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BGSU

Bowling Green 38 at Ball State 13

BALL
2024 · Week 13 · Nov 23, 2024 · Scheumann Stadium
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Win probability · BALL
modelBALL aheadBGSU aheadconfidence bandkey playBALL scoreBGSU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDFGFGTDTDTDTDFGTDTDEnd of GameFG+0.1BALL 1.5%Zach Long 48 yd FG GOODAWAY 31 - HOME 7 · Q4 12:25
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 12:25 · Zach Long 48 yd FG GOOD
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+55.5+27.80−27.8−55.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 135Home team on offense−46.5Pregame prior−7.3Score differential−24.2Garbage-time factor−8.2Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−8.8Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−5.7
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 0:34: Kadin Semonza pass complete to Vaughn Pemberton for 51 yds for a TD (Jackson Courville KICK) — BALL win probability +9.3 pts (now 30%) (top driver: BALL has the ball).
  2. FG · Q3 7:58: Zach Long 36 yd FG GOOD — BGSU win probability +5.0 pts (now 75%) (top driver: BGSU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 4:01: Rahkeem Smith 1 Yd Run (Jamal Johnson Pass to Connor Bazelak for Two-Point Conversion) — BGSU win probability +14.8 pts (now 93%) (top driver: BGSU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 2:16: Connor Bazelak pass complete to Rahkeem Smith for 66 yds for a TD (Zach Long KICK) — BGSU win probability +5.9 pts (now 98%) (top driver: BGSU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 8:30: Kadin Semonza pass complete to Qian Magwood for 13 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed) — BALL win probability +3.0 pts (now 5%) (top driver: BALL has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
BALL made the numbers' call on 6 of 8BGSU made the numbers' call on 8 of 8
  1. Q1 13:30BALL 4th & 1 at BALL 34, tied
    Close callPunted · 22.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    22.6%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    22.5%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 1:28BALL 4th & 12 at BALL 34, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 23.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    23.4%−0.9
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    24.2%
    average punt
  3. Q1 0:25BGSU 4th & 6 at BGSU 34, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 75.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    75.3%−0.3
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    75.6%
    average punt
  4. Q2 11:20BALL 4th & 3 at BGSU 48, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 26.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    26.5%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    25.7%−0.7
    average punt
  5. Q2 10:16BGSU 4th & 17 at BGSU 41, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 74.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    72.8%−1.7
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    74.5%
    average punt
  6. Q2 6:47BALL 4th & 10 at BALL 35, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 24.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    23.4%−1.0
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    24.4%
    average punt
  7. Q2 1:36BGSU 4th & 5 at BALL 25, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 77.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    76.4%−0.4
    41% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    76.8%
    66% to make
    Punt
    73.4%−3.4
    average punt
  8. Q3 12:26BGSU 4th & 3 at midfield, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 68.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    69.2%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    68.1%−1.1
    average punt
  9. Q3 7:58BGSU 4th & 16 at BALL 18, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 65.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    61.7%−3.7
    14% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    65.4%
    79% to make
    Punt
    55.2%−10.2
    average punt
