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ALCN

Alcorn State 3 at UAB 41

UAB
2024 · Week 1 · Aug 29, 2024 · Protective Stadium
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Win probability · UAB
modelUAB aheadALCN aheadconfidence bandkey playUAB scoreALCN score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGTDTDTDFGFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 4:32 · Patrick Foley punt for 64 yds
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialBlowout marginGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+46.5+23.30−23.3−46.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 133Pregame prior+22.3Home team on offense+32.7Score differential+25.3Blowout margin+10.7Garbage-time factor+10.9Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+8.6
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 7:56: Brandon Hawkins Jr. 9 Yd pass from Jacob Zeno (Jonah Delange Kick) — UAB win probability +0.5 pts (now 96%) (top driver: UAB has the ball).
  2. FG · Q1 2:36: Noah Kiani 29 yd FG GOOD — ALCN win probability +0.7 pts (now 5%) (top driver: ALCN has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 6:26: Amare Thomas 15 Yd pass from Jacob Zeno (Jonah Delange Kick) — UAB win probability +1.7 pts (now 96%) (top driver: UAB has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 1:30: Lee Beebe Jr. run for 2 yds for a TD (Jonah Delange KICK) — UAB win probability +1.5 pts (now 98%) (top driver: UAB has the ball).
  5. FG · Q3 11:26: Jonah Delange 41 yd FG GOOD — UAB win probability +0.5 pts (now 100%) (top driver: UAB has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
UAB made the numbers' call on 4 of 5ALCN made the numbers' call on 12 of 12
  1. Q1 8:34ALCN 4th & 19 at ALCN 16, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 4.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.4%−0.2
    10% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.7%
    average punt
  2. Q1 6:03ALCN 4th & 5 at ALCN 36, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 4.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.4%−0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.4%
    average punt
  3. Q1 2:36ALCN 4th & 11 at UAB 11, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 4.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.5%−0.2
    22% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    4.7%
    87% to make
    Punt
    3.9%−0.9
    average punt
  4. Q2 13:34ALCN 4th & 5 at ALCN 35, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 5.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.7%−0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.8%
    average punt
  5. Q2 0:22ALCN 4th & 8 at UAB 47, down 25
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.8%−<0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.8%
    average punt
  6. Q3 13:46ALCN 4th & 12 at ALCN 23, down 25
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.6%−0.5
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.1%
    average punt
  7. Q3 11:26UAB 4th & 8 at ALCN 23, up 25
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 98.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.8%−0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    98.9%
    70% to make
    Punt
    97.9%−1.0
    average punt
  8. Q3 5:18ALCN 4th & 10 at ALCN 41, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.2%−0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.3%
    average punt
  9. Q3 4:32UAB 4th & 12 at UAB 13, up 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.7%−0.2
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.8%
    average punt
  10. Q3 1:55ALCN 4th & 4 at ALCN 41, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.2%−<0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
  11. Q4 14:15UAB 4th & 4 at ALCN 45, up 28
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.9%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    99.7%−0.1
    25% to make
    Punt
    99.8%−0.1
    average punt
  12. Q4 12:24UAB 4th & 4 at ALCN 6, up 28
    Close callKicked a field goal · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.8%−<0.1
    91% to make
    Punt
