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USF

South Florida 44 at Florida Atlantic 21

FAU
2024 · Week 10 · Nov 1, 2024 · FAU Stadium
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Win probability · FAU
modelFAU aheadUSF aheadconfidence bandkey playFAU scoreUSF score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDFGTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 14:09 · Logan Lupo punt for 56 yds for a 1ST down , Sean Atkins returns for 5 yds to the USF 39 for a 1ST down
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+54.5+27.30−27.3−54.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 108Home team on offense+6.3Pregame prior−7.1Score differential+1.8Garbage-time factor+1.7Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+1.7Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−0.2
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 7:48: Nay'Quan Wright run for 64 yds for a TD (John Cannon KICK) — USF win probability +11.7 pts (now 60%) (top driver: USF has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 12:30: Bryce Archie run for 1 yd for a TD (John Cannon KICK) — USF win probability +14.1 pts (now 59%) (top driver: USF has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 10:25: Cam Fancher pass complete to CJ Campbell Jr. for 63 yds for a TD (Morgan Suarez KICK) — FAU win probability +16.1 pts (now 66%) (top driver: FAU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 7:22: Bryce Archie pass complete to Sean Atkins for 13 yds for a TD (John Cannon KICK) — USF win probability +17.3 pts (now 59%) (top driver: USF has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 0:46: Bryce Archie pass complete to Kelley Joiner for 3 yds for a TD — USF win probability +15.4 pts (now 83%) (top driver: USF has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
FAU made the numbers' call on 14 of 16USF made the numbers' call on 8 of 10
  1. Q1 13:39USF 4th & 8 at USF 27, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 52.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    52.0%−0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    52.1%
    average punt
  2. Q1 10:54FAU 4th & 5 at USF 32, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 48.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    48.7%
    42% to convert
    Field goal
    48.7%−<0.1
    51% to make
    Punt
    48.6%−0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 9:30USF 4th & 1 at FAU 44, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 51.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    51.5%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    51.1%−0.5
    27% to make
    Punt
    51.2%−0.3
    average punt
  4. Q1 6:37USF 4th & 10 at FAU 28, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 50.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    50.7%−0.2
    29% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    50.9%
    60% to make
    Punt
    49.8%−1.1
    average punt
  5. Q1 0:57USF 4th & 5 at USF 30, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 43.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    44.0%−0.2
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    44.2%
    average punt
  6. Q2 14:13FAU 4th & 1 at FAU 34, up 7
    Close callPunted · 55.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    56.5%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    55.8%−0.6
    average punt
  7. Q2 14:13FAU 4th & 1 at FAU 34, up 7
    Close callPunted · 55.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    56.5%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    55.8%−0.6
    average punt
  8. Q2 12:32USF 4th & 3 at USF 30, down 7
    Close callPunted · 42.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    42.7%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    42.3%−0.4
    average punt
  9. Q2 10:30FAU 4th & 1 at USF 48, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 58.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    58.8%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    57.2%−1.6
    average punt
  10. Q2 8:21FAU 4th & 15 at USF 32, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 58.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    57.7%−1.1
    17% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    58.7%
    51% to make
    Punt
    57.9%−0.8
    average punt
  11. Q2 8:21FAU 4th & 15 at USF 32, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 58.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    57.7%−1.1
