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ARMY

Army 42 at Temple 14

TEM
2024 · Week 5 · Sep 26, 2024 · Lincoln Financial Field
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Win probability · TEM
modelTEM aheadARMY aheadconfidence bandkey playTEM scoreARMY score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 3:23 · James Wagenseller punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Dante Wright at the TEM 34
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+57.0+28.50−28.5−57.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 55Home team on offense−14.0Pregame prior−21.6Score differential−6.9Garbage-time factor−3.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−1.7Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−0.7
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 11:50: Bryson Daily run for 8 yds for a TD (Trey Gronotte KICK) — ARMY win probability +4.3 pts (now 85%) (top driver: ARMY has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 10:50: Bryson Daily run for 9 yds for a TD (Trey Gronotte KICK) — ARMY win probability +7.3 pts (now 95%) (top driver: ARMY has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 1:10: Evan Simon pass complete to Dante Wright for 29 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed) — TEM win probability +2.7 pts (now 4%) (top driver: TEM has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 11:19: Evan Simon pass complete to Daniel Evert for 54 yds for a TD (Evan Simon pass to Antonio Jones for Two-Point Conversion) — TEM win probability +9.0 pts (now 11%) (top driver: TEM has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 7:36: Bryson Daily run for 12 yds for a TD (Trey Gronotte KICK) — ARMY win probability +3.8 pts (now 99%) (top driver: ARMY has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
TEM made the numbers' call on 5 of 7ARMY made the numbers' call on 4 of 5
  1. Q1 11:20TEM 4th & 18 at TEM 41, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 20.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    20.0%−0.2
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    20.2%
    average punt
  2. Q1 5:19TEM 4th & 9 at ARMY 49, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 20.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    20.7%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    20.9%
    average punt
  3. Q2 13:16ARMY 4th & 1 at TEM 39, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 78.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    78.4%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    77.2%−1.3
    36% to make
    Punt
    77.2%−1.2
    average punt
  4. Q2 8:25TEM 4th & 5 at ARMY 48, down 14
    Close callPunted · 18.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    18.1%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    18.0%−0.1
    average punt
  5. Q2 3:23ARMY 4th & 27 at ARMY 21, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 82.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    80.5%−2.6
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    83.2%
    average punt
  6. Q2 1:43TEM 4th & 10 at TEM 45, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 15.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    15.5%−0.3
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    15.7%
    average punt
  7. Q2 1:12ARMY 4th & 6 at ARMY 21, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 84.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    82.7%−1.1
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    83.8%
    average punt
  8. Q2 0:31TEM 4th & 8 at TEM 44, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 16.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    15.7%−0.3
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    16.0%
    average punt
  9. Q2 0:00ARMY 4th & 10 at ARMY 47, up 14
    Close callWent for it · 85.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    84.6%−0.8
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    85.4%
    average punt
  10. Q3 9:06TEM 4th & 9 at TEM 28, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 7.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.9%−0.8
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    7.7%
    average punt
  11. Q4 13:42ARMY 4th & 14 at ARMY 21, up 22
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 97.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.2%−0.9
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    98.1%
    average punt
  12. Q4 0:43TEM 4th & 13 at TEM 22, down 28
    Close callWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.1%−<0.1
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.1%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