    99.4%−0.5
    average punt
  13. Q4 11:49ALCN 4th & 10 at ALCN 25, down 31
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−0.1
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
  14. Q4 9:58ALCN 4th & 14 at ALCN 12, down 38
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    -0.0%−0.1
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  15. Q4 9:58ALCN 4th & 14 at ALCN 12, down 38
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    -0.0%−0.1
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  16. Q4 6:01UAB 4th & 3 at ALCN 19, up 38
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.9%
    51% to convert
    Field goal
    99.9%−<0.1
    77% to make
    Punt
    99.5%−0.4
    average punt
  17. Q4 2:32ALCN 4th & 9 at UAB 44, down 38
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−<0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    0.0%−<0.1
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    0.0%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
UAB made the numbers' call on 4 of 4
  1. Q1 10:10UAB Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 7:56UAB Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 6:26UAB Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 1:30UAB Touchdown, up 24 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
UABDrive 1TD
13 plays · 70 yds · 4:3797% → 96%
Q1 14:47
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+11
96.5%
Jacob Zeno pass complete to Kam Shanks for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:29
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+27
96.4%
Jacob Zeno pass complete to Kam Shanks for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:08
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+5
96.4%
Lee Beebe Jr. run for 5 yds to the ALCN 27Similar
Q1 13:29
2ND & 5
OPP 27
-1
96.3%
Jacob Zeno pass complete to Brandon BuckhaulterSimilar
Q1 13:02
3RD & 6
OPP 28
+10
96.2%
Jacob Zeno pass complete to Kam Shanks for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:41
1ST & 10
OPP 18
0
96.2%
Jacob Zeno run for no gain to the ALCN 18Similar
Q1 12:10
2ND & 10
OPP 18
+1
96.1%
Brandon Buckhaulter run for 1 yd to the ALCN 17Similar
Q1 11:34
3RD & 9
OPP 17
+10
96.0%
Jacob Zeno run for 10 yds to the ALCN 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:21
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+3
96.0%
Isaiah Jacobs run for 3 yds to the ALCN 4Similar
Q1 10:52
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+2
95.9%
Isaiah Jacobs run for 2 yds to the ALCN 2Similar
Q1 10:10
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
96.0%
Lee Beebe Jr. run for 2 yds for a TD (Jonah Delange KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALCNDrive 2PUNT
6 plays · -9 yds · 1:364% → 4%
Q1 10:10
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
95.9%
PENALTY ASU False Start (Winn,Jamar) 5 yards from ASU25 to ASU20. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 10:04
1ST & 15
OWN 20
+3
95.9%
Jacorian Sewell run for 3 yds to the ALCN 23Similar
Q1 9:43
2ND & 12
OWN 23
+1
95.9%
Tyler Macon run for 1 yd to the ALCN 24Similar
Q1 8:50
3RD & 11
OWN 24
-8
95.8%
Tyler Macon sacked by Kendall Johnson for a loss of 8 yards to the ALCN 16 Tyler Macon fumbled, recovered by ALCN Jacorian Sewell , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q1 8:34
4TH & 19
OWN 16
0
95.8%
Elijah Gorman punt blocked by Sirad Bryant blocked by Sirad Bryant (08:34) Gorman,Elijah punt 0 yards to the ASU16 blocked by Bryant,Sirad recovered by ASU Thomas Jr.,Eric at ASU06, End Of Play, TURNOVER ON DOWNS.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 3TD
4 plays · 6 yds · 0:3396% → 96%
Q1 8:29
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
-5
95.9%
PENALTY UAB False Start (Flournoy,Zaire) 5 yards from ASU06 to ASU11. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 8:20
1ST & GOAL
OPP 11
+2
95.9%
Terrell McDonald run for 2 yds to the ALCN 9Similar
Q1 8:04
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
0
95.8%
Jacob Zeno pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:56
3RD & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
96.3%
