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AKR

Akron 38 at Kent State 17

KENT
2024 · Week 13 · Nov 19, 2024 · Dix Stadium
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Win probability · KENT
modelKENT aheadAKR aheadconfidence bandkey playKENT scoreAKR score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDTDFGFGFGTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 2:57 · Josh Smith punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Paul Davis at the AKR 30
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialPregame priorGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+55.5+27.80−27.8−55.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 129Home team on offense−46.9Score differential−32.1Pregame prior−7.0Garbage-time factor−13.4Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−5.1Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−2.3
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 4:15: Tahj Bullock run for 3 yds for a TD (Garrison Smith KICK) — AKR win probability +2.2 pts (now 69%) (top driver: AKR has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 13:05: Charles Kellom run for 13 yds for a TD (Garrison Smith KICK) — AKR win probability +4.6 pts (now 73%) (top driver: AKR has the ball).
  3. FG · Q2 6:01: Garrison Smith 26 yd FG GOOD — KENT win probability +3.4 pts (now 32%) (top driver: AKR has the ball).
  4. FG · Q2 0:00: Garrison Smith 27 yd FG GOOD — AKR win probability +7.0 pts (now 85%) (top driver: AKR has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 10:52: Tahj Bullock run for 8 yds for a TD (Garrison Smith KICK) — AKR win probability +9.9 pts (now 93%) (top driver: AKR has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
KENT made the numbers' call on 6 of 9AKR made the numbers' call on 6 of 8
  1. Q1 10:34AKR 4th & 7 at KENT 26, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 71.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    70.9%−<0.1
    36% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    71.0%
    64% to make
    Punt
    70.6%−0.4
    average punt
  2. Q1 8:09KENT 4th & 18 at KENT 17, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 29.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    28.7%−0.8
    12% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    29.4%
    average punt
  3. Q1 2:03KENT 4th & 11 at midfield, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 30.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    30.0%−0.3
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    30.2%
    average punt
  4. Q2 8:35KENT 4th & 14 at AKR 22, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 25.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    24.2%−0.9
    17% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    25.0%
    72% to make
    Punt
    22.4%−2.6
    average punt
  5. Q2 6:01AKR 4th & 8 at KENT 9, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 73.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    72.5%−0.6
    27% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    73.1%
    89% to make
    Punt
    68.1%−4.9
    average punt
  6. Q2 3:44KENT 4th & 4 at KENT 31, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 24.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    24.1%−0.4
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    24.5%
    average punt
  7. Q2 2:48AKR 4th & 10 at AKR 14, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 73.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    72.6%−1.1
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    73.7%
    average punt
  8. Q2 1:43KENT 4th & 9 at AKR 44, down 10
    Close callPunted · 23.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    23.4%
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    23.0%−0.4
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    23.4%−<0.1
    average punt
  9. Q2 0:00AKR 4th & 4 at KENT 10, up 10
    Close callKicked a field goal · 76.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    76.8%
