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RICE

Rice 10 at Tulane 24

TULN
2024 · Week 8 · Oct 19, 2024 · Yulman Stadium
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Win probability · TULN
modelTULN aheadRICE aheadconfidence bandkey playTULN scoreRICE score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDTDFGTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 11:07 · Conor Hunt punt for 27 yds
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+42.0+21.00−21.0−42.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 8Pregame prior+40.2Home team on offense−0.3Garbage-time factor+0.0Score differential−0.3Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.2Blowout margin+0.1
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 1:04: Darian Mensah pass complete to Makhi Hughes for 29 yds for a TD (Jacob Barnes KICK) — TULN win probability +7.0 pts (now 85%) (top driver: TULN has the ball).
  2. FG · Q3 6:48: Tim Horn 35 yd FG GOOD — RICE win probability +3.8 pts (now 27%) (top driver: RICE has the ball).
  3. KEY PLAY · Q4 14:42: Makhi Hughes run for 3 yds to the TULN 21 — TULN win probability +7.2 pts (now 70%) (top driver: TULN has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 8:22: Makhi Hughes run for 1 yd for a TD (Jacob Barnes KICK) — TULN win probability +20.9 pts (now 91%) (top driver: TULN has the ball).
  5. KEY PLAY · Q4 4:42: Makhi Hughes run for 4 yds to the TULN 22 — TULN win probability +8.3 pts (now 91%) (top driver: TULN has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
TULN made the numbers' call on 6 of 9RICE made the numbers' call on 3 of 7
  1. Q1 11:07RICE 4th & 8 at TULN 39, tied
    Close callPunted · 9.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.4%
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    9.4%−<0.1
    36% to make
    PuntTheir call
    9.4%−<0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 9:43TULN 4th & 21 at TULN 1, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 90.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    89.9%−0.3
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    90.2%
    average punt
  3. Q1 1:43TULN 4th & 10 at RICE 10, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 87.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    87.6%−0.1
    24% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    87.7%
    88% to make
    Punt
    86.8%−0.9
    average punt
  4. Q2 9:49TULN 4th & 7 at RICE 36, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 82.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    82.8%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    82.6%−0.2
    42% to make
    Punt
    82.4%−0.4
    average punt
  5. Q2 4:24TULN 4th & 6 at TULN 49, down 4
    Close callPunted · 78.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    77.9%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    77.8%−0.1
    average punt
  6. Q2 3:25RICE 4th & 7 at RICE 12, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 21.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    20.5%−1.5
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    22.0%
    average punt
  7. Q2 0:07RICE 4th & 10 at TULN 46, down 3
    Close callPunted · 17.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    17.8%−0.4
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    18.2%
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    17.7%−0.5
    average punt
  8. Q3 11:10TULN 4th & 5 at RICE 27, up 3
    Close callWent for it · 81.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    81.2%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    81.3%
    62% to make
    Punt
    77.2%−4.1
    average punt
  9. Q3 6:48RICE 4th & 14 at TULN 17, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 20.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    18.3%−2.3
    17% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    20.6%
    80% to make
    Punt
    13.5%−7.1
    average punt
  10. Q3 4:24TULN 4th & 14 at TULN 31, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 70.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    68.5%−4.4
    18% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    72.8%
    average punt
  11. Q4 13:53TULN 4th & 7 at TULN 21, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 65.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    64.4%−3.7
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    68.1%
    average punt