  10. Q3 6:14BALL 4th & 11 at BALL 14, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 27.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    25.3%−3.0
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    28.3%
    average punt
  11. Q3 3:04BALL 4th & 7 at BALL 28, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 12.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.6%−0.7
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    13.2%
    average punt
  12. Q4 12:25BGSU 4th & 8 at BALL 30, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 97.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.4%−0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    97.5%
    56% to make
    Punt
    97.2%−0.4
    average punt
  13. Q4 6:04BGSU 4th & 9 at BGSU 41, up 18
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 97.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.4%−0.5
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    97.9%
    average punt
  14. Q4 5:18BALL 4th & 2 at BALL 26, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 2.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    2.3%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    2.2%−0.1
    average punt
  15. Q4 1:55BGSU 4th & 4 at BALL 4, up 18
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 98.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    98.6%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    98.5%−0.1
    93% to make
    Punt
    97.4%−1.2
    average punt
  16. Q4 0:26BALL 4th & 10 at BGSU 14, down 25
    Close callWent for it · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.2%−0.3
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    0.4%
    84% to make
    Punt
    0.2%−0.3
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
BALL made the numbers' call on 1 of 2BGSU made the numbers' call on 3 of 4
  1. Q1 4:46BGSU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    75.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    75.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 0:34BALL Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    31.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    31.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 4:01BGSU Touchdown, up 12 before the try
    Close callWent for two · converted
    Kick
    84.1%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    83.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 2:16BGSU Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 8:30BALL Touchdown, down 18 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    4.1%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    3.9%−0.3
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 1:55BGSU Touchdown, up 24 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.5%−0.2
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
BALLDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 1:1619% → 20%
Q1 14:46
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
19.2%
Kadin Semonza pass complete to Tanner Koziol for 1 yd to the BALL 26Similar
Q1 14:29
2ND & 9
OWN 26
0
19.4%
Kadin Semonza pass incomplete to Tanner KoziolSimilar
Q1 14:14
3RD & 9
OWN 26
+8
19.5%
Kadin Semonza run for 8 yds to the BALL 34Similar
Q1 13:30
4TH & 1
OWN 34
0
19.8%
Brian Cooey Jr. punt for 59 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 2TD
17 plays · 93 yds · 8:3380% → 79%
Q1 13:19
1ST & 10
OWN 7
0
20.0%
Terion Stewart run for no gain to the BGSU 7Similar
Q1 12:44
2ND & 10
OWN 7
+5
20.3%
Jamal Johnson run for 5 yds to the BGSU 12Similar
Q1 12:05
3RD & 5
OWN 12
+8
20.7%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Harold Fannin Jr. for 8 yds to the BGSU 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:31
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+6
20.9%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Rahkeem Smith for 6 yds to the BGSU 26Similar
Q1 11:01
2ND & 4
OWN 26
+23
21.0%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Harold Fannin Jr. for 23 yds to the BGSU 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:31
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+7
21.0%
Rahkeem Smith run for 7 yds to the BALL 44Similar
Q1 9:50
2ND & 3