    17% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    58.7%
    51% to make
    Punt
    57.9%−0.8
    average punt
  12. Q2 4:13USF 4th & 15 at USF 20, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 35.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    33.8%−2.0
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    35.7%
    average punt
  13. Q2 0:44FAU 4th & 8 at USF 18, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 65.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    63.8%−1.3
    32% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    65.2%
    79% to make
    Punt
    59.2%−6.0
    average punt
  14. Q3 14:09FAU 4th & 25 at FAU 10, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 63.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    60.8%−3.1
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    64.0%
    average punt
  15. Q3 14:09FAU 4th & 25 at FAU 10, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 63.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    60.8%−3.1
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    64.0%
    average punt
  16. Q3 7:52USF 4th & 2 at FAU 22, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 34.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    33.8%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    32.4%−1.4
    72% to make
    Punt
    23.1%−10.7
    average punt
  17. Q3 4:22FAU 4th & 1 at USF 26, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 56.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    56.6%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    53.0%−3.5
    64% to make
    Punt
    44.0%−12.6
    average punt
  18. Q3 4:22FAU 4th & 1 at USF 26, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 56.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    56.6%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    53.0%−3.5
    64% to make
    Punt
    44.0%−12.6
    average punt
  19. Q3 2:25USF 4th & 8 at FAU 16, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 50.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    47.5%−1.8
    32% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    49.3%
    81% to make
    Punt
    35.8%−13.6
    average punt
  20. Q4 14:34FAU 4th & 16 at FAU 19, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 20.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    18.9%−2.7
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    21.6%
    average punt
  21. Q4 11:06FAU 4th & 26 at FAU 9, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 7.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.2%−2.4
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    6.6%
    average punt
  22. Q4 7:07FAU 4th & 2 at USF 3, down 23
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 1.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.7%
    49% to convert
    Field goal
    1.6%−0.1
    93% to make
    Punt
    0.1%−1.6
    average punt
  23. Q4 3:57USF 4th & 9 at USF 21, up 23
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.8%−0.2
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.1%
    average punt
  24. Q4 2:32FAU 4th & 10 at USF 40, down 23
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 1.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.9%
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    0.8%−<0.1
    34% to make
    Punt
    0.8%−0.1
    average punt
  25. Q4 2:32FAU 4th & 10 at USF 40, down 23
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 1.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.9%
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    0.8%−<0.1
    34% to make
    Punt
    0.8%−0.1
    average punt
  26. Q4 0:50USF 4th & 7 at USF 43, up 23
    Close callWent for it · 99.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.4%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    99.4%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
FAU made the numbers' call on 3 of 3USF made the numbers' call on 6 of 6
  1. Q1 2:09FAU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    54.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    54.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 7:48USF Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    46.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    46.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 4:45FAU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    61.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    60.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 12:30USF Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    44.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    44.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 10:25FAU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    65.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    65.7%−0.2
