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ECU

East Carolina 24 at Charlotte 55

CLT
2024 · Week 6 · Oct 5, 2024 · Jerry Richardson Stadium
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Win probability · CLT
modelCLT aheadECU aheadconfidence bandkey playCLT scoreECU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGTDFGTDTDTDFGTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 13:35 · Michael O'Shaughnessy punt for 55 yds , Ja'Marley Riddle returns for no gain to the ECU 26
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+36.5+18.30−18.3−36.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 39Home team on offense+4.4Pregame prior−15.7Score differential+1.2Garbage-time factor+2.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.8Blowout margin−0.4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 12:24: Jake Garcia pass complete to Tyler Savage for 13 yds for a TD (Noah Perez KICK) — ECU win probability +7.7 pts (now 64%) (top driver: ECU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 3:24: Hahsaun Wilson run for 1 yd for a TD (Stephen Rusnak KICK) — CLT win probability +11.1 pts (now 65%) (top driver: CLT has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 1:40: Cartevious Norton run for 62 yds for a TD (Stephen Rusnak KICK) — CLT win probability +15.5 pts (now 85%) (top driver: CLT has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 12:26: London Montgomery run for 48 yds for a TD (Noah Perez KICK) — ECU win probability +15.8 pts (now 31%) (top driver: ECU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 14:53: Hahsaun Wilson run for 23 yds for a TD (Stephen Rusnak KICK) — CLT win probability +5.1 pts (now 98%) (top driver: CLT has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
CLT made the numbers' call on 6 of 6ECU made the numbers' call on 6 of 8
  1. Q1 9:35ECU 4th & 3 at ECU 32, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 67.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    67.2%−0.1
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    67.2%
    average punt
  2. Q1 3:38CLT 4th & 1 at ECU 1, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 38.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    38.0%
    59% to convert
    Field goal
    37.0%−1.0
    94% to make
    Punt
    34.4%−3.6
    average punt
  3. Q1 0:45ECU 4th & 3 at CLT 20, down 14
    Close callKicked a field goal · 55.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    55.6%
    51% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    55.1%−0.5
    75% to make
    Punt
    50.5%−5.1
    average punt
  4. Q2 13:35CLT 4th & 14 at CLT 21, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 44.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    43.3%−2.6
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    45.9%
    average punt
  5. Q2 8:40CLT 4th & 13 at ECU 17, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 40.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    39.6%−1.2
    19% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    40.7%
    80% to make
    Punt
    36.5%−4.2
    average punt
  6. Q2 1:59ECU 4th & 2 at ECU 33, down 14
    Close callPunted · 35.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    35.8%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    35.3%−0.4
    average punt
  7. Q2 1:13ECU 4th & 6 at ECU 42, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 18.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    18.2%−0.4
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    18.7%
    average punt
  8. Q3 10:55CLT 4th & 26 at CLT 9, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 72.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    68.9%−4.8
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    73.6%
    average punt
  9. Q3 9:35ECU 4th & 6 at CLT 31, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 26.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    26.3%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    26.2%−0.2
    54% to make
    Punt
    24.6%−1.7
    average punt
  10. Q3 4:00CLT 4th & 5 at ECU 9, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 84.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    83.2%−0.3
    36% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    83.5%
    89% to make
    Punt
    74.3%−9.2
    average punt
  11. Q3 2:28ECU 4th & 8 at ECU 39, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 10.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.2%−1.0
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    11.2%
    average punt
  12. Q4 13:35ECU 4th & 14 at ECU 36, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.9%−0.5
    18% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.3%
    average punt
  13. Q4 7:55CLT 4th & 7 at CLT 28, up 30
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.8%−0.1
