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UAB

UAB 10 at Army 44

ARMY
2024 · Week 7 · Oct 12, 2024 · Michie Stadium
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Win probability · ARMY
modelARMY aheadUAB aheadconfidence bandkey playARMY scoreUAB score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q1Q2Q1Q2Q1Q2Q1Q2Q3Q2Q3Q2Q3Q4Q2Q4Q2Q4TDFGTDTDTDTDTDFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 1:57 · Dewayne Coleman run for 2 yds to the UAB 23 for a 1ST down
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialBlowout marginGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+44.0+22.00−22.0−44.0Q1Q2Q1Q2Q1Q2Q1Q2Q1Q2Q3Q2Q3Q2Q3Q4Q2Q4Q2Q4Play 161Pregame prior+16.6Home team on offense+31.8Score differential+27.1Blowout margin+14.6Garbage-time factor+10.6Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+10.6
This game in five plays
  1. FG · Q1 9:47: Jonah Delange 51 yd FG GOOD — UAB win probability +0.4 pts (now 8%) (top driver: Deficit strained by the offense's own timeouts).
  2. TD · Q1 5:00: Bryson Daily run for 9 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed) — ARMY win probability +0.7 pts (now 93%) (top driver: ARMY has the ball).
  3. TD · Q1 2:45: Bryson Daily run for 13 yds for a TD (Trey Gronotte KICK) — ARMY win probability +1.7 pts (now 94%) (top driver: ARMY has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 10:21: Bryson Daily run for 4 yds to the UAB 12 — ARMY win probability +1.6 pts (now 97%) (top driver: ARMY has the ball).
  5. TD · Q2 4:02: Kanye Udoh run for 3 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down — ARMY win probability +1.9 pts (now 99%) (top driver: ARMY has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
ARMY made the numbers' call on 3 of 3UAB made the numbers' call on 8 of 9
  1. Q1 13:48UAB 4th & 1 at UAB 34, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 5.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    5.5%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    5.4%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 13:49UAB 4th & 1 at UAB 34, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 5.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    5.5%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    5.4%−0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 11:09UAB 4th & 3 at ARMY 46, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 5.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    5.9%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    5.7%−0.2
    23% to make
    Punt
    5.8%−0.1
    average punt
  4. Q1 9:47UAB 4th & 6 at ARMY 33, down 7
    Close callKicked a field goal · 6.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.0%
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    6.0%−<0.1
    49% to make
    Punt
    5.9%−0.1
    average punt
  5. Q1 11:28UAB 4th & 3 at ARMY 46, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 5.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    5.8%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    5.6%−0.2
    23% to make
    Punt
    5.8%−0.1
    average punt
  6. Q2 5:41UAB 4th & 3 at ARMY 3, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 3.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    3.5%
    44% to convert
    Field goal
    3.2%−0.3
    93% to make
    Punt
    1.7%−1.7
    average punt
  7. Q2 0:22ARMY 4th & 10 at ARMY 35, up 31
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.1%−0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.2%
    average punt
  8. Q2 5:47UAB 4th & 3 at ARMY 3, down 38
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 1.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.9%
    44% to convert
    Field goal
    1.9%−0.1
    93% to make
    Punt
    1.4%−0.5
    average punt
  9. Q3 6:16UAB 4th & 19 at UAB 16, down 38
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−0.2
    10% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.3%
    average punt
  10. Q3 1:57ARMY 4th & 1 at UAB 25, up 38
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.8%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    99.7%−0.1
    66% to make
    Punt
    99.3%−0.5
    average punt
  11. Q4 14:55ARMY 4th & 6 at UAB 6, up 38
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.8%−<0.1
    31% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.8%
    91% to make
    Punt
    99.4%−0.5
    average punt
  12. Q4 12:11UAB 4th & 10 at UAB 36, down 41
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
