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CLT

Charlotte 21 at Rice 20

RICE
2024 · Week 5 · Sep 28, 2024 · Rice Stadium
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Win probability · RICE
modelRICE aheadCLT aheadconfidence bandkey playRICE scoreCLT score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDTDTDTDFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 7:13 · Michael O'Shaughnessy punt for 54 yds
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore differentialScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+24.0+12.00−12.0−24.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 21Home team on offense−0.1Pregame prior+7.8Garbage-time factor+0.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.3Score differential−0.5Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.3
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q3 10:52: Deshawn Purdie pass complete to O'Mega Blake for 32 yds for a TD (Stephen Rusnak KICK) — CLT win probability +14.7 pts (now 42%) (top driver: Deficit strained by the offense's own timeouts).
  2. TD · Q3 2:38: Deshawn Purdie pass complete to O'Mega Blake for 45 yds for a TD (Stephen Rusnak KICK) — CLT win probability +24.9 pts (now 63%) (top driver: CLT has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 14:46: E.J. Warner pass complete to Elijah Mojarro for 41 yds for a TD (Enock Gota KICK) — RICE win probability +20.0 pts (now 69%) (top driver: RICE has the ball).
  4. FG · Q4 6:42: Enock Gota 25 yd FG GOOD — RICE win probability +10.4 pts (now 88%) (top driver: RICE has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 0:47: Hahsaun Wilson run for 1 yd for a TD (Stephen Rusnak KICK) — CLT win probability +59.9 pts (now 81%) (top driver: CLT has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
RICE made the numbers' call on 8 of 10CLT made the numbers' call on 8 of 8
  1. Q1 10:59CLT 4th & 10 at CLT 36, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 37.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    37.4%−0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    37.6%
    average punt
  2. Q1 7:42RICE 4th & 4 at CLT 4, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 62.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    62.4%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    62.4%−0.1
    93% to make
    Punt
    61.2%−1.2
    average punt
  3. Q1 7:42RICE 4th & 4 at CLT 4, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 62.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    62.4%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    62.4%−0.1
    93% to make
    Punt
    61.2%−1.2
    average punt
  4. Q1 7:13CLT 4th & 10 at CLT 4, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 37.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    37.0%−0.5
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    37.5%
    average punt
  5. Q1 4:30RICE 4th & 2 at midfield, tied
    Close callPunted · 62.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    62.4%
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    62.1%−0.3
    average punt
  6. Q1 0:31CLT 4th & 6 at CLT 45, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 38.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    38.9%−0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    39.0%
    average punt
  7. Q2 9:55CLT 4th & 7 at CLT 28, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 30.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    30.6%−0.6
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    31.2%
    average punt
  8. Q2 9:00RICE 4th & 9 at RICE 17, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 67.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    66.3%−0.9
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    67.2%
    average punt
  9. Q2 6:06RICE 4th & 9 at RICE 46, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 69.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    69.0%−0.6
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    69.6%
    average punt
  10. Q2 5:16CLT 4th & 8 at CLT 10, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 28.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    27.4%−0.8
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    28.2%
    average punt
  11. Q2 5:16CLT 4th & 8 at CLT 10, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 28.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    27.4%−0.8
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    28.2%
    average punt
  12. Q2 1:38RICE 4th & 11 at CLT 14, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 71.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    69.7%−1.1
    23% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    70.8%
    84% to make
    Punt
    65.4%−5.5
    average punt
