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AKR

Akron 16 at Northern Illinois 29

NIU
2024 · Week 12 · Nov 13, 2024 · Huskie Stadium
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Win probability · NIU
modelNIU aheadAKR aheadconfidence bandkey playNIU scoreAKR score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGFGTDTDTDTDTDFGFGTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 0:29 · Tom Foley punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Paul Davis at the AKR 12
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+35.5+17.80−17.8−35.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 46Pregame prior+28.3Home team on offense+4.3Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+5.2Score differential+1.0Garbage-time factor+0.9Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−0.1
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 3:50: Trayvon Rudolph pass complete to Dane Pardridge for 39 yds for a TD (Kanon Woodill KICK) — NIU win probability +4.8 pts (now 89%) (top driver: Lead backed by the offense's own timeouts).
  2. FG · Q2 10:56: Timeout Northern Illinois, clock 10:56 — NIU win probability +3.2 pts (now 87%) (top driver: NIU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 9:20: Terence Thomas 0 Yd Return of Blocked Punt (Garrison Smith Kick) — AKR win probability +7.7 pts (now 21%) (top driver: Offense has -2 timeouts left).
  4. TD · Q2 5:32: Ethan Hampton pass complete to Grayson Barnes for 32 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed) — NIU win probability +4.6 pts (now 86%) (top driver: NIU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 7:56: Gavin Williams run for 71 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed) — NIU win probability +8.6 pts (now 98%) (top driver: NIU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
NIU made the numbers' call on 6 of 11AKR made the numbers' call on 8 of 12
  1. Q1 14:05AKR 4th & 7 at AKR 32, tied
    Close callWent for it · 17.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    17.3%−0.1
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    17.4%
    average punt
  2. Q1 12:31NIU 4th & 4 at AKR 15, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 82.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    82.3%
    46% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    82.3%−<0.1
    83% to make
    Punt
    81.9%−0.4
    average punt
  3. Q1 6:11AKR 4th & 14 at AKR 21, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 18.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    18.1%−0.5
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    18.6%
    average punt
  4. Q1 2:18AKR 4th & 10 at AKR 25, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 16.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    16.5%−0.3
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    16.8%
    average punt
  5. Q1 0:29NIU 4th & 10 at NIU 47, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 82.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    82.3%−0.4
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    82.7%
    average punt
  6. Q2 10:56AKR 4th & 9 at NIU 10, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 17.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    16.6%−0.3
    26% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    16.8%
    88% to make
    Punt
    14.6%−2.2
    average punt
  7. Q2 9:20NIU 4th & 7 at NIU 28, up 8
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 81.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    80.8%−0.5
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    81.3%
    average punt
  8. Q2 5:32NIU 4th & 1 at AKR 32, up 1
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 77.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    77.7%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    76.4%−1.3
    51% to make
    Punt
    75.7%−1.9
    average punt
  9. Q2 3:47AKR 4th & 10 at AKR 44, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 18.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    17.5%−0.7
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    18.2%
    average punt
  10. Q2 0:22NIU 4th & 5 at AKR 30, up 7
    Close callWent for it · 81.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    81.1%−0.6