TEM made the numbers' call on 1 of 2ARMY made the numbers' call on 5 of 6
  1. Q1 9:48ARMY Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    79.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    79.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 11:50ARMY Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    81.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    80.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 10:50ARMY Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    91.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    91.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 5:22ARMY Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 1:10TEM Touchdown, down 22 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    2.9%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    2.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 11:19TEM Touchdown, down 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersWent for two · converted
    Kick
    6.4%−0.1
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    6.5%
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 7:36ARMY Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.3%−<0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.3%
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 1:54ARMY Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
TEMDrive 1PUNT
10 plays · 16 yds · 3:3417% → 19%
Q1 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
16.9%
Evan Simon pass complete to Daniel Evert for 10 yds to the TEM 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:27
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+2
17.1%
Joquez Smith run for 2 yds to the TEM 37Similar
Q1 13:49
2ND & 8
OWN 37
+2
17.4%
Joquez Smith run for 2 yds to the TEM 39Similar
Q1 13:21
3RD & 6
OWN 39
+10
17.6%
Evan Simon pass complete to Dante Wright for 10 yds to the TEM 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:55
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+1
18.0%
Evan Simon run for 1 yd to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 12:20
2ND & 9
50
+1
18.3%
Evan Simon pass complete to Dante Wright for 1 yd to the ARMY 49Similar
Q1 11:35
3RD & 8
OPP 49
-10
18.7%
Simon, Evan pass complete to Jones, Antonio for 49 yards to the ARMY0, PENALTY TEMPLE holding (Barajas, Diego) 10 yards to the TEMPLE41, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 11:32
3RD & 18
OWN 41
0
18.5%
Evan Simon pass incomplete to Antonio JonesSimilar
Q1 11:20
4TH & 18
OWN 41
0
18.5%
Dante Atton punt for 45 yds, downed at the ARMY 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 2TD
3 plays · 86 yds · 1:2581% → 82%
Q1 11:13
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+22
18.7%
Bryson Daily run for 22 yds to the ARMY 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:36
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+3
18.9%
Kanye Udoh run for 3 yds to the ARMY 39Similar
Q1 9:48
2ND & 7
OWN 39
+61
17.9%
Noah Short run for 61 yds for a TD (Trey Gronotte KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 3PUNT
10 plays · 26 yds · 4:2218% → 19%
Q1 9:41
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
18.3%
Evan Simon pass complete to Dante Wright for 5 yds to the TEM 30Similar
Q1 9:10
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+2
18.5%
Antwain Littleton run for 2 yds to the TEM 32Similar
Q1 8:34
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+3
18.4%
Evan Simon pass complete to Antwain Littleton for 3 yds to the TEM 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:57
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
18.7%
Evan Simon pass incomplete to Ashton AllenSimilar
Q1 7:50
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+15
18.7%
Evan Simon pass complete to Dante Wright for 15 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:26
1ST & 10
50
+2
19.3%
Antwain Littleton run for 2 yds to the ARMY 48Similar
Q1 6:50
2ND & 8
OPP 48
-7
19.5%
Evan Simon sacked by Eric Ford for a loss of 7 yards to the TEM 45Similar
Q1 6:01
3RD & 15
OWN 45
+6
19.0%
Evan Simon pass complete to Tyrei Washington for 6 yds to the ARMY 49Similar
Q1 5:19
4TH & 9
OPP 49
0
19.3%
Dante Atton punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Jaydan Mayes at the ARMY 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 4TD
13 plays · 89 yds · 8:2081% → 85%
Q1 5:10
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+8
19.2%
Kanye Udoh run for 8 yds to the ARMY 19Similar
Q1 4:35
2ND & 2
OWN 19
+5
19.2%
Kanye Udoh run for 5 yds to the ARMY 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:57
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+2