  12. Q4 12:52RICE 4th & 9 at RICE 31, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 32.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    31.5%−4.0
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    35.6%
    average punt
  13. Q4 4:52RICE 4th & 7 at TULN 18, down 7
    Close callWent for it · 14.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    12.0%−0.9
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    12.9%
    79% to make
    Punt
    5.1%−7.8
    average punt
  14. Q4 2:36TULN 4th & 2 at TULN 26, up 7
    Close callPunted · 92.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    92.8%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    92.1%−0.7
    average punt
  15. Q4 2:10RICE 4th & 10 at RICE 20, down 7
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.1 ptsPunted · 9.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.8%
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.7%−1.1
    average punt
  16. Q4 1:43TULN 4th & 7 at TULN 45, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 94.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.0%−0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    94.1%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
TULN made the numbers' call on 2 of 3RICE made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q2 14:12RICE Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    15.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    15.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 1:04TULN Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    83.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    83.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q4 8:22TULN Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    84.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    83.9%−0.4
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 1:35TULN Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.3%−0.5
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.8%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
RICEDrive 1PUNT
8 plays · 36 yds · 3:488% → 9%
Q1 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
92.0%
Dean Connors run for 6 yds to the RICE 31Similar
Q1 14:24
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+5
91.8%
E.J. Warner pass complete to Kobie Campbell for 5 yds to the RICE 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:17
2ND & 4
OWN 42
+17
91.8%
E.J. Warner pass complete to Braylen Walker for 17 yds to the TULN 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:05
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+6
91.7%
E.J. Warner pass complete to Elijah Mojarro for 6 yds to the RICE 42Similar
Q1 13:41
2ND & 10
OPP 41
+2
91.6%
E.J. Warner pass complete to Dean Connors for 2 yds to the TULN 39Similar
Q1 13:33
1ST & 10
OPP 41
0
91.6%
Dean Connors run for no gain to the TULN 41Similar
Q1 13:04
3RD & 8
OPP 39
0
91.4%
E.J. Warner pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:07
4TH & 8
OPP 39
0
90.9%
Conor Hunt punt for 27 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 2PUNT
4 plays · -11 yds · 3:2591% → 90%
Q1 10:20
2ND & 5
OWN 17
0
90.7%
Darian Mensah pass complete to Mario Williams for no gain to the TULN 17Similar
Q1 9:55
3RD & 5
OWN 17
-16
90.5%
Darian Mensah sacked by Ty Morris for a loss of 16 yards to the TULN 1Similar
Q1 9:43
4TH & 21
OWN 1
-3
90.4%
Will Karoll punt for 60 yds , Tyson Thompson returns for a loss of 3 yards to the RICE 36Similar
Q1 6:55
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+5
89.6%
Makhi Hughes run for 5 yds to the TULN 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 3INT
3 plays · 10 yds · 1:1710% → 10%
Q1 9:33
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+13
90.5%
E.J. Warner pass complete to Matt Sykes for 13 yds to the RICE 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:16
1ST & 10
OWN 42
-3
89.9%
Dean Connors run for a loss of 3 yards to the RICE 39Similar
Q1 8:16
2ND & 13
OWN 39
0
90.0%
E.J. Warner pass intercepted Tyler Grubbs return for no gain to the RICE 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 4FG
12 plays · 36 yds · 6:1690% → 89%
Q1 7:59
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+10
90.3%
Makhi Hughes run for 10 yds to the RICE 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:20
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+5
89.9%
Makhi Hughes run for 5 yds to the RICE 31Similar
Q1 5:46
2ND & 5
OPP 31
0
89.8%
Darian Mensah pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 5:40
3RD & 5
OPP 31
+9
89.6%
