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USF

South Florida 10 at Tulane 45

TULN
2024 · Week 5 · Sep 28, 2024 · Yulman Stadium
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Win probability · TULN
modelTULN aheadUSF aheadconfidence bandkey playTULN scoreUSF score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGTDTDTDFGTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 9:00 · Andrew Stokes punt for 46 yds
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout marginPregame prior
+36.5+18.30−18.3−36.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 16Home team on offense+0.9Score differential+0.2Garbage-time factor+0.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.3Blowout margin+0.1Pregame prior+5.7
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 4:39: Darian Mensah pass complete to Dontae Fleming for 15 yds for a TD (Ethan Head KICK) — TULN win probability +5.0 pts (now 67%) (top driver: TULN has the ball).
  2. FG · Q2 8:50: Ethan Head 35 yd FG GOOD — TULN win probability +5.4 pts (now 78%) (top driver: TULN has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 4:19: Darian Mensah pass complete to Mario Williams for 53 yds for a TD (Ethan Head KICK) — TULN win probability +9.5 pts (now 90%) (top driver: TULN has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 1:54: Darian Mensah pass complete to Mario Williams for 27 yds for a TD (Ethan Head KICK) — TULN win probability +5.1 pts (now 96%) (top driver: TULN has the ball).
  5. TD · Q2 0:34: Byrum Brown run for 10 yds for a TD (John Cannon KICK) — USF win probability +10.2 pts (now 13%) (top driver: USF has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
TULN made the numbers' call on 3 of 4USF made the numbers' call on 7 of 7
  1. Q1 13:53USF 4th & 7 at USF 28, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 36.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    36.7%−0.1
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    36.7%
    average punt
  2. Q1 9:00USF 4th & 6 at USF 42, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 34.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    34.9%−0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    35.0%
    average punt
  3. Q1 2:17USF 4th & 10 at USF 36, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 28.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    28.5%−0.8
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    29.3%
    average punt
  4. Q2 8:50TULN 4th & 3 at USF 17, up 14
    Close callKicked a field goal · 77.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    77.1%
    51% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    76.5%−0.6
    80% to make
    Punt
    70.6%−6.5
    average punt
  5. Q2 8:08USF 4th & 13 at USF 18, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 19.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    17.0%−2.6
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    19.5%
    average punt
  6. Q2 6:41TULN 4th & 10 at TULN 11, up 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 81.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    80.0%−1.9
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    81.9%
    average punt
  7. Q3 11:19TULN 4th & 7 at TULN 48, up 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 93.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    93.9%−0.2
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    94.1%
    average punt
  8. Q3 6:19USF 4th & 18 at TULN 27, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 4.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.1%−1.0
    12% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    4.1%
    62% to make
    Punt
    1.8%−2.3
    average punt
  9. Q4 12:56USF 4th & 1 at TULN 49, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.2%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.1%−0.2
    average punt
  10. Q4 12:07USF 4th & 10 at USF 25, down 35
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−0.1
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
  11. Q4 0:34TULN 4th & 3 at USF 3, up 35
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 100.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.9%
    44% to convert
    Field goal
    99.9%−<0.1