  13. Q3 13:01RICE 4th & 6 at RICE 40, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 76.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    75.8%−0.2
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    76.0%
    average punt
  14. Q3 7:54RICE 4th & 4 at CLT 16, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 67.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    66.5%
    46% to convert
    Field goal
    66.3%−0.1
    81% to make
    Punt
    58.2%−8.3
    average punt
  15. Q4 12:06CLT 4th & 12 at CLT 34, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 29.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    27.0%−3.5
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    30.5%
    average punt
  16. Q4 6:42RICE 4th & 7 at CLT 7, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 73.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    69.3%−1.2
    28% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    70.5%
    91% to make
    Punt
    51.5%−19.0
    average punt
  17. Q4 2:24CLT 4th & 23 at CLT 32, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 16.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.0%−0.7
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    8.7%
    average punt
  18. Q4 1:45RICE 4th & 2 at RICE 39, up 6
    Close callPunted · 93.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    93.8%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    92.8%−1.0
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
RICE made the numbers' call on 2 of 2CLT made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q2 12:04RICE Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    66.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    66.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q3 10:52CLT Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    32.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    32.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 2:38CLT Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    53.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    52.8%−0.2
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 14:46RICE Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    65.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    65.5%−0.3
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 0:47CLT Touchdown, tied before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    59.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    53.9%−5.2
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
CLTDrive 1PUNT
8 plays · 11 yds · 3:5141% → 41%
Q1 14:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
59.0%
Trexler Ivey pass complete to Sean Brown for 8 yds to the CLT 33Similar
Q1 14:19
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+1
58.9%
Cartevious Norton run for 1 yd to the CLT 34Similar
Q1 13:42
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+2
58.9%
Cartevious Norton run for 2 yds to the CLT 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:02
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+4
58.9%
Jairus Mack run for 4 yds to the CLT 32Similar
Q1 12:20
2ND & 14
OWN 32
+2
59.0%
Cartevious Norton run for 2 yds to the CLT 34Similar
Q1 11:32
3RD & 12
OWN 34
+2
59.2%
Trexler Ivey pass complete to Colin Weber for 2 yds to the CLT 36Similar
Q1 10:59
4TH & 10
OWN 36
0
59.2%
Michael O'Shaughnessy punt for 54 yds, fair catch by Tyson Thompson at the RICE 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 2DOWNS
9 plays · 86 yds · 3:0759% → 59%
Q1 10:49
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+48
59.1%
Dean Connors run for 48 yds to the CLT 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:09
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+16
59.7%
E.J. Warner pass complete to Matt Sykes for 16 yds to the CLT 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:30
1ST & 10
OPP 26
0
60.0%
E.J. Warner pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 9:23
2ND & 10
OPP 26
+18
60.0%
Taji Atkins run for 10 yds to the CLT 16 for a 1ST down Charlotte Penalty, (8 Yards) to the CLT 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:52
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+1
59.9%
Dean Connors run for 1 yd to the CLT 7Similar
Q1 8:29
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
0
59.9%
E.J. Warner pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 8:19
3RD & GOAL
OPP 7
+3
59.7%
E.J. Warner pass complete to Dean Connors for 3 yds to the CLT 4Similar
Q1 7:42
4TH & GOAL
OPP 4
0
59.4%
E.J. Warner pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:42
4TH & GOAL
OPP 4
0
59.4%
E.J. Warner pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 3PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:2241% → 41%
Q1 7:35
1ST & 10
OWN 4
0
59.0%
Trexler Ivey pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:30
2ND & 10
OWN 4
0
59.0%
Trexler Ivey pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:26
3RD & 10