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    81.8%
    56% to make
    Punt
    80.1%−1.7
    average punt
  11. Q3 12:21NIU 4th & 7 at NIU 43, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 80.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    80.4%−0.8
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    81.2%
    average punt
  12. Q3 10:56AKR 4th & 10 at AKR 37, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 18.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    17.9%−1.0
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    18.9%
    average punt
  13. Q3 8:18NIU 4th & 6 at NIU 32, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 81.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    81.3%−1.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    82.4%
    average punt
  14. Q3 5:35AKR 4th & 7 at NIU 37, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 20.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    21.0%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    20.3%−0.7
    40% to make
    Punt
    20.0%−0.9
    average punt
  15. Q3 2:38NIU 4th & 6 at AKR 49, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 83.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    84.2%−0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    84.4%
    average punt
  16. Q4 14:26AKR 4th & 20 at AKR 37, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 16.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.6%−3.9
    10% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    17.5%
    average punt
  17. Q4 10:20NIU 4th & 5 at AKR 41, up 7
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.0 ptsPunted · 88.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    88.0%
    42% to convert
    Field goal
    86.1%−1.9
    32% to make
    PuntTheir call
    87.0%−1.0
    average punt
  18. Q4 10:20NIU 4th & 5 at AKR 41, up 7
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.0 ptsPunted · 88.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    88.0%
    42% to convert
    Field goal
    86.1%−1.9
    32% to make
    PuntTheir call
    87.0%−1.0
    average punt
  19. Q4 8:05AKR 4th & 1 at AKR 29, down 7
    Numbers favored go for it by 3.7 ptsPunted · 15.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    15.9%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    12.3%−3.7
    average punt
  20. Q4 7:33AKR 4th & 10 at AKR 35, down 13
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 6.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.4%−0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.4%
    average punt
  21. Q4 2:58NIU 4th & 5 at AKR 40, up 13
    Close callPunted · 97.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.9%
    42% to convert
    Field goal
    96.5%−0.4
    34% to make
    PuntTheir call
    96.4%−0.5
    average punt
  22. Q4 0:55AKR 4th & 5 at NIU 28, down 13
    Close callWent for it · 4.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    3.6%−0.2
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    3.7%
    60% to make
    Punt
    2.2%−1.6
    average punt
  23. Q4 0:26AKR 4th & 10 at NIU 20, down 13
    Close callWent for it · 4.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    3.2%−0.8
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    4.1%
    75% to make
    Punt
    2.1%−1.9
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
NIU made the numbers' call on 3 of 4AKR made the numbers' call on 1 of 2
  1. Q1 9:46AKR Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    19.0%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    19.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 8:20NIU Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    81.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    81.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 3:50NIU Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    82.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    82.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 9:20AKR Touchdown, down 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    23.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    23.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 5:32NIU Touchdown, up 7 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    82.1%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    82.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 7:56NIU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersWent for two · failed