    93% to make
    Punt
    99.5%−0.4
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
TULN made the numbers' call on 6 of 6USF made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 10:37TULN Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    64.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    64.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 4:39TULN Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    69.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    69.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 4:19TULN Touchdown, up 23 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    90.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    89.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 1:54TULN Touchdown, up 30 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 0:34USF Touchdown, down 25 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    6.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    6.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 14:54TULN Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 12:28TULN Touchdown, up 34 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
USFDrive 1PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 1:0744% → 44%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
56.4%
Kelley Joiner run for no gain to the USF 25Similar
Q1 14:37
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
56.4%
Byrum Brown pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 14:37
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+3
56.4%
Byrum Brown pass complete to Kelley Joiner for 3 yds to the USF 28Similar
Q1 13:53
4TH & 7
OWN 28
0
56.5%
Andrew Stokes punt for 41 yds, downed at the TULN 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 2TD
6 plays · 69 yds · 3:1457% → 59%
Q1 13:51
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+35
56.5%
Darian Mensah pass complete to Alex Bauman for 35 yds to the USF 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:04
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+4
56.8%
Makhi Hughes run for 4 yds to the USF 30Similar
Q1 12:26
2ND & 6
OPP 30
+14
57.0%
Darian Mensah pass complete to Yulkeith Brown for 14 yds to the USF 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:44
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+1
57.2%
Makhi Hughes run for 1 yd to the USF 15Similar
Q1 11:13
2ND & 9
OPP 15
+10
57.2%
Darian Mensah pass complete to Dontae Fleming for 10 yds to the USF 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:37
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
58.9%
Makhi Hughes run for 5 yds for a TD (Ethan Head KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USFDrive 3PUNT
6 plays · 17 yds · 1:3342% → 41%
Q1 10:33
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
58.2%
Byrum Brown pass complete to Abdur-Rahmaan Yaseen for 8 yds to the USF 33Similar
Q1 10:18
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+5
58.0%
Byrum Brown pass complete to Michael Brown-Stephens for 5 yds to the USF 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:56
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+1
58.2%
Nay'Quan Wright run for 1 yd to the USF 39Similar
Q1 9:42
3RD & 9
OWN 39
+3
58.5%
Byrum Brown run for 3 yds to the USF 42Similar
Q1 9:40
2ND & 9
OWN 39
0
58.3%
Byrum Brown pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 9:00
4TH & 6
OWN 42
0
59.0%
Andrew Stokes punt for 46 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 4TD
7 plays · 88 yds · 4:1359% → 67%
Q1 8:52
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+8
59.0%
Makhi Hughes run for 8 yds to the TULN 20Similar
Q1 8:17
2ND & 2
OWN 20
+16
59.4%
Makhi Hughes run for 16 yds to the TULN 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:37
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+15
59.9%
Darian Mensah pass complete to Dontae Fleming for 15 yds to the USF 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:52
1ST & 10
OPP 49
-2
60.7%
Makhi Hughes run for a loss of 2 yards to the TULN 49Similar
Q1 6:11
2ND & 12
OWN 49
+25
60.7%
Darian Mensah pass complete to Yulkeith Brown for 25 yds to the USF 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:26
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+11
61.6%
