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WAG

Wagner 7 at Massachusetts 35

MASS
2024 · Week 9 · Oct 26, 2024 · Warren McGuirk Alumni Stadium
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Win probability · MASS
modelMASS aheadWAG aheadconfidence bandkey playMASS scoreWAG score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 0:00 · Gavin Hatfield run for 2 yds to the WAG 37
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsGarbage-time factorBlowout margin
+44.0+22.00−22.0−44.0Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 12:54: Taisun Phommachanh run for 3 yds for a TD (Jacob Lurie KICK) — MASS win probability +1.5 pts (now 94%) (top driver: MASS has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 12:54: Timeout Massachusetts, clock 12:54 — WAG win probability +1.3 pts (now 7%) (top driver: WAG has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 0:22: Taisun Phommachanh run for 4 yds for a TD Wagner Penalty, Defensive Offside (Sekou Kamau) declined (Jacob Lurie KICK) — MASS win probability +3.6 pts (now 97%) (top driver: MASS has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 4:52: Andre Hines Jr. run for 7 yds for a TD (Matthew Schwindt KICK) — WAG win probability +6.8 pts (now 10%) (top driver: WAG has the ball).
  5. KEY PLAY · Q4 13:18: CJ Hester run for 4 yds to the MASS 11 — MASS win probability +5.6 pts (now 98%) (top driver: MASS has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
MASS made the numbers' call on 2 of 3WAG made the numbers' call on 2 of 6
  1. Q1 12:16WAG 4th & 9 at WAG 38, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 7.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.8%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    7.9%
    average punt
  2. Q1 7:18WAG 4th & 4 at WAG 47, down 7
    Close callPunted · 8.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.4%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    8.4%−<0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 3:14MASS 4th & 2 at MASS 49, up 7
    Close callPunted · 91.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    91.1%
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    90.9%−0.2
    average punt
  4. Q2 4:01WAG 4th & 7 at MASS 29, down 14
    Close callWent for it · 8.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    8.4%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    8.5%
    58% to make
    Punt
    7.1%−1.3
    average punt
  5. Q3 2:47MASS 4th & 14 at MASS 21, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 94.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    93.7%−1.8
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    95.5%
    average punt
  6. Q4 13:18WAG 4th & 5 at MASS 10, down 14
    Close callWent for it · 6.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    6.2%−0.4
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    6.6%
    88% to make
    Punt
    1.6%−5.0
    average punt
  7. Q4 10:49MASS 4th & 6 at MASS 27, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 95.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.6%−0.2
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    95.8%
    average punt
  8. Q4 7:58WAG 4th & 7 at WAG 18, down 14
    Close callPunted · 5.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.3%
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.2%−0.1
    average punt
  9. Q4 5:14WAG 4th & 12 at WAG 23, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.5%−0.1
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.7%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
MASS made the numbers' call on 4 of 4WAG made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 10:27MASS Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    92.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    92.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 12:54MASS Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    92.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    92.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 0:22MASS Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 4:52WAG Touchdown, down 15 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    5.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    5.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 2:15MASS Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