OWN 4
0
59.3%
Trexler Ivey pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:13
4TH & 10
OWN 4
0
59.5%
Michael O'Shaughnessy punt for 54 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 4PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 2:2660% → 59%
Q1 6:56
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+2
59.6%
E.J. Warner run for 2 yds to the RICE 44Similar
Q1 6:24
2ND & 8
OWN 44
-10
59.7%
(06:29) PENALTY Owls Holding (Norfleet,Trace) 10 yards from Owls44 to Owls34. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 5:48
2ND & 18
OWN 34
+15
58.9%
E.J. Warner pass complete to Quinton Jackson for 15 yds to the RICE 49Similar
Q1 5:13
3RD & 3
OWN 49
+1
59.6%
Quinton Jackson run for 1 yd to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 4:30
4TH & 2
50
0
59.4%
Alex Bacchetta punt for 46 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 5PUNT
9 plays · 41 yds · 3:4441% → 42%
Q1 4:15
1ST & 10
OWN 4
+2
59.0%
Trexler Ivey pass complete to Sean Brown for 2 yds to the CLT 6Similar
Q1 3:35
2ND & 8
OWN 6
+18
59.1%
Trexler Ivey pass complete to Jairus Mack for 18 yds to the CLT 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:55
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+5
58.7%
Trexler Ivey pass complete to Henry Rutledge for 5 yds to the CLT 29Similar
Q1 2:08
2ND & 5
OWN 29
+2
58.0%
Hahsaun Wilson run for 2 yds to the CLT 31Similar
Q1 1:40
3RD & 3
OWN 31
+10
58.3%
(01:46) PENALTY Owls Holding 10 yards from 49ers31 to 49ers41, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 1:21
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
57.4%
Trexler Ivey pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 1:10
2ND & 10
OWN 41
+4
57.6%
Hahsaun Wilson run for 4 yds to the CLT 45Similar
Q1 0:40
3RD & 6
OWN 45
0
57.4%
Trexler Ivey pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 0:31
4TH & 6
OWN 45
0
58.5%
Michael O'Shaughnessy punt for 55 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 6TD
10 plays · 80 yds · 2:5659% → 66%
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+24
59.2%
E.J. Warner pass complete to Matt Sykes for 24 yds to the RICE 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:46
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+6
60.5%
Dean Connors run for 6 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 14:22
2ND & 4
50
0
60.8%
E.J. Warner pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:11
3RD & 4
50
+8
60.4%
E.J. Warner pass complete to Matt Sykes for 8 yds to the CLT 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:34
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+30
61.0%
Taji Atkins run for 30 yds to the CLT 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:50
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+1
61.3%
Taji Atkins run for 1 yd to the CLT 13Similar
Q2 12:11
2ND & 11
OPP 13
0
61.4%
E.J. Warner pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 12:04
3RD & 11
OPP 13
+13
66.1%
E.J. Warner pass complete to Quinton Jackson for 13 yds for a TD (Enock Gota KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 7PUNT
6 plays · 3 yds · 2:0536% → 34%
Q2 12:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
64.4%
PENALTY 49ers Illegal Formation 5 yards from 49ers25 to 49ers20. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 11:32
1ST & 15
OWN 20
+3
64.7%
Cartevious Norton run for 3 yds to the CLT 23Similar
Q2 10:45
2ND & 12
OWN 23
+5
65.0%
Trexler Ivey pass complete to Bryce Kennon for 5 yds to the CLT 28Similar
Q2 10:10
3RD & 7
OWN 28
0
65.5%
Trexler Ivey pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 9:55
4TH & 7
OWN 28
+1
66.4%
Michael O'Shaughnessy punt for 57 yds , Tyson Thompson returns for 1 yd to the RICE 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 8PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 0:4165% → 64%
Q2 9:41
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+1
65.4%
Dean Connors run for 1 yd to the RICE 17Similar
Q2 9:16
2ND & 9
OWN 17
0
65.3%
E.J. Warner pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 9:09
3RD & 9
OWN 17
0
64.6%
E.J. Warner pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 9:00
4TH & 9
OWN 17
+1
64.0%
Alex Bacchetta punt for 38 yds , Henry Rutledge returns for 1 yd to the CLT 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 9INT
7 plays · 14 yds · 1:0836% → 34%
Q2 8:36
1ST & 10
OWN 46
-3
64.0%
Trexler Ivey pass complete to Henry Rutledge for a loss of 3 yards to the CLT 43Similar
Q2 8:08
2ND & 13
OWN 43
0
66.1%
Trexler Ivey pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 7:55
3RD & 13
OWN 43
+17
66.7%
Trexler Ivey pass complete to Sean Brown for 17 yds to the RICE 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:38
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
64.0%
Trexler Ivey pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 7:34
2ND & 10
OPP 40
0
64.1%
Trexler Ivey pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 7:28