    Kick
    94.1%−0.3
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    94.4%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
AKRDrive 1FUMBLE
5 plays · -8 yds · 0:4215% → 15%
Q1 14:47
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+3
85.5%
Jordon Simmons run for 3 yds to the AKR 32Similar
Q1 14:21
2ND & 7
OWN 32
0
85.3%
Ben Finley pass incomplete to Bobby GoldenSimilar
Q1 14:13
3RD & 7
OWN 32
0
85.3%
Ben Finley pass incomplete to Adrian NortonSimilar
Q1 14:05
4TH & 7
OWN 32
+11
85.3%
Avery Book run for 11 yds to the AKR 21 Avery Book fumbled, recovered by NIU Jake GassawaySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 2FG
5 plays · 6 yds · 1:2885% → 85%
Q1 13:59
1ST & 10
OPP 21
0
85.3%
Telly Johnson Jr. run for no gain to the AKR 21Similar
Q1 13:13
2ND & 10
OPP 21
+6
85.2%
Ethan Hampton run for 6 yds to the AKR 15Similar
Q1 12:34
3RD & 4
OPP 15
0
85.0%
Ethan Hampton pass incomplete to Trayvon RudolphSimilar
Q1 12:31
4TH & 4
OPP 15
+32
85.0%
Kanon Woodill 32 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 3TD
9 plays · 68 yds · 2:3015% → 17%
Q1 12:16
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+4
84.9%
Jordon Simmons run for 4 yds to the AKR 36Similar
Q1 11:47
2ND & 6
OWN 36
0
84.7%
Ben Finley pass incomplete to Israel PolkSimilar
Q1 11:38
3RD & 6
OWN 36
+11
84.7%
Ben Finley run for 11 yds to the AKR 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:09
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+13
84.4%
Jordon Simmons run for 13 yds to the NIU 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:26
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
84.2%
Ben Finley pass complete to Jordon Simmons for no gain to the NIU 40Similar
Q1 9:54
2ND & 10
OPP 40
0
84.0%
Ben Finley pass incomplete to Conner CravaackSimilar
Q1 9:46
3RD & 10
OPP 40
+40
83.5%
Ben Finley pass complete to Adrian Norton for 40 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 4TD
5 plays · 70 yds · 1:1284% → 85%
Q1 9:32
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+3
83.6%
Telly Johnson Jr. run for 3 yds to the NIU 33Similar
Q1 8:51
2ND & 7
OWN 33
+9
83.3%
Ethan Hampton pass complete to Andrew McElroy for 9 yds to the NIU 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:20
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+58
84.6%
Trayvon Rudolph run for 58 yds for a TD (Kanon Woodill KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 5PUNT
6 plays · -4 yds · 2:0316% → 16%
Q1 8:14
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
84.1%
Charles Kellom run for 2 yds to the AKR 27Similar
Q1 7:31
2ND & 8
OWN 27
-1
83.9%
Ben Finley pass complete to Tahj Bullock for a loss of 1 yard to the AKR 26Similar
Q1 6:58
3RD & 9
OWN 26
0
84.0%
Ben Finley pass complete to Bobby Golden for no gain to the AKR 26Similar
Q1 6:25
4TH & 9
OWN 26
-5
83.8%
PENALTY AKRON False Start (Conroy,Sean) 5 yards from AKRON26 to AKRON21. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 6:11
4TH & 14
OWN 21
0
83.9%
Avery Book punt for 34 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 6TD
5 plays · 55 yds · 1:5184% → 89%
Q1 5:41
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+5
83.8%
Telly Johnson Jr. run for 5 yds to the 50 yard line Telly Johnson Jr. fumbled, recovered by NIU Telly Johnson Jr. , return to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 5:05
2ND & 5
50
+7
83.8%
Ethan Hampton pass complete to Tristen Tewes for 7 yds to the AKR 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:29
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+4
83.8%
Telly Johnson Jr. run for 4 yds to the AKR 39Similar
Q1 3:50
2ND & 6
OPP 39
+39
88.6%
Trayvon Rudolph pass complete to Dane Pardridge for 39 yds for a TD (Kanon Woodill KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 7PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 1:2015% → 14%
Q1 3:38
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
85.2%
Jordon Simmons run for 1 yd to the AKR 26Similar
Q1 3:08
2ND & 9
OWN 26
0
85.1%
Ben Finley pass incomplete to Jake NewellSimilar
Q1 2:52
3RD & 9
OWN 26
-1
85.3%
Ben Finley sacked for a loss of 1 yard to the AKR 25Similar
Q1 2:18
4TH & 10
OWN 25
0
85.6%
