Try the model
ARMY

Army 24 at Florida Atlantic 7

FAU
2024 · Week 2 · Sep 7, 2024 · FAU Stadium
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · FAU
modelFAU aheadARMY aheadconfidence bandkey playFAU scoreARMY score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDFGTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 13:27 · James Wagenseller punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Omari Hayes at the FAU 16
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remainingPregame prior
+48.5+24.30−24.3−48.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 38Home team on offense−8.9Score differential−3.9Garbage-time factor−1.6Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−1.4Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−0.3Pregame prior+2.1
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 0:47: Bryson Daily pass complete to Casey Reynolds for 44 yds for a TD (Trey Gronotte KICK) — ARMY win probability +6.2 pts (now 58%) (top driver: ARMY has the ball).
  2. KEY PLAY · Q2 1:19: Timeout Florida Atlantic, clock 01:19 — ARMY win probability +7.3 pts (now 75%) (top driver: FAU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 0:53: Cam Fancher pass complete to Omari Hayes for 8 yds for a TD (Morgan Suarez KICK) — FAU win probability +18.0 pts (now 44%) (top driver: FAU has the ball).
  4. KEY PLAY · Q3 0:00: Daily,Bryson rush left for 0 yards to the FAU16 (Davis,Devonta) PENALTY AWP Personal Foul (Udoh,Kanye) 15 yards from FAU16 to FAU31. NO PLAY. — ARMY win probability +9.2 pts (now 79%) (top driver: ARMY has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 13:57: Matthew Rhodes run for 23 yds for a TD (Trey Gronotte KICK) — ARMY win probability +14.9 pts (now 93%) (top driver: ARMY has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
FAU made the numbers' call on 6 of 8ARMY made the numbers' call on 2 of 4
  1. Q1 13:35FAU 4th & 2 at FAU 30, tied
    Close callPunted · 56.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    57.0%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    56.9%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 2:26FAU 4th & 9 at ARMY 36, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 52.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    52.1%
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    52.1%−0.1
    42% to make
    Punt
    51.8%−0.3
    average punt
  3. Q1 0:04FAU 4th & 4 at FAU 31, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 45.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    45.9%−0.5
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    46.4%
    average punt
  4. Q2 13:27ARMY 4th & 5 at ARMY 42, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 56.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    57.0%−0.5
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    57.5%
    average punt
  5. Q2 10:52FAU 4th & 6 at FAU 33, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 41.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    40.8%−0.6
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    41.4%
    average punt
  6. Q2 8:27ARMY 4th & 4 at ARMY 33, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 61.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    61.8%−0.9
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    62.7%
    average punt
  7. Q2 7:28FAU 4th & 9 at FAU 28, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 37.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    36.8%−0.7
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    37.4%
    average punt
  8. Q2 2:18FAU 4th & 1 at FAU 42, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 34.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    35.0%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    33.7%−1.3
    average punt
  9. Q3 11:00ARMY 4th & 4 at FAU 18, up 7
    Close callKicked a field goal · 62.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    61.9%
    47% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    61.7%−0.2
    79% to make
    Punt
    53.2%−8.7
    average punt
  10. Q4 13:57ARMY 4th & 12 at FAU 23, up 10
    Numbers favored field goal by 2.2 ptsWent for it · 73.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    71.3%−2.2
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    73.5%
    70% to make
    Punt
    65.4%−8.1
    average punt
  11. Q4 13:57FAU 4th & 8 at ARMY 24, down 17
    Close callWent for it · 11.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    10.8%−0.9
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    11.7%
    68% to make
    Punt
    3.8%−7.9
    average punt
  12. Q4 8:44FAU 4th & 1 at ARMY 1, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 7.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    9.2%