3RD & 10
OPP 40
0
66.0%
Trexler Ivey pass intercepted Joseph Mutombo return for no gain to the RICE 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 10PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 1:0768% → 66%
Q2 7:13
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+1
68.1%
E.J. Warner pass complete to Elijah Mojarro for 1 yd to the RICE 46Similar
Q2 6:39
2ND & 9
OWN 46
0
68.1%
Matt Sykes run for no gain to the RICE 46Similar
Q2 6:14
3RD & 9
OWN 46
0
66.9%
E.J. Warner pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 6:06
4TH & 9
OWN 46
0
66.0%
Alex Bacchetta punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Henry Rutledge at the CLT 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 11PUNT
6 plays · -6 yds · 0:5032% → 30%
Q2 6:06
1ST & 10
OWN 16
-8
67.9%
PENALTY 49ers Personal Foul (Booker,Trevon) 8 yards from 49ers16 to 49ers08. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 5:53
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+2
68.3%
Hahsaun Wilson run for 2 yds to the CLT 10Similar
Q2 5:28
2ND & 8
OWN 10
0
68.5%
Trexler Ivey pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 5:23
3RD & 8
OWN 10
0
69.3%
Trexler Ivey pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 5:16
4TH & 8
OWN 10
0
69.8%
Michael O'Shaughnessy punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Tyson Thompson at the CLT 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:16
4TH & 8
OWN 10
0
69.8%
Michael O'Shaughnessy punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Tyson Thompson at the CLT 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 12FG
13 plays · 24 yds · 3:2270% → 75%
Q2 5:00
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+9
69.5%
E.J. Warner pass complete to Braylen Walker for 9 yds to the CLT 29Similar
Q2 4:05
2ND & 1
OPP 29
+1
70.0%
Taji Atkins run for 1 yd to the CLT 30Similar
Q2 3:49
3RD & 2
OPP 30
+4
69.4%
Taji Atkins run for 4 yds to the CLT 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:21
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+3
70.3%
Dean Connors run for 3 yds to the CLT 23Similar
Q2 2:46
2ND & 7
OPP 23
0
70.3%
E.J. Warner pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 2:34
3RD & 7
OPP 23
+10
69.7%
E.J. Warner pass complete to Matt Sykes for 10 yds to the CLT 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:55
1ST & 10
OPP 13
0
73.1%
Dean Connors run for no gain to the CLT 13Similar
Q2 1:55
2ND & 10
OPP 13
-5
73.1%
PENALTY Owls False Start (Banks,Brant) 5 yards from 49ers13 to 49ers18. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 1:46
2ND & 15
OPP 18
+6
73.0%
E.J. Warner pass complete to Elijah Mojarro for 6 yds to the CLT 12Similar
Q2 1:43
3RD & 9
OPP 12
-2
71.9%
E.J. Warner pass complete to Matt Sykes for a loss of 2 yards to the CLT 14Similar
Q2 1:38
4TH & 11
OPP 14
+32
74.6%
Enock Gota 32 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 13END OF HALF
5 plays · 0 yds · 1:3326% → 25%
Q2 1:33
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
74.3%
Trexler Ivey pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:25
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+10
74.7%
Trexler Ivey run for 10 yds to the CLT 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:57
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-4
74.4%
Trexler Ivey sacked by Joseph Mutombo for a loss of 4 yards to the CLT 31Similar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 14
OWN 31
-6
75.4%
Trexler Ivey sacked by Josh Pearcy for a loss of 6 yards to the CLT 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 14PUNT
7 plays · 15 yds · 1:4875% → 75%
Q3 14:49
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
74.6%
E.J. Warner pass complete to Dean Connors for 11 yds to the RICE 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:17
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
75.4%
Dean Connors run for no gain to the RICE 36Similar
Q3 13:47
2ND & 10
OWN 36
0
75.3%
E.J. Warner pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 13:47
3RD & 10
OWN 36
-5
74.4%
PENALTY Owls False Start (Stickle,David) 5 yards from Owls36 to Owls31. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 13:34
3RD & 15
OWN 31
+9
74.0%
E.J. Warner pass complete to Matt Sykes for 9 yds to the RICE 40Similar
Q3 13:01
4TH & 6
OWN 40
0
74.8%
Alex Bacchetta punt for 26 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 15TD
5 plays · 66 yds · 1:5925% → 42%
Q3 12:51
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+14
75.1%
Cartevious Norton run for 14 yds to the CLT 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:13
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+7
74.1%
Deshawn Purdie pass complete to Sean Brown for 7 yds to the RICE 45Similar
Q3 11:39
2ND & 3
OPP 45
+13
73.4%
Cartevious Norton run for 13 yds to the RICE 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:00
1ST & 10
