4%
Cooper Legas pass complete to Kamdyn Benjamin for 20 yds to the TLSA 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:10
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
99.4%
Cooper Legas pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 5:57
2ND & 10
OWN 49
0
99.4%
Lloyd Avant run for no gain to the TLSA 49Similar
Q3 5:22
3RD & 10
OWN 49
0
99.5%
Tulsa Penalty, Illegal Formation (Yards) declinedSimilar
Q3 4:55
4TH & 9
50
0
99.5%
Angus Davies punt for 34 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 21TD
10 plays · 84 yds · 3:46100% → 100%
Q3 4:46
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+4
99.5%
Lee Beebe Jr. run for 4 yds to the UAB 20Similar
Q3 4:10
2ND & 6
OWN 20
+10
99.5%
Jalen Kitna pass complete to Corri Milliner for 10 yds to the UAB 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:56
1ST & 10
OWN 30
-10
99.5%
(03:58) No Huddle-Shotgun Beebe Jr.,Lee rush middle for 4 yards gain to the UAB34 (Wilson,Elijah) PENALTY UAB Holding (Perez,Calib) 10 yards from UAB30 to UAB20. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 3:22
1ST & 20
OWN 20
+9
99.5%
Jalen Kitna pass complete to Lee Beebe Jr. for 9 yds to the UAB 29Similar
Q3 2:45
2ND & 11
OWN 29
+17
99.6%
Jalen Kitna pass complete to Corri Milliner for 17 yds to the UAB 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:22
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+2
99.6%
Lee Beebe Jr. run for 2 yds to the UAB 44Similar
Q3 1:49
2ND & 12
OWN 44
+8
99.6%
Jalen Kitna run for 8 yds to the TLSA 48Similar
Q3 1:11
3RD & 4
OPP 48
0
99.7%
Jalen Kitna pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 1:00
4TH & 4
OPP 48
+48
99.7%
Jalen Kitna pass complete to Kam Shanks for 48 yds for a TD (Jonah Delange KICK)Similar
Q3 1:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+15
99.7%
PENALTY TULSA UNS: Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Carlisle,Tyree) 15 yards from UAB35 to UAB50. NO PLAY.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TLSADrive 22DOWNS
12 plays · 59 yds · 3:540% → 0%
Q3 0:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
99.8%
Cooper Legas run for 3 yds to the TLSA 28Similar
Q3 0:31
2ND & 7
OWN 28
0
99.8%
Cooper Legas pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 0:24
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+15
99.8%
(00:24) No Huddle-Shotgun Legas,Cooper pass incomplete deep left to Smith,Corey thrown to UAB45 PENALTY UAB Pass Interference (Thornton III,Ray) 15 yards from TULSA28 to TULSA43, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+4
99.8%
Cooper Legas run for 4 yds to the TLSA 47Similar
Q4 14:54
2ND & 6
OWN 47
0
99.8%
Cooper Legas pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 14:35
3RD & 6
OWN 47
+15
99.8%
Cooper Legas pass complete to Joseph Williams for 15 yds to the UAB 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:10
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+16
99.8%
Viron Ellison Jr. run for 16 yds to the UAB 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:22
1ST & 10
OPP 22
0
99.8%
Lloyd Avant run for no gain to the UAB 22Similar
Q4 12:54
2ND & 10
OPP 22
+4
99.8%
Viron Ellison Jr. run for 4 yds to the UAB 18Similar
Q4 12:21
3RD & 6
OPP 18
+2
99.8%
Bill Jackson run for 2 yds to the UAB 16Similar
Q4 11:56
4TH & 4
OPP 16
0
99.8%
Cooper Legas pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 23PUNT
5 plays · 24 yds · 2:20100% → 100%
Q4 11:47
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+22
99.8%
Jalen Kitna pass complete to Amare Thomas for 22 yds to the UAB 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:09
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+3
99.8%
Lee Beebe Jr. run for 3 yds to the UAB 41Similar
Q4 10:29
2ND & 7
OWN 41
+4
99.9%
Kam Shanks run for 4 yds to the UAB 45 Kam Shanks fumbled, recovered by UABSimilar
Q4 10:03
3RD & 3
OWN 45
-5
99.9%
Jalen Kitna pass complete to Amare Thomas for a loss of 5 yards to the UAB 40Similar
Q4 9:27
4TH & 8
OWN 40
0
99.9%
Patrick Foley punt for 41 yds for a 1ST down , Kamdyn Benjamin returns for no gain to the TLSA 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TLSADrive 24PUNT
8 plays · -2 yds · 3:440% → 0%
Q4 9:18
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+3
99.9%