    44% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    76.5%−0.3
    88% to make
    Punt
    71.9%−4.9
    average punt
  10. Q3 8:55KENT 4th & 17 at KENT 35, down 20
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 9.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.5%−2.3
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    10.8%
    average punt
  11. Q3 2:57KENT 4th & 10 at KENT 25, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.2%−0.1
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.3%
    average punt
  12. Q3 1:24AKR 4th & 4 at AKR 36, up 28
    Close callPunted · 98.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.1%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    98.1%−<0.1
    average punt
  13. Q4 14:14KENT 4th & 1 at KENT 35, down 28
    Close callPunted · 0.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.0%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.9%−0.1
    average punt
  14. Q4 10:40AKR 4th & 12 at KENT 43, up 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.4%−0.1
    24% to convert
    Field goal
    99.4%−0.1
    28% to make
    PuntTheir call
    99.5%
    average punt
  15. Q4 9:14KENT 4th & 1 at KENT 12, down 28
    Close callPunted · 0.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.3%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.3%−<0.1
    average punt
  16. Q4 3:15AKR 4th & 3 at KENT 40, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.2%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    99.0%−0.1
    34% to make
    Punt
    99.0%−0.2
    average punt
  17. Q4 3:15AKR 4th & 3 at KENT 40, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.2%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    99.0%−0.1
    34% to make
    Punt
    99.0%−0.2
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
KENT made the numbers' call on 1 of 2AKR made the numbers' call on 3 of 4
  1. Q1 13:31KENT Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    27.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    27.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 4:15AKR Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    70.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    70.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 13:05AKR Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    74.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    74.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 10:52AKR Touchdown, up 19 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    88.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    88.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 4:17AKR Touchdown, up 26 before the try
    Close callWent for two · converted
    Kick
    99.1%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    99.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 5:08KENT Touchdown, down 22 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    1.1%−0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    1.1%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
KENTDrive 1TD
4 plays · 84 yds · 0:5328% → 29%
Q1 14:24
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+7
28.2%
Ky Thomas run for 7 yds to the KENT 23Similar
Q1 14:05
2ND & 3
OWN 23
-3
28.3%
Tommy Ulatowski run for a loss of 3 yards to the KENT 20Similar
Q1 13:31
3RD & 6
OWN 20
+80
29.0%
Tommy Ulatowski pass complete to Luke Floriea for 80 yds for a TD (Will Hryszko KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 2FG
11 plays · 42 yds · 2:4471% → 70%
Q1 13:18
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+12
29.1%
(13:18) No Huddle-Shotgun Finley,Ben pass incomplete deep right to Norton,Adrian thrown to KSU40, 1ST DOWN, PENALTY KSU Pass Interference (Boamah,Joel) 12 yards from AKR32 to AKR44, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 13:02
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+9
29.3%
Jordon Simmons run for 9 yds to the KENT 47Similar
Q1 12:47
2ND & 1
OPP 47
+5
29.4%