OPP 44
+2
21.3%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Malcolm Johnson Jr. for 2 yds to the BALL 42Similar
Q1 9:09
3RD & 1
OPP 42
+3
21.6%
Terion Stewart run for 3 yds to the BALL 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:28
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+11
21.9%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Malcolm Johnson Jr. for 11 yds to the BALL 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:56
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+8
21.9%
Terion Stewart run for 8 yds to the BALL 20Similar
Q1 7:21
2ND & 2
OPP 20
-10
22.1%
(07:23) No Huddle-Shotgun Harris,Jacob rush middle for 11 yards gain to the BSU09 (Coleman,Jordan) PENALTY BGSU Holding (Burns,Jake) 10 yards from BSU20 to BSU30. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 7:00
2ND & 12
OPP 30
+11
22.3%
Connor Bazelak run for 11 yds to the BALL 19Similar
Q1 6:35
3RD & 1
OPP 19
+2
22.7%
Connor Bazelak run for 2 yds to the BALL 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:55
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+3
22.9%
Terion Stewart run for 3 yds to the BALL 14Similar
Q1 5:16
2ND & 7
OPP 14
+10
23.2%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Harold Fannin Jr. for 10 yds to the BALL 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:46
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
20.8%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Harold Fannin Jr. for 4 yds for a TD (Zach Long KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 3PUNT
9 plays · 9 yds · 3:0922% → 22%
Q1 4:37
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
21.8%
Braedon Sloan run for 1 yd to the BALL 26Similar
Q1 4:09
2ND & 9
OWN 26
-5
21.9%
(04:09) PENALTY BSU False Start (Dalton,Luke) 5 yards from BSU26 to BSU21. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 3:56
2ND & 14
OWN 21
+5
21.9%
Kadin Semonza pass complete to Tanner Koziol for 5 yds to the BALL 26Similar
Q1 3:29
3RD & 9
OWN 26
+10
21.8%
Kadin Semonza pass complete to Cam Pickett for 10 yds to the BALL 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:57
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-9
22.5%
Kadin Semonza sacked by Ali Saad for a loss of 9 yards to the BALL 27 Kadin Semonza fumbled, recovered by BALL Luke Dalton , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q1 2:12
2ND & 19
OWN 27
+7
22.2%
TJ Horton run for 7 yds to the BALL 34Similar
Q1 1:32
3RD & 12
OWN 34
0
22.1%
Kadin Semonza pass incomplete to Cam PickettSimilar
Q1 1:28
4TH & 12
OWN 34
0
22.0%
Brian Cooey Jr. punt for 36 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the BGSU 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 4PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:5478% → 77%
Q1 1:19
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+4
22.1%
Jaison Patterson run for 4 yds to the BGSU 34Similar
Q1 0:46
2ND & 6
OWN 34
0
21.9%
Connor Bazelak pass incomplete to Jaison PattersonSimilar
Q1 0:37
3RD & 6
OWN 34
0
22.2%
Connor Bazelak pass incomplete to Malcolm Johnson Jr.Similar
Q1 0:25
4TH & 6
OWN 34
0
22.7%
John Henderson punt for 53 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 5DOWNS
8 plays · 39 yds · 3:4023% → 25%
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+17
22.7%
Braedon Sloan run for 17 yds to the BALL 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 30
-5
23.0%
(14:57) Shotgun Semonza,Kadin pass incomplete deep left to Ferrell,Tyce thrown to BGSU45 broken up by Benjamin,Jacorey PENALTY BSU Illegal Formation 5 yards from BSU30 to BSU25. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 14:46
1ST & 15
OWN 25
+2
22.8%
Braedon Sloan run for 2 yds to the BALL 27Similar
Q2 13:47
2ND & 13
OWN 27
+18
23.1%
Kadin Semonza pass complete to Dahya Patel for 18 yds to the BALL 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:16
1ST & 10
OWN 45
-3
24.1%
Cam Pickett run for a loss of 3 yards to the BALL 42Similar
Q2 12:40
2ND & 13
OWN 42
-6
23.6%
Kadin Semonza sacked by Joseph Sipp Jr. for a loss of 6 yards to the BALL 36Similar
Q2 11:53
3RD & 19
OWN 36
+16
23.2%
Kadin Semonza pass complete to Qian Magwood for 16 yds to the BGSU 48Similar
Q2 11:20
4TH & 3
OPP 48
0
24.5%