Makhi Hughes run for 9 yds to the RICE 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:07
1ST & 10
OPP 22
-10
89.6%
HUGHES, Makhi rush to the right for a gain of 6 yards to the RIC16 (BAUR, Brad), clock 05:07. PENALTY TLN Holding on GREEN, Rashad enforced 10 yards from the RIC22 to the RIC32 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 4:50
1ST & 20
OPP 32
+1
89.4%
Arnold Barnes III run for 1 yd to the RICE 31Similar
Q1 4:09
2ND & 19
OPP 31
+21
89.1%
Darian Mensah run for 21 yds to the RICE 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:31
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+4
89.2%
Arnold Barnes III run for 4 yds to the RICE 6Similar
Q1 2:44
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+1
89.0%
Ty Thompson run for 1 yd to the RICE 5Similar
Q1 2:11
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
-5
88.6%
Tulane Penalty, False Start (Josh Remetich) to the RICE 10Similar
Q1 1:49
3RD & GOAL
OPP 10
0
88.5%
Darian Mensah pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 1:43
4TH & GOAL
OPP 10
+28
88.5%
Jacob Barnes 28 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 5TD
5 plays · 75 yds · 2:2612% → 15%
Q1 1:38
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
88.5%
Dean Connors run for 3 yds to the RICE 28Similar
Q1 1:09
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+32
88.3%
E.J. Warner pass complete to Kobie Campbell for 32 yds to the TULN 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:28
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+4
87.4%
Drayden Dickmann run for 4 yds to the TULN 36Similar
Q2 14:47
2ND & 6
OPP 36
+5
87.1%
E.J. Warner pass complete to Matt Sykes for 5 yds to the TULN 31Similar
Q2 14:12
3RD & 1
OPP 31
+31
84.8%
E.J. Warner pass complete to Elijah Mojarro for 31 yds for a TD (Tim Horn KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 6DOWNS
9 plays · 39 yds · 4:1885% → 83%
Q2 14:07
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+24
85.4%
Darian Mensah pass complete to Dontae Fleming for 24 yds to the TULN 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:34
1ST & 10
OWN 49
-1
86.0%
Makhi Hughes run for a loss of 1 yard to the TULN 48Similar
Q2 12:54
2ND & 11
OWN 48
0
85.2%
Darian Mensah pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 12:47
3RD & 11
OWN 48
+13
84.8%
Darian Mensah pass complete to Bryce Bohanon for 13 yds to the RICE 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:13
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+1
85.6%
Makhi Hughes run for 1 yd to the RICE 38Similar
Q2 11:33
2ND & 9
OPP 38
-5
85.2%
Tulane Penalty, False Start (Josh Remetich) to the RICE 43Similar
Q2 11:11
2ND & 14
OPP 43
+8
84.4%
Darian Mensah pass complete to Yulkeith Brown for 8 yds to the RICE 35Similar
Q2 10:31
3RD & 6
OPP 35
-1
84.6%
Darian Mensah run for a loss of 1 yard to the RICE 36Similar
Q2 9:49
4TH & 7
OPP 36
0
83.3%
Darian Mensah pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 7FUMBLE
5 plays · 42 yds · 1:2618% → 20%
Q2 9:49
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+24
82.3%
Dean Connors run for 24 yds to the TULN 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:12
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+2
80.6%
Dean Connors run for 2 yds to the TULN 38Similar
Q2 8:30
2ND & 8
OPP 38
0
80.2%
E.J. Warner pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 8:23
3RD & 8
OPP 38
+16
80.3%
Dean Connors run for 16 yds to the TULN 22 Dean Connors fumbled, recovered by TULN Sam Howard S. Howard return for 0 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 8PUNT
8 plays · 27 yds · 3:5482% → 78%
Q2 8:18
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+12
81.6%
Darian Mensah pass complete to Bryce Bohanon for 12 yds to the TULN 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:47
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+3
80.9%
Makhi Hughes run for 3 yds to the TULN 37Similar
Q2 7:04
2ND & 7
OWN 37
+1
81.3%
Darian Mensah run for 1 yd to the TULN 38Similar
Q2 6:27
3RD & 6
OWN 38
+7
80.0%
Darian Mensah pass complete to Mario Williams for 7 yds to the TULN 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:42
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
80.8%
Darian Mensah pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 5:35
2ND & 10
OWN 45
+3
80.0%
Arnold Barnes III run for 3 yds to the TULN 48Similar
Q2 5:04
3RD & 7
OWN 48
+1
79.7%
Makhi Hughes run for 1 yd to the TULN 49Similar
Q2 4:24
4TH & 6
OWN 49
0
78.1%
