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TULN

Tulane 45 at North Texas 37

UNT
2024 · Week 9 · Oct 26, 2024 · DATCU Stadium
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Win probability · UNT
modelUNT aheadTULN aheadconfidence bandkey playUNT scoreTULN score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDTDTDTDTDFGTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 2:54 · Chandler Morris pass complete to Dalton Carnes for 12 yds to the TULN 27
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialPregame priorGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+45.0+22.50−22.5−45.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 69Home team on offense−13.6Score differential−8.8Pregame prior−12.2Garbage-time factor−4.7Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−1.6Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−1.3
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 5:50: Makhi Hughes run for 2 yds for a TD (Jacob Barnes KICK) — TULN win probability +10.7 pts (now 85%) (top driver: TULN has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 1:22: Chandler Morris pass complete to DT Sheffield for 30 yds for a TD (Kali Nguma KICK) — UNT win probability +8.5 pts (now 28%) (top driver: UNT has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 8:06: Darian Mensah pass complete to Alex Bauman for 14 yds for a TD (Jacob Barnes PAT MISSED) — TULN win probability +8.3 pts (now 95%) (top driver: TULN has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 5:55: Chandler Morris run for 20 yds for a TD (Kali Nguma KICK) — UNT win probability +12.0 pts (now 22%) (top driver: UNT has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 3:02: Yulkeith Brown run for 11 yds for a TD (Darian Mensah pass to Yulkeith Brown for Two-Point Conversion) — TULN win probability +15.1 pts (now 97%) (top driver: TULN has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
UNT made the numbers' call on 7 of 9TULN made the numbers' call on 4 of 6
  1. Q1 12:23TULN 4th & 5 at TULN 43, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 66.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    66.2%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    66.2%
    average punt
  2. Q1 11:40UNT 4th & 11 at UNT 5, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 33.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    33.8%−0.2
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    33.9%
    average punt
  3. Q1 4:12UNT 4th & 14 at TULN 25, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 33.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    32.7%−0.4
    18% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    33.1%
    66% to make
    Punt
    31.6%−1.5
    average punt
  4. Q2 14:12UNT 4th & 8 at midfield, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 24.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    24.7%−0.2
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    24.9%
    average punt
  5. Q2 12:20TULN 4th & 4 at TULN 10, up 18
    Close callPunted · 78.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    78.4%
    46% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    78.0%−0.5
    average punt
  6. Q2 2:54UNT 4th & 15 at TULN 39, down 18
    Close callWent for it · 18.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    18.0%−0.5
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    18.6%
    36% to make
    Punt
    18.3%−0.3
    average punt
  7. Q2 0:28TULN 4th & 6 at UNT 29, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 75.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    74.9%−0.6
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    75.5%
    58% to make
    Punt
    72.6%−2.9
    average punt
  8. Q3 11:51UNT 4th & 4 at TULN 28, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 21.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    21.0%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    20.5%−0.5
    60% to make
    Punt
    16.3%−4.7
    average punt
  9. Q3 6:57UNT 4th & 5 at UNT 30, down 20
    Close callWent for it · 9.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    10.2%−0.4
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    10.6%
    average punt
  10. Q3 3:18TULN 4th & 1 at UNT 21, up 13
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 86.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    86.5%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    84.3%−2.3