Brandon Hawkins Jr. 9 Yd pass from Jacob Zeno (Jonah Delange Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALCNDrive 4PUNT
7 plays · 16 yds · 1:444% → 4%
Q1 7:47
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+5
96.1%
Tyler Macon run for 5 yds to the ALCN 25Similar
Q1 7:18
2ND & 5
OWN 25
+6
96.1%
Tayvonne Miller run for 6 yds to the ALCN 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:52
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+5
96.1%
Tyler Macon run for 5 yds to the ALCN 36Similar
Q1 6:19
2ND & 5
OWN 36
0
96.0%
Tyler Macon pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 6:14
3RD & 5
OWN 36
0
96.0%
Tyler Macon pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 6:03
4TH & 5
OWN 36
0
96.0%
Elijah Gorman punt for 34 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 5FUMBLE
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:1596% → 96%
Q1 5:51
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+1
96.2%
Lee Beebe Jr. run for 1 yd to the UAB 31Similar
Q1 5:36
2ND & 9
OWN 31
+1
96.2%
Lee Beebe Jr. run for 1 yd to the UAB 30 Lee Beebe Jr. fumbled, recovered by ALCN Markel McLaurinSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALCNDrive 6FG
8 plays · 19 yds · 2:524% → 5%
Q1 5:28
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
95.8%
Xzavier Vaughn pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 5:19
2ND & 10
OPP 30
+11
95.8%
Xzavier Vaughn run for 11 yds to the UAB 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:50
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+10
95.7%
(04:55) No Huddle-Shotgun Vaughn,Xzavier pass incomplete short right to Griffin,Tavarious thrown to UAB00 PENALTY UAB Holding (Jones,Tyjon) 10 yards from UAB19 to UAB09, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 4:43
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+2
95.7%
Xzavier Vaughn run for 2 yds to the UAB 7Similar
Q1 4:10
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+2
95.7%
Jacorian Sewell run for 2 yds to the UAB 5Similar
Q1 3:35
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
-10
95.7%
(03:43) No Huddle-Shotgun Vaughn,Xzavier rush right for 1 yard gain to the UAB04 (Maddox,Adrian) PENALTY ASU Holding (Gallaspy,Rashawn) 10 yards from UAB05 to UAB15. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 3:07
3RD & GOAL
OPP 15
+4
95.9%
Xzavier Vaughn pass complete to Tevarrius AdamsSimilar
Q1 2:36
4TH & GOAL
OPP 11
+29
95.2%
Noah Kiani 29 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 7FUMBLE
8 plays · 42 yds · 2:2195% → 95%
Q1 2:23
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+9
95.2%
Isaiah Jacobs run for 9 yds to the UAB 37Similar
Q1 1:53
2ND & 1
OWN 37
+5
95.2%
Isaiah Jacobs run for 5 yds to the UAB 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:19
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+9
95.2%
Jacob Zeno pass complete to Kam ShanksSimilar
Q1 1:05
2ND & 1
OPP 49
+3
95.2%
Isaiah Jacobs run for 3 yds to the ALCN 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:51
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+5
95.2%
Lee Beebe Jr. run for 5 yds to the ALCN 41Similar
Q1 0:29
2ND & 5
OPP 41
+1
95.1%
Jacob Zeno pass complete to Amare ThomasSimilar
Q1 0:02
3RD & 4
OPP 40
+10
95.1%
Lee Beebe Jr. run for 10 yds to the ALCN 30 Lee Beebe Jr. fumbled, recovered by ALCN Bakari McCallSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALCNDrive 8PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 1:265% → 5%
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
94.8%
Tayvonne Miller run for no gain to the ALCN 30Similar
Q2 14:50
2ND & 10
OWN 30
+2
94.9%
Xzavier Vaughn pass complete to Anthony WilliamsSimilar
Q2 14:14
3RD & 8
OWN 32
+3
94.9%
Xzavier Vaughn run for 3 yds to the ALCN 35Similar
Q2 13:34
4TH & 5
OWN 35
0
94.9%
Elijah Gorman punt for 32 yds, fair catch by Kam Shanks at the UAB 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 9INT
9 plays · 51 yds · 3:1795% → 95%
Q2 13:27
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+4
95.0%
Isaiah Jacobs run for 4 yds to the UAB 37Similar
Q2 13:04
2ND & 6
OWN 37
+7
95.1%
Isaiah Jacobs run for 7 yds to the UAB 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:32
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+26