Will Karoll punt for 42 yds, downed at the RICE 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 9PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:4622% → 22%
Q2 4:11
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+3
77.9%
Quinton Jackson run for 3 yds to the RICE 12Similar
Q2 3:36
2ND & 7
OWN 12
0
77.4%
E.J. Warner pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 3:30
3RD & 7
OWN 12
0
78.0%
E.J. Warner pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 3:25
4TH & 7
OWN 12
0
78.5%
Alex Bacchetta punt for 50 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 10TD
8 plays · 62 yds · 2:1378% → 85%
Q2 3:17
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+6
78.4%
Makhi Hughes run for 6 yds to the TULN 44Similar
Q2 2:38
2ND & 4
OWN 44
+1
78.7%
Makhi Hughes run for 1 yd to the TULN 45Similar
Q2 1:55
3RD & 3
OWN 45
+12
75.9%
Darian Mensah pass complete to Dontae Fleming for 12 yds to the RICE 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:49
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+19
77.2%
Darian Mensah pass complete to Yulkeith Brown for 19 yds to the RICE 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:38
1ST & 10
OPP 24
-5
78.3%
Tulane Penalty, False Start (Josh Remetich) to the RICE 29Similar
Q2 1:14
1ST & 15
OPP 29
0
77.5%
Darian Mensah pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:04
2ND & 15
OPP 29
+29
84.5%
Darian Mensah pass complete to Makhi Hughes for 29 yds for a TD (Jacob Barnes KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 11PUNT
13 plays · 36 yds · 0:5117% → 15%
Q2 0:58
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+6
82.6%
E.J. Warner pass complete to Dean Connors for 6 yds to the RICE 24Similar
Q2 0:53
2ND & 4
OWN 24
+10
82.1%
E.J. Warner pass complete to Dean Connors for 10 yds to the RICE 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:48
1ST & 10
OWN 34
0
82.0%
E.J. Warner pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:42
2ND & 10
OWN 34
+9
82.2%
E.J. Warner pass complete to Dean Connors for 9 yds to the RICE 43Similar
Q2 0:36
3RD & 1
OWN 43
+11
80.9%
E.J. Warner pass complete to Graham Walker for 11 yds to the TULN 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:29
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+2
80.1%
E.J. Warner pass complete to Kobie Campbell for 2 yds to the TULN 44Similar
Q2 0:23
2ND & 8
OPP 44
+2
81.7%
E.J. Warner pass complete to Dean Connors for 2 yds to the TULN 42Similar
Q2 0:15
3RD & 6
OPP 42
-4
83.3%
E.J. Warner sacked for a loss of 4 yards to the TULN 46 E.J. Warner fumbled, recovered by RICE Graham Walker , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q2 0:07
4TH & 10
OPP 46
0
85.2%
Conor Hunt punt for 32 yds, downed at the TULN 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 12END OF HALF
1 play · -1 yds · 0:0083% → 83%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 14
-1
83.0%
[NH] Kneel down by MENSAH, Darian at TLN13 (team loss of 1), clock 00:00.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 13DOWNS
9 plays · 48 yds · 3:5083% → 82%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
82.5%
Darian Mensah pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 14:48
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+4
83.1%
Makhi Hughes run for 4 yds to the TULN 29Similar
Q3 14:08
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+18
82.4%
Darian Mensah pass complete to Mario Williams for 18 yds to the TULN 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:34
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+7
84.1%
Darian Mensah pass complete to Yulkeith Brown for 7 yds to the RICE 46Similar
Q3 13:01
2ND & 3
OPP 46
+14
84.3%
Makhi Hughes run for 14 yds to the RICE 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:17
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+5
84.3%
Makhi Hughes run for 5 yds to the RICE 27Similar
Q3 11:26
2ND & 5
OPP 27
0
84.0%
Darian Mensah pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 11:18
3RD & 5
OPP 27
0
83.2%
Darian Mensah pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 11:10
4TH & 5
OPP 27
0
82.0%
Darian Mensah pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 14FG
10 plays · 56 yds · 4:1720% → 27%
Q3 11:05
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+15
80.5%
E.J. Warner pass complete to Matt Sykes for 15 yds to the RICE 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:25
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+6
78.7%
E.J. Warner pass complete to Matt Sykes for 6 yds to the RICE 48Similar
Q3 9:47
2ND & 4
OWN 48
-1
77.9%
