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TEM

Temple 11 at Navy 38

NAVY
2024 · Week 2 · Sep 7, 2024 · Navy-Marine Corps Memorial Stadium
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Win probability · NAVY
modelNAVY aheadTEM aheadconfidence bandkey playNAVY scoreTEM score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4SAFETYTDTDTDFGTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 6:50 · Riley Riethman punt for 30 yds, fair catch by Dante Wright at the TEM 9
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialPregame priorBlowout marginGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+36.5+18.30−18.3−36.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 19Home team on offense+0.2Score differential−0.2Pregame prior+25.6Blowout margin−0.3Garbage-time factor−0.2Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.1
This game in five plays
  1. SAFETY · Q1 5:44: Team run for a loss of 7 yards for a SAFETY fumbled, recovered by TEM Forrest Brock F. Brock return for 0 yds for a SAFETY — NAVY win probability +0.9 pts (now 78%) (top driver: Deficit strained by the offense's own timeouts).
  2. TD · Q1 0:23: Blake Horvath run for 2 yds for a TD (Nathan Kirkwood KICK) — NAVY win probability +2.4 pts (now 80%) (top driver: NAVY has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 13:11: Blake Horvath run for 62 yds for a TD (Nathan Kirkwood KICK) — NAVY win probability +6.3 pts (now 85%) (top driver: NAVY has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 8:04: Alex Tecza run for 65 yds for a TD (Nathan Kirkwood KICK) — NAVY win probability +6.6 pts (now 92%) (top driver: NAVY has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 11:01: Blake Horvath pass complete to Eli Heidenreich for 31 yds for a TD (Blake Horvath pass to Brandon Chatman for Two-Point Conversion) — NAVY win probability +3.5 pts (now 99%) (top driver: NAVY has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
NAVY made the numbers' call on 4 of 8TEM made the numbers' call on 6 of 9
  1. Q1 13:05TEM 4th & 4 at TEM 31, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 20.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    20.8%−<0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    20.8%
    average punt
  2. Q1 9:46NAVY 4th & 11 at NAVY 47, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 78.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    78.1%−0.1
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    78.2%
    average punt
  3. Q1 8:17TEM 4th & 3 at TEM 9, tied
    Close callPunted · 21.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    21.9%
    51% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    21.8%−0.1
    average punt
  4. Q1 6:50NAVY 4th & 13 at TEM 39, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 77.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    77.1%−0.1
    21% to convert
    Field goal
    77.1%−<0.1
    36% to make
    PuntTheir call
    77.2%
    average punt
  5. Q2 8:18TEM 4th & 25 at TEM 29, down 16
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 14.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.9%−1.3
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    14.2%
    average punt
  6. Q2 3:00TEM 4th & 8 at TEM 45, down 23
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 6.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.6%−<0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    6.7%
    average punt
  7. Q2 1:41NAVY 4th & 1 at NAVY 27, up 23
    Close callPunted · 94.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.5%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    94.2%−0.3
    average punt
  8. Q3 9:45TEM 4th & 2 at TEM 46, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.0%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.8%−0.2
    average punt
  9. Q3 8:21TEM 4th & 4 at NAVY 4, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 1.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.2%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    1.1%−0.1
    93% to make