    74% to make
    Punt
    77.4%−9.1
    average punt
  11. Q3 1:31UNT 4th & 4 at UNT 31, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 4.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.8%−0.4
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.2%
    average punt
  12. Q4 11:47TULN 4th & 14 at TULN 48, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 97.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.3%−0.4
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    97.8%
    average punt
  13. Q4 10:08UNT 4th & 3 at UNT 38, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 2.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    2.4%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    2.2%−0.2
    average punt
  14. Q4 2:34TULN 4th & 16 at UNT 36, up 15
    Close callPunted · 97.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.8%−0.3
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    97.1%
    42% to make
    PuntTheir call
    96.8%−0.3
    average punt
  15. Q4 1:56UNT 4th & 1 at UNT 19, down 15
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 2.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    2.7%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    2.2%−0.5
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
UNT made the numbers' call on 3 of 5TULN made the numbers' call on 5 of 6
  1. Q1 7:50TULN Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    65.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    65.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 2:07TULN Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    69.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    69.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 1:16TULN Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    74.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    74.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 10:01UNT Touchdown, down 12 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    29.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    29.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 5:50TULN Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    78.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    78.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 1:22UNT Touchdown, down 12 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    26.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    26.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 8:06TULN Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    90.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    90.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q3 5:55UNT Touchdown, down 14 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    15.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    15.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q3 3:02TULN Touchdown, up 19 before the try
    Close callWent for two · converted
    Kick
    92.1%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    92.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  10. Q4 4:23UNT Touchdown, down 15 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    4.3%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    4.1%−0.2
    45% to convert
  11. Q4 0:41UNT Touchdown, down 9 before the try
    Numbers favored go for two by 2.5 ptsKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    5.1%−2.5
    97% to make
    Go for two
    7.5%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
TULNDrive 1PUNT
6 plays · 18 yds · 2:3471% → 70%
Q1 14:57
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
29.0%
Makhi Hughes run for 2 yds to the TULN 27Similar
Q1 14:28
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+11
29.2%
Makhi Hughes run for 11 yds to the TULN 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:52
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+1
29.5%
Darian Mensah run for 1 yd to the TULN 39Similar
Q1 13:13
2ND & 9
OWN 39
+4
29.7%
Makhi Hughes run for 4 yds to the TULN 43Similar
Q1 12:30
3RD & 5
OWN 43
0
30.0%
Darian Mensah pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:23
4TH & 5
OWN 43
0
30.2%
Will Karoll punt for 51 yds, downed at the UNT 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 2PUNT
4 plays · -1 yds · 0:2830% → 30%
Q1 12:08
1ST & 10
OWN 6
-1
30.3%
Chandler Morris pass complete to DT Sheffield for a loss of 1 yard to the UNT 5Similar
Q1 11:48
2ND & 11
OWN 5
0
