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TULN

Tulane 71 at UAB 20

UAB
2024 · Week 6 · Oct 5, 2024 · Protective Stadium
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Win probability · UAB
modelUAB aheadTULN aheadconfidence bandkey playUAB scoreTULN score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDTDFGTDFGTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 3:44 · Jalen Kitna pass incomplete
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+59.5+29.80−29.8−59.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 129Home team on offense−50.0Pregame prior−15.4Score differential−34.4Garbage-time factor−11.5Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−4.2Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−4.1
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 4:21: Rayshawn Pleasant 100 Yd Kickoff Return (Ethan Head PAT failed) — TULN win probability +1.6 pts (now 85%) (top driver: UAB has the ball).
  2. TD · Q1 3:02: Makhi Hughes run for 1 yd for a TD (Ethan Head KICK) — TULN win probability +2.9 pts (now 89%) (top driver: TULN has the ball).
  3. FG · Q1 0:44: Jonah Delange 32 yd FG GOOD — UAB win probability +1.3 pts (now 14%) (top driver: UAB has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 14:46: Makhi Hughes run for 51 yds for a TD (Ethan Head KICK) — TULN win probability +4.0 pts (now 92%) (top driver: TULN has the ball).
  5. TD · Q2 1:11: Arnold Barnes III run for 1 yd for a TD (Ethan Head KICK) — TULN win probability +2.9 pts (now 97%) (top driver: TULN has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
UAB made the numbers' call on 7 of 9TULN made the numbers' call on 4 of 5
  1. Q1 13:24UAB 4th & 11 at UAB 24, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 12.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.5%−0.1
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    12.6%
    average punt
  2. Q1 12:01TULN 4th & 9 at TULN 32, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 86.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    86.7%−0.1
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    86.8%
    average punt
  3. Q1 9:59UAB 4th & 14 at UAB 26, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 14.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.9%−0.2
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    14.0%
    average punt
  4. Q1 4:34UAB 4th & 5 at TULN 15, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 15.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.9%−0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    15.0%
    83% to make
    Punt
    13.9%−1.1
    average punt
  5. Q1 0:44UAB 4th & 12 at TULN 14, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 12.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    11.4%−0.5
    20% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    11.9%
    84% to make
    Punt
    10.0%−1.9
    average punt
  6. Q2 13:01UAB 4th & 15 at UAB 20, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 9.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.7%−0.5
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    9.3%
    average punt
  7. Q2 6:24TULN 4th & 6 at UAB 7, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 92.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    92.5%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    92.5%
    91% to make
    Punt
    91.0%−1.5
    average punt
  8. Q2 5:26UAB 4th & 11 at UAB 24, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 8.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.7%−0.8
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    8.5%
    average punt
  9. Q2 1:55TULN 4th & 1 at UAB 7, up 24
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 94.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    94.3%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    93.7%−0.6
    91% to make
    Punt
    92.3%−2.0
    average punt
  10. Q2 0:22UAB 4th & 19 at UAB 17, down 31
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.3%−0.2
    10% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.6%
