Try the model
CMU

Central Michigan 16 at Northern Illinois 24

NIU
2024 · Week 14 · Nov 30, 2024 · Huskie Stadium
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · NIU
modelNIU aheadCMU aheadconfidence bandkey playNIU scoreCMU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDFGFGTDFGFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 1:29 · David Chapeau punt for 47 yds , Dane Pardridge returns for 21 yds to the NIU 33
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore differentialBlowout margin
+34.0+17.00−17.0−34.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 121Pregame prior+10.5Home team on offense+11.4Garbage-time factor+1.9Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+3.2Score differential+3.6Blowout margin+1.2
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 2:23: Telly Johnson Jr. 4 Yd Run (Kanon Woodill Kick) — NIU win probability +4.7 pts (now 90%) (top driver: NIU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 13:44: Jesse Prewitt III 3 Yd pass from Jadyn Glasser (Tristan Mattson PAT blocked) — CMU win probability +3.9 pts (now 17%) (top driver: CMU has the ball).
  3. FG · Q2 6:24: Timeout Northern Illinois, clock 06:24 — NIU win probability +5.1 pts (now 90%) (top driver: NIU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 1:56: Jesse Prewitt III 6 Yd pass from Jadyn Glasser (Tristan Mattson Kick) — CMU win probability +9.1 pts (now 24%) (top driver: Defense has -2 timeouts left).
  5. FG · Q3 6:13: Kanon Woodill 26 Yd Field Goal — NIU win probability +5.8 pts (now 86%) (top driver: NIU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
NIU made the numbers' call on 5 of 9CMU made the numbers' call on 8 of 8
  1. Q1 13:29CMU 4th & 9 at CMU 26, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 16.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    16.9%−0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    17.0%
    average punt
  2. Q1 10:42NIU 4th & 1 at CMU 24, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 82.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    82.4%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    82.2%−0.1
    68% to make
    Punt
    81.8%−0.5
    average punt
  3. Q1 9:06CMU 4th & 7 at CMU 21, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 17.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    17.0%−0.1
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    17.2%
    average punt
  4. Q1 4:47CMU 4th & 18 at CMU 17, down 12
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 16.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    16.0%−0.6
    12% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    16.6%
    average punt
  5. Q2 11:34NIU 4th & 8 at NIU 22, up 15
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 86.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    85.9%−0.5
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    86.4%
    average punt
  6. Q2 6:24CMU 4th & 13 at NIU 22, down 15
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 13.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.2%−0.7
    19% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    12.9%
    72% to make
    Punt
    10.7%−2.1
    average punt
  7. Q2 4:55NIU 4th & 3 at NIU 34, up 12
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 86.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    86.4%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    86.3%−0.1
    average punt
  8. Q2 2:00CMU 4th & 1 at NIU 8, down 12
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 14.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    15.2%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    13.7%−1.5
    90% to make
    Punt
    10.3%−4.9
    average punt
  9. Q2 0:21NIU 4th & 9 at CMU 25, up 5
    Numbers favored field goal by 1.3 ptsWent for it · 79.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    78.0%−1.3
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    79.2%
    66% to make
    Punt
    75.8%−3.4
    average punt
  10. Q3 6:13NIU 4th & 5 at CMU 9, up 5
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 78.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    77.6%−0.4
    36% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    78.0%
    89% to make
    Punt
    68.6%−9.4
    average punt
  11. Q3 3:51NIU 4th & 3 at CMU 23, up 8
    Close callKicked a field goal · 87.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    87.1%