    59% to convert
    Field goal
    6.1%−3.1
    94% to make
    Punt
    2.8%−6.4
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
FAU made the numbers' call on 1 of 1ARMY made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q1 8:38ARMY Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    44.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    44.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 0:47ARMY Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    52.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    52.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 0:53FAU Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    40.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    40.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 13:57ARMY Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    87.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    87.7%−0.2
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
FAUDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 1:2053% → 53%
Q1 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 22
0
53.0%
Cam Fancher pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 14:55
2ND & 10
OWN 22
+6
53.0%
Cam Fancher pass complete to Omari Hayes for 6 yds to the FAU 28Similar
Q1 14:55
3RD & 4
OWN 28
+2
53.0%
CJ Campbell Jr. run for 2 yds to the FAU 30Similar
Q1 13:35
4TH & 2
OWN 30
0
53.1%
Logan Lupo punt for 52 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the ARMY 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 2TD
8 plays · 82 yds · 4:5747% → 50%
Q1 13:35
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+2
53.1%
Kanye Udoh run for 2 yds to the ARMY 20Similar
Q1 13:35
2ND & 8
OWN 20
+2
53.1%
Noah Short run for 2 yds to the ARMY 18Similar
Q1 13:35
3RD & 10
OWN 18
+13
53.2%
Noah Short run for 13 yds to the ARMY 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:35
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+2
53.1%
Bryson Daily run for 2 yds to the ARMY 33Similar
Q1 13:35
2ND & 8
OWN 33
0
53.1%
Samari Howard run for no gain to the ARMY 33Similar
Q1 13:35
3RD & 8
OWN 33
+49
53.2%
Noah Short run for 49 yds to the FAU 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:35
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+10
52.9%
Kanye Udoh run for 10 yds to the FAU 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:38
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
50.3%
Kanye Udoh run for 8 yds for a TD (Trey Gronotte KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 3DOWNS
12 plays · 39 yds · 6:1251% → 49%
Q1 8:38
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
51.1%
Cam Fancher pass complete to George Johnson III for 7 yds to the FAU 32Similar
Q1 8:38
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+6
51.5%
CJ Campbell Jr. run for 6 yds to the FAU 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:38
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+2
51.4%
CJ Campbell Jr. run for 2 yds to the FAU 40Similar
Q1 8:38
2ND & 8
OWN 40
+2
51.6%
CJ Campbell Jr. run for 2 yds to the FAU 42Similar
Q1 8:38
3RD & 6
OWN 42
+8
51.4%
Cam Fancher pass complete to George Johnson III for 8 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:38
1ST & 10
50
+9
51.9%
Cam Fancher pass complete to George Johnson III for 9 yds to the ARMY 41Similar
Q1 8:38
2ND & 1
OPP 41
+4
51.9%
Omari Hayes run for 4 yds to the ARMY 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:38
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+3
51.9%
Cam Fancher pass complete to CJ Campbell Jr. for 3 yds to the ARMY 34Similar
Q1 8:38
2ND & 7
OPP 34
+2
52.2%
Zuberi Mobley run for 2 yds to the ARMY 32Similar
Q1 8:38
3RD & 5
OPP 32
-4
51.9%
Cam Fancher pass complete to Milan Tucker for a loss of 4 yards to the ARMY 36Similar
Q1 2:26
4TH & 9
OPP 36
0
49.0%
Cam Fancher pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 4TD
3 plays · 64 yds · 1:3952% → 58%
Q1 2:26
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+4
48.3%
Kanye Udoh run for 4 yds to the ARMY 40Similar
Q1 2:26
2ND & 6
OWN 40
+16
47.9%
Bryson Daily run for 16 yds to the FAU 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:47
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+44
41.7%
Bryson Daily pass complete to Casey Reynolds for 44 yds for a TD (Trey Gronotte KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 5PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 0:4343% → 43%
Q1 0:47
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
43.2%
Cam Fancher pass complete to Jayshon Platt for 6 yds to the FAU 31Similar
Q1 0:47
2ND & 4
OWN 31
0
43.7%
Cam Fancher pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 0:47