    Punt
    0.3%−0.9
    average punt
  10. Q3 6:25NAVY 4th & 7 at TEM 42, up 28
    Close callPunted · 99.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.6%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    99.4%−0.1
    30% to make
    PuntTheir call
    99.5%−<0.1
    average punt
  11. Q3 4:47TEM 4th & 6 at TEM 28, down 28
    Close callWent for it · 0.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.5%−0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.5%
    average punt
  12. Q3 1:59TEM 4th & 18 at TEM 13, down 35
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−0.2
    12% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.3%
    average punt
  13. Q4 14:51NAVY 4th & 7 at midfield, up 35
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.8%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.8%
    average punt
  14. Q4 10:00TEM 4th & 11 at NAVY 23, down 35
    Close callWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.1%−0.1
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    0.1%
    70% to make
    Punt
    -0.1%−0.3
    average punt
  15. Q4 7:56NAVY 4th & 1 at NAVY 39, up 27
    Close callPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.7%−0.2
    average punt
  16. Q4 2:25NAVY 4th & 5 at TEM 30, up 27
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.9%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    99.9%−<0.1
    56% to make
    Punt
    99.8%−0.1
    average punt
  17. Q4 0:21NAVY 4th & 2 at TEM 32, up 27
    Close callWent for it · 100.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.9%−<0.1
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    100.0%
    51% to make
    Punt
    99.8%−0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
NAVY made the numbers' call on 4 of 5TEM made the numbers' call on 0 of 1
  1. Q1 0:23NAVY Touchdown, up 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    80.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    80.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 13:11NAVY Touchdown, up 15 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    82.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    82.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 8:04NAVY Touchdown, up 22 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    91.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    91.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 11:01NAVY Touchdown, up 26 before the try
    Close callWent for two · converted
    Kick
    98.7%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    98.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 2:58NAVY Touchdown, up 34 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 10:00TEM Touchdown, down 29 before the try
    Close callWent for two · converted
    Kick
    0.2%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    0.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
TEMDrive 1PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 1:5021% → 21%
Q1 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-3
79.2%
Forrest Brock pass complete to Dante Wright for a loss of 3 yards to the TEM 22Similar
Q1 14:17
2ND & 13
OWN 22
0
79.0%
Ej Wilson Jr. run for no gain to the TEM 22Similar
Q1 13:44
3RD & 13
OWN 22
+9
78.9%
Forrest Brock pass complete to Antonio Jones for 9 yds to the TEM 31Similar
Q1 13:05
4TH & 4
OWN 31
0
78.8%
Dante Atton punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Eli Heidenreich at the NAVY 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NAVYDrive 2PUNT
7 plays · 11 yds · 3:1479% → 78%
Q1 13:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+6
78.7%
Blake Horvath run for 6 yds to the NAVY 42Similar
Q1 12:23
2ND & 4
OWN 42
+3
78.7%
Alex Tecza run for 3 yds to the NAVY 45Similar
Q1 11:53
3RD & 1
OWN 45
+3
78.6%
Blake Horvath run for 3 yds to the NAVY 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:15
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+4
78.5%
Blake Horvath run for 4 yds to the TEM 48Similar
Q1 10:38
2ND & 6
OPP 48
-5
78.5%