30.4%
Chandler Morris pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:45
3RD & 11
OWN 5
0
30.3%
Chandler Morris pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:40
4TH & 11
OWN 5
0
30.3%
Sawyer Evans punt for 39 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 3TD
7 plays · 44 yds · 3:4370% → 71%
Q1 11:33
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+6
30.2%
Makhi Hughes run for 6 yds to the UNT 38Similar
Q1 10:59
2ND & 4
OPP 38
+4
30.4%
Makhi Hughes run for 4 yds to the UNT 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:28
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+15
30.5%
Darian Mensah pass complete to Dontae Fleming for 15 yds to the UNT 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:51
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+1
30.7%
Makhi Hughes run for 1 yd to the UNT 18Similar
Q1 9:18
2ND & 9
OPP 18
+6
30.9%
Arnold Barnes III run for 6 yds to the UNT 12Similar
Q1 8:36
3RD & 3
OPP 12
+3
31.2%
Arnold Barnes III run for 3 yds to the UNT 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:50
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
29.0%
Darian Mensah pass complete to Mario Williams for 9 yds for a TD (Jacob Barnes KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 4FG
11 plays · 60 yds · 3:3030% → 32%
Q1 7:42
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+8
29.8%
Chandler Morris pass complete to Blair Conwright for 8 yds to the UNT 23Similar
Q1 7:18
2ND & 2
OWN 23
+15
30.0%
Chandler Morris pass complete to DT Sheffield for 15 yds to the UNT 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:00
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+5
30.2%
Chandler Morris pass complete to Blair Conwright for 5 yds to the UNT 43Similar
Q1 6:33
2ND & 5
OWN 43
+1
30.7%
Shane Porter run for 1 yd to the UNT 44Similar
Q1 6:16
3RD & 4
OWN 44
-5
30.5%
North Texas Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the UNT 39Similar
Q1 6:05
3RD & 9
OWN 39
+40
30.0%
Chandler Morris pass complete to DT Sheffield for 40 yds to the TULN 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:24
1ST & 10
OPP 21
0
31.5%
Chandler Morris pass complete to DT Sheffield for no gain to the TULN 21Similar
Q1 4:53
2ND & 10
OPP 21
+1
31.6%
Kiefer Sibley run for 1 yd to the TULN 20Similar
Q1 4:21
3RD & 9
OPP 20
0
31.3%
Chandler Morris pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 4:15
4TH & 9
OPP 20
-5
30.5%
North Texas Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the TULN 25Similar
Q1 4:12
4TH & 14
OPP 25
+43
31.7%
Kali Nguma 43 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 5TD
5 plays · 75 yds · 2:0368% → 72%
Q1 4:10
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
32.2%
Makhi Hughes run for 4 yds to the TULN 29Similar
Q1 3:34
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+3
32.2%
Makhi Hughes run for 3 yds to the TULN 32Similar
Q1 2:58
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+38
32.6%
Makhi Hughes run for 38 yds to the UNT 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:07
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+30
28.3%
Darian Mensah pass complete to Yulkeith Brown for 30 yds for a TD (Jacob Barnes KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 6TD
2 plays · 28 yds · 0:4372% → 80%
Q1 1:59
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+11
28.3%
Arnold Barnes III run for 11 yds to the UNT 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:16
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+17
20.5%
Ty Thompson run for 17 yds for a TD (Jacob Barnes KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 7PUNT
8 plays · 25 yds · 2:0223% → 22%
Q1 1:14
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
22.7%
Kiefer Sibley run for 1 yd to the UNT 26Similar
Q1 0:47
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+10
22.4%
Chandler Morris run for 10 yds to the UNT 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:13
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
22.5%
Chandler Morris pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 0:08
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+12
22.2%
Chandler Morris pass complete to Miles Coleman for 12 yds to the UNT 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:59
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
23.0%
Chandler Morris pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:52
2ND & 10
OWN 48
+2
23.0%