Ty Thompson run for 11 yds to the USF 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:39
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+15
66.6%
Darian Mensah pass complete to Dontae Fleming for 15 yds for a TD (Ethan Head KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USFDrive 5PUNT
8 plays · 11 yds · 2:2236% → 34%
Q1 4:39
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
64.5%
Ta'Ron Keith run for 1 yd to the USF 26Similar
Q1 4:15
2ND & 9
OWN 26
0
64.7%
Byrum Brown pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 4:10
3RD & 9
OWN 26
+10
65.0%
Byrum Brown pass complete to Sean Atkins for 10 yds to the USF 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:50
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+4
64.5%
Ta'Ron Keith run for 4 yds to the USF 40Similar
Q1 3:35
2ND & 6
OWN 40
-9
65.1%
Byrum Brown sacked by Patrick Jenkins for a loss of 9 yards to the USF 31Similar
Q1 2:57
3RD & 15
OWN 31
+5
65.8%
Byrum Brown pass complete to Abdur-Rahmaan Yaseen for 5 yds to the USF 36Similar
Q1 2:17
4TH & 10
OWN 36
0
65.7%
Andrew Stokes punt for 49 yds, downed at the TULN 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 6FG
14 plays · 68 yds · 8:2066% → 78%
Q1 2:10
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+3
66.3%
Trey Cornist run for 3 yds to the TULN 18Similar
Q1 1:32
2ND & 7
OWN 18
+7
66.7%
Trey Cornist run for 7 yds to the TULN 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
67.3%
Trey Cornist run for 1 yd to the TULN 26Similar
Q1 0:15
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+10
67.7%
Darian Mensah pass complete to Mario Williams for 10 yds to the TULN 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:56
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-4
68.4%
Shaadie Clayton-Johnson run for a loss of 4 yards to the TULN 32Similar
Q2 14:17
2ND & 14
OWN 32
+16
68.3%
Darian Mensah pass complete to Yulkeith Brown for 16 yds to the TULN 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:37
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+18
70.0%
Darian Mensah pass complete to Dontae Fleming for 18 yds to the USF 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:56
1ST & 10
OPP 34
-3
70.7%
Makhi Hughes run for a loss of 3 yards to the USF 37Similar
Q2 12:18
2ND & 13
OPP 37
+12
71.0%
Makhi Hughes run for 12 yds to the USF 25Similar
Q2 11:32
3RD & 1
OPP 25
+1
71.3%
Makhi Hughes run for 1 yd to the USF 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:51
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+2
72.3%
Makhi Hughes run for 2 yds to the USF 22Similar
Q2 10:07
2ND & 8
OPP 22
+1
72.8%
Makhi Hughes run for 1 yd to the USF 21Similar
Q2 9:22
3RD & 7
OPP 21
+4
72.7%
Darian Mensah pass complete to Mario Williams for 4 yds to the USF 17Similar
Q2 8:50
4TH & 3
OPP 17
+35
78.1%
Ethan Head 35 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USFDrive 7PUNT
4 plays · -3 yds · 0:3324% → 23%
Q2 8:41
1ST & 10
OWN 21
0
76.2%
Byrum Brown pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 8:39
2ND & 10
OWN 21
-3
76.4%
Kelley Joiner run for a loss of 3 yards to the USF 18Similar
Q2 8:12
3RD & 13
OWN 18
0
76.4%
Byrum Brown pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 8:08
4TH & 13
OWN 18
-10
76.6%
Andrew Stokes punt for 61 yds , Dontae Fleming returns for a loss of 10 yards to the TULN 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 8PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 1:1578% → 77%
Q2 7:56
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+1
77.6%
Makhi Hughes run for 1 yd to the TULN 12Similar
Q2 7:30
2ND & 9
OWN 12
-1
77.8%
Makhi Hughes run for a loss of 1 yard to the TULN 11Similar
Q2 6:48
3RD & 10
OWN 11
0
77.8%
Darian Mensah pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 6:41
4TH & 10
OWN 11
0
77.3%
Will Karoll punt for 45 yds , Sean Atkins returns for no gain to the USF 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USFDrive 9FUMBLE
4 plays · 30 yds · 0:4824% → 20%
Q2 6:38
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+11
76.0%
Byrum Brown pass complete to Abdur-Rahmaan Yaseen for 11 yds to the TULN 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:13
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+8
74.9%
Nay'Quan Wright run for 8 yds to the TULN 37Similar
Q2 5:55
2ND & 2