    52% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    86.4%−0.7
    70% to make
    Punt
    79.7%−7.4
    average punt
  12. Q3 1:29CMU 4th & 8 at CMU 25, down 8
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 12.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.0%−1.8
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    13.8%
    average punt
  13. Q4 12:51NIU 4th & 4 at CMU 21, up 8
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 88.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    88.5%
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    88.1%−0.4
    74% to make
    Punt
    79.9%−8.7
    average punt
  14. Q4 5:31NIU 4th & 10 at CMU 33, up 8
    Close callWent for it · 92.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    91.6%−0.3
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    91.9%
    49% to make
    Punt
    90.9%−1.0
    average punt
  15. Q4 5:31NIU 4th & 10 at CMU 33, up 8
    Close callWent for it · 92.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    91.6%−0.3
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    91.9%
    49% to make
    Punt
    90.9%−1.0
    average punt
  16. Q4 2:44CMU 4th & 9 at CMU 47, down 8
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 9.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    7.1%
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    5.6%−1.5
    average punt
  17. Q4 1:39CMU 4th & 12 at NIU 46, down 8
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 7.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    5.8%
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    4.7%−1.1
    23% to make
    Punt
    4.6%−1.2
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
NIU made the numbers' call on 2 of 3CMU made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 10:42NIU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    82.9%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    82.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 6:55NIU Touchdown, up 12 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    83.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    83.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 2:23NIU Touchdown, up 18 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    88.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    88.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 13:44CMU Touchdown, down 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    14.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    14.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 1:56CMU Touchdown, down 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    20.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    20.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
CMUDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 1:2316% → 16%
Q1 14:52
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
84.0%
Marion Lukes run for 1 yd to the CMU 26Similar
Q1 14:17
2ND & 9
OWN 26
0
83.8%
Marion Lukes run for no gain to the CMU 26Similar
Q1 13:37
3RD & 9
OWN 26
0
83.7%
Jadyn Glasser pass incomplete to Jesse Prewitt IIISimilar
Q1 13:29
4TH & 9
OWN 26
0
83.7%
David Chapeau punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Dane Pardridge at the NIU 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 2TD
6 plays · 66 yds · 2:4584% → 84%
Q1 13:27
1ST & 10
OWN 34
0
83.6%
Ethan Hampton pass incomplete to Trayvon RudolphSimilar
Q1 13:19
2ND & 10
OWN 34
+33
83.6%
Telly Johnson Jr. run for 33 yds to the CMU 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:49
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+5
83.6%
Justin Lynch run for 5 yds to the CMU 28Similar
Q1 12:05
2ND & 5
OPP 28
+2
83.5%
Telly Johnson Jr. run for 2 yds to the CMU 26Similar
Q1 11:23
3RD & 3
OPP 26
+2
83.3%
Ethan Hampton pass complete to Trayvon Rudolph for 2 yds to the CMU 24Similar
Q1 10:42
4TH & 1
OPP 24
+24
83.7%
Gavin Williams 24 Yd Run (Two-Point Pass Conversion Failed)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 3PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 1:2317% → 17%
Q1 10:29
1ST & 10
OWN 18
0
83.4%
Jadyn Glasser pass incomplete to Tommy McIntoshSimilar
Q1 10:19
2ND & 10
OWN 18
+1
83.4%
Myles Bailey run for 1 yd to the CMU 19Similar
Q1 9:40
3RD & 9
OWN 19
+2
83.4%
Jadyn Glasser pass complete to Myles Bailey for 2 yds to the CMU 21Similar
Q1 9:06
4TH & 7
