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NORF

Norfolk State 3 at East Carolina 42

ECU
2024 · Week 1 · Aug 31, 2024 · Dowdy-Ficklen Stadium
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Win probability · ECU
modelECU aheadNORF aheadconfidence bandkey playECU scoreNORF score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 7:31 · Luke Larsen punt for 40 yds
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialBlowout marginGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+48.0+24.00−24.0−48.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 107Pregame prior+27.2Home team on offense+32.0Score differential+22.3Blowout margin+9.7Garbage-time factor+10.5Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+6.4
This game in five plays
  1. FG · Q1 8:17: Grandin Willcox 39 yd FG GOOD — NORF win probability +0.9 pts (now 3%) (top driver: NORF has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 13:35: Jalen Daniels pass intercepted Gavin Gibson return for 30 yds for a TD (Andrew Conrad KICK) — ECU win probability +1.1 pts (now 97%) (top driver: NORF has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 3:47: Jake Garcia pass complete to Desirrio Riles for 3 yds for a TD (Andrew Conrad KICK) — ECU win probability +1.4 pts (now 98%) (top driver: ECU has the ball).
  4. KEY PLAY · Q2 0:00: Kneel down by DANIELS, Jalen at NSU12 (team loss of 0), clock 00:00. — ECU win probability +1.8 pts (now 98%) (top driver: NORF has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 10:07: Jake Garcia pass complete to Anthony Smith for 18 yds for a TD (Andrew Conrad KICK) — ECU win probability +0.5 pts (now 100%) (top driver: ECU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
ECU made the numbers' call on 2 of 3NORF made the numbers' call on 11 of 15
  1. Q1 13:43NORF 4th & 6 at ECU 35, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 3.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    3.4%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    3.3%−<0.1
    45% to make
    Punt
    3.3%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 8:17NORF 4th & 5 at ECU 22, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 4.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.3%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    4.4%
    72% to make
    Punt
    4.0%−0.4
    average punt
  3. Q1 4:50NORF 4th & 1 at NORF 30, down 4
    Close callPunted · 4.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.8%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.7%−0.1
    average punt
  4. Q1 2:00NORF 4th & 10 at NORF 25, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 4.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.4%−0.1
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.5%
    average punt
  5. Q1 0:00ECU 4th & 14 at NORF 43, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 95.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.0%−0.1
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    95.0%−0.1
    28% to make
    PuntTheir call
    95.1%
    average punt
  6. Q2 11:32NORF 4th & 2 at NORF 33, down 18
    Close callPunted · 3.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.7%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.7%−0.1
    average punt
  7. Q2 7:38NORF 4th & 4 at NORF 28, down 18
    Close callPunted · 3.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.8%
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.8%−<0.1
    average punt
  8. Q2 5:38NORF 4th & 7 at NORF 4, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.2%−0.5
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.7%
    average punt
  9. Q2 2:11NORF 4th & 6 at NORF 18, down 25
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.0%−0.1
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.1%
    average punt
  10. Q2 1:04ECU 4th & 3 at NORF 45, up 25
    Close callPunted · 98.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.3%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    98.2%−0.2
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    98.2%−0.1
    average punt
  11. Q3 11:30NORF 4th & 2 at ECU 43, down 25
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 1.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.2%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    0.8%−0.5
    28% to make
