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KENT

Kent State 7 at Buffalo 43

BUF
2024 · Week 14 · Nov 26, 2024 · UB Stadium
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Win probability · BUF
modelBUF aheadKENT aheadconfidence bandkey playBUF scoreKENT score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 14:19 · Tommy Ulatowski run for a loss of 1 yard to the BUF 46
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorBlowout marginScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+41.0+20.50−20.5−41.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 44Pregame prior+33.0Home team on offense+4.2Score differential+2.2Garbage-time factor+0.6Blowout margin+0.4Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+1.5
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 5:35: Tadd Barr 39 Yd pass from C.J. Ogbonna (Two-Point Pass Conversion Failed) — BUF win probability +1.1 pts (now 92%) (top driver: BUF has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 12:39: Victor Snow 18 Yd pass from C.J. Ogbonna (Two-Point Pass Conversion Failed) — BUF win probability +1.8 pts (now 94%) (top driver: BUF has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 3:20: Al-Jay Henderson 20 Yd Run (Upton Bellenfant Kick) — BUF win probability +3.5 pts (now 98%) (top driver: BUF has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 11:24: Luke Floriea 27 Yd pass from Tommy Ulatowski (Will Hryszko Kick) — KENT win probability +4.8 pts (now 7%) (top driver: KENT has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 6:40: C.J. Ogbonna run for 11 yds for a TD (Upton Bellenfant KICK) — BUF win probability +2.2 pts (now 99%) (top driver: BUF has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
BUF made the numbers' call on 4 of 5KENT made the numbers' call on 9 of 10
  1. Q1 9:47KENT 4th & 6 at KENT 24, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 7.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.6%−0.1
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    7.7%
    average punt
  2. Q1 3:09KENT 4th & 7 at BUF 43, down 13
    Close callPunted · 7.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.4%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    7.3%−0.1
    28% to make
    PuntTheir call
    7.4%−<0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 1:19BUF 4th & 5 at BUF 15, up 13
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 92.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    92.5%−0.2
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    92.7%
    average punt
  4. Q2 14:19KENT 4th & 1 at BUF 45, down 13
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 8.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    8.1%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    7.6%−0.5
    25% to make
    Punt
    7.8%−0.3
    average punt
  5. Q2 11:03KENT 4th & 11 at KENT 24, down 19
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 5.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.4%−0.7
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    6.1%
    average punt
  6. Q2 6:21KENT 4th & 8 at BUF 33, down 19
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 6.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    5.9%
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    5.9%−<0.1
    49% to make
    Punt
    5.5%−0.4
    average punt
  7. Q2 0:16BUF 4th & 2 at KENT 5, up 26
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 98.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    98.2%
    51% to convert
    Field goal
    98.1%−<0.1
    92% to make
    Punt
    97.0%−1.2
    average punt
  8. Q3 13:00KENT 4th & 6 at KENT 29, down 26
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.3%−0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.5%
    average punt
  9. Q3 9:49BUF 4th & 7 at BUF 28, up 19
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 96.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.7%−0.4
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    97.2%
    average punt
  10. Q3 8:14KENT 4th & 4 at KENT 17, down 19
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 4.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.2%−0.1
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.3%
    average punt
  11. Q3 3:30KENT 4th & 15 at KENT 43, down 26
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.2%−0.4
