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Houston Christian 7 at UTSA 45

UTSA
2024 · Week 4 · Sep 21, 2024 · Alamodome
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Win probability · UTSA
modelUTSA aheadHCU aheadconfidence bandkey playUTSA scoreHCU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 0:31 · (00:31) Kneel down by MARBURGER, Eddie Lee at UTSA40 (team loss of 1), clock 00:26.
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialBlowout marginGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+48.5+24.30−24.3−48.5Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 6:14: Brandon High Jr. run for 9 yds for a TD (Chase Allen KICK) — UTSA win probability +2.5 pts (now 98%) (top driver: UTSA has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 3:58: Jesse Valenzuela 20 Yd Run (Reed Chandley Kick) — HCU win probability +2.0 pts (now 6%) (top driver: HCU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 2:13: Willie McCoy 59 Yd pass from Owen McCown (Chase Allen Kick) — UTSA win probability +3.0 pts (now 98%) (top driver: UTSA has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 0:47: Robert Henry 17 Yd pass from Owen McCown (Chase Allen Kick) — UTSA win probability +1.0 pts (now 99%) (top driver: UTSA has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 11:08: Kevorian Barnes run for 8 yds for a TD (Chase Allen KICK) — UTSA win probability +1.0 pts (now 100%) (top driver: UTSA has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
UTSA made the numbers' call on 2 of 3HCU made the numbers' call on 8 of 9
  1. Q1 12:29HCU 4th & 18 at HCU 29, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.1%−0.2
    12% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.3%
    average punt
  2. Q1 9:37UTSA 4th & 7 at HCU 8, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 97.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.3%−<0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    97.4%
    90% to make
    Punt
    96.9%−0.5
    average punt
  3. Q2 15:00HCU 4th & 1 at UTSA 30, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 3.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    3.7%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    3.5%−0.2
    56% to make
    Punt
    3.4%−0.3
    average punt
  4. Q2 13:20HCU 4th & 10 at UTSA 29, down 10
    Close callWent for it · 3.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    3.7%−0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    3.7%
    58% to make
    Punt
    3.3%−0.5
    average punt
  5. Q2 12:04UTSA 4th & 2 at UTSA 37, up 10
    Close callPunted · 95.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.0%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    95.9%−0.1
    average punt
  6. Q2 8:54HCU 4th & 11 at UTSA 19, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 4.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.2%−0.2
    25% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    4.4%
    77% to make
    Punt
    3.5%−0.9
    average punt
  7. Q2 1:38HCU 4th & 15 at HCU 11, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.4%−0.8
    15% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.2%
    average punt
  8. Q3 9:58HCU 4th & 11 at HCU 24, down 31
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.2%−0.1
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.4%
    average punt
  9. Q3 7:39UTSA 4th & 16 at UTSA 32, up 31
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.7%−0.2
    15% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%
    average punt
  10. Q3 4:53HCU 4th & 21 at HCU 38, down 31
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−0.2
    9% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.3%
    average punt
  11. Q4 12:35HCU 4th & 10 at HCU 25, down 38
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−0.1
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  12. Q4 5:53HCU 4th & 3 at HCU 39, down 38