Chandler Morris pass complete to Kiefer Sibley for 2 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 14:21
3RD & 8
50
0
22.7%
Chandler Morris pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:12
4TH & 8
50
0
22.3%
Sawyer Evans punt for 46 yds, downed at the TULN 4Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 8PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 1:4080% → 80%
Q2 14:00
1ST & 10
OWN 4
+2
20.3%
Makhi Hughes run for 2 yds to the TULN 6Similar
Q2 13:21
2ND & 8
OWN 6
+2
20.1%
Makhi Hughes run for 2 yds to the TULN 8Similar
Q2 12:55
3RD & 6
OWN 8
+2
20.1%
Makhi Hughes run for 2 yds to the TULN 10Similar
Q2 12:20
4TH & 4
OWN 10
+16
19.8%
Will Karoll punt for 63 yds , DT Sheffield returns for 16 yds to the UNT 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 9TD
5 plays · 57 yds · 2:0622% → 30%
Q2 12:07
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+9
22.3%
Kiefer Sibley run for 9 yds to the TULN 48Similar
Q2 11:45
2ND & 1
OPP 48
+4
22.5%
Chandler Morris pass complete to Kiefer Sibley for 4 yds to the TULN 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:15
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+2
22.3%
Kiefer Sibley run for 2 yds to the TULN 42Similar
Q2 10:37
2ND & 8
OPP 42
+16
22.1%
Chandler Morris pass complete to Blair Conwright for 16 yds to the TULN 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:01
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+26
30.1%
Chandler Morris pass complete to Damon Ward Jr. for 26 yds for a TD (Kali Nguma KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 10TD
8 plays · 68 yds · 4:0973% → 85%
Q2 9:59
1ST & 10
OWN 32
-1
27.1%
Dontae Fleming run for a loss of 1 yard to the TULN 31Similar
Q2 9:22
2ND & 11
OWN 31
+41
27.3%
Makhi Hughes run for 41 yds to the UNT 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:38
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+8
26.1%
Arnold Barnes III run for 8 yds to the UNT 20Similar
Q2 8:00
2ND & 2
OPP 20
+9
26.3%
Arnold Barnes III run for 9 yds to the UNT 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:24
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+5
25.5%
Arnold Barnes III run for 5 yds to the UNT 6Similar
Q2 6:34
2ND & 5
OPP 6
-1
25.4%
Makhi Hughes run for a loss of 1 yard to the UNT 7Similar
Q2 5:57
3RD & 6
OPP 7
+5
25.5%
(05:57) MENSAH, Darian pass to the left incomplete intended for BROWN, Yulkeith thrown to the UNT0, clock 05:54. PENALTY UNT Pass Interference on ANDERSON, Jayven enforced 5 yards to the UNT2 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 5:50
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
14.8%
Makhi Hughes run for 2 yds for a TD (Jacob Barnes KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 11DOWNS
9 plays · 48 yds · 2:5419% → 19%
Q2 5:48
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+14
19.3%
Chandler Morris pass complete to Kiefer Sibley for 14 yds to the UNT 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:27
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+27
20.1%
Chandler Morris pass complete to Dalton Carnes for 27 yds to the TULN 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:47
1ST & 10
OPP 34
0
22.6%
Chandler Morris pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 4:42
2ND & 10
OPP 34
-10
22.0%
(04:42) MORRIS, Chandler pass to the right complete for 5 yards to SHEFFIELD, DT caught at the TUL35 and advanced to the TUL29, out of bounds, clock 04:39. PENALTY UNT Holding on HAMMOND, Oscar enforced 10 yards from the TUL34 to the TUL44 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 4:26
2ND & 20
OPP 44
-5
20.4%
(04:26) PORTER, Shane rush up the middle for a gain of 7 yards to the TUL37 (GEIGER, Jalen), clock 04:22. PENALTY Before the snap, UNT Illegal Formation on PETERSON, Landon enforced 5 yards from the TUL44 to the TUL49. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 4:13
2ND & 25
OPP 49
+9
20.3%
Chandler Morris run for 9 yds to the TULN 40Similar
Q2 3:31
3RD & 16
OPP 40
+1
19.7%
Makenzie McGill II run for 1 yd to the TULN 39Similar
Q2 2:54
4TH & 15
OPP 39
+12
18.8%
Chandler Morris pass complete to Dalton Carnes for 12 yds to the TULN 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 12INT
1 play · 5 yds · 0:0084% → 84%
Q2 2:49
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+5
16.0%
Makhi Hughes run for 5 yds to the TULN 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 13TD
5 plays · 47 yds · 0:4120% → 28%
Q2 2:03
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
19.5%
