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ECU

East Carolina 28 at Army 45

ARMY
2024 · Week 8 · Oct 19, 2024 · Michie Stadium
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Win probability · ARMY
modelARMY aheadECU aheadconfidence bandkey playARMY scoreECU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 5:49 · Luke Larsen punt for 37 yds
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+37.0+18.50−18.5−37.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 58Home team on offense+15.5Pregame prior+24.1Score differential+10.1Garbage-time factor+3.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+3.3Blowout margin+0.5
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 9:10: Bryson Daily run for 17 yds for a TD (Trey Gronotte KICK) — ARMY win probability +5.8 pts (now 92%) (top driver: ARMY has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 7:19: Bryson Daily run for 31 yds for a TD (Trey Gronotte KICK) — ARMY win probability +4.5 pts (now 95%) (top driver: ARMY has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 9:12: Bryson Daily run for 1 yd for a TD (Trey Gronotte KICK) — ARMY win probability +2.4 pts (now 99%) (top driver: ARMY has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 7:20: Katin Houser pass complete to Chase Sowell for 53 yds for a TD (Noah Perez KICK) — ECU win probability +2.3 pts (now 3%) (top driver: ECU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 3:10: Bryson Daily run for 3 yds for a TD (Trey Gronotte KICK) — ARMY win probability +2.3 pts (now 100%) (top driver: ARMY has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
ARMY made the numbers' call on 6 of 8ECU made the numbers' call on 6 of 8
  1. Q1 13:59ECU 4th & 3 at ECU 29, tied
    Close callPunted · 12.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.5%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    12.5%−<0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 8:34ECU 4th & 5 at ECU 40, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 13.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.0%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    13.0%
    average punt
  3. Q1 8:34ARMY 4th & 1 at ECU 21, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 87.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    87.1%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    86.9%−0.2
    74% to make
    Punt
    86.4%−0.7
    average punt
  4. Q2 14:56ARMY 4th & 7 at ECU 15, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 85.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    85.6%−0.2
    34% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    85.8%
    83% to make
    Punt
    84.1%−1.7
    average punt
  5. Q2 13:34ECU 4th & 7 at ECU 16, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 13.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.9%−0.4
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    13.2%
    average punt
  6. Q2 7:27ECU 4th & 1 at ECU 31, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 9.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    9.8%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    9.1%−0.7
    average punt
  7. Q2 5:49ECU 4th & 6 at ECU 29, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 5.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.3%−0.3
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.5%
    average punt
  8. Q2 3:43ARMY 4th & 2 at ARMY 42, up 24
    Close callPunted · 95.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.4%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    95.2%−0.2
    average punt
  9. Q2 3:43ARMY 4th & 2 at ARMY 42, up 24
    Close callPunted · 95.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.4%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    95.2%−0.2
    average punt
  10. Q3 15:00ARMY 4th & 1 at ECU 45, up 24
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 96.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    96.0%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    94.8%−1.3
    25% to make
    Punt
    95.3%−0.7
    average punt
  11. Q3 0:47ECU 4th & 13 at ECU 42, down 31
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−0.1
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
  12. Q4 14:38ARMY 4th & 5 at ARMY 16, up 31
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.7%−0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.8%
    average punt
  13. Q4 9:47ECU 4th & 1 at ARMY 1, down 31
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.3%
    59% to convert
    Field goal
    0.0%−0.3
    94% to make