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−<0.1
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
UTSA made the numbers' call on 6 of 6HCU made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 2:21UTSA Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 6:14UTSA Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 3:58HCU Touchdown, down 11 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    4.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    4.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 2:13UTSA Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 0:47UTSA Touchdown, up 23 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 11:08UTSA Touchdown, up 30 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 13:57UTSA Touchdown, up 37 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
HCUDrive 1PUNT
6 plays · 4 yds · 2:312% → 2%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+12
98.3%
Cutter Stewart pass complete to AJ Wilson for 12 yds to the HCU 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:32
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+2
98.2%
Cutter Stewart run for 2 yds to the HCU 39Similar
Q1 14:06
2ND & 8
OWN 39
+3
98.2%
Cutter Stewart run for 3 yds to the HCU 42Similar
Q1 13:19
3RD & 5
OWN 42
-8
98.1%
Cutter Stewart sacked by Jimmori Robinson for a loss of 8 yards to the HCU 34Similar
Q1 12:29
4TH & 13
OWN 34
-5
98.0%
Houston Christian Penalty, Delay Of Game (Cutter Stewart) to the HCU 29Similar
Q1 12:29
4TH & 18
OWN 29
0
98.0%
Reed Chandley punt for 40 yds, downed at the UTSA 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 2FG
8 plays · 61 yds · 2:4198% → 98%
Q1 12:18
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+16
98.0%
Robert Henry run for 16 yds to the UTSA 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:54
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+6
98.0%
Owen McCown pass complete to Oscar Cardenas for 6 yds to the HCU 47Similar
Q1 11:33
2ND & 4
OPP 47
+26
97.9%
Owen McCown pass complete to Willie McCoy for 26 yds to the HCU 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:08
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+10
97.9%
Robert Henry run for 10 yds to the HCU 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:32
1ST & 10
OPP 11
0
97.8%
Robert Henry run for no gain to the HCU 11Similar
Q1 10:06
2ND & 10
OPP 11
+3
97.8%
Robert Henry run for 3 yds to the HCU 8Similar
Q1 9:45
3RD & 7
OPP 8
0
97.7%
Owen McCown pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 9:37
4TH & 7
OPP 8
+26
97.7%
Chase Allen 26 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HCUDrive 3FUMBLE
10 plays · 29 yds · 3:032% → 3%
Q1 9:36
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
97.7%
Cutter Stewart pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 9:31
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+2
97.7%
Champ Dozier run for 2 yds to the HCU 27Similar
Q1 8:55
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+14
97.6%
Cutter Stewart run for 14 yds to the HCU 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:29
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+4
97.5%
Champ Dozier run for 4 yds to the HCU 45 Champ Dozier fumbled, recovered by HCU return for 0 ydsSimilar
Q1 7:54
2ND & 6
OWN 45
0
97.4%
Cutter Stewart pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:50
3RD & 6
OWN 45
+8
97.4%
Cutter Stewart pass complete to Calvin Hill for 8 yds to the UTSA 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:27
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+1
97.3%
Cutter Stewart pass complete to Adrian Green for 1 yd to the UTSA 46Similar
Q1 7:04
2ND & 9
OPP 46
+7
97.2%
Cutter Stewart pass complete to Deuce McMillan for 7 yds to the UTSA 39Similar
Q1 6:33
3RD & 2
OPP 39
-7
97.1%
Cutter Stewart run for a loss of 7 yards to the UTSA 46 Cutter Stewart fumbled, recovered by UTSA Jimmori Robinson J. Robinson return for 0 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 4TD
