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BALL

Ball State 21 at Ohio 42

OHIO
2024 · Week 14 · Nov 29, 2024 · Peden Stadium
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Win probability · OHIO
modelOHIO aheadBALL aheadconfidence bandkey playOHIO scoreBALL score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 2:15 · Vaughn Pemberton run for a loss of 1 yard to the OHIO 21
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsGarbage-time factorBlowout margin
+36.5+18.30−18.3−36.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 70Pregame prior+21.5Home team on offense+8.1Score differential+3.5Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+2.5Garbage-time factor+1.1Blowout margin+0.8
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 8:25: Parker Navarro run for 20 yds for a TD (Gianni Spetic KICK) — OHIO win probability +4.9 pts (now 95%) (top driver: OHIO has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 6:13: Kadin Semonza pass complete to Dahya Patel for 33 yds for a TD (Jackson Courville KICK) — BALL win probability +4.9 pts (now 12%) (top driver: BALL has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 13:58: Parker Navarro pass complete to Mason Williams for 15 yds for a TD (Gianni Spetic KICK) — OHIO win probability +5.6 pts (now 96%) (top driver: OHIO has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 6:40: Parker Navarro run for 4 yds for a TD (Gianni Spetic KICK) — OHIO win probability +3.2 pts (now 100%) (top driver: OHIO has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 3:54: Kadin Semonza pass complete to Tanner Koziol for 11 yds for a TD (Jackson Courville KICK) — BALL win probability +2.9 pts (now 4%) (top driver: BALL has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
OHIO made the numbers' call on 1 of 3BALL made the numbers' call on 3 of 7
  1. Q1 9:17BALL 4th & 10 at OHIO 37, down 7
    Close callPunted · 13.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.1%
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    13.1%−<0.1
    40% to make
    PuntTheir call
    13.0%−<0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 5:47BALL 4th & 6 at BALL 29, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 11.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    11.9%−0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    12.0%
    average punt
  3. Q1 1:00BALL 4th & 7 at BALL 6, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 11.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    11.1%−0.4
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    11.5%
    average punt
  4. Q2 14:45OHIO 4th & 6 at BALL 40, up 14
    Close callPunted · 88.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    89.0%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    88.5%−0.5
    34% to make
    PuntTheir call
    88.7%−0.3
    average punt
  5. Q2 11:16BALL 4th & 5 at midfield, down 14
    Close callPunted · 11.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    11.9%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    11.7%−0.2
    average punt
  6. Q2 2:15BALL 4th & 1 at OHIO 20, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 11.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    11.5%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    10.8%−0.7
    75% to make
    Punt
    8.8%−2.7
    average punt
  7. Q2 0:50OHIO 4th & 6 at BALL 49, up 14
    Close callPunted · 89.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    89.7%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    89.7%−<0.1
    average punt
  8. Q3 11:45BALL 4th & 4 at OHIO 45, down 21
    Close callPunted · 4.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.3%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    3.4%−1.0
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    4.0%−0.4
    average punt
  9. Q3 3:05OHIO 4th & 7 at OHIO 28, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 97.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.7%−0.3
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    97.9%
    average punt
  10. Q4 14:20BALL 4th & 10 at OHIO 25, down 21
    Close callWent for it · 1.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.4%−0.2
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    1.6%