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%
    average punt
  14. Q4 5:09ECU 4th & 13 at CLT 45, down 30
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−<0.1
    21% to convert
    Field goal
    0.1%−<0.1
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
CLT made the numbers' call on 7 of 7ECU made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 10:18CLT Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    32.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    32.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 3:38CLT Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    43.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    43.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 12:24ECU Touchdown, down 5 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    62.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    61.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 3:24CLT Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    63.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    63.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 1:40CLT Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    83.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    83.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 12:26ECU Touchdown, down 15 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    27.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    26.9%−0.2
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 14:53CLT Touchdown, up 23 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 12:00CLT Touchdown, up 30 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 10:31CLT Touchdown, up 37 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
CLTDrive 1TD
8 plays · 55 yds · 4:3329% → 34%
Q1 14:51
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+2
29.4%
Cartevious Norton run for 2 yds to the CLT 47Similar
Q1 14:11
2ND & 8
OWN 47
-4
29.8%
Cartevious Norton run for a loss of 4 yards to the CLT 43Similar
Q1 13:35
3RD & 12
OWN 43
+27
30.0%
Deshawn Purdie pass complete to O'Mega Blake for 27 yds to the ECU 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:00
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+8
30.6%
Deshawn Purdie pass complete to Sean Brown for 8 yds to the ECU 22Similar
Q1 12:25
2ND & 2
OPP 22
0
30.9%
Cartevious Norton run for no gain to the ECU 22Similar
Q1 11:47
3RD & 2
OPP 22
+9
31.2%
Deshawn Purdie pass complete to Colin Weber for 9 yds to the ECU 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:05
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+2
31.7%
Cartevious Norton run for 2 yds to the ECU 11Similar
Q1 10:18
2ND & 8
OPP 11
+11
33.6%
Cartevious Norton run for 11 yds for a TD (Stephen Rusnak KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 2PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 0:4367% → 66%
Q1 10:18
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
32.9%
Anthony Smith pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 10:11
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+7
33.1%
Jake Garcia pass complete to Anthony Smith for 7 yds to the ECU 32Similar
Q1 9:41
3RD & 3
OWN 32
0
33.4%
Jake Garcia pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 9:35
4TH & 3
OWN 32
0
33.7%
Luke Larsen punt for 42 yds, downed at the CLT 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 3TD
12 plays · 74 yds · 5:4734% → 43%
Q1 9:25
1ST & 10
OWN 26
0
34.0%
Terron Kellman run for no gain to the CLT 26Similar
Q1 8:47
2ND & 10
OWN 26
-5
34.3%
(08:47) PURDIE, Deshawn pass up the middle complete for 15 yards to CLEMONS, Jake caught at the CLT41 and advanced to the CLT41 (WILSON-LAMP, Andrew), clock 08:36. PENALTY Before the snap, CLT Illegal Shift enforced 5 yards from the CLT26 to the CLT21. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 8:15
2ND & 15
OWN 21
+15
34.8%
(08:15) KELLMAN, Terron rush to the right for a gain of 6 yards to the CLT27 (WILSON-LAMP, Andrew), clock 08:11. PENALTY ECU Face mask on JOHNSON JR., DJ enforced 15 yards from the CLT25 to the CLT40 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 7:48
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+11
35.7%
Deshawn Purdie pass complete to Isaiah Myers for 11 yds to the ECU 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:08
1ST & 10
OPP 49
-1
36.4%
Terron Kellman run for a loss of 1 yard to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 6:28
2ND & 11
50
+22
36.8%
Terron Kellman run for 22 yds to the ECU 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:44
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+26
37.9%
Deshawn Purdie pass complete to O'Mega Blake for 26 yds to the ECU 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:05
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
0
38.5%
Deshawn Purdie pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 5:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