    Punt
    -0.3%−0.6
    average punt
  14. Q4 7:35ARMY 4th & 10 at ARMY 16, up 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.9%−0.2
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.1%
    average punt
  15. Q4 2:39ECU 4th & 12 at ARMY 12, down 25
    Close callWent for it · 0.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.4%−0.1
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    0.5%
    86% to make
    Punt
    0.1%−0.3
    average punt
  16. Q4 1:49ARMY 4th & 3 at ECU 37, up 17
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 98.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    98.5%
    53% to convert
    Field goal
    98.3%−0.2
    40% to make
    Punt
    98.2%−0.3
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
ARMY made the numbers' call on 6 of 6ECU made the numbers' call on 4 of 4
  1. Q1 10:32ARMY Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    87.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    87.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 9:10ARMY Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    90.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    89.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 7:19ARMY Touchdown, up 23 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 9:12ARMY Touchdown, up 30 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 7:20ECU Touchdown, down 25 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    1.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    1.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 3:10ARMY Touchdown, up 30 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 9:47ECU Touchdown, down 25 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 6:30ECU Touchdown, down 18 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersWent for two · failed
    Kick
    2.2%−<0.1
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    2.2%
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 4:43ARMY Touchdown, up 24 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  10. Q4 2:39ECU Touchdown, down 19 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersWent for two · converted
    Kick
    1.3%−<0.1
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    1.3%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
ECUDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 0:5313% → 13%
Q1 14:52
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+6
86.8%
Katin Houser pass complete to Anthony Smith for 6 yds to the ECU 28Similar
Q1 14:52
2ND & 4
OWN 28
+1
86.8%
Rahjai Harris run for 1 yd to the ECU 29Similar
Q1 14:52
3RD & 3
OWN 29
0
86.8%
Katin Houser pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:59
4TH & 3
OWN 29
0
86.6%
Luke Larsen punt for 37 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 2TD
7 plays · 66 yds · 3:2787% → 87%
Q1 13:59
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+37
86.6%
Bryson Daily pass complete to Casey Reynolds for 37 yds to the ECU 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:59
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+2
86.7%
Kanye Udoh run for 2 yds to the ECU 27Similar
Q1 13:59
2ND & 8
OPP 27
+6
86.7%
Bryson Daily run for 6 yds to the ECU 21Similar
Q1 13:59
3RD & 2
OPP 21
+3
86.6%
Bryson Daily run for 3 yds to the ECU 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:59
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+5
86.7%
Daily,Bryson rush middle for 5 yards gain to the ECU 13 (Brown-Murray,Isaiah; Morris,Elijah) PENALTY ECU Offside (Holmes,Noah) 5 yards from ECU 18 to ECU 13. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 10:32
1ST & 5
OPP 13
+13
86.7%
Bryson Daily pass complete to Miles Stewart for 13 yds for a TD (Trey Gronotte KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 3PUNT
7 plays · 31 yds · 1:5214% → 14%
Q1 10:26
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+9
86.3%
Winston Wright Jr. run for 9 yds to the ECU 18Similar
Q1 10:26
2ND & 1
OWN 18
+2
86.3%
London Montgomery run for 2 yds to the ECU 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:26
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-15
86.3%
Shotgun Houser,Katin pass incomplete deep middle to Smith,Anthony thrown to ARMY45, 1ST DOWN, PENALTY ARMY Pass Interference (Platt,Donavon) 15 yards from ECU 20 to ECU 35, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 10:26
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
86.3%
Katin Houser pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 10:26
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+5
86.3%