    66% to make
    Punt
    -0.1%−1.7
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
OHIO made the numbers' call on 6 of 6BALL made the numbers' call on 2 of 3
  1. Q1 12:18OHIO Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    87.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    87.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 7:48OHIO Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    88.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    88.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 8:25OHIO Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 6:13BALL Touchdown, down 15 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    10.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    10.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 13:58OHIO Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 6:40OHIO Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 3:54BALL Touchdown, down 22 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    2.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    2.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 5:25OHIO Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 2:42BALL Touchdown, down 22 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.6%−<0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.6%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
OHIODrive 1TD
5 plays · 78 yds · 2:3786% → 86%
Q1 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+12
86.2%
Parker Navarro pass complete to Anthony Tyus III for 12 yds to the OHIO 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+5
86.2%
Anthony Tyus III run for 5 yds to the OHIO 39Similar
Q1 14:55
2ND & 5
OWN 39
+4
86.2%
Anthony Tyus III run for 4 yds to the OHIO 43Similar
Q1 14:55
3RD & 1
OWN 43
+7
86.2%
Anthony Tyus III run for 7 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:18
1ST & 10
50
+50
86.1%
Parker Navarro pass complete to Coleman Owen for 50 yds for a TD (Gianni Spetic KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 2PUNT
9 plays · 44 yds · 2:5614% → 14%
Q1 12:13
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+4
85.9%
Kadin Semonza pass complete to Cam Pickett for 4 yds to the BALL 23Similar
Q1 12:13
2ND & 6
OWN 23
+2
85.9%
Braedon Sloan run for 2 yds to the BALL 25Similar
Q1 12:13
3RD & 4
OWN 25
+15
85.9%
Kadin Semonza pass complete to Cam Pickett for 15 yds to the BALL 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:13
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+23
85.8%
Kadin Semonza pass complete to Cam Pickett for 23 yds to the OHIO 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:13
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+3
85.8%
Braedon Sloan run for 3 yds to the OHIO 34Similar
Q1 12:13
2ND & 7
OPP 34
-3
85.7%
Kadin Semonza sacked by Ben McNaboe and Chris Mayfield for a loss of 3 yards to the OHIO 37Similar
Q1 12:13
3RD & 10
OPP 37
0
85.8%
Kadin Semonza pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 9:17
4TH & 10
OPP 37
0
85.6%
Kadin Semonza punt for 37 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 3TD
3 plays · 80 yds · 1:2986% → 88%
Q1 9:17
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+5
86.0%
Parker Navarro run for 5 yds to the OHIO 25Similar
Q1 9:17
2ND & 5
OWN 25
+34
86.0%
Anthony Tyus III run for 34 yds to the BALL 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:48
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+41
88.1%
Parker Navarro pass complete to Coleman Owen for 41 yds for a TD (Gianni Spetic KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 4PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 2:0113% → 13%
Q1 7:48
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-6
86.9%
Kadin Semonza pass complete to TJ Horton for a loss of 6 yards to the BALL 19Similar
Q1 7:48
2ND & 16
OWN 19
+4
86.9%
Kadin Semonza pass complete to Tanner Koziol for 4 yds to the BALL 23Similar
Q1 7:48
3RD & 12
OWN 23
+6
87.0%
Kadin Semonza pass complete to Nick Presley for 6 yds to the BALL 29Similar
Q1 5:47
4TH & 6
OWN 29
+4
87.0%
Brian Cooey Jr. punt for 30 yds , Coleman Owen returns for 4 yds to the OHIO 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 5INT
6 plays · 21 yds · 3:3390% → 90%
Q1 5:47
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+3