19.4%
Jake Rendina run for 2 yds to the ARMY 26Similar
Q1 3:18
2ND & 8
OWN 26
+7
19.5%
Jake Rendina run for 7 yds to the ARMY 33Similar
Q1 2:36
3RD & 1
OWN 33
+9
19.5%
Bryson Daily run for 9 yds to the ARMY 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:51
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+8
19.1%
Noah Short run for 8 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 1:11
2ND & 2
50
+2
19.1%
Bryson Daily run for 2 yds to the TEM 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:27
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+2
19.2%
Kanye Udoh run for 2 yds to the TEM 46Similar
Q2 14:53
2ND & 8
OPP 46
+5
19.3%
Bryson Daily run for 5 yds to the TEM 41Similar
Q2 14:11
3RD & 3
OPP 41
+2
19.6%
Bryson Daily run for 2 yds to the TEM 39Similar
Q2 13:16
4TH & 1
OPP 39
+4
20.2%
Bryson Daily run for 4 yds to the TEM 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:28
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+27
19.7%
Bryson Daily pass complete to Noah Short for 27 yds to the TEM 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:50
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
15.4%
Bryson Daily run for 8 yds for a TD (Trey Gronotte KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 5FUMBLE
9 plays · 27 yds · 3:1916% → 17%
Q2 11:44
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
16.4%
Evan Simon pass complete to Peter Clarke for 11 yds to the TEM 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
16.8%
Evan Simon pass incomplete to Dante WrightSimilar
Q2 10:55
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+1
16.5%
Joquez Smith run for 1 yd to the TEM 37Similar
Q2 10:18
3RD & 9
OWN 37
+10
16.4%
Evan Simon pass complete to Dante Wright for 10 yds to the TEM 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:53
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+2
17.2%
Evan Simon pass complete to Tyrei Washington for 2 yds to the TEM 49Similar
Q2 9:20
2ND & 8
OWN 49
+3
17.2%
Joquez Smith run for 3 yds to the ARMY 48Similar
Q2 8:35
3RD & 5
OPP 48
0
17.2%
Evan Simon pass incomplete to Zae BainesSimilar
Q2 8:25
4TH & 5
OPP 48
+5
17.0%
Dante Atton punt for 39 yds , Jaydan Mayes returns for 5 yds to the ARMY 14 Jaydan Mayes fumbled, recovered by ARMY Jaydan MayesSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 6PUNT
10 plays · 7 yds · 4:5684% → 84%
Q2 8:19
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+6
15.7%
Samari Howard run for 6 yds to the ARMY 20Similar
Q2 7:45
2ND & 4
OWN 20
+6
15.6%
Kanye Udoh run for 6 yds to the ARMY 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:58
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+4
15.6%
Kanye Udoh run for 4 yds to the ARMY 30Similar
Q2 6:16
2ND & 6
OWN 30
+5
15.5%
Samari Howard run for 5 yds to the ARMY 35Similar
Q2 5:36
3RD & 1
OWN 35
+3
15.7%
Jake Rendina run for 3 yds to the ARMY 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:46
1ST & 10
OWN 38
-17
14.9%
Bryson Daily run for a loss of 7 yards to the ARMY 31 Bryson Daily fumbled, recovered by ARMY Army Penalty, Illegal Batting (Noah Short) to the ARMY 21Similar
Q2 4:25
2ND & 27
OWN 21
-6
15.7%
Bryson Daily run for a loss of 6 yards to the ARMY 15Similar
Q2 3:36
3RD & 33
OWN 15
+6
16.0%
Bryson Daily run for 6 yds to the ARMY 21Similar
Q2 3:23
4TH & 27
OWN 21
0
16.0%
James Wagenseller punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Dante Wright at the TEM 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 7PUNT
5 plays · 11 yds · 1:3415% → 15%
Q2 3:17
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+11
15.2%
Evan Simon pass complete to Terrez Worthy for 11 yds to the TEM 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:42
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
16.1%
Evan Simon run for no gain to the TEM 45Similar
Q2 2:02
2ND & 10
OWN 45
0
15.8%
Evan Simon pass incomplete to Antwain LittletonSimilar
Q2 1:57
3RD & 10
OWN 45
0
15.1%
Evan Simon pass incomplete to Dante WrightSimilar
Q2 1:43
4TH & 10
OWN 45
0
14.9%
Dante Atton punt for 38 yds, downed at the ARMY 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 8PUNT
7 plays · 4 yds · 0:2786% → 86%
Q2 1:39
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+1
14.3%
Bryson Daily run for 1 yd to the ARMY 18Similar
Q2 1:24
2ND & 9
OWN 18
0
14.4%
Bryson Daily pass incomplete to Casey ReynoldsSimilar
Q2 1:18
3RD & 9
OWN 18
+3
14.3%
Jake Rendina run for 3 yds to the ARMY 21Similar
Q2 1:12
4TH & 6
OWN 21
0
14.4%
James Wagenseller punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Dante Wright at the TEM 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 9PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 0:3812% → 14%