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.6%
    average punt
  12. Q4 14:47BUF 4th & 4 at KENT 24, up 26
    Close callKicked a field goal · 99.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.6%
    47% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.5%−<0.1
    68% to make
    Punt
    98.9%−0.7
    average punt
  13. Q4 13:51KENT 4th & 4 at KENT 31, down 29
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.2%−0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
  14. Q4 9:26BUF 4th & 14 at KENT 45, up 29
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.8%−0.1
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    99.8%−0.1
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%
    average punt
  15. Q4 7:24KENT 4th & 14 at KENT 11, down 29
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−0.1
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
BUF made the numbers' call on 4 of 6KENT made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 11:41BUF Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    92.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    92.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 5:35BUF Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    92.6%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    92.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 12:39BUF Touchdown, up 19 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    94.5%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    94.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 3:20BUF Touchdown, up 25 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 11:24KENT Touchdown, down 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    2.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    2.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 6:40BUF Touchdown, up 25 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 5:17BUF Touchdown, up 35 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
BUFDrive 1TD
12 plays · 75 yds · 3:1991% → 91%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+13
90.9%
Al-Jay Henderson run for 13 yds to the BUF 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+3
90.9%
C.J. Ogbonna pass complete to JJ Jenkins for 3 yds to the BUF 41Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 41
0
90.9%
CJ. Ogbonna pass incomplete to JJ JenkinsSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 7
OWN 41
+13
90.9%
C.J. Ogbonna pass complete to Victor Snow for 13 yds to the KENT 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+8
90.9%
C.J. Ogbonna pass complete to Victor Snow for 8 yds to the KENT 38Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 2
OPP 38
+6
90.9%
Al-Jay Henderson run for 6 yds to the KENT 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+2
90.9%
Al-Jay Henderson run for 2 yds to the KENT 30Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 8
OPP 30
+9
90.9%
C.J. Ogbonna pass complete to Jake Orlando for 9 yds to the KENT 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 21
0
90.9%
C.J. Ogbonna pass incomplete to Javien CuffSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 21
+9
90.9%
Al-Jay Henderson run for 9 yds to the KENT 12Similar
Q1 11:41
3RD & 1
OPP 12
+12
90.5%
C.J. Ogbonna 12 Yd Run (Upton Bellenfant Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 2PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 1:5410% → 10%
Q1 11:41
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-2
90.4%
Jahzae Kimbrough run for a loss of 2 yards to the KENT 18Similar
Q1 11:41
2ND & 12
OWN 18
+10
90.4%
Tommy Ulatowski pass complete to Jay Jay Etheridge for 10 yds to the KENT 28Similar
Q1 11:41
3RD & 2
OWN 28
-4
90.4%
Tommy Ulatowski sacked by Dion Crawford for a loss of 4 yards to the KENT 24Similar
Q1 9:47
4TH & 6
OWN 24
+67
90.2%
Josh Smith punt for 57 yds Buffalo Penalty, Offensive holding (Caleb Tate) to the BUF 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BUFDrive 3TD
10 plays · 91 yds · 4:1290% → 92%
Q1 9:47
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+2
90.2%
Jacqez Barksdale run for 2 yds to the BUF 11Similar
Q1 9:47
2ND & 8
OWN 11
+2
90.2%
Al-Jay Henderson run for 2 yds to the BUF 13Similar
Q1 9:47
3RD & 6
OWN 13
+21
90.1%
C.J. Ogbonna pass complete to Victor Snow for 21 yds to the BUF 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:47