ARMY made the numbers' call on 3 of 4UAB made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 13:38ARMY Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 5:00ARMY Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    93.3%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    93.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 2:45ARMY Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 7:34ARMY Touchdown, up 37 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 2:01UAB Touchdown, down 35 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
UABDrive 1DOWNS
5 plays · 9 yds · 1:076% → 7%
Q1 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
93.6%
Jalen Kitna pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 14:36
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+8
93.5%
Jalen Kitna pass complete to Amare Thomas for 8 yds to the UAB 33Similar
Q1 14:11
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+1
93.4%
Jalen Kitna pass complete to Bryce Damous for 1 yd to the UAB 34Similar
Q1 13:48
4TH & 1
OWN 34
0
93.4%
Lee Witherspoon run for no gain to the UAB 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 2TD
7 plays · 34 yds · 1:186% → 7%
Q1 14:56
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
93.6%
pass incomplete to Bryce DamousSimilar
Q1 14:52
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+8
93.6%
Jalen Kitna pass complete to Amare Thomas for 8 yds to the UAB 33Similar
Q1 14:17
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+1
93.5%
Jalen Kitna pass complete to Bryce Damous for 1 yd to the UAB 34Similar
Q1 13:49
4TH & 1
OWN 34
0
93.4%
Witherspoon,Lee rush middle (Fortner,Kalib).Similar
Q1 13:48
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+5
93.4%
PENALTY UAB Offside (Cox,LD) 5 yards from UAB34 to UAB29. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 13:38
1ST & 5
OPP 29
+29
93.5%
Bryson Daily run for 29 yds for a TD (Trey Gronotte KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 3FG
12 plays · 42 yds · 3:437% → 8%
Q1 13:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
93.4%
Jalen Kitna pass complete to Kam Shanks for 6 yds to the UAB 31Similar
Q1 12:58
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+6
93.3%
Jalen Kitna run for 6 yds to the UAB 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:33
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+10
93.3%
Jalen Kitna pass complete to Amare Thomas for 10 yds to the UAB 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:06
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
93.2%
Jalen Kitna pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:56
2ND & 10
OWN 47
+7
93.1%
Jalen Kitna pass complete to Bryce Damous for 7 yds to the ARMY 46Similar
Q1 11:30
3RD & 3
OPP 46
0
93.0%
Jalen Kitna pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:09
4TH & 3
OPP 46
+9
93.0%
Jalen Kitna pass complete to Amare Thomas for 9 yds to the ARMY 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:44
1ST & 10
OPP 37
0
92.9%
Jalen Kitna pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 10:39
2ND & 10
OPP 37
0
92.9%
Jalen Kitna pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 10:20
3RD & 10
OPP 37
+4
92.9%
Jalen Kitna pass complete to Kam Shanks for 4 yds to the ARMY 33Similar
Q1 9:47
4TH & 6
OPP 33
+51
92.5%
Jonah Delange 51 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 4TD
9 plays · 65 yds · 4:4093% → 93%
Q1 9:40
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+14
92.5%
Kanye Udoh run for 14 yds to the ARMY 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:11
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+5
92.5%
Kanye Udoh run for 5 yds to the UAB 46Similar
Q1 8:31
2ND & 5
OPP 46
+14
92.4%
Bryson Daily run for 14 yds to the UAB 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:53
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+7
92.4%
Noah Short run for 7 yds to the UAB 25Similar
Q1 7:03
2ND & 3
OPP 25
+5
92.2%
Samari Howard run for 5 yds to the UAB 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:29
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+4
92.1%
Kanye Udoh run for 4 yds to the UAB 16Similar
Q1 5:43
2ND & 6
OPP 16
+7
91.9%
Noah Short run for 7 yds to the UAB 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
92.6%
Bryson Daily run for 9 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 5INT
12 plays · 7 yds · 9:257% → 8%
Q1 13:37
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
93.4%
Jalen Kitna pass complete to Kam Shanks for 6 yds to the UAB 31Similar
Q1 13:11
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+6