95.1%
Jacob Zeno run for 26 yds to the ALCN 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:06
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+3
95.1%
Isaiah Jacobs run for 3 yds to the ALCN 27Similar
Q2 11:30
2ND & 7
OPP 27
+8
95.1%
Lee Witherspoon run for 8 yds to the ALCN 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:59
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+3
95.0%
Jacob Zeno pass complete to Armoni GoodwinSimilar
Q2 10:33
2ND & 7
OPP 16
0
95.1%
Isaiah Jacobs run for no gain to the ALCN 16Similar
Q2 10:10
3RD & 7
OPP 16
0
95.1%
Jacob Zeno pass intercepted Markel McLaurin return for no gain to the ALCN 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALCNDrive 10FUMBLE
3 plays · 9 yds · 0:195% → 5%
Q2 9:57
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+9
95.0%
Anthony Williams run for 9 yds to the ALCN 17Similar
Q2 9:38
2ND & 1
OWN 17
0
94.8%
run for no gain to the ALCN 17 fumbled, recovered by UAB Demarcus SmithSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 11TD
9 plays · 17 yds · 3:0895% → 96%
Q2 9:34
1ST & 10
OPP 17
0
95.1%
Jacob Zeno pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 9:26
2ND & 10
OPP 17
+1
95.1%
Isaiah Jacobs run for 1 yd to the ALCN 16Similar
Q2 8:58
3RD & 9
OPP 16
-10
94.9%
(09:03) No Huddle-Shotgun Zeno,Jacob rush right for 9 yards gain to the ASU07 (Smith,Andrew), out of bounds PENALTY UAB Holding (Flournoy,Zaire) 10 yards from ASU16 to ASU26. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 8:36
3RD & 19
OPP 26
+15
94.7%
Jacob Zeno run for 5 yds to the ALCN 21 for a 1ST down Alcorn State Penalty, Personal Foul (Wallace Melton) to the ALCN 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:05
1ST & 10
OPP 11
-15
94.8%
(08:12) No Huddle-Shotgun Thomas,Amare rush left for 1 yard gain to the ASU10 (Bailey,Malachi; Haney,Tayvion) PENALTY UAB Personal Foul (Holt-Bennett,Malachi) 15 yards from ASU11 to ASU26. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 7:50
1ST & 25
OPP 26
+3
94.8%
Armoni Goodwin run for 3 yds to the ALCN 29Similar
Q2 7:08
2ND & 28
OPP 29
-5
94.8%
PENALTY UAB Disconcerting Signals (Wilson,Brady) 5 yards from ASU29 to ASU34. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 6:54
2ND & 33
OPP 34
+19
94.7%
Jacob Zeno pass complete to Brandon BuckhaulterSimilar
Q2 6:26
3RD & 14
OPP 15
+15
96.4%
Amare Thomas 15 Yd pass from Jacob Zeno (Jonah Delange Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALCNDrive 12INT
7 plays · 18 yds · 2:484% → 4%
Q2 6:13
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+13
95.9%
Tyler Macon run for 13 yds to the ALCN 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:44
1ST & 10
OWN 31
-3
95.8%
Tyler Macon pass complete to Anthony WilliamsSimilar
Q2 5:15
2ND & 13
OWN 28
+12
96.0%
Tyler Macon run for 12 yds to the ALCN 40Similar
Q2 4:45
3RD & 1
OWN 40
+2
95.6%
Tyler Macon run for 2 yds to the ALCN 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:14
1ST & 10
OWN 42
-6
95.7%
Tyler Macon sacked by Emmanuel Waller for a loss of 6 yards to the ALCN 36Similar
Q2 3:25
2ND & 16
OWN 36
0
96.0%
Tyler Macon pass intercepted Colby Dempsey return for no gain to the UAB 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 13TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 1:4896% → 98%
Q2 3:18
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
96.4%
Jacob Zeno pass complete to Isaiah JacobsSimilar
Q2 2:56
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+3
96.4%
Jacob Zeno pass complete to Isaiah Jacobs for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:24
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+11
96.3%
Jacob Zeno pass complete to Dallas Payne for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:04
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+11
96.4%
Jacob Zeno pass incomplete for a 1ST down Alcorn State Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (Equandric Ross) to the ALCN 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:57
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+20
96.4%
Lee Beebe Jr. run for 20 yds to the ALCN 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:44