OPP 32
0
73.0%
Deshawn Purdie pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 10:52
2ND & 10
OPP 32
+32
58.3%
Deshawn Purdie pass complete to O'Mega Blake for 32 yds for a TD (Stephen Rusnak KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 16DOWNS
7 plays · 57 yds · 2:4664% → 66%
Q3 10:40
1ST & 10
OWN 27
0
64.0%
E.J. Warner pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 10:26
2ND & 10
OWN 27
+51
63.6%
Dean Connors run for 51 yds to the CLT 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:38
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+2
68.7%
Taji Atkins run for 2 yds to the CLT 24Similar
Q3 8:59
2ND & 12
OPP 24
+4
68.7%
E.J. Warner pass complete to Quinton Jackson for 4 yds to the CLT 20Similar
Q3 8:32
3RD & 8
OPP 20
+4
67.7%
Quinton Jackson run for 4 yds to the CLT 16Similar
Q3 7:54
4TH & 4
OPP 16
0
65.9%
E.J. Warner pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 17TD
11 plays · 84 yds · 5:0737% → 63%
Q3 7:45
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+8
63.3%
Cartevious Norton run for 8 yds to the CLT 24Similar
Q3 7:04
2ND & 2
OWN 24
+6
62.4%
Deshawn Purdie pass complete to Sean Brown for 6 yds to the CLT 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:38
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+9
63.0%
Cartevious Norton run for 9 yds to the CLT 39Similar
Q3 5:59
2ND & 1
OWN 39
0
60.5%
Deshawn Purdie pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 5:52
3RD & 1
OWN 39
+2
60.8%
Cartevious Norton run for 2 yds to the CLT 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:09
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+9
61.1%
Terron Kellman run for 9 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 4:25
2ND & 1
50
0
59.8%
Terron Kellman run for no gain to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 3:45
3RD & 1
50
+2
62.0%
Cartevious Norton run for 2 yds to the RICE 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:15
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+3
61.7%
Deshawn Purdie pass complete to Jairus Mack for 3 yds to the RICE 45Similar
Q3 2:38
2ND & 7
OPP 45
+45
36.8%
Deshawn Purdie pass complete to O'Mega Blake for 45 yds for a TD (Stephen Rusnak KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 18TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 2:4045% → 68%
Q3 2:26
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
45.0%
E.J. Warner pass complete to Matt Sykes for 7 yds to the RICE 32Similar
Q3 1:38
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+6
47.4%
E.J. Warner run for 6 yds to the RICE 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:08
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
46.2%
E.J. Warner pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 1:05
2ND & 10
OWN 38
0
45.9%
E.J. Warner pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 0:50
3RD & 10
OWN 38
+25
44.4%
E.J. Warner pass complete to Elijah Mojarro for 25 yds to the CLT 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+4
49.2%
Matt Sykes run for 4 yds to the CLT 41Similar
Q4 14:46
2ND & 14
OPP 41
+41
69.2%
E.J. Warner pass complete to Elijah Mojarro for 41 yds for a TD (Enock Gota KICK)Similar
Q4 14:46
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+15
67.5%
PENALTY 49ers Personal Foul (Ali,Al-Ma'hi) 15 yards from Owls35 to Owls50. NO PLAY.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 19PUNT
6 plays · 8 yds · 2:1932% → 29%
Q4 14:25
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+10
68.3%
Terron Kellman run for 10 yds to the CLT 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:46
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+9
67.2%
Deshawn Purdie run for 9 yds to the CLT 27Similar
Q4 13:29
2ND & 19
OWN 27
+2
69.2%
Terron Kellman run for 2 yds to the CLT 25Similar
Q4 12:41
3RD & 21
OWN 25
+9
70.5%
Deshawn Purdie pass complete to Hahsaun Wilson for 9 yds to the CLT 34Similar
Q4 12:06
4TH & 12
OWN 34
0
71.2%
Michael O'Shaughnessy punt for 21 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the RICE 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 20FG
13 plays · 48 yds · 5:1174% → 88%
Q4 11:53
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+3
74.1%
Dean Connors run for 3 yds to the RICE 48Similar
Q4 11:11
2ND & 7
OWN 48
-1
75.2%
E.J. Warner pass complete to Braylen Walker for a loss of 1 yard to the RICE 47Similar
Q4 10:25
3RD & 8
OWN 47
+8
73.9%
E.J. Warner pass complete to Drayden Dickmann for 8 yds to the CLT 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:06
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
77.2%
E.J. Warner pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 10:01
2ND & 10
OPP 45
0
77.0%
E.J. Warner pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 9:54
3RD & 10
OPP 45
+29
75.1%
Quinton Jackson run for 14 yds to the CLT 31 for a 1ST down Charlotte Penalty, (15 Yards) to the CLT 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:29