OWN 21
0
83.5%
David Chapeau punt for 15 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the CMU 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 4TD
8 plays · 36 yds · 2:1184% → 85%
Q1 9:06
1ST & 10
OPP 36
-5
83.8%
PENALTY NIU False Start 5 yards from CMU36 to CMU41. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 8:58
1ST & 15
OPP 41
+7
83.5%
Telly Johnson Jr. run for 7 yds to the CMU 34Similar
Q1 8:16
2ND & 8
OPP 34
+1
83.7%
Telly Johnson Jr. run for 1 yd to the CMU 33Similar
Q1 7:47
3RD & 7
OPP 33
0
83.4%
Ethan Hampton pass incomplete to Trayvon RudolphSimilar
Q1 7:44
4TH & 7
OPP 33
+15
83.2%
(07:45) Shotgun Hampton,Ethan pass incomplete short right to Thompson,Cam thrown to CMU15 PENALTY CMU Pass Interference 15 yards from CMU33 to CMU18, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 7:37
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+2
83.5%
Telly Johnson Jr. run for 2 yds to the CMU 16Similar
Q1 6:55
2ND & 8
OPP 16
+16
85.2%
Ethan Hampton 16 Yd Run (Kanon Woodill PAT failed)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 5PUNT
5 plays · -8 yds · 2:0116% → 16%
Q1 6:48
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
83.8%
B.J. Harris run for 2 yds to the CMU 27Similar
Q1 6:07
2ND & 8
OWN 27
-8
83.7%
Solomon Davis run for a loss of 8 yards to the CMU 19Similar
Q1 5:26
3RD & 16
OWN 19
-2
83.9%
B.J. Harris run for a loss of 2 yards to the CMU 17Similar
Q1 4:47
4TH & 18
OWN 17
+6
83.9%
David Chapeau punt for 55 yds , Dane Pardridge returns for 6 yds to the NIU 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 6TD
6 plays · 66 yds · 2:0185% → 90%
Q1 4:24
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+48
84.9%
Ethan Hampton pass complete to Trayvon Rudolph for 48 yds to the CMU 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:06
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+5
85.4%
PENALTY CMU Offside 5 yards from CMU18 to CMU13. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 3:34
1ST & 5
OPP 13
0
85.3%
Ethan Hampton pass complete to Dane Pardridge for no gain to the CMU 13Similar
Q1 3:00
2ND & 5
OPP 13
+9
85.4%
Gavin Williams run for 9 yds to the CMU 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:23
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
90.1%
Telly Johnson Jr. 4 Yd Run (Kanon Woodill Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 7TD
9 plays · 72 yds · 3:3012% → 17%
Q1 2:14
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+15
87.7%
(02:17) No Huddle-Shotgun Glasser,Jadyn pass incomplete short right to Prewitt III,Jesse thrown to CMU38 PENALTY NIU Personal Foul 15 yards from CMU28 to CMU43, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 2:07
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+11
87.6%
Marion Lukes run for 11 yds to the NIU 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:20
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+15
87.3%
Marion Lukes run for 15 yds to the NIU 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:43
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+16
87.3%
Marion Lukes run for 16 yds to the NIU 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 15
-1
87.3%
Marion Lukes run for a loss of 1 yard to the NIU 16Similar
Q2 14:53
2ND & 11
OPP 16
+8
87.4%
Myles Bailey run for 8 yds to the NIU 8Similar
Q2 14:17
3RD & 3
OPP 8
+5
87.5%
Myles Bailey run for 5 yds to the NIU 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:44
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
83.5%
Jesse Prewitt III 3 Yd pass from Jadyn Glasser (Tristan Mattson PAT blocked)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 8PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 1:5387% → 86%
Q2 13:27
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+1
86.5%
Jaylen Poe run for 1 yd to the NIU 21Similar
Q2 12:50
2ND & 9
OWN 21
+4
86.4%
Ethan Hampton pass complete to Cam Thompson for 4 yds to the NIU 25Similar
Q2 12:10
3RD & 5
OWN 25
-3
86.3%
Ethan Hampton sacked for a loss of 3 yards to the NIU 22Similar
Q2 11:34
4TH & 8
OWN 22
0
86.0%
Tom Foley punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Donte Kent at the CMU 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 9FG
12 plays · 34 yds · 5:0115% → 15%
Q2 11:25
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
85.4%
Jadyn Glasser pass incomplete to Jesse Prewitt IIISimilar
Q2 11:19
2ND & 10
OWN 44
+4
85.5%
B.J. Harris run for 4 yds to the CMU 48Similar