12 plays · 54 yds · 4:0897% → 97%
Q1 6:29
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+7
97.3%
Kevorian Barnes run for 7 yds to the HCU 47Similar
Q1 5:56
2ND & 3
OPP 47
+15
97.2%
Owen McCown pass complete to Devin McCuin for 15 yds to the HCU 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:35
1ST & 10
OPP 32
0
97.2%
Owen McCown pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 5:32
2ND & 10
OPP 32
+3
97.2%
Kevorian Barnes run for 3 yds to the HCU 29Similar
Q1 4:55
3RD & 7
OPP 29
+7
97.1%
Owen McCown pass complete to Oscar Cardenas for 7 yds to the HCU 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:09
1ST & 10
OPP 22
-10
97.0%
(04:09) BARNES, Kevorian rush to the left for a gain of 2 yards to the HCU20 (HARRIS, D.J.), out of bounds, clock 04:05. PENALTY UTSA Holding on THOMAS, Houston enforced 10 yards from the HCU22 to the HCU32 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 3:51
1ST & 20
OPP 32
+13
96.9%
Owen McCown pass complete to Devin McCuin for 13 yds to the HCU 19Similar
Q1 3:28
2ND & 7
OPP 19
+5
96.9%
Robert Henry run for 5 yds to the HCU 14Similar
Q1 3:09
3RD & 2
OPP 14
+2
96.8%
Kevorian Barnes run for 2 yds to the HCU 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:48
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+7
96.8%
Kevorian Barnes run for 7 yds to the HCU 5Similar
Q1 2:21
2ND & 3
OPP 5
+5
97.1%
Owen McCown pass complete to Devin McCuin for 5 yds for a TD (Chase Allen KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HCUDrive 5DOWNS
10 plays · 23 yds · 3:483% → 3%
Q1 2:08
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+1
97.0%
Jesse Valenzuela run for 1 yd to the HCU 49Similar
Q1 1:43
2ND & 9
OWN 49
+12
96.9%
Cutter Stewart pass complete to Deuce McMillan for 12 yds to the UTSA 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:20
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+1
96.8%
Jesse Valenzuela run for 1 yd to the UTSA 38Similar
Q1 0:49
2ND & 9
OPP 38
+4
96.8%
Cutter Stewart pass complete to Ismael Fuller for 4 yds to the UTSA 34Similar
Q1 0:21
3RD & 5
OPP 34
+4
96.7%
Cutter Stewart run for 4 yds to the UTSA 30Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 1
OPP 30
+1
96.7%
Cutter Stewart run for 1 yd to the UTSA 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:24
1ST & 10
OPP 29
0
96.4%
Cutter Stewart pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:19
2ND & 10
OPP 29
+1
96.4%
Cutter Stewart run for 1 yd to the UTSA 28Similar
Q2 13:46
3RD & 9
OPP 28
-1
96.5%
Darryle Evans run for a loss of 1 yard to the UTSA 29Similar
Q2 13:20
4TH & 10
OPP 29
0
96.6%
Cutter Stewart pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 6PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 1:1196% → 96%
Q2 13:15
1ST & 10
OWN 29
0
96.4%
Owen McCown pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 13:09
2ND & 10
OWN 29
+6
96.4%
Owen McCown run for 6 yds to the UTSA 35Similar
Q2 12:45
3RD & 4
OWN 35
+2
96.3%
Robert Henry run for 2 yds to the UTSA 37Similar
Q2 12:04
4TH & 2
OWN 37
0
96.2%
Caile Hogan punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Jesse Valenzuela at the HCU 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HCUDrive 7MISSED FG
11 plays · 56 yds · 3:024% → 4%
Q2 11:56
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
96.4%
Eli Brickhandler sacked by Ronald Triplette for a loss of 1 yard to the HCU 24Similar
Q2 11:24
2ND & 11
OWN 24
+36
96.3%
Eli Brickhandler pass complete to AJ Wilson for 36 yds to the UTSA 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:58
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
96.1%
Eli Brickhandler pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 10:57
2ND & 10
OPP 40
+7
96.1%
Eli Brickhandler pass complete to Champ Dozier for 7 yds to the UTSA 33Similar
Q2 10:35
3RD & 3
OPP 33
+15
95.9%