38.6%
Terron Kellman run for 1 yd to the ECU 1Similar
Q1 4:15
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
0
38.8%
Cartevious Norton run for no gain to the ECU 1Similar
Q1 3:38
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
43.4%
Deshawn Purdie run for 1 yd for a TD (Stephen Rusnak KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 4FG
8 plays · 55 yds · 2:5357% → 59%
Q1 3:38
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
42.6%
Rahjai Harris run for 4 yds to the ECU 29Similar
Q1 3:20
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+6
42.6%
Jake Garcia run for 6 yds to the ECU 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:01
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+26
42.9%
Jake Garcia pass complete to Jhari Patterson for 26 yds to the CLT 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:41
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+12
42.5%
Jhari Patterson run for 12 yds to the CLT 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:19
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+4
41.6%
Rahjai Harris run for 4 yds to the CLT 23Similar
Q1 2:02
2ND & 6
OPP 23
+4
41.9%
Rahjai Harris run for 4 yds to the CLT 19Similar
Q1 1:27
3RD & 2
OPP 19
-1
42.9%
Rahjai Harris run for a loss of 1 yard to the CLT 20Similar
Q1 0:45
4TH & 3
OPP 20
+38
41.2%
Noah Perez 38 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 5PUNT
7 plays · 13 yds · 2:0542% → 44%
Q1 0:40
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+2
41.7%
Hahsaun Wilson run for 2 yds to the CLT 10Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 10
+15
42.8%
Deshawn Purdie pass complete to Colin Weber for 15 yds to the CLT 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:21
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
43.6%
Hahsaun Wilson run for 1 yd to the CLT 26Similar
Q2 13:46
2ND & 9
OWN 26
0
44.1%
Deshawn Purdie pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 13:41
3RD & 9
OWN 26
0
43.6%
Deshawn Purdie pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 13:35
4TH & 9
OWN 26
-5
44.5%
Charlotte Penalty, Delay Of Game (-5 Yards) to the CLT 21Similar
Q2 13:35
4TH & 14
OWN 21
0
44.4%
Michael O'Shaughnessy punt for 55 yds , Ja'Marley Riddle returns for no gain to the ECU 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 6TD
4 plays · 74 yds · 1:0255% → 64%
Q2 13:26
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+3
44.7%
London Montgomery run for 3 yds to the ECU 29Similar
Q2 13:08
2ND & 7
OWN 29
+10
44.6%
(13:08) GARCIA, Jake pass up the middle incomplete intended for SMITH, Anthony thrown to the ECU43, clock 13:03. PENALTY CLT Holding on BALFOUR, Dontae enforced 10 yards from the ECU29 to the ECU39 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 13:03
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+48
44.2%
Jake Garcia pass complete to Chase Sowell for 48 yds to the CLT 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:24
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+13
36.5%
Jake Garcia pass complete to Tyler Savage for 13 yds for a TD (Noah Perez KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 7FG
9 plays · 35 yds · 3:3741% → 47%
Q2 12:17
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
41.3%
Deshawn Purdie pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 12:11
2ND & 10
OWN 48
+5
41.1%
Deshawn Purdie pass complete to O'Mega Blake for 5 yds to the ECU 47Similar
Q2 11:29
3RD & 5
OPP 47
+7
41.3%
Deshawn Purdie pass complete to O'Mega Blake for 7 yds to the ECU 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:49
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+26
42.6%
Deshawn Purdie pass complete to Jairus Mack for 26 yds to the ECU 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:13
1ST & 10
OPP 14
0
43.2%
Deshawn Purdie pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 10:05
2ND & 10
OPP 14
+5
43.3%
Cartevious Norton run for 5 yds to the ECU 9Similar
Q2 9:26
3RD & 5
OPP 9
-8
43.6%
Deshawn Purdie sacked by Ryheem Craig for a loss of 8 yards to the ECU 17Similar
Q2 8:40
4TH & 13
OPP 17
+35
46.8%
Stephen Rusnak 35 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 8INT
3 plays · 19 yds · 0:4652% → 53%
Q2 8:40
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+12
47.7%
Jake Garcia pass complete to Jhari Patterson for 12 yds to the ECU 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:17
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+7
47.2%
Marlon Gunn Jr. run for 7 yds to the ECU 44Similar
Q2 7:54
2ND & 3
OWN 44
+1
46.9%
Jake Garcia pass intercepted Elijah Culp return for a loss of 1 yard to the CLT 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 9TD
9 plays · 68 yds · 4:2449% → 65%
Q2 7:48
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+32
49.4%
Deshawn Purdie pass complete to Jairus Mack for 32 yds to the ECU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:04
1ST & 10
OPP 36