PENALTY KSU Offside (Maddox,Mason) 5 yards from KSU47 to KSU42, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 12:27
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+3
29.6%
Jordon Simmons run for 3 yds to the KENT 39Similar
Q1 12:00
2ND & 7
OPP 39
+5
29.9%
PENALTY KSU Delay Of Game 5 yards from KSU39 to KSU34. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 11:44
2ND & 2
OPP 34
+5
30.0%
Jordon Simmons run for 5 yds to the KENT 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:06
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+3
30.4%
Jordon Simmons run for 3 yds to the KENT 26Similar
Q1 10:43
2ND & 7
OPP 26
0
30.6%
Ben Finley pass incomplete to Ahmarian GrangerSimilar
Q1 10:38
3RD & 7
OPP 26
0
30.9%
Ben Finley pass incomplete to Conner CravaackSimilar
Q1 10:34
4TH & 7
OPP 26
+43
30.3%
Garrison Smith 43 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 3PUNT
7 plays · -8 yds · 2:1630% → 31%
Q1 10:25
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
30.4%
Tommy Ulatowski run for 1 yd to the KENT 26Similar
Q1 9:57
2ND & 9
OWN 26
-10
30.7%
(10:01) No Huddle-Shotgun Thomas,Ky rush right for 1 yard gain to the KSU27 (Fish,Antavious; Anderson,Justin) PENALTY KSU Holding (Morell,Dustyn) 10 yards from KSU26 to KSU16. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 9:50
2ND & 19
OWN 16
-5
30.7%
PENALTY KSU False Start (Beatty,Kaden) 5 yards from KSU16 to KSU11. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 9:35
2ND & 24
OWN 11
+4
30.9%
Ky Thomas run for 4 yds to the KENT 15Similar
Q1 8:59
3RD & 20
OWN 15
+2
30.8%
Ky Thomas run for 2 yds to the KENT 17Similar
Q1 8:09
4TH & 18
OWN 17
0
31.2%
Josh Smith punt for 33 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 4TD
9 plays · 50 yds · 3:5069% → 69%
Q1 8:05
1ST & 10
50
0
31.4%
Ben Finley pass incomplete to Jarvis RushSimilar
Q1 7:57
2ND & 10
50
0
31.6%
Ben Finley pass incomplete to Israel PolkSimilar
Q1 7:46
3RD & 10
50
+10
32.0%
Ben Finley pass complete to Adrian Norton for 10 yds to the KENT 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:53
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+1
32.1%
Ben Finley run for 1 yd to the KENT 39Similar
Q1 6:16
2ND & 9
OPP 39
+36
32.4%
Ben Finley pass complete to Adrian Norton for 36 yds to the KENT 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:29
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
-2
33.1%
Tahj Bullock run for a loss of 2 yards to the KENT 5Similar
Q1 4:51
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+2
33.5%
Jordon Simmons run for 2 yds to the KENT 3Similar
Q1 4:15
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
31.3%
Tahj Bullock run for 3 yds for a TD (Garrison Smith KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 5PUNT
8 plays · 25 yds · 2:0432% → 32%
Q1 4:07
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
31.9%
Akron Penalty, UNR: Unnecessary Roughness (Zy Brockington) to the KENT 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:28
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+3
32.6%
Ky Thomas run for 3 yds to the KENT 41Similar
Q1 3:16
2ND & 7
OWN 41
+10
33.1%
Ky Thomas run for 10 yds to the AKR 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:40
1ST & 10
OPP 49
-12
33.8%
Kent State Penalty, Intentional Grounding (Tommy Ulatowski) to the KENT 39Similar
Q1 2:36
2ND & 22
OWN 39
0
32.6%
Tommy Ulatowski pass incomplete to Wayne HarrisSimilar
Q1 2:30
3RD & 22
OWN 39
+11
32.3%
Tommy Ulatowski pass complete to Luke Floriea for 11 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 2:03
4TH & 11
50
0
32.4%
Josh Smith punt for 41 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 6TD
8 plays · 91 yds · 3:4767% → 73%
Q1 1:52
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+16
33.1%
Ben Finley pass complete to Bobby Golden for 16 yds to the AKR 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
32.8%
Charles Kellom run for 11 yds to the AKR 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:59
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-10
32.6%
