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TEM

Temple 34 at East Carolina 56

ECU
2024 · Week 9 · Oct 26, 2024 · Dowdy-Ficklen Stadium
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Win probability · ECU
modelECU aheadTEM aheadconfidence bandkey playECU scoreTEM score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 13:02 · Luke Larsen punt for 48 yds for a touchback
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+34.5+17.30−17.3−34.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 51Pregame prior+16.8Home team on offense−0.2Score differential−0.4Garbage-time factor−0.6Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.2Blowout margin−0.6
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 6:29: Katin Houser pass complete to Winston Wright Jr. for 9 yds for a TD (Andrew Conrad KICK) — ECU win probability +9.2 pts (now 68%) (top driver: Not a blowout margin).
  2. TD · Q2 0:08: Katin Houser pass complete to Chase Sowell for 45 yds for a TD (Andrew Conrad KICK) — ECU win probability +12.4 pts (now 78%) (top driver: ECU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 13:30: Rahjai Harris run for 4 yds for a TD (Katin Houser pass to Tyler Savage for Two-Point Conversion) — ECU win probability +8.5 pts (now 87%) (top driver: ECU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 6:25: Evan Simon pass complete to Landon Morris for 25 yds for a TD (Maddux Trujillo KICK) — TEM win probability +10.5 pts (now 25%) (top driver: TEM has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 5:01: Marlon Gunn Jr. run for 7 yds for a TD (Andrew Conrad KICK) — ECU win probability +10.4 pts (now 91%) (top driver: ECU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
ECU made the numbers' call on 5 of 5TEM made the numbers' call on 6 of 8
  1. Q1 14:42TEM 4th & 15 at TEM 7, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 28.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    28.0%−0.1
    15% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    28.2%
    average punt
  2. Q1 2:14ECU 4th & 4 at ECU 31, down 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 68.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    68.1%−0.3
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    68.4%
    average punt
  3. Q1 0:07TEM 4th & 2 at TEM 38, up 1
    Close callPunted · 32.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    32.5%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    32.2%−0.3
    average punt
  4. Q2 13:02ECU 4th & 16 at TEM 48, down 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 66.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    66.2%−0.8
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    67.1%
    average punt
  5. Q2 10:57TEM 4th & 12 at TEM 18, up 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 32.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    31.8%−0.9
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    32.7%
    average punt
  6. Q2 6:29ECU 4th & 2 at TEM 9, down 8
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 55.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    54.9%
    54% to convert
    Field goal
    53.4%−1.5
    89% to make
    Punt
    46.4%−8.5
    average punt
  7. Q2 4:30TEM 4th & 15 at TEM 36, up 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 36.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    34.3%−1.9
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    36.2%
    average punt
  8. Q2 2:13ECU 4th & 5 at ECU 31, down 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 61.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    61.0%−0.5
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    61.5%
    average punt
  9. Q2 0:27TEM 4th & 10 at ECU 40, up 1
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 39.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    39.5%−0.7
    30% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    40.1%
    34% to make
    Punt
    39.0%−1.2
    average punt
  10. Q3 9:01TEM 4th & 5 at ECU 38, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 14.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    15.1%
    42% to convert
    Field goal
    14.2%−0.8
    38% to make
    Punt
    14.2%−0.9
    average punt
  11. Q3 6:25TEM 4th & 2 at ECU 25, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 14.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    14.5%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    13.4%−1.1
    66% to make
    Punt
    7.5%−7.1
    average punt
  12. Q4 12:11ECU 4th & 10 at ECU 25, up 22
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 98.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.4%−0.3
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    98.7%
    average punt
  13. Q4 10:20TEM 4th & 10 at TEM 39, down 22
    Close callWent for it · 1.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.9%−0.2