93.3%
Jalen Kitna run for 6 yds to the UAB 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:39
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+10
93.3%
Jalen Kitna pass complete to Amare Thomas for 10 yds to the UAB 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:08
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
93.1%
pass incomplete to Corri MillinerSimilar
Q1 12:04
2ND & 10
OWN 47
+7
93.1%
Jalen Kitna pass complete to Bryce Damous for 7 yds to the ARMY 46Similar
Q1 11:28
4TH & 3
OPP 46
+9
93.0%
Jalen Kitna pass complete to Amare Thomas for 9 yds to the ARMY 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:53
1ST & 10
OPP 37
0
92.9%
pass incomplete to Dallas PayneSimilar
Q1 10:43
2ND & 10
OPP 37
0
92.8%
pass incomplete to Kam ShanksSimilar
Q1 10:35
3RD & 10
OPP 37
+4
92.9%
Jalen Kitna pass complete to Kam Shanks for 4 yds to the ARMY 33Similar
Q1 4:42
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+7
92.0%
Jalen Kitna pass complete to Amare Thomas for 7 yds to the UAB 29Similar
Q1 4:12
2ND & 3
OWN 29
0
91.8%
Jalen Kitna pass intercepted Casey Larkin return for no gain to the UAB 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 6TD
3 plays · 37 yds · 1:1693% → 94%
Q1 4:01
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+21
92.5%
Bryson Daily run for 21 yds to the UAB 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:21
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+3
92.5%
Kanye Udoh run for 3 yds to the UAB 13Similar
Q1 2:45
2ND & 7
OPP 13
+13
94.2%
Bryson Daily run for 13 yds for a TD (Trey Gronotte KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 7PUNT
13 plays · 2 yds · 8:2694% → 94%
Q1 9:43
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+14
93.7%
Kanye Udoh run for 14 yds to the ARMY 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:16
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+5
93.8%
Kanye Udoh run for 5 yds to the UAB 46Similar
Q1 8:36
2ND & 5
OPP 46
+14
93.8%
Bryson Daily run for 14 yds to the UAB 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:58
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+7
94.0%
Noah Short run for 7 yds to the UAB 25Similar
Q1 7:15
2ND & 3
OPP 25
+5
94.0%
Samari Howard run for 5 yds to the UAB 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:36
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+4
94.0%
Kanye Udoh run for 4 yds to the UAB 16Similar
Q1 5:49
2ND & 6
OPP 16
+7
94.0%
Noah Short run for 7 yds to the UAB 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:06
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
-62
94.1%
Washington,Ethan rush (Brothers,O.C.).Similar
Q1 2:20
1ST & 10
OWN 29
-4
93.7%
Jalen Kitna pass complete to Terrell McDonald for a loss of 4 yards to the UAB 25Similar
Q1 1:52
2ND & 14
OWN 25
+6
93.8%
Jalen Kitna pass complete to Kam Shanks for 6 yds to the UAB 31Similar
Q1 1:24
3RD & 8
OWN 31
0
93.8%
Jalen Kitna pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 1:17
4TH & 8
OWN 31
0
93.8%
Patrick Foley punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Lloyd Benson III at the ARMY 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 8TD
10 plays · 73 yds · 5:4994% → 97%
Q1 1:10
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+4
94.2%
Kanye Udoh run for 4 yds to the ARMY 31Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 6
OWN 31
+8
94.3%
Kanye Udoh run for 8 yds to the ARMY 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+23
94.4%
Noah Short run for 23 yds to the UAB 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:16
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+2
94.6%
Kanye Udoh run for 2 yds to the UAB 36Similar
Q2 13:39
2ND & 8
OPP 36
+5
94.7%
PENALTY UAB Offside (Shepard Jr.,Derrick) 5 yards from UAB36 to UAB31. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 13:04
2ND & 3
OPP 31
+2
94.7%
Samari Howard run for 2 yds to the UAB 29Similar
Q2 12:27
3RD & 1
OPP 29
+2
94.7%
Kanye Udoh run for 2 yds to the UAB 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:49
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+2
94.9%
Kanye Udoh run for 2 yds to the UAB 25Similar
Q2 11:01
2ND & 8
OPP 25
+9
94.9%
Bryson Daily run for 9 yds to the UAB 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:21
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+4
96.5%
Bryson Daily run for 4 yds to the UAB 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 9DOWNS
13 plays · 70 yds · 14:125% → 4%
Q1 4:53
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+7
94.8%
Jalen Kitna pass complete to Amare Thomas for 7 yds to the UAB 29Similar