Kadin Semonza pass incomplete to Malcolm GillieSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 6PUNT
4 plays · -7 yds · 0:5778% → 76%
Q2 11:13
1ST & 10
OWN 48
-7
22.4%
Connor Bazelak sacked by Riley Tolsma for a loss of 7 yards to the BGSU 41Similar
Q2 10:34
2ND & 17
OWN 41
0
23.3%
Connor Bazelak pass incomplete to Malcolm Johnson Jr.Similar
Q2 10:29
3RD & 17
OWN 41
0
23.5%
Connor Bazelak pass incomplete to Finn HoganSimilar
Q2 10:16
4TH & 17
OWN 41
0
24.2%
John Henderson punt for 49 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 7PUNT
9 plays · 25 yds · 3:2124% → 23%
Q2 10:08
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+1
24.0%
Braedon Sloan run for 1 yd to the BALL 11Similar
Q2 9:31
2ND & 9
OWN 11
+2
23.8%
Kadin Semonza pass complete to TJ Horton for 2 yds to the BALL 13Similar
Q2 8:59
3RD & 7
OWN 13
+12
23.4%
Kadin Semonza pass complete to Malcolm Gillie for 12 yds to the BALL 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:21
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
24.2%
Vaughn Pemberton run for 10 yds to the BALL 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:48
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
23.9%
Kadin Semonza pass incomplete to Tanner KoziolSimilar
Q2 7:42
2ND & 10
OWN 35
-10
23.9%
(07:45) Shotgun Semonza,Kadin pass complete short left to Magwood,Qian caught at BSU30, for 4 yards to the BSU39 (Revels,Tracy), out of bounds PENALTY BSU Holding (Patel,Dahya) 10 yards from BSU35 to BSU25. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 7:34
2ND & 20
OWN 25
0
23.5%
Kadin Semonza pass incomplete to TJ HortonSimilar
Q2 7:18
3RD & 20
OWN 25
+10
23.0%
Kadin Semonza pass complete to Vaughn Pemberton for 10 yds to the BALL 35Similar
Q2 6:47
4TH & 10
OWN 35
0
23.1%
Brian Cooey Jr. punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Justin Pegues at the BGSU 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 8FUMBLE
4 plays · 5 yds · 1:3377% → 77%
Q2 6:38
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-10
23.5%
Bowling Green Penalty, (-10 Yards) to the BGSU 12Similar
Q2 6:26
1ST & 18
OWN 12
-2
23.7%
Rahkeem Smith run for a loss of 2 yards to the BGSU 10Similar
Q2 5:46
2ND & 20
OWN 10
+19
23.9%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Malcolm Johnson Jr. for 19 yds to the BGSU 29Similar
Q2 5:05
3RD & 1
OWN 29
-4
23.3%
Terion Stewart run for a loss of 4 yards to the BGSU 25 Terion Stewart fumbled, recovered by BALL DD SnyderSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 9INT
1 play · 0 yds · 0:0028% → 28%
Q2 4:44
1ST & 10
OPP 25
-33
27.7%
Cam Pickett pass intercepted Jordan Oladokun return for 33 yds to the BGSU 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 10FG
12 plays · 32 yds · 2:5578% → 81%
Q2 4:31
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+7
22.4%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Harold Fannin Jr. for 7 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 4:07
2ND & 3
50
+2
22.1%
Jaison Patterson run for 2 yds to the BALL 48Similar
Q2 3:21
3RD & 1
OPP 48
+3
21.8%
Connor Bazelak run for 3 yds to the BALL 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:53
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+6
21.1%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Justin Pegues for 6 yds to the BALL 39Similar
Q2 2:38
2ND & 4
OPP 39
-5
21.1%
(02:36) PENALTY BGSU False Start (Pabst,Nate) 5 yards from BSU39 to BSU44. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 2:22
2ND & 9
OPP 44
+14
21.2%
Terion Stewart run for 14 yds to the BALL 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:52
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+5
19.8%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Jaison Patterson for 5 yds to the BALL 25Similar
Q2 1:42
2ND & 5
OPP 25
0
19.0%
Connor Bazelak run for no gain to the BALL 25Similar
Q2 1:41
3RD & 5
OPP 25
0
19.4%
Connor Bazelak pass incomplete to Harold Fannin Jr.Similar
Q2 1:36
4TH & 5
OPP 25
+43
19.0%
Zach Long 43 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 11TD
7 plays · 69 yds · 0:4120% → 30%
Q2 1:15
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+3
19.7%
Kadin Semonza pass complete to Malcolm Gillie for 3 yds to the BALL 34Similar