Dean Connors run for a loss of 1 yard to the RICE 47Similar
Q3 9:05
3RD & 5
OWN 47
+7
77.8%
E.J. Warner pass complete to Matt Sykes for 7 yds to the TULN 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:23
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+33
76.6%
E.J. Warner pass complete to Kobie Campbell for 33 yds to the TULN 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:36
1ST & 10
OPP 13
-5
74.9%
WARNER, E.J. pass to the left incomplete intended for WALKER, Graham thrown to the TLN5, clock 07:36. PENALTY Before the snap, RIC Illegal Formation on WALKER, Braylen enforced 5 yards from the TLN13 to the TLN18. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 7:29
1ST & 15
OPP 18
+1
75.1%
Quinton Jackson run for 1 yd to the TULN 17Similar
Q3 6:57
2ND & 14
OPP 17
0
75.4%
E.J. Warner pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 6:56
3RD & 14
OPP 17
0
77.2%
E.J. Warner pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 6:48
4TH & 14
OPP 17
+35
73.5%
Tim Horn 35 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 15PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 2:2475% → 71%
Q3 6:48
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
75.1%
Makhi Hughes run for 10 yds to the TULN 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:48
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+2
75.5%
Makhi Hughes run for 2 yds to the TULN 37Similar
Q3 6:48
2ND & 8
OWN 37
-16
76.0%
Darian Mensah sacked for a loss of 16 yards to the TULN 21 Darian Mensah fumbled, recovered by TULN Anthony Miller , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q3 4:37
3RD & 24
OWN 21
+10
71.5%
Ty Thompson run for 10 yds to the TULN 31Similar
Q3 4:24
4TH & 14
OWN 31
+25
70.8%
Will Karoll punt for 49 yds , Tyson Thompson returns for 25 yds to the RICE 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 16INT
5 plays · 10 yds · 1:5233% → 33%
Q3 4:13
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+8
67.2%
E.J. Warner pass complete to Kobie Campbell for 8 yds to the TULN 47Similar
Q3 3:37
2ND & 2
OPP 47
+3
65.3%
Dean Connors run for 3 yds to the TULN 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:59
1ST & 10
OPP 44
-1
65.1%
Dean Connors run for a loss of 1 yard to the TULN 45Similar
Q3 2:26
2ND & 11
OPP 45
0
65.2%
E.J. Warner pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 2:21
3RD & 11
OPP 45
+10
66.7%
Tulane Penalty, Offensive Pass Interference (Jalen Geiger) to the TULN 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 17INT
5 plays · 10 yds · 2:1237% → 37%
Q3 2:07
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
63.0%
E.J. Warner pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 1:55
2ND & 10
OPP 35
-2
62.8%
Quinton Jackson run for a loss of 2 yards to the TULN 37Similar
Q3 1:23
3RD & 12
OPP 37
+20
65.8%
E.J. Warner pass complete to Kobie Campbell for 20 yds to the TULN 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:35
1ST & 10
OPP 17
-8
60.8%
E.J. Warner pass complete to John Long for a loss of 8 yards to the TULN 25Similar
Q4 14:55
2ND & 18
OPP 25
-16
62.6%
E.J. Warner pass intercepted Micah Robinson return for 16 yds to the TULN 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 18PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:4970% → 66%
Q4 14:42
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+3
69.8%
Makhi Hughes run for 3 yds to the TULN 21Similar
Q4 13:59
2ND & 7
OWN 21
0
69.1%
Darian Mensah pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 13:58
3RD & 7
OWN 21
0
67.2%
Darian Mensah pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 13:53
4TH & 7
OWN 21
0
66.0%
Will Karoll punt for 49 yds, fair catch by Tyson Thompson at the RICE 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 19PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 0:5335% → 33%
Q4 13:45
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
64.8%
E.J. Warner pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 13:45
2ND & 10
OWN 30
0
65.4%
E.J. Warner pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 13:38
3RD & 10
OWN 30
-5
66.6%
Rice Penalty, False Start (Brant Banks) to the RICE 25Similar
Q4 13:34
3RD & 15
OWN 25
+6
67.2%
E.J. Warner pass complete to Elijah Mojarro for 6 yds to the RICE 31Similar
Q4 12:52
4TH & 9
OWN 31
0
67.3%
Alex Bacchetta punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Dontae Fleming at the TULN 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 20TD
8 plays · 70 yds · 4:2369% → 91%
Q4 12:45
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+17
68.7%