-2
52.0%
Deshawn Purdie run for a loss of 2 yards to the ECU 34 Deshawn Purdie fumbled, recovered by CLT Deshawn Purdie D. Purdie return for 4 ydsSimilar
Q2 6:27
2ND & 8
OPP 34
+9
52.9%
Terron Kellman run for 9 yds to the ECU 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:48
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+2
53.6%
Hahsaun Wilson run for 2 yds to the ECU 23Similar
Q2 5:10
2ND & 8
OPP 23
-3
54.2%
Hahsaun Wilson run for a loss of 3 yards to the ECU 26Similar
Q2 4:51
3RD & 11
OPP 26
+23
53.5%
Deshawn Purdie pass complete to Jairus Mack for 23 yds to the ECU 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:01
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
53.6%
Deshawn Purdie run for 2 yds to the ECU 1Similar
Q2 3:24
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
64.8%
Hahsaun Wilson run for 1 yd for a TD (Stephen Rusnak KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 10PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 1:2538% → 36%
Q2 3:24
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
62.4%
Rahjai Harris run for no gain to the ECU 25Similar
Q2 3:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+3
63.1%
Rahjai Harris run for 3 yds to the ECU 28Similar
Q2 2:26
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+5
64.3%
Jake Garcia pass complete to Tyler Savage for 5 yds to the ECU 33Similar
Q2 1:59
4TH & 2
OWN 33
0
64.4%
Luke Larsen punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Henry Rutledge at the CLT 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 11TD
2 plays · 62 yds · 0:1469% → 85%
Q2 1:54
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
69.4%
Deshawn Purdie pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:40
2ND & 10
OWN 38
+62
85.0%
Cartevious Norton run for 62 yds for a TD (Stephen Rusnak KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 12PUNT
7 plays · 17 yds · 0:2719% → 19%
Q2 1:40
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
81.2%
Katin Houser pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:36
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+13
81.4%
Katin Houser pass complete to Chase Sowell for 13 yds to the ECU 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:29
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
80.5%
Katin Houser pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:24
2ND & 10
OWN 38
-13
80.6%
East Carolina Penalty, Intentional Grounding (Katin Houser) to the ECU 25Similar
Q2 1:20
3RD & 23
OWN 25
+17
81.9%
Rahjai Harris run for 17 yds to the ECU 42Similar
Q2 1:13
4TH & 6
OWN 42
0
81.3%
Luke Larsen punt for 35 yds, downed at the CLT 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 13END OF HALF
2 plays · 1 yds · 0:2488% → 88%
Q2 1:02
1ST & 10
OWN 23
-5
87.7%
Deshawn Purdie pass incomplete Charlotte Penalty, Intentional Grounding (Deshawn Purdie) to the CLT 18Similar
Q2 0:38
2ND & 15
OWN 18
+6
88.3%
Terron Kellman run for 6 yds to the CLT 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 14TD
7 plays · 78 yds · 2:2716% → 31%
Q3 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 22
0
83.8%
Katin Houser pass complete to Winston Wright Jr. for no gain to the ECU 22Similar
Q3 14:35
2ND & 10
OWN 22
+9
84.2%
Katin Houser pass complete to Chase Sowell for 9 yds to the ECU 31Similar
Q3 14:21
3RD & 1
OWN 31
+5
83.7%
Rahjai Harris run for 5 yds to the ECU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:01
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
84.1%
Rahjai Harris run for no gain to the ECU 36Similar
Q3 13:32
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+13
84.9%
Winston Wright Jr. run for 13 yds to the ECU 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:09
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+3
84.8%
Rahjai Harris run for 3 yds to the CLT 48Similar
Q3 12:26
2ND & 7
OPP 48
+48
69.1%
London Montgomery run for 48 yds for a TD (Noah Perez KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 15PUNT
5 plays · -16 yds · 1:2674% → 73%
Q3 12:21
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
73.6%
Deshawn Purdie pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 12:17
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
73.5%
Terron Kellman run for no gain to the CLT 25Similar
Q3 11:43
3RD & 10
OWN 25
-11
73.6%
Deshawn Purdie sacked by Chad Stephens for a loss of 11 yards to the CLT 14Similar
Q3 11:02
4TH & 21
OWN 14
-5
73.2%
Charlotte Penalty, Offsides (Trevon Booker) to the CLT 9Similar
Q3 10:55
4TH & 26
OWN 9
+6
73.1%
Michael O'Shaughnessy punt for 44 yds , Ja'Marley Riddle returns for 6 yds to the CLT 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 16DOWNS
6 plays · 16 yds · 1:1029% → 26%
Q3 10:45
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+8
71.1%
Winston Wright Jr. run for 8 yds to the CLT 39Similar
Q3 10:26
2ND & 2
OPP 39
+4
70.8%
Rahjai Harris run for 4 yds to the CLT 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:04