3RD & 4
OWN 31
0
43.4%
Cam Fancher pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 0:04
4TH & 4
OWN 31
0
42.7%
Logan Lupo punt for 58 yds , Jaydan Mayes returns for no gain to the ARMY 9 Jaydan Mayes fumbled, recovered by ARMY Jaydan MayesSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 6PUNT
5 plays · 33 yds · 1:3358% → 60%
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+28
42.0%
Noah Short run for 28 yds to the ARMY 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+2
41.4%
Bryson Daily run for 2 yds to the ARMY 39Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 39
0
41.0%
Bryson Daily pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 8
OWN 39
+3
41.4%
Hayden Reed run for 3 yds to the ARMY 42Similar
Q2 13:27
4TH & 5
OWN 42
0
40.3%
James Wagenseller punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Omari Hayes at the FAU 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 7PUNT
6 plays · 17 yds · 2:3541% → 39%
Q2 13:27
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+2
41.4%
Zuberi Mobley run for 2 yds to the FAU 18Similar
Q2 13:27
2ND & 8
OWN 18
+11
41.4%
Cam Fancher pass complete to Zuberi Mobley for 11 yds to the FAU 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:27
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+9
41.6%
Cam Fancher pass complete to CJ Campbell Jr. for 9 yds to the FAU 38Similar
Q2 13:27
2ND & 1
OWN 38
+5
42.4%
Cam Fancher run for 5 yds to the FAU 33 Cam Fancher fumbled, recovered by FAU Cam FancherSimilar
Q2 13:27
3RD & 6
OWN 33
0
41.5%
Cam Fancher pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 10:52
4TH & 6
OWN 33
+5
38.5%
Logan Lupo punt for 45 yds , Jaydan Mayes returns for 5 yds to the ARMY 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 8PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 2:2562% → 64%
Q2 10:52
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+2
37.7%
Kanye Udoh run for 2 yds to the ARMY 29Similar
Q2 10:52
2ND & 8
OWN 29
+2
37.7%
Noah Short run for 2 yds to the ARMY 31Similar
Q2 10:52
3RD & 6
OWN 31
+2
38.0%
Bryson Daily run for 2 yds to the ARMY 33Similar
Q2 8:27
4TH & 4
OWN 33
+7
36.1%
James Wagenseller punt for 47 yds , Omari Hayes returns for 7 yds to the FAU 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 9PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 0:5937% → 35%
Q2 8:27
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+1
36.9%
CJ Campbell Jr. run for 1 yd to the FAU 28Similar
Q2 8:27
2ND & 9
OWN 28
0
36.9%
Cam Fancher pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 8:27
3RD & 9
OWN 28
0
36.2%
Cam Fancher pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 7:28
4TH & 9
OWN 28
0
34.9%
Logan Lupo punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Jaydan Mayes at the ARMY 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 10FUMBLE
8 plays · 34 yds · 3:5165% → 70%
Q2 7:28
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+3
35.0%
Samari Howard run for 3 yds to the ARMY 31Similar
Q2 7:28
2ND & 13
OWN 31
0
35.3%
Bryson Daily pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 7:28
3RD & 13
OWN 31
+13
35.9%
Bryson Daily run for 13 yds to the ARMY 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:58
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+12
32.3%
Noah Short run for 12 yds to the FAU 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:58
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+2
32.3%
Kanye Udoh run for 2 yds to the FAU 42Similar
Q2 5:58
2ND & 8
OPP 42
+7
32.4%
Samari Howard run for 7 yds to the FAU 35Similar
Q2 3:37
3RD & 1
OPP 35
+3
30.5%
Kanye Udoh run for 3 yds to the FAU 32 Kanye Udoh fumbled, recovered by FAU CJ HeardSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 11TD
14 plays · 68 yds · 2:4432% → 44%
Q2 3:37
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+3
32.0%
CJ Campbell Jr. run for 3 yds to the FAU 29Similar
Q2 3:37
3RD & 13
OWN 29
+13
31.2%
Cam Fancher pass complete to Milan Tucker for 13 yds to the FAU 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:37
2ND & 13
OWN 29
0
31.7%
Cam Fancher pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 2:18
4TH & 1
OWN 42
0
31.8%
Zuberi Mobley run for no gain to the FAU 42Similar
Q2 2:18
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+10
32.2%
No Huddle-Shotgun Mobley,Zuberi rush right for 0 yards to the FAU42 (Thomas,Andon; DiDomenico,Max) PENALTY AWP Holding (Harris-Miller,Kody) 10 yards from FAU42 to AWP48, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 2:18
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+6
32.6%
Cam Fancher pass complete to Marlyn Johnson for 6 yds to the ARMY 42Similar
Q2 2:00
2ND & 4
OPP 42
+4
32.4%