MASSDrive 1INT
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:0094% → 94%
Q1 14:52
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
93.7%
Taisun Phommachanh pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAGDrive 2PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 2:366% → 7%
Q1 14:52
1ST & 10
OWN 37
-10
93.7%
No Huddle-Shotgun Spruill,Rickey rush left for 8 yards gain to the Wagner45 (Rudolph,Tyler) PENALTY Wagner Holding (Sneh,Brandon) 10 yards from Wagner37 to Wagner27. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 14:52
1ST & 20
OWN 27
+8
93.7%
Rickey Spruill run for 8 yds to the WAG 35Similar
Q1 14:52
2ND & 12
OWN 35
+3
93.7%
Rickey Spruill run for 3 yds to the WAG 38Similar
Q1 14:52
3RD & 9
OWN 38
0
93.7%
Jake Cady run for no gain to the WAG 38Similar
Q1 12:16
4TH & 9
OWN 38
0
93.1%
Bailey Marzola punt for 54 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 3TD
5 plays · 92 yds · 1:4993% → 93%
Q1 12:16
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+4
93.1%
Taisun Phommachanh pass complete to Jakobie Keeney-James for 4 yds to the MASS 12Similar
Q1 12:16
2ND & 6
OWN 12
+10
93.1%
Jalen John run for 10 yds to the MASS 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:16
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+42
93.1%
Jalen John run for 42 yds to the WAG 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:27
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+36
93.2%
Taisun Phommachanh pass complete to T.Y. Harding for 36 yds for a TD (Jacob Lurie KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAGDrive 4PUNT
7 plays · 16 yds · 3:007% → 8%
Q1 10:18
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+6
92.9%
Rickey Spruill run for 6 yds to the WAG 37Similar
Q1 10:18
2ND & 4
OWN 37
+4
92.9%
Jake Cady pass complete to Teree McDonald for 4 yds to the WAG 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:18
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+7
92.9%
Rickey Spruill run for 7 yds to the WAG 48Similar
Q1 10:18
2ND & 3
OWN 48
+1
92.9%
Jake Cady run for 1 yd to the WAG 47Similar
Q1 10:18
3RD & 4
OWN 47
0
92.9%
Jake Cady pass incomplete to Teree McDonaldSimilar
Q1 7:18
4TH & 4
OWN 47
+3
92.5%
Bailey Marzola punt for 43 yds , T.Y. Harding returns for 3 yds to the MASS 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 5PUNT
10 plays · 46 yds · 4:0493% → 92%
Q1 7:18
1ST & 10
OWN 3
+12
92.6%
CJ Hester run for 12 yds to the MASS 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:18
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+15
92.7%
CJ Hester run for 15 yds to the MASS 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:18
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+4
92.7%
CJ Hester run for 4 yds to the MASS 34Similar
Q1 7:18
2ND & 6
OWN 34
+7
92.7%
Taisun Phommachanh pass complete to Jacquon Gibson for 7 yds to the MASS 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:18
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+2
92.8%
CJ Hester run for 2 yds to the MASS 43Similar
Q1 7:18
2ND & 8
OWN 43
+5
92.8%
PENALTY Wagner Offside (Adeyemi,Olanrewaju) 5 yards from UMass43 to UMass48. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 7:18
2ND & 3
OWN 48
+2
92.9%
CJ Hester run for 2 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 7:18
3RD & 1
50
+1
92.8%
CJ Hester run for 1 yd to the MASS 49Similar
Q1 3:14
4TH & 2
OWN 49
0
91.9%
CJ Kolodziey punt for 22 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAGDrive 6INT
4 plays · -1 yds · 1:478% → 9%
Q1 3:14
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+2
91.7%
Sekou Kamau run for 2 yds to the WAG 27Similar
Q1 3:14
2ND & 12
OWN 27
+1
91.8%
Sekou Kamau run for 1 yd to the WAG 28Similar
Q1 1:27
3RD & 11