(10:35) BRICKHANDLER, Eli pass to the left complete for -4 yards to WILSON, AJ caught at the UTSA37 and advanced to the UTSA37 (DAVISON, Elliott), clock 10:31. PENALTY UTSA Roughing the Passer on PEWEE, Owen enforced 15 yards from the UTSA33 to the UTSA18 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 10:25
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+6
95.6%
Eli Brickhandler run for 6 yds to the UTSA 12Similar
Q2 10:01
2ND & 4
OPP 12
+3
95.5%
Calvin Hill run for 3 yds to the UTSA 9Similar
Q2 9:34
3RD & 1
OPP 9
0
95.6%
Eli Brickhandler run for no gain to the UTSA 9Similar
Q2 8:58
4TH & 1
OPP 9
-10
95.7%
(08:58) CHANDLEY, Reed field goal attempt from 26 yards GOOD [kick was spotted at UTSA16], score nullified by penalty, clock 08:56. PENALTY HCU Holding on MCCARTER, Joshlyn enforced 10 yards from the UTSA9 to the UTSA19 [FG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 8:54
4TH & 11
OPP 19
+36
95.9%
Reed Chandley 36 Yard Field Goal MissedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 8TD
8 plays · 50 yds · 2:3296% → 98%
Q2 8:46
1ST & 10
50
+28
95.9%
Brandon High Jr. run for 28 yds to the HCU 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:17
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+5
95.9%
Owen McCown pass complete to JJ Sparkman for 5 yds to the HCU 17Similar
Q2 7:56
2ND & 5
OPP 17
-5
95.9%
UTSA Penalty, False Start (Owen McCown) to the HCU 22Similar
Q2 7:40
2ND & 10
OPP 22
+7
95.9%
Owen McCown pass complete to JJ Sparkman for 7 yds to the HCU 15Similar
Q2 7:22
3RD & 3
OPP 15
+4
95.7%
Brandon High Jr. run for 4 yds to the HCU 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:01
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+2
95.8%
Brandon High Jr. run for 2 yds to the HCU 9Similar
Q2 6:22
2ND & 8
OPP 9
0
95.6%
Owen McCown pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 6:14
3RD & 8
OPP 9
+9
98.1%
Brandon High Jr. run for 9 yds for a TD (Chase Allen KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HCUDrive 9TD
6 plays · 62 yds · 2:073% → 6%
Q2 6:05
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
97.0%
Eli Brickhandler run for no gain to the HCU 38Similar
Q2 5:40
2ND & 10
OWN 38
+22
97.0%
Eli Brickhandler pass complete to AJ Wilson for 22 yds to the UTSA 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:16
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
96.7%
Jesse Valenzuela run for no gain to the UTSA 40Similar
Q2 4:46
2ND & 10
OPP 40
+15
96.7%
(04:46) BRICKHANDLER, Eli sacked for a loss of 1 yard at the UTSA41 (MORRIS, Zach), clock 04:40. PENALTY UTSA Face mask on MORRIS, Zach enforced 15 yards from the UTSA40 to the UTSA25 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 4:26
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+5
96.5%
Eli Brickhandler pass complete to Drake Martinez for 5 yds to the UTSA 20Similar
Q2 3:58
2ND & 5
OPP 20
+20
94.4%
Jesse Valenzuela 20 Yd Run (Reed Chandley Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 10TD
5 plays · 75 yds · 1:4595% → 98%
Q2 3:58
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
94.8%
Kevorian Barnes run for no gain to the UTSA 25Similar
Q2 3:33
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+7
94.8%
Devin McCuin run for 7 yds to the UTSA 32Similar
Q2 3:05
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+3
94.7%
Owen McCown pass complete to Patrick Overmyer for 3 yds to the UTSA 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:43
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+6
94.9%
Kevorian Barnes run for 6 yds to the UTSA 41Similar
Q2 2:13
2ND & 4
OWN 41
+59
97.9%
Willie McCoy 59 Yd pass from Owen McCown (Chase Allen Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HCUDrive 11PUNT
5 plays · -5 yds · 0:293% → 3%
Q2 2:07
1ST & 10
OWN 16
-5
97.0%
Houston Christian Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the HCU 11Similar
Q2 2:05
1ST & 15
OWN 11
+5
97.0%
Eli Brickhandler pass complete to Champ Dozier for 5 yds to the HCU 16Similar
Q2 1:59
2ND & 10
OWN 16
0
97.0%
Eli Brickhandler pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:53