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+20
96.5%
Jacob Zeno pass complete to Corri Milliner for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:30
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
98.0%
Lee Beebe Jr. run for 2 yds for a TD (Jonah Delange KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALCNDrive 14PUNT
11 plays · 23 yds · 0:594% → 5%
Q2 1:21
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
96.2%
Tyler Macon pass complete to Tavarious GriffinSimilar
Q2 1:16
2ND & 10
OWN 30
+4
96.1%
Tyler Macon run for 4 yds to the ALCN 34Similar
Q2 1:12
3RD & 6
OWN 34
+7
95.9%
Tyler Macon pass complete to Tavarious Griffin for a 1ST down UAB Penalty, Defensive Offside (Yards) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:04
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+7
95.4%
Tyler Macon run for 7 yds to the ALCN 48Similar
Q2 0:55
2ND & 3
OWN 48
+3
94.7%
Tayvonne Miller run for 3 yds to the UAB 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:39
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+6
94.2%
Tyler Macon run for 6 yds to the UAB 43Similar
Q2 0:32
2ND & 4
OPP 43
-4
93.8%
Tyler Macon sacked by LD Cox for a loss of 4 yards to the UAB 47Similar
Q2 0:25
3RD & 8
OPP 47
0
94.7%
Tyler Macon pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:22
4TH & 8
OPP 47
0
94.7%
Elijah Gorman punt for 28 yds, fair catch by Kam Shanks at the UAB 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 15END OF HALF
1 play · 3 yds · 0:0098% → 98%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+3
98.4%
Jacob Zeno pass complete to Isaiah JacobsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALCNDrive 16PUNT
6 plays · -2 yds · 1:082% → 2%
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
98.4%
Jacorian Sewell run for no gain to the ALCN 25Similar
Q3 14:25
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+3
98.5%
Jacorian Sewell run for 3 yds to the ALCN 28Similar
Q3 13:55
3RD & 7
OWN 28
0
98.6%
Xzavier Vaughn pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 13:55
4TH & 7
OWN 28
-5
98.6%
PENALTY ASU Delay Of Game (Gorman,Elijah) 5 yards from ASU28 to ASU23. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 13:46
4TH & 12
OWN 23
+5
98.2%
Elijah Gorman punt for 42 yds , Kam Shanks returns for 5 yds to the UAB 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 17FG
9 plays · 37 yds · 2:1399% → 100%
Q3 13:39
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+12
98.8%
Isaiah Jacobs run for 12 yds to the ALCN 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:18
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+12
98.9%
Jacob Zeno pass complete to Amare Thomas for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:58
1ST & 10
OPP 36
0
99.0%
Jacob Zeno pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 12:52
2ND & 10
OPP 36
+9
99.0%
Isaiah Jacobs run for 9 yds to the ALCN 27Similar
Q3 12:39
3RD & 1
OPP 27
+2
98.9%
Lee Beebe Jr. run for 2 yds to the ALCN 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:05
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+2
99.0%
Lee Beebe Jr. run for 2 yds to the ALCN 23Similar
Q3 11:37
2ND & 8
OPP 23
0
99.1%
Jacob Zeno pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 11:30
3RD & 8
OPP 23
0
99.0%
Jacob Zeno pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 11:26
4TH & 8
OPP 23
+41
99.5%
Jonah Delange 41 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALCNDrive 18PUNT
13 plays · 31 yds · 5:520% → 0%
Q3 11:10
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+4
99.6%
Brandon Rogers run for 4 yds to the ALCN 14Similar
Q3 10:43
2ND & 6
OWN 14
+7
99.6%
Xzavier Vaughn pass complete to Anthony Williams for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:13
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+4
99.6%
Brandon Rogers run for 4 yds to the ALCN 25Similar
Q3 9:48
2ND & 6
OWN 25
+6
99.6%
Xzavier Vaughn pass complete to Brandon Rogers for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:17
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+3
99.6%
Brandon Rogers run for 3 yds to the ALCN 34Similar
Q3 8:45
2ND & 7
OWN 34
+4
99.7%
Tavarious Griffin run for 4 yds to the ALCN 38Similar
Q3 8:04