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 7:22USF Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    43.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    43.5%−0.2
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 0:46USF Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    76.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    76.2%−0.2
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 12:34USF Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    90.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    90.1%−0.2
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 10:57USF Touchdown, up 23 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersWent for two · failed
    Kick
    97.8%−0.2
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    98.0%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
USFDrive 1PUNT
6 plays · 2 yds · 1:0864% → 64%
Q1 14:47
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
35.9%
Kelley Joiner run for 4 yds to the USF 29Similar
Q1 14:38
2ND & 6
OWN 29
-7
35.9%
Bryce Archie sacked by Jackson Ambush for a loss of 7 yards to the USF 22Similar
Q1 14:20
3RD & 13
OWN 22
+5
36.1%
PENALTY FAU Offside (Bradley,Marlon) 5 yards from USF22 to USF27. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 13:53
3RD & 8
OWN 27
0
36.3%
Bryce Archie pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:39
4TH & 8
OWN 27
0
36.4%
Andrew Stokes punt for 46 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 2DOWNS
8 plays · 43 yds · 2:3636% → 38%
Q1 13:30
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+2
36.4%
CJ Campbell Jr. run for 2 yds to the FAU 29Similar
Q1 12:55
2ND & 8
OWN 29
+7
36.6%
Cam Fancher pass complete to CJ Campbell Jr. for 7 yds to the FAU 36Similar
Q1 12:34
3RD & 1
OWN 36
+14
36.8%
CJ Campbell Jr. run for 14 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:54
1ST & 10
50
+13
37.4%
Cam Fancher pass complete to Jabari Smith for 13 yds to the USF 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:40
1ST & 10
OPP 37
0
37.6%
Cam Fancher pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:36
2ND & 10
OPP 37
0
37.6%
Cam Fancher pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:26
3RD & 10
OPP 37
+5
37.5%
Cam Fancher run for 5 yds to the USF 32Similar
Q1 10:54
4TH & 5
OPP 32
+2
37.7%
Cam Fancher pass complete to Omari Hayes for 2 yds to the USF 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USFDrive 3MISSED FG
14 plays · 42 yds · 4:1063% → 61%
Q1 10:47
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
37.3%
Bryce Archie pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 10:38
2ND & 10
OWN 30
+17
37.4%
Nay'Quan Wright run for 17 yds to the USF 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:19
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+1
37.1%
Nay'Quan Wright run for 1 yd to the USF 48Similar
Q1 10:07
2ND & 9
OWN 48
0
37.3%
Bryce Archie pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 9:52
3RD & 9
OWN 48
+8
37.6%
Bryce Archie run for 8 yds to the FAU 44Similar
Q1 9:30
4TH & 1
OPP 44
+2
37.7%
Bryce Archie run for 2 yds to the FAU 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:17
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+2
37.4%
Nay'Quan Wright run for 2 yds to the FAU 44Similar
Q1 9:01
2ND & 12
OPP 44
+5
37.6%
(09:03) No Huddle-Shotgun Archie,Bryce pass complete short right to Brown-Stephens,Michael caught at FAU36, for 8 yards to the FAU36 (Goggins,Cameron) PENALTY FAU Illegal Substitution 5 yards from FAU44 to FAU39. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 8:42
2ND & 7
OPP 39
+1
37.4%
Nay'Quan Wright run for 1 yd to the FAU 40Similar
Q1 7:58
3RD & 8
OPP 40
+12
37.8%
Bryce Archie pass complete to Keshaun Singleton for 12 yds to the FAU 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:37
1ST & 10
OPP 28
0
37.4%
Bryce Archie pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:28
2ND & 10
OPP 28
+1
37.5%
Nay'Quan Wright run for 1 yd to the FAU 27Similar
Q1 7:04
3RD & 9
OPP 27
+1
37.9%
Nay'Quan Wright run for 1 yd to the FAU 28Similar
Q1 6:37
4TH & 10
OPP 28
+46
38.8%
John Cannon 46 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 4TD
10 plays · 72 yds · 4:2039% → 46%
Q1 6:29
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+4
39.0%