Zuberi Mobley run for 4 yds to the ARMY 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:00
1ST & 10
OPP 38
-5
32.5%
(01:33) PENALTY FAU Delay Of Game 5 yards from AWP38 to AWP43. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 1:19
1ST & 15
OPP 43
+16
25.1%
Cam Fancher run for 16 yds to the ARMY 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:02
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+19
26.2%
Cam Fancher pass complete to Joseph Young for 19 yds to the ARMY 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:02
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
0
26.2%
Cam Fancher pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:53
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
44.2%
Cam Fancher pass complete to Omari Hayes for 8 yds for a TD (Morgan Suarez KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 12END OF HALF
5 plays · 20 yds · 0:5362% → 64%
Q2 0:53
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
38.0%
Hayden Reed run for 8 yds to the ARMY 33Similar
Q2 0:53
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+6
36.9%
Hayden Reed run for 6 yds to the ARMY 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+6
35.7%
Hayden Reed run for 6 yds to the ARMY 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 13FG
9 plays · 57 yds · 4:0061% → 67%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+30
38.7%
Bryson Daily run for 30 yds to the FAU 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 45
-5
36.3%
PENALTY AWP False Start (Crossan,David) 5 yards from FAU45 to FAU50. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 13:33
1ST & 15
50
+26
37.4%
Noah Short run for 26 yds to the FAU 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:33
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+2
36.0%
Bryson Daily run for 2 yds to the FAU 22Similar
Q3 13:33
2ND & 8
OPP 22
+3
36.0%
Bryson Daily run for 3 yds to the FAU 19Similar
Q3 13:33
3RD & 5
OPP 19
+1
36.5%
Samari Howard run for 1 yd to the FAU 18Similar
Q3 11:00
4TH & 4
OPP 18
+35
33.1%
Trey Gronotte 35 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 14INT
5 plays · 30 yds · 1:3034% → 36%
Q3 11:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+18
34.1%
Cam Fancher pass complete to Milan Tucker for 18 yds to the FAU 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:00
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+7
35.7%
Cam Fancher pass complete to Zeke Moore for 7 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 11:00
2ND & 3
50
+5
36.9%
Cam Fancher pass complete to Milan Tucker for 5 yds to the ARMY 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:30
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
36.1%
Cam Fancher pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 15TD
18 plays · 96 yds · 10:3366% → 94%
Q3 9:30
1ST & 10
OWN 4
+5
33.8%
Hayden Reed run for 5 yds to the ARMY 9Similar
Q3 9:30
2ND & 5
OWN 9
+8
34.0%
Bryson Daily run for 8 yds to the ARMY 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:30
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+6
32.8%
Hayden Reed run for 6 yds to the ARMY 23Similar
Q3 9:30
2ND & 4
OWN 23
-5
32.2%
PENALTY AWP False Start (Katsigiannis,Bill) 5 yards from AWP23 to AWP18. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 9:30
2ND & 9
OWN 18
+12
33.0%
Noah Short run for 12 yds to the ARMY 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:30
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+6
32.3%
Kanye Udoh run for 6 yds to the ARMY 36Similar
Q3 9:30
2ND & 4
OWN 36
+2
31.7%
Bryson Daily run for 2 yds to the ARMY 38Similar
Q3 9:30
3RD & 2
OWN 38
+10
31.7%
Bryson Daily run for 10 yds to the ARMY 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:30
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+2
31.1%
Noah Short run for 2 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 9:30
2ND & 8
50
+17
31.2%
Kanye Udoh run for 17 yds to the FAU 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:30
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+3
30.7%
Hayden Reed run for 3 yds to the FAU 30Similar
Q3 9:30
2ND & 7
OPP 30
+9
30.6%
Bryson Daily run for 9 yds to the FAU 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:30
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+5
30.5%
Kanye Udoh run for 5 yds to the FAU 16Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 5
OPP 16
-15
21.3%
Daily,Bryson rush left for 0 yards to the FAU16 (Davis,Devonta) PENALTY AWP Personal Foul (Udoh,Kanye) 15 yards from FAU16 to FAU31. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 20
OPP 31
+8
21.8%
Bryson Daily run for 8 yds to the FAU 23Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 12
OPP 23
0
22.1%
Bryson Daily pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 13:57