OWN 28
0
91.5%
Wagner Penalty, Ineligible Downfield on Pass (Yards) declinedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 7TD
8 plays · 44 yds · 3:3393% → 94%
Q1 1:27
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+2
92.8%
Taisun Phommachanh pass complete to Sterling Galban for 2 yds to the WAG 42Similar
Q1 1:27
2ND & 8
OPP 42
+6
92.8%
Brandon Campbell run for 6 yds to the WAG 36Similar
Q1 0:00
3RD & 2
OPP 36
+7
92.4%
Brandon Campbell run for 7 yds to the WAG 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+26
92.6%
Taisun Phommachanh pass complete to Dominick Mazotti for 26 yds to the WAG 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+6
92.6%
Taisun Phommachanh run for 6 yds to the WAG 9 Taisun Phommachanh fumbled, recovered by WAG Ethan MottingerSimilar
Q2 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
+6
92.6%
Brandon Campbell run for 6 yds to the WAG 3Similar
Q2 12:54
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
94.1%
Taisun Phommachanh run for 3 yds for a TD (Jacob Lurie KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAGDrive 8DOWNS
15 plays · 44 yds · 8:537% → 8%
Q2 12:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
92.7%
Rickey Spruill run for 3 yds to the WAG 22Similar
Q2 12:54
2ND & 13
OWN 22
+11
92.8%
Jack Stevens pass complete to Teree McDonald for 11 yds to the WAG 33Similar
Q2 12:54
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+7
92.7%
Jack Stevens run for 7 yds to the WAG 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:54
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+5
92.5%
Andre Hines Jr. run for 5 yds to the WAG 45Similar
Q2 12:54
2ND & 5
OWN 45
+4
92.4%
Andre Hines Jr. run for 4 yds to the WAG 49Similar
Q2 12:54
3RD & 1
OWN 49
+4
92.4%
Andre Hines Jr. run for 4 yds to the MASS 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:54
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+1
92.3%
Andre Hines Jr. run for 1 yd to the MASS 48Similar
Q2 12:54
2ND & 11
OPP 48
+1
92.5%
Rickey Spruill run for 1 yd to the MASS 49Similar
Q2 12:54
3RD & 12
OPP 49
+17
92.6%
Jack Stevens pass complete to Jeremiah Colclough for 17 yds to the MASS 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:54
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+6
92.1%
Rickey Spruill run for 6 yds to the MASS 26Similar
Q2 12:54
2ND & 4
OPP 26
-7
92.0%
Jack Stevens sacked by Louce Julien for a loss of 7 yards to the MASS 33Similar
Q2 4:50
3RD & 11
OPP 33
+4
92.4%
Jack Stevens pass complete to Malik Cooper for 4 yds to the MASS 29Similar
Q2 4:01
4TH & 7
OPP 29
+2
92.1%
Jack Stevens run for 2 yds to the MASS 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 9TD
18 plays · 69 yds · 3:3995% → 97%
Q2 4:01
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
94.5%
Taisun Phommachanh pass incomplete to Jakobie Keeney-JamesSimilar
Q2 4:01
2ND & 10
OWN 31
+11
94.5%
Taisun Phommachanh pass complete to T.Y. Harding for 11 yds to the MASS 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:01
1ST & 10
OWN 42
-10
94.8%
No Huddle-Shotgun Paradis,Jackson rush left for 15 yards gain to the Wagner43 (Martin,Sam) PENALTY UMass Holding (Rohme,Brayden) 10 yards from UMass42 to UMass32. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 4:01
1ST & 20
OWN 32
0
94.5%
Taisun Phommachanh pass incomplete to Jacquon GibsonSimilar
Q2 4:01
2ND & 20
OWN 32
+6
94.4%
Taisun Phommachanh run for 6 yds to the MASS 38Similar
Q2 4:01
3RD & 14
OWN 38
+17
94.3%
Taisun Phommachanh run for 17 yds to the WAG 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:00
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
95.1%
Taisun Phommachanh pass incomplete to Jakobie Keeney-JamesSimilar
Q2 2:00
2ND & 10
OPP 45
0
95.1%
Taisun Phommachanh pass incomplete to Jakobie Keeney-JamesSimilar
Q2 2:00
3RD & 10
OPP 45
+21
94.8%
Taisun Phommachanh pass complete to Dominick Mazotti for 21 yds to the WAG 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:00
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+8
94.5%
Taisun Phommachanh pass complete to Jakobie Keeney-James for 8 yds to the WAG 16Similar