London Montgomery run for 5 yds to the ECU 40Similar
Q1 10:26
3RD & 5
OWN 40
0
86.2%
Katin Houser pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 8:34
4TH & 5
OWN 40
0
86.2%
Luke Larsen punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Lloyd Benson III at the ARMY 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 4FG
14 plays · 64 yds · 8:3886% → 86%
Q1 8:34
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+2
86.2%
Bryson Daily run for 2 yds to the ARMY 19Similar
Q1 8:34
2ND & 12
OWN 19
+3
86.2%
Bryson Daily run for 3 yds to the ARMY 22Similar
Q1 8:34
3RD & 9
OWN 22
+27
86.1%
Bryson Daily pass complete to Noah Short for 27 yds to the ARMY 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:34
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+6
86.5%
Bryson Daily run for 6 yds to the ECU 45Similar
Q1 8:34
2ND & 4
OPP 45
+5
86.5%
Kanye Udoh run for 5 yds to the ECU 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:34
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+10
86.5%
Kanye Udoh run for 10 yds to the ECU 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:34
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+4
86.5%
Bryson Daily run for 4 yds to the ECU 26Similar
Q1 8:34
2ND & 6
OPP 26
+3
86.5%
Bryson Daily run for 3 yds to the ECU 23Similar
Q1 8:34
3RD & 3
OPP 23
+2
86.4%
Bryson Daily run for 2 yds to the ECU 21Similar
Q1 8:34
4TH & 1
OPP 21
+3
86.3%
Bryson Daily run for 3 yds to the ECU 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:34
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+1
86.5%
Kanye Udoh run for 1 yd to the ECU 17Similar
Q1 8:34
2ND & 9
OPP 17
0
86.5%
Bryson Daily pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 0:00
3RD & 9
OPP 17
+2
85.5%
Bryson Daily run for 2 yds to the ECU 15Similar
Q2 14:56
4TH & 7
OPP 15
+32
85.6%
Trey Gronotte 32 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 5PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 1:1614% → 14%
Q2 14:50
1ST & 10
OWN 13
-2
85.6%
Katin Houser pass complete to Jhari Patterson for a loss of 2 yards to the ECU 11Similar
Q2 14:50
2ND & 12
OWN 11
+5
85.6%
Katin Houser pass complete to Jhari Patterson for 5 yds to the ECU 16Similar
Q2 14:50
3RD & 7
OWN 16
0
85.9%
Katin Houser pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 13:34
4TH & 7
OWN 16
+6
86.2%
Luke Larsen punt for 38 yds , Lloyd Benson III returns for 6 yds to the ECU 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 6TD
8 plays · 48 yds · 4:2486% → 92%
Q2 13:34
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+2
86.1%
Bryson Daily run for 2 yds to the ECU 46Similar
Q2 13:34
2ND & 8
OPP 46
0
86.1%
Bryson Daily pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 13:34
3RD & 8
OPP 46
+14
85.7%
Bryson Daily pass complete to Noah Short for 14 yds to the ECU 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:34
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+3
86.2%
Kanye Udoh run for 3 yds to the ECU 29Similar
Q2 13:34
2ND & 7
OPP 29
+5
86.2%
Bryson Daily run for 5 yds to the ECU 24Similar
Q2 13:34
3RD & 2
OPP 24
+2
85.8%
Bryson Daily run for 2 yds to the ECU 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:34
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+5
86.2%
Kanye Udoh run for 5 yds to the ECU 17Similar
Q2 9:10
2ND & 5
OPP 17
+17
92.0%
Bryson Daily run for 17 yds for a TD (Trey Gronotte KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 7DOWNS
5 plays · 9 yds · 1:3610% → 10%
Q2 9:03
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+6
90.5%
Katin Houser run for 6 yds to the ECU 28Similar
Q2 9:03
2ND & 4
OWN 28
+1
90.2%
Rahjai Harris run for 1 yd to the ECU 29Similar
Q2 9:03
3RD & 3
OWN 29
+2
90.4%
Katin Houser pass complete to Chase Sowell for 2 yds to the ECU 31Similar
Q2 7:27
4TH & 1
OWN 31
0
90.3%
Katin Houser pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 8TD
1 play · 31 yds · 0:0095% → 95%
Q2 7:19
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+31
94.8%
Bryson Daily run for 31 yds for a TD (Trey Gronotte KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 9PUNT
6 plays · 4 yds · 1:306% → 6%
Q2 7:19
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-10
94.0%
Shotgun Houser,Katin pass incomplete deep right to Sowell,Chase thrown to ECU 45 PENALTY ECU Holding (Moorer,Parker) 10 yards from ECU 25 to ECU 15. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 7:19
1ST & 20
OWN 15
+4
94.0%
Katin Houser pass complete to Winston Wright Jr. for 4 yds to the ECU 19Similar
Q2 7:19
2ND & 16
OWN 19
0
94.1%
Katin Houser pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 7:19
3RD & 16
OWN 19