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
70.8%
Katin Houser pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 9:58
2ND & 10
OPP 35
+4
70.9%
Katin Houser pass complete to Winston Wright Jr. for 4 yds to the CLT 31Similar
Q3 9:38
3RD & 6
OPP 31
0
72.5%
Katin Houser pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 9:35
4TH & 6
OPP 31
0
73.6%
Katin Houser pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 17FG
13 plays · 60 yds · 5:3078% → 89%
Q3 9:30
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+6
77.8%
Deshawn Purdie pass complete to Sean Brown for 6 yds to the CLT 37Similar
Q3 8:56
2ND & 4
OWN 37
+5
78.7%
Cartevious Norton run for 5 yds to the CLT 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:09
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+6
80.2%
Hahsaun Wilson run for 6 yds to the CLT 48Similar
Q3 7:29
2ND & 4
OWN 48
+8
81.8%
Hahsaun Wilson run for 8 yds to the ECU 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:48
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+3
82.7%
Hahsaun Wilson run for 3 yds to the ECU 41Similar
Q3 6:07
2ND & 7
OPP 41
0
83.2%
Deshawn Purdie pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 6:02
3RD & 7
OPP 41
+10
82.6%
(06:02) PURDIE, Deshawn pass deep to the left incomplete intended for BLAKE, O'Mega thrown to the ECU24, clock 05:56. PENALTY ECU Holding on WILSON-LAMP, Andrew enforced 10 yards from the ECU41 to the ECU31 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 5:56
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+3
83.4%
Hahsaun Wilson run for 3 yds to the ECU 28Similar
Q3 5:32
2ND & 7
OPP 28
+14
83.8%
East Carolina Penalty, Unnecessary Roughness (Mike Edwards III) to the ECU 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:28
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+5
83.9%
Cartevious Norton run for 5 yds to the ECU 9Similar
Q3 4:46
2ND & 5
OPP 9
0
84.8%
Deshawn Purdie pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 4:43
3RD & 5
OPP 9
0
84.3%
Terron Kellman run for no gain to the ECU 9Similar
Q3 4:00
4TH & 5
OPP 9
+28
88.9%
Stephen Rusnak 28 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 18PUNT
7 plays · 14 yds · 1:3212% → 10%
Q3 4:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
88.4%
Winston Wright Jr. run for 7 yds to the ECU 32Similar
Q3 3:43
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+5
87.9%
Katin Houser run for 5 yds to the ECU 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:23
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+7
88.2%
Katin Houser pass complete to Winston Wright Jr. for 7 yds to the ECU 44Similar
Q3 2:57
2ND & 3
OWN 44
-5
88.4%
East Carolina Penalty, Illegal Snap on HALL, Dustyn enforced (Dustyn Hall) to the ECU 39Similar
Q3 2:37
2ND & 8
OWN 39
0
88.8%
Katin Houser pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 2:33
3RD & 8
OWN 39
0
89.0%
Katin Houser pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 2:28
4TH & 8
OWN 39
0
89.7%
Luke Larsen punt for 37 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 19TD
5 plays · 76 yds · 2:2691% → 98%
Q3 2:19
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+3
90.6%
Terron Kellman run for 3 yds to the CLT 27Similar
Q3 1:40
2ND & 7
OWN 27
+13
91.1%
Hahsaun Wilson run for 13 yds to the CLT 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:57
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+2
92.0%
Hahsaun Wilson run for 2 yds to the CLT 42Similar
Q3 0:15
2ND & 8
OWN 42
+35
92.4%
Hahsaun Wilson run for 35 yds to the ECU 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:53
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+23
97.5%
Hahsaun Wilson run for 23 yds for a TD (Stephen Rusnak KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 20PUNT
8 plays · 11 yds · 1:183% → 2%
Q4 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
97.3%
Katin Houser pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 14:49
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+15
97.4%
Katin Houser pass complete to Tyler Savage for 15 yds to the ECU 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:35
1ST & 10
OWN 40
-5
97.3%
East Carolina Penalty, False Start (Parker Moorer) to the ECU 35Similar
Q4 14:23
1ST & 15
OWN 35
0
97.5%
Katin Houser pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 14:11
2ND & 15
OWN 35
+6
97.7%
Katin Houser pass complete to Yannick Smith for 6 yds to the ECU 41Similar
Q4 13:40
3RD & 9
OWN 41
0
97.7%
Katin Houser pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 13:36
4TH & 9
OWN 41
-5
97.8%
East Carolina Penalty, False Start (Tyler Savage) to the ECU 36Similar
Q4 13:35
4TH & 14
OWN 36
0
97.9%
Luke Larsen punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Henry Rutledge at the CLT 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 21TD
3 plays · 79 yds · 1:3098% → 100%
Q4 13:30
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+3