    average punt
  11. Q3 6:44TULN 4th & 6 at UAB 46, up 38
    Close callPunted · 98.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.8%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    98.7%−0.1
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    98.8%−<0.1
    average punt
  12. Q3 3:44UAB 4th & 10 at UAB 45, down 51
    Close callWent for it · 0.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.3%−0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.4%
    average punt
  13. Q4 14:56TULN 4th & 3 at UAB 23, up 51
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.4%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    99.3%−<0.1
    70% to make
    Punt
    98.9%−0.4
    average punt
  14. Q4 7:13UAB 4th & 6 at UAB 29, down 51
    Close callWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.1%−0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.2%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
UAB made the numbers' call on 2 of 2TULN made the numbers' call on 10 of 10
  1. Q1 7:33TULN Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    85.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    85.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 4:21TULN Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    85.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    85.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 3:02TULN Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    88.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    88.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 14:46TULN Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    89.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    89.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 1:11TULN Touchdown, up 30 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 11:13TULN Touchdown, up 37 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 5:32TULN Touchdown, up 44 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    99.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q3 5:18TULN Touchdown, up 50 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 13:28UAB Touchdown, down 45 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  10. Q4 8:21TULN Touchdown, up 50 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  11. Q4 7:04TULN Touchdown, up 57 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  12. Q4 1:22UAB Touchdown, down 52 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
UABDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · -1 yds · 1:0512% → 13%
Q1 14:29
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-9
12.3%
Nate Rogers pass complete to Jalen Kitna for a loss of 9 yards to the UAB 16Similar
Q1 14:14
2ND & 19
OWN 16
0
12.4%
Jalen Kitna pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:56
3RD & 19
OWN 16
+8
12.5%
Jalen Kitna pass complete to Terrell McDonald for 8 yds to the UAB 24Similar
Q1 13:24
4TH & 11
OWN 24
0
12.7%
Patrick Foley punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Dontae Fleming at the TULN 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 2PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 1:1787% → 87%
Q1 13:18
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+2
12.8%
Makhi Hughes run for 2 yds to the TULN 33Similar
Q1 12:46
2ND & 8
OWN 33
+1
13.0%
Yulkeith Brown run for 1 yd to the TULN 32Similar
Q1 12:15
3RD & 9
OWN 32
0
13.3%
Darian Mensah pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:01
4TH & 9
OWN 32
0
13.5%
Will Karoll punt for 38 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 3PUNT
4 plays · -4 yds · 1:5414% → 14%
Q1 11:53
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+4
13.5%
Jalen Kitna pass complete to Amare Thomas for 4 yds to the UAB 34Similar
Q1 11:22
2ND & 6
OWN 34
0
13.8%
Lee Beebe Jr. run for no gain to the UAB 34Similar
Q1 10:51
3RD & 6
OWN 34
-8
13.9%
Jalen Kitna sacked by Matthew Fobbs-White for a loss of 8 yards to the UAB 26Similar
Q1 9:59
4TH & 14
OWN 26
+27
14.2%