3RD & 10
OWN 16
-5
97.0%
Houston Christian Penalty, turnover on downs. PENALTY Ineligible Receiver Downfield on Pass on BRICKHANDLER, Eli enforced (-5 Yards) to the HCU 11Similar
Q2 1:38
4TH & 15
OWN 11
0
97.0%
Reed Chandley punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Chris Carpenter at the UTSA 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 12TD
6 plays · 55 yds · 0:4998% → 99%
Q2 1:36
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+4
97.8%
Owen McCown run for 4 yds to the UTSA 49Similar
Q2 1:28
2ND & 6
OWN 49
+8
97.8%
Owen McCown pass complete to Oscar Cardenas for 8 yds to the HCU 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:22
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+21
97.8%
Owen McCown pass complete to Chris Carpenter for 21 yds to the HCU 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:02
1ST & 10
OPP 22
0
97.8%
Owen McCown pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:56
2ND & 10
OPP 22
+5
97.8%
(00:56) MCCOWN, Owen pass deep to the left incomplete intended for SPARKMAN, JJ broken up by KING, Jaden at the HCU6, clock 00:54. PENALTY HCU Offsides on COBBS, Zymir enforced 5 yards from the HCU22 to the HCU17 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 0:47
2ND & 5
OPP 17
+17
98.8%
Robert Henry 17 Yd pass from Owen McCown (Chase Allen Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HCUDrive 13END OF HALF
1 play · -3 yds · 0:002% → 2%
Q2 0:39
1ST & 10
OWN 14
-3
98.3%
(00:39) [NHSG] Kneel down by BRICKHANDLER, Eli at HCU11 (team loss of 3), clock 00:34.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 14TD
11 plays · 68 yds · 3:4299% → 100%
Q3 14:50
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+7
98.6%
Owen McCown pass complete to DJ Allen for 7 yds to the UTSA 39Similar
Q3 14:28
2ND & 3
OWN 39
+6
98.7%
Kevorian Barnes run for 6 yds to the UTSA 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:01
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+13
98.7%
Owen McCown pass complete to Jace Wilson for 13 yds to the HCU 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:39
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+6
98.6%
Kevorian Barnes run for 6 yds to the HCU 36Similar
Q3 13:09
2ND & 4
OPP 36
+6
98.7%
Kevorian Barnes run for 6 yds to the HCU 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:49
1ST & 10
OPP 30
-5
98.7%
(12:49) BARNES, Kevorian rush up the middle for a gain of 15 yards to the HCU15 (TOLIVER, Xavier), clock 12:46. PENALTY Before the snap, UTSA Illegal Formation enforced 5 yards from the HCU30 to the HCU35. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 12:27
1ST & 15
OPP 35
0
98.7%
Owen McCown pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 12:21
2ND & 15
OPP 35
+7
98.7%
Kevorian Barnes run for 7 yds to the HCU 28Similar
Q3 11:48
3RD & 8
OPP 28
+14
98.7%
(11:48) MCCOWN, Owen pass deep to the right incomplete intended for WILSON, Jace thrown to the HCU3, clock 11:43. PENALTY HCU Personal Foul enforced half the distance from the goal, 14 yards from the HCU28 to the HCU14 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 11:41
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+6
98.7%
Kevorian Barnes run for 6 yds to the HCU 8Similar
Q3 11:08
2ND & 4
OPP 8
+8
99.7%
Kevorian Barnes run for 8 yds for a TD (Chase Allen KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HCUDrive 15PUNT
4 plays · -1 yds · 1:090% → 0%
Q3 11:07
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
99.7%
Calvin Hill run for 5 yds to the HCU 30Similar
Q3 10:39
2ND & 5
OWN 30
-6
99.7%
Eli Brickhandler sacked by Joe Evans for a loss of 6 yards to the HCU 24Similar
Q3 10:04
3RD & 11
OWN 24
0
99.8%
Eli Brickhandler pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 9:58
4TH & 11
OWN 24
0
99.8%
Reed Chandley punt for 48 yds, fair catch by Chris Carpenter at the UTSA 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 16PUNT
6 plays · 4 yds · 2:09100% → 100%