(01:06) Shotgun Finley,Ben pass complete short middle to Norton,Adrian caught at AKR38, for 3 yards to the AKR39 (Young,CJ) PENALTY AKR Holding (Morris,Delvin) 10 yards from AKR36 to AKR26. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 20
OWN 26
+19
33.0%
Ben Finley pass complete to Charles Kellom for 19 yds to the AKR 45Similar
Q2 14:54
2ND & 1
OWN 45
+7
31.9%
Charles Kellom run for 7 yds to the KENT 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:15
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+20
31.9%
Ben Finley pass complete to Adrian Norton for 20 yds to the KENT 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:40
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+15
31.6%
Ben Finley run for 15 yds to the KENT 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:05
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+13
27.1%
Charles Kellom run for 13 yds for a TD (Garrison Smith KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 7FG
10 plays · 53 yds · 4:1628% → 30%
Q2 12:51
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
27.7%
Jahzae Kimbrough run for 4 yds to the KENT 29Similar
Q2 12:31
2ND & 6
OWN 29
-5
27.7%
PENALTY KSU False Start (Morell,Dustyn) 5 yards from KSU29 to KSU24. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 12:17
2ND & 11
OWN 24
+45
27.4%
Tommy Ulatowski pass complete to Chrishon McCray for 45 yds to the AKR 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:42
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+6
29.3%
Jahzae Kimbrough run for 6 yds to the AKR 25Similar
Q2 11:11
2ND & 4
OPP 25
+7
29.4%
Tommy Ulatowski pass complete to Wayne Harris for 7 yds to the AKR 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:35
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+3
29.7%
Jahzae Kimbrough run for 3 yds to the AKR 15Similar
Q2 9:28
2ND & 7
OPP 15
-10
29.8%
Tommy Ulatowski run for a loss of 10 yards to the AKR 25 Tommy Ulatowski fumbled, recovered by KENT Tommy UlatowskiSimilar
Q2 9:02
3RD & 17
OPP 25
+3
28.1%
Tommy Ulatowski pass complete to Jahzae Kimbrough for 3 yds to the AKR 22Similar
Q2 8:35
4TH & 14
OPP 22
+40
30.0%
Will Hryszko 40 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 8FG
13 plays · 62 yds · 2:2570% → 68%
Q2 8:26
1ST & 10
OWN 29
-5
29.9%
PENALTY AKR False Start 5 yards from AKR29 to AKR24. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 8:20
1ST & 15
OWN 24
+20
30.4%
Jordon Simmons run for 20 yds to the AKR 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:40
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+16
27.7%
Ben Finley pass complete to Israel Polk for 16 yds to the KENT 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:24
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
27.3%
Ben Finley pass incomplete to Israel PolkSimilar
Q2 7:18
2ND & 10
OPP 40
0
27.3%
Ben Finley pass incomplete to Israel PolkSimilar
Q2 7:06
3RD & 10
OPP 40
+29
26.6%
Ben Finley pass complete to Adrian Norton for 29 yds to the KENT 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:50
1ST & 10
OPP 11
0
26.1%
Ben Finley pass incomplete to Jarvis RushSimilar
Q2 6:41
2ND & 10
OPP 11
+2
28.7%
Ben Finley run for 2 yds to the KENT 9Similar
Q2 6:05
3RD & 8
OPP 9
0
29.0%
Ben Finley pass incomplete to Jordon SimmonsSimilar
Q2 6:01
4TH & 8
OPP 9
+26
32.4%
Garrison Smith 26 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 9PUNT
6 plays · 6 yds · 2:1627% → 27%
Q2 6:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
27.3%
PENALTY KSU False Start (Hazime,Mohammed) 5 yards from KSU25 to KSU20. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 5:52
1ST & 15
OWN 20
+5
27.1%
Tommy Ulatowski run for 5 yds to the KENT 25Similar
Q2 5:09
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
27.2%
Tommy Ulatowski pass complete to Jahzae Kimbrough for no gain to the KENT 25Similar
Q2 4:26
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+6
26.6%
Tommy Ulatowski pass complete to Wayne Harris for 6 yds to the KENT 31Similar
Q2 3:44
4TH & 4
OWN 31
0
26.8%