Avery Book punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Dane Pardridge at the NIU 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 8PUNT
6 plays · 12 yds · 1:4488% → 88%
Q1 2:13
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
87.9%
Northern Illinois Penalty, Ineligible Downfield on Pass (Yards) declinedSimilar
Q1 2:03
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+12
87.9%
Telly Johnson Jr. run for 12 yds to the NIU 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:22
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
88.4%
Gavin Williams run for no gain to the NIU 47Similar
Q1 0:43
2ND & 10
OWN 47
0
88.3%
Ethan Hampton pass incomplete to Grayson BarnesSimilar
Q1 0:35
3RD & 10
OWN 47
0
88.0%
Ethan Hampton pass incomplete to George DimopoulosSimilar
Q1 0:29
4TH & 10
OWN 47
0
87.7%
Tom Foley punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Paul Davis at the AKR 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 9FG
13 plays · 78 yds · 4:0415% → 16%
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+2
85.1%
Jordon Simmons run for 2 yds to the AKR 14Similar
Q2 14:41
2ND & 8
OWN 14
+30
85.2%
Ben Finley pass complete to Conner Cravaack for 30 yds to the AKR 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:10
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+1
84.5%
Ben Finley run for 1 yd to the AKR 45Similar
Q2 13:40
2ND & 9
OWN 45
0
84.7%
Ben Finley pass incomplete to Ahmarian GrangerSimilar
Q2 13:31
3RD & 9
OWN 45
+32
84.9%
Ben Finley run for 17 yds to the NIU 38 for a 1ST down Northern Illinois Penalty, Personal Foul (15 Yards) to the NIU 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:02
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+8
83.7%
Jordon Simmons run for 8 yds to the NIU 15Similar
Q2 12:18
2ND & 2
OPP 15
+4
83.4%
Jordon Simmons run for 4 yds to the NIU 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:48
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+1
83.3%
Tahj Bullock run for 1 yd to the NIU 10Similar
Q2 11:02
2ND & 9
OPP 10
0
84.2%
Ben Finley pass incomplete to Ahmarian GrangerSimilar
Q2 10:58
3RD & 9
OPP 10
0
84.9%
Ben Finley pass incomplete to Jordon SimmonsSimilar
Q2 10:56
4TH & 9
OPP 10
+27
84.0%
Garrison Smith 27 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 10PUNT TD
6 plays · 3 yds · 1:2687% → 79%
Q2 10:46
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
87.2%
Ethan Hampton pass complete to Trayvon Rudolph for 2 yds to the NIU 27Similar
Q2 10:12
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+1
87.2%
Telly Johnson Jr. run for 1 yd to the NIU 28Similar
Q2 9:27
3RD & 7
OWN 28
0
87.0%
Ethan Hampton pass incomplete to Andrew McElroySimilar
Q2 9:20
4TH & 7
OWN 28
0
79.3%
Terence Thomas 0 Yd Return of Blocked Punt (Garrison Smith Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 11TD
10 plays · 82 yds · 3:3481% → 87%
Q2 9:06
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+7
80.6%
Telly Johnson Jr. run for 7 yds to the NIU 25Similar
Q2 8:28
2ND & 3
OWN 25
+1
80.6%
Telly Johnson Jr. run for 1 yd to the NIU 24Similar
Q2 7:41
3RD & 4
OWN 24
+35
80.2%
Ethan Hampton pass complete to Gavin Williams for 35 yds to the AKR 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:28
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+7
82.3%
Ethan Hampton run for 7 yds to the AKR 34Similar
Q2 6:51
2ND & 3
OPP 34
+1
82.5%
Telly Johnson Jr. run for 1 yd to the AKR 33Similar
Q2 6:12
3RD & 2
OPP 33
+1
81.7%
Telly Johnson Jr. run for 1 yd to the AKR 32Similar
Q2 5:32
4TH & 1
OPP 32
+32
86.4%
Ethan Hampton pass complete to Grayson Barnes for 32 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed)Similar
Q2 5:32
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
86.5%
Foley,Tom rush attempt failed PENALTY AKRON Illegal Substitution 2 yards from AKRON03 to AKRON01. NO PLAY.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 12PUNT
6 plays · 13 yds · 1:3715% → 14%
Q2 5:24
1ST & 10
OWN 31
-7
84.9%
Ben Finley sacked by Raishein Thomas for a loss of 7 yards to the AKR 24Similar
Q2 4:32
2ND & 17
OWN 24
+20
85.4%
Ben Finley pass complete to Jake Newell for 20 yds to the AKR 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:06
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
84.3%
Ben Finley pass incomplete to Adrian NortonSimilar
Q2 4:01
2ND & 10
OWN 44
0
84.6%
Ben Finley pass incomplete to Israel PolkSimilar