Q2 1:09
1ST & 10
OWN 42
-6
12.4%
Evan Simon sacked by Jacob Tuioti for a loss of 6 yards to the TEM 36Similar
Q2 0:48
2ND & 16
OWN 36
0
11.6%
Evan Simon pass incomplete to John AdamsSimilar
Q2 0:39
3RD & 16
OWN 36
+8
11.5%
Evan Simon run for 8 yds to the TEM 44Similar
Q2 0:31
4TH & 8
OWN 44
0
13.7%
Dante Atton punt for 36 yds, downed at the ARMY 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 10DOWNS
6 plays · 27 yds · 0:2487% → 88%
Q2 0:24
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+27
13.4%
Bryson Daily pass complete to Casey Reynolds for 27 yds to the ARMY 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:11
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
12.4%
Bryson Daily pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:06
2ND & 10
OWN 47
0
12.1%
Bryson Daily pass incomplete to Casey ReynoldsSimilar
Q2 0:01
3RD & 10
OWN 47
0
11.0%
Bryson Daily pass incomplete to Casey ReynoldsSimilar
Q2 0:00
4TH & 10
OWN 47
+2
11.6%
Bryson Daily run for 2 yds to the ARMY 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 11TD
8 plays · 75 yds · 4:0686% → 95%
Q3 14:56
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
14.4%
Bryson Daily run for 5 yds to the ARMY 30Similar
Q3 14:16
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+8
14.1%
Bryson Daily run for 8 yds to the ARMY 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:40
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+7
13.5%
Kanye Udoh run for 7 yds to the ARMY 45Similar
Q3 12:57
2ND & 3
OWN 45
+7
12.9%
Kanye Udoh run for 7 yds to the TEM 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:16
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+36
12.7%
Bryson Daily run for 36 yds to the TEM 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:30
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+3
12.2%
Bryson Daily run for 3 yds to the TEM 9Similar
Q3 10:50
2ND & 7
OPP 9
+9
4.9%
Bryson Daily run for 9 yds for a TD (Trey Gronotte KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 12PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 1:338% → 7%
Q3 10:39
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+1
8.4%
Antwain Littleton run for 1 yd to the TEM 28Similar
Q3 10:08
2ND & 9
OWN 28
0
8.0%
Evan Simon run for no gain to the TEM 28Similar
Q3 9:15
3RD & 9
OWN 28
0
7.6%
Evan Simon pass incomplete to Zae BainesSimilar
Q3 9:06
4TH & 9
OWN 28
0
6.7%
Dante Atton punt for 24 yds, downed at the ARMY 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 13TD
6 plays · 52 yds · 3:3996% → 99%
Q3 9:01
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+2
4.5%
Kanye Udoh run for 2 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 8:13
2ND & 8
50
+10
4.2%
Bryson Daily run for 10 yds to the TEM 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:31
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+7
4.3%
Kanye Udoh run for 7 yds to the TEM 33Similar
Q3 6:50
2ND & 3
OPP 33
+2
3.7%
Bryson Daily run for 2 yds to the TEM 31Similar
Q3 6:07
3RD & 1
OPP 31
+3
3.1%
Bryson Daily run for 3 yds to the TEM 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:22
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+28
1.4%
Kanye Udoh run for 28 yds for a TD (Trey Gronotte KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 14TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 4:082% → 4%
Q3 5:18
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
1.7%
Evan Simon pass complete to Joquez Smith for no gain to the TEM 25Similar
Q3 4:34
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+1
1.5%
Evan Simon run for 1 yd to the TEM 26Similar
Q3 3:53
3RD & 9
OWN 26
+18
1.1%
Evan Simon pass complete to Dante Wright for 18 yds to the TEM 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:28
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
1.2%
Simon, Evan pass complete to Jones, Antonio for no gain to the TEMPLE44, PENALTY ARMY face mask off-setting, PENALTY TEMPLE Ineligible Downfield on Pass off-setting, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 3:08
1ST & 10
OWN 44
-1
1.2%
Evan Simon sacked by Chance Keith for a loss of 1 yard to the TEM 43Similar
Q3 2:27
2ND & 11
OWN 43
+8
1.0%
Evan Simon run for 8 yds to the ARMY 49Similar
Q3 1:47
3RD & 3
OPP 49
+20
1.1%
Evan Simon pass complete to Landon Morris for 20 yds to the ARMY 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:10
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+29
3.7%
Evan Simon pass complete to Dante Wright for 29 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 15PUNT
7 plays · -4 yds · 2:2498% → 98%
Q3 1:06
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
2.4%
Kanye Udoh run for 5 yds to the ARMY 30Similar
Q3 0:28