CJ Campbell Jr. run for 4 yds to the FAU 32Similar
Q1 5:58
2ND & 6
OWN 32
+19
39.3%
CJ Campbell Jr. run for 19 yds to the USF 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:32
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+2
40.3%
Cam Fancher pass complete to Leon Washington Jr. for 2 yds to the USF 47Similar
Q1 5:03
2ND & 8
OPP 47
+8
40.6%
Cam Fancher pass complete to Omari Hayes for 8 yds to the USF 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:22
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+1
41.0%
CJ Campbell Jr. run for 1 yd to the USF 40Similar
Q1 3:42
2ND & 11
OPP 40
+28
41.1%
Cam Fancher pass complete to Omari Hayes for 28 yds to the USF 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:01
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+7
41.8%
Cam Fancher run for 7 yds to the USF 5Similar
Q1 2:39
2ND & 3
OPP 5
-4
42.0%
Cam Fancher sacked for a loss of 4 yards to the USF 9Similar
Q1 2:09
3RD & 7
OPP 9
+9
46.1%
CJ Campbell Jr. run for 9 yds for a TD (Morgan Suarez KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USFDrive 5PUNT
6 plays · 5 yds · 1:1255% → 54%
Q1 2:09
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
44.8%
PENALTY USF False Start (Bowman,Derek) 5 yards from USF25 to USF20. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 1:59
1ST & 15
OWN 20
-3
45.0%
Bryce Archie pass complete to JeyQuan Smith for a loss of 3 yards to the USF 17Similar
Q1 1:44
2ND & 18
OWN 17
0
45.4%
Bryce Archie pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 1:27
3RD & 18
OWN 17
+13
46.0%
Bryce Archie pass complete to Ta'Ron Keith for 13 yds to the USF 30Similar
Q1 0:57
4TH & 5
OWN 30
0
46.4%
Andrew Stokes punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Omari Hayes at the FAU 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 6PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 1:3846% → 47%
Q1 0:51
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
46.1%
Zuberi Mobley run for 7 yds to the FAU 32Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+2
47.4%
CJ Campbell Jr. run for 2 yds to the FAU 34Similar
Q2 14:51
3RD & 1
OWN 34
0
46.9%
Zuberi Mobley run for no gain to the FAU 34Similar
Q2 14:13
4TH & 1
OWN 34
0
46.5%
Logan Lupo punt for 53 ydsSimilar
Q2 14:13
4TH & 1
OWN 34
0
46.5%
Logan Lupo punt for 53 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USFDrive 7PUNT
6 plays · 17 yds · 1:3153% → 51%
Q2 14:03
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+9
47.1%
Kelley Joiner run for 9 yds to the USF 22Similar
Q2 13:44
2ND & 1
OWN 22
+1
46.7%
Kelley Joiner run for 1 yd to the USF 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:24
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+7
47.5%
Bryce Archie pass complete to Sean Atkins for 7 yds Sean Atkins fumbled, recovered by USF Sean AtkinsSimilar
Q2 13:02
2ND & 3
OWN 30
0
47.0%
Bryce Archie run for no gain to the USF 30Similar
Q2 12:44
3RD & 3
OWN 30
0
47.8%
Bryce Archie pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 12:32
4TH & 3
OWN 30
0
48.7%
Andrew Stokes punt for 54 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 8MISSED FG
13 plays · 52 yds · 4:0649% → 51%
Q2 12:27
1ST & 10
OWN 16
0
48.6%
Cam Fancher pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 12:21
2ND & 10
OWN 16
0
48.4%
Cam Fancher pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 12:02
3RD & 10
OWN 16
+27
48.0%
Cam Fancher pass complete to Caleb Coombs for 27 yds to the FAU 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:32
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+4
50.9%
Cam Fancher run for 4 yds to the FAU 47Similar
Q2 10:52
2ND & 6
OWN 47
0
51.6%
Cam Fancher pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 10:47
3RD & 6
OWN 47
0
50.8%
Cam Fancher pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 10:47
4TH & 6
OWN 47
+5
49.5%
PENALTY USF Delay Of Game (Pettway,Jamie) 5 yards from FAU47 to USF48. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 10:30
4TH & 1
OPP 48
+21
50.5%
Cam Fancher pass complete to Jabari Smith for 21 yds to the USF 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:51
1ST & 10
OPP 27
0
53.0%
Cam Fancher pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 9:43
2ND & 10
OPP 27
+1
53.1%
Zuberi Mobley run for 1 yd to the USF 26Similar
Q2 9:00
3RD & 9
OPP 26
-6
53.0%
Cam Fancher sacked by Jhalyn Shuler for a loss of 6 yards to the USF 32Similar
Q2 8:21
4TH & 15
OPP 32
+49
50.8%
Carter Davis 49 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
Q2 8:21
4TH & 15
OPP 32
+49
50.8%
Carter Davis 49 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USFDrive 9TD