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    1.1%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
ECU made the numbers' call on 6 of 7TEM made the numbers' call on 4 of 5
  1. Q1 13:33ECU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    72.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    72.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 8:04TEM Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    29.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    29.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 4:18ECU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    72.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    72.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q1 3:22TEM Touchdown, tied before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    30.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    30.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 9:39TEM Touchdown, up 7 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    41.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    41.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 6:29ECU Touchdown, down 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    64.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    64.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q2 0:08ECU Touchdown, up 5 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    72.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    72.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q3 13:30ECU Touchdown, up 12 before the try
    Close callWent for two · converted
    Kick
    83.5%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    83.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q3 6:25TEM Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    19.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    18.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  10. Q3 5:01ECU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    89.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    88.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  11. Q3 3:39ECU Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  12. Q4 14:10TEM Touchdown, down 22 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    1.9%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    1.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
TEMDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · -5 yds · 0:1227% → 27%
Q1 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 12
0
73.2%
Evan Simon pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 14:51
2ND & 10
OWN 12
0
73.2%
Evan Simon pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 14:46
3RD & 10
OWN 12
-5
73.2%
Temple Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the TEM 7Similar
Q1 14:46
3RD & 15
OWN 7
0
73.3%
Evan Simon pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 14:42
4TH & 15
OWN 7
0
73.2%
Dante Atton punt for 45 yds, downed at the ECU 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 2TD
4 plays · 52 yds · 0:5873% → 74%
Q1 14:31
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+10
73.2%
Katin Houser pass complete to Chase Sowell for 10 yds to the TEM 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:50
1ST & 10
OPP 42
0
73.2%
Katin Houser pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:42
2ND & 10
OPP 42
0
73.2%
Katin Houser pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:33
3RD & 10
OPP 42
+42
73.5%
Katin Houser pass complete to Anthony Smith for 42 yds for a TD (Noah Perez KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 3TD
11 plays · 75 yds · 5:2827% → 29%
Q1 13:32
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
73.4%
Terrez Worthy run for 1 yd to the TEM 26Similar
Q1 12:47
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+14
73.5%
Terrez Worthy run for 14 yds to the TEM 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:06
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+15
73.4%
Evan Simon pass complete to Ashton Allen for 15 yds to the ECU 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:29
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+15
73.3%
Evan Simon pass complete to Jamar Taylor Jr. for 15 yds to the ECU 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:07
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
73.1%
Terrez Worthy run for no gain to the ECU 30Similar
Q1 10:34
2ND & 10
OPP 30
+5
73.1%
Evan Simon run for 5 yds to the ECU 25 for a 1ST down East Carolina Penalty, Personal Foul (Yards) to the ECU 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:05
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+1
73.1%
Terrez Worthy run for 1 yd to the ECU 11Similar
Q1 9:32
2ND & 9
OPP 11
+9
73.1%
(09:32) SIMON, Evan pass to the left incomplete intended for ALLEN, Ashton thrown to the ECU0, clock 09:28. PENALTY ECU Pass Interference on NASH, Dontavius enforced 9 yards to the ECU2 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 9:27