OPP 37
+11
74.8%
Nay'Quan Wright run for 11 yds to the TULN 26 Nay'Quan Wright fumbled, recovered by TULN Rayshawn Pleasant R. Pleasant return for 0 ydsSimilar
Q2 5:50
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+10
79.6%
(05:50) MENSAH, Darian scrambles to the left for no gain to the TLN26 (AUGUSTIN, D'Marco), clock 05:45. PENALTY USF Holding on AUGUSTIN, D'Marco enforced 10 yards from the TLN26 to the TLN36 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 10TD
4 plays · 74 yds · 1:1280% → 90%
Q2 5:31
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
80.0%
Darian Mensah pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 5:27
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+1
79.9%
Makhi Hughes run for 1 yd to the TULN 37Similar
Q2 4:52
3RD & 9
OWN 37
+10
80.0%
Darian Mensah run for 10 yds to the TULN 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:19
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+53
89.6%
Darian Mensah pass complete to Mario Williams for 53 yds for a TD (Ethan Head KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USFDrive 11FUMBLE
5 plays · 15 yds · 1:4013% → 13%
Q2 4:13
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+1
86.9%
Byrum Brown run for 1 yd to the USF 15Similar
Q2 3:45
2ND & 9
OWN 15
+4
87.3%
Byrum Brown pass complete to Sean Atkins for 4 yds to the USF 19Similar
Q2 3:14
3RD & 5
OWN 19
+15
87.6%
Byrum Brown pass complete to Joshua Hardeman for 15 yds to the USF 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:53
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+4
87.1%
Ta'Ron Keith run for 4 yds to the USF 38Similar
Q2 2:33
2ND & 6
OWN 38
-9
87.3%
Byrum Brown sacked for a loss of 9 yards to the USF 29 Byrum Brown fumbled, recovered by TULN Parker Petersen , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 12TD
3 plays · 29 yds · 0:2791% → 96%
Q2 2:21
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+2
90.9%
Ty Thompson run for 2 yds to the USF 27Similar
Q2 1:54
2ND & 8
OPP 27
+27
96.4%
Darian Mensah pass complete to Mario Williams for 27 yds for a TD (Ethan Head KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USFDrive 13TD
6 plays · 75 yds · 1:143% → 13%
Q2 1:48
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
97.0%
Byrum Brown pass complete to Abdur-Rahmaan Yaseen for 9 yds to the USF 34Similar
Q2 1:24
2ND & 1
OWN 34
-2
96.5%
Byrum Brown sacked by Kameron Hamilton and Elijah Champaigne for a loss of 2 yards to the USF 32Similar
Q2 1:04
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+7
96.6%
Byrum Brown pass complete to Joshua Porter for 7 yds to the USF 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:04
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
96.8%
Byrum Brown pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:04
2ND & 10
OWN 39
+51
96.8%
Byrum Brown pass complete to Abdur-Rahmaan Yaseen for 51 yds to the TULN 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:34
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+10
86.6%
Byrum Brown run for 10 yds for a TD (John Cannon KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 14END OF HALF
1 play · -1 yds · 0:0091% → 91%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
91.4%
[NH] Kneel down by MENSAH, Darian at TLN24 (team loss of 1), clock 00:00.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 15PUNT
7 plays · 33 yds · 3:3691% → 93%
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 15
-1
91.3%
Darian Mensah pass complete to Alex Bauman for a loss of 1 yard to the TULN 14Similar
Q3 14:14
2ND & 11
OWN 14
+17
91.6%
Shaadie Clayton-Johnson run for 17 yds to the TULN 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:34
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+14
92.0%
Shaadie Clayton-Johnson run for 14 yds to the TULN 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:49
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+2
92.8%
Shaadie Clayton-Johnson run for 2 yds to the TULN 47Similar
Q3 12:07
2ND & 8
OWN 47
+1
93.3%
Makhi Hughes run for 1 yd to the TULN 48Similar
Q3 11:25
3RD & 7
OWN 48
0
93.5%
Darian Mensah pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 11:19
4TH & 7
OWN 48
0
93.1%
Will Karoll punt for 32 yds, fair catch by Sean Atkins at the USF 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USFDrive 16FG