Chandler Morris pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 2:00
2ND & 10
OPP 47
+12
19.0%
Chandler Morris pass complete to DT Sheffield for 12 yds to the TULN 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:54
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+5
19.9%
Kiefer Sibley run for 5 yds to the TULN 30Similar
Q2 1:22
2ND & 5
OPP 30
+30
28.4%
Chandler Morris pass complete to DT Sheffield for 30 yds for a TD (Kali Nguma KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 14FG
8 plays · 43 yds · 0:5177% → 84%
Q2 1:19
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+20
23.3%
Makhi Hughes run for 20 yds to the TULN 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:12
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+19
22.2%
Makhi Hughes run for 19 yds to the UNT 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:00
1ST & 10
OPP 33
0
20.8%
Darian Mensah pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:59
2ND & 10
OPP 33
+4
20.9%
Makhi Hughes run for 4 yds to the UNT 29Similar
Q2 0:36
3RD & 6
OPP 29
0
21.1%
Makhi Hughes run for no gain to the UNT 29Similar
Q2 0:28
4TH & 6
OPP 29
+47
16.0%
Jacob Barnes 47 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 15END OF HALF
1 play · 2 yds · 0:0019% → 19%
Q2 0:26
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
18.7%
Chandler Morris pass complete to DT Sheffield for 2 yds to the UNT 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 16DOWNS
8 plays · 47 yds · 3:0820% → 20%
Q3 14:59
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
20.0%
Kiefer Sibley run for 6 yds to the UNT 31Similar
Q3 14:36
2ND & 4
OWN 31
0
20.6%
Kiefer Sibley run for no gain to the UNT 31Similar
Q3 14:01
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+21
20.1%
Chandler Morris pass complete to Oscar Hammond for 21 yds to the TULN 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:42
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+14
21.8%
Chandler Morris pass complete to Damon Ward Jr. for 14 yds to the TULN 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:13
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+5
22.1%
Chandler Morris pass complete to Dalton Carnes for 5 yds to the TULN 29Similar
Q3 12:57
2ND & 5
OPP 29
-1
21.7%
Kiefer Sibley run for a loss of 1 yard to the TULN 30Similar
Q3 12:21
3RD & 6
OPP 30
+2
20.7%
Chandler Morris pass complete to Kiefer Sibley for 2 yds to the TULN 28Similar
Q3 11:51
4TH & 4
OPP 28
0
19.9%
Chandler Morris pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 17TD
7 plays · 72 yds · 3:4283% → 95%
Q3 11:48
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+1
17.5%
Makhi Hughes run for 1 yd to the TULN 29Similar
Q3 11:14
2ND & 9
OWN 29
+8
17.1%
Darian Mensah pass complete to Makhi Hughes for 8 yds to the TULN 37Similar
Q3 10:28
3RD & 1
OWN 37
+2
16.7%
Makhi Hughes run for 2 yds to the TULN 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:48
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+17
14.7%
Darian Mensah pass complete to Mario Williams for 17 yds to the UNT 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:14
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+27
14.2%
Arnold Barnes III run for 27 yds to the UNT 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:42
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+3
13.8%
Makhi Hughes run for 3 yds to the UNT 14Similar
Q3 8:06
2ND & 7
OPP 14
+14
5.5%
Darian Mensah pass complete to Alex Bauman for 14 yds for a TD (Jacob Barnes PAT MISSED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 18TD
7 plays · 75 yds · 2:0810% → 22%
Q3 8:03
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
10.0%
Chandler Morris pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 7:56
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+8
9.9%
Chandler Morris pass complete to Oscar Hammond for 8 yds to the UNT 33Similar
Q3 7:39
3RD & 2
OWN 33
-3
10.3%
Chandler Morris run for a loss of 3 yards to the UNT 30Similar
Q3 6:57
4TH & 5
OWN 30
+44
9.3%
Chandler Morris pass complete to Damon Ward Jr. for 44 yds to the TULN 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:32
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+6
10.2%
Chandler Morris pass complete to Kiefer Sibley for 6 yds to the TULN 20Similar
Q3 6:03
2ND & 4
OPP 20
0
10.1%
Chandler Morris pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 5:55
3RD & 4
OPP 20
+20
22.0%
Chandler Morris run for 20 yds for a TD (Kali Nguma KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 19DOWNS
