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CLT

Charlotte 28 at Memphis 33

MEM
2024 · Week 9 · Oct 26, 2024 · Simmons Bank Liberty Stadium
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Win probability · MEM
modelMEM aheadCLT aheadconfidence bandkey playMEM scoreCLT score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDFGTDTDSAFETYEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 7:03 · Michael O'Shaughnessy punt for 36 yds , Koby Drake returns for 3 yds to the MEM 48
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+37.5+18.80−18.8−37.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 92Pregame prior+15.8Home team on offense+7.6Garbage-time factor−0.6Score differential+1.9Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+1.5Blowout margin+0.9
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q3 7:49: Makari Bodiford run for 14 yds for a TD (Tristian Vandenberg KICK) — MEM win probability +9.9 pts (now 86%) (top driver: MEM has the ball).
  2. TD · Q4 8:02: Cartevious Norton run for 5 yds for a TD (Stephen Rusnak KICK) — CLT win probability +28.2 pts (now 49%) (top driver: CLT has the ball).
  3. FG · Q4 1:56: Tristian Vandenberg 21 yd FG GOOD — MEM win probability +27.6 pts (now 89%) (top driver: MEM has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 1:20: Hahsaun Wilson run for 18 yds for a TD (Stephen Rusnak KICK) — CLT win probability +68.7 pts (now 93%) (top driver: CLT has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 0:31: Seth Henigan pass complete to Roc Taylor for 24 yds for a TD (Tristian Vandenberg KICK) — MEM win probability +61.2 pts (now 95%) (top driver: MEM has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
MEM made the numbers' call on 6 of 8CLT made the numbers' call on 4 of 4
  1. Q1 13:54MEM 4th & 13 at MEM 22, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 86.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    86.1%−0.2
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    86.3%
    average punt
  2. Q1 5:47MEM 4th & 4 at MEM 46, down 7
    Close callPunted · 81.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    81.8%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    81.8%−0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 4:55CLT 4th & 7 at CLT 12, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 18.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    18.5%−0.3
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    18.8%
    average punt
  4. Q2 12:26CLT 4th & 18 at CLT 17, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 19.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    18.2%−1.0
    12% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    19.3%
    average punt
  5. Q2 6:40MEM 4th & 5 at CLT 19, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 79.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    78.7%−0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    78.7%
    77% to make
    Punt
    75.4%−3.3
    average punt
  6. Q2 1:59MEM 4th & 1 at CLT 25, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 77.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    77.5%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    76.3%−1.2
    66% to make
    Punt
    73.1%−4.4
    average punt
  7. Q3 13:08CLT 4th & 9 at CLT 40, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 27.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    26.6%−0.9
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    27.5%
    average punt
  8. Q3 7:03CLT 4th & 16 at CLT 19, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 16.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    15.1%−2.2
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    17.3%
    average punt
  9. Q3 4:10MEM 4th & 6 at CLT 35, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 84.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    84.8%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    84.2%−0.5
    45% to make
    Punt
    83.4%−1.3
    average punt
  10. Q4 12:11MEM 4th & 6 at MEM 29, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 86.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    86.8%−0.7
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    87.4%
    average punt
  11. Q4 4:30MEM 4th & 3 at CLT 8, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 62.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    62.1%
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    58.8%−3.3
    90% to make
    Punt
    33.2%−28.9