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+9
78.9%
Quinton Jackson run for 9 yds to the CLT 7Similar
Q4 8:44
2ND & 1
OPP 7
0
79.0%
Quinton Jackson run for no gain to the CLT 7Similar
Q4 7:57
3RD & 1
OPP 7
+1
77.6%
Dean Connors run for 1 yd to the CLT 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:22
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+1
79.2%
Dean Connors run for 1 yd to the CLT 7Similar
Q4 6:51
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
0
79.4%
E.J. Warner pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 6:46
3RD & GOAL
OPP 7
0
77.8%
E.J. Warner pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 6:42
4TH & GOAL
OPP 7
+25
88.2%
Enock Gota 25 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 21PUNT
9 plays · 7 yds · 4:0118% → 13%
Q4 6:25
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
82.4%
Deshawn Purdie pass complete to O'Mega Blake for 8 yds to the CLT 33Similar
Q4 5:47
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+2
80.3%
Deshawn Purdie pass complete to O'Mega Blake for 2 yds to the CLT 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:14
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+8
82.7%
Terron Kellman run for 8 yds to the CLT 43Similar
Q4 4:30
2ND & 2
OWN 43
+2
80.6%
Terron Kellman run for 2 yds to the CLT 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:56
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
81.5%
Deshawn Purdie pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 3:44
2ND & 10
OWN 45
+2
82.6%
Hahsaun Wilson run for 2 yds to the CLT 43Similar
Q4 3:01
3RD & 12
OWN 43
-11
85.9%
Deshawn Purdie sacked by Josh Pearcy for a loss of 11 yards to the CLT 32Similar
Q4 2:24
4TH & 23
OWN 32
0
87.4%
Michael O'Shaughnessy punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Tyson Thompson at the RICE 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 22PUNT
7 plays · 8 yds · 0:3095% → 95%
Q4 2:15
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+6
94.6%
Dean Connors run for 6 yds to the RICE 37Similar
Q4 2:10
2ND & 4
OWN 37
+1
94.7%
Dean Connors run for 1 yd to the RICE 38Similar
Q4 1:53
3RD & 3
OWN 38
+1
95.0%
Dean Connors run for 1 yd to the RICE 39Similar
Q4 1:45
4TH & 2
OWN 39
+7
94.6%
Alex Bacchetta punt for 45 yds , Henry Rutledge returns for 7 yds to the CLT 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 23TD
10 plays · 77 yds · 0:4310% → 81%
Q4 1:30
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+66
90.0%
Deshawn Purdie pass complete to O'Mega Blake for 66 yds to the RICE 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:19
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+5
79.7%
Deshawn Purdie pass complete to Colin Weber for 5 yds to the RICE 6Similar
Q4 1:14
2ND & 5
OPP 6
0
78.7%
Deshawn Purdie pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:10
3RD & 5
OPP 6
0
84.2%
Deshawn Purdie pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:00
4TH & 5
OPP 6
+4
85.6%
PENALTY Owls Pass Interference (Fresch,Sean) 4 yards from Owls06 to Owls02, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 0:50
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
79.9%
Terron Kellman run for no gain to the RICE 1Similar
Q4 0:48
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
78.8%
Terron Kellman run for 1 yd to the RICE 1Similar
Q4 0:47
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
18.9%
Hahsaun Wilson run for 1 yd for a TD (Stephen Rusnak KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 24MISSED FG
8 plays · 53 yds · 0:3934% → 34%
Q4 0:39
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
34.3%
E.J. Warner run for 10 yds to the RICE 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:32
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+22
33.8%
E.J. Warner pass complete to Kobie Campbell for 22 yds to the CLT 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:18
1ST & 10
OPP 43
-10
33.9%
(00:18) Shotgun Warner,E.J. pass complete short middle to Connors,Dean caught at 49ers39, for 0 yards to the 49ers43 (Wallace-Bemah,Prince) PENALTY Owls Illegal Block in Back (Sykes,Matt) 10 yards from 49ers43 to Owls47. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 0:13
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+25
30.9%
E.J. Warner pass complete to Matt Sykes for 25 yds to the CLT 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:02
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+6
40.3%
E.J. Warner run for 6 yds to the CLT 22Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 4
OPP 22
+40
34.2%
Enock Gota 40 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 0:47
Hahsaun Wilson run for 1 yd for a TD (Stephen Rusnak KICK)
-59.9
End of Game · Final
Game over.
-34.2
TD · Q3 2:38
Deshawn Purdie pass complete to O'Mega Blake for 45 yds for a TD (Stephen Rusnak KICK)
-24.9
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com