2 plays · 68 yds · 0:2149% → 60%
Q2 8:09
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+4
51.4%
Bryce Archie pass complete to Joshua Porter for 19 yds to the FAU 49 South Florida Penalty, Chop Block (Doug Blue-Eli) to the USF 36Similar
Q2 7:48
1ST & 6
OWN 36
+64
39.7%
Nay'Quan Wright run for 64 yds for a TD (John Cannon KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 10TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 2:5544% → 56%
Q2 7:40
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
44.3%
Cam Fancher pass complete to Omari Hayes for 8 yds to the FAU 33Similar
Q2 7:19
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+8
45.7%
Cam Fancher run for 8 yds to the FAU 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:31
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+7
46.5%
Cam Fancher pass complete to CJ Campbell Jr. for 7 yds to the FAU 48Similar
Q2 5:51
2ND & 3
OWN 48
+15
47.5%
Cam Fancher pass complete to Zuberi Mobley for 15 yds to the USF 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:18
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+7
48.1%
CJ Campbell Jr. run for 7 yds to the USF 30Similar
Q2 4:53
2ND & 3
OPP 30
0
48.8%
Cam Fancher pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 4:45
3RD & 3
OPP 30
+30
56.2%
CJ Campbell Jr. run for 30 yds for a TD (Morgan Suarez KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USFDrive 11PUNT
6 plays · -5 yds · 0:2346% → 43%
Q2 4:36
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
54.5%
Bryce Archie pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 4:30
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
54.8%
Bryce Archie pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 4:22
3RD & 10
OWN 25
0
55.8%
Bryce Archie pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 4:18
4TH & 10
OWN 25
-5
56.7%
PENALTY USF Delay Of Game 5 yards from USF25 to USF20. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 4:13
4TH & 15
OWN 20
0
56.8%
Andrew Stokes punt for 51 yds , Omari Hayes returns for no gain to the FAU 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 12MISSED FG
10 plays · 55 yds · 3:1755% → 62%
Q2 4:01
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+40
55.0%
Zuberi Mobley run for 40 yds to the USF 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:20
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+9
58.1%
Cam Fancher pass complete to Omari Hayes for 9 yds to the USF 24Similar
Q2 2:56
2ND & 1
OPP 24
+4
58.5%
Zuberi Mobley run for 4 yds to the USF 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:19
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+3
58.7%
Zuberi Mobley run for 3 yds to the USF 17Similar
Q2 1:44
2ND & 7
OPP 17
+6
62.3%
Cam Fancher run for 6 yds to the USF 23Similar
Q2 1:12
3RD & 13
OPP 23
-5
61.1%
(01:12) No Huddle-Shotgun Fancher,Cam pass complete short middle to Smith, Jr.,Jabari caught at USF09, for 14 yards to the USF09 (Berryhill,Caqavouis) PENALTY FAU Illegal Formation (Richardson,Daughtry) 5 yards from USF23 to USF28. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 0:49
3RD & 18
OPP 28
+10
61.1%
Cam Fancher pass complete to Omari Hayes for 10 yds to the USF 18Similar
Q2 0:44
4TH & 8
OPP 18
+36
62.1%
Morgan Suarez 36 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USFDrive 13END OF HALF
7 plays · 22 yds · 0:3442% → 41%
Q2 0:34
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-1
58.1%
Bryce Archie pass complete to Sean Atkins for a loss of 1 yard to the USF 19Similar
Q2 0:21
2ND & 11
OWN 19
+12
58.7%
Bryce Archie pass complete to Sean Atkins for 12 yds to the USF 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:15
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
57.4%
Bryce Archie pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:07
2ND & 10
OWN 31
+11
58.2%
Bryce Archie pass complete to Ta'Ron Keith for 11 yds to the USF 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 42
-29
59.0%
(00:00) No Huddle-Shotgun Archie,Bryce pass complete deep left to Hardeman,Joshua caught at FAU29, for 29 yards to the FAU29 (Brown,Kahzir) PENALTY USF Illegal Touch-Pass (Hardeman,Joshua). NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 10
OWN 42
0
59.5%
South Florida Penalty, Illegal Touch-Pass (Joshua Hardeman) to the USF 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 14PUNT
6 plays · -15 yds · 0:4060% → 58%
Q3 14:49
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
60.2%
Cam Fancher pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 14:42