    average punt
  12. Q4 1:56MEM 4th & 3 at CLT 3, tied
    Numbers favored go for it by 6.2 ptsKicked a field goal · 61.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    58.8%
    44% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    52.6%−6.2
    93% to make
    Punt
    22.1%−36.7
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
MEM made the numbers' call on 4 of 4CLT made the numbers' call on 3 of 4
  1. Q1 9:02CLT Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    16.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    16.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 14:17MEM Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    80.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    80.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 7:49MEM Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    81.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    81.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 2:23MEM Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    92.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    92.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 14:07CLT Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    12.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    12.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 8:02CLT Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    35.7%−0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    35.8%
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 1:20CLT Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    74.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    74.2%−0.7
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 0:31MEM Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    80.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    80.0%−0.6
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
MEMDrive 1PUNT
4 plays · -3 yds · 1:0687% → 87%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
87.3%
Seth Henigan pass complete to Demeer Blankumsee for 5 yds to the MEM 30Similar
Q1 14:32
2ND & 5
OWN 30
0
87.1%
Seth Henigan pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 14:28
3RD & 5
OWN 30
-8
87.1%
Seth Henigan sacked by Demon Clowney for a loss of 8 yards to the MEM 22Similar
Q1 13:54
4TH & 13
OWN 22
0
86.9%
Joshua Sloan punt for 45 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 2TD
8 plays · 67 yds · 4:4513% → 16%
Q1 13:47
1ST & 10
OWN 33
-2
86.9%
Cartevious Norton run for a loss of 2 yards to the CLT 31Similar
Q1 13:10
2ND & 12
OWN 31
+9
86.8%
Max Brown pass complete to Bryce Kennon for 9 yds to the CLT 40Similar
Q1 12:24
3RD & 3
OWN 40
+12
86.4%
Max Brown pass complete to Bryce Kennon for 12 yds to the MEM 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:37
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+5
86.1%
Cartevious Norton run for 5 yds to the MEM 43Similar
Q1 10:59
2ND & 5
OPP 43
+17
85.8%
Max Brown pass complete to Joey Bearns III for 17 yds to the MEM 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:17
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+8
85.5%
Cartevious Norton run for 8 yds to the MEM 18Similar
Q1 9:45
2ND & 2
OPP 18
+1
85.4%
Cartevious Norton run for 1 yd to the MEM 17Similar
Q1 9:02
3RD & 1
OPP 17
+17
84.0%
Cartevious Norton run for 17 yds for a TD (Stephen Rusnak KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 3PUNT
7 plays · 21 yds · 3:1584% → 83%
Q1 9:02
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-6
84.4%
Seth Henigan sacked by Chantz Williams for a loss of 6 yards to the MEM 19Similar
Q1 8:26
2ND & 16
OWN 19
+5
83.9%
Mario Anderson Jr. run for 5 yds to the MEM 24Similar
Q1 7:48
3RD & 11
OWN 24
+16
83.4%
Seth Henigan pass complete to Koby Drake for 16 yds to the MEM 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:12
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
83.5%
Seth Henigan pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:07
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+8
83.3%
Mario Anderson Jr. run for 8 yds to the MEM 48Similar
Q1 6:20
3RD & 2
OWN 48
-2
83.2%
Mario Anderson Jr. run for a loss of 2 yards to the MEM 46Similar
Q1 5:47
4TH & 4
OWN 46
0
82.5%
Joshua Sloan punt for 45 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 4PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:4418% → 18%
Q1 5:39
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+3
82.3%
Terron Kellman run for 3 yds to the CLT 12Similar
Q1 5:05
2ND & 7
OWN 12
0
81.9%