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+2
2.3%
Bryson Daily run for 2 yds to the ARMY 32Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 3
OWN 32
-5
2.3%
Army Penalty, False Start (David Crossan) to the ARMY 27Similar
Q4 14:40
3RD & 8
OWN 27
-4
2.3%
Noah Short run for 6 yds to the ARMY 33 Army Penalty, Offensive Holding (Parker Poloskey) to the ARMY 23Similar
Q4 14:30
3RD & 12
OWN 23
-2
2.3%
Noah Short run for a loss of 2 yards to the ARMY 21Similar
Q4 13:42
4TH & 14
OWN 21
0
2.3%
James Wagenseller punt for 44 yds , Dante Wright returns for no gain to the TEM 21 Temple Penalty, Running Into Kicker (Yards) declinedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 16TD
6 plays · 65 yds · 2:182% → 11%
Q4 13:37
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-5
2.2%
Evan Simon sacked by Elo Modozie for a loss of 5 yards to the TEM 30Similar
Q4 13:01
2ND & 15
OWN 30
+10
2.1%
Evan Simon pass complete to Dante Wright for 10 yds to the TEM 40Similar
Q4 12:25
3RD & 5
OWN 40
+6
2.2%
Evan Simon pass complete to Ashton Allen for 6 yds to the TEM 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:56
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
2.2%
Evan Simon pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 11:49
2ND & 10
OWN 46
0
2.2%
Evan Simon run for no gain to the TEM 46Similar
Q4 11:19
3RD & 10
OWN 46
+54
11.2%
Evan Simon pass complete to Daniel Evert for 54 yds for a TD (Evan Simon pass to Antonio Jones for Two-Point Conversion)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 17TD
7 plays · 75 yds · 3:3793% → 99%
Q4 11:13
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+13
6.7%
Bryson Daily run for 13 yds to the ARMY 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:32
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+3
6.1%
Kanye Udoh run for 3 yds to the ARMY 41Similar
Q4 9:48
2ND & 7
OWN 41
+41
5.5%
Kanye Udoh run for 41 yds to the TEM 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:07
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+1
5.2%
Bryson Daily run for 1 yd to the TEM 17Similar
Q4 8:15
2ND & 9
OPP 17
+5
5.1%
Noah Short run for 5 yds to the TEM 12Similar
Q4 7:36
3RD & 4
OPP 12
+12
1.3%
Bryson Daily run for 12 yds for a TD (Trey Gronotte KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 18INT
4 plays · -2 yds · 0:522% → 1%
Q4 7:25
1ST & 10
OWN 32
-5
1.9%
Evan Simon sacked by Kyle Lewis for a loss of 5 yards to the TEM 27Similar
Q4 7:00
2ND & 15
OWN 27
+3
1.6%
Evan Simon pass complete to Landon Morris for 3 yds to the TEM 30Similar
Q4 6:33
3RD & 12
OWN 30
0
1.3%
Evan Simon pass intercepted Jaydan Mayes return for no gain to the TEM 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 19TD
8 plays · 46 yds · 4:3399% → 100%
Q4 6:27
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+7
1.1%
Dewayne Coleman run for 7 yds to the TEM 39Similar
Q4 5:46
2ND & 3
OPP 39
+7
0.9%
Jake Rendina run for 7 yds to the TEM 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:04
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+4
0.9%
Dewayne Coleman run for 4 yds to the TEM 28Similar
Q4 4:24
2ND & 6
OPP 28
+5
0.9%
Jake Rendina run for 5 yds to the TEM 23Similar
Q4 3:41
3RD & 1
OPP 23
+2
0.8%
Dewayne Coleman run for 2 yds to the TEM 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:53
1ST & 10
OPP 21
-1
0.7%
Samari Howard run for a loss of 1 yard to the TEM 22Similar
Q4 2:13
2ND & 11
OPP 22
+4
0.7%
Dewayne Coleman run for 4 yds to the TEM 18Similar
Q4 1:54
3RD & 7
OPP 18
+18
0.1%
Dewayne Coleman pass complete to Cam Schurr for 18 yds for a TD (Trey Gronotte KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 20DOWNS
5 plays · -12 yds · 1:050% → 0%
Q4 1:48
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-4
0.1%
Evan Simon sacked by Brett Gerena for a loss of 4 yards to the TEM 21Similar
Q4 1:21
2ND & 14
OWN 21
0
0.1%
Evan Simon pass incomplete to Dante WrightSimilar
Q4 1:15
3RD & 14
OWN 21
+1
0.1%
Evan Simon run for 1 yd to the TEM 22Similar
Q4 0:43
4TH & 13
OWN 22
-9
0.1%
Evan Simon sacked by Adam Cash for a loss of 9 yards to the TEM 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 21END OF GAME
1 play · 5 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 0:38
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+5
0.1%
Cale Hellums run for 5 yds to the TEM 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 11:19
Evan Simon pass complete to Daniel Evert for 54 yds for a TD (Evan Simon pass to Antonio Jones for Two-Point Conversion)
+9
TD · Q3 10:50
Bryson Daily run for 9 yds for a TD (Trey Gronotte KICK)
-7.3
TD · Q2 11:50
Bryson Daily run for 8 yds for a TD (Trey Gronotte KICK)
-4.3
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com