    Punt
    0.9%−0.3
    average punt
  12. Q3 8:41NORF 4th & 1 at NORF 34, down 32
    Close callPunted · 0.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.5%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.4%−0.1
    average punt
  13. Q3 7:31ECU 4th & 5 at ECU 37, up 32
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.7%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.8%
    average punt
  14. Q3 5:56NORF 4th & 21 at NORF 12, down 32
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.4%−0.2
    8% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.7%
    average punt
  15. Q3 4:28NORF 4th & 10 at NORF 49, down 32
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.5%−0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.6%
    average punt
  16. Q4 12:29NORF 4th & 12 at NORF 28, down 32
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−0.1
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
  17. Q4 8:09NORF 4th & 7 at NORF 28, down 39
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−<0.1
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  18. Q4 5:10NORF 4th & 15 at ECU 41, down 39
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−<0.1
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    0.0%−<0.1
    32% to make
    PuntTheir call
    0.0%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
ECU made the numbers' call on 6 of 6
  1. Q1 6:31ECU Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 3:47ECU Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 13:35ECU Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 3:47ECU Touchdown, up 24 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 10:07ECU Touchdown, up 31 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 10:12ECU Touchdown, up 38 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
ECUDrive 1INT
6 plays · 18 yds · 1:1098% → 98%
Q1 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
97.7%
Jake Garcia pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 14:53
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+8
97.7%
Jake Garcia pass complete to Anthony Smith for 8 yds to the ECU 48Similar
Q1 14:53
3RD & 2
OWN 48
+6
97.7%
Jake Garcia pass complete to Brock Spalding for 6 yds to the NORF 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:53
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
97.7%
Jake Garcia pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 14:53
2ND & 10
OPP 46
+4
97.7%
Jake Garcia run for 4 yds to the NORF 42Similar
Q1 13:43
3RD & 6
OPP 42
-9
97.5%
Jake Garcia pass intercepted Ricky Harleston return for 9 yds to the NORF 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NORFDrive 2FG
10 plays · 34 yds · 5:263% → 3%
Q1 13:43
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+4
97.5%
Kevon King run for 4 yds to the NORF 48Similar
Q1 13:43
2ND & 6
OWN 48
+13
97.5%
Kevon King run for 13 yds to the ECU 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:43
1ST & 10
OPP 39
-2
97.5%
Kevon King run for a loss of 2 yards to the ECU 41Similar
Q1 13:43
2ND & 12
OPP 41
+6
97.5%
Jalen Daniels pass complete to Jacquez Jones for 6 yds to the ECU 35Similar
Q1 13:43
3RD & 6
OPP 35
0
97.5%
Jalen Daniels pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:43
4TH & 6
OPP 35
+8
97.5%
Jalen Daniels pass complete to Elyjah Mitchell for 8 yds to the ECU 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:43
1ST & 10
OPP 27
0
97.5%
X'Zavion Evans run for no gain to the ECU 27Similar
Q1 13:43
2ND & 10
OPP 27
-1
97.5%
X'Zavion Evans run for a loss of 1 yard to the ECU 28Similar
Q1 13:43
3RD & 11
OPP 28
+6
97.5%
Kevon King run for 6 yds to the ECU 22Similar
Q1 8:17
4TH & 5
OPP 22
+39
96.6%
Grandin Willcox 39 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 3TD
7 plays · 45 yds · 1:3797% → 97%
Q1 8:08
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
96.6%
Jake Garcia pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 8:08
2ND & 10
OPP 45
+12
96.6%
Jake Garcia pass complete to Brock Spalding for 12 yds to the NORF 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:08
1ST & 10
OPP 33
0
96.7%
Jake Garcia pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 8:08
2ND & 10
OPP 33
+6
96.7%
Rahjai Harris run for 6 yds to the NORF 27Similar
Q1 8:08
3RD & 4
OPP 27
+6
96.6%