Q1 4:16
2ND & 3
OWN 29
0
94.8%
Jalen Kitna pass interceptedSimilar
Q2 9:31
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
96.2%
Jalen Kitna run for 4 yds to the UAB 21Similar
Q2 9:02
2ND & 14
OWN 21
+20
96.3%
Jalen Kitna pass complete to Kam Shanks for 20 yds to the UAB 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:47
1ST & 10
OWN 41
-5
96.1%
PENALTY UAB False Start (Morgan,JonDarius) 5 yards from UAB41 to UAB36. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 8:19
1ST & 15
OWN 36
+40
96.3%
Jalen Kitna pass complete to Kam Shanks for 40 yds to the ARMY 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:51
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+18
95.6%
Jalen Kitna pass complete to Kam Shanks for 18 yds to the ARMY 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:21
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+3
95.7%
Lee Beebe Jr. run for 3 yds to the ARMY 3Similar
Q2 7:01
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
0
95.7%
Lee Beebe Jr. run for no gain to the ARMY 3Similar
Q2 6:23
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
0
96.0%
Lee Beebe Jr. run for no gain to the ARMY 3Similar
Q2 5:41
4TH & GOAL
OPP 3
-2
96.1%
Jalen Kitna sacked by Eric Ford for a loss of 2 yards to the ARMY 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 10TD
5 plays · 95 yds · 15:0695% → 99%
Q1 4:08
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+21
95.2%
Bryson Daily run for 21 yds to the UAB 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:26
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+3
95.3%
Kanye Udoh run for 3 yds to the UAB 13Similar
Q2 5:16
1ST & 10
OWN 5
+34
96.8%
Bryson Daily pass complete to Casey Reynolds for 34 yds to the ARMY 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:43
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+8
97.0%
Kanye Udoh run for 8 yds to the ARMY 47Similar
Q2 4:02
2ND & 2
OWN 47
+3
98.9%
Kanye Udoh run for 3 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 11INT
12 plays · 66 yds · 2:111% → 1%
Q2 3:07
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+13
98.9%
Lee Beebe Jr. run for 13 yds to the UAB 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:51
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+7
98.9%
Lee Beebe Jr. run for 7 yds to the UAB 45Similar
Q2 2:29
2ND & 3
OWN 45
+4
98.8%
Lee Beebe Jr. run for 4 yds to the UAB 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:49
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+26
99.1%
Jalen Kitna pass complete to Bryce Damous for 26 yds to the ARMY 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:45
1ST & 10
OPP 25
-5
98.9%
(01:45) No Huddle-Shotgun Kitna,Jalen pass complete short left to Hooks,Iverson caught at ARMY20, for 5 yards to the ARMY20 (Weaver,Justin), out of bounds PENALTY UAB Illegal Formation 5 yards from ARMY25 to ARMY30. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 1:23
1ST & 15
OPP 30
+11
99.0%
Jalen Kitna pass complete to Iverson Hooks for 11 yds to the ARMY 19Similar
Q2 1:09
2ND & 4
OPP 19
+3
99.0%
Lee Witherspoon run for 3 yds to the ARMY 16Similar
Q2 1:04
3RD & 1
OPP 16
+7
99.1%
Jalen Kitna run for 7 yds to the ARMY 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:56
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
0
99.2%
Jalen Kitna pass intercepted Casey Larkin return for no gain to the ARMY 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 12PUNT
10 plays · 18 yds · 17:1697% → 99%
Q1 2:38
1ST & 10
OWN 29
-4
96.6%
Jalen Kitna pass complete to Terrell McDonald for a loss of 4 yards to the UAB 25Similar
Q1 2:01
2ND & 14
OWN 25
+6
96.7%
Jalen Kitna pass complete to Kam Shanks for 6 yds to the UAB 31Similar
Q1 1:28
3RD & 8
OWN 31
0
97.2%
pass incomplete to Amare ThomasSimilar
Q1 1:23
4TH & 8
OWN 31
0
97.2%
Patrick Foley punt for 42 ydsSimilar
Q2 0:50
1ST & 10
OWN 17
0
99.1%
Bryson Daily pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:45
2ND & 10
OWN 17
+18
99.1%
Bryson Daily pass complete to Cam Schurr for 18 yds to the ARMY 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:42
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
99.1%
Bryson Daily pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:36
2ND & 10
OWN 35
0
99.1%
Bryson Daily pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:29
3RD & 10
OWN 35
0
99.1%
Bryson Daily pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:22
4TH & 10
OWN 35
0
99.1%
James Wagenseller punt for 49 yds , Kam Shanks returns for no gain to the UAB 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 13END OF HALF