14 plays · 53 yds · 4:546% → 5%
Q3 11:13
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+6
93.6%
Byrum Brown pass complete to Sean Atkins for 6 yds to the USF 26Similar
Q3 10:41
2ND & 4
OWN 26
+2
93.5%
Byrum Brown run for 2 yds to the USF 28Similar
Q3 10:25
3RD & 2
OWN 28
+7
93.7%
Nay'Quan Wright run for 7 yds to the USF 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:10
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-8
93.8%
Byrum Brown sacked by Gerrod Henderson for a loss of 8 yards to the USF 27Similar
Q3 9:48
2ND & 18
OWN 27
+7
94.3%
Nay'Quan Wright run for 7 yds to the USF 34Similar
Q3 9:10
3RD & 11
OWN 34
+15
94.5%
BROWN, Byrum sacked for a loss of 9 yards at the USF25 (GRUBBS, Tyler), clock 09:10. PENALTY TLN Personal Foul on PETERSEN, Parker enforced 15 yards from the USF34 to the USF49 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 8:54
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+4
94.3%
Nay'Quan Wright run for 4 yds to the TULN 47Similar
Q3 8:31
2ND & 6
OPP 47
-3
94.5%
Bryce Archie sacked by Parker Petersen for a loss of 3 yards to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 7:56
3RD & 9
50
+16
94.7%
Bryce Archie pass complete to Michael Brown-Stephens for 16 yds to the TULN 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:35
1ST & 10
OPP 19
0
94.0%
Nay'Quan Wright run for no gain to the TULN 19Similar
Q3 7:33
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+15
94.2%
(07:33) ARCHIE, Bryce pass deep to the left incomplete intended for YASEEN, Abdur-Rahmaan thrown to the TLN0, clock 07:35. PENALTY TLN Pass Interference on PLEASANT, Rayshawn enforced 15 yards to the TLN19 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 7:13
2ND & 10
OPP 19
-8
94.3%
Bryce Archie sacked by Tyler Grubbs for a loss of 8 yards to the TULN 27Similar
Q3 6:28
3RD & 18
OPP 27
0
95.3%
Bryce Archie pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 6:19
4TH & 18
OPP 27
+45
94.8%
John Cannon 45 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 17TD
12 plays · 75 yds · 6:2595% → 100%
Q3 6:19
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
95.0%
Darian Mensah pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 6:17
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+5
94.9%
Makhi Hughes run for 5 yds to the TULN 30Similar
Q3 5:34
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+14
95.3%
Darian Mensah pass complete to Dontae Fleming for 14 yds to the TULN 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:57
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+7
95.7%
Darian Mensah pass complete to Bryce Bohanon for 7 yds to the USF 49Similar
Q3 4:23
2ND & 3
OPP 49
+2
95.0%
Shaadie Clayton-Johnson run for 2 yds to the USF 47Similar
Q3 3:41
3RD & 1
OPP 47
+13
96.4%
Ty Thompson run for 13 yds to the USF 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:01
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+8
96.7%
Darian Mensah pass complete to Makhi Hughes for 8 yds to the USF 26Similar
Q3 2:24
2ND & 2
OPP 26
+7
96.9%
Ty Thompson run for 7 yds to the USF 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:38
1ST & 10
OPP 19
-7
97.6%
run for a loss of 7 yards to the USF 26Similar
Q3 0:52
2ND & 17
OPP 26
+10
97.7%
Darian Mensah pass complete to Dontae Fleming for 10 yds to the USF 16Similar
Q3 0:16
3RD & 7
OPP 16
+7
97.8%
Darian Mensah run for 7 yds to the USF 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:54
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
99.7%
Makhi Hughes run for 9 yds for a TD (Ethan Head KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USFDrive 18DOWNS
7 plays · 26 yds · 1:580% → 0%
Q4 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.7%
Bryce Archie pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 14:45
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+8
99.7%
Bryce Archie pass complete to Joshua Hardeman for 8 yds to the USF 33Similar
Q4 14:23
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+9
99.7%
Bryce Archie pass complete to Michael Brown-Stephens for 9 yds to the USF 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:04
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+1
99.8%
Ta'Ron Keith run for 1 yd to the USF 43Similar
Q4 13:57
2ND & 9
OWN 43
0