Q2 1:06
2ND & 7
OWN 34
0
19.7%
Kadin Semonza pass incomplete to Braedon SloanSimilar
Q2 0:58
3RD & 7
OWN 34
+15
19.4%
Kadin Semonza pass complete to Cam Pickett for 15 yds to the BALL 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:52
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
21.0%
Kadin Semonza pass incomplete to Tanner KoziolSimilar
Q2 0:44
2ND & 10
OWN 49
0
20.7%
Kadin Semonza pass incomplete to Qian MagwoodSimilar
Q2 0:34
3RD & 10
OWN 49
+51
30.0%
Kadin Semonza pass complete to Vaughn Pemberton for 51 yds for a TD (Jackson Courville KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 12END OF HALF
2 plays · -1 yds · 0:0071% → 71%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 15
-1
29.0%
C. Bazelak takes a kneeSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 13FG
18 plays · 51 yds · 6:4771% → 75%
Q3 14:45
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+3
29.2%
Terion Stewart run for 3 yds to the BGSU 34Similar
Q3 14:09
2ND & 7
OWN 34
+9
29.2%
Jamal Johnson run for 9 yds to the BGSU 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:32
1ST & 10
OWN 43
-5
28.4%
(13:30) PENALTY BGSU False Start (Fannin Jr.,Harold) 5 yards from BGSU43 to BGSU38. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 13:22
1ST & 15
OWN 38
0
29.6%
Connor Bazelak pass incomplete to Levi GazarekSimilar
Q3 13:15
2ND & 15
OWN 38
0
29.9%
Connor Bazelak pass incomplete to Harold Fannin Jr.Similar
Q3 12:53
3RD & 15
OWN 38
+12
30.8%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Harold Fannin Jr. for 12 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 12:26
4TH & 3
50
+10
30.3%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Jaison Patterson for 10 yds to the BALL 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:54
1ST & 10
OPP 40
-1
28.8%
Terion Stewart run for a loss of 1 yard to the BALL 41Similar
Q3 11:10
2ND & 11
OPP 41
+5
29.2%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Rahkeem Smith for 5 yds to the BALL 36Similar
Q3 10:26
3RD & 6
OPP 36
+6
30.1%
Jamal Johnson run for 6 yds to the BALL 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:47
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+18
27.8%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Harold Fannin Jr. for 18 yds to the BALL 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:17
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+2
27.8%
Harold Fannin Jr. run for 2 yds to the BALL 10Similar
Q3 8:42
2ND & 8
OPP 10
-8
27.9%
Connor Bazelak sacked by Riley Tolsma for a loss of 8 yards to the BALL 18Similar
Q3 8:02
3RD & 16
OPP 18
0
30.5%
Connor Bazelak pass incomplete to Harold Fannin Jr.Similar
Q3 7:58
4TH & 16
OPP 18
+36
25.5%
Zach Long 36 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 14PUNT
6 plays · -1 yds · 1:2729% → 28%
Q3 7:41
1ST & 10
OWN 15
-5
29.2%
PENALTY BSU False Start (Sullivan,Max) 5 yards from BSU15 to BSU10. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 7:33
1ST & 15
OWN 10
+1
29.2%
Vaughn Pemberton run for 1 yd to the BALL 11Similar
Q3 7:10
2ND & 14
OWN 11
+3
29.2%
Vaughn Pemberton run for 3 yds to the BALL 14Similar
Q3 6:33
3RD & 11
OWN 14
0
28.6%
Kadin Semonza pass incomplete to Malcolm GillieSimilar
Q3 6:14
4TH & 11
OWN 14
+23
28.2%
Brian Cooey Jr. punt for 45 yds , Justin Pegues returns for 23 yds to the BALL 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 15TD
6 plays · 46 yds · 2:0777% → 91%
Q3 6:08
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+6
23.3%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Harold Fannin Jr. for 6 yds to the BALL 40Similar
Q3 5:33
2ND & 4
OPP 40
+37
23.2%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Harold Fannin Jr. for 37 yds to the BALL 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:18
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
22.8%
Rahkeem Smith run for 2 yds to the BALL 1Similar
Q3 4:33
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
22.1%
Connor Bazelak run for no gain to the BALL 1Similar
Q3 4:01
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
7.3%
Rahkeem Smith 1 Yd Run (Jamal Johnson Pass to Connor Bazelak for Two-Point Conversion)Similar
Q3 4:01
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+15