Jake Garcia pass complete to Rahjai Harris for 6 yds to the NORF 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:08
1ST & 10
OPP 21
-1
96.7%
Rahjai Harris run for a loss of 1 yard to the NORF 22Similar
Q1 6:31
2ND & 11
OPP 22
+22
96.6%
Jake Garcia pass complete to Casey Kelly for 22 yds for a TD (Andrew Conrad KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NORFDrive 4PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 1:364% → 4%
Q1 6:26
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+5
96.5%
Kevon King run for 5 yds to the NORF 26Similar
Q1 6:26
2ND & 5
OWN 26
0
96.5%
Jalen Daniels pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 6:26
3RD & 5
OWN 26
+4
96.5%
Jalen Daniels pass complete to Elyjah Mitchell for 4 yds to the NORF 30Similar
Q1 4:50
4TH & 1
OWN 30
0
96.3%
Noah Tracey punt for 46 yds, downed at the ECU 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 5TD
4 plays · 76 yds · 1:0396% → 97%
Q1 4:50
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+4
96.2%
Javious Bond run for 4 yds to the ECU 28Similar
Q1 4:50
2ND & 6
OWN 28
+19
96.2%
Jake Garcia run for 19 yds to the ECU 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:50
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+39
96.3%
Jake Garcia pass complete to Anthony Smith for 39 yds to the NORF 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:47
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+14
96.7%
Javious Bond run for 14 yds for a TD (Andrew Conrad KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NORFDrive 6PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 1:474% → 4%
Q1 3:47
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
96.5%
Norfolk State Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the NORF 20Similar
Q1 3:47
1ST & 15
OWN 20
-1
96.5%
Kiron Benjamin run for a loss of 1 yard to the NORF 19Similar
Q1 3:47
2ND & 16
OWN 19
0
96.5%
Jalen Daniels pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 3:47
3RD & 16
OWN 19
+6
96.5%
Jalen Daniels pass complete to Jacquez Jones for 6 yds to the NORF 25Similar
Q1 2:00
4TH & 10
OWN 25
0
96.5%
Noah Tracey punt for 45 yds , Javious Bond returns for no gain to the ECU 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 7PUNT
7 plays · 37 yds · 2:0096% → 96%
Q1 2:00
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+8
96.4%
Jake Garcia pass complete to Kelan Robinson for 8 yds to the ECU 28Similar
Q1 2:00
2ND & 2
OWN 28
+15
96.4%
Jake Garcia pass complete to Yannick Smith for 15 yds to the ECU 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:00
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+18
96.5%
Jake Garcia pass complete to Jhari Patterson for 18 yds to the NORF 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:00
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
96.5%
Marlon Gunn Jr. run for no gain to the NORF 39Similar
Q1 2:00
2ND & 10
OPP 39
-4
96.5%
Marlon Gunn Jr. run for a loss of 4 yards to the NORF 43Similar
Q1 2:00
3RD & 14
OPP 43
0
96.3%
Jake Garcia pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 0:00
4TH & 14
OPP 43
0
96.0%
Luke Larsen punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Jaylen Laudermilk at the NORF 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NORFDrive 8INT TD
3 plays · -4 yds · 1:254% → 3%
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 5
-4
96.1%
X'Zavion Evans run for a loss of 4 yards to the NORF 1Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 14
OWN 1
0
96.1%
Jalen Daniels run for no gain to the NORF 1Similar
Q2 13:35
3RD & 14
OWN 1
-30
97.3%
Jalen Daniels pass intercepted Gavin Gibson return for 30 yds for a TD (Andrew Conrad KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NORFDrive 9PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 2:033% → 3%
Q2 13:35
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
97.2%
X'Zavion Evans run for 9 yds to the NORF 34Similar
Q2 13:35
2ND & 1
OWN 34
-2
97.0%
X'Zavion Evans run for a loss of 2 yards to the NORF 32Similar
Q2 13:35
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+1
97.1%
Kiron Benjamin run for 1 yd to the NORF 33Similar
Q2 11:32
4TH & 2
OWN 33
0
97.1%
Noah Tracey punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Javious Bond at the ECU 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 10INT
7 plays · 50 yds · 1:4197% → 97%
Q2 11:32
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+11