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+6
90.2%
Jacqez Barksdale run for 6 yds to the BUF 40Similar
Q1 9:47
2ND & 4
OWN 40
+10
90.4%
Jacqez Barksdale run for 10 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:47
1ST & 10
50
+1
90.4%
C.J. Ogbonna run for 1 yd to the KENT 49Similar
Q1 9:47
2ND & 9
OPP 49
+8
90.4%
C.J. Ogbonna pass complete to Victor Snow for 8 yds to the KENT 41Similar
Q1 9:47
3RD & 1
OPP 41
+2
90.3%
Jacqez Barksdale run for 2 yds to the KENT 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:35
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+39
91.5%
Tadd Barr 39 Yd pass from C.J. Ogbonna (Two-Point Pass Conversion Failed)Similar
Q1 5:35
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
-62
91.5%
Ethan Duane pass incomplete to Andrew SchnackenbergSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 4PUNT
9 plays · 32 yds · 2:2610% → 9%
Q1 5:35
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+18
90.5%
Jahzae Kimbrough run for 18 yds to the KENT 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:35
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+6
90.4%
Jahzae Kimbrough run for 6 yds to the KENT 49Similar
Q1 5:35
2ND & 4
OWN 49
0
90.3%
Tommy Ulatowski pass incomplete to Ardell Banks, broken up by Tristan SouzaSimilar
Q1 5:35
3RD & 4
OWN 49
+5
90.3%
Buffalo Penalty, off-side (Tristan Souza) to the BUF 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:35
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
90.3%
Tommy Ulatowski pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 5:35
2ND & 10
OPP 46
+3
90.4%
Curtis Douglas run for 3 yds to the BUF 43Similar
Q1 5:35
3RD & 7
OPP 43
0
90.3%
Tommy Ulatowski pass incomplete to Jay Jay EtheridgeSimilar
Q1 3:09
4TH & 7
OPP 43
0
90.9%
Josh Smith punt for 33 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BUFDrive 5PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 1:5091% → 91%
Q1 3:09
1ST & 10
OWN 10
-1
91.2%
Jacqez Barksdale run for a loss of 1 yard to the BUF 9Similar
Q1 3:09
2ND & 11
OWN 9
0
91.2%
Jacqez Barksdale run for no gain to the BUF 9Similar
Q1 3:09
3RD & 11
OWN 9
+6
91.0%
C.J. Ogbonna run for 6 yds to the BUF 15Similar
Q1 1:19
4TH & 5
OWN 15
0
90.9%
Ethan Duane punt for 39 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 6DOWNS
4 plays · 8 yds · 2:0010% → 10%
Q1 1:19
1ST & 10
OWN 46
-2
90.3%
Jahzae Kimbrough run for a loss of 2 yards to the KENT 44Similar
Q1 1:00
2ND & 12
OWN 44
+9
90.4%
Jahzae Kimbrough run for 9 yds to the BUF 47Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 3
OPP 47
+2
90.1%
Ruel Tomlinson run for 2 yds to the BUF 45Similar
Q2 14:19
4TH & 1
OPP 45
-1
90.1%
Tommy Ulatowski run for a loss of 1 yard to the BUF 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 7END OF HALF
1 play · 0 yds · 0:009% → 9%
Q2 0:10
1ST & 10
OWN 4
-1
90.7%
Team Kneel for a loss of 1 yard to the BUF 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BUFDrive 8TD
6 plays · 54 yds · 1:4092% → 94%
Q2 14:19
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+16
91.7%
C.J. Ogbonna pass complete to Victor Snow for 16 yds to the KENT 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:19
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+1
91.8%
C.J. Ogbonna run for 1 yd to the KENT 37Similar
Q2 14:19
2ND & 9
OPP 37
+4
91.8%
C.J. Ogbonna pass complete to Messiah Burch for 4 yds to the KENT 33Similar
Q2 14:19
3RD & 5
OPP 33
+15
91.6%
C.J. Ogbonna pass incomplete to Victor Snow for a 1ST down Kent State Penalty, roughing passer (Matt Harmon) to the KENT 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:39
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+18
93.5%
Victor Snow 18 Yd pass from C.J. Ogbonna (Two-Point Pass Conversion Failed)Similar
Q2 12:39
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
-62
93.5%
C.J. Ogbonna pass incomplete to JJ JenkinsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 9PUNT
5 plays · -1 yds · 1:367% → 7%
Q2 12:39
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
92.7%
Jahzae Kimbrough run for 2 yds to the KENT 27Similar
Q2 12:39
2ND & 8
OWN 27
0
92.7%
Tommy Ulatowski pass incomplete to Luke FlorieaSimilar
Q2 12:39
3RD & 8
OWN 27
-3
92.8%
Tommy Ulatowski sacked by Dion Crawford for a loss of 3 yards to the KENT 24Similar
Q2 11:03
4TH & 11
OWN 24
+59
93.0%
Josh Smith punt for 47 yds , Victor Snow returns for 59 yds to the KENT 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BUFDrive 10INT