+10
94.1%
Katin Houser pass complete to Chase Sowell for 10 yds to the ECU 29Similar
Q2 5:49
4TH & 6
OWN 29
0
94.4%
Luke Larsen punt for 37 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 10PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 2:0695% → 95%
Q2 5:49
1ST & 10
OWN 34
0
95.0%
Kanye Udoh run for no gain to the ARMY 34Similar
Q2 5:49
2ND & 10
OWN 34
+7
94.9%
Bryson Daily pass complete to Casey Reynolds for 7 yds to the ARMY 41Similar
Q2 5:49
3RD & 3
OWN 41
+1
95.0%
Bryson Daily run for 1 yd to the ARMY 42Similar
Q2 3:43
4TH & 2
OWN 42
0
95.1%
James Wagenseller punt for 50 yds , Brock Spalding returns for no gain to the ECU 8Similar
Q2 3:43
4TH & 2
OWN 42
0
95.1%
James Wagenseller punt for 50 yds , Brock Spalding returns for no gain to the ECU 4Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 11INT
10 plays · 56 yds · 2:515% → 6%
Q2 3:43
1ST & 10
OWN 4
+4
94.9%
Rahjai Harris run for 4 yds to the ECU 8Similar
Q2 3:43
2ND & 6
OWN 8
+3
94.9%
Rahjai Harris run for 3 yds to the ECU 11Similar
Q2 3:43
3RD & 3
OWN 11
-5
94.8%
Shotgun Houser,Katin pass complete short middle to Savage,Tyler caught at ECU 26, for 15 yards to the ECU 26 (Larkin,Casey) PENALTY ECU Holding (Moorer,Parker) 5 yards from ECU 11 to ECU 06. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 3:43
3RD & 8
OWN 6
+8
94.9%
Katin Houser pass complete to Chase Sowell for 8 yds to the ECU 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:00
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+1
94.8%
Katin Houser pass complete to Rahjai Harris for 1 yd to the ECU 15Similar
Q2 2:00
2ND & 9
OWN 15
+30
94.8%
Katin Houser pass complete to Tyler Savage for 15 yds to the ECU 30 for a 1ST down East Carolina Penalty, (-15 Yards) to the ECU 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:00
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+4
94.3%
Katin Houser run for 4 yds to the ECU 49Similar
Q2 2:00
2ND & 6
OWN 49
+11
94.0%
Katin Houser pass complete to Chase Sowell for 11 yds to the ARMY 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:52
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
94.0%
Katin Houser pass intercepted Justin Weaver return for no gain to the ARMY 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 12END OF HALF
5 plays · 2 yds · 0:5297% → 97%
Q2 0:52
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+9
96.5%
Bryson Daily run for 9 yds to the ARMY 25Similar
Q2 0:52
2ND & 1
OWN 25
+6
96.5%
Bryson Daily run for 6 yds to the ARMY 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:24
1ST & 10
OWN 31
-15
96.5%
Shotgun Daily,Bryson pass complete short left to Schurr,Cam caught at ARMY42, for 13 yards to the ARMY44 (Nash,Dontavius), out of bounds PENALTY ARMY Chop Block (Scott,Lucas) 15 yards from ARMY31 to ARMY16. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 25
OWN 16
+2
96.5%
Jake Rendina run for 2 yds to the ARMY 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 13TD
12 plays · 75 yds · 5:4896% → 99%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
95.9%
Kanye Udoh run for 11 yds to the ARMY 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+4
96.1%
Bryson Daily run for 4 yds to the ARMY 40Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 40
+4
96.1%
Noah Short run for 4 yds to the ARMY 44Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 2
OWN 44
+2
96.1%
Bryson Daily run for 2 yds to the ARMY 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
96.2%
Bryson Daily pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 46
+8
96.1%
Bryson Daily pass complete to Miles Stewart for 8 yds to the ECU 46Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 2
OPP 46
+1
96.1%
Bryson Daily run for 1 yd to the ECU 45Similar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 1
OPP 45
+2
95.8%
Bryson Daily run for 2 yds to the ECU 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:04
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+42
97.0%
Kanye Udoh run for 43 yds for a TDSimilar
Q3 10:04
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
97.0%
Kanye Udoh run for no gain to the ECU 1Similar
Q3 9:12
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
99.4%
Bryson Daily run for 1 yd for a TD (Trey Gronotte KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 14TD
6 plays · 77 yds · 1:461% → 3%
Q3 9:06
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+15
99.4%
Winston Wright Jr. run for 15 yds to the ECU 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:06
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+10
99.4%