Eli Heidenreich run for a loss of 5 yards to the NAVY 47Similar
Q1 9:58
3RD & 11
OWN 47
0
77.9%
Blake Horvath pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 9:46
4TH & 11
OWN 47
0
77.7%
Riley Riethman punt for 51 yds, downed at the TEM 2Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 3PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 1:2722% → 22%
Q1 9:44
1ST & 10
OWN 2
+1
77.8%
Forrest Brock run for 1 yd to the TEM 3Similar
Q1 9:12
2ND & 9
OWN 3
0
77.7%
Ej Wilson Jr. run for no gain to the TEM 3Similar
Q1 8:41
3RD & 9
OWN 3
+4
77.6%
Forrest Brock pass complete to Reese Clark for 4 yds Reese Clark fumbled, recovered by TEM Ashton Allen A. Allen return for 2 ydsSimilar
Q1 8:17
4TH & 3
OWN 9
0
77.7%
Dante Atton punt for 27 yds, downed at the TEM 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NAVYDrive 4PUNT
4 plays · -3 yds · 1:1778% → 77%
Q1 8:07
1ST & 10
OPP 36
-6
77.9%
Blake Horvath run for a loss of 6 yards to the TEM 42 Blake Horvath fumbled, recovered by NAVY Blake Horvath B. Horvath return for 0 ydsSimilar
Q1 7:30
2ND & 16
OPP 42
+3
77.4%
Blake Horvath run for 3 yds to the TEM 39Similar
Q1 6:58
3RD & 13
OPP 39
0
77.1%
Blake Horvath pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 6:50
4TH & 13
OPP 39
0
76.7%
Riley Riethman punt for 30 yds, fair catch by Dante Wright at the TEM 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 5SF
3 plays · -2 yds · 1:0123% → 22%
Q1 6:45
1ST & 10
OWN 9
-2
77.0%
Temple Penalty, Personal Foul (Wisdom Quarshie) to the TEM 4Similar
Q1 6:20
2ND & 15
OWN 4
+3
76.8%
Antwain Littleton Ii run for 3 yds to the TEM 7Similar
Q1 5:44
3RD & 12
OWN 7
0
77.8%
Team run for a loss of 7 yards for a SAFETY fumbled, recovered by TEM Forrest Brock F. Brock return for 0 yds for a SAFETYSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NAVYDrive 6TD
11 plays · 58 yds · 5:0978% → 80%
Q1 5:32
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+5
77.8%
Blake Horvath run for 5 yds to the NAVY 47Similar
Q1 4:58
2ND & 5
OWN 47
+14
77.8%
Blake Horvath pass complete to Myles Slade for 14 yds to the TEM 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:20
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+2
77.9%
Daba Fofana run for 2 yds to the TEM 37Similar
Q1 3:52
2ND & 8
OPP 37
+9
77.8%
Brandon Chatman run for 9 yds to the TEM 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:24
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+5
77.9%
Eli Heidenreich run for 5 yds to the TEM 23Similar
Q1 2:46
2ND & 5
OPP 23
0
77.8%
Alex Tecza run for no gain to the TEM 23Similar
Q1 2:11
3RD & 5
OPP 23
+7
77.2%
Blake Horvath pass complete to Eli Heidenreich for 7 yds to the TEM 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:52
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+2
77.5%
Alex Tecza run for 2 yds to the TEM 14Similar
Q1 1:21
2ND & 8
OPP 14
+9
77.4%
Blake Horvath pass complete to Eli Heidenreich for 9 yds to the TEM 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:47
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+3
77.4%
Alex Tecza run for 3 yds to the TEM 2Similar
Q1 0:23
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
79.8%
Blake Horvath run for 2 yds for a TD (Nathan Kirkwood KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 7INT
6 plays · 33 yds · 1:4920% → 21%
Q1 0:10
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
79.7%
Antwain Littleton Ii run for a loss of 1 yard to the TEM 24Similar
Q2 14:56
2ND & 11
OWN 24
+7
79.8%
Forrest Brock pass complete to Landon Morris for 7 yds to the TEM 31Similar
Q2 14:25
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+20
79.7%
Forrest Brock pass complete to Dante Wright for 5 yds to the NAVY 36 for a 1ST down Navy Penalty, Personal Foul (Rayuan Lane III) to the NAVY 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:03
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+7
78.7%
Antwain Littleton Ii run for 7 yds to the NAVY 42Similar
Q2 13:26
2ND & 3
OPP 42
0
78.8%
Forrest Brock pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 13:21
3RD & 3
OPP 42
0
79.1%