2 plays · -7 yds · 0:3594% → 94%
Q2 11:03
1ST & 10
OPP 12
-7
93.7%
Messiah Burch run for a loss of 7 yards to the KENT 19Similar
Q2 10:28
2ND & 17
OPP 19
0
93.8%
C.J. Ogbonna pass intercepted by Canaan WilliamsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 11DOWNS
8 plays · 57 yds · 4:077% → 7%
Q2 10:28
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+8
93.1%
Ruel Tomlinson run for 8 yds to the KENT 16Similar
Q2 10:28
2ND & 2
OWN 16
+37
93.0%
Tommy Ulatowski pass complete to Jay Jay Etheridge for 37 yds to the BUF 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:28
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+7
92.5%
Curtis Douglas run for 7 yds to the BUF 40Similar
Q2 10:28
2ND & 3
OPP 40
+5
92.3%
Ruel Tomlinson pass complete to Jay Jay Etheridge for 5 yds to the BUF 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:28
1ST & 10
OPP 35
-1
92.2%
Curtis Douglas run for a loss of 1 yard to the BUF 36Similar
Q2 10:28
2ND & 11
OPP 36
+3
92.6%
Curtis Douglas run for 3 yds to the BUF 33Similar
Q2 10:28
3RD & 8
OPP 33
0
92.5%
Ruel Tomlinson run for no gain to the BUF 33Similar
Q2 6:21
4TH & 8
OPP 33
-2
92.8%
Ruel Tomlinson sacked by Shaun Dolac and Kobe Stewart for a loss of 2 yards to the BUF 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BUFDrive 12TD
7 plays · 65 yds · 3:0194% → 98%
Q2 6:21
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+1
93.9%
Al-Jay Henderson run for 1 yd to the BUF 36Similar
Q2 6:21
2ND & 9
OWN 36
+1
93.9%
Al-Jay Henderson run for 1 yd to the BUF 37Similar
Q2 6:21
3RD & 8
OWN 37
+15
93.7%
C.J. Ogbonna sacked by Stephen Daley for 0 yards to the KENT 37 for a 1ST down Kent State Penalty, face mask (15 yards) (Kameron Olds) to the KENT 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:21
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+10
94.0%
Al-Jay Henderson run for 10 yds to the KENT 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:21
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+3
94.0%
Al-Jay Henderson run for 3 yds to the KENT 35Similar
Q2 6:21
2ND & 7
OPP 35
+15
93.9%
C.J. Ogbonna pass complete to Jacqez Barksdale for 15 yds to the KENT 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:20
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+20
97.5%
Al-Jay Henderson 20 Yd Run (Upton Bellenfant Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 13PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 1:353% → 2%
Q2 3:18
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+2
97.2%
Ruel Tomlinson run for 2 yds to the KENT 14Similar
Q2 2:00
2ND & 8
OWN 14
+3
98.1%
Curtis Douglas run for 3 yds to the KENT 17Similar
Q2 1:43
3RD & 5
OWN 17
+25
98.1%
Josh Smith punt for 38 yds , Victor Snow returns for 25 yds to the KENT 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BUFDrive 14DOWNS
7 plays · 26 yds · 1:2798% → 98%
Q2 1:43
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+5
98.0%
Al-Jay Henderson run for 5 yds to the KENT 25Similar
Q2 1:43
2ND & 5
OPP 25
+1
98.0%
Al-Jay Henderson run for 1 yd to the KENT 24Similar
Q2 1:43
3RD & 4
OPP 24
+11
98.0%
C.J. Ogbonna pass complete to Victor Snow for 11 yds to the KENT 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:43
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+2
98.0%
Al-Jay Henderson run for 2 yds to the KENT 11Similar
Q2 0:38
2ND & 8
OPP 11
0
98.2%
CJ. Ogbonna pass incomplete to Al-Jay HendersonSimilar
Q2 0:38
3RD & 8
OPP 11
+6
98.1%
C.J. Ogbonna run for 6 yds to the KENT 5Similar
Q2 0:16
4TH & 2
OPP 5
+1
98.0%
C.J. Ogbonna run for 1 yd to the KENT 4Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 15PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 2:001% → 2%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
98.7%
Ruel Tomlinson run for no gain to the KENT 25Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+7
98.7%
Ruel Tomlinson pass complete to Luke Floriea for 7 yds to the KENT 32Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 3
OWN 32
-3
98.6%
Ruel Tomlinson sacked by Cornell Evans and Kobe Stewart for a loss of 3 yards to the KENT 29Similar
Q3 13:00
4TH & 6
OWN 29
+32
98.5%
Josh Smith punt for 32 yds , John Keough returns for no gain to the BUF 39, Fumble Recovery by Brodyn BishopSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 16TD
4 plays · 39 yds · 1:362% → 7%
Q3 13:00
1ST & 10