3RD & 3
OWN 38
+3
99.7%
Xzavier Vaughn run for 3 yds to the ALCN 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:21
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+2
99.7%
Brandon Rogers run for 2 yds to the ALCN 39Similar
Q3 6:47
2ND & 12
OWN 39
-6
99.7%
Xzavier Vaughn sacked by Desmond Little for a loss of 6 yards to the ALCN 33Similar
Q3 5:57
3RD & 18
OWN 33
+8
99.8%
Xzavier Vaughn run for 8 yds to the ALCN 41Similar
Q3 5:18
4TH & 10
OWN 41
0
99.8%
Elijah Gorman punt for 44 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 19PUNT
4 plays · -2 yds · 0:39100% → 100%
Q3 5:11
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+6
99.8%
Lee Beebe Jr. run for 6 yds to the UAB 21Similar
Q3 4:51
2ND & 4
OWN 21
-4
99.8%
UAB Penalty, Intentional Grounding (Jacob Zeno) to the UAB 13Similar
Q3 4:44
3RD & 12
OWN 13
0
99.8%
Jacob Zeno pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 4:32
4TH & 12
OWN 13
0
99.8%
Patrick Foley punt for 64 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALCNDrive 20PUNT
6 plays · 18 yds · 2:270% → 0%
Q3 4:22
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+3
99.8%
Jacorian Sewell run for 3 yds to the ALCN 26Similar
Q3 3:46
2ND & 7
OWN 26
+9
99.8%
Xzavier Vaughn run for 9 yds to the ALCN 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:07
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+6
99.8%
Xzavier Vaughn pass complete to Omarion BlakesSimilar
Q3 2:40
2ND & 4
OWN 41
0
99.8%
Cameron Stewart run for no gain to the ALCN 41Similar
Q3 2:00
3RD & 4
OWN 41
0
99.9%
Xzavier Vaughn pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 1:55
4TH & 4
OWN 41
0
99.9%
Elijah Gorman punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Kam Shanks at the UAB 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 21FG
13 plays · 75 yds · 4:22100% → 100%
Q3 1:46
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+14
99.9%
Lee Beebe Jr. run for 14 yds to the UAB 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:19
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+6
99.9%
Jacob Zeno pass complete to Terrell McDonaldSimilar
Q3 0:58
2ND & 4
OWN 39
+10
99.9%
Lee Beebe Jr. run for 10 yds to the UAB 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:32
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+6
99.9%
Lee Beebe Jr. run for 6 yds to the ALCN 45Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 4
OPP 45
+2
99.9%
Lee Witherspoon run for 2 yds to the ALCN 43Similar
Q4 14:52
3RD & 2
OPP 43
+2
99.9%
Lee Beebe Jr. run for 2 yds to the ALCN 45Similar
Q4 14:15
4TH & 4
OPP 45
+22
99.9%
Jacob Zeno pass complete to Malachi Holt-Bennett for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:50
1ST & 10
OPP 23
0
99.9%
Jacob Zeno pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 13:43
2ND & 10
OPP 23
+11
99.9%
Lee Witherspoon run for 11 yds to the ALCN 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:26
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+3
99.9%
Lee Witherspoon run for 3 yds to the ALCN 9Similar
Q4 12:58
2ND & 7
OPP 9
+3
99.9%
Lee Witherspoon run for 3 yds to the ALCN 6Similar
Q4 12:28
3RD & 4
OPP 6
0
99.9%
Jacob Zeno pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 12:24
4TH & 4
OPP 6
+24
99.9%
Jonah Delange 24 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALCNDrive 22PUNT RETURN TD
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:290% → 0%
Q4 12:18
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.9%
Xzavier Vaughn pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 12:10
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
99.9%
Xzavier Vaughn pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 12:03
3RD & 10
OWN 25
0
99.9%
Xzavier Vaughn pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 11:49
4TH & 10
OWN 25
+57
99.9%
Elijah Gorman punt for 32 yds , Kam Shanks returns for 57 yds for a TD (Jonah Delange KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALCNDrive 23PUNT
7 plays · -4 yds · 1:330% → 0%
Q4 11:31
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+2
99.9%
Brandon Rogers run for 2 yds to the ALCN 18Similar
Q4 11:03
2ND & 8
OWN 18
0
100.0%
Xzavier Vaughn pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 10:52