Forrest Brock pass intercepted Jaxson Campbell return for no gain to the NAVY 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NAVYDrive 8TD
1 play · 62 yds · 0:0085% → 85%
Q2 13:11
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+62
85.4%
Blake Horvath run for 62 yds for a TD (Nathan Kirkwood KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 9PUNT
10 plays · 5 yds · 4:4118% → 15%
Q2 12:59
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+2
82.2%
Joquez Smith run for 2 yds to the TEM 26Similar
Q2 12:27
2ND & 8
OWN 26
+6
83.3%
Forrest Brock pass complete to Dante Wright for 6 yds to the TEM 32Similar
Q2 11:41
3RD & 2
OWN 32
+2
83.5%
Antwain Littleton Ii run for 2 yds to the TEM 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:07
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+5
83.6%
Forrest Brock pass complete to Dante Wright for 5 yds to the TEM 39Similar
Q2 10:35
2ND & 5
OWN 39
+5
83.2%
Forrest Brock pass complete to Ashton Allen for 5 yds to the TEM 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:58
1ST & 10
OWN 44
-15
84.1%
(09:58) BROCK, Forrest pass deep to the right incomplete intended for ALLEN, Ashton thrown to the NAV24; QB hurried by WHITESIDE, Kendall, clock 09:55. PENALTY TEM Pass Interference on SMITH, Joquez enforced 15 yards to the TEM29 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 9:49
1ST & 25
OWN 29
0
84.7%
Forrest Brock pass complete to Ej Wilson Jr. for no gain to the TEM 29Similar
Q2 9:14
2ND & 25
OWN 29
0
85.0%
Forrest Brock pass complete to Ej Wilson Jr. for no gain to the TEM 29Similar
Q2 8:23
3RD & 25
OWN 29
0
85.3%
Forrest Brock pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 8:18
4TH & 25
OWN 29
0
85.5%
Dante Atton punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Eli Heidenreich at the NAVY 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NAVYDrive 10TD
1 play · 65 yds · 0:0092% → 92%
Q2 8:04
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+65
92.0%
Alex Tecza run for 65 yds for a TD (Nathan Kirkwood KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 11PUNT
10 plays · 29 yds · 4:519% → 7%
Q2 7:51
1ST & 10
OWN 16
0
91.5%
Ej Wilson Jr. run for no gain to the TEM 16Similar
Q2 7:13
2ND & 10
OWN 16
+10
91.9%
Forrest Brock pass complete to James Della Pesca for 10 yds to the TEM 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:38
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+2
92.1%
Ej Wilson Jr. run for 2 yds to the TEM 28Similar
Q2 5:59
2ND & 8
OWN 28
+15
92.1%
(05:59) BROCK, Forrest pass deep to the left intercepted by LANE, Rayuan at the TEM47 intended for ALLEN, Ashton. Lane return for 0 yards to the TEM47, End of Play, clock 05:57. PENALTY NAV Pass Interference on LANE, Rayuan enforced 15 yards to the TEM43 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 5:38
1ST & 10
OWN 43
-1
92.1%
Forrest Brock pass complete to Antonio Jones for a loss of 1 yard to the TEM 42Similar
Q2 5:06
2ND & 11
OWN 42
-5
92.3%
(05:06) BROCK, Forrest pass short to the right complete for 11 yards to WRIGHT, Dante caught at the TEM46 and advanced to the NAV47 (JACOB, Kyle), clock 05:02. PENALTY Before the snap, TEM Illegal Formation enforced 5 yards from the TEM42 to the TEM37. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 4:37
2ND & 16
OWN 37
+4
92.8%
Forrest Brock pass complete to Dante Wright for 4 yds to the TEM 41Similar
Q2 4:09
3RD & 12
OWN 41
-5
93.0%
Temple Penalty, False Start (James Faminu) to the TEM 36Similar
Q2 3:46
3RD & 17
OWN 36
+9
93.2%
Forrest Brock run for 9 yds to the TEM 45Similar
Q2 3:00
4TH & 8
OWN 45
0
93.2%
Dante Atton punt for 37 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NAVYDrive 12PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 1:2394% → 95%
Q2 3:04
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+2
93.9%
Daba Fofana run for 2 yds to the NAVY 20Similar
Q2 2:24
2ND & 8
OWN 20
+5
94.0%
Blake Horvath run for 5 yds to the NAVY 25Similar
Q2 1:54
3RD & 3
OWN 25
+2
94.4%
Blake Horvath run for 2 yds to the NAVY 27Similar
Q2 1:41
4TH & 1
OWN 27
+18
94.6%