8.7%
PENALTY BSU Personal Foul (Berger,Brandon) 15 yards from BGSU35 to BGSU50. NO PLAY.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 16PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 0:5113% → 13%
Q3 3:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
13.3%
Kadin Semonza pass incomplete to Cam PickettSimilar
Q3 3:43
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+3
13.1%
Vaughn Pemberton run for 3 yds to the BALL 28Similar
Q3 3:11
3RD & 7
OWN 28
0
12.9%
Kadin Semonza pass incomplete to Cam PickettSimilar
Q3 3:04
4TH & 7
OWN 28
0
12.8%
Brian Cooey Jr. punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Justin Pegues at the BGSU 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 17TD
3 plays · 70 yds · 0:3892% → 98%
Q3 2:54
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+4
7.8%
Terion Stewart run for 4 yds to the BGSU 34Similar
Q3 2:16
2ND & 6
OWN 34
+66
2.0%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Rahkeem Smith for 66 yds for a TD (Zach Long KICK)Similar
Q3 2:16
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+15
2.0%
PENALTY BSU Personal Foul (Stemler,Joey) 15 yards from BGSU35 to BGSU50. NO PLAY.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 18PUNT
7 plays · -10 yds · 2:144% → 3%
Q3 2:03
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
4.1%
TJ Horton run for no gain to the BALL 20Similar
Q3 1:39
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+12
4.1%
TJ Horton run for 12 yds to the BALL 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:17
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+1
3.9%
Kadin Semonza run for 1 yd to the BALL 33Similar
Q3 0:44
2ND & 9
OWN 33
-10
3.8%
Kadin Semonza sacked by Joseph Sipp Jr. for a loss of 10 yards to the BALL 23Similar
Q3 0:00
3RD & 19
OWN 23
-13
3.5%
Kadin Semonza sacked by Chace Davis for a loss of 13 yards to the BALL 10Similar
Q4 14:49
4TH & 32
OWN 10
+36
3.4%
Brian Cooey Jr. punt blocked by Rahkeem Smith blocked by Rahkeem SmithSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 19FG
8 plays · 16 yds · 2:0899% → 99%
Q4 14:33
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+7
1.5%
Jaison Patterson run for 7 yds to the BALL 39Similar
Q4 14:05
2ND & 3
OPP 39
0
1.4%
Connor Bazelak pass incomplete to Rahkeem SmithSimilar
Q4 13:59
3RD & 3
OPP 39
0
1.4%
Connor Bazelak pass incomplete to Jacob HarrisSimilar
Q4 13:59
4TH & 3
OPP 39
+7
1.6%
(13:59) No Huddle-Shotgun Bazelak,Connor pass incomplete short left to Johnson Jr.,Malcolm thrown to BSU31, 1ST DOWN, PENALTY BSU Pass Interference (Baldwin,Thailand) 7 yards from BSU39 to BSU32, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 13:55
1ST & 10
OPP 32
0
1.4%
Connor Bazelak pass incomplete to Malcolm Johnson Jr.Similar
Q4 13:47
2ND & 10
OPP 32
+4
1.4%
Jaison Patterson run for 4 yds to the BALL 28Similar
Q4 13:02
3RD & 6
OPP 28
-2
1.3%
Jaison Patterson run for a loss of 2 yards to the BALL 30Similar
Q4 12:25
4TH & 8
OPP 30
+48
1.5%
Zach Long 48 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 20TD
13 plays · 73 yds · 3:412% → 5%
Q4 12:11
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+2
2.2%
TJ Horton run for 2 yds to the BALL 29Similar
Q4 11:41
2ND & 8
OWN 29
-2
2.1%
TJ Horton run for a loss of 2 yards to the BALL 27Similar
Q4 11:12
3RD & 10
OWN 27
0
2.0%
Kadin Semonza pass incomplete to Tanner KoziolSimilar
Q4 11:12
4TH & 10
OWN 27
+15
2.0%
PENALTY BGSU UNS: Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Eklund,Justin) 15 yards from BSU27 to BSU42, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 10:57
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+4
2.2%
Kadin Semonza pass complete to Braedon Sloan for 4 yds to the BALL 46Similar
Q4 10:37
2ND & 6
OWN 46
+4
2.2%
Kadin Semonza pass complete to Cam Pickett for 4 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 10:17
3RD & 2
50
+7
2.1%
Braedon Sloan run for 7 yds to the BGSU 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:56
1ST & 10
OPP 43
-1
2.2%
Braedon Sloan run for a loss of 1 yard to the BGSU 44Similar
Q4 9:07
2ND & 11
OPP 44
+17
2.0%
Kadin Semonza pass complete to Cam Pickett for 17 yds to the BGSU 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:36
