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CMU

Central Michigan 10 at Toledo 37

TOL
2024 · Week 12 · Nov 12, 2024 · Glass Bowl
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Win probability · TOL
modelTOL aheadCMU aheadconfidence bandkey playTOL scoreCMU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDFGTDTDFGTDFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 0:31 · Dane Nauman run for 1 yd to the TOL 12
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialBlowout marginGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+36.0+18.00−18.0−36.0Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 4:26: Tucker Gleason run for 9 yds for a TD (Dylan Cunanan KICK) — TOL win probability +1.2 pts (now 82%) (top driver: TOL has the ball).
  2. FG · Q2 12:42: Dylan Cunanan 30 yd FG GOOD — TOL win probability +1.6 pts (now 82%) (top driver: TOL has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 4:48: Tucker Gleason run for 30 yds for a TD (Dylan Cunanan KICK) — TOL win probability +5.0 pts (now 88%) (top driver: TOL has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 0:22: Jadyn Glasser pass intercepted Nasir Bowers return for 45 yds for a TD (Dylan Cunanan KICK) — TOL win probability +6.7 pts (now 94%) (top driver: CMU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 7:17: Tucker Gleason pass complete to Zy'marion Lang for 27 yds for a TD (Dylan Cunanan KICK) — TOL win probability +2.5 pts (now 100%) (top driver: TOL has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
TOL made the numbers' call on 5 of 6CMU made the numbers' call on 2 of 7
  1. Q1 8:29CMU 4th & 3 at TOL 16, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 18.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    18.3%
    51% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    18.2%−<0.1
    81% to make
    Punt
    17.6%−0.6
    average punt
  2. Q1 2:18CMU 4th & 3 at CMU 34, down 4
    Close callPunted · 18.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    19.0%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    19.0%−<0.1
    average punt
  3. Q2 12:42TOL 4th & 12 at CMU 12, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 79.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    78.8%−0.6
    19% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    79.4%
    86% to make
    Punt
    77.1%−2.3
    average punt
  4. Q2 10:03TOL 4th & 13 at CMU 45, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 81.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    81.0%−0.7
    21% to convert
    Field goal
    80.9%−0.7
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    81.7%
    average punt
  5. Q2 7:19CMU 4th & 5 at CMU 13, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 17.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    16.7%−0.5
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    17.1%
    average punt
  6. Q2 1:49CMU 4th & 5 at TOL 46, down 14
    Close callPunted · 12.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.4%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    11.8%−0.5
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    12.2%−0.2
    average punt
  7. Q2 1:02TOL 4th & 17 at TOL 7, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 87.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    85.8%−2.4
    12% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    88.2%
    average punt
  8. Q3 1:17CMU 4th & 5 at TOL 12, down 31
    Close callWent for it · 0.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.2%−<0.1
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    0.2%
    86% to make
    Punt
    -0.2%−0.4
    average punt
  9. Q4 13:32TOL 4th & 2 at TOL 34, up 31
    Close callPunted · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.8%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.8%−<0.1
    average punt
  10. Q4 9:53TOL 4th & 21 at CMU 22, up 31
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.7%−0.2
    8% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.9%
    72% to make
    Punt
    99.5%−0.4
    average punt
  11. Q4 7:55CMU 4th & 13 at CMU 38, down 34
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−0.1
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  12. Q4 5:36TOL 4th & 6 at TOL 38, up 34