Q3 9:48
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+6
99.8%
Owen McCown pass complete to Chris Carpenter for 6 yds to the UTSA 34Similar
Q3 9:27
2ND & 4
OWN 34
+4
99.8%
Brandon High Jr. run for 4 yds to the UTSA 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:00
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+2
99.8%
Owen McCown pass complete to Chris Carpenter for 2 yds to the UTSA 40Similar
Q3 8:31
2ND & 8
OWN 40
0
99.8%
Owen McCown pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 8:23
3RD & 8
OWN 40
-8
99.8%
Owen McCown sacked by Zavion Evans for a loss of 8 yards to the UTSA 32Similar
Q3 7:39
4TH & 16
OWN 32
0
99.8%
Caile Hogan punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Jesse Valenzuela at the HCU 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HCUDrive 17PUNT
7 plays · 13 yds · 2:380% → 0%
Q3 7:31
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
99.8%
Eli Brickhandler pass complete to Champ Dozier for 7 yds to the HCU 32Similar
Q3 7:16
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+1
99.8%
Eli Brickhandler pass complete to AJ Wilson for 1 yd to the HCU 33Similar
Q3 6:45
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+15
99.8%
UTSA Penalty, Face mask (15 yards) (Vic Shaw) to the HCU 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:21
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
99.7%
Eli Brickhandler pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 6:16
2ND & 10
OWN 49
-3
99.7%
Darryle Evans run for a loss of 3 yards to the HCU 46Similar
Q3 5:38
3RD & 13
OWN 46
-8
99.7%
Eli Brickhandler sacked by Owen Pewee for a loss of 8 yards to the HCU 38Similar
Q3 4:53
4TH & 21
OWN 38
+2
99.8%
Reed Chandley punt for 40 yds , Chris Carpenter returns for 2 yds to the UTSA 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 18TD
15 plays · 76 yds · 5:47100% → 100%
Q3 4:44
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+6
99.8%
Owen McCown pass complete to Devin McCuin for 6 yds to the UTSA 30Similar
Q3 4:20
2ND & 4
OWN 30
+3
99.8%
Brandon High Jr. run for 3 yds to the UTSA 33Similar
Q3 4:01
3RD & 1
OWN 33
+1
99.8%
Owen McCown run for 1 yd to the UTSA 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:46
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+15
99.8%
Houston Christian Penalty, Roughing the Passer enforced (Zayteak McGhee) to the HCU 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:23
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
99.9%
Eddie Lee Marburger pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 3:17
2ND & 10
OPP 47
+9
99.9%
Bryson Donnell run for 9 yds to the HCU 38Similar
Q3 2:55
3RD & 1
OPP 38
+2
99.8%
Bryson Donnell run for 2 yds to the HCU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:29
1ST & 10
OPP 36
-7
99.9%
Eddie Lee Marburger sacked by Rufus Toe for a loss of 7 yards to the HCU 43Similar
Q3 1:47
2ND & 17
OPP 43
-5
99.9%
UTSA Penalty, False Start (Jaylen Garth) to the HCU 48Similar
Q3 1:33
2ND & 22
OPP 48
+9
99.9%
Rocko Griffin run for 9 yds to the HCU 39Similar
Q3 0:49
3RD & 13
OPP 39
+14
99.9%
Eddie Lee Marburger pass complete to Houston Thomas for 14 yds to the HCU 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:25
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+8
99.9%
Eddie Lee Marburger run for 8 yds to the HCU 17Similar
Q4 14:59
2ND & 2
OPP 17
+5
99.9%
Bryson Donnell run for 5 yds to the HCU 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:31
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+7
99.9%
Bryson Donnell run for 7 yds to the HCU 5Similar
Q4 13:57
2ND & 3
OPP 5
+5
99.9%
Eddie Lee Marburger pass complete to Jamel Hardy for 5 yds for a TD (Tate Sandell KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HCUDrive 19PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 1:220% → 0%
Q4 13:57
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.9%
CJ Rogers run for no gain to the HCU 25Similar
Q4 13:29