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+14
2.2%
(08:38) Semonza,Kadin pass incomplete deep middle to Pickett,Cam thrown to BGSU00 PENALTY BGSU Pass Interference (Bumphis,Todd) 14 yards from BGSU27 to BGSU13, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 8:30
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+13
5.2%
Kadin Semonza pass complete to Qian Magwood for 13 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 21PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 2:1198% → 99%
Q4 8:15
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+3
1.7%
Justin Pegues run for 3 yds to the BGSU 43Similar
Q4 7:46
2ND & 7
OWN 43
-5
1.7%
PENALTY BGSU False Start (Harris,Alex) 5 yards from BGSU43 to BGSU38. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 7:27
2ND & 12
OWN 38
-1
1.7%
Lucian Anderson III run for a loss of 1 yard to the BGSU 37Similar
Q4 6:50
3RD & 13
OWN 37
+4
1.6%
Lucian Anderson III run for 4 yds to the BGSU 41Similar
Q4 6:04
4TH & 9
OWN 41
0
1.3%
John Henderson punt for 41 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the BALL 18 , Nick Munson returns for no gain to the BALL 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 22DOWNS
4 plays · 8 yds · 0:242% → 2%
Q4 5:42
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+8
2.4%
Kadin Semonza pass complete to Tanner Koziol for 8 yds to the BALL 26Similar
Q4 5:41
2ND & 2
OWN 26
0
2.4%
Kadin Semonza pass incomplete to Qian MagwoodSimilar
Q4 5:35
3RD & 2
OWN 26
0
2.4%
Braedon Sloan run for no gain to the BALL 26Similar
Q4 5:18
4TH & 2
OWN 26
0
2.2%
Kadin Semonza pass incomplete to Cam PickettSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 23TD
8 plays · 26 yds · 3:1399% → 100%
Q4 5:08
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+4
1.0%
Justin Pegues run for 4 yds to the BALL 22Similar
Q4 4:29
2ND & 6
OPP 22
+2
0.8%
Justin Pegues run for 2 yds to the BALL 20Similar
Q4 3:49
3RD & 4
OPP 20
+10
0.8%
Lucian Anderson III run for 10 yds to the BALL 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:13
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
-1
0.7%
Justin Pegues run for a loss of 1 yard to the BALL 11Similar
Q4 2:39
2ND & GOAL
OPP 11
+8
0.7%
Lucian Anderson III run for 8 yds to the BALL 3Similar
Q4 1:57
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
-1
0.6%
Lucian Anderson III run for a loss of 1 yard to the BALL 4Similar
Q4 1:55
4TH & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
0.1%
Lucian Anderson III pass complete to Rahkeem Smith for 4 yds for a TD (Zach Long KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 24DOWNS
10 plays · 34 yds · 1:090% → 0%
Q4 1:35
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+4
0.1%
Kadin Semonza pass complete to Tanner Koziol for 4 yds to the BGSU 44Similar
Q4 1:08
2ND & 6
OPP 44
+12
0.1%
Vaughn Pemberton run for 12 yds to the BGSU 32 Vaughn Pemberton fumbled, recovered by BALL Vaughn Pemberton for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:52
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+9
0.1%
Kadin Semonza pass complete to Vaughn Pemberton for 9 yds to the BGSU 23Similar
Q4 0:46
2ND & 1
OPP 23
+9
0.1%
Kadin Semonza pass complete to Tanner Koziol for 9 yds to the BGSU 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:41
1ST & 10
OPP 14
0
0.1%
Kadin Semonza pass incomplete to Braedon SloanSimilar
Q4 0:35
2ND & 10
OPP 14
0
0.1%
Kadin Semonza pass incomplete to Tanner KoziolSimilar
Q4 0:31
3RD & 10
OPP 14
0
0.1%
Kadin Semonza pass incomplete to Tanner KoziolSimilar
Q4 0:26
4TH & 10
OPP 14
0
0.1%
Kadin Semonza pass incomplete to Cam PickettSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 25END OF GAME
1 play · -2 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 14
-2
0.2%
L. Anderson III takes a kneeSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 4:01
Rahkeem Smith 1 Yd Run (Jamal Johnson Pass to Connor Bazelak for Two-Point Conversion)
-14.8
TD · Q2 0:34
Kadin Semonza pass complete to Vaughn Pemberton for 51 yds for a TD (Jackson Courville KICK)
+9.3
TD · Q3 2:16
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Rahkeem Smith for 66 yds for a TD (Zach Long KICK)
-5.9
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com