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%
    average punt
  13. Q4 2:24CMU 4th & 13 at TOL 19, down 34
    Close callWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.0%−<0.1
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    0.1%
    77% to make
    Punt
    -0.0%−0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
TOL made the numbers' call on 4 of 4CMU made the numbers' call on 0 of 1
  1. Q1 4:26TOL Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    81.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    81.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 4:48TOL Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    87.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    87.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 0:22TOL Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 7:17TOL Touchdown, up 30 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 1:28CMU Touchdown, down 28 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.1%−<0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.1%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
CMUDrive 1FG
11 plays · 62 yds · 6:2216% → 18%
Q1 14:51
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+4
84.1%
Marion Lukes run for 4 yds to the CMU 26Similar
Q1 14:16
2ND & 6
OWN 26
+23
83.9%
Marion Lukes run for 23 yds to the CMU 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:46
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+5
83.7%
Jadyn Glasser pass complete to Chris Parker for 5 yds to the TOL 46Similar
Q1 13:06
2ND & 5
OPP 46
+10
83.5%
Solomon Davis run for 10 yds to the TOL 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:28
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+4
83.2%
Jadyn Glasser pass complete to Chris Parker for 4 yds to the TOL 32Similar
Q1 11:48
2ND & 6
OPP 32
+3
82.9%
B.J. Harris run for 3 yds to the TOL 29Similar
Q1 11:09
3RD & 3
OPP 29
+6
82.7%
B.J. Harris run for 6 yds to the TOL 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:33
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+4
82.4%
B.J. Harris run for 4 yds to the TOL 19Similar
Q1 9:46
2ND & 6
OPP 19
-7
82.2%
Jadyn Glasser sacked by Malachi Davis and Anthony Dunn Jr. for a loss of 7 yards to the TOL 26Similar
Q1 9:05
3RD & 13
OPP 26
+10
82.2%
Jadyn Glasser pass complete to Tommy McIntosh for 10 yds to the TOL 16Similar
Q1 8:29
4TH & 3
OPP 16
+34
81.7%
Tristan Mattson 34 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TOLDrive 2TD
10 plays · 71 yds · 3:5582% → 82%
Q1 8:21
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+19
81.7%
Tucker Gleason pass complete to Junior Vandeross III for 19 yds to the TOL 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:04
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
82.0%
Tucker Gleason pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 8:03
2ND & 10
OWN 48
+4
82.0%
Sevaughn Clark run for 4 yds to the CMU 48Similar
Q1 7:25
3RD & 6
OPP 48
+7
81.8%
Tucker Gleason run for 7 yds to the CMU 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:54
1ST & 10
OPP 41
0
81.7%
Tucker Gleason pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 6:46
2ND & 10
OPP 41
+2
81.7%
Connor Walendzak run for 2 yds to the CMU 39Similar
Q1 6:15
3RD & 8
OPP 39
+24
81.4%
Tucker Gleason pass complete to Jerjuan Newton for 24 yds to the CMU 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:40
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+1
81.4%
Connor Walendzak run for 1 yd to the CMU 14Similar
Q1 5:01
2ND & 9
OPP 14
+5
81.2%
Tucker Gleason run for 5 yds to the CMU 9Similar
Q1 4:26
3RD & 4
OPP 9
+9
82.4%
Tucker Gleason run for 9 yds for a TD (Dylan Cunanan KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 3PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 1:5918% → 19%
Q1 4:17
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+2
81.8%
B.J. Harris run for 2 yds to the CMU 29Similar
Q1 3:45
2ND & 8
OWN 29
+4
81.7%
Jadyn Glasser pass complete to Marion Lukes for 4 yds to the CMU 33Similar
Q1 3:03
3RD & 4
OWN 33
+1
81.6%
B.J. Harris run for 1 yd to the CMU 34Similar
Q1 2:18
4TH & 3
OWN 34
+5
81.4%
David Chapeau punt for 45 yds , Bryson Hammer returns for 5 yds to the TOL 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TOLDrive 4FG