Josh Smith punt for 55 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 10PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:5170% → 69%
Q2 3:39
1ST & 10
OWN 14
0
29.9%
Ben Finley pass incomplete to Adrian NortonSimilar
Q2 3:32
2ND & 10
OWN 14
0
30.1%
Jordon Simmons run for no gain to the AKR 14Similar
Q2 2:57
3RD & 10
OWN 14
0
31.1%
Ben Finley pass incomplete to Adrian NortonSimilar
Q2 2:48
4TH & 10
OWN 14
0
31.4%
Avery Book punt for 31 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 11PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 0:5829% → 26%
Q2 2:41
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
29.0%
Tommy Ulatowski pass incomplete to Luke FlorieaSimilar
Q2 2:34
2ND & 10
OPP 45
0
28.8%
Ky Thomas run for no gain to the AKR 45Similar
Q2 1:53
3RD & 10
OPP 45
+1
27.5%
Tommy Ulatowski run for 1 yd to the AKR 44Similar
Q2 1:43
4TH & 9
OPP 44
0
25.7%
Josh Smith punt for 43 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 12FG
13 plays · 89 yds · 1:3773% → 85%
Q2 1:37
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+3
26.8%
Jordon Simmons run for 3 yds to the AKR 4Similar
Q2 1:27
2ND & 7
OWN 4
+59
28.9%
Jordon Simmons run for 59 yds to the KENT 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:13
1ST & 10
OPP 37
-5
22.9%
PENALTY AKR False Start (Williams,Tyhler) 5 yards from KSU37 to KSU42. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 0:53
1ST & 15
OPP 42
+15
23.6%
(01:00) Shotgun Finley,Ben pass incomplete deep left to Thomas,Terence thrown to KSU14 PENALTY KSU Roughing The Passer (Olds,Kameron) 15 yards from KSU42 to KSU27, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 0:47
1ST & 10
OPP 27
0
22.5%
Ben Finley pass incomplete to Israel PolkSimilar
Q2 0:44
2ND & 10
OPP 27
0
22.8%
Ben Finley pass incomplete to Charles KellomSimilar
Q2 0:38
3RD & 10
OPP 27
+11
23.3%
Ben Finley pass complete to Israel Polk for 11 yds to the KENT 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:35
1ST & 10
OPP 16
0
21.9%
Ben Finley pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:28
2ND & 10
OPP 16
0
21.8%
Ben Finley pass incomplete to Ahmarian GrangerSimilar
Q2 0:10
3RD & 10
OPP 16
+6
22.2%
Ben Finley pass complete to Jake Newell for 6 yds to the KENT 10Similar
Q2 0:00
4TH & 4
OPP 10
+27
15.4%
Garrison Smith 27 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 13TD
11 plays · 65 yds · 4:0279% → 93%
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+6
20.6%
Charles Kellom run for 6 yds to the AKR 41Similar
Q3 14:26
2ND & 4
OWN 41
+10
19.5%
Ben Finley pass complete to Jake Newell for 10 yds to the KENT 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:58
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+4
19.2%
Charles Kellom run for 4 yds to the KENT 45Similar
Q3 13:28
2ND & 6
OPP 45
+1
18.8%
Charles Kellom run for 1 yd to the KENT 44Similar
Q3 12:42
3RD & 5
OPP 44
+12
17.9%
Ben Finley pass complete to Adrian Norton for 12 yds to the KENT 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:20
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+3
17.4%
Charles Kellom run for 3 yds to the KENT 29Similar
Q3 11:48
2ND & 7
OPP 29
+4
17.2%
Ben Finley run for 4 yds to the KENT 25Similar
Q3 11:18
3RD & 3
OPP 25
+17
16.9%
Tahj Bullock run for 8 yds to the KENT 17 for a 1ST down Kent State Penalty, UNR: Unnecessary Roughness (Tevin Tucker) to the KENT 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:52
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
7.0%
Tahj Bullock run for 8 yds for a TD (Garrison Smith KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 14PUNT
7 plays · 10 yds · 1:4111% → 9%
Q3 10:36
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
11.0%
Ky Thomas run for 2 yds to the KENT 27Similar
Q3 10:19
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+15
10.2%
Ky Thomas run for 15 yds to the KENT 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:47
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
10.7%
Tommy Ulatowski pass incomplete to Luke FlorieaSimilar
Q3 9:42
2ND & 10
OWN 42
0
10.4%