Patrick Foley punt for 43 yds , Dontae Fleming returns for 27 yds to the UAB 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 4TD
6 plays · 42 yds · 2:1686% → 86%
Q1 9:49
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+15
14.1%
Darian Mensah pass complete to Makhi Hughes for 15 yds to the UAB 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:17
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+11
14.3%
Makhi Hughes run for 11 yds to the UAB 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:45
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+10
14.4%
Mario Williams run for 1 yd to the UAB 15 for a 1ST down UAB Penalty, Personal Foul (Sirad Bryant) to the UAB 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:31
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+2
14.5%
Makhi Hughes run for 2 yds to the UAB 6Similar
Q1 8:09
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+3
14.7%
Ty Thompson run for 3 yds to the UAB 3Similar
Q1 7:33
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
13.6%
Ty Thompson run for 3 yds for a TD (Ethan Head KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 5FG
9 plays · 60 yds · 2:4614% → 16%
Q1 7:20
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+20
14.1%
Jalen Kitna pass complete to Iverson Hooks for 20 yds to the UAB 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:52
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+21
14.6%
Jalen Kitna pass complete to Malachi Holt-Bennett for 21 yds to the TULN 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:30
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+9
15.1%
Lee Beebe Jr. run for 9 yds to the TULN 25Similar
Q1 5:54
2ND & 1
OPP 25
+5
15.3%
Lee Beebe Jr. run for 5 yds to the TULN 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:26
1ST & 10
OPP 20
0
15.5%
Jalen Kitna pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 5:17
2ND & 10
OPP 20
+5
15.6%
Lee Witherspoon run for 5 yds to the TULN 15Similar
Q1 4:39
3RD & 5
OPP 15
0
15.5%
Jalen Kitna pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 4:34
4TH & 5
OPP 15
+33
16.4%
Jonah Delange 33 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 6INT TD
3 plays · 0 yds · 0:0015% → 15%
Q1 4:07
1ST & 10
OWN 19
0
14.7%
Jalen Kitna pass intercepted Elijah Champaigne return for no gain to the UAB 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 7TD
3 plays · 12 yds · 0:5986% → 89%
Q1 4:01
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+6
14.2%
(04:04) Shotgun Hughes,Makhi rush left for 0 yards to the UAB12 (Moore,Michael) PENALTY UAB Face Mask (Moore,Michael) 6 yards from UAB12 to UAB06, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 3:32
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+5
14.3%
Makhi Hughes run for 5 yds to the UAB 1Similar
Q1 3:02
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
11.4%
Makhi Hughes run for 1 yd for a TD (Ethan Head KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 8FG
7 plays · 66 yds · 2:0112% → 14%
Q1 2:45
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+7
11.7%
Jalen Kitna pass complete to Iverson Hooks for 7 yds to the UAB 27Similar
Q1 2:17
2ND & 3
OWN 27
+61
12.0%
Lee Beebe Jr. run for 61 yds to the TULN 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:54
1ST & 10
OPP 12
-1
12.4%
Jalen Kitna pass complete to Amare Thomas for a loss of 1 yard to the TULN 13Similar
Q1 1:29
2ND & 11
OPP 13
+1
12.4%
Lee Beebe Jr. run for 1 yd to the TULN 14Similar
Q1 0:48
3RD & 12
OPP 14
0
12.3%
Jalen Kitna pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 0:44
4TH & 12
OPP 14
+32
13.6%
Jonah Delange 32 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 9TD
4 plays · 65 yds · 0:4587% → 92%
Q1 0:31
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+9
12.8%
Darian Mensah pass complete to Shaadie Clayton-Johnson for 9 yds to the TULN 44Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 1
OWN 44
+5
12.5%
Shaadie Clayton-Johnson run for 5 yds to the TULN 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:46
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+51
8.4%