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
60.0%
Cam Fancher pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 14:31
3RD & 10
OWN 25
-12
59.0%
Florida Atlantic Penalty, Personal Foul (-12 Yards) to the FAU 10Similar
Q3 14:09
4TH & 25
OWN 10
+5
58.0%
Logan Lupo punt for 56 yds for a 1ST down , Sean Atkins returns for 5 yds to the USF 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:09
4TH & 25
OWN 10
+5
58.0%
Logan Lupo punt for 56 yds for a 1ST down , Sean Atkins returns for 5 yds to the USF 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USFDrive 15TD
6 plays · 61 yds · 0:4442% → 59%
Q3 13:14
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+5
58.4%
Kelley Joiner run for 5 yds to the USF 44Similar
Q3 12:30
2ND & 5
OWN 44
+32
58.0%
Kelley Joiner run for 32 yds to the FAU 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:30
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+14
55.3%
Bryce Archie pass complete to JeyQuan Smith for 14 yds to the FAU 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:30
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+7
55.3%
Kelley Joiner run for 7 yds to the FAU 3Similar
Q3 12:30
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
55.3%
Kelley Joiner run for 2 yds to the FAU 1Similar
Q3 12:30
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
41.2%
Bryce Archie run for 1 yd for a TD (John Cannon KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 16TD
6 plays · 81 yds · 1:4448% → 66%
Q3 12:09
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+3
47.9%
Zuberi Mobley run for 3 yds to the FAU 22Similar
Q3 11:55
2ND & 7
OWN 22
+1
47.9%
Zuberi Mobley run for 1 yd to the FAU 21Similar
Q3 11:12
3RD & 8
OWN 21
+15
46.7%
(11:13) No Huddle-Shotgun Fancher,Cam pass incomplete short left to Johnson,Marlyn thrown to FAU25 PENALTY USF Roughing The Passer (Hawthorne,Decarius) 15 yards from FAU21 to FAU36, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 11:01
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-4
49.6%
CJ Campbell Jr. run for 11 yds to the FAU 47 for a 1ST down Florida Atlantic Penalty, Personal Foul (Okino King) to the FAU 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:25
1ST & 5
OWN 37
+63
65.7%
Cam Fancher pass complete to CJ Campbell Jr. for 63 yds for a TD (Morgan Suarez KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USFDrive 17TD
13 plays · 75 yds · 2:4638% → 59%
Q3 10:08
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+16
62.5%
Bryce Archie pass complete to Sean Atkins for 16 yds to the USF 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:49
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+2
61.0%
Nay'Quan Wright run for 2 yds to the USF 43Similar
Q3 9:32
2ND & 8
OWN 43
0
61.3%
Bryce Archie pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 9:32
3RD & 8
OWN 43
+15
62.2%
PENALTY FAU Pass Interference (Goggins,Cameron) 15 yards from USF43 to FAU42, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 9:25
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+3
59.5%
Nay'Quan Wright run for 3 yds to the FAU 39Similar
Q3 9:04
2ND & 7
OPP 39
+9
59.7%
Bryce Archie pass complete to Keshaun Singleton for 9 yds to the FAU 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:50
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
58.1%
Nay'Quan Wright run for no gain to the FAU 30Similar
Q3 8:37
2ND & 10
OPP 30
0
58.4%
Bryce Archie pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 8:23
3RD & 10
OPP 30
+8
60.7%
Bryce Archie pass complete to Nay'Quan Wright for 8 yds to the FAU 22Similar
Q3 7:52
4TH & 2
OPP 22
+4
61.7%
Bryce Archie pass complete to Nay'Quan Wright for 4 yds to the FAU 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:22
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+5
58.3%
Bryce Archie run for 5 yds to the FAU 13Similar
Q3 7:22
2ND & 5
OPP 13
+13
41.0%
Bryce Archie pass complete to Sean Atkins for 13 yds for a TD (John Cannon KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 18DOWNS
12 plays · 49 yds · 2:5150% → 52%
Q3 7:13
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
50.0%
CJ Campbell Jr. run for 2 yds to the FAU 23Similar
Q3 6:35
2ND & 12
OWN 23
-6
49.9%
Cam Fancher sacked for a loss of 6 yards to the FAU 17Similar
Q3 6:04
3RD & 18
OWN 17
+35
48.2%
Cam Fancher run for 35 yds to the USF 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:39
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+13
55.0%
Cam Fancher pass complete to Zuberi Mobley for 13 yds to the USF 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:06