Q2 3:55
3RD & 10
OWN 44
0
84.9%
Ben Finley pass incomplete to Adrian NortonSimilar
Q2 3:47
4TH & 10
OWN 44
0
85.7%
Avery Book punt for 37 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the NIU 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 13DOWNS
12 plays · 51 yds · 3:1886% → 86%
Q2 3:40
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+3
86.4%
Telly Johnson Jr. run for 3 yds to the NIU 22Similar
Q2 3:05
2ND & 7
OWN 22
+5
86.1%
(03:09) Shotgun Williams,Gavin rush right for 6 yards gain to the NIU28 (Johnson,DiMarco), out of bounds PENALTY AKRON Illegal Substitution 5 yards from NIU22 to NIU27. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 2:43
2ND & 2
OWN 27
+38
86.5%
Telly Johnson Jr. run for 38 yds to the AKR 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:04
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+5
87.3%
(02:15) Shotgun Hampton,Ethan pass complete short left to Rudolph,Trayvon caught at AKRON36, for 5 yards to the AKRON30 (Lewis,Darrian) PENALTY AKRON Illegal Substitution 5 yards from AKRON35 to AKRON30. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 2:00
1ST & 5
OPP 30
-5
87.2%
PENALTY NIU False Start 5 yards from AKRON30 to AKRON35. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 1:54
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+4
87.5%
Telly Johnson Jr. run for 4 yds to the AKR 31Similar
Q2 1:18
2ND & 6
OPP 31
+1
87.5%
Gavin Williams run for 1 yd to the AKR 30Similar
Q2 0:26
3RD & 5
OPP 30
0
87.1%
Ethan Hampton pass incomplete to Grayson BarnesSimilar
Q2 0:22
4TH & 5
OPP 30
0
86.3%
Ethan Hampton pass incomplete to Trayvon RudolphSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 14END OF HALF
2 plays · -1 yds · 0:0014% → 14%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 30
-1
85.8%
B. Finley takes a kneeSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 15PUNT
5 plays · 13 yds · 2:0183% → 82%
Q3 14:22
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+10
83.1%
Telly Johnson Jr. run for 10 yds to the NIU 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:05
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+1
84.1%
Telly Johnson Jr. run for 1 yd to the NIU 41Similar
Q3 13:34
2ND & 9
OWN 41
+2
83.7%
Telly Johnson Jr. run for 2 yds to the NIU 43Similar
Q3 12:54
3RD & 7
OWN 43
0
82.9%
Ethan Hampton pass complete to Gavin Williams for no gain to the NIU 43Similar
Q3 12:21
4TH & 7
OWN 43
0
81.6%
Tom Foley punt for 37 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the AKR 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 16PUNT
7 plays · 17 yds · 1:1818% → 17%
Q3 12:14
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
82.0%
Ben Finley pass incomplete to Bobby GoldenSimilar
Q3 12:04
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+2
82.2%
Jordon Simmons run for 2 yds to the AKR 22Similar
Q3 11:23
3RD & 8
OWN 22
+15
82.8%
(11:26) No Huddle-Shotgun Finley,Ben pass incomplete short left to Norton,Adrian thrown to AKRON35 PENALTY NIU Pass Interference (Finley,Jacob) 15 yards from AKRON22 to AKRON37, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 11:19
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
81.2%
Ben Finley pass incomplete to Adrian NortonSimilar
Q3 11:11
2ND & 10
OWN 37
0
81.4%
Ben Finley pass incomplete to Ahmarian GrangerSimilar
Q3 11:04
3RD & 10
OWN 37
0
82.4%
Ben Finley pass incomplete to Ahmarian GrangerSimilar
Q3 10:56
4TH & 10
OWN 37
+3
82.8%
Avery Book punt for 38 yds , Dane Pardridge returns for 3 yds to the NIU 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 17PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 2:1483% → 82%
Q3 10:32
1ST & 10
OWN 28
0
82.7%
Telly Johnson Jr. run for no gain to the NIU 28Similar
Q3 9:55
2ND & 10
OWN 28
+2
83.6%
Ethan Hampton pass complete to Brock Lampe for 2 yds to the NIU 30Similar
Q3 9:17
3RD & 8
OWN 30
+7
83.0%
Gavin Williams run for 7 yds to the NIU 37Similar
Q3 8:37
4TH & 1
OWN 37
-5
83.2%
PENALTY NIU Delay Of Game 5 yards from NIU37 to NIU32. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 8:18
4TH & 6
OWN 32
0
82.4%
Tom Foley punt for 27 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 18DOWNS
8 plays · 22 yds · 2:3920% → 20%
Q3 8:14
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+9
79.6%