Makhi Hughes run for 17 yds to the TULN 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:02
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+13
71.6%
Makhi Hughes run for 13 yds to the RICE 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:17
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+18
72.0%
Rice Penalty, Personal Foul (Blaise Tita) to the RICE 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:43
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+6
72.7%
Arnold Barnes III run for 6 yds to the RICE 5Similar
Q4 10:04
2ND & 4
OPP 5
+3
72.2%
Makhi Hughes run for 3 yds to the RICE 2Similar
Q4 9:23
3RD & 1
OPP 2
+1
70.0%
Arnold Barnes III run for 1 yd to the RICE 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:22
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
91.0%
Makhi Hughes run for 1 yd for a TD (Jacob Barnes KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 21DOWNS
8 plays · 57 yds · 3:2715% → 17%
Q4 8:17
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+20
85.1%
E.J. Warner pass complete to Matt Sykes for 20 yds to the RICE 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:39
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
84.3%
E.J. Warner pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 7:35
2ND & 10
OWN 45
+7
84.9%
E.J. Warner pass complete to Dean Connors for 7 yds to the TULN 48Similar
Q4 6:52
3RD & 3
OPP 48
+27
83.8%
Dean Connors run for 27 yds to the TULN 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:13
1ST & 10
OPP 21
-5
80.7%
Quinton Jackson run for a loss of 5 yards to the TULN 26Similar
Q4 5:34
2ND & 15
OPP 26
+8
82.8%
E.J. Warner pass complete to Matt Sykes for 8 yds to the TULN 18Similar
Q4 4:52
4TH & 7
OPP 18
0
85.1%
E.J. Warner pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 4:50
3RD & 7
OPP 18
0
82.6%
E.J. Warner pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 22PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 2:0691% → 92%
Q4 4:42
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+4
91.0%
Makhi Hughes run for 4 yds to the TULN 22Similar
Q4 3:50
2ND & 6
OWN 22
+1
93.2%
Makhi Hughes run for 1 yd to the TULN 23Similar
Q4 3:11
3RD & 5
OWN 23
+3
92.9%
Darian Mensah pass complete to Shaadie Clayton-Johnson for 3 yds to the TULN 26Similar
Q4 2:36
4TH & 2
OWN 26
+10
92.3%
Will Karoll punt for 64 yds , Tyson Thompson returns for 10 yds to the RICE 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 23PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:1512% → 10%
Q4 2:25
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
87.7%
E.J. Warner pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 2:20
2ND & 10
OWN 20
0
87.9%
E.J. Warner pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 2:20
3RD & 10
OWN 20
0
88.8%
E.J. Warner pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 2:10
4TH & 10
OWN 20
0
89.9%
Alex Bacchetta punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Dontae Fleming at the TULN 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 24PUNT
6 plays · 3 yds · 0:2195% → 95%
Q4 2:04
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+4
94.8%
Makhi Hughes run for 4 yds to the TULN 46Similar
Q4 1:55
2ND & 6
OWN 46
-1
95.2%
Makhi Hughes run for a loss of 1 yard to the TULN 45Similar
Q4 1:50
3RD & 7
OWN 45
0
95.3%
Darian Mensah pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:43
4TH & 7
OWN 45
0
94.6%
Will Karoll punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Tyson Thompson at the RICE 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 25FUMBLE RETURN TD
1 play · -2 yds · 0:003% → 3%
Q4 1:35
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+15
97.5%
Sam Howard 15 Yd Fumble Return (Jacob Barnes Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 26INT
1 play · 0 yds · 0:003% → 3%
Q4 1:29
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
97.5%
E.J. Warner pass intercepted Adonis Friloux return for a loss of 2 yards to the RICE 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 27END OF GAME
2 plays · 2 yds · 0:3799% → 99%
Q4 1:13
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+3
99.2%
Makhi Hughes run for 3 yds to the RICE 25Similar
Q4 0:36
2ND & 7
OPP 25
-1
99.2%
Makhi Hughes run for a loss of 1 yard to the RICE 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 8:22
Makhi Hughes run for 1 yd for a TD (Jacob Barnes KICK)
+20.9
KEY PLAY · Q4 4:42
Makhi Hughes run for 4 yds to the TULN 22
+8.3
KEY PLAY · Q4 14:42
Makhi Hughes run for 3 yds to the TULN 21
+7.2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com