Katin Houser pass complete to Winston Wright Jr. for 10 yds to the ECU 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:06
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
99.4%
Katin Houser pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 9:06
2ND & 10
OWN 48
-1
99.4%
Katin Houser pass complete to Desirrio Riles for a loss of 1 yard to the ECU 47Similar
Q3 7:20
3RD & 11
OWN 47
+53
97.1%
Katin Houser pass complete to Chase Sowell for 53 yds for a TD (Noah Perez KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 15TD
8 plays · 75 yds · 4:1097% → 100%
Q3 7:20
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+23
97.1%
Tyrell Robinson run for 23 yds to the ARMY 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:20
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+5
97.3%
Kanye Udoh run for 5 yds to the ECU 47Similar
Q3 7:20
2ND & 5
OPP 47
+1
97.3%
Kanye Udoh run for 1 yd to the ECU 46Similar
Q3 7:20
3RD & 4
OPP 46
+17
97.3%
Bryson Daily run for 17 yds to the ECU 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:20
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+3
97.3%
Kanye Udoh run for 3 yds to the ECU 26Similar
Q3 7:20
2ND & 7
OPP 26
+23
97.3%
Bryson Daily run for 23 yds to the ECU 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:10
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
99.7%
Bryson Daily run for 3 yds for a TD (Trey Gronotte KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 16PUNT
8 plays · 7 yds · 2:230% → 0%
Q3 3:10
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+10
99.7%
Katin Houser pass complete to Jhari Patterson for 10 yds to the ECU 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:10
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+2
99.7%
London Montgomery run for 2 yds to the ECU 43Similar
Q3 3:10
2ND & 12
OWN 43
+9
99.7%
Katin Houser pass complete to Yannick Smith for 9 yds to the ARMY 48Similar
Q3 3:10
3RD & 3
OPP 48
-5
99.7%
PENALTY ECU False Start (Poku,Emmanuel) 5 yards from ARMY48 to ECU 47. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 3:10
3RD & 8
OWN 47
0
99.7%
Katin Houser pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 3:10
4TH & 8
OWN 47
-5
99.7%
Larsen,Luke punt 48 yards to the ARMY05 PENALTY ECU Illegal Substitution (King,Kerry) 5 yards from ECU 47 to ECU 42. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 0:47
4TH & 13
OWN 42
+4
99.8%
punt for 51 yds , Lloyd Benson III returns for 4 yds to the ARMY 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 17PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 1:09100% → 100%
Q3 0:47
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+1
99.8%
Kanye Udoh run for 1 yd to the ARMY 12Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 9
OWN 12
+2
99.8%
Kanye Udoh run for 2 yds to the ARMY 14Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 7
OWN 14
-5
99.8%
PENALTY ARMY False Start (Katsigiannis,Bill) 5 yards from ARMY14 to ARMY09. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 12
OWN 9
0
99.8%
Army Penalty, Offensive Holding (Yards) declinedSimilar
Q4 14:38
4TH & 5
OWN 16
0
99.8%
James Wagenseller punt for 51 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the ECU 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 18TD
12 plays · 75 yds · 4:510% → 1%
Q4 14:38
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
99.8%
Katin Houser pass complete to Rahjai Harris for 5 yds to the ECU 30Similar
Q4 14:38
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+33
99.8%
Katin Houser pass complete to Chase Sowell for 33 yds to the ARMY 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:38
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+2
99.8%
Katin Houser run for 2 yds to the ARMY 35Similar
Q4 14:38
2ND & 8
OPP 35
+4
99.8%
Katin Houser pass complete to Rahjai Harris for 4 yds to the ARMY 31Similar
Q4 14:38
3RD & 4
OPP 31
+10
99.8%
No Huddle-Shotgun Houser,Katin pass incomplete short right to Wright Jr.,Winston thrown to ARMY28 PENALTY ARMY Holding (Larkin,Casey) 10 yards from ARMY31 to ARMY21, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 14:38
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+8
99.8%
Rahjai Harris run for 8 yds to the ARMY 13Similar
Q4 14:38
2ND & 2
OPP 13
+3
99.8%
Rahjai Harris run for 3 yds to the ARMY 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:38
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
-5
99.8%
No Huddle-Shotgun Houser,Katin pass complete short middle to Wright Jr.,Winston caught at ARMY12, for 0 yards to the ARMY10 (Gerena,Brett; Miller,Dre), out of bounds PENALTY ECU Illegal Formation 5 yards from ARMY10 to ARMY15. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 14:38