97.2%
Jake Garcia pass complete to Anthony Smith for 11 yds to the ECU 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:32
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+7
97.3%
Jake Garcia pass complete to Casey Kelly for 7 yds to the ECU 47Similar
Q2 11:32
2ND & 3
OWN 47
0
97.3%
Jake Garcia pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 11:32
3RD & 3
OWN 47
+9
97.2%
Jake Garcia pass complete to Winston Wright Jr. for 9 yds to the NORF 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:32
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+8
97.3%
Jake Garcia pass complete to Brock Spalding for 8 yds to the NORF 36Similar
Q2 11:32
2ND & 2
OPP 36
+15
97.3%
Rahjai Harris run for 15 yds to the NORF 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:51
1ST & 10
OPP 21
-18
97.2%
Jake Garcia pass intercepted Terron Mallory return for 18 yds to the NORF 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NORFDrive 11PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 2:133% → 3%
Q2 9:51
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+5
97.0%
X'Zavion Evans run for 5 yds to the NORF 27Similar
Q2 9:51
2ND & 5
OWN 27
-1
97.0%
X'Zavion Evans run for a loss of 1 yard to the NORF 26Similar
Q2 9:51
3RD & 6
OWN 26
+2
97.1%
X'Zavion Evans run for 2 yds to the NORF 28Similar
Q2 7:38
4TH & 4
OWN 28
+27
96.9%
Noah Tracey punt for 39 yds , Javious Bond returns for 27 yds to the NORF 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 12INT
3 plays · 10 yds · 0:2897% → 97%
Q2 7:38
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+10
97.1%
Jake Garcia pass complete to Jhari Patterson for 10 yds to the NORF 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:10
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
97.0%
Jake Garcia pass intercepted Terron Mallory return for no gain to the NORF 1Similar
Q2 7:10
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+5
96.9%
QB Keeper DANIELS, Jalen rush up the middle for no gain to the NSU1 (JOHNSON, D'Anta). PENALTY ECU Offsides on EDWARDS III, Michael enforced 5 yards from the NSU1 to the NSU6. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NORFDrive 13PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 1:323% → 3%
Q2 7:10
1ST & 5
OWN 6
+2
96.9%
X'Zavion Evans run for 2 yds to the NORF 8Similar
Q2 5:51
2ND & 3
OWN 8
0
96.7%
X'Zavion Evans run for no gain to the NORF 8Similar
Q2 5:51
3RD & 3
OWN 8
0
96.8%
Norfolk State Penalty, personal foul (Yards) to the NORF 4Similar
Q2 5:38
4TH & 7
OWN 4
0
96.8%
Noah Tracey punt for 32 yds, downed at the NORF 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 14TD
5 plays · 21 yds · 1:5197% → 98%
Q2 5:38
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+6
96.7%
Jake Garcia pass complete to Casey Kelly for 6 yds to the NORF 15Similar
Q2 5:38
2ND & 4
OPP 15
+5
96.7%
Marlon Gunn Jr. run for 5 yds to the NORF 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:38
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+7
96.7%
Jake Garcia run for 7 yds to the NORF 3Similar
Q2 5:38
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
0
96.7%
Jake Garcia pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 3:47
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
98.1%
Jake Garcia pass complete to Desirrio Riles for 3 yds for a TD (Andrew Conrad KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NORFDrive 15PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 1:313% → 3%
Q2 3:42
1ST & 10
OWN 14
-1
97.2%
Kiron Benjamin run for a loss of 1 yard to the NORF 13Similar
Q2 3:42
2ND & 11
OWN 13
0
97.2%
Jalen Daniels pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 3:42
3RD & 11
OWN 13
+5
97.2%
Kiron Benjamin run for 5 yds to the NORF 18Similar
Q2 2:11
4TH & 6
OWN 18
0
97.1%
Noah Tracey punt for 34 yds, downed at the ECU 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 16PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 1:0799% → 99%
Q2 2:11
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
98.6%
Jake Garcia pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 2:11
2ND & 10
OWN 48
+5
98.6%
Jake Garcia pass complete to Winston Wright Jr. for 5 yds to the NORF 47Similar
Q2 2:00
3RD & 5
OPP 47
+2
98.6%
Rahjai Harris run for 2 yds to the NORF 45Similar
Q2 1:04
4TH & 3
OPP 45
0
98.5%