3RD & 8
OWN 18
-1
100.0%
Xzavier Vaughn sacked by James Smyre for a loss of 1 yard to the ALCN 17Similar
Q4 10:23
4TH & 9
OWN 17
-5
100.0%
PENALTY ASU Illegal Substitution 5 yards from ASU17 to ASU12. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 9:58
4TH & 14
OWN 12
+36
100.0%
Elijah Gorman punt for 52 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the ALCN 28 , Kam Shanks returns for 36 yds to the ALCN 48 UAB Penalty, Illegal Block (J'Quan Mason) to the ALCN 28Similar
Q4 9:58
4TH & 14
OWN 12
+36
100.0%
Elijah Gorman punt for 52 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the UAB 28 , Kam Shanks returns for 36 yds to the UAB 48 UAB Penalty, Illegal Block (J'Quan Mason) to the UAB 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 24DOWNS
9 plays · 54 yds · 3:41100% → 100%
Q4 9:42
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+3
99.9%
Jacob Zeno pass complete to Bryce DamousSimilar
Q4 9:19
2ND & 7
OWN 31
+11
99.9%
Jacob Zeno pass complete to Kam Shanks for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:51
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+8
99.9%
Jacob Zeno pass complete to Lee Witherspoon to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 8:32
2ND & 2
50
+8
99.9%
Lee Witherspoon run for 8 yds to the ALCN 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:58
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+16
99.9%
Solomon Beebe run for 16 yds to the ALCN 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:23
1ST & 10
OPP 26
0
99.9%
Jacob Zeno pass complete to Lee WitherspoonSimilar
Q4 6:51
2ND & 10
OPP 26
+8
99.9%
Solomon Beebe run for 8 yds to the ALCN 18Similar
Q4 6:30
3RD & 2
OPP 18
+1
99.9%
Solomon Beebe run for 1 yd to the ALCN 19Similar
Q4 6:01
4TH & 3
OPP 19
+1
99.9%
Solomon Beebe run for 1 yd to the ALCN 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALCNDrive 25PUNT
7 plays · 38 yds · 3:150% → 0%
Q4 5:47
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+6
100.0%
Roderick Hartsfield Jr. run for 6 yds to the ALCN 24Similar
Q4 5:03
2ND & 4
OWN 24
0
100.0%
Cameron Stewart run for no gain to the ALCN 24Similar
Q4 4:25
3RD & 4
OWN 24
+31
100.0%
Roderick Hartsfield Jr. pass complete to Deablo Mcgee for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:00
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+2
100.0%
Cameron Stewart run for 2 yds to the UAB 43Similar
Q4 3:22
2ND & 8
OPP 43
0
100.0%
Roderick Hartsfield Jr. pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 3:16
3RD & 8
OPP 43
+1
100.0%
Roderick Hartsfield Jr. run for 1 yd to the UAB 44Similar
Q4 2:32
4TH & 9
OPP 44
0
100.0%
Elijah Gorman punt for 34 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 26END OF GAME
11 plays · 66 yds · 2:22100% → 100%
Q4 2:22
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+9
100.0%
Armoni Goodwin run for 9 yds to the UAB 19Similar
Q4 2:00
2ND & 1
OWN 19
+1
100.0%
Armoni Goodwin run for 1 yd to the UAB 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:52
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+8
100.0%
Armoni Goodwin run for 8 yds to the UAB 28Similar
Q4 1:26
2ND & 2
OWN 28
+5
100.0%
Jacob Zeno pass complete to Kam Shanks for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:26
1ST & 10
OWN 33
-5
100.0%
PENALTY UAB False Start (Townsend,Delano) 5 yards from UAB33 to UAB28. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 1:18
1ST & 15
OWN 28
+7
100.0%
Armoni Goodwin run for 7 yds to the UAB 35Similar
Q4 1:09
2ND & 8
OWN 35
+26
100.0%
Armoni Goodwin run for 26 yds to the ALCN 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:57
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+6
100.0%
Solomon Beebe run for 6 yds to the ALCN 33Similar
Q4 0:34
2ND & 4
OPP 33
+2
100.0%
Solomon Beebe run for 2 yds to the ALCN 31Similar
Q4 0:00
3RD & 2
OPP 31
+7
100.0%
Solomon Beebe run for 7 yds to the ALCN 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 6:26
Amare Thomas 15 Yd pass from Jacob Zeno (Jonah Delange Kick)
+1.7
TD · Q2 1:30
Lee Beebe Jr. run for 2 yds for a TD (Jonah Delange KICK)
+1.5
FG · Q1 2:36
Noah Kiani 29 yd FG GOOD
-0.7
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com