Q2 10:23
3RD & 6
OWN 48
+9
85.3%
Jadyn Glasser pass complete to Solomon Davis for 9 yds to the NIU 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:53
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+3
85.3%
B.J. Harris run for 3 yds to the NIU 40Similar
Q2 9:13
2ND & 7
OPP 40
+9
85.1%
B.J. Harris run for 9 yds to the NIU 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:28
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+12
84.5%
Marion Lukes run for 12 yds to the NIU 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:53
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+2
84.2%
Marion Lukes run for 2 yds to the NIU 17Similar
Q2 7:10
2ND & 8
OPP 17
-5
84.2%
Jadyn Glasser sacked for a loss of 5 yards to the NIU 22Similar
Q2 6:28
3RD & 13
OPP 22
0
85.7%
Jadyn Glasser pass incomplete to Tommy McIntoshSimilar
Q2 6:24
4TH & 13
OPP 22
+40
84.7%
Tristan Mattson 40 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 10DOWNS
5 plays · 8 yds · 1:1690% → 89%
Q2 6:11
1ST & 10
OWN 27
0
89.8%
Justin Lynch run for no gain to the NIU 27Similar
Q2 5:35
2ND & 10
OWN 27
+7
89.8%
Telly Johnson Jr. run for 7 yds to the NIU 34Similar
Q2 4:59
3RD & 3
OWN 34
0
89.3%
Ethan Hampton pass incomplete to Gavin WilliamsSimilar
Q2 4:55
4TH & 3
OWN 34
+1
89.0%
Brock Lampe run for 1 yd to the NIU 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 11TD
8 plays · 35 yds · 2:4916% → 24%
Q2 4:45
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+9
83.9%
Jadyn Glasser pass complete to Myles Bailey for 9 yds to the NIU 26Similar
Q2 4:10
2ND & 1
OPP 26
+9
83.7%
Myles Bailey run for 9 yds to the NIU 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:31
1ST & 10
OPP 17
0
83.7%
Jadyn Glasser pass incomplete to Tommy McIntoshSimilar
Q2 3:23
2ND & 10
OPP 17
+2
83.8%
Myles Bailey run for 2 yds to the NIU 15Similar
Q2 2:28
3RD & 8
OPP 15
+7
84.4%
Jadyn Glasser pass complete to Nathan VanTimmeren for 7 yds to the NIU 8Similar
Q2 2:00
4TH & 1
OPP 8
+2
84.7%
Jadyn Glasser run for 2 yds to the NIU 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:56
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
76.3%
Jesse Prewitt III 6 Yd pass from Jadyn Glasser (Tristan Mattson Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 12DOWNS
11 plays · 52 yds · 1:1775% → 76%
Q2 1:38
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+5
75.4%
Justin Lynch run for 5 yds to the NIU 28Similar
Q2 1:21
2ND & 5
OWN 28
+20
75.4%
Justin Lynch run for 5 yds to the NIU 33 for a 1ST down Central Michigan Penalty, Personal Foul (Elijah Rikard) to the NIU 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:06
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+9
76.5%
Ethan Hampton pass complete to Gavin Williams for 9 yds to the CMU 43Similar
Q2 0:56
2ND & 1
OPP 43
+4
75.0%
Ethan Hampton pass complete to Gavin Williams for 4 yds to the CMU 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:45
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+13
75.0%
Ethan Hampton pass complete to Gavin Williams for 13 yds to the CMU 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:37
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+1
75.5%
Gavin Williams run for 1 yd to the CMU 25Similar
Q2 0:31
2ND & 9
OPP 25
0
78.0%
Ethan Hampton pass incomplete to Cam ThompsonSimilar
Q2 0:27
3RD & 9
OPP 25
0
77.6%
Ethan Hampton pass incomplete to Jaylen PoeSimilar
Q2 0:21
4TH & 9
OPP 25
0
76.2%
Kanon Woodill run for no gain to the CMU 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 13END OF HALF
5 plays · 31 yds · 0:1120% → 20%
Q2 0:11
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+20
79.8%
Jadyn Glasser pass complete to Marion Lukes for 20 yds to the CMU 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:05
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+11
81.0%
Marion Lukes run for 11 yds to the NIU 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
80.1%
Jadyn Glasser pass incomplete to Solomon DavisSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 14FG
19 plays · 66 yds · 8:4180% → 86%
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
79.7%
Telly Johnson Jr. run for 4 yds to the NIU 29Similar
Q3 14:13
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+13
79.7%
Ethan Hampton pass complete to Trayvon Rudolph for 13 yds to the NIU 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:40
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+3
80.8%
Telly Johnson Jr. run for 3 yds to the NIU 45Similar