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
73.1%
Terrez Worthy run for 1 yd to the ECU 1Similar
Q1 8:45
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
73.0%
Terrez Worthy run for no gain to the ECU 1Similar
Q1 8:04
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
71.2%
Evan Simon run for 1 yd for a TD (Maddux Trujillo KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 4TD
10 plays · 61 yds · 3:3972% → 75%
Q1 7:57
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
72.1%
Katin Houser pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:50
2ND & 10
OWN 39
+5
72.0%
London Montgomery run for 5 yds to the ECU 44Similar
Q1 7:12
3RD & 5
OWN 44
+6
72.0%
Katin Houser pass complete to Chase Sowell for 6 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:51
1ST & 10
50
+3
72.2%
Katin Houser run for 3 yds to the TEM 47 Katin Houser fumbled, recovered by ECU return for 0 ydsSimilar
Q1 6:06
2ND & 7
OPP 47
0
72.2%
Katin Houser pass complete to Desirrio Riles for no gain to the TEM 47Similar
Q1 5:40
3RD & 7
OPP 47
+14
71.9%
London Montgomery run for 14 yds to the TEM 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:21
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+11
72.3%
London Montgomery run for 11 yds to the TEM 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:06
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+5
72.3%
London Montgomery run for 5 yds to the TEM 17Similar
Q1 4:31
2ND & 5
OPP 17
0
72.2%
Katin Houser pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 4:18
3RD & 5
OPP 17
+17
74.5%
Katin Houser pass complete to Jhari Patterson for 17 yds for a TD (Noah Perez PAT MISSED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 5TD
3 plays · 73 yds · 0:5027% → 30%
Q1 4:12
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+4
73.3%
Terrez Worthy run for 4 yds to the TEM 31Similar
Q1 3:49
2ND & 6
OWN 31
+9
73.2%
Terrez Worthy run for 9 yds to the TEM 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:22
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+60
69.7%
Evan Simon pass complete to Ashton Allen for 60 yds for a TD (Maddux Trujillo KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 6PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 1:0870% → 69%
Q1 3:22
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
69.8%
Rahjai Harris run for 2 yds to the ECU 27Similar
Q1 2:58
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+4
69.8%
Katin Houser run for 4 yds to the ECU 31Similar
Q1 2:28
3RD & 4
OWN 31
0
69.5%
Katin Houser pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 2:14
4TH & 4
OWN 31
0
69.2%
Luke Larsen punt for 39 yds, downed at the TEM 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 7PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 2:0031% → 31%
Q1 2:07
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+3
69.4%
Joquez Smith run for 3 yds to the TEM 33Similar
Q1 1:37
2ND & 7
OWN 33
+5
69.1%
Evan Simon pass complete to Joquez Smith for 5 yds to the TEM 38Similar
Q1 0:53
3RD & 2
OWN 38
0
68.3%
Antwain Littleton run for no gain to the TEM 38Similar
Q1 0:07
4TH & 2
OWN 38
0
69.1%
Dante Atton punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Winston Wright Jr. at the ECU 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 8PUNT
10 plays · 27 yds · 2:0769% → 68%
Q1 0:01
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
69.4%
Katin Houser pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:59
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
69.3%
Katin Houser pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:54
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+33
68.8%
Katin Houser pass complete to Anthony Smith for 33 yds to the TEM 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:33
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+4
70.9%
London Montgomery run for 4 yds to the TEM 38Similar
Q2 14:08
2ND & 6
OPP 38
-5
70.9%
East Carolina Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the TEM 43Similar
Q2 13:56
2ND & 11
OPP 43
0
70.6%
Katin Houser pass complete to Winston Wright Jr. for no gain to the TEM 43Similar
Q2 13:11
3RD & 11
OPP 43
0
69.4%
Katin Houser pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 13:08
4TH & 11
OPP 43
-5
68.9%
(13:08) LARSEN, Luke punt 38 yards to the TEM5, fair catch by STEWART, Tyler, clock 13:02. PENALTY Before the snap, ECU Illegal Formation enforced 5 yards from the TEM43 to the TEM48. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 13:02
4TH & 16
OPP 48
0
68.4%
Luke Larsen punt for 48 yds for a touchbackSimilar
Q2 12:54
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-4
68.1%
(12:54) WORTHY, Terrez rush to the right for a gain of 4 yards to the TEM24 (HINES, DeMarius;EDWARDS III, Michael), clock 12:46. PENALTY TEM Chop Block on KING, Eric enforced half the distance from the goal, 10 yards from the TEM20 to the TEM10 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 9PUNT