Makhi Hughes run for 51 yds for a TD (Ethan Head KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 10PUNT
5 plays · -5 yds · 1:3510% → 9%
Q2 14:36
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
9.6%
Lee Beebe Jr. run for 1 yd to the UAB 26Similar
Q2 14:11
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+3
9.5%
Lee Beebe Jr. run for 3 yds to the UAB 29Similar
Q2 13:33
3RD & 6
OWN 29
-9
9.4%
Jalen Kitna sacked by Patrick Jenkins for a loss of 9 yards to the UAB 20Similar
Q2 13:01
4TH & 15
OWN 20
+8
9.2%
Patrick Foley punt for 48 yds , Dontae Fleming returns for 8 yds to the TULN 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 11FG
13 plays · 53 yds · 6:2792% → 93%
Q2 12:51
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+1
8.1%
Darian Mensah pass complete to Yulkeith Brown for 1 yd to the TULN 41Similar
Q2 12:22
2ND & 9
OWN 41
+10
7.9%
Darian Mensah pass complete to Trey Cornist for 10 yds to the UAB 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:49
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
7.8%
Darian Mensah pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 11:35
2ND & 10
OPP 49
+4
7.7%
Darian Mensah pass complete to Bryce Bohanon for 4 yds to the UAB 45Similar
Q2 10:46
3RD & 6
OPP 45
+7
7.6%
Darian Mensah pass complete to Alex Bauman for 7 yds to the UAB 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:28
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+6
7.4%
Makhi Hughes run for 6 yds to the UAB 32Similar
Q2 9:37
2ND & 4
OPP 32
+8
7.1%
Makhi Hughes run for 8 yds to the UAB 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:55
1ST & 10
OPP 24
0
6.9%
Darian Mensah run for no gain to the UAB 24Similar
Q2 8:22
2ND & 10
OPP 24
+13
6.9%
Arnold Barnes III run for 13 yds to the UAB 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:41
1ST & 10
OPP 11
0
7.1%
Yulkeith Brown run for no gain to the UAB 11Similar
Q2 7:02
2ND & 10
OPP 11
+4
6.9%
Ty Thompson run for 4 yds to the UAB 7Similar
Q2 6:28
3RD & 6
OPP 7
0
7.0%
Ty Thompson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 6:24
4TH & 6
OPP 7
+25
7.0%
Ethan Head 25 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 12PUNT
5 plays · -1 yds · 0:489% → 8%
Q2 6:14
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
8.7%
Lee Beebe Jr. run for 1 yd to the UAB 24Similar
Q2 5:39
2ND & 11
OWN 24
0
8.6%
Jalen Kitna pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 5:35
3RD & 11
OWN 24
0
8.5%
UAB Penalty, Illegal Formation (Yards) declinedSimilar
Q2 5:26
4TH & 11
OWN 24
0
8.4%
Patrick Foley punt for 37 yds , Dontae Fleming returns for no gain to the TULN 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 13TD
14 plays · 61 yds · 4:0294% → 97%
Q2 5:13
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+3
6.4%
Makhi Hughes run for 3 yds to the TULN 42Similar
Q2 4:33
2ND & 7
OWN 42
+12
6.3%
Darian Mensah pass complete to Dontae Fleming for 12 yds to the UAB 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:10
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+5
6.2%
Makhi Hughes run for 5 yds to the UAB 41Similar
Q2 3:29
2ND & 5
OPP 41
+2
5.9%
Makhi Hughes run for 2 yds to the UAB 39Similar
Q2 2:47
3RD & 3
OPP 39
+23
6.2%
Darian Mensah pass complete to Yulkeith Brown for 23 yds to the UAB 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:18
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+1
5.9%
Makhi Hughes run for 1 yd to the UAB 15Similar
Q2 2:10
2ND & 9
OPP 15
0
5.5%
Darian Mensah pass complete to Alex Bauman for no gain to the UAB 15Similar
Q2 1:57
3RD & 9
OPP 15
+8
5.2%
Darian Mensah run for 8 yds to the UAB 7Similar
Q2 1:55
4TH & 1
OPP 7
+4
5.4%
Arnold Barnes III run for 4 yds to the UAB 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:16
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
4.7%
Arnold Barnes III run for 2 yds to the UAB 1Similar
Q2 1:11
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
2.7%
Arnold Barnes III run for 1 yd for a TD (Ethan Head KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 14PUNT
6 plays · 3 yds · 0:342% → 1%
Q2 0:56
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+12
1.5%