89.5%
Parker Navarro run for 3 yds to the OHIO 48Similar
Q1 5:47
2ND & 7
OWN 48
+6
89.4%
Parker Navarro run for 6 yds to the BALL 46Similar
Q1 5:47
3RD & 1
OPP 46
+3
89.3%
Rickey Hunt Jr. run for 3 yds to the BALL 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:47
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+13
89.5%
Parker Navarro pass complete to Coleman Owen for 13 yds to the BALL 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:47
1ST & 10
OPP 30
-4
89.5%
Parker Navarro sacked by Caden Johnson for a loss of 4 yards to the BALL 34Similar
Q1 2:14
2ND & 14
OPP 34
0
90.0%
Parker Navarro pass intercepted Thailand Baldwin return for no gain to the BALL 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 6PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 1:1413% → 12%
Q1 2:14
1ST & 10
OWN 3
+3
87.3%
Vaughn Pemberton run for 3 yds to the BALL 6Similar
Q1 2:14
2ND & 7
OWN 6
0
87.3%
Kadin Semonza pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 2:14
3RD & 7
OWN 6
0
87.4%
Vaughn Pemberton run for no gain to the BALL 6Similar
Q1 1:00
4TH & 7
OWN 6
0
87.6%
Brian Cooey Jr. punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Coleman Owen at the BALL 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 7PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 1:1590% → 90%
Q1 1:00
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+2
90.2%
Anthony Tyus III run for 2 yds to the BALL 42Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 8
OPP 42
+2
90.4%
Anthony Tyus III run for 2 yds to the BALL 40Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 6
OPP 40
0
90.2%
Parker Navarro pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:45
4TH & 6
OPP 40
0
90.0%
Jack Wilson punt for 25 yds, downed at the BALL 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 8PUNT
10 plays · 35 yds · 3:2913% → 13%
Q2 14:45
1ST & 10
OWN 15
0
87.2%
Kadin Semonza pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:45
2ND & 10
OWN 15
0
87.2%
Kadin Semonza pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:45
3RD & 10
OWN 15
+19
87.3%
Kadin Semonza pass complete to Dahya Patel for 19 yds to the BALL 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:45
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+5
86.9%
Kadin Semonza pass complete to Cam Pickett for 5 yds to the BALL 39Similar
Q2 14:45
2ND & 5
OWN 39
+6
86.6%
Braedon Sloan run for 6 yds to the BALL 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:45
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+1
86.8%
Christian Davis run for 1 yd to the BALL 46Similar
Q2 14:45
2ND & 9
OWN 46
0
86.8%
Kadin Semonza pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:45
3RD & 9
OWN 46
+4
86.9%
Kadin Semonza pass complete to Tanner Koziol for 4 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 11:16
4TH & 5
50
0
86.9%
Brian Cooey Jr. punt for 30 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 9TD
7 plays · 80 yds · 2:5191% → 95%
Q2 11:16
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+3
90.7%
Anthony Tyus III run for 3 yds to the OHIO 23Similar
Q2 11:16
2ND & 7
OWN 23
+6
90.6%
Parker Navarro run for 6 yds to the OHIO 29Similar
Q2 11:16
3RD & 1
OWN 29
-5
90.5%
Ohio Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the OHIO 24Similar
Q2 11:16
3RD & 6
OWN 24
+32
90.4%
Parker Navarro run for 32 yds to the BALL 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:16
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+29
91.3%
Parker Navarro pass complete to Coleman Owen for 29 yds to the BALL 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:16
1ST & 10
OPP 15
-5
90.4%
Ohio Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the BALL 20Similar
Q2 8:25
1ST & 15
OPP 20
+20
95.3%
Parker Navarro run for 20 yds for a TD (Gianni Spetic KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 10TD
6 plays · 70 yds · 2:057% → 12%
Q2 8:18
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+3
93.5%
TJ Horton run for 3 yds to the BALL 33Similar
Q2 8:18
2ND & 7
OWN 33
0
93.6%
TJ Horton run for no gain to the BALL 33Similar
Q2 8:18
3RD & 7
OWN 33
+31
93.6%
Kadin Semonza pass complete to Cam Pickett for 31 yds to the OHIO 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:18
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+3
93.1%