4 plays · -2 yds · 1:3732% → 31%
Q2 12:34
1ST & 20
OWN 10
0
68.1%
Evan Simon pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 12:27
2ND & 20
OWN 10
+4
68.1%
Evan Simon pass complete to Terrez Worthy for 4 yds to the TEM 14Similar
Q2 11:42
3RD & 16
OWN 14
+4
68.3%
Evan Simon pass complete to James Della Pesca for 4 yds to the TEM 18Similar
Q2 10:57
4TH & 12
OWN 18
0
68.6%
Dante Atton punt for 44 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 10INT
1 play · 0 yds · 0:0034% → 34%
Q2 10:36
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+15
65.6%
(10:36) SIMON, Evan pass deep to the right incomplete intended for ALLEN, Ashton thrown to the ECU10, clock 10:31. PENALTY ECU Pass Interference on WILSON-LAMP, Andrew enforced 15 yards to the ECU23 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 11TD
3 plays · 38 yds · 0:5135% → 42%
Q2 10:30
1ST & 10
OPP 23
-11
64.9%
Temple Penalty, Intentional Grounding (Evan Simon) to the ECU 34Similar
Q2 9:39
2ND & 21
OPP 34
+7
65.1%
Evan Simon pass complete to Ashton Allen for 7 yds to the ECU 27Similar
Q2 9:39
3RD & 14
OPP 27
+27
58.1%
Evan Simon pass complete to Ashton Allen for 27 yds for a TD (Maddux Trujillo KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 12TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 3:1059% → 68%
Q2 9:39
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
59.3%
East Carolina Penalty, Delay Of Game (-5 Yards) to the ECU 20Similar
Q2 9:39
1ST & 15
OWN 20
+8
59.2%
Rahjai Harris run for 8 yds to the ECU 28Similar
Q2 9:20
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+6
59.0%
Rahjai Harris run for 6 yds to the ECU 34Similar
Q2 8:45
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+6
58.8%
Rahjai Harris run for 6 yds to the ECU 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:24
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+43
59.4%
Rahjai Harris run for 43 yds to the TEM 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:44
1ST & 10
OPP 17
0
60.2%
Katin Houser pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 7:40
2ND & 10
OPP 17
+4
60.2%
Marlon Gunn Jr. run for 4 yds to the TEM 13Similar
Q2 7:04
3RD & 6
OPP 13
+4
58.6%
Marlon Gunn Jr. run for 4 yds to the TEM 9Similar
Q2 6:29
4TH & 2
OPP 9
+9
67.8%
Katin Houser pass complete to Winston Wright Jr. for 9 yds for a TD (Andrew Conrad KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 13PUNT
7 plays · 15 yds · 1:5335% → 35%
Q2 6:23
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+4
64.6%
Evan Simon pass complete to Jamar Taylor Jr. for 4 yds to the TEM 25Similar
Q2 6:00
2ND & 6
OWN 25
+16
64.2%
Terrez Worthy run for 16 yds to the TEM 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:33
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
62.5%
Terrez Worthy run for no gain to the TEM 41Similar
Q2 4:55
2ND & 10
OWN 41
0
62.7%
Evan Simon pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 4:49
3RD & 10
OWN 41
0
63.5%
Evan Simon pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 4:41
4TH & 10
OWN 41
-5
64.8%
(04:41) ATTON, Dante punt 55 yards to the ECU4 downed by ADAMS, John, clock 04:31. PENALTY Before the snap, TEM Illegal Formation enforced 5 yards from the TEM41 to the TEM36. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 4:30
4TH & 15
OWN 36
0
65.1%
Dante Atton punt for 50 yds, downed at the ECU 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 14PUNT
6 plays · 17 yds · 2:0665% → 64%
Q2 4:19
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+1
65.4%
London Montgomery run for 1 yd to the ECU 15Similar
Q2 3:59
2ND & 9
OWN 15
+11
65.2%
Katin Houser pass complete to Jhari Patterson for 11 yds to the ECU 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:32
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+2
65.7%
London Montgomery run for 2 yds to the ECU 28Similar
Q2 3:01
2ND & 8
OWN 28
+3
65.6%
London Montgomery run for 3 yds to the ECU 31Similar
Q2 2:17
3RD & 5
OWN 31
0
64.3%
Katin Houser pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 2:13
4TH & 5
OWN 31
+10
63.5%
Luke Larsen punt for 44 yds , Tyler Stewart returns for 10 yds to the TEM 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 15MISSED FG
9 plays · 25 yds · 1:3538% → 39%
Q2 2:02
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+9
62.0%
Terrez Worthy run for 9 yds to the TEM 44Similar
Q2 1:55
2ND & 1
OWN 44
0
59.9%
Terrez Worthy run for no gain to the TEM 44Similar
Q2 1:09
3RD & 1
OWN 44
+6
59.8%
Evan Simon pass complete to Landon Morris for 6 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:00
1ST & 10
50
+10
58.4%
Evan Simon pass complete to Landon Morris for 10 yds to the ECU 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:48
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
57.6%
Evan Simon pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:44
2ND & 10
OPP 40
0
58.0%
Evan Simon pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:38
3RD & 10
OPP 40
0
58.8%