99.8%
Bryce Archie pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 13:48
3RD & 9
OWN 43
+8
99.8%
Bryce Archie pass complete to Joshua Porter for 8 yds to the TULN 49Similar
Q4 12:56
4TH & 1
OPP 49
0
99.8%
Ta'Ron Keith run for no gain to the TULN 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 19TD
2 plays · 51 yds · 0:23100% → 100%
Q4 12:51
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+46
99.8%
Darian Mensah pass complete to Dontae Fleming for 46 yds to the USF 5 for a 1ST down South Florida Penalty, Personal Foul (Ben Knox) to the USF 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:28
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
99.8%
Trey Cornist run for 2 yds for a TD (Ethan Head KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USFDrive 20PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:160% → 0%
Q4 12:23
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.8%
Bryce Archie pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 12:20
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
99.8%
Bryce Archie pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 12:14
3RD & 10
OWN 25
0
99.8%
Bryce Archie pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 12:07
4TH & 10
OWN 25
0
99.9%
Andrew Stokes punt for 35 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 21DOWNS
21 plays · 55 yds · 11:24100% → 100%
Q4 11:58
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+11
99.8%
Trey Cornist run for 11 yds to the USF 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:18
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+2
99.8%
Ty Thompson run for 2 yds to the USF 47Similar
Q4 10:34
2ND & 8
OPP 47
+1
99.8%
Trey Cornist run for 1 yd to the USF 46Similar
Q4 9:50
3RD & 7
OPP 46
+10
99.9%
Arnold Barnes III run for 10 yds to the USF 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:04
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+4
99.9%
Arnold Barnes III run for 4 yds to the USF 32Similar
Q4 8:16
2ND & 6
OPP 32
+4
99.9%
Ty Thompson pass complete to Anthony Miller for 4 yds to the USF 28Similar
Q4 7:43
3RD & 2
OPP 28
+2
99.9%
Arnold Barnes III run for 2 yds to the USF 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:01
1ST & 10
OPP 26
-5
99.9%
Tulane Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the USF 31Similar
Q4 6:43
1ST & 15
OPP 31
+4
99.9%
Arnold Barnes III run for 4 yds to the USF 27Similar
Q4 6:01
2ND & 11
OPP 27
+1
99.9%
Trey Cornist run for 1 yd to the USF 26Similar
Q4 5:19
3RD & 10
OPP 26
+15
99.9%
(05:19) MENSAH, Darian pass deep to the left incomplete intended for FLEMING, Dontae thrown to the USF0, clock 05:18. PENALTY USF Pass Interference on CHENAULT, James enforced half the distance from the goal, 15 yards to the USF11 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 5:14
1ST & 10
OPP 11
-10
99.9%
Tulane Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the USF 15Similar
Q4 4:29
1ST & 14
OPP 15
+3
99.9%
Arnold Barnes III run for 3 yds to the USF 12Similar
Q4 3:59
2ND & 11
OPP 12
+7
99.9%
Arnold Barnes III run for 7 yds to the USF 5Similar
Q4 3:11
3RD & 4
OPP 5
+4
99.9%
Ty Thompson run for 4 yds to the USF 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:26
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
99.9%
Ty Thompson run for no gain to the USF 1Similar
Q4 2:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
-1
99.9%
(02:00) [NH] Kneel down by THOMPSON, Ty at USF2 (team loss of 1), clock 01:50.Similar
Q4 1:13
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
-1
100.0%
(01:13) [NH] Kneel down by THOMPSON, Ty at USF3 (team loss of 1), clock 01:08.Similar
Q4 0:34
4TH & GOAL
OPP 3
0
100.0%
(00:34) [NH] Kneel down by THOMPSON, Ty at USF5 (team loss of 2); TLN turnover on downs, clock 00:36.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USFDrive 22END OF GAME
1 play · 4 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 0:32
1ST & 10
OWN 5
+4
100.0%
Yasias Young run for 4 yds to the USF 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 0:34
Byrum Brown run for 10 yds for a TD (John Cannon KICK)
-10.2
TD · Q2 4:19
Darian Mensah pass complete to Mario Williams for 53 yds for a TD (Ethan Head KICK)
+9.5
FG · Q2 8:50
Ethan Head 35 yd FG GOOD
+5.4
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com