(08:18) No Huddle-Shotgun Finley,Ben pass incomplete short middle to Rush,Jarvis thrown to AKRON50 PENALTY NIU Pass Interference 9 yards from AKRON41 to AKRON50, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 8:11
1ST & 10
50
0
78.3%
Ben Finley pass incomplete to Conner CravaackSimilar
Q3 7:52
2ND & 10
50
+10
79.2%
Ben Finley pass complete to Jarvis Rush for 10 yds to the NIU 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:29
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+3
78.2%
Charles Kellom run for 3 yds to the NIU 37Similar
Q3 6:53
2ND & 7
OPP 37
-11
78.0%
Ben Finley sacked by Raishein Thomas for a loss of 11 yards to the NIU 48Similar
Q3 6:07
3RD & 18
OPP 48
+11
80.8%
Ben Finley pass complete to Conner Cravaack for 11 yds to the NIU 37Similar
Q3 5:35
4TH & 7
OPP 37
0
79.9%
Ben Finley pass incomplete to Adrian NortonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 19PUNT
7 plays · 14 yds · 2:4585% → 84%
Q3 5:23
1ST & 10
OWN 37
-1
84.5%
Ethan Hampton sacked by Nathan Kapongo for a loss of 1 yard to the NIU 36Similar
Q3 4:46
2ND & 11
OWN 36
+11
83.8%
Gavin Williams run for 11 yds to the NIU 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:26
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+1
85.1%
Gavin Williams run for 1 yd to the NIU 46Similar
Q3 3:47
2ND & 11
OWN 46
+6
84.1%
Gavin Williams run for 6 yds to the AKR 48Similar
Q3 3:18
3RD & 5
OPP 48
+1
84.4%
Trayvon Rudolph run for 1 yd to the AKR 49Similar
Q3 2:38
4TH & 6
OPP 49
0
83.8%
Tom Foley punt for 48 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the AKR 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 20PUNT
10 plays · 36 yds · 3:0519% → 17%
Q3 2:31
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+2
80.9%
Jordon Simmons run for 2 yds to the AKR 3Similar
Q3 1:55
2ND & 8
OWN 3
+3
81.2%
Jordon Simmons run for 3 yds to the AKR 6Similar
Q3 1:24
3RD & 5
OWN 6
+9
83.2%
Ben Finley pass complete to Jordon Simmons for 9 yds to the AKR 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:42
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+17
81.9%
Ben Finley pass complete to Adrian Norton for 17 yds to the AKR 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:04
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
80.7%
Ben Finley pass incomplete to Bobby GoldenSimilar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 10
OWN 32
+15
81.4%
(00:03) No Huddle-Shotgun Finley,Ben pass incomplete deep right to Norton,Adrian thrown to NIU40 PENALTY NIU Pass Interference (Byrd,JaVaughn) 15 yards from AKRON32 to AKRON47, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
78.9%
Ben Finley pass incomplete to Bobby GoldenSimilar
Q4 14:49
2ND & 10
OWN 47
0
79.8%
Akron Penalty, Offensive Holding (Yards) declinedSimilar
Q4 14:37
3RD & 20
OWN 37
0
82.5%
Ben Finley pass incomplete to Bobby GoldenSimilar
Q4 14:26
4TH & 20
OWN 37
0
83.2%
Avery Book punt for 28 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 21PUNT
8 plays · 24 yds · 4:0087% → 88%
Q4 14:20
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+4
86.5%
Gavin Williams run for 4 yds to the NIU 39Similar
Q4 13:26
2ND & 6
OWN 39
+4
88.0%
Telly Johnson Jr. run for 4 yds to the NIU 43Similar
Q4 13:12
3RD & 4
OWN 41
+13
87.3%
Ethan Hampton pass complete to Trayvon Rudolph for 13 yds to the AKR 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:41
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+2
88.8%
Gavin Williams run for 2 yds to the AKR 44Similar
Q4 11:53
2ND & 8
OPP 44
-2
88.8%
Ethan Hampton sacked by CJ Nunnally IV for a loss of 2 yards to the AKR 46Similar
Q4 11:08
3RD & 10
OPP 46
+5
88.0%
Ethan Hampton pass complete to Trayvon Rudolph for 5 yds to the AKR 41Similar
Q4 10:20
4TH & 5
OPP 41
0
87.9%
Tom Foley punt for 35 ydsSimilar
Q4 10:20
4TH & 5
OPP 41
0
87.9%
Tom Foley punt for 35 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 22PUNT
6 plays · 23 yds · 2:0916% → 16%
Q4 10:14
1ST & 10
OWN 6
0
84.1%
Ben Finley pass incomplete to Israel PolkSimilar
Q4 10:04
2ND & 10
OWN 6
+14
84.5%
Jordon Simmons run for 14 yds to the AKR 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:35
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
83.4%
Ben Finley pass incomplete to Adrian NortonSimilar
Q4 9:29
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+9
83.7%
Ben Finley pass complete to Israel Polk for 9 yds to the AKR 29Similar
Q4 8:50
3RD & 1
OWN 29
0
83.0%
Jordon Simmons run for no gain to the AKR 29Similar