Max Brown pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 4:59
3RD & 7
OWN 12
0
82.0%
Max Brown pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 4:55
4TH & 7
OWN 12
0
82.1%
Michael O'Shaughnessy punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Koby Drake at the MEM 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 5TD
10 plays · 53 yds · 5:3382% → 84%
Q1 4:50
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+8
82.4%
Seth Henigan pass complete to Demeer Blankumsee for 8 yds to the CLT 45Similar
Q1 4:19
2ND & 2
OPP 45
+16
82.3%
Mario Anderson Jr. run for 16 yds to the CLT 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:41
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+5
82.2%
Seth Henigan pass complete to Jyaire Shorter for 5 yds to the CLT 24Similar
Q1 3:24
2ND & 5
OPP 24
+8
82.1%
Mario Anderson Jr. run for 8 yds to the CLT 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:44
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+7
81.8%
Mario Anderson Jr. run for 7 yds to the CLT 9Similar
Q1 2:06
2ND & 3
OPP 9
+2
81.1%
Mario Anderson Jr. run for 2 yds to the CLT 7Similar
Q1 1:27
3RD & 1
OPP 7
+2
80.4%
Mario Anderson Jr. run for 2 yds to the CLT 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:42
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+2
80.4%
Mario Anderson Jr. run for 2 yds to the CLT 3Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+1
80.4%
Mario Anderson Jr. run for 1 yd to the CLT 2Similar
Q2 14:17
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
83.5%
Seth Henigan pass complete to Demeer Blankumsee for 2 yds for a TD (Tristian Vandenberg KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 6PUNT
5 plays · -8 yds · 1:5118% → 18%
Q2 14:17
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
81.8%
(14:17) BROWN, Max pass deep to the right incomplete intended for BLAKE, O'Mega thrown to the CLT42, clock 14:13. PENALTY Before the snap, CLT Illegal Shift MEM Pass Interference on ROSS, Davion , Offsetting penalties [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 14:13
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
81.7%
Henry Rutledge run for 3 yds to the CLT 28Similar
Q2 13:32
2ND & 7
OWN 28
0
81.4%
Max Brown pass complete to Adam Hopkins IV for no gain to the CLT 28Similar
Q2 12:56
3RD & 7
OWN 28
-11
81.5%
Max Brown sacked by Chandler Martin for a loss of 11 yards to the CLT 17Similar
Q2 12:26
4TH & 18
OWN 17
0
81.8%
Michael O'Shaughnessy punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Koby Drake at the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 7MISSED FG
12 plays · 31 yds · 5:4283% → 80%
Q2 12:22
1ST & 10
50
+4
82.9%
Mario Anderson Jr. run for 4 yds to the CLT 46Similar
Q2 11:41
2ND & 6
OPP 46
+3
82.8%
Seth Henigan pass complete to Roc Taylor for 3 yds to the CLT 43Similar
Q2 11:02
3RD & 3
OPP 43
+5
82.5%
Mario Anderson Jr. run for 5 yds to the CLT 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:26
1ST & 10
OPP 38
-9
82.5%
Seth Henigan sacked by Dre Butler for a loss of 9 yards to the CLT 47Similar
Q2 9:42
2ND & 19
OPP 47
+3
81.7%
Seth Henigan pass complete to Makari Bodiford for 3 yds to the CLT 44Similar
Q2 9:09
3RD & 16
OPP 44
+5
81.0%
(09:09) HENIGAN, Seth pass deep to the right intercepted by BALFOUR, Dontae at the CLT28 intended for TAYLOR, Roc. Balfour return for 27 yards to the MEM45 (GAMBILL, Jonah), out of bounds, clock 09:02. PENALTY CLT Offsides on COATES, Colin enforced 5 yards from the CLT44 to the CLT39 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 8:41
3RD & 11
OPP 39
+15
81.3%
(08:41) HENIGAN, Seth pass deep to the right incomplete intended for TAYLOR, Roc thrown to the CLT5, clock 08:36. PENALTY CLT Pass Interference on BALFOUR, Dontae enforced 15 yards to the CLT24 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 8:36
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+2
82.5%
Seth Henigan pass complete to Jyaire Shorter for 2 yds to the CLT 22Similar
Q2 7:50
2ND & 8
OPP 22
+3
82.2%
Mario Anderson Jr. run for 3 yds to the CLT 19Similar
Q2 7:03
3RD & 5
OPP 19
0
80.7%
Seth Henigan pass complete to Roc Taylor for no gain to the CLT 19Similar
Q2 6:40
4TH & 5
OPP 19
+37
79.7%
Tristian Vandenberg 37 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 8INT
7 plays · 15 yds · 2:0923% → 24%
Q2 6:39
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-1
76.9%
Cartevious Norton run for a loss of 1 yard to the CLT 19Similar
Q2 6:03
2ND & 11
OWN 19
0
76.9%
Max Brown pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 5:57
3RD & 11
OWN 19
+12
78.4%