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+4
56.5%
Zuberi Mobley run for 4 yds to the USF 31Similar
Q3 4:41
2ND & 6
OPP 31
+5
56.0%
Zuberi Mobley run for 5 yds to the USF 26Similar
Q3 4:27
3RD & 1
OPP 26
0
54.3%
Cam Fancher pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 4:22
4TH & 1
OPP 26
0
52.3%
Zuberi Mobley run for no gain to the USF 26Similar
Q3 4:22
4TH & 1
OPP 26
0
52.3%
Zuberi Mobley run for no gain to the USF 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USFDrive 19FG
6 plays · 58 yds · 1:4354% → 64%
Q3 4:08
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+18
45.8%
Bryce Archie pass complete to Ta'Ron Keith for 18 yds to the USF 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:53
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+38
42.5%
Ta'Ron Keith run for 38 yds to the FAU 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:29
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+1
39.1%
Ta'Ron Keith run for 1 yd to the FAU 17Similar
Q3 3:15
2ND & 9
OPP 17
0
39.1%
Bryce Archie pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 3:01
3RD & 9
OPP 17
+1
41.8%
Bryce Archie run for 1 yd to the FAU 16Similar
Q3 2:25
4TH & 8
OPP 16
+34
36.0%
John Cannon 34 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 20FUMBLE
3 plays · -3 yds · 0:0039% → 39%
Q3 2:11
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-3
39.4%
Cam Fancher sacked by Rico Watson III for a loss of 3 yards to the FAU 22 Cam Fancher fumbled, recovered by USF DJ Gordon IV , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q3 2:11
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-3
39.4%
Cam Fancher sacked by Rico Watson III for a loss of 3 yards to the FAU 22 Cam Fancher fumbled, recovered by USF DJ Gordon IV , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USFDrive 21TD
4 plays · 22 yds · 1:1969% → 83%
Q3 2:05
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+3
31.1%
Kelley Joiner run for 3 yds to the FAU 25Similar
Q3 1:31
2ND & 13
OPP 25
+10
31.9%
Kelley Joiner run for 10 yds to the FAU 15Similar
Q3 0:54
3RD & 3
OPP 15
+12
32.6%
Bryce Archie pass complete to Payten Singletary for 12 yds to the FAU 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:46
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
17.2%
Bryce Archie pass complete to Kelley Joiner for 3 yds for a TDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 22PUNT
5 plays · -6 yds · 1:0420% → 18%
Q3 0:38
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
19.5%
CJ Campbell Jr. run for 5 yds to the FAU 20Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 15
OWN 20
-1
19.0%
Cam Fancher pass complete to CJ Campbell Jr. for a loss of 1 yard to the FAU 19Similar
Q4 14:44
3RD & 16
OWN 19
0
18.3%
Cam Fancher pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 14:34
4TH & 16
OWN 19
+4
17.7%
Logan Lupo punt for 46 yds , Sean Atkins returns for 4 yds to the USF 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USFDrive 23TD
6 plays · 61 yds · 1:5281% → 94%
Q4 14:26
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+10
19.1%
Nay'Quan Wright run for 10 yds to the USF 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:51
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+29
18.7%
Bryce Archie pass complete to Kelley Joiner for 29 yds to the FAU 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:41
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+15
17.1%
Bryce Archie run for 15 yds to the FAU 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:16
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
-15
17.0%
(13:17) No Huddle-Shotgun Archie,Bryce pass incomplete short left to Dangler,Evan thrown to FAU05 PENALTY USF Illegal Block in Back (Brown-Stephens,Michael) 15 yards from FAU07 to FAU22. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 13:08
1ST & GOAL
OPP 22
+5
17.2%
Kelley Joiner run for 5 yds to the FAU 17Similar
Q4 12:34
2ND & GOAL
OPP 17
+17
5.8%
Kelley Joiner run for 17 yds for a TD (John Cannon KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 24PUNT
6 plays · -16 yds · 1:228% → 6%
Q4 12:28
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
7.6%
Cam Fancher pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 12:17
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
6.8%
Cam Fancher pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 12:07
3RD & 10
OWN 25
-11
6.4%
Cam Fancher sacked for a loss of 11 yards to the FAU 14Similar
Q4 11:32
4TH & 21
OWN 14
-5
5.9%
PENALTY FAU Illegal Snap (Marino,Nicholas) 5 yards from FAU14 to FAU09. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 11:06