Evan Simon pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:27
4TH & 10
OPP 40
+58
60.8%
Maddux Trujillo 58 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 16TD
3 plays · 60 yds · 0:1965% → 78%
Q2 0:27
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+3
65.2%
Rahjai Harris run for 3 yds to the ECU 43Similar
Q2 0:22
2ND & 7
OWN 43
+12
65.5%
Katin Houser pass complete to Anthony Smith for 12 yds to the TEM 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:08
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+45
77.9%
Katin Houser pass complete to Chase Sowell for 45 yds for a TD (Andrew Conrad KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 17END OF HALF
1 play · 0 yds · 0:0026% → 26%
Q2 0:04
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
74.4%
(00:04) [NH] Kneel down by SIMON, Evan at TEM38 (team loss of 0), clock 00:00.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 18TD
4 plays · 62 yds · 1:2277% → 87%
Q3 14:52
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+55
77.0%
Rahjai Harris run for 55 yds to the TEM 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:19
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
0
78.0%
Katin Houser pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 14:14
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+3
78.0%
Rahjai Harris run for 3 yds to the TEM 4Similar
Q3 13:30
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
86.5%
Rahjai Harris run for 4 yds for a TD (Katin Houser pass to Tyler Savage for Two-Point Conversion)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 19TD
14 plays · 79 yds · 6:5815% → 25%
Q3 13:23
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+5
85.4%
(13:23) WORTHY, Terrez rush to the left for a gain of 8 yards to the TEM29 (ROGERS, Omar), clock 13:17. PENALTY ECU Offsides on CRAIG, Ryheem enforced 5 yards from the TEM21 to the TEM26 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 13:07
1ST & 5
OWN 26
+1
84.7%
Terrez Worthy run for 1 yd to the TEM 27Similar
Q3 12:27
2ND & 4
OWN 27
+8
85.2%
Evan Simon run for 8 yds to the TEM 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:06
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+2
85.4%
Terrez Worthy run for 2 yds to the TEM 37Similar
Q3 11:41
2ND & 8
OWN 37
+2
85.3%
Evan Simon run for 2 yds to the TEM 39Similar
Q3 10:54
3RD & 6
OWN 39
+18
85.5%
Evan Simon pass complete to Antwain Littleton for 18 yds to the ECU 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:28
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
84.7%
Evan Simon pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 10:27
2ND & 10
OPP 43
-8
85.0%
Evan Simon sacked by Samuel Dankah and D'Anta Johnson for a loss of 8 yards to the TEM 49Similar
Q3 9:44
3RD & 18
OWN 49
+13
86.6%
Evan Simon pass complete to Landon Morris for 13 yds to the ECU 38Similar
Q3 9:01
4TH & 5
OPP 38
+5
85.8%
Evan Simon pass complete to Kajiya Hollawayne for 5 yds to the ECU 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:35
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+3
84.5%
Antwain Littleton run for 3 yds to the ECU 30Similar
Q3 7:59
2ND & 7
OPP 30
+2
84.3%
Terrez Worthy run for 2 yds to the ECU 28Similar
Q3 7:15
3RD & 5
OPP 28
+3
85.4%
Evan Simon pass complete to Jamar Taylor Jr. for 3 yds to the ECU 25Similar
Q3 6:25
4TH & 2
OPP 25
+25
74.8%
Evan Simon pass complete to Landon Morris for 25 yds for a TD (Maddux Trujillo KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 20TD
4 plays · 75 yds · 1:2381% → 91%
Q3 6:24
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+14
80.5%
Katin Houser pass complete to Anthony Smith for 14 yds to the ECU 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:03
1ST & 10
OWN 39
-2
81.8%
Katin Houser pass complete to Winston Wright Jr. for a loss of 2 yards to the ECU 37Similar
Q3 5:44
2ND & 12
OWN 37
+56
80.8%
Katin Houser pass complete to Chase Sowell for 56 yds to the TEM 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:01
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
91.2%
Marlon Gunn Jr. run for 7 yds for a TD (Andrew Conrad KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 22INT
1 play · 3 yds · 0:003% → 3%
Q3 4:42
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
96.7%
Terrez Worthy run for 3 yds to the TEM 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 23TD
2 plays · 20 yds · 0:3396% → 100%
Q3 4:12
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+4
96.1%
London Montgomery run for 4 yds to the TEM 16Similar
Q3 3:39
2ND & 6
OPP 16
+16
99.6%
Yannick Smith 16 Yd pass from Katin Houser (Andrew Conrad Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 24TD
12 plays · 75 yds · 4:290% → 2%
Q3 3:39
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
99.6%
Antwain Littleton run for 3 yds to the TEM 28Similar
Q3 3:06
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+15
99.6%
East Carolina Penalty, Personal Foul (15 Yards) to the TEM 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:48