Luke Larsen punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Jaylen Laudermilk at the NORF 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NORFDrive 17END OF HALF
5 plays · 2 yds · 1:043% → 1%
Q2 1:04
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+4
96.9%
Fonnae Webb run for 4 yds to the NORF 14Similar
Q2 0:28
2ND & 6
OWN 14
-2
95.8%
Fonnae Webb run for a loss of 2 yards to the NORF 12Similar
Q2 0:00
3RD & 8
OWN 12
0
97.6%
Kneel down by DANIELS, Jalen at NSU12 (team loss of 0), clock 00:00.Similar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-10
98.7%
WEBB, Fonnae rush up the middle for a gain of 11 yards to the NSU36 (STEPHENS, Chad). PENALTY NSU Holding on MCMILLAN, Dyral enforced 10 yards from the NSU25 to the NSU15. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NORFDrive 18DOWNS
8 plays · 15 yds · 3:302% → 1%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 20
OWN 15
+19
98.5%
Jalen Daniels pass complete to Jacquez Jones for 19 yds to the NORF 34Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+2
98.6%
Jaylen White run for 2 yds to the NORF 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-2
98.6%
Jaylen White run for a loss of 2 yards to the NORF 34Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 12
OWN 34
+15
98.7%
DANIELS, Jalen pass deep to the left incomplete intended for MITCHELL, Elyjah broken up by REVEL JR., Shavon at the NSU50. PENALTY ECU Roughing the Passer on CRAIG, Ryheem enforced 15 yards from the NSU34 to the NSU49 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+4
98.6%
Jaylen White run for 4 yds to the ECU 47Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 6
OPP 47
0
98.6%
Jalen Daniels pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 6
OPP 47
+4
98.6%
Fonnae Webb run for 4 yds to the ECU 43Similar
Q3 11:30
4TH & 2
OPP 43
-17
99.0%
Jalen Daniels run for a loss of 17 yards to the NORF 40 Jalen Daniels fumbled, recovered by ECU Devon King D. King return for 0 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 19TD
4 plays · 40 yds · 1:2399% → 100%
Q3 11:30
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+2
99.2%
Rahjai Harris run for 2 yds to the NORF 38Similar
Q3 11:30
2ND & 8
OPP 38
+20
99.2%
Jake Garcia pass complete to Brock Spalding for 20 yds to the NORF 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:30
1ST & 10
OPP 18
0
99.2%
Rahjai Harris run for no gain to the NORF 18Similar
Q3 10:07
2ND & 10
OPP 18
+18
99.7%
Jake Garcia pass complete to Anthony Smith for 18 yds for a TD (Andrew Conrad KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NORFDrive 20PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 1:260% → 0%
Q3 10:07
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
99.6%
Jalen Daniels pass complete to Kam'Ryn Thomas for 8 yds to the NORF 33Similar
Q3 10:07
2ND & 2
OWN 33
0
99.5%
Jalen Daniels pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 10:07
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+1
99.5%
Fonnae Webb run for 1 yd to the NORF 34Similar
Q3 8:41
4TH & 1
OWN 34
0
99.6%
Noah Tracey punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Javious Bond at the ECU 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 21PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 1:10100% → 100%
Q3 8:41
1ST & 10
OWN 32
-4
99.7%
Jake Garcia sacked by Daylan Long for a loss of 4 yards to the ECU 28Similar
Q3 8:41
2ND & 14
OWN 28
+9
99.7%
Jake Garcia run for 9 yds to the ECU 37Similar
Q3 8:41
3RD & 5
OWN 37
0
99.7%
Jake Garcia pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 7:31
4TH & 5
OWN 37
0
99.8%
Luke Larsen punt for 40 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NORFDrive 22PUNT
4 plays · -11 yds · 1:350% → 1%
Q3 7:31
1ST & 10
OWN 23
0
99.6%
Jalen Daniels pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 7:31
2ND & 10
OWN 23
-4
99.6%
Fonnae Webb run for a loss of 4 yards to the NORF 19Similar
Q3 7:31
3RD & 14
OWN 19
-7
99.6%
Jalen Daniels run for a loss of 7 yards to the NORF 12Similar
Q3 5:56
4TH & 21
OWN 12
+47
99.5%
Noah Tracey punt for 47 yds , Andrew Wilson-Lamp returns for no gain to the NORF 39 , returns for no gain to the NORF 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NORFDrive 23PUNT
5 plays · 10 yds · 1:281% → 1%
Q3 5:56
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+10
99.4%
Jalen Daniels pass complete to Taron Biles-Walker for 10 yds to the NORF 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:56