Lloyd Avant run for 3 yds to the TLSA 31Similar
Q4 8:55
2ND & 7
OWN 31
+5
99.9%
Cooper Legas run for 5 yds to the TLSA 36Similar
Q4 8:09
3RD & 2
OWN 36
+3
99.9%
Lloyd Avant run for 3 yds to the TLSA 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:48
1ST & 10
OWN 39
-5
99.9%
PENALTY TULSA False Start (Ford,Jackson) 5 yards from TULSA39 to TULSA34. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 7:20
1ST & 15
OWN 34
+4
99.9%
Lloyd Avant run for 4 yds to the TLSA 38Similar
Q4 6:29
2ND & 11
OWN 38
-7
99.9%
Cooper Legas sacked by Ezra Odinjor for a loss of 7 yards to the TLSA 31 Cooper Legas fumbled, recovered by TLSA Rey Burnett , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q4 6:12
3RD & 18
OWN 31
-5
99.9%
Cooper Legas sacked by Desmond Little for a loss of 5 yards to the TLSA 26Similar
Q4 5:34
4TH & 23
OWN 26
0
99.9%
Angus Davies punt for 51 yds, fair catch by Kam Shanks at the UAB 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 25MISSED FG
9 plays · 53 yds · 3:35100% → 100%
Q4 5:24
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+23
99.9%
Armoni Goodwin run for 23 yds to the UAB 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:41
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
99.9%
Landry Lyddy pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 4:36
2ND & 10
OWN 46
0
99.9%
Landry Lyddy pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 4:23
3RD & 10
OWN 46
+11
99.9%
Landry Lyddy run for 11 yds to the TLSA 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:56
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+15
99.9%
Kam Shanks run for 15 yds to the TLSA 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:21
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+4
99.9%
Solomon Beebe run for 4 yds to the TLSA 24Similar
Q4 2:20
2ND & 6
OPP 24
0
100.0%
Landry Lyddy pass complete to Amare Thomas for no gain to the TLSA 24Similar
Q4 1:54
3RD & 6
OPP 24
0
100.0%
Landry Lyddy pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:49
4TH & 6
OPP 24
+42
100.0%
Jonah Delange 42 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TLSADrive 26TD
9 plays · 76 yds · 1:190% → 0%
Q4 1:43
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+9
100.0%
Tim Carpenter run for 9 yds to the TLSA 33Similar
Q4 1:37
2ND & 1
OWN 33
+11
100.0%
Viron Ellison Jr. run for 11 yds to the TLSA 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:19
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+2
100.0%
Viron Ellison Jr. run for 2 yds to the TLSA 46Similar
Q4 1:00
2ND & 8
OWN 46
+15
100.0%
(01:03) No Huddle-Shotgun Carpenter,Tim pass incomplete deep right to Williams,Joseph thrown to UAB24 PENALTY UAB Pass Interference (Bashir,Nasir) 15 yards from TULSA46 to UAB39, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 0:53
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+4
100.0%
Jacob Emmers run for 4 yds to the UAB 35Similar
Q4 0:46
2ND & 6
OPP 35
+2
100.0%
Viron Ellison Jr. run for 2 yds to the UAB 33Similar
Q4 0:35
3RD & 4
OPP 33
+27
100.0%
Tim Carpenter run for 27 yds to the UAB 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:29
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
0
100.0%
Tim Carpenter pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:24
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
99.9%
Tim Carpenter pass complete to Corey Smith for 6 yds for a TD (Seth Morgan KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TLSADrive 27END OF GAME
5 plays · 18 yds · 0:150% → 0%
Q4 0:15
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
100.0%
Tim Carpenter pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:09
2ND & 10
OWN 42
+6
100.0%
Tim Carpenter run for 6 yds to the TLSA 48Similar
Q4 0:00
3RD & 4
OWN 48
+12
100.0%
Viron Ellison Jr. run for 12 yds to the UAB 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 14:50
Jalen Kitna pass complete to Kam Shanks for 67 yds for a TD Tulsa Penalty, Defensive Holding (Myles Jackson) declined (Jonah Delange KICK)
+9.2
TD · Q1 3:13
Jalen Kitna pass complete to Amare Thomas for 16 yds for a TD (Jonah Delange KICK)
+5
TD · Q1 8:51
Jalen Kitna pass complete to Bryce Damous for 14 yds for a TD (Jonah Delange KICK)
+2.3
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com