Q3 13:04
2ND & 7
OWN 45
+7
80.9%
Ethan Hampton pass complete to Cam Thompson for 7 yds to the CMU 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:32
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
81.0%
Ethan Hampton pass incomplete to Brock LampeSimilar
Q3 12:24
2ND & 10
OPP 48
0
80.7%
Telly Johnson Jr. run for no gain to the CMU 48Similar
Q3 11:33
3RD & 10
OPP 48
+11
79.4%
Ethan Hampton pass complete to Trayvon Rudolph for 11 yds to the CMU 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:01
1ST & 10
OPP 37
0
80.8%
Trayvon Rudolph run for no gain to the CMU 37Similar
Q3 10:22
2ND & 10
OPP 37
+9
80.6%
Ethan Hampton pass complete to Dane Pardridge for 9 yds to the CMU 28Similar
Q3 9:41
3RD & 1
OPP 28
+2
80.4%
Brock Lampe run for 2 yds to the CMU 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:42
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+3
81.5%
Ethan Hampton pass complete to Trayvon Rudolph for 3 yds to the CMU 29Similar
Q3 8:10
2ND & 13
OPP 29
+9
80.9%
Ethan Hampton pass complete to Trayvon Rudolph for 9 yds to the CMU 20Similar
Q3 7:30
3RD & 4
OPP 20
+6
80.4%
Telly Johnson Jr. run for 6 yds to the CMU 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:52
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+5
81.4%
Ethan Hampton pass complete to Trayvon Rudolph for 5 yds to the CMU 9Similar
Q3 6:20
2ND & 5
OPP 9
0
81.4%
Ethan Hampton pass incomplete to Cam ThompsonSimilar
Q3 6:16
3RD & 5
OPP 9
0
80.4%
Ethan Hampton pass incomplete to Grayson BarnesSimilar
Q3 6:13
4TH & 5
OPP 9
+26
86.2%
Kanon Woodill 26 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 15FUMBLE
3 plays · 2 yds · 0:1017% → 16%
Q3 6:03
1ST & 10
OWN 28
0
83.3%
Jadyn Glasser pass incomplete to Solomon DavisSimilar
Q3 5:53
2ND & 10
OWN 28
+2
84.0%
Jadyn Glasser run for 2 yds to the CMU 30 Jadyn Glasser fumbled, recovered by NIU Nate ValcarcelSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 16MISSED FG
4 plays · 7 yds · 1:5488% → 87%
Q3 5:45
1ST & 10
OPP 30
-3
87.6%
Telly Johnson Jr. run for a loss of 3 yards to the CMU 33Similar
Q3 5:01
2ND & 13
OPP 33
+8
87.8%
Ethan Hampton pass complete to Trayvon Rudolph for 8 yds to the CMU 25Similar
Q3 4:24
3RD & 5
OPP 25
+2
87.8%
Gavin Williams run for 2 yds to the CMU 23Similar
Q3 3:51
4TH & 3
OPP 23
+40
86.8%
Kanon Woodill 40 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 17PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 2:1616% → 13%
Q3 3:45
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+6
84.2%
Marion Lukes run for 6 yds to the CMU 29Similar
Q3 3:03
2ND & 4
OWN 29
-10
85.0%
(03:09) No Huddle-Shotgun Lukes,Marion rush left for 4 yards gain to the CMU33 (Williams,Roy) PENALTY CMU Holding 10 yards from CMU29 to CMU19. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 2:37
2ND & 14
OWN 19
-5
86.2%
Jadyn Glasser sacked by Roy Williams for a loss of 5 yards to the CMU 14Similar
Q3 2:01
3RD & 19
OWN 14
+11
86.9%
Jadyn Glasser pass complete to Jesse Prewitt III for 11 yds to the CMU 25Similar
Q3 1:29
4TH & 8
OWN 25
+21
87.3%
David Chapeau punt for 47 yds , Dane Pardridge returns for 21 yds to the NIU 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 18DOWNS
9 plays · 30 yds · 3:3088% → 89%
Q3 1:21
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+17
87.5%
Telly Johnson Jr. run for 17 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:41
1ST & 10
50
-1
89.1%
Telly Johnson Jr. run for a loss of 1 yard to the NIU 49Similar
Q3 0:04
2ND & 11
OWN 49
+10
88.7%
(00:09) Shotgun Hampton,Ethan pass incomplete short right to Rudolph,Trayvon thrown to CMU38 PENALTY CMU Holding 10 yards from NIU49 to CMU41, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 41
0
89.3%
Justin Lynch run for no gain to the CMU 41Similar
Q4 14:43
2ND & 10
OPP 41
+14
89.1%
Ethan Hampton pass complete to Andrew McElroy for 14 yds to the CMU 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:16
1ST & 10
OPP 27
0
89.8%
Justin Lynch pass incomplete to Jaylen PoeSimilar
Q4 14:10
2ND & 10
OPP 27
-1
89.7%
Telly Johnson Jr. run for a loss of 1 yard to the CMU 28Similar
Q4 13:19
3RD & 11
OPP 28
+7
89.1%
Ethan Hampton pass complete to Andrew McElroy for 7 yds to the CMU 21Similar
Q4 12:51
4TH & 4
OPP 21
+16
88.5%
Grayson Barnes run for 16 yds to the CMU 37 Grayson Barnes fumbled, recovered by NIU Kanon WoodillSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 19INT
5 plays · 11 yds · 2:2015% → 15%
Q4 12:46