4TH & 26
OWN 9
+12
5.7%
Logan Lupo punt for 50 yds , Sean Atkins returns for 12 yds to the FAU 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USFDrive 25TD
1 play · 42 yds · 0:0098% → 98%
Q4 10:57
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+42
1.7%
Ta'Ron Keith run for 42 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 26DOWNS
13 plays · 72 yds · 3:292% → 1%
Q4 10:36
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
1.8%
Cam Fancher pass complete to Omari Hayes for 8 yds to the FAU 33Similar
Q4 10:20
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+17
1.9%
Cam Fancher pass complete to Marlyn Johnson for 17 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:56
1ST & 10
50
+20
1.9%
Cam Fancher pass complete to Leon Washington Jr. for 20 yds to the USF 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:34
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+8
2.1%
Cam Fancher pass complete to Kahlil Brantley for 8 yds to the USF 22Similar
Q4 9:11
2ND & 2
OPP 22
-4
2.0%
Cam Fancher sacked by Decarius Hawthorne for a loss of 4 yards to the USF 26Similar
Q4 8:31
3RD & 6
OPP 26
+15
1.9%
(08:30) No Huddle-Shotgun Fancher,Cam pass incomplete deep right to Hayes,Omari thrown to USF05 QB hurried by Harris,D.J. PENALTY USF Pass Interference (Banks,Kajuan) 15 yards from USF26 to USF11, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 8:25
1ST & 10
OPP 11
0
1.0%
Cam Fancher pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 8:03
2ND & 10
OPP 11
+2
1.0%
Cam Fancher pass complete to CJ Campbell Jr. for 2 yds to the USF 9Similar
Q4 7:26
3RD & 8
OPP 9
+6
0.7%
Cam Fancher run for 6 yds to the USF 3Similar
Q4 7:07
4TH & 2
OPP 3
0
0.5%
Cam Fancher pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USFDrive 27PUNT
10 plays · 18 yds · 3:0199% → 99%
Q4 6:58
1ST & 10
OWN 3
+6
1.1%
Nay'Quan Wright run for 6 yds to the USF 9Similar
Q4 6:20
2ND & 4
OWN 9
+3
0.8%
Nay'Quan Wright run for 3 yds to the USF 12Similar
Q4 5:59
3RD & 1
OWN 12
+8
0.8%
Nay'Quan Wright run for 8 yds to the USF 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:04
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-5
0.7%
PENALTY USF Delay Of Game 5 yards from USF20 to USF15. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 4:46
2ND & 13
OWN 17
+1
0.7%
Nay'Quan Wright run for 1 yd to the USF 18Similar
Q4 4:45
1ST & 15
OWN 15
+2
0.7%
Nay'Quan Wright run for 2 yds to the USF 17Similar
Q4 4:38
3RD & 12
OWN 18
+3
0.7%
Nay'Quan Wright run for 3 yds to the USF 21Similar
Q4 3:57
4TH & 9
OWN 21
0
0.6%
Andrew Stokes punt for 39 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the FAU 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 28DOWNS
7 plays · 20 yds · 1:130% → 0%
Q4 3:45
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+1
0.3%
Cam Fancher run for 1 yd to the FAU 41Similar
Q4 3:14
2ND & 9
OWN 41
+19
0.3%
Cam Fancher pass complete to Dominique Henry for 19 yds to the USF 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:53
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
0.3%
Cam Fancher pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 2:49
2ND & 10
OPP 40
0
0.3%
Cam Fancher pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 2:43
3RD & 10
OPP 40
0
0.3%
Cam Fancher pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 2:32
4TH & 10
OPP 40
0
0.3%
Cam Fancher pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 2:32
4TH & 10
OPP 40
0
0.3%
Cam Fancher pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USFDrive 29END OF GAME
7 plays · 12 yds · 2:17100% → 100%
Q4 2:17
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+4
0.4%
Yasias Young run for 4 yds to the USF 44Similar
Q4 1:53
2ND & 6
OWN 44
+4
0.3%
Israel Carter run for 4 yds to the USF 48Similar
Q4 1:42
3RD & 2
OWN 48
0
0.3%
Yasias Young run for no gain to the USF 48Similar
Q4 1:04
4TH & 2
OWN 48
-5
0.3%
PENALTY USF False Start 5 yards from USF48 to USF43. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 0:50
4TH & 7
OWN 43
+10
0.3%
Bryce Archie pass complete to Sean Atkins for 10 yds to the FAU 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 47
-1
0.2%
(00:25) Kneel down by South Fla. at FAU48 for loss of 1 yard.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 7:22
Bryce Archie pass complete to Sean Atkins for 13 yds for a TD (John Cannon KICK)
-17.3
TD · Q3 10:25
Cam Fancher pass complete to CJ Campbell Jr. for 63 yds for a TD (Morgan Suarez KICK)
+16.1
TD · Q3 0:46
Bryce Archie pass complete to Kelley Joiner for 3 yds for a TD
-15.4
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com