13 plays · 10 yds · 16:1697% → 99%
Q1 1:16
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+4
96.7%
Kanye Udoh run for 4 yds to the ARMY 31Similar
Q1 0:33
2ND & 6
OWN 31
+8
96.8%
Kanye Udoh run for 8 yds to the ARMY 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:58
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+23
97.0%
Noah Short run for 23 yds to the UAB 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:20
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+2
97.1%
Kanye Udoh run for 2 yds to the UAB 36Similar
Q2 13:11
2ND & 3
OPP 31
+2
97.3%
Samari Howard run for 2 yds to the UAB 29Similar
Q2 12:33
3RD & 1
OPP 29
+2
97.4%
Kanye Udoh run for 2 yds to the UAB 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:55
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+2
97.5%
Kanye Udoh run for 2 yds to the UAB 25Similar
Q2 11:08
2ND & 8
OPP 25
+9
97.4%
Bryson Daily run for 9 yds to the UAB 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:27
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+4
97.4%
Bryson Daily run for 4 yds to the UAB 12Similar
Q2 0:14
2ND & 16
OWN 10
+1
99.3%
Lee Beebe Jr. run for 1 yd to the UAB 11Similar
Q2 0:10
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+6
99.3%
Jalen Kitna run for 6 yds to the UAB 10Similar
Q2 0:00
3RD & 15
OWN 11
+15
99.3%
Solomon Beebe run for 15 yds to the UAB 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 14TD
13 plays · 75 yds · 7:1899% → 100%
Q3 14:52
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
99.2%
Bryson Daily run for 10 yds to the ARMY 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:09
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+5
99.3%
Bryson Daily run for 5 yds to the ARMY 40Similar
Q3 13:42
2ND & 5
OWN 40
+5
99.3%
Noah Short run for 5 yds to the ARMY 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:02
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+5
99.4%
Kanye Udoh run for 5 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 12:19
2ND & 5
50
+15
99.4%
Kanye Udoh run for 15 yds to the UAB 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:37
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+3
99.5%
Kanye Udoh run for 3 yds to the UAB 32Similar
Q3 10:51
2ND & 7
OPP 32
+10
99.5%
Bryson Daily run for 10 yds to the UAB 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:05
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+5
99.6%
Kanye Udoh run for 5 yds to the UAB 17Similar
Q3 9:23
2ND & 5
OPP 17
+2
99.6%
Kanye Udoh run for 2 yds to the UAB 15Similar
Q3 8:38
3RD & 3
OPP 15
+6
99.6%
Bryson Daily run for 6 yds to the UAB 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:54
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+3
99.7%
Jake Rendina run for 3 yds to the UAB 6Similar
Q3 7:34
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
99.7%
Bryson Daily 6 Yd Run (Dawson Jones Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 15PUNT
13 plays · -9 yds · 18:241% → 0%
Q2 9:40
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-4
98.7%
Jalen Kitna run for a loss of 4 yards to the UAB 21Similar
Q2 9:12
2ND & 14
OWN 21
+20
98.7%
Jalen Kitna pass complete to Kam Shanks for 20 yds to the UAB 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:27
1ST & 15
OWN 36
+40
98.8%
Jalen Kitna pass complete to Kam Shanks for 40 yds to the ARMY 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:58
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+18
98.6%
Jalen Kitna pass complete to Kam Shanks for 18 yds to the ARMY 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:27
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+3
98.7%
Lee Beebe Jr. run for 3 yds to the ARMY 3Similar
Q2 7:06
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
0
98.5%
Beebe Jr.,Lee rush right (Keith,Chance;Ford,Eric).Similar
Q2 6:35
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
0
98.6%
Beebe Jr.,Lee rush middle (Lewis,Kyle;Platt,Donavon).Similar
Q2 5:47
4TH & GOAL
OPP 3
-2
97.8%
Jalen Kitna sacked by Eric Ford for a loss of 2 yards to the ARMY 5Similar
Q3 7:18
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.7%
Jalen Kitna pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 7:11
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
99.8%
Jalen Kitna pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 7:02
3RD & 10
OWN 25
-9
99.8%
Jalen Kitna sacked by Elo Modozie for a loss of 9 yards to the UAB 16Similar
Q3 6:16
4TH & 19
OWN 16
0
99.8%
Patrick Foley punt for 43 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 16FG