Jalen Kitna pass complete to Lee Beebe Jr. for 12 yds to the UAB 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:46
1ST & 10
OWN 26
0
1.5%
(00:48) No Huddle-Shotgun Kitna,Jalen pass complete short right to Damous,Bryce caught at UAB35, for 9 yards to the UAB35, out of bounds at UAB35 PENALTY UAB Illegal Touch-Pass (Damous,Bryce). NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 0:42
2ND & 10
OWN 26
0
1.4%
UAB Penalty, Illegal Formation (Yards) declinedSimilar
Q2 0:33
3RD & 10
OWN 26
-9
1.4%
Jalen Kitna sacked by Kameron Hamilton for a loss of 9 yards to the UAB 17Similar
Q2 0:22
4TH & 19
OWN 17
0
1.3%
Patrick Foley punt for 53 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 15END OF HALF
1 play · 0 yds · 0:0098% → 98%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
2.4%
run for no gain to the TULN 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 16TD
8 plays · 75 yds · 3:3997% → 99%
Q3 14:52
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
2.7%
Darian Mensah pass complete to Mario Williams for 8 yds to the TULN 33Similar
Q3 14:22
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+8
2.4%
Makhi Hughes run for 8 yds to the TULN 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:43
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
2.4%
Darian Mensah run for no gain to the TULN 41Similar
Q3 13:07
2ND & 10
OWN 41
+10
2.3%
Makhi Hughes run for 10 yds to the UAB 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:28
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+31
2.1%
Darian Mensah pass complete to Bryce Bohanon for 31 yds to the UAB 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:57
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+4
1.9%
Makhi Hughes run for 4 yds to the UAB 14Similar
Q3 11:13
2ND & 6
OPP 14
+14
1.3%
Darian Mensah pass complete to Yulkeith Brown for 14 yds for a TD (Ethan Head KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 17DOWNS
10 plays · 19 yds · 2:341% → 1%
Q3 11:07
1ST & 10
OWN 31
-5
1.3%
PENALTY UAB False Start (Townsend,Delano) 5 yards from UAB31 to UAB26. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 10:57
1ST & 15
OWN 26
+11
1.3%
Jalen Kitna pass complete to Iverson Hooks for 11 yds to the UAB 37Similar
Q3 10:36
2ND & 4
OWN 37
+5
1.2%
Armoni Goodwin run for 5 yds to the UAB 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:13
1ST & 10
OWN 42
-5
1.2%
PENALTY UAB False Start (Yates,Quez) 5 yards from UAB42 to UAB37. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 9:52
1ST & 15
OWN 37
+3
1.1%
Armoni Goodwin run for 3 yds to the UAB 34Similar
Q3 9:16
2ND & 18
OWN 34
0
1.0%
Jalen Kitna pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 9:06
3RD & 18
OWN 34
+8
0.9%
Jalen Kitna pass complete to Lee Beebe Jr. for 8 yds to the UAB 42Similar
Q3 8:33
4TH & 10
OWN 42
-8
0.9%
UAB Penalty, (-8 Yards) to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 8:33
4TH & 10
OWN 42
0
0.9%
UAB Penalty, Defensive Holding (Yards) declinedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 18PUNT
6 plays · 4 yds · 1:4299% → 99%
Q3 8:26
1ST & 10
50
0
1.0%
Darian Mensah pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 8:17
2ND & 10
50
+3
1.0%
Shaadie Clayton-Johnson run for 3 yds to the UAB 47Similar
Q3 7:38
3RD & 7
OPP 47
+6
1.0%
Shaadie Clayton-Johnson run for 6 yds to the UAB 41Similar
Q3 7:09
4TH & 1
OPP 41
-5
1.2%
PENALTY TUL False Start (Remetich,Josh) 5 yards from UAB41 to UAB46. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 6:44
4TH & 6
OPP 46
0
1.2%
Will Karoll punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Kam Shanks at the UAB 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 19INT
3 plays · 5 yds · 0:491% → 1%
Q3 6:27
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+7
0.6%
Jalen Kitna pass complete to Malachi Holt-Bennett for 7 yds to the UAB 19Similar
Q3 6:05
2ND & 3
OWN 19
+2
0.5%
Lee Witherspoon run for 2 yds to the UAB 17Similar
Q3 5:38
3RD & 5
OWN 17
0
0.5%
Jalen Kitna pass intercepted Javion White return for no gain to the UAB 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 20TD