97.7%
Hahsaun Wilson run for 3 yds to the CLT 24Similar
Q4 12:48
2ND & 7
OWN 24
+11
97.9%
Deshawn Purdie pass complete to Duane Thomas Jr. for 11 yds to the CLT 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+65
99.7%
Hahsaun Wilson run for 65 yds for a TD (Stephen Rusnak KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 22INT TD
8 plays · 34 yds · 1:290% → 0%
Q4 12:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
99.8%
Katin Houser run for 8 yds to the ECU 33Similar
Q4 11:41
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+15
99.8%
(11:41) HOUSER, Katin pass deep to the right incomplete intended for SPALDING, Brock thrown to the CLT38, clock 11:35. PENALTY CLT Pass Interference on CULP, Elijah enforced 15 yards to the ECU48 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 11:35
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
99.8%
Katin Houser pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 11:29
2ND & 10
OWN 48
+5
99.8%
Rahjai Harris run for 5 yds to the CLT 47Similar
Q4 11:05
3RD & 5
OPP 47
+6
99.8%
Katin Houser pass complete to Winston Wright Jr. for 6 yds to the CLT 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:49
1ST & 10
OPP 41
0
99.8%
Katin Houser pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 10:44
2ND & 10
OPP 41
0
99.8%
Katin Houser pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 10:31
3RD & 10
OPP 41
-53
99.8%
Stone Handy 53 Yd Interception Return (Stephen Rusnak Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 23PUNT
6 plays · 3 yds · 2:22100% → 100%
Q4 10:17
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
99.8%
Henry Rutledge run for 1 yd to the CLT 26Similar
Q4 9:36
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+4
99.8%
Henry Rutledge run for 4 yds to the CLT 30Similar
Q4 8:48
3RD & 5
OWN 30
-10
99.8%
(08:48) QB Keeper PURDIE, Deshawn rush to the right for a gain of 7 yards to the CLT37 (FLETCHER, Eric), clock 08:38. PENALTY CLT Holding on STANLEY, Kendall enforced 10 yards from the CLT30 to the CLT20 [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 8:16
3RD & 15
OWN 20
+8
99.8%
Henry Rutledge run for 8 yds to the CLT 28Similar
Q4 7:55
4TH & 7
OWN 28
0
99.8%
Michael O'Shaughnessy punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Ja'Marley Riddle at the ECU 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 24PUNT
9 plays · 20 yds · 2:410% → 0%
Q4 7:50
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
99.9%
Katin Houser pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 7:45
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+5
99.9%
London Montgomery run for 5 yds to the ECU 40Similar
Q4 7:23
3RD & 5
OWN 40
+6
99.9%
Katin Houser pass complete to Tyler Savage for 6 yds to the ECU 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:51
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
99.9%
Katin Houser pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 6:46
2ND & 10
OWN 46
+12
99.9%
Katin Houser pass complete to Chase Sowell for 12 yds to the CLT 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:26
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+6
99.9%
Katin Houser pass complete to London Montgomery for 6 yds to the CLT 36Similar
Q4 5:59
2ND & 4
OPP 36
-9
99.9%
Katin Houser sacked by Lacota Dippre for a loss of 9 yards to the CLT 45Similar
Q4 5:15
3RD & 13
OPP 45
0
99.9%
Katin Houser pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 5:09
4TH & 13
OPP 45
0
99.9%
Luke Larsen punt for 45 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 25END OF GAME
9 plays · 36 yds · 3:58100% → 100%
Q4 5:03
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+2
99.9%
Xander Lamb run for 2 yds to the CLT 22Similar
Q4 4:22
2ND & 8
OWN 22
+7
99.9%
Rod Gainey Jr. run for 7 yds to the CLT 29Similar
Q4 3:40
3RD & 1
OWN 29
+2
99.9%
Rod Gainey Jr. run for 2 yds to the CLT 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:57
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+15
99.9%
East Carolina Penalty, Face mask (15 yards) (15 Yards) to the ECU 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:28
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+11
99.9%
Rod Gainey Jr. run for 11 yds to the ECU 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:00
1ST & 10
OPP 34
-2
99.9%
[NH] Kneel down by TEAM at ECU36 (team loss of 2), clock 02:00.Similar
Q4 1:49
2ND & 12
OPP 36
-5
99.9%
(01:49) [NH] Kneel down by TEAM at ECU41 (team loss of 5), clock 01:16.Similar
Q4 1:05
3RD & 17
OPP 41
-3
99.9%
(01:05) [NH] Kneel down by TEAM at ECU44 (team loss of 3), clock 00:37.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 12:26
London Montgomery run for 48 yds for a TD (Noah Perez KICK)
-15.8
TD · Q2 1:40
Cartevious Norton run for 62 yds for a TD (Stephen Rusnak KICK)
+15.5
TD · Q2 3:24
Hahsaun Wilson run for 1 yd for a TD (Stephen Rusnak KICK)
+11.1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com