Riley Riethman punt for 46 yds , Dante Wright returns for 18 yds to the TEM 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 13FG
9 plays · 37 yds · 1:287% → 7%
Q2 1:28
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+5
93.4%
Forrest Brock pass complete to Landon Morris for 5 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 1:04
2ND & 5
50
+11
93.3%
Forrest Brock pass complete to Dante Wright for 11 yds to the NAVY 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:54
1ST & 10
OPP 39
-10
93.5%
(00:54) BROCK, Forrest scrambles up the middle for a gain of 1 yard to the NAV38 (CAMPBELL, Jaxson), clock 00:52. PENALTY TEM Holding on FAMINU, James enforced 10 yards from the NAV39 to the NAV49 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 0:35
1ST & 20
OPP 49
+13
93.7%
Forrest Brock pass complete to Ej Wilson Jr. for 13 yds to the NAVY 36Similar
Q2 0:19
2ND & 7
OPP 36
+18
93.4%
Forrest Brock pass complete to Dante Wright for 18 yds to the NAVY 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:13
1ST & 10
OPP 18
0
92.5%
Forrest Brock pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:10
2ND & 10
OPP 18
0
92.7%
Forrest Brock pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:00
3RD & 10
OPP 18
+36
93.2%
Maddux Trujillo 36 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NAVYDrive 14TD
9 plays · 81 yds · 3:4895% → 99%
Q3 14:49
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+17
94.9%
Nathan Kent run for 17 yds to the NAVY 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:22
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+3
95.2%
Brandon Chatman run for 3 yds to the NAVY 39Similar
Q3 13:46
2ND & 7
OWN 39
+3
95.3%
Alex Tecza run for 3 yds to the NAVY 42Similar
Q3 13:14
3RD & 4
OWN 42
+6
95.4%
Blake Horvath run for 6 yds to the NAVY 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:38
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
95.7%
Blake Horvath pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 12:33
2ND & 10
OWN 48
+11
95.7%
Blake Horvath run for 11 yds to the TEM 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:05
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+7
95.9%
Alex Tecza run for 7 yds to the TEM 34Similar
Q3 11:37
2ND & 3
OPP 34
+3
95.6%
Brandon Chatman run for 3 yds to the TEM 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:01
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+31
99.0%
Blake Horvath pass complete to Eli Heidenreich for 31 yds for a TD (Blake Horvath pass to Brandon Chatman for Two-Point Conversion)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 15DOWNS
9 plays · 71 yds · 2:331% → 1%
Q3 10:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+13
99.1%
Forrest Brock pass complete to Dante Wright for 13 yds to the TEM 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:30
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+2
99.1%
Forrest Brock run for 2 yds to the TEM 40Similar
Q3 10:08
2ND & 8
OWN 40
0
99.1%
Forrest Brock pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 10:02
3RD & 8
OWN 40
+6
99.1%
Forrest Brock pass complete to Ej Wilson Jr. for 6 yds to the TEM 46Similar
Q3 9:45
4TH & 2
OWN 46
+47
99.1%
Forrest Brock pass complete to Ashton Allen for 47 yds to the NAVY 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:06
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+3
99.1%
Forrest Brock pass complete to Antwain Littleton Ii for 3 yds to the NAVY 4Similar
Q3 8:34
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
0
99.1%
Forrest Brock pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 8:29
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
0
99.2%
Forrest Brock pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 8:21
4TH & GOAL
OPP 4
0
98.8%
Forrest Brock pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NAVYDrive 16PUNT
5 plays · 54 yds · 1:5099% → 100%
Q3 8:15
1ST & 10
OWN 4
+51
99.2%
Blake Horvath pass complete to Eli Heidenreich for 51 yds to the TEM 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:47
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+3
99.4%