5 plays · 54 yds · 2:3686% → 87%
Q3 5:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+45
14.5%
Darian Mensah pass complete to Dontae Fleming for 45 yds to the UNT 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:19
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+5
12.9%
Makhi Hughes run for 5 yds to the UNT 25Similar
Q3 4:39
2ND & 5
OPP 25
+3
12.4%
Makhi Hughes run for 3 yds to the UNT 22Similar
Q3 4:00
3RD & 2
OPP 22
+1
11.7%
Makhi Hughes run for 1 yd to the UNT 21Similar
Q3 3:18
4TH & 1
OPP 21
0
12.6%
Makhi Hughes run for no gain to the UNT 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 20FUMBLE
1 play · -10 yds · 0:0018% → 18%
Q3 3:10
1ST & 10
OWN 21
-10
18.1%
Chandler Morris sacked for a loss of 10 yards to the UNT 11 Chandler Morris fumbled, recovered by TULN Sam Howard , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 21TD
1 play · 11 yds · 0:0097% → 97%
Q3 3:02
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+11
3.1%
Yulkeith Brown run for 11 yds for a TD (Darian Mensah pass to Yulkeith Brown for Two-Point Conversion)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 22PUNT
3 plays · 6 yds · 1:295% → 4%
Q3 3:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
4.9%
Kiefer Sibley run for no gain to the UNT 25Similar
Q3 2:23
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+6
4.7%
Drew Mestemaker run for 6 yds to the UNT 31Similar
Q3 1:31
4TH & 4
OWN 31
0
4.3%
Sawyer Evans punt for 49 yds, fair catch by Dontae Fleming at the TULN 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 23PUNT
9 plays · 28 yds · 4:3697% → 98%
Q3 1:23
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+1
3.0%
Arnold Barnes III run for 1 yd to the TULN 21Similar
Q3 0:51
2ND & 9
OWN 21
-5
2.9%
Tulane Penalty, False Start (Josh Remetich) to the TULN 16Similar
Q3 0:27
2ND & 14
OWN 16
+4
2.9%
Darian Mensah pass complete to Arnold Barnes III for 4 yds to the TULN 20Similar
Q4 14:58
3RD & 10
OWN 20
+32
2.9%
Darian Mensah pass complete to Dontae Fleming for 32 yds to the UNT 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:19
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+2
2.5%
Makhi Hughes run for 2 yds to the UNT 46Similar
Q4 13:42
2ND & 8
OPP 46
-10
2.4%
(13:42) HUGHES, Makhi rush to the left for a gain of 8 yards to the UNT38 (WESLOSKI, Ethan;DAWKINS, Terrell), clock 13:37. PENALTY TUL Holding on REMETICH, Josh enforced 10 yards from the UNT46 to the TUL44 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 13:18
2ND & 18
OWN 44
+3
2.4%
Arnold Barnes III run for 3 yds to the TULN 47Similar
Q4 12:36
3RD & 15
OWN 47
+1
2.3%
Darian Mensah pass complete to Arnold Barnes III for 1 yd to the TULN 48Similar
Q4 11:47
4TH & 14
OWN 48
0
2.3%
Will Karoll punt for 52 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 24TD
22 plays · 80 yds · 7:173% → 5%
Q4 11:40
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+1
2.7%
Kiefer Sibley run for 1 yd to the UNT 21Similar
Q4 11:12
2ND & 9
OWN 21
+10
2.6%
(11:12) MORRIS, Chandler pass deep to the left intercepted by AGU, Dickson at the UNT40 intended for REMPERT, Nick. Agu return for 15 yards to the UNT25, AGU, Dickson fumbled at UNT25 forced by SIBLEY, Kiefer, recovered by TUL GRUBBS, Tyler at the UNT25, returned 0 yards, End of Play, clock 10:48. PENALTY TUL Holding on AGU, Dickson enforced 10 yards from the UNT21 to the UNT31 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 10:41
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
2.6%
Chandler Morris pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 10:38
2ND & 10
OWN 31
+7
2.5%
Chandler Morris pass complete to Kiefer Sibley for 7 yds to the UNT 38Similar
Q4 10:13
3RD & 3
OWN 38
0
2.6%
Chandler Morris pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 10:08
4TH & 3
OWN 38
+9
2.5%
Chandler Morris pass complete to DT Sheffield for 9 yds to the UNT 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:50
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+2
2.6%
Kiefer Sibley run for 2 yds to the UNT 49Similar
Q4 9:18
2ND & 8
OWN 49
+11
2.5%
Chandler Morris pass complete to Kiefer Sibley for 11 yds to the TULN 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:52
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+2
2.6%
Chandler Morris pass complete to Oscar Hammond for 2 yds to the TULN 38Similar
Q4 8:27
2ND & 8
OPP 38
0
2.6%
Chandler Morris pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 8:21
3RD & 8
OPP 38
+11
2.5%