18 plays · 50 yds · 20:4399% → 100%
Q2 5:38
1ST & 10
OWN 5
+34
98.9%
Bryson Daily pass complete to Casey Reynolds for 34 yds to the ARMY 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:50
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+8
98.9%
Kanye Udoh run for 8 yds to the ARMY 47Similar
Q2 4:08
2ND & 2
OWN 47
+3
99.0%
Kanye Udoh run for 3 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:04
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+8
99.7%
Samari Howard run for 8 yds to the ARMY 49Similar
Q3 5:23
2ND & 2
OWN 49
+1
99.8%
Samari Howard run for 1 yd to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 4:38
3RD & 1
50
-5
99.8%
PENALTY ARMY False Start (Kloska,Kyle) 5 yards from ARMY50 to ARMY45. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 4:13
3RD & 6
OWN 45
+21
99.8%
Samari Howard run for 21 yds to the UAB 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:43
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+5
99.8%
Hayden Reed run for 5 yds to the UAB 29Similar
Q3 3:11
2ND & 5
OPP 29
+1
99.8%
Hayden Reed run for 1 yd to the UAB 28Similar
Q3 2:27
3RD & 4
OPP 28
+3
99.8%
Dewayne Coleman run for 3 yds to the UAB 25Similar
Q3 1:57
4TH & 1
OPP 25
+2
99.8%
Dewayne Coleman run for 2 yds to the UAB 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:15
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+12
99.8%
(01:21) Coleman,Dewayne pass incomplete deep right to Montesi,Will thrown to UAB00 PENALTY UAB Pass Interference (Brown,AJ) 12 yards from UAB23 to UAB11, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 1:15
1ST & 10
OPP 23
0
99.8%
Dewayne Coleman pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 0:17
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
-10
99.8%
(00:23) Coleman,Dewayne rush right for 2 yards gain to the UAB06 (Maddox,Adrian; Roussaw Jr.,Everett) PENALTY ARMY Holding (Appleton,Henry) 10 yards from UAB08 to UAB18. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 0:14
1ST & GOAL
OPP 18
0
99.8%
Dewayne Coleman pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 0:06
2ND & GOAL
OPP 18
+6
99.8%
Hayden Reed run for 6 yds to the UAB 12Similar
Q3 0:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 12
+6
99.8%
Hayden Reed run for 6 yds to the UAB 6Similar
Q4 14:55
4TH & GOAL
OPP 6
+23
99.8%
Trey Gronotte 23 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 17PUNT
7 plays · 11 yds · 2:300% → 0%
Q4 14:41
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
99.9%
Jalen Kitna pass complete to Amare Thomas for 3 yds to the UAB 28Similar
Q4 14:18
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+8
99.9%
Lee Beebe Jr. run for 8 yds to the UAB 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:53
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
99.9%
Lee Witherspoon run for no gain to the UAB 36Similar
Q4 13:26
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+6
99.9%
Jalen Kitna pass complete to Kam Shanks for 6 yds to the UAB 42Similar
Q4 12:59
3RD & 4
OWN 42
-6
99.9%
Jalen Kitna sacked by Brett Gerena for a loss of 6 yards to the UAB 36Similar
Q4 12:11
4TH & 10
OWN 36
0
99.9%
Patrick Foley punt for 44 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 18PUNT
16 plays · 27 yds · 24:3199% → 100%
Q2 3:15
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+13
99.3%
Lee Beebe Jr. run for 13 yds to the UAB 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:58
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+7
99.3%
Lee Beebe Jr. run for 7 yds to the UAB 45Similar
Q2 2:39
2ND & 3
OWN 45
+4
99.3%
Lee Beebe Jr. run for 4 yds to the UAB 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:58
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+26
99.3%
Jalen Kitna pass complete to Bryce Damous for 26 yds to the ARMY 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:29
1ST & 15
OPP 30
+11
99.3%
Jalen Kitna pass complete to Iverson Hooks for 11 yds to the ARMY 19Similar
Q2 1:14
2ND & 4
OPP 19
+3
99.3%
Lee Witherspoon run for 3 yds to the ARMY 16Similar
Q2 1:08
3RD & 1
OPP 16
+7
99.3%
Jalen Kitna run for 7 yds to the ARMY 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:02
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
0
99.3%
Jalen Kitna pass interceptedSimilar
Q4 11:53
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+14
99.9%
Dewayne Coleman run for 14 yds to the ARMY 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:22
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+12
99.9%
Carson Smith run for 12 yds to the ARMY 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:41