Q2 2:00
2ND & 2
OPP 16
+6
93.6%
Jackson Paradis run for 6 yds to the WAG 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+4
94.2%
Taisun Phommachanh run for 4 yds to the WAG 6Similar
Q2 0:35
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+2
94.2%
Taisun Phommachanh run for 2 yds to the WAG 4Similar
Q2 0:22
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
97.2%
Taisun Phommachanh run for 4 yds for a TD Wagner Penalty, Defensive Offside (Sekou Kamau) declined (Jacob Lurie KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAGDrive 10END OF HALF
2 plays · -1 yds · 0:003% → 3%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
97.2%
Kneel down by Wagner at Wagner24 for loss of 1 yard.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAGDrive 11TD
18 plays · 75 yds · 10:083% → 10%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
96.8%
Andre Hines Jr. run for 2 yds to the WAG 27Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+6
96.8%
Andre Hines Jr. run for 6 yds to the WAG 33Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+2
96.7%
Andre Hines Jr. run for 2 yds to the WAG 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+3
96.7%
Rickey Spruill run for 3 yds to the WAG 38Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 38
+4
96.6%
Rickey Spruill run for 4 yds to the WAG 42Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 3
OWN 42
+13
96.6%
Andre Hines Jr. run for 13 yds to the MASS 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+8
96.5%
Andre Hines Jr. run for 8 yds to the MASS 37Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 2
OPP 37
+5
96.4%
Rickey Spruill run for 5 yds to the MASS 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+6
96.3%
Malik Cooper run for 6 yds to the MASS 38Similar
Q3 8:35
2ND & 16
OPP 38
+6
97.2%
Rickey Spruill run for 6 yds to the MASS 32Similar
Q3 8:35
3RD & 10
OPP 32
-10
97.1%
Shotgun Stevens,Jack pass incomplete short right to McDonald,Teree thrown to UMass20 PENALTY Wagner Holding (Sneh,Brandon) 10 yards from UMass32 to UMass42. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 8:35
3RD & 20
OPP 42
+21
97.4%
Rickey Spruill run for 21 yds to the MASS 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:35
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+7
96.8%
Rickey Spruill run for 7 yds to the MASS 14Similar
Q3 8:35
2ND & 3
OPP 14
+1
96.8%
Andre Hines Jr. run for 1 yd to the MASS 13Similar
Q3 8:35
3RD & 2
OPP 13
+6
97.0%
Jack Stevens run for 6 yds to the MASS 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:52
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
90.2%
Andre Hines Jr. run for 7 yds for a TD (Matthew Schwindt KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 12PUNT
7 plays · -4 yds · 2:0593% → 95%
Q3 4:52
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-10
93.2%
No Huddle-Shotgun John,Jalen rush right for 14 yards gain to the UMass39 (Martin,Sam) PENALTY UMass Holding (Mottinger,Ethan) 10 yards from UMass25 to UMass15. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 4:52
1ST & 20
OWN 15
+6
93.1%
CJ Hester run for 6 yds to the MASS 21Similar
Q3 4:52
2ND & 14
OWN 21
0
93.1%
Taisun Phommachanh pass incomplete to Jakobie Keeney-JamesSimilar
Q3 3:33
3RD & 14
OWN 21
0
93.9%
Taisun Phommachanh pass incomplete to T.Y. HardingSimilar
Q3 2:47
4TH & 14
OWN 21
0
95.0%
CJ Kolodziey punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Mark Didio at the WAG 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAGDrive 13DOWNS
10 plays · 46 yds · 4:298% → 8%
Q3 2:47
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+2
91.6%
Rickey Spruill run for 2 yds to the WAG 49Similar
Q3 2:47
2ND & 8
OWN 49
+2
91.5%
Rickey Spruill run for 2 yds to the MASS 49Similar
Q3 2:47
3RD & 6
OPP 49
+20
91.6%
Jack Stevens pass complete to Malik Cooper for 20 yds to the MASS 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+6
91.5%
Rickey Spruill run for 6 yds to the MASS 23Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 4
OPP 23
+8
91.5%