Max Brown run for 2 yds to the CLT 21 for a 1ST down Memphis Penalty, Defensive Holding (Greg Rubin) to the CLT 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:26
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+8
76.8%
Cartevious Norton run for 8 yds to the CLT 39Similar
Q2 4:54
2ND & 2
OWN 39
-5
75.2%
Charlotte Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the CLT 34Similar
Q2 4:30
2ND & 7
OWN 34
+1
76.2%
Cartevious Norton run for 1 yd to the CLT 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 9DOWNS
12 plays · 51 yds · 3:0580% → 79%
Q2 3:41
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+18
80.4%
Seth Henigan pass complete to Roc Taylor for 18 yds to the CLT 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:07
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+5
81.2%
Mario Anderson Jr. run for 5 yds to the CLT 29Similar
Q2 2:28
2ND & 5
OPP 29
0
80.9%
Seth Henigan pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 2:25
3RD & 5
OPP 29
+4
80.1%
Mario Anderson Jr. run for 4 yds to the CLT 25Similar
Q2 1:59
4TH & 1
OPP 25
+8
77.8%
Mario Anderson Jr. run for 8 yds to the CLT 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:35
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+4
79.6%
Mario Anderson Jr. run for 4 yds to the CLT 13Similar
Q2 0:57
2ND & 6
OPP 13
+6
79.4%
Seth Henigan run for 6 yds to the CLT 7 for a 1ST down Charlotte Penalty, Personal Foul (Charlie Jackson) to the CLT 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:48
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
0
79.5%
Seth Henigan pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:43
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+1
79.3%
Mario Anderson Jr. run for 1 yd to the CLT 2Similar
Q2 0:36
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
0
79.1%
Seth Henigan pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 10END OF HALF
1 play · 3 yds · 0:0025% → 25%
Q2 0:24
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+3
75.4%
Hahsaun Wilson run for 3 yds to the CLT 4Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 11PUNT
6 plays · 15 yds · 1:5227% → 27%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
73.2%
Henry Rutledge run for 9 yds to the CLT 34Similar
Q3 14:33
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+5
71.5%
Hahsaun Wilson run for 5 yds to the CLT 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:55
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
71.1%
Deshawn Purdie pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 13:51
2ND & 10
OWN 39
+1
71.4%
Hahsaun Wilson run for 1 yd to the CLT 40Similar
Q3 13:14
3RD & 9
OWN 40
0
71.8%
Deshawn Purdie pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 13:08
4TH & 9
OWN 40
0
73.3%
Michael O'Shaughnessy punt for 54 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 12TD
12 plays · 94 yds · 5:0975% → 86%
Q3 12:58
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+5
74.5%
Mario Anderson Jr. run for 5 yds to the MEM 11Similar
Q3 12:46
2ND & 5
OWN 11
+4
74.4%
Makari Bodiford run for 4 yds to the MEM 15Similar
Q3 12:03
3RD & 1
OWN 15
+6
72.8%
Makari Bodiford run for 6 yds to the MEM 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:22
1ST & 10
OWN 21
0
73.7%
Seth Henigan pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 11:15
2ND & 10
OWN 21
+4
73.5%
Makari Bodiford run for 4 yds to the MEM 25Similar
Q3 10:42
3RD & 6
OWN 25
+5
72.3%
(10:42) HENIGAN, Seth pass deep to the right incomplete intended for DRAKE, Koby broken up by CULP, Elijah at the CLT49, clock 10:37. PENALTY CLT Offsides on CLOWNEY, Demon enforced 5 yards from the MEM25 to the MEM30 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 10:37
3RD & 1
OWN 30
+40
73.5%
Makari Bodiford run for 40 yds to the CLT 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:56
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
76.9%
Seth Henigan pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 9:52
2ND & 10
OPP 30
+11
76.8%
Ja'Koby Banks run for 11 yds to the CLT 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:11
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+2
76.6%
Makari Bodiford run for 2 yds to the CLT 17Similar
Q3 8:33
2ND & 8
OPP 17
+3
76.4%
Makari Bodiford run for 3 yds to the CLT 14Similar
Q3 7:49
3RD & 5
OPP 14
+14
86.3%
Makari Bodiford run for 14 yds for a TD (Tristian Vandenberg KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 13PUNT
4 plays · -6 yds · 0:4518% → 16%
Q3 7:48
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
82.3%