OPP 39
-4
98.2%
Tommy Ulatowski pass complete to Jay Jay Etheridge for a loss of 4 yards to the BUF 43Similar
Q3 13:00
2ND & 14
OPP 43
0
98.1%
Tommy Ulatowski pass complete to Jay Jay Etheridge for no gain to the BUF 43Similar
Q3 13:00
3RD & 14
OPP 43
+16
98.2%
Tommy Ulatowski pass complete to Jay Jay Etheridge for 16 yds to the BUF 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:24
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+27
93.4%
Luke Floriea 27 Yd pass from Tommy Ulatowski (Will Hryszko Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BUFDrive 17PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 1:3596% → 96%
Q3 11:24
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
96.4%
C.J. Ogbonna pass complete to Victor Snow for 4 yds to the BUF 29Similar
Q3 11:24
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+1
96.5%
Al-Jay Henderson run for 1 yd to the BUF 30Similar
Q3 11:24
3RD & 5
OWN 30
-2
96.4%
C.J. Ogbonna sacked by CJ Young for a loss of 2 yards to the BUF 28Similar
Q3 9:49
4TH & 7
OWN 28
0
96.3%
Ethan Duane punt for 61 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 18PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 1:355% → 5%
Q3 9:49
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+1
94.9%
Jahzae Kimbrough run for 1 yd to the KENT 12Similar
Q3 9:49
2ND & 9
OWN 12
+5
95.0%
Tommy Ulatowski pass complete to Luke Floriea for 5 yds to the KENT 17Similar
Q3 9:49
3RD & 4
OWN 17
0
95.0%
Tommy Ulatowski pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 8:14
4TH & 4
OWN 17
0
95.3%
Josh Smith punt for 24 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BUFDrive 19TD
7 plays · 41 yds · 1:3497% → 99%
Q3 8:14
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+5
97.0%
C.J. Ogbonna pass incomplete, broken up by Zaid Hamdan Kent State Penalty, off-side (Jaire Rawlison) to the KENT 36Similar
Q3 8:14
1ST & 5
OPP 36
+12
97.0%
Al-Jay Henderson run for 12 yds to the KENT 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:14
1ST & 10
OPP 24
0
97.0%
CJ. Ogbonna pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 8:14
2ND & 10
OPP 24
+14
97.0%
Al-Jay Henderson run for 14 yds to the KENT 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:14
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
-1
97.0%
Al-Jay Henderson run for a loss of 1 yard to the KENT 11Similar
Q3 8:14
2ND & GOAL
OPP 11
0
97.0%
C.J. Ogbonna pass incomplete to JJ Jenkins, broken up by Jaire RawlisonSimilar
Q3 6:40
3RD & GOAL
OPP 11
+11
99.2%
C.J. Ogbonna run for 11 yds for a TD (Upton Bellenfant KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 20PUNT
7 plays · 18 yds · 3:101% → 0%
Q3 6:40
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
99.4%
Jahzae Kimbrough run for 8 yds to the KENT 33Similar
Q3 6:40
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+15
99.4%
Tommy Ulatowski run for 15 yds to the KENT 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:40
1ST & 10
OWN 48
-2
99.4%
Jahzae Kimbrough run for a loss of 2 yards to the KENT 46Similar
Q3 6:40
2ND & 12
OWN 46
+2
99.4%
Jahzae Kimbrough run for 2 yds to the KENT 48Similar
Q3 6:40
3RD & 10
OWN 48
-5
99.4%
Ruel Tomlinson sacked by Shaun Dolac and Antonio Colclough for a loss of 5 yards to the KENT 43Similar
Q3 3:30
4TH & 15
OWN 43
0
99.6%
Josh Smith punt for 30 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BUFDrive 21FG
9 plays · 49 yds · 3:4399% → 100%
Q3 3:30
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+8
99.4%
Al-Jay Henderson run for 8 yds to the BUF 35Similar
Q3 3:30
2ND & 2
OWN 35
0
99.4%
Al-Jay Henderson run for no gain to the BUF 35Similar
Q3 3:30
3RD & 2
OWN 35
+10
99.4%
Al-Jay Henderson run for 10 yds to the BUF 45 for a 1ST down Kent State Penalty, substitution infraction (Luke Floriea) to the BUF 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:30
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+2
99.4%
Jacqez Barksdale run for 2 yds to the BUF 47Similar
Q3 3:30
2ND & 8
OWN 47
+23
99.4%
Al-Jay Henderson run for 23 yds to the KENT 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:30
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+9
99.4%
Al-Jay Henderson run for 9 yds to the KENT 21Similar
Q3 0:30
2ND & 1
OPP 21
-3
99.6%
Al-Jay Henderson run for a loss of 3 yards to the KENT 24Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 4
OPP 24
0
99.6%
C.J. Ogbonna pass incomplete to Tadd Barr, broken up by Dallas BranchSimilar