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
99.7%
Evan Simon pass complete to Antonio Jones for no gain to the TEM 47Similar
Q3 2:14
2ND & 10
OWN 47
0
99.7%
Antwain Littleton run for no gain to the TEM 47Similar
Q3 1:50
3RD & 10
OWN 47
+27
99.7%
Evan Simon pass complete to Landon Morris for 27 yds to the ECU 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:25
1ST & 10
OPP 26
-1
99.7%
Antwain Littleton run for a loss of 1 yard to the ECU 27Similar
Q3 0:44
2ND & 11
OPP 27
0
99.7%
Evan Simon pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 0:39
3RD & 11
OPP 27
+11
99.8%
Evan Simon pass complete to Jamar Taylor Jr. for 11 yds to the ECU 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:18
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+4
99.7%
Evan Simon run for 4 yds to the ECU 12Similar
Q4 14:59
2ND & 6
OPP 12
+5
99.7%
Evan Simon pass complete to Kajiya Hollawayne for 5 yds to the ECU 7Similar
Q4 14:10
3RD & 1
OPP 7
+7
98.1%
Terrez Worthy 7 Yd Run (Two-Point Pass Conversion Failed)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 25PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 1:5899% → 99%
Q4 14:09
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
98.8%
Rahjai Harris run for 1 yd to the ECU 26Similar
Q4 13:32
2ND & 9
OWN 26
-1
98.8%
Rahjai Harris run for a loss of 1 yard to the ECU 25Similar
Q4 12:54
3RD & 10
OWN 25
0
98.8%
Katin Houser pass complete to Winston Wright Jr. for no gain to the ECU 25Similar
Q4 12:11
4TH & 10
OWN 25
0
98.8%
Luke Larsen punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Tyler Stewart at the TEM 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 26DOWNS
4 plays · 0 yds · 1:442% → 1%
Q4 12:04
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+2
98.5%
Terrez Worthy run for 2 yds to the TEM 41Similar
Q4 11:38
2ND & 8
OWN 41
-7
98.5%
Evan Simon sacked by Elijah Morris for a loss of 7 yards to the TEM 34Similar
Q4 11:04
3RD & 15
OWN 34
+5
98.7%
Evan Simon run for 5 yds to the TEM 39Similar
Q4 10:20
4TH & 10
OWN 39
0
98.8%
Evan Simon pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 27DOWNS
3 plays · 29 yds · 1:1099% → 99%
Q4 10:14
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
99.2%
London Montgomery run for no gain to the TEM 39Similar
Q4 9:41
2ND & 10
OPP 39
+6
99.2%
London Montgomery run for 6 yds to the TEM 33Similar
Q4 9:04
3RD & 4
OPP 33
0
99.2%
London Montgomery run for no gain to the TEM 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 28INT
9 plays · 58 yds · 3:061% → 1%
Q4 8:21
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+8
98.9%
Terrez Worthy run for 8 yds to the TEM 18Similar
Q4 7:45
2ND & 2
OWN 18
+20
98.9%
Evan Simon pass complete to John Adams for 20 yds to the TEM 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:20
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+8
98.9%
Terrez Worthy run for 8 yds to the TEM 46Similar
Q4 6:56
2ND & 2
OWN 46
+7
99.1%
Evan Simon pass complete to Antonio Jones for 7 yds to the ECU 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:21
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+3
99.2%
Evan Simon pass complete to Jamar Taylor Jr. for 3 yds to the ECU 44Similar
Q4 5:53
2ND & 7
OPP 44
+12
99.2%
Joquez Smith run for 12 yds to the ECU 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:28
1ST & 10
OPP 32
0
99.0%
Evan Simon pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 5:20
2ND & 10
OPP 32
0
99.1%
Evan Simon pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 5:15
3RD & 10
OPP 32
0
99.2%
Evan Simon pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 29END OF GAME
9 plays · 24 yds · 4:2699% → 100%
Q4 4:59
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+4
99.4%
Marlon Gunn Jr. run for 4 yds to the ECU 24Similar
Q4 4:18
2ND & 6
OWN 24
-1
99.5%
Marlon Gunn Jr. run for a loss of 1 yard to the ECU 23Similar
Q4 3:58
3RD & 7
OWN 23
+7
99.6%
Raheim Jeter run for 7 yds to the ECU 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:21
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+5
99.7%
Marlon Gunn Jr. run for 5 yds to the ECU 35Similar
Q4 2:37
2ND & 5
OWN 35
+10
99.7%
Marlon Gunn Jr. run for 10 yds to the ECU 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:59
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+4
99.8%
Marlon Gunn Jr. run for 4 yds to the ECU 49Similar
Q4 1:12
2ND & 6
OWN 49
-3
99.8%
(01:12) [NHSG] Kneel down by JETER, Raheim at ECU46 (team loss of 3), clock 01:03.Similar
Q4 0:33
3RD & 9
OWN 46
-2
99.8%
(00:33) [NHSG] Kneel down by JETER, Raheim at ECU44 (team loss of 2), clock 00:00.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 0:08
Katin Houser pass complete to Chase Sowell for 45 yds for a TD (Andrew Conrad KICK)
+12.4
TD · Q3 6:25
Evan Simon pass complete to Landon Morris for 25 yds for a TD (Maddux Trujillo KICK)
-10.5
TD · Q3 5:01
Marlon Gunn Jr. run for 7 yds for a TD (Andrew Conrad KICK)
+10.4
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com