2 plays · 22 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q3 5:32
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+22
0.7%
Ty Thompson pass complete to Yulkeith Brown for 22 yds for a TD (Ethan Head PAT MISSED)Similar
Q3 5:32
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+15
0.8%
PENALTY UAB UNR: Unnecessary Roughness (Bryant,Sirad) 15 yards from TUL35 to TUL50. NO PLAY.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 21INT TD
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q3 5:18
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-29
0.4%
Chris Rodgers 29 Yd Interception Return (Jacob Barnes Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 22DOWNS
9 plays · 20 yds · 1:260% → 0%
Q3 5:10
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
0.4%
Jalen Kitna pass complete to Iverson Hooks for 4 yds to the UAB 29Similar
Q3 4:44
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+1
0.4%
Lee Beebe Jr. run for 1 yd to the UAB 30Similar
Q3 4:13
3RD & 5
OWN 30
0
0.4%
Jalen Kitna pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 4:06
4TH & 5
OWN 30
+15
0.3%
(04:13) No Huddle-Shotgun Kitna,Jalen pass incomplete deep right to Shanks,Kam thrown to TUL40 broken up by Lewis,Jayden PENALTY TUL Pass Interference (Lewis,Jayden) 15 yards from UAB30 to UAB45, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 4:02
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
0.4%
Jalen Kitna pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 3:55
2ND & 10
OWN 45
0
0.4%
Jalen Kitna pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 3:48
3RD & 10
OWN 45
0
0.4%
Jalen Kitna pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 3:44
4TH & 10
OWN 45
0
0.4%
Jalen Kitna pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 23DOWNS
7 plays · 24 yds · 3:4199% → 99%
Q3 3:37
1ST & 10
OPP 45
-10
0.7%
(03:44) No Huddle-Shotgun McClure,Jamauri rush left for 6 yards gain to the UAB39 (Hill,Kelvin) PENALTY TUL Holding (Goines,Joshua) 10 yards from UAB45 to TUL45. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 3:01
1ST & 20
OWN 45
+25
0.6%
Jamauri McClure run for 25 yds to the UAB 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:23
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+5
0.6%
Jamauri McClure run for 5 yds to the UAB 25Similar
Q3 1:39
2ND & 5
OPP 25
+4
0.5%
Jamauri McClure run for 4 yds to the UAB 21Similar
Q3 0:59
3RD & 1
OPP 21
-5
0.5%
PENALTY TUL False Start (Remetich,Josh) 5 yards from UAB21 to UAB26. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 0:00
3RD & 6
OPP 26
+3
0.5%
Arnold Barnes III run for 3 yds to the UAB 23Similar
Q4 14:56
4TH & 3
OPP 23
+2
0.6%
Jamauri McClure run for 2 yds to the UAB 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 24TD
3 plays · 79 yds · 1:170% → 0%
Q4 14:45
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+2
0.2%
Armoni Goodwin run for 2 yds to the UAB 19Similar
Q4 14:06
2ND & 12
OWN 19
+8
0.2%
Jalen Kitna pass complete to Amare Thomas for 8 yds to the UAB 27Similar
Q4 13:28
3RD & 4
OWN 27
+73
0.2%
Jalen Kitna pass complete to Amare Thomas for 73 yds for a TD (Jonah Delange KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 25TD
11 plays · 75 yds · 4:57100% → 100%
Q4 13:18
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
0.4%
Jamauri McClure run for 4 yds to the TULN 29Similar
Q4 12:48
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+24
0.4%
Ty Thompson pass complete to Jamauri McClure for 24 yds to the UAB 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:07
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+5
0.3%
Jamauri McClure run for 5 yds to the UAB 42Similar
Q4 11:36
2ND & 5
OPP 42
+14
0.3%
Arnold Barnes III run for 14 yds to the UAB 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:50
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+5
0.2%
Arnold Barnes III run for 5 yds to the UAB 23Similar
Q4 10:05
2ND & 5
OPP 23
+14
0.2%
Arnold Barnes III run for 14 yds to the UAB 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:19
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
-1
0.2%