Brandon Chatman run for 3 yds to the TEM 42Similar
Q3 7:10
2ND & 7
OPP 42
0
99.5%
Blake Horvath run for no gain to the TEM 42Similar
Q3 6:26
3RD & 7
OPP 42
0
99.5%
Blake Horvath pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 6:25
4TH & 7
OPP 42
+17
99.5%
Riley Riethman punt for 35 yds , Dante Wright returns for 17 yds to the TEM 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 17DOWNS
5 plays · 4 yds · 1:271% → 0%
Q3 6:14
1ST & 10
OWN 24
0
99.5%
Forrest Brock pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 6:13
2ND & 10
OWN 24
-10
99.5%
Temple Penalty, Offensive Holding (Melvin Siani) to the TEM 14Similar
Q3 5:44
2ND & 20
OWN 14
0
99.5%
Forrest Brock pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 5:29
3RD & 20
OWN 14
+14
99.5%
Forrest Brock pass complete to Xavier Irvin for 14 yds to the TEM 28Similar
Q3 4:47
4TH & 6
OWN 28
0
99.6%
Forrest Brock pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NAVYDrive 18TD
4 plays · 28 yds · 1:43100% → 100%
Q3 4:41
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+6
99.6%
Alex Tecza run for 6 yds to the TEM 22Similar
Q3 4:07
2ND & 4
OPP 22
+3
99.6%
Alex Tecza run for 3 yds to the TEM 19Similar
Q3 3:35
3RD & 1
OPP 19
+1
99.6%
Blake Horvath run for 1 yd to the TEM 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:58
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+18
99.7%
Blake Horvath run for 18 yds for a TD (Nathan Kirkwood KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 19PUNT
4 plays · -8 yds · 0:480% → 0%
Q3 2:47
1ST & 10
OWN 21
0
99.7%
Forrest Brock pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 2:43
2ND & 10
OWN 21
0
99.7%
Forrest Brock pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 2:39
3RD & 10
OWN 21
-8
99.8%
Forrest Brock sacked by Dashaun Peele for a loss of 8 yards to the TEM 13Similar
Q3 1:59
4TH & 18
OWN 13
0
99.8%
Dante Atton punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Eli Heidenreich at the NAVY 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NAVYDrive 20PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 2:06100% → 100%
Q3 1:57
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+2
99.7%
Shane Reynolds run for 2 yds to the NAVY 49Similar
Q3 1:19
2ND & 8
OWN 49
+3
99.7%
Braxton Woodson run for 3 yds to the TEM 48Similar
Q3 0:43
3RD & 5
OPP 48
+3
99.7%
Braxton Woodson run for 3 yds to the TEM 45Similar
Q3 0:05
4TH & 2
OPP 45
-5
99.7%
Navy Penalty, Delay Of Game (TEAM) to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 14:51
4TH & 7
50
0
99.7%
Riley Riethman punt for 32 yds, fair catch by Dante Wright at the TEM 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 21TD
15 plays · 82 yds · 4:460% → 0%
Q4 14:46
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+18
99.8%
Forrest Brock pass complete to Kajiya Hollawayne for 18 yds to the TEM 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:19
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+6
99.8%
Antwain Littleton Ii run for 6 yds to the TEM 42Similar
Q4 13:57
2ND & 4
OWN 42
+5
99.8%
Antwain Littleton Ii run for 5 yds to the TEM 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:36
1ST & 10
OWN 47
-5
99.8%
(13:36) BROCK, Forrest pass deep to the left incomplete intended for WRIGHT, Dante thrown to the NAV15, clock 13:35. PENALTY TEM Ineligible Receiver Downfield on Pass on DELLA PESCA, James enforced 5 yards from the TEM47 to the TEM42 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 13:30
1ST & 15
OWN 42
+25
99.8%
Forrest Brock pass complete to James Della Pesca for 25 yds to the NAVY 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:08
1ST & 10
OPP 33
0
99.8%
Antwain Littleton Ii run for no gain to the NAVY 33Similar
Q4 12:36
2ND & 10
OPP 33
+4
99.8%
Forrest Brock pass complete to Cole Sprague for 4 yds to the NAVY 29Similar
Q4 12:14
3RD & 6
OPP 29
+5
99.8%
(12:14) BROCK, Forrest pass deep to the right incomplete intended for SPRAGUE, Cole broken up by JOHNSON II, Greg at the NAV0, clock 12:15. PENALTY NAV Offsides on NARAYAN, Tyler enforced 5 yards from the NAV29 to the NAV24 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 12:07