Tommy Ulatowski pass incomplete to Luke FlorieaSimilar
Q3 9:36
3RD & 10
OWN 42
-7
10.1%
Tommy Ulatowski sacked by CJ Nunnally IV for a loss of 7 yards to the KENT 35Similar
Q3 8:55
4TH & 17
OWN 35
0
9.4%
Josh Smith punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Paul Davis at the AKR 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 15TD
9 plays · 81 yds · 4:2693% → 99%
Q3 8:43
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+9
7.1%
Charles Kellom run for 9 yds to the AKR 28Similar
Q3 8:09
2ND & 1
OWN 28
+22
6.1%
Charles Kellom run for 22 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:24
1ST & 10
50
+6
5.2%
Charles Kellom run for 6 yds to the KENT 44Similar
Q3 6:39
2ND & 4
OPP 44
+6
5.0%
Jordon Simmons run for 6 yds to the KENT 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:51
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+4
4.9%
Ben Finley pass complete to Jake Newell for 4 yds to the KENT 34Similar
Q3 5:11
2ND & 6
OPP 34
+3
3.7%
Charles Kellom run for 3 yds to the KENT 31Similar
Q3 4:43
3RD & 3
OPP 31
-5
3.7%
PENALTY AKR False Start (Blanchard,Joshua) 5 yards from KSU31 to KSU36. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 4:17
3RD & 8
OPP 36
+36
1.5%
Jarvis Rush 36 Yd pass from Ben Finley (Charles Kellom Pass to Tahj Bullock for Two-Point Conversion)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 16PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 1:131% → 1%
Q3 4:10
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-7
1.1%
Tommy Ulatowski sacked by Dimitri Madden for a loss of 7 yards to the KENT 18Similar
Q3 3:37
2ND & 17
OWN 18
+7
0.9%
Ky Thomas run for 7 yds to the KENT 25Similar
Q3 3:03
3RD & 10
OWN 25
0
0.8%
Tommy Ulatowski pass incomplete to Chrishon McCraySimilar
Q3 2:57
4TH & 10
OWN 25
0
0.8%
Josh Smith punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Paul Davis at the AKR 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 17PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 1:2599% → 99%
Q3 2:49
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+1
1.2%
Charles Kellom run for 1 yd to the AKR 31Similar
Q3 2:12
2ND & 9
OWN 31
+5
1.2%
Charles Kellom run for 5 yds to the AKR 36Similar
Q3 1:32
3RD & 4
OWN 36
0
1.1%
Ben Finley pass incomplete to Paul DavisSimilar
Q3 1:24
4TH & 4
OWN 36
0
1.2%
Avery Book punt for 38 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the KENT 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 18PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 1:521% → 1%
Q3 1:06
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+1
0.7%
Tommy Ulatowski run for 1 yd to the KENT 27Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 9
OWN 27
+3
0.6%
Ky Thomas run for 3 yds to the KENT 30Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 6
OWN 30
+5
0.6%
(15:00) PENALTY AKR Delay Of Game 5 yards from KSU30 to KSU35. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 14:54
3RD & 1
OWN 35
0
0.6%
Ky Thomas run for no gain to the KENT 35Similar
Q4 14:14
4TH & 1
OWN 35
0
0.6%
Josh Smith punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Paul Davis at the AKR 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 19PUNT
8 plays · 33 yds · 3:2899% → 100%
Q4 14:08
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+7
0.6%
Charles Kellom run for 7 yds to the AKR 31Similar
Q4 13:32
2ND & 3
OWN 31
+3
0.5%
Charles Kellom run for 3 yds to the AKR 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:42
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+25
0.5%
Ben Finley pass complete to Charles Kellom for 25 yds to the KENT 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:03
1ST & 10
OPP 41
0
0.4%
Charles Kellom run for no gain to the KENT 41Similar
Q4 11:27
2ND & 10
OPP 41
+3
0.4%
Jordon Simmons run for 3 yds to the KENT 38Similar
Q4 10:49
3RD & 7
OPP 38
0
0.4%
Ben Finley pass incomplete to Jake NewellSimilar
Q4 10:49
4TH & 7
OPP 38
-5
0.4%
PENALTY AKR Delay Of Game 5 yards from KSU38 to KSU43. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 10:40
4TH & 12
OPP 43
0