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
99.3%
Fonnae Webb run for no gain to the NORF 49Similar
Q3 5:56
2ND & 10
OWN 49
0
99.4%
Jalen Daniels pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 5:56
3RD & 10
OWN 49
0
99.4%
Jalen Daniels pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 4:28
4TH & 10
OWN 49
+11
99.5%
Noah Tracey punt for 41 yds , Javious Bond returns for 11 yds to the ECU 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 24FUMBLE
8 plays · 73 yds · 2:05100% → 100%
Q3 4:28
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+10
99.8%
Jake Garcia pass complete to Winston Wright Jr. for 10 yds to the ECU 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:28
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+10
99.8%
Jake Garcia pass complete to Anthony Smith for 10 yds to the ECU 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:28
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+15
99.8%
Norfolk State Penalty, Personal Foul (Martell Williams) to the NORF 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:28
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+8
99.8%
Jake Garcia run for 8 yds to the NORF 11Similar
Q3 4:28
2ND & 2
OPP 11
+6
99.8%
Javious Bond run for 6 yds to the NORF 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:28
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+3
99.8%
Javious Bond run for 3 yds to the NORF 2Similar
Q3 4:28
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
0
99.8%
Jake Garcia pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 2:23
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
-4
99.8%
Jake Garcia run for a loss of 4 yards to the NORF 6 Jake Garcia fumbled, recovered by NORF Kaleb Broadbent K. Broadbent return for 0 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NORFDrive 25PUNT
10 plays · 22 yds · 4:540% → 0%
Q3 2:23
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+2
99.9%
Jaylen White run for 2 yds to the NORF 8Similar
Q3 2:23
2ND & 8
OWN 8
+8
99.9%
Jaylen White run for 8 yds to the NORF 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:23
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+1
99.9%
Jaylen White run for 1 yd to the NORF 17Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 9
OWN 17
-2
99.9%
Jaylen White run for a loss of 2 yards to the NORF 15Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 11
OWN 15
+5
99.9%
East Carolina Penalty, Delay Of Game (TEAM) to the NORF 20Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 6
OWN 20
+10
99.9%
Jalen Daniels pass complete to Ty'shaun Granger for 10 yds to the NORF 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
99.9%
Fonnae Webb run for no gain to the NORF 30Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 30
-1
99.9%
Jaylen White run for a loss of 1 yard to the NORF 29Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 11
OWN 29
-1
99.9%
Jalen Daniels run for a loss of 1 yard to the NORF 28Similar
Q4 12:29
4TH & 12
OWN 28
0
99.9%
Noah Tracey punt for 44 yds, downed at the ECU 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 26TD
8 plays · 72 yds · 2:17100% → 100%
Q4 12:29
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+5
99.9%
London Montgomery run for 5 yds to the ECU 33Similar
Q4 12:29
2ND & 5
OWN 33
+21
99.9%
London Montgomery run for 21 yds to the NORF 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:10
1ST & 10
OPP 46
-5
99.9%
GARCIA, Jake pass deep to the left complete for 46 yards to KING, Kerry caught at the NSU5 and advanced to the NSU0, TOUCHDOWN ECU, score nullified by penalty, clock 11:10 (Play was confirmed after review). PENALTY ECU Ineligible Receiver Downfield on Pass on ERGLE, Hampton enforced 5 yards from the NSU46 to the ECU49 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 11:10
1ST & 15
OWN 49
+7
99.9%
London Montgomery run for 7 yds to the NORF 44Similar
Q4 11:10
2ND & 8
OPP 44
+5
99.9%
London Montgomery run for 5 yds to the NORF 39Similar
Q4 11:10
3RD & 3
OPP 39
+7
99.9%
London Montgomery run for 7 yds to the NORF 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:10
1ST & 10
OPP 32
0
99.9%
London Montgomery run for no gain to the NORF 32Similar
Q4 10:12
2ND & 10
OPP 32
+32
99.9%