Shane Porter run for 11 yds to the TULN 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:58
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+6
2.8%
Chandler Morris pass complete to Damon Ward Jr. for 6 yds to the TULN 21Similar
Q4 7:16
2ND & 4
OPP 21
-5
2.3%
North Texas Penalty, False Start (Tyler Mercer) to the TULN 26Similar
Q4 6:54
2ND & 9
OPP 26
+18
2.2%
Chandler Morris pass complete to DT Sheffield for 18 yds to the TULN 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:32
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+3
1.8%
Makenzie McGill II run for 3 yds to the TULN 5Similar
Q4 5:54
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+3
2.0%
Tulane Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (Johnathan Edwards) to the TULN 2Similar
Q4 5:46
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
-4
2.7%
Wyatt Young run for a loss of 4 yards to the TULN 6Similar
Q4 5:09
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
0
1.7%
Chandler Morris pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 5:08
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
+1
1.7%
Chandler Morris pass complete to Miles Coleman for 1 yd to the TULN 5Similar
Q4 4:29
4TH & GOAL
OPP 5
+3
1.6%
Tulane Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (Caleb Ransaw) to the TULN 2Similar
Q4 4:23
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
5.0%
Makenzie McGill II run for 2 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 25PUNT
10 plays · 5 yds · 1:4797% → 98%
Q4 4:21
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+6
2.8%
Makhi Hughes run for 6 yds to the UNT 35Similar
Q4 3:36
2ND & 4
OPP 35
+5
2.4%
Arnold Barnes III run for 5 yds to the UNT 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:50
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
2.1%
Arnold Barnes III run for no gain to the UNT 30Similar
Q4 2:47
2ND & 10
OPP 30
-5
2.0%
Tulane Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the UNT 35Similar
Q4 2:47
2ND & 15
OPP 35
+3
2.0%
Makhi Hughes run for 3 yds to the UNT 32Similar
Q4 2:42
3RD & 12
OPP 32
-4
1.9%
Darian Mensah sacked by Jake Shipley for a loss of 4 yards to the UNT 36Similar
Q4 2:34
4TH & 16
OPP 36
0
2.0%
Will Karoll punt for 26 yds, fair catch by Miles Coleman at the UNT 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 26TD
13 plays · 90 yds · 1:461% → 9%
Q4 2:27
1ST & 10
OWN 10
-1
1.1%
Chandler Morris pass complete to Kiefer Sibley for a loss of 1 yard to the UNT 9Similar
Q4 2:08
2ND & 11
OWN 9
0
1.0%
Chandler Morris pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 2:01
3RD & 11
OWN 9
+10
1.0%
Chandler Morris pass complete to Landon Sides for 10 yds to the UNT 19Similar
Q4 1:56
4TH & 1
OWN 19
+25
1.0%
Makenzie McGill II run for 10 yds to the UNT 29 for a 1ST down Tulane Penalty, Personal Foul (Chris Rodgers) to the UNT 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:49
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+11
1.0%
Chandler Morris pass complete to Damon Ward Jr. for 11 yds to the TULN 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:41
1ST & 10
OPP 45
-6
1.0%
Chandler Morris run for a loss of 6 yards to the UNT 49Similar
Q4 1:32
2ND & 16
OWN 49
+21
1.0%
Chandler Morris pass complete to Dalton Carnes for 21 yds to the TULN 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:20
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+3
1.2%
Chandler Morris pass complete to Nick Rempert for 3 yds to the TULN 27Similar
Q4 1:00
2ND & 7
OPP 27
+17
1.2%
Chandler Morris pass complete to Miles Coleman for 17 yds to the TULN 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:52
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
0
1.2%
Chandler Morris pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:41
2ND & GOAL
OPP 10
+10
8.6%
Chandler Morris pass complete to Damon Ward Jr. for 10 yds for a TD (Kali Nguma KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 27END OF GAME
1 play · 0 yds · 0:0098% → 98%
Q4 0:37
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
2.5%
(00:37) [NH] Kneel down by MENSAH, Darian at UNT39 (team loss of 0), clock 00:32.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 3:02
Yulkeith Brown run for 11 yds for a TD (Darian Mensah pass to Yulkeith Brown for Two-Point Conversion)
-15.1
TD · Q3 5:55
Chandler Morris run for 20 yds for a TD (Kali Nguma KICK)
+12
TD · Q2 5:50
Makhi Hughes run for 2 yds for a TD (Jacob Barnes KICK)
-10.7
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com