1ST & GOAL
OPP 15
+7
99.8%
Rahjai Harris run for 7 yds to the ARMY 8Similar
Q4 14:38
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
+7
99.8%
Rahjai Harris run for 7 yds to the ARMY 1Similar
Q4 14:38
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
0
99.8%
Rahjai Harris run for no gain to the ARMY 1Similar
Q4 9:47
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
98.9%
Katin Houser run for 1 yd for a TD (Noah Perez KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 19PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 2:0999% → 99%
Q4 9:44
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+3
99.0%
Kanye Udoh run for 3 yds to the ARMY 19Similar
Q4 9:44
2ND & 7
OWN 19
+5
99.0%
Noah Short run for 5 yds to the ARMY 14Similar
Q4 9:44
3RD & 12
OWN 14
+2
98.9%
Kanye Udoh run for 2 yds to the ARMY 16Similar
Q4 7:35
4TH & 10
OWN 16
0
99.1%
James Wagenseller punt for 19 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the ARMY 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 20TD
6 plays · 35 yds · 1:051% → 3%
Q4 7:35
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
99.1%
Katin Houser pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 7:35
2ND & 10
OPP 35
0
99.1%
Katin Houser pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 7:35
3RD & 10
OPP 35
+10
99.2%
Katin Houser pass complete to Anthony Smith for 10 yds to the ARMY 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:35
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
99.1%
Katin Houser pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 7:35
2ND & 10
OPP 25
+14
99.1%
London Montgomery run for 14 yds to the ARMY 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:30
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+11
96.9%
Katin Houser pass complete to Anthony Smith for 11 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 21TD
4 plays · 44 yds · 1:4299% → 100%
Q4 6:25
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+1
98.5%
Bryson Daily run for 1 yd to the ECU 45Similar
Q4 6:25
2ND & 11
OPP 45
+41
98.4%
Bryson Daily pass complete to Casey Reynolds for 41 yds to the ECU 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:43
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
99.8%
Bryson Daily run for 4 yds for a TD (Trey Gronotte KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 22TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 2:040% → 2%
Q4 4:43
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+14
99.7%
Katin Houser pass complete to Rahjai Harris for 14 yds to the ECU 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:43
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+31
99.7%
Katin Houser pass complete to Winston Wright Jr. for 31 yds to the ARMY 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:43
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+21
99.7%
Katin Houser pass complete to Chase Sowell for 21 yds to the ARMY 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:43
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
0
99.6%
Katin Houser pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 4:43
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
+3
99.6%
Yannick Smith run for 3 yds to the ARMY 12Similar
Q4 4:43
3RD & GOAL
OPP 12
0
99.7%
Katin Houser pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 2:39
4TH & GOAL
OPP 12
+12
98.0%
Winston Wright Jr. 12 Yd pass from Katin Houser (Katin Houser Pass to Chase Sowell for Two-Point Conversion)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 23END OF GAME
10 plays · 24 yds · 2:3699% → 99%
Q4 2:36
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+4
98.7%
Kanye Udoh run for 4 yds to the ECU 40Similar
Q4 2:00
2ND & 6
OPP 40
+2
99.0%
Kanye Udoh run for 2 yds to the ECU 38Similar
Q4 1:54
3RD & 4
OPP 38
+1
99.1%
Bryson Daily run for 1 yd to the ECU 37Similar
Q4 1:49
4TH & 3
OPP 37
+19
99.0%
Bryson Daily run for 4 yds to the ECU 33 for a 1ST down East Carolina Penalty, UNS: Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Zakye Barker) to the ECU 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:49
1ST & 10
OPP 18
-1
99.2%
B. Daily takes a kneeSimilar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 11
OPP 19
-1
99.2%
B. Daily takes a kneeSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 9:10
Bryson Daily run for 17 yds for a TD (Trey Gronotte KICK)
+5.8
TD · Q2 7:19
Bryson Daily run for 31 yds for a TD (Trey Gronotte KICK)
+4.5
TD · Q3 9:12
Bryson Daily run for 1 yd for a TD (Trey Gronotte KICK)
+2.4
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com