Braedon Sloan run for 3 yds to the OHIO 33Similar
Q2 8:18
2ND & 7
OPP 33
0
92.8%
Kadin Semonza pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 6:13
3RD & 7
OPP 33
+33
88.0%
Kadin Semonza pass complete to Dahya Patel for 33 yds for a TD (Jackson Courville KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 11DOWNS
11 plays · 35 yds · 3:5511% → 11%
Q2 6:10
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+2
89.0%
Vaughn Pemberton run for 2 yds to the BALL 46Similar
Q2 6:10
2ND & 8
OWN 46
+14
89.0%
Kadin Semonza pass complete to Tanner Koziol for 14 yds to the OHIO 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:10
1ST & 10
OPP 40
-15
88.5%
SEMONZA, Kadin pass deep to the left complete for 31 yards to PICKETT, Cam caught at the OHIO9 and advanced to the OHIO9, End of Play. PENALTY BALL Pass Interference on PICKETT, Cam enforced 15 yards to the BALL45 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 6:10
1ST & 25
OWN 45
+12
89.2%
Kadin Semonza pass complete to Cam Pickett for 12 yds to the OHIO 43Similar
Q2 6:10
2ND & 13
OPP 43
-1
88.9%
Kadin Semonza sacked by Marcel Walker-Burgess for a loss of 1 yard to the OHIO 44Similar
Q2 6:10
3RD & 14
OPP 44
+15
89.2%
SEMONZA, Kadin pass deep to the left incomplete intended for PICKETT, Cam broken up by PARODIE, Roman at the OHIO14. PENALTY OHIO Pass Interference on PARODIE, Roman enforced 15 yards to the OHIO29 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 6:10
1ST & 10
OPP 29
0
88.0%
Kadin Semonza pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 6:10
2ND & 10
OPP 29
-1
88.2%
Braedon Sloan run for a loss of 1 yard to the OHIO 30Similar
Q2 2:20
3RD & 11
OPP 30
+10
89.3%
Kadin Semonza pass complete to Cam Pickett for 10 yds to the OHIO 20Similar
Q2 2:15
4TH & 1
OPP 20
-1
89.5%
Vaughn Pemberton run for a loss of 1 yard to the OHIO 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 12PUNT
7 plays · 30 yds · 1:1092% → 92%
Q2 2:00
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+26
92.0%
Anthony Tyus III run for 26 yds to the OHIO 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:00
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+9
92.3%
Anthony Tyus III run for 9 yds to the BALL 44Similar
Q2 2:00
2ND & 1
OPP 44
-5
92.2%
Ohio Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the BALL 49Similar
Q2 2:00
2ND & 6
OPP 49
0
92.3%
Parker Navarro pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 2:00
3RD & 6
OPP 49
0
92.0%
Parker Navarro pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:50
4TH & 6
OPP 49
0
92.1%
Jack Wilson punt for 41 yds, downed at the BALL 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 13END OF HALF
2 plays · 3 yds · 0:5010% → 9%
Q2 0:50
1ST & 10
OWN 8
0
90.0%
Kadin Semonza pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 10
OWN 8
+3
90.7%
Braedon Sloan run for 3 yds to the BALL 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 14FUMBLE
1 play · -12 yds · 0:0011% → 11%
Q3 14:40
1ST & 10
OWN 34
-12
89.2%
Kadin Semonza sacked for a loss of 12 yards to the BALL 16 Kadin Semonza fumbled, recovered by OHIO Shay Taylor , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 15TD
2 plays · 16 yds · 0:4291% → 96%
Q3 14:40
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+1
90.7%
Anthony Tyus III run for 1 yd to the BALL 15Similar
Q3 13:58
2ND & 9
OPP 15
+15
96.3%
Parker Navarro pass complete to Mason Williams for 15 yds for a TD (Gianni Spetic KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 16PUNT
8 plays · 25 yds · 2:075% → 5%
Q3 13:52
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+8
94.8%
Kadin Semonza pass complete to Jamarion McDougle for 8 yds to the BALL 38Similar
Q3 13:52
2ND & 2
OWN 38
0
94.5%
Kadin Semonza pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 13:52
3RD & 2
OWN 38
+11
94.7%
Kadin Semonza pass complete to Tanner Koziol for 11 yds to the BALL 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:52
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+1
94.6%
Braedon Sloan run for 1 yd to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 13:52
2ND & 9
50
+5
94.6%
Kadin Semonza pass complete to Tanner Koziol for 5 yds to the OHIO 45Similar
Q3 13:52
3RD & 4
OPP 45
0
94.4%
Kadin Semonza pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 11:45
4TH & 4
OPP 45
0
95.2%