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+3
99.9%
Lloyd Benson III run for 3 yds to the ARMY 49Similar
Q4 10:23
2ND & 7
OWN 49
+6
99.9%
Carson Smith run for 6 yds to the UAB 45Similar
Q4 9:49
3RD & 1
OPP 45
-15
99.9%
(09:49) No Huddle Smith,Carson rush middle for 0 yards to the UAB45 (Maddox,Adrian) PENALTY ARMY Chop Block (Jeffcoat,Will) 15 yards from UAB45 to ARMY40. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 9:22
3RD & 16
OWN 40
+7
99.9%
Dewayne Coleman run for 7 yds to the ARMY 47Similar
Q4 8:44
4TH & 9
OWN 47
+7
99.9%
James Wagenseller punt for 50 yds , Kam Shanks returns for 7 yds to the UAB 10Similar
Q4 8:44
4TH & 9
OWN 47
+7
99.9%
James Wagenseller punt for 50 yds , Kam Shanks returns for 7 yds to the UAB 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 19TD
20 plays · 90 yds · 28:541% → 0%
Q2 0:55
1ST & 10
OWN 17
0
99.3%
pass incomplete to Noah ShortSimilar
Q2 0:43
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
99.3%
Bryson Daily pass incomplete to Hayden Reed, broken up by Desmond LittleSimilar
Q4 8:39
1ST & 10
OWN 10
0
99.9%
Jalen Kitna pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 8:29
2ND & 10
OWN 10
+6
99.9%
Lee Witherspoon run for 6 yds to the UAB 16Similar
Q4 7:56
3RD & 4
OWN 16
0
99.9%
Jalen Kitna pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 7:42
4TH & 4
OWN 16
+15
99.9%
(07:53) Foley,Patrick punt 50 yards to the ARMY34 Benson III,Lloyd return 12 yards to the ARMY46 (Moser,Caleb; Van Zandt,Jax) PENALTY ARMY Roughing The Kicker (Williams,Christopher) 15 yards from UAB16 to UAB31, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 7:23
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+8
99.9%
Jalen Kitna pass complete to Malachi Holt-Bennett for 8 yds to the UAB 39Similar
Q4 7:09
2ND & 2
OWN 39
0
99.9%
Jalen Kitna pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 6:43
3RD & 2
OWN 39
+7
99.9%
Trace Campbell run for 7 yds to the UAB 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:32
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
99.9%
Jalen Kitna pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 6:23
2ND & 10
OWN 46
-4
99.9%
Jalen Kitna pass complete to Lee Beebe Jr. for 6 yds to the ARMY 48 UAB Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the UAB 42Similar
Q4 5:32
2ND & 14
OWN 42
+10
100.0%
Jalen Kitna pass complete to Kam Shanks for 10 yds to the ARMY 48Similar
Q4 5:12
3RD & 4
OPP 48
+9
99.9%
Jalen Kitna pass complete to Kam Shanks for 9 yds to the ARMY 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:55
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+5
99.9%
Jalen Kitna run for 5 yds to the ARMY 34Similar
Q4 4:20
2ND & 5
OPP 34
+6
99.9%
Jalen Kitna pass complete to Jack Nickel for 6 yds to the ARMY 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:54
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+8
99.9%
Jalen Kitna pass complete to Amare Thomas for 8 yds to the ARMY 20Similar
Q4 3:10
2ND & 2
OPP 20
+9
99.9%
Jalen Kitna pass complete to J.C. Sivley for 9 yds to the ARMY 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:52
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+3
99.9%
Lee Witherspoon run for 3 yds to the ARMY 8Similar
Q4 2:23
2ND & 7
OPP 8
0
99.9%
Lee Beebe Jr. run for no gain to the ARMY 8Similar
Q4 2:01
3RD & 7
OPP 8
+8
100.0%
Amare Thomas 8 Yd pass from Jalen Kitna (Jonah Delange Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 20END OF GAME
9 plays · 33 yds · 1:58100% → 100%
Q4 1:58
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
99.9%
Cale Hellums run for 2 yds to the ARMY 27Similar
Q4 1:52
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+10
99.9%
Cale Hellums run for 10 yds to the ARMY 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:44
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+3
100.0%
Carson Smith run for 3 yds to the ARMY 40Similar
Q4 1:40
2ND & 7
OWN 40
+9
100.0%
Cale Hellums run for 9 yds to the ARMY 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:11
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+4
100.0%
Carson Smith run for 4 yds to the UAB 47Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 6
OPP 47
+5
100.0%
Cale Hellums run for 5 yds to the UAB 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 4:02
Kanye Udoh run for 3 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down
+1.9
TD · Q1 2:45
Bryson Daily run for 13 yds for a TD (Trey Gronotte KICK)
+1.7
TD · Q2 10:21
Bryson Daily run for 4 yds to the UAB 12
+1.6
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com