Jack Stevens run for 8 yds to the MASS 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+5
91.4%
Andre Hines Jr. run for 5 yds to the MASS 10Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 5
OPP 10
0
91.4%
Jack Stevens pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 13:30
3RD & 5
OPP 10
0
91.6%
Jack Stevens pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 13:18
4TH & 5
OPP 10
+3
92.0%
Joshua Brown run for 3 yds to the MASS 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 14PUNT
6 plays · 20 yds · 2:2998% → 98%
Q4 13:18
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+4
97.6%
CJ Hester run for 4 yds to the MASS 11Similar
Q4 13:18
2ND & 6
OWN 11
+12
97.5%
Taisun Phommachanh pass complete to Jakobie Keeney-James for 12 yds to the MASS 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:18
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+2
97.4%
CJ Hester run for 2 yds to the MASS 25Similar
Q4 13:18
2ND & 8
OWN 25
+2
97.4%
Taisun Phommachanh pass complete to T.Y. Harding for 2 yds to the MASS 27Similar
Q4 13:18
3RD & 6
OWN 27
0
97.4%
Taisun Phommachanh pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 10:49
4TH & 6
OWN 27
0
97.7%
CJ Kolodziey punt for 58 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAGDrive 15PUNT RETURN TD
4 plays · 3 yds · 2:517% → 1%
Q4 10:49
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+2
93.5%
Rickey Spruill run for 2 yds to the WAG 17Similar
Q4 10:49
2ND & 8
OWN 17
-5
93.5%
Jack Stevens sacked by Kofi Asare for a loss of 5 yards to the WAG 12Similar
Q4 10:49
3RD & 13
OWN 12
+6
93.7%
Rickey Spruill run for 6 yds to the WAG 18Similar
Q4 7:58
4TH & 7
OWN 18
+58
99.1%
Bailey Marzola punt for 40 yds , T.Y. Harding returns for 58 yds for a TD (Jacob Lurie KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAGDrive 16PUNT
6 plays · -2 yds · 2:441% → 1%
Q4 7:58
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.1%
Julio Tatis run for no gain to the WAG 25Similar
Q4 7:58
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+3
99.1%
Julio Tatis run for 3 yds to the WAG 28Similar
Q4 7:58
3RD & 7
OWN 28
0
99.1%
Julio Tatis run for no gain to the WAG 28Similar
Q4 7:58
4TH & 7
OWN 28
-5
99.1%
PENALTY Wagner False Start (Smith,Justin) 5 yards from Wagner28 to Wagner23. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 5:14
4TH & 12
OWN 23
+18
99.4%
Bailey Marzola punt for 39 yds , T.Y. Harding returns for 18 yds to the WAG 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 17TD
5 plays · 44 yds · 2:59100% → 100%
Q4 5:14
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+17
99.7%
Brandon Campbell run for 17 yds to the WAG 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:14
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+7
99.7%
Brandon Campbell run for 7 yds to the WAG 20Similar
Q4 5:14
2ND & 3
OPP 20
+8
99.7%
Brandon Campbell run for 8 yds to the WAG 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:14
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+8
99.7%
Brandon Campbell run for 8 yds to the WAG 4Similar
Q4 2:15
2ND & 2
OPP 4
+4
100.0%
Brandon Campbell run for 4 yds for a TD (Jacob Lurie KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAGDrive 18END OF GAME
6 plays · 12 yds · 2:150% → 0%
Q4 2:15
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
100.0%
David Lonergan run for 3 yds to the WAG 28Similar
Q4 2:00
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+6
100.0%
David Lonergan run for 6 yds to the WAG 34Similar
Q4 2:00
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+1
99.9%
Gavin Hatfield run for 1 yd to the WAG 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+2
100.0%
Gavin Hatfield run for 2 yds to the WAG 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 4:52
Andre Hines Jr. run for 7 yds for a TD (Matthew Schwindt KICK)
-6.8
KEY PLAY · Q4 13:18
CJ Hester run for 4 yds to the MASS 11
+5.6
TD · Q2 0:22
Taisun Phommachanh run for 4 yds for a TD Wagner Penalty, Defensive Offside (Sekou Kamau) declined (Jacob Lurie KICK)
+3.6
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com