Q4 8:05
4TH & 1
OWN 29
0
84.1%
Avery Book punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Dane Pardridge at the NIU 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 23TD
2 plays · 71 yds · 0:0098% → 98%
Q4 7:56
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+71
98.1%
Gavin Williams run for 71 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 24PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:198% → 7%
Q4 7:52
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
92.1%
Ben Finley pass incomplete to Adrian NortonSimilar
Q4 7:47
2ND & 10
OWN 35
0
92.3%
Ben Finley pass incomplete to Tahj BullockSimilar
Q4 7:42
3RD & 10
OWN 35
0
93.0%
Ben Finley pass incomplete to Tahj BullockSimilar
Q4 7:33
4TH & 10
OWN 35
0
93.3%
Avery Book punt for 40 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the NIU 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 25PUNT
9 plays · 35 yds · 4:3098% → 99%
Q4 7:25
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
98.0%
Justin Lynch run for 4 yds to the NIU 29Similar
Q4 6:49
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+9
98.2%
Telly Johnson Jr. run for 9 yds to the NIU 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:08
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+4
98.4%
Justin Lynch run for 4 yds to the NIU 42Similar
Q4 5:26
2ND & 6
OWN 42
+13
98.5%
Justin Lynch run for 13 yds to the AKR 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:42
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+4
98.7%
Telly Johnson Jr. run for 4 yds to the AKR 41Similar
Q4 3:54
2ND & 6
OPP 41
+3
98.8%
Justin Lynch run for 3 yds to the AKR 38Similar
Q4 2:58
4TH & 5
OPP 40
0
99.0%
Ethan Hampton punt for 40 yds for a touchbackSimilar
Q4 2:55
3RD & 3
OPP 38
+2
99.1%
Telly Johnson Jr. run for 2 yds to the AKR 40 Telly Johnson Jr. fumbled, recovered by NIU Telly Johnson Jr.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 26DOWNS
19 plays · 60 yds · 2:183% → 3%
Q4 2:44
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+3
97.4%
Ben Finley pass complete to Charles Kellom for 3 yds to the AKR 23Similar
Q4 2:31
2ND & 7
OWN 23
0
97.4%
Ben Finley pass incomplete to Adrian NortonSimilar
Q4 2:20
3RD & 7
OWN 23
+19
97.5%
Ben Finley pass complete to Israel Polk for 19 yds to the AKR 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:09
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
97.1%
Ben Finley pass incomplete to Charles KellomSimilar
Q4 2:00
2ND & 10
OWN 42
+10
97.2%
Ben Finley pass complete to Bobby Golden for 10 yds to the NIU 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:54
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
97.2%
Ben Finley pass incomplete to Israel PolkSimilar
Q4 1:49
2ND & 10
OPP 48
+6
97.2%
Ben Finley pass complete to Conner Cravaack for 6 yds to the NIU 42Similar
Q4 1:41
3RD & 4
OPP 42
+9
97.1%
Ben Finley pass complete to Bobby Golden for 9 yds Bobby Golden fumbled, recovered by AKR for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:21
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+4
96.7%
Ben Finley pass complete to Charles Kellom for 4 yds to the NIU 29Similar
Q4 1:07
2ND & 6
OPP 29
0
96.5%
Ben Finley pass incomplete to Bobby GoldenSimilar
Q4 0:57
3RD & 6
OPP 29
+1
96.7%
Ben Finley pass complete to Charles Kellom for 1 yd to the NIU 28Similar
Q4 0:55
4TH & 5
OPP 28
+8
97.0%
Ben Finley pass complete to Bobby Golden for 8 yds to the NIU 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:41
1ST & 10
OPP 20
0
96.5%
Ben Finley pass incomplete to Bobby GoldenSimilar
Q4 0:36
2ND & 10
OPP 20
0
96.6%
Ben Finley pass incomplete to Adrian NortonSimilar
Q4 0:31
3RD & 10
OPP 20
0
96.9%
Ben Finley pass incomplete to Adrian NortonSimilar
Q4 0:26
4TH & 10
OPP 20
0
97.5%
Ben Finley pass incomplete to Israel PolkSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 27END OF GAME
1 play · -1 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-1
99.5%
E. Hampton takes a kneeSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 7:56
Gavin Williams run for 71 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed)
+8.6
TD · Q2 9:20
Terence Thomas 0 Yd Return of Blocked Punt (Garrison Smith Kick)
-7.7
TD · Q1 3:50
Trayvon Rudolph pass complete to Dane Pardridge for 39 yds for a TD (Kanon Woodill KICK)
+4.8
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com