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
85.4%
Jadyn Glasser pass incomplete to Travis AmbroseSimilar
Q4 12:39
2ND & 10
OWN 37
+6
85.6%
B.J. Harris run for 6 yds to the CMU 43Similar
Q4 11:47
3RD & 4
OWN 43
+7
84.7%
Jadyn Glasser pass complete to B.J. Harris for 7 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:13
1ST & 10
50
-2
83.4%
B.J. Harris run for a loss of 2 yards to the CMU 48Similar
Q4 10:26
2ND & 12
OWN 48
-4
85.5%
Jadyn Glasser pass intercepted Jacob Finley return for 4 yds to the NIU 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 20DOWNS
12 plays · 31 yds · 4:5190% → 92%
Q4 10:22
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+4
89.6%
Ethan Hampton pass complete to Trayvon Rudolph for 4 yds to the NIU 40Similar
Q4 9:45
2ND & 6
OWN 40
+1
90.4%
Telly Johnson Jr. run for 1 yd to the NIU 41Similar
Q4 8:55
3RD & 5
OWN 41
+5
90.0%
Ethan Hampton pass complete to Grayson Barnes for 5 yds to the NIU 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:16
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
91.2%
Justin Lynch run for no gain to the NIU 46Similar
Q4 7:44
2ND & 10
OWN 46
+6
91.3%
(07:48) Shotgun Hampton,Ethan pass incomplete short right to McElroy,Andrew thrown to CMU47 PENALTY CMU Pass Interference 6 yards from NIU46 to CMU48, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 7:37
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+15
92.0%
Gavin Williams run for 15 yds to the CMU 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:01
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+1
92.0%
Telly Johnson Jr. run for 1 yd to the CMU 32Similar
Q4 6:20
2ND & 9
OPP 32
-1
92.4%
Telly Johnson Jr. run for a loss of 1 yard to the CMU 33Similar
Q4 5:39
3RD & 10
OPP 33
0
93.4%
Ethan Hampton pass incomplete to Trayvon RudolphSimilar
Q4 5:31
4TH & 10
OPP 33
0
92.3%
Ethan Hampton pass incomplete to Trayvon RudolphSimilar
Q4 5:31
4TH & 10
OPP 33
0
92.3%
Ethan Hampton pass incomplete to Trayvon RudolphSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 21DOWNS
14 plays · 21 yds · 3:4513% → 10%
Q4 5:24
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+3
87.2%
Myles Bailey run for 3 yds to the CMU 36Similar
Q4 4:43
2ND & 7
OWN 36
+2
87.2%
Marion Lukes run for 2 yds to the CMU 38Similar
Q4 4:00
3RD & 5
OWN 38
+8
87.4%
Jadyn Glasser pass complete to Jesse Prewitt III for 8 yds to the CMU 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:33
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+1
86.2%
Marion Lukes run for 1 yd to the CMU 47Similar
Q4 2:55
2ND & 9
OWN 47
0
86.6%
Jadyn Glasser pass incomplete to Solomon DavisSimilar
Q4 2:51
3RD & 9
OWN 47
0
87.5%
Jadyn Glasser pass incomplete to Jordyn WilliamsSimilar
Q4 2:44
4TH & 9
OWN 47
+9
88.7%
Jadyn Glasser pass complete to Jesse Prewitt III for 9 yds to the NIU 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:27
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+1
87.2%
Jadyn Glasser pass complete to Nathan VanTimmeren for 1 yd to the NIU 43Similar
Q4 2:01
2ND & 9
OPP 43
+2
87.6%
Marion Lukes run for 2 yds to the NIU 41Similar
Q4 1:54
3RD & 7
OPP 41
-5
86.5%
(02:00) No Huddle-Shotgun Glasser,Jadyn pass complete short right to Davis,Solomon caught at NIU30, for 11 yards to the NIU30, out of bounds at NIU30 PENALTY CMU Ineligible Downfield on Pass 5 yards from NIU41 to NIU46. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 1:48
3RD & 12
OPP 46
0
87.7%
Jadyn Glasser pass incomplete to Jordyn WilliamsSimilar
Q4 1:39
4TH & 12
OPP 46
0
90.0%
Jadyn Glasser pass incomplete to Solomon DavisSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 22END OF GAME
8 plays · 14 yds · 1:3598% → 99%
Q4 1:35
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+3
98.2%
Telly Johnson Jr. run for 3 yds to the NIU 49Similar
Q4 1:28
2ND & 7
OWN 49
-1
98.8%
Telly Johnson Jr. run for a loss of 1 yard to the NIU 48Similar
Q4 1:22
3RD & 8
OWN 48
+14
98.8%
Gavin Williams run for 14 yds to the CMU 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:52
1ST & 10
OPP 38
-1
98.9%
E. Hampton takes a kneeSimilar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 11
OPP 39
-1
98.9%
E. Hampton takes a kneeSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 1:56
Jesse Prewitt III 6 Yd pass from Jadyn Glasser (Tristan Mattson Kick)
-9.1
FG · Q3 6:13
Kanon Woodill 26 Yd Field Goal
+5.8
FG · Q2 6:24
Timeout Northern Illinois, clock 06:24
+5.1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com