Brian Cooey Jr. punt for 45 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 17TD
10 plays · 80 yds · 5:0596% → 100%
Q3 11:45
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+3
96.4%
Anthony Tyus III run for 3 yds to the OHIO 23Similar
Q3 11:45
2ND & 7
OWN 23
+28
96.3%
Parker Navarro run for 28 yds to the BALL 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:45
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+12
96.6%
Anthony Tyus III run for 12 yds to the BALL 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:45
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+7
96.6%
Parker Navarro run for 7 yds to the BALL 30Similar
Q3 11:45
2ND & 3
OPP 30
+5
96.5%
Ball State Penalty, Offsides (5 Yards) to the BALL 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:45
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+1
96.6%
Anthony Tyus III run for 1 yd to the BALL 24Similar
Q3 11:45
2ND & 9
OPP 24
+9
96.6%
Parker Navarro pass complete to Coleman Owen for 9 yds to the BALL 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:45
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
-5
96.4%
Ohio Penalty, False Start (Chase Hendricks) to the BALL 7Similar
Q3 11:45
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+3
96.4%
Parker Navarro run for 3 yds to the BALL 4Similar
Q3 6:40
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
99.6%
Parker Navarro run for 4 yds for a TD (Gianni Spetic KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 18TD
7 plays · 55 yds · 2:391% → 4%
Q3 6:33
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+5
99.5%
Braedon Sloan run for 5 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 6:33
2ND & 5
50
+4
99.4%
Kadin Semonza pass complete to Cam Pickett for 4 yds to the OHIO 46Similar
Q3 6:33
3RD & 1
OPP 46
+3
99.4%
Braedon Sloan run for 3 yds to the OHIO 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:33
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+17
99.4%
Kadin Semonza pass complete to Tanner Koziol for 17 yds to the OHIO 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:33
1ST & 10
OPP 26
0
99.4%
Kadin Semonza pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 6:33
2ND & 10
OPP 26
+15
99.4%
Kadin Semonza pass complete to Nick Munson for 15 yds to the OHIO 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:54
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+11
96.5%
Kadin Semonza pass complete to Tanner Koziol for 11 yds for a TD (Jackson Courville KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 19PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:4998% → 99%
Q3 3:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
98.3%
Rickey Hunt Jr. run for 3 yds to the OHIO 28Similar
Q3 3:54
2ND & 7
OWN 28
0
98.3%
Nick Poulos pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 3:54
3RD & 7
OWN 28
0
98.3%
Nick Poulos pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 3:05
4TH & 7
OWN 28
0
98.7%
Jack Wilson punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Nick Munson at the BALL 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 20DOWNS
14 plays · 46 yds · 3:452% → 1%
Q3 3:05
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+1
97.6%
Kadin Semonza run for 1 yd to the BALL 30Similar
Q3 3:05
2ND & 9
OWN 30
+2
97.6%
Christian Davis run for 2 yds to the BALL 32Similar
Q3 3:05
3RD & 7
OWN 32
+8
97.6%
Kadin Semonza pass complete to Tanner Koziol for 8 yds to the BALL 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:05
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+7
97.6%
Kadin Semonza pass complete to Tanner Koziol for 7 yds to the BALL 47Similar
Q3 3:05
2ND & 3
OWN 47
0
97.5%
Kadin Semonza pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 3:05
3RD & 3
OWN 47
+6
97.6%
Braedon Sloan run for 6 yds to the OHIO 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:05
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
97.5%
Kadin Semonza pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 10
OPP 47
+7
98.6%
Kadin Semonza pass complete to TJ Horton for 7 yds to the OHIO 40Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 3
OPP 40
+15
98.5%
Kadin Semonza pass complete to Cam Pickett for 15 yds to the OHIO 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
98.3%
Kadin Semonza pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 25