Q4 14:47
4TH & 4
OPP 24
+42
99.8%
Upton Bellenfant 42 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 22PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 0:560% → 0%
Q4 14:47
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
99.8%
Jahzae Kimbrough run for 6 yds to the KENT 31Similar
Q4 14:47
2ND & 4
OWN 31
0
99.8%
Ruel Tomlinson pass incomplete to Luke FlorieaSimilar
Q4 14:47
3RD & 4
OWN 31
0
99.8%
Ruel Tomlinson pass incomplete to Luke FlorieaSimilar
Q4 13:51
4TH & 4
OWN 31
0
99.9%
Josh Smith punt for 44 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BUFDrive 23PUNT
10 plays · 30 yds · 4:25100% → 100%
Q4 13:51
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
99.8%
Al-Jay Henderson run for 1 yd to the BUF 26Similar
Q4 13:51
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+6
99.8%
Al-Jay Henderson run for 6 yds to the BUF 32Similar
Q4 13:51
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+9
99.8%
Al-Jay Henderson run for 9 yds to the BUF 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:51
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+7
99.8%
Al-Jay Henderson run for 7 yds to the BUF 48Similar
Q4 13:51
2ND & 3
OWN 48
+11
99.8%
Al-Jay Henderson run for 11 yds to the KENT 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:51
1ST & 10
OPP 41
0
99.8%
Al-Jay Henderson run for no gain to the KENT 41Similar
Q4 13:51
2ND & 10
OPP 41
0
99.8%
C.J. Ogbonna pass incomplete to Victor Snow, broken up by Matt HarmonSimilar
Q4 13:51
3RD & 10
OPP 41
-5
99.8%
Buffalo Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the KENT 46Similar
Q4 13:51
3RD & 15
OPP 46
+1
99.8%
Jacqez Barksdale run for 1 yd to the KENT 45Similar
Q4 9:26
4TH & 14
OPP 45
0
99.9%
Ethan Duane punt for 30 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 24PUNT
4 plays · -4 yds · 2:020% → 0%
Q4 9:26
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+2
99.9%
Jahzae Kimbrough run for 2 yds to the KENT 17Similar
Q4 9:26
2ND & 8
OWN 17
-5
99.9%
Ruel Tomlinson sacked by Daishon Folsom and Shaun Dolac for a loss of 5 yards to the KENT 12Similar
Q4 9:26
3RD & 13
OWN 12
-1
99.9%
Ruel Tomlinson pass complete to Luke Floriea for a loss of 1 yard to the KENT 11Similar
Q4 7:24
4TH & 14
OWN 11
0
99.9%
Josh Smith punt for 31 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BUFDrive 25TD
4 plays · 42 yds · 2:07100% → 100%
Q4 7:24
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+15
99.9%
C.J. Ogbonna run for 15 yds to the KENT 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:24
1ST & 10
OPP 27
0
99.9%
Jacqez Barksdale run for no gain to the KENT 27Similar
Q4 7:24
2ND & 10
OPP 27
+3
99.9%
Al-Jay Henderson run for 3 yds to the KENT 24Similar
Q4 5:17
3RD & 7
OPP 24
+24
99.9%
Javien Cuff 24 Yd pass from C.J. Ogbonna (Upton Bellenfant Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 26INT
7 plays · 40 yds · 3:260% → 0%
Q4 5:17
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+14
99.9%
Jahzae Kimbrough run for 14 yds to the KENT 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:17
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+3
99.9%
Jahzae Kimbrough run for 3 yds to the KENT 42Similar
Q4 5:17
2ND & 7
OWN 42
+7
99.9%
Ayden Harris run for 7 yds to the KENT 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:17
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+6
99.9%
Ayden Harris run for 6 yds to the BUF 45Similar
Q4 5:17
2ND & 4
OPP 45
+10
99.9%
Ayden Harris run for 10 yds to the BUF 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:51
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
99.9%
Luke Floriea pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BUFDrive 27END OF GAME
3 plays · 7 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 1:51
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+1
99.9%
Jacqez Barksdale run for 1 yd to the BUF 31Similar
Q4 1:51
2ND & 9
OWN 31
+6
99.9%
Jacqez Barksdale run for 6 yds to the BUF 37Similar
Q4 1:51
3RD & 3
OWN 37
-5
99.9%
Jacqez Barksdale run for a loss of 5 yards to the BUF 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 11:24
Luke Floriea 27 Yd pass from Tommy Ulatowski (Will Hryszko Kick)
-4.8
TD · Q2 3:20
Al-Jay Henderson 20 Yd Run (Upton Bellenfant Kick)
+3.5
TD · Q3 6:40
C.J. Ogbonna run for 11 yds for a TD (Upton Bellenfant KICK)
+2.2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com