0.4%
Avery Book punt for 40 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 20PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 1:260% → 0%
Q4 10:40
1ST & 10
OWN 3
-1
0.3%
PENALTY KSU False Start (Hazime,Mohammed) 1 yard from KSU03 to KSU02. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 10:33
1ST & 11
OWN 2
+2
0.3%
Ky Thomas run for 2 yds to the KENT 4Similar
Q4 9:57
2ND & 9
OWN 4
-3
0.2%
Ky Thomas run for a loss of 3 yards to the KENT 1Similar
Q4 9:21
3RD & 12
OWN 1
+11
0.2%
Tommy Ulatowski pass complete to Jay Jay Etheridge for 11 yds to the KENT 12Similar
Q4 9:14
4TH & 1
OWN 12
0
0.2%
Josh Smith punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Paul Davis at the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 21FUMBLE
5 plays · 9 yds · 2:41100% → 100%
Q4 9:05
1ST & 10
50
+5
0.3%
Tahj Bullock run for 5 yds to the KENT 45Similar
Q4 8:24
2ND & 5
OPP 45
+1
0.3%
Charles Kellom run for 1 yd to the KENT 44Similar
Q4 7:43
3RD & 4
OPP 44
+7
0.2%
Tahj Bullock run for 7 yds to the KENT 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:58
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+1
0.2%
Tahj Bullock run for 1 yd to the KENT 36Similar
Q4 6:24
2ND & 9
OPP 36
-5
0.2%
Tahj Bullock sacked by Stephen Daley for a loss of 5 yards to the KENT 41 Tahj Bullock fumbled, recovered by KENT CJ Young , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 22TD
5 plays · 59 yds · 1:010% → 2%
Q4 6:09
1ST & 10
OWN 41
-10
0.2%
Kent State Penalty, Illegal Block (-10 Yards) to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 5:42
1ST & 1
50
+12
0.2%
Tommy Ulatowski pass complete to Luke Floriea for 12 yds to the AKR 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:30
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+1
0.2%
Jahzae Kimbrough run for 1 yd to the AKR 37Similar
Q4 5:08
2ND & 9
OPP 37
+37
1.2%
Tommy Ulatowski pass complete to Chrishon McCray for 37 yds for a TD (Will Hryszko KICK)Similar
Q4 5:08
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
1.5%
PENALTY AKR Offside (Moore Jr,Marcus) 2 yards from AKR03 to AKR01. NO PLAY.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 23DOWNS
6 plays · 7 yds · 1:4599% → 99%
Q4 5:00
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+3
0.6%
Charles Kellom run for 3 yds to the KENT 44Similar
Q4 4:17
2ND & 7
OPP 44
-1
0.6%
Charles Kellom run for a loss of 1 yard to the KENT 45Similar
Q4 3:51
3RD & 8
OPP 45
+5
0.6%
Tahj Bullock run for 5 yds to the KENT 40Similar
Q4 3:15
4TH & 3
OPP 40
0
0.6%
Tahj Bullock pass incomplete to Conner CravaackSimilar
Q4 3:15
4TH & 3
OPP 40
0
0.6%
Tahj Bullock pass incomplete to Conner CravaackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 24INT
5 plays · 12 yds · 0:571% → 1%
Q4 3:02
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+11
1.0%
Tommy Ulatowski pass complete to Chrishon McCray for 11 yds to the AKR 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:43
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
1.0%
Tommy Ulatowski pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 2:24
2ND & 10
OPP 49
+6
1.0%
Tommy Ulatowski pass complete to Wayne Harris for 6 yds to the AKR 43Similar
Q4 2:22
3RD & 4
OPP 43
-5
1.0%
PENALTY KSU False Start (Beatty,Kaden) 5 yards from AKR43 to AKR48. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 2:05
3RD & 9
OPP 48
0
1.0%
Tommy Ulatowski pass incomplete to Luke FlorieaSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 25END OF GAME
3 plays · 8 yds · 1:46100% → 100%
Q4 1:46
1ST & 10
50
+5
0.4%
Tahj Bullock run for 5 yds to the KENT 45Similar
Q4 1:07
2ND & 5
OPP 45
+5
0.3%
Marquese Williams run for 5 yds to the KENT 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 40
-2
0.3%
T. Bullock takes a kneeSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 10:52
Tahj Bullock run for 8 yds for a TD (Garrison Smith KICK)
-9.9
FG · Q2 0:00
Garrison Smith 27 yd FG GOOD
-7
TD · Q2 13:05
Charles Kellom run for 13 yds for a TD (Garrison Smith KICK)
-4.6
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com