Arnold Barnes III run for 9 yds Tulane Penalty, Offensive Holding (Sidney Mbanasor) to the UAB 11Similar
Q4 9:12
1ST & GOAL
OPP 11
+2
0.2%
Shaadie Clayton-Johnson run for 2 yds to the UAB 9Similar
Q4 8:28
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
-5
0.2%
(08:34) Shotgun Thompson,Ty rush middle for 9 yards gain to the UAB00 TOUCHDOWN nullified by penalty, clock 08:28 PENALTY TUL Illegal Formation 5 yards from UAB09 to UAB14. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 8:21
2ND & GOAL
OPP 14
+14
0.2%
Arnold Barnes III run for 14 yds for a TD (Jacob Barnes KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 26DOWNS
5 plays · 4 yds · 1:000% → 0%
Q4 8:13
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
0.1%
Solomon Beebe run for 2 yds to the UAB 23Similar
Q4 7:37
2ND & 12
OWN 23
+6
0.1%
Jalen Kitna pass complete to Iverson Hooks for 6 yds to the UAB 29Similar
Q4 7:22
3RD & 6
OWN 29
0
0.1%
Jalen Kitna pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 7:13
4TH & 6
OWN 29
0
0.1%
Jalen Kitna pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 27TD
1 play · 29 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 7:04
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+29
0.2%
Jamauri McClure run for 29 yds for a TD (Jacob Barnes KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 28TD
17 plays · 75 yds · 5:300% → 0%
Q4 6:52
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
0.1%
Jalen Kitna pass complete to Kam Shanks for 8 yds to the UAB 33Similar
Q4 6:28
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+4
0.1%
Solomon Beebe run for 4 yds to the UAB 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:05
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
0.1%
Jalen Kitna pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 5:55
2ND & 10
OWN 37
+4
0.1%
Armoni Goodwin run for 4 yds to the UAB 41Similar
Q4 5:09
3RD & 6
OWN 41
+10
0.1%
Jalen Kitna pass complete to Dallas Payne for 10 yds to the TULN 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:31
1ST & 10
OPP 49
-5
0.1%
PENALTY UAB Delay Of Game (Kitna,Jalen) 5 yards from TUL49 to UAB46. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 3:47
1ST & 15
OWN 46
+7
0.1%
Jalen Kitna pass complete to Kam Shanks for 7 yds to the TULN 47Similar
Q4 3:24
2ND & 8
OPP 47
0
0.1%
Jalen Kitna pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 3:18
3RD & 8
OPP 47
+15
0.1%
(03:21) No Huddle-Shotgun Kitna,Jalen pass incomplete deep left to Shanks,Kam thrown to TUL07 PENALTY TUL Pass Interference (White,Javion) 15 yards from TUL47 to TUL32, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 3:10
1ST & 10
OPP 32
0
0.1%
Jalen Kitna pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 2:59
2ND & 10
OPP 32
+5
0.1%
Jalen Kitna pass complete to Iverson Hooks for 5 yds to the TULN 27Similar
Q4 2:16
3RD & 5
OPP 27
+14
0.1%
Jalen Kitna pass complete to Amare Thomas for 14 yds to the TULN 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:59
1ST & 10
OPP 13
0
0.1%
Jalen Kitna pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:41
2ND & 10
OPP 13
+7
0.1%
Jalen Kitna pass complete to Solomon Beebe for 7 yds to the TULN 6Similar
Q4 1:22
3RD & 3
OPP 6
+6
0.1%
Solomon Beebe run for 6 yds for a TD (Jonah Delange KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 29END OF GAME
7 plays · 14 yds · 1:16100% → 100%
Q4 1:16
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+5
0.1%
Jamauri McClure run for 5 yds to the UAB 39Similar
Q4 1:10
2ND & 5
OPP 39
+5
0.1%
Jamauri McClure run for 5 yds to the UAB 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:58
1ST & 10
OPP 34
0
0.1%
Jamauri McClure run for no gain to the UAB 34Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 10
OPP 34
+4
0.1%
Arnold Barnes III run for 4 yds to the UAB 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 14:46
Makhi Hughes run for 51 yds for a TD (Ethan Head KICK)
-4
TD · Q1 3:02
Makhi Hughes run for 1 yd for a TD (Ethan Head KICK)
-2.9
TD · Q2 1:11
Arnold Barnes III run for 1 yd for a TD (Ethan Head KICK)
-2.9
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com