Jake Garcia pass complete to Desirrio Riles for 32 yds for a TD (Andrew Conrad KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NORFDrive 27PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 2:030% → 0%
Q4 10:12
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
99.9%
Fonnae Webb run for a loss of 1 yard to the NORF 24Similar
Q4 10:12
2ND & 11
OWN 24
0
99.9%
Jaylen Parham run for no gain to the NORF 24Similar
Q4 10:12
3RD & 11
OWN 24
+4
99.9%
Jaylen Parham run for 4 yds to the NORF 28Similar
Q4 8:09
4TH & 7
OWN 28
0
99.9%
Noah Tracey punt for 21 yds, fair catch by Javious Bond at the NORF 49Similar
Q4 8:09
1ST & 10
OPP 49
-5
99.9%
HOUSER, Katin pass to the right incomplete intended for LEVERETT, Malik thrown to the NSU35. PENALTY ECU Ineligible Receiver Downfield on Pass on ARCHER, Amarie enforced 5 yards from the NSU49 to the ECU46 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 28FUMBLE
1 play · -15 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 7:52
1ST & 15
OWN 46
-10
99.9%
Katin Houser run for a loss of 10 yards to the ECU 36 Katin Houser fumbled, recovered by NORF Dawson Rivers D. Rivers return for 0 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NORFDrive 29PUNT
6 plays · -5 yds · 2:420% → 0%
Q4 7:52
1ST & 10
OPP 36
-1
99.9%
Jaylen Parham run for a loss of 1 yard to the ECU 37Similar
Q4 7:52
2ND & 11
OPP 37
+5
99.9%
Jaylen Parham run for 5 yds to the ECU 32Similar
Q4 7:52
3RD & 6
OPP 32
-10
99.9%
QB Keeper BERRY, Vinson rush to the right for a gain of 5 yards to the ECU27, out of bounds. PENALTY NSU Holding on REYNOLDS, Kamari enforced 10 yards from the ECU32 to the ECU42 [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 7:52
3RD & 16
OPP 42
+6
99.9%
Jaylen Parham run for 6 yds to the ECU 36Similar
Q4 7:52
4TH & 10
OPP 36
-5
99.9%
Norfolk State Penalty, Delay Of Game (TEAM) to the ECU 41Similar
Q4 5:10
4TH & 15
OPP 41
0
100.0%
Noah Tracey punt for 40 yds, downed at the ECU 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 30END OF GAME
13 plays · 84 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 5:10
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+5
99.9%
London Montgomery run for 5 yds to the ECU 6Similar
Q4 5:10
2ND & 5
OWN 6
-37
99.9%
MONTGOMERY, London rush to the right for a gain of 37 yards to the ECU43 (CHAPMAN, Corey). PENALTY ECU Holding on MCCRIMON, Jimarion enforced half the distance from the goal, 3 yards from the ECU6 to the ECU3 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 5:10
2ND & 8
OWN 3
+4
99.9%
London Montgomery run for 4 yds to the ECU 7Similar
Q4 5:10
3RD & 4
OWN 7
+17
99.9%
Katin Houser pass complete to Yannick Smith for 17 yds to the ECU 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:10
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+22
99.9%
Katin Houser pass complete to Desirrio Riles for 22 yds to the ECU 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:10
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+11
99.9%
Katin Houser pass complete to Yannick Smith for 11 yds to the NORF 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:10
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+15
99.9%
HOUSER, Katin pass deep to the left incomplete intended for LEVERETT, Malik thrown to the NSU16. PENALTY NSU Pass Interference on RUFFIN, Christian enforced 15 yards to the NSU28 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 5:10
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+5
99.9%
London Montgomery run for 5 yds to the NORF 23Similar
Q4 5:10
2ND & 5
OPP 23
+4
99.9%
London Montgomery run for 4 yds to the NORF 19Similar
Q4 5:10
3RD & 1
OPP 19
+2
99.9%
London Montgomery run for 2 yds to the NORF 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:10
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+1
99.9%
London Montgomery run for 1 yd to the NORF 16Similar
Q4 5:10
2ND & 9
OPP 16
-2
99.9%
London Montgomery run for a loss of 2 yards to the NORF 18Similar
Q4 5:10
3RD & 11
OPP 18
+3
99.9%
London Montgomery run for 3 yds to the NORF 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
KEY PLAY · Q2 0:00
Kneel down by DANIELS, Jalen at NSU12 (team loss of 0), clock 00:00.
+1.8
TD · Q2 3:47
Jake Garcia pass complete to Desirrio Riles for 3 yds for a TD (Andrew Conrad KICK)
+1.4
TD · Q2 13:35
Jalen Daniels pass intercepted Gavin Gibson return for 30 yds for a TD (Andrew Conrad KICK)
+1.1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com