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
99.9%
Jesse Valenzuela run for no gain to the HCU 25Similar
Q4 12:45
3RD & 10
OWN 25
0
99.9%
CJ Rogers pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 12:35
4TH & 10
OWN 25
+9
99.9%
Reed Chandley punt for 44 yds , Chris Carpenter returns for 9 yds to the UTSA 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 20INT
9 plays · 57 yds · 4:29100% → 100%
Q4 12:24
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+8
99.9%
Brandon High Jr. run for 8 yds to the UTSA 48Similar
Q4 11:53
2ND & 2
OWN 48
+7
99.9%
Eddie Lee Marburger pass complete to Jace Wilson for 7 yds to the HCU 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:29
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+7
99.9%
Brandon High Jr. run for 7 yds to the HCU 38Similar
Q4 10:55
2ND & 3
OPP 38
+5
99.9%
Eddie Lee Marburger run for 5 yds to the HCU 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:14
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+1
99.9%
Bryson Donnell run for 1 yd to the HCU 32Similar
Q4 9:49
2ND & 9
OPP 32
+11
99.9%
Eddie Lee Marburger pass complete to Jace Wilson for 11 yds to the HCU 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:08
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+12
99.9%
Bryson Donnell run for 12 yds to the HCU 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:29
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+6
99.9%
Bryson Donnell run for 6 yds to the HCU 3Similar
Q4 7:55
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
0
99.9%
Eddie Lee Marburger pass intercepted, touchback. Khary Crump return for no gainSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HCUDrive 21PUNT
7 plays · 19 yds · 1:560% → 0%
Q4 7:49
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+3
99.9%
Xai'Shaun Edwards run for 3 yds to the HCU 23Similar
Q4 7:17
2ND & 7
OWN 23
+5
99.9%
Xai'Shaun Edwards run for 5 yds to the HCU 28Similar
Q4 6:56
3RD & 2
OWN 28
+4
99.9%
Xai'Shaun Edwards run for 4 yds to the HCU 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:36
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
99.9%
Cutter Stewart pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 6:29
2ND & 10
OWN 32
+7
100.0%
Xai'Shaun Edwards run for 7 yds to the HCU 39Similar
Q4 5:57
3RD & 3
OWN 39
0
99.9%
Cutter Stewart pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 5:53
4TH & 3
OWN 39
0
99.9%
Reed Chandley punt for 58 yds, downed at the UTSA 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 22END OF 4TH QUARTER
9 plays · 37 yds · 5:06100% → 100%
Q4 5:37
1ST & 10
OWN 3
+1
99.9%
Bryson Donnell run for 1 yd to the UTSA 4Similar
Q4 5:01
2ND & 9
OWN 4
+6
99.9%
Bryson Donnell run for 6 yds to the UTSA 10Similar
Q4 4:25
3RD & 3
OWN 10
+5
99.9%
Bryson Donnell run for 5 yds to the UTSA 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:52
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+12
99.9%
Bryson Donnell run for 12 yds to the UTSA 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:12
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+8
100.0%
Bryson Donnell run for 8 yds to the UTSA 35Similar
Q4 2:37
2ND & 2
OWN 35
+9
100.0%
Brandon High Jr. run for 9 yds to the UTSA 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:56
1ST & 10
OWN 44
-2
100.0%
(01:56) [NH] Kneel down by MARBURGER, Eddie Lee at UTSA42 (team loss of 2), clock 01:49.Similar
Q4 1:14
2ND & 12
OWN 42
-1
100.0%
(01:14) [NH] Kneel down by MARBURGER, Eddie Lee at UTSA41 (team loss of 1), clock 01:09.Similar
Q4 0:31
3RD & 13
OWN 41
-1
100.0%
(00:31) Kneel down by MARBURGER, Eddie Lee at UTSA40 (team loss of 1), clock 00:26.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 2:13
Willie McCoy 59 Yd pass from Owen McCown (Chase Allen Kick)
+3
TD · Q2 6:14
Brandon High Jr. run for 9 yds for a TD (Chase Allen KICK)
+2.5
TD · Q2 3:58
Jesse Valenzuela 20 Yd Run (Reed Chandley Kick)
-2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com