Deshawn Purdie pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 7:45
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
82.4%
Deshawn Purdie pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 7:30
3RD & 10
OWN 25
-6
83.2%
Deshawn Purdie sacked by Chandler Martin and Cormontae Hamilton for a loss of 6 yards to the CLT 19Similar
Q3 7:03
4TH & 16
OWN 19
+3
83.8%
Michael O'Shaughnessy punt for 36 yds , Koby Drake returns for 3 yds to the MEM 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 14TD
10 plays · 52 yds · 4:3187% → 95%
Q3 6:54
1ST & 10
OWN 48
-2
86.7%
Mario Anderson Jr. run for a loss of 2 yards to the MEM 46Similar
Q3 6:12
2ND & 12
OWN 46
+15
85.9%
Mario Anderson Jr. run for 15 yds to the CLT 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:51
1ST & 10
OPP 39
-5
86.8%
Memphis Penalty, False Start (Chris Adams) to the CLT 44Similar
Q3 5:42
1ST & 15
OPP 44
+3
86.2%
Mario Anderson Jr. run for 3 yds to the CLT 41Similar
Q3 5:04
2ND & 12
OPP 41
0
86.5%
Seth Henigan pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 4:58
3RD & 12
OPP 41
+6
85.2%
Seth Henigan pass complete to Anthony Landphere for 6 yds to the CLT 35Similar
Q3 4:10
4TH & 6
OPP 35
+10
84.7%
Seth Henigan pass complete to Anthony Landphere for 10 yds to the CLT 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:43
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+6
86.8%
Mario Anderson Jr. run for 6 yds to the CLT 19Similar
Q3 3:00
2ND & 4
OPP 19
+8
86.8%
Seth Henigan run for 8 yds to the CLT 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:23
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+11
94.8%
Mario Anderson Jr. run for 11 yds for a TD (Tristian Vandenberg KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 15TD
8 plays · 75 yds · 3:168% → 18%
Q3 2:23
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
92.0%
Henry Rutledge run for 3 yds to the CLT 28Similar
Q3 1:45
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+6
91.6%
Deshawn Purdie pass complete to Isaiah Myers for 6 yds to the CLT 34Similar
Q3 1:07
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+3
91.5%
Cartevious Norton run for 3 yds to the CLT 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:27
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
91.7%
Deshawn Purdie pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 0:23
2ND & 10
OWN 37
+22
91.9%
Cartevious Norton run for 22 yds to the MEM 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 41
0
92.1%
Deshawn Purdie pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 14:55
2ND & 10
OPP 41
+2
92.0%
Cartevious Norton run for 2 yds to the MEM 39Similar
Q4 14:07
3RD & 8
OPP 39
+39
82.1%
Deshawn Purdie pass complete to O'Mega Blake for 39 yds for a TD (Stephen Rusnak KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 16PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 1:5688% → 87%
Q4 14:07
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
87.8%
Seth Henigan pass complete to Demeer Blankumsee for 6 yds to the MEM 31Similar
Q4 13:27
2ND & 4
OWN 31
-10
88.4%
Memphis Penalty, Offensive Holding (Chris Adams) to the MEM 27Similar
Q4 12:59
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+2
88.2%
Mario Anderson Jr. run for 2 yds to the MEM 29Similar
Q4 12:17
3RD & 6
OWN 29
0
87.7%
Seth Henigan pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 12:11
4TH & 6
OWN 29
0
86.7%
Joshua Sloan punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Henry Rutledge at the CLT 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 17TD
8 plays · 75 yds · 4:0415% → 49%
Q4 12:06
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
85.0%
Henry Rutledge run for 1 yd to the CLT 26Similar
Q4 11:29
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+18
85.0%
Deshawn Purdie pass complete to Sean Brown for 18 yds to the CLT 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:15
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+4
83.1%
Cartevious Norton run for 4 yds to the CLT 48Similar
Q4 10:31
2ND & 6
OWN 48
+2
82.3%
Cartevious Norton run for 2 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 9:46
3RD & 4
50
+32
81.7%
Deshawn Purdie pass complete to O'Mega Blake for 32 yds to the MEM 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:07
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+8
79.0%
Cartevious Norton run for 8 yds to the MEM 10Similar
Q4 8:44
2ND & 2
OPP 10
+5
79.0%
Cartevious Norton run for 5 yds to the MEM 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:02
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