0
98.4%
Kadin Semonza pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 10
OPP 25
0
98.5%
Kadin Semonza pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 14:20
4TH & 10
OPP 25
0
98.6%
Kadin Semonza pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 21FUMBLE
9 plays · 25 yds · 4:24100% → 100%
Q4 14:20
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
99.5%
Nolan McCormick run for 4 yds to the OHIO 29Similar
Q4 14:20
2ND & 6
OWN 29
-5
99.5%
Ohio Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the OHIO 24Similar
Q4 14:20
2ND & 11
OWN 24
+17
99.5%
Nick Poulos pass complete to Mason Williams for 17 yds to the OHIO 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:20
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+4
99.5%
Nick Poulos run for 4 yds to the OHIO 45Similar
Q4 14:20
2ND & 6
OWN 45
+5
99.5%
Nolan McCormick run for 5 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 14:20
3RD & 1
50
+2
99.5%
Nolan McCormick run for 2 yds to the BALL 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:20
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+1
99.5%
Nolan McCormick run for 1 yd to the BALL 47Similar
Q4 9:56
2ND & 9
OPP 47
-3
99.7%
Nick Poulos run for a loss of 3 yards to the 50 yard line Nick Poulos fumbled, recovered by BALL Riley Tolsma , return to the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 22FUMBLE
2 plays · 8 yds · 0:471% → 1%
Q4 9:56
1ST & 10
50
+27
99.1%
Cam Pickett run for 27 yds to the OHIO 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:09
1ST & 10
OPP 23
-19
99.0%
Kadin Semonza sacked for a loss of 19 yards to the BALL 39 Kadin Semonza fumbled, recovered by OHIO Dustin Johnson , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 23TD
6 plays · 39 yds · 3:44100% → 100%
Q4 9:09
1ST & 10
OPP 39
-1
99.8%
Rickey Hunt Jr. run for a loss of 1 yard to the BALL 40Similar
Q4 9:09
2ND & 11
OPP 40
+2
99.8%
Rickey Hunt Jr. run for 2 yds to the BALL 38Similar
Q4 9:09
3RD & 9
OPP 38
+14
99.8%
Nick Poulos run for 14 yds to the BALL 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:09
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+1
99.8%
Rickey Hunt Jr. run for 1 yd to the BALL 23Similar
Q4 9:09
2ND & 9
OPP 23
+4
99.8%
Rickey Hunt Jr. run for 4 yds to the BALL 19Similar
Q4 5:25
3RD & 5
OPP 19
+19
99.9%
Nick Poulos pass complete to Max Rodarte for 19 yds for a TD (Gianni Spetic KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 24TD
8 plays · 74 yds · 2:350% → 1%
Q4 5:17
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+5
99.9%
TJ Horton run for 5 yds to the BALL 31Similar
Q4 4:13
2ND & 5
OWN 31
+3
99.9%
TJ Horton run for 3 yds to the BALL 34Similar
Q4 4:13
3RD & 2
OWN 34
+15
99.9%
Ohio Penalty, Face mask (15 yards) (Miles Fleming) to the OHIO 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:13
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
99.9%
Kadin Semonza pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 4:13
2ND & 10
OPP 44
+5
99.9%
Kadin Semonza pass complete to Qian Magwood for 5 yds to the OHIO 39Similar
Q4 4:13
3RD & 5
OPP 39
+12
99.9%
Kadin Semonza pass complete to Jamarion McDougle for 12 yds to the OHIO 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:42
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+27
99.5%
Kadin Semonza pass complete to Jamarion McDougle for 27 yds for a TD (Jackson Courville KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 25END OF GAME
5 plays · 12 yds · 2:00100% → 100%
Q4 2:00
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+1
99.8%
Rickey Hunt Jr. run for 1 yd to the BALL 47Similar
Q4 2:00
2ND & 9
OPP 47
+7
99.8%
Nolan McCormick run for 7 yds to the BALL 40Similar
Q4 2:00
3RD & 2
OPP 40
+4
99.8%
Nolan McCormick run for 4 yds to the BALL 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 36
0
99.9%
[NHSG] Kneel down by POULOS, Nick at BALL36 (team loss of 0), clock 00:00.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 13:58
Parker Navarro pass complete to Mason Williams for 15 yds for a TD (Gianni Spetic KICK)
+5.6
TD · Q2 8:25
Parker Navarro run for 20 yds for a TD (Gianni Spetic KICK)
+4.9
TD · Q2 6:13
Kadin Semonza pass complete to Dahya Patel for 33 yds for a TD (Jackson Courville KICK)
-4.9
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com