4TH & 12
OPP 23
+23
7.3%
Matthew Rhodes run for 23 yds for a TD (Trey Gronotte KICK)Similar
Q4 13:57
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
6.0%
PENALTY FAU Offside (Hill,Daedae) 2 yards from FAU03 to FAU01. NO PLAY.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 16DOWNS
18 plays · 73 yds · 5:1310% → 7%
Q4 13:57
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
9.9%
CJ Campbell Jr. run for 6 yds to the FAU 31Similar
Q4 13:57
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+4
10.4%
Cam Fancher pass complete to Omari Hayes for 4 yds to the FAU 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:57
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+27
10.3%
Cam Fancher pass complete to Omari Hayes for 27 yds to the ARMY 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:57
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+4
11.3%
Cam Fancher pass complete to CJ Campbell Jr. for 4 yds to the ARMY 34Similar
Q4 13:57
2ND & 6
OPP 34
0
12.8%
Cam Fancher run for no gain to the ARMY 34Similar
Q4 13:57
3RD & 6
OPP 34
+8
11.6%
Cam Fancher pass complete to Marlyn Johnson for 8 yds to the ARMY 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:57
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+2
12.8%
Cam Fancher pass complete to Wyatt Sullivan for 2 yds to the ARMY 24Similar
Q4 13:57
2ND & 8
OPP 24
0
12.8%
Cam Fancher pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 13:57
3RD & 8
OPP 24
0
11.6%
Cam Fancher pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 13:57
4TH & 8
OPP 24
+10
11.1%
Cam Fancher pass complete to Marlyn Johnson for 10 yds to the ARMY 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:57
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+11
12.8%
Cam Fancher pass complete to Marlyn Johnson for 11 yds to the ARMY 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:57
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
-1
13.4%
Cam Fancher pass complete to Milan Tucker for a loss of 1 yard to the ARMY 4Similar
Q4 13:57
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+2
12.8%
PENALTY AWP Illegal Substitution 2 yards from AWP04 to AWP02. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 13:57
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
-3
12.8%
Cam Fancher pass complete to Aliam Appler for a loss of 3 yards to the ARMY 5Similar
Q4 13:57
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
+4
12.1%
CJ Campbell Jr. run for 4 yds to the ARMY 1Similar
Q4 8:44
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
7.3%
Cam Fancher run for 1 yd to the ARMY 2Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 17END OF GAME
19 plays · 34 yds · 8:4496% → 99%
Q4 8:44
1ST & 10
OWN 2
+5
4.4%
(08:37) PENALTY FAU Offside (Wheeler,Jaden) 5 yards from AWP02 to AWP07. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 8:44
1ST & 5
OWN 7
+4
4.4%
Kanye Udoh run for 4 yds to the ARMY 11Similar
Q4 8:44
2ND & 1
OWN 11
+1
4.4%
Bryson Daily run for 1 yd to the ARMY 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:44
1ST & 10
OWN 12
-8
4.4%
Army Penalty, Personal Foul (-8 Yards) to the ARMY 8Similar
Q4 8:44
1ST & 14
OWN 8
+4
4.4%
Kanye Udoh run for 4 yds to the ARMY 12Similar
Q4 8:44
2ND & 10
OWN 12
+6
4.4%
Bryson Daily run for 6 yds to the ARMY 18Similar
Q4 4:32
3RD & 4
OWN 18
+2
2.5%
Bryson Daily run for 2 yds to the ARMY 20Similar
Q4 4:32
4TH & 2
OWN 20
+5
2.4%
PENALTY FAU Offside (Sands,Gemari) 5 yards from AWP20 to AWP25, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 4:32
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
2.4%
Kanye Udoh run for 1 yd to the ARMY 26Similar
Q4 4:10
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+8
2.2%
Noah Short run for 8 yds to the ARMY 34Similar
Q4 4:10
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+1
2.2%
Bryson Daily run for 1 yd to the ARMY 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:10
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+2
2.1%
Kanye Udoh run for 2 yds to the ARMY 37Similar
Q4 2:35
2ND & 8
OWN 37
+10
1.7%
Noah Short run for 10 yds to the ARMY 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:00
1ST & 10
OWN 47
-3
1.0%
B. Daily takes a kneeSimilar
Q4 2:00
2ND & 13
OWN 44
-2
1.1%
B. Daily takes a kneeSimilar
Q4 0:00
3RD & 15
OWN 42
-2
1.0%
B. Daily takes a kneeSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 0:53
Cam Fancher pass complete to Omari Hayes for 8 yds for a TD (Morgan Suarez KICK)
+18
TD · Q4 13:57
Matthew Rhodes run for 23 yds for a TD (Trey Gronotte KICK)
-14.9
KEY PLAY · Q3 0:00
Daily,Bryson rush left for 0 yards to the FAU16 (Davis,Devonta) PENALTY AWP Personal Foul (Udoh,Kanye) 15 yards from FAU16 to FAU31. NO PLAY.
-9.2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com