50.8%
Cartevious Norton run for 5 yds for a TD (Stephen Rusnak KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 18DOWNS
10 plays · 69 yds · 3:3263% → 62%
Q4 8:02
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
63.2%
Mario Anderson Jr. run for 4 yds to the MEM 29Similar
Q4 7:25
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+15
63.4%
(07:25) HENIGAN, Seth pass deep to the right incomplete intended for DRAKE, Koby thrown to the CLT45, clock 07:19. PENALTY CLT Pass Interference on CONLEY, Ja'Qurious enforced 15 yards to the MEM44 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 7:19
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+1
66.5%
Mario Anderson Jr. run for 1 yd to the MEM 45Similar
Q4 6:41
2ND & 9
OWN 45
+40
65.9%
Seth Henigan pass complete to Roc Taylor for 40 yds to the CLT 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:19
1ST & 10
OPP 15
-2
69.0%
Seth Henigan run for a loss of 2 yards to the CLT 17Similar
Q4 5:38
2ND & 12
OPP 17
-5
68.5%
Memphis Penalty, False Start (Chris Adams) to the CLT 22Similar
Q4 5:21
2ND & 17
OPP 22
0
67.1%
Seth Henigan pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 5:16
3RD & 17
OPP 22
+14
62.9%
Seth Henigan pass complete to Mario Anderson Jr. for 14 yds to the CLT 8Similar
Q4 4:30
4TH & 3
OPP 8
+2
62.4%
Mario Anderson Jr. run for 2 yds to the CLT 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 19INT
3 plays · -4 yds · 1:0446% → 46%
Q4 4:24
1ST & 10
OWN 6
-2
54.1%
Cartevious Norton run for a loss of 2 yards to the CLT 4Similar
Q4 3:40
2ND & 12
OWN 4
-2
54.3%
Charlotte Penalty, False Start (Kendall Stanley) to the CLT 2Similar
Q4 3:20
2ND & 14
OWN 2
0
53.8%
Deshawn Purdie pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 20FG
6 plays · 5 yds · 1:0867% → 89%
Q4 3:04
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+2
67.1%
Mario Anderson Jr. run for 2 yds to the CLT 6Similar
Q4 2:55
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+3
67.6%
Mario Anderson Jr. run for 3 yds to the CLT 3Similar
Q4 2:09
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
0
64.7%
Mario Anderson Jr. run for no gain to the CLT 3Similar
Q4 1:56
4TH & GOAL
OPP 3
+21
88.8%
Tristian Vandenberg 21 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 21TD
2 plays · 75 yds · 0:3624% → 93%
Q4 1:56
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+57
75.8%
Deshawn Purdie pass complete to O'Mega Blake for 57 yds to the MEM 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:20
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+18
7.1%
Hahsaun Wilson run for 18 yds for a TD (Stephen Rusnak KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 22TD
8 plays · 75 yds · 0:4924% → 95%
Q4 1:20
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
24.4%
Seth Henigan pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:14
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+1
21.4%
Seth Henigan run for 1 yd to the MEM 26Similar
Q4 1:06
3RD & 9
OWN 26
+14
19.2%
Seth Henigan pass complete to Roc Taylor for 14 yds to the MEM 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:57
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+7
23.8%
Seth Henigan pass complete to Mario Anderson Jr. for 7 yds to the MEM 47Similar
Q4 0:50
2ND & 3
OWN 47
+25
23.8%
Seth Henigan pass complete to Anthony Landphere for 25 yds to the CLT 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:42
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+4
33.7%
Seth Henigan pass complete to Mario Anderson Jr. for 4 yds to the CLT 24Similar
Q4 0:31
2ND & 6
OPP 24
+24
94.9%
Seth Henigan pass complete to Roc Taylor for 24 yds for a TD (Tristian Vandenberg KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 23SF
2 plays · -4 yds · 0:1220% → 14%
Q4 0:31
1ST & 10
OWN 4
0
79.7%
Deshawn Purdie pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:19
2ND & 10
OWN 4
-4
86.3%
Deshawn Purdie sacked by William Whitlow Jr. for a loss of 4 yards for a SAFETYSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 24END OF GAME
1 play · -3 yds · 0:0096% → 96%
Q4 0:15
1ST & 10
OPP 27
-3
95.8%
(00:15) [NHSG] Kneel down by HENIGAN, Seth at CLT30 (team loss of 3), clock 00:11.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 1:20
Hahsaun Wilson run for 18 yds for a TD (Stephen Rusnak KICK)
-68.7
TD · Q4 0:31
Seth Henigan pass complete to Roc Taylor for 24 yds for a TD (Tristian Vandenberg KICK)
+61.2
TD · Q4 8:02
Cartevious Norton run for 5 yds for a TD (Stephen Rusnak KICK)
-28.2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com