3RD & 1
OPP 24
+2
99.8%
Antwain Littleton Ii run for 2 yds to the NAVY 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:34
1ST & 10
OPP 22
-10
99.8%
(11:34) BROCK, Forrest pass to the right incomplete intended for WASHINGTON, Tyrei thrown to the NAV25, clock 11:37. PENALTY TEM Holding on TERRY, Kevin enforced 10 yards from the NAV22 to the NAV32 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 11:33
1ST & 20
OPP 32
0
99.9%
Forrest Brock pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 11:26
2ND & 20
OPP 32
-2
99.9%
Forrest Brock pass complete to John Adams for a loss of 2 yards to the NAVY 34Similar
Q4 10:49
3RD & 22
OPP 34
+11
99.9%
Forrest Brock pass complete to Dante Wright for 11 yds to the NAVY 23Similar
Q4 10:00
4TH & 11
OPP 23
+23
99.9%
Forrest Brock pass complete to Dante Wright for 23 yds for a TD (Forrest Brock pass to Dante Wright for Two-Point Conversion)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NAVYDrive 22PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 1:58100% → 100%
Q4 9:54
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+5
99.9%
Shane Reynolds run for 5 yds to the NAVY 35Similar
Q4 9:19
2ND & 5
OWN 35
+2
99.9%
Shane Reynolds run for 2 yds to the NAVY 37Similar
Q4 8:36
3RD & 3
OWN 37
+2
99.9%
Braxton Woodson run for 2 yds to the NAVY 39Similar
Q4 7:56
4TH & 1
OWN 39
+6
99.9%
Riley Riethman punt for 41 yds , Dante Wright returns for 6 yds to the TEM 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 23INT
3 plays · 15 yds · 0:510% → 0%
Q4 7:43
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+8
99.9%
Forrest Brock pass complete to Dante Wright for 8 yds to the TEM 34Similar
Q4 7:25
2ND & 2
OWN 34
+7
99.9%
Forrest Brock pass complete to James Della Pesca for 7 yds to the TEM 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:52
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
99.9%
Forrest Brock pass intercepted Kenneth McShan return for no gain to the TEM 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NAVYDrive 24DOWNS
8 plays · 18 yds · 4:22100% → 100%
Q4 6:47
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
99.9%
Amin Hassan run for no gain to the TEM 46Similar
Q4 6:06
2ND & 10
OPP 46
+2
99.9%
Shane Reynolds run for 2 yds to the TEM 44Similar
Q4 5:22
3RD & 8
OPP 44
+9
99.9%
Shane Reynolds run for 9 yds to the TEM 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:37
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+2
99.9%
Braxton Woodson run for 2 yds to the TEM 33Similar
Q4 3:55
2ND & 8
OPP 33
+1
99.9%
Amin Hassan run for 1 yd to the TEM 32Similar
Q4 3:14
3RD & 7
OPP 32
+2
99.9%
Shane Reynolds run for 2 yds to the TEM 30Similar
Q4 2:25
4TH & 5
OPP 30
+2
99.9%
Braxton Woodson run for 2 yds to the TEM 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 25FUMBLE
1 play · 12 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 2:26
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+12
100.0%
Forrest Brock run for 12 yds to the TEM 40 Forrest Brock fumbled, recovered by NAVY Marcus Bleazard M. Bleazard return for 0 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NAVYDrive 26END OF GAME
6 plays · 9 yds · 2:07100% → 100%
Q4 2:07
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+1
100.0%
Amin Hassan run for 1 yd to the TEM 39Similar
Q4 1:54
2ND & 9
OPP 39
+5
100.0%
Amin Hassan run for 5 yds to the TEM 34Similar
Q4 1:10
3RD & 4
OPP 34
+2
100.0%
Shane Reynolds run for 2 yds to the TEM 32Similar
Q4 0:21
4TH & 2
OPP 32
+2
100.0%
Amin Hassan run for 2 yds to the TEM 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 30
-1
100.0%
Kneel down by WOODSON, Braxton at TEM31 (team loss of 1), clock 00:00.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 8:04
Alex Tecza run for 65 yds for a TD (Nathan Kirkwood KICK)
+6.6
TD · Q2 13:11
Blake Horvath run for 62 yds for a TD (Nathan Kirkwood KICK)
+6.3
TD · Q3 11:01
Blake Horvath pass complete to Eli Heidenreich for 31 yds for a TD (Blake Horvath pass to Brandon Chatman for Two-Point Conversion)
+3.5
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com