13 plays · 77 yds · 4:2781% → 82%
Q1 2:09
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+1
81.0%
Jacquez Stuart run for 1 yd to the TOL 12Similar
Q1 1:37
2ND & 9
OWN 12
+13
80.8%
Jacquez Stuart run for 13 yds to the TOL 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:16
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+30
80.9%
(01:16) GLEASON, Tucker pass deep to the right incomplete intended for VANDEROSS III, Junior thrown to the TOLEDO47, clock 01:13. PENALTY CMU Pass Interference on KENT, Donte declined CMU Personal Foul on DAVIS, Jaden enforced 15 yards from the TOLEDO25 to the TOLEDO40 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 1:08
1ST & 10
OWN 40
-2
81.4%
Sevaughn Clark run for a loss of 2 yards to the TOL 38Similar
Q1 0:30
2ND & 12
OWN 38
0
80.8%
Tucker Gleason pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 0:21
3RD & 12
OWN 38
+15
80.4%
Central Michigan Penalty, Personal Foul (Da'Raun McKinney) to the CMU 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:06
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
81.5%
Connor Walendzak run for no gain to the CMU 38Similar
Q2 14:58
2ND & 10
OPP 38
+26
81.4%
Jacquez Stuart run for 26 yds to the CMU 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:35
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+10
81.6%
Jacquez Stuart run for 10 yds to the CMU 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:10
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
-13
81.5%
Tucker Gleason run for a loss of 13 yards to the CMU 15 Tucker Gleason fumbled, recovered by TOL Tucker Gleason T. Gleason return for 0 ydsSimilar
Q2 13:21
2ND & GOAL
OPP 15
+3
81.1%
Jacquez Stuart run for 3 yds to the CMU 12Similar
Q2 12:49
3RD & GOAL
OPP 12
0
80.8%
Tucker Gleason pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 12:42
4TH & GOAL
OPP 12
+30
82.3%
Dylan Cunanan 30 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 5INT
1 play · 0 yds · 0:0018% → 18%
Q2 12:33
1ST & 10
OWN 17
0
82.3%
Jadyn Glasser pass intercepted Avery Smith return for no gain to the TOL 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TOLDrive 6PUNT
5 plays · 10 yds · 2:2483% → 82%
Q2 12:27
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+13
83.4%
Jacquez Stuart run for 13 yds to the CMU 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:51
1ST & 10
OPP 42
-2
83.5%
Jacquez Stuart run for a loss of 2 yards to the CMU 44Similar
Q2 11:25
2ND & 12
OPP 44
-5
83.1%
Tucker Gleason pass complete to Jacquez Stuart for a loss of 5 yards to the CMU 49Similar
Q2 10:42
3RD & 17
OPP 49
+4
82.3%
Tucker Gleason pass complete to Eric Holley III for 4 yds to the CMU 45Similar
Q2 10:03
4TH & 13
OPP 45
+34
81.7%
Emilio Duran punt for 34 yds , Marcus Badgett returns for no gain to the CMU 8 , returns for no gain to the CMU 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 7PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 2:3718% → 17%
Q2 9:56
1ST & 10
OWN 8
-1
82.3%
Marion Lukes run for a loss of 1 yard to the CMU 7Similar
Q2 9:12
2ND & 11
OWN 7
-25
82.4%
(09:12) GLASSER, Jadyn pass short to the right complete for 25 yards to LUKES, Marion caught at the CMU10 and advanced to the CMU32 (SMITH, Avery), clock 09:03. PENALTY CMU Face mask on SWARTOUT, Brayden enforced half the distance from the goal, 3 yards from the CMU7 to the CMU4 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 8:41
2ND & 14
OWN 4
+6
82.4%
Marion Lukes run for 6 yds to the CMU 10Similar
Q2 7:58
3RD & 8
OWN 10
+3
82.9%
Marion Lukes run for 3 yds to the CMU 13Similar
Q2 7:19
4TH & 5
OWN 13
+1
83.2%
David Chapeau punt for 48 yds , Bryson Hammer returns for 1 yd to the TOL 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TOLDrive 8TD
7 plays · 75 yds · 2:2083% → 88%
Q2 7:08
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
82.8%
Connor Walendzak run for 1 yd to the TOL 26Similar
Q2 6:35
2ND & 9
OWN 26
0
82.7%
Tucker Gleason pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 6:31
3RD & 9
OWN 26
+32
82.1%
Tucker Gleason run for 32 yds to the CMU 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:57
1ST & 10
OPP 42
0
83.9%
Tucker Gleason pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 5:54
2ND & 10
OPP 42
+1
83.8%
Jacquez Stuart run for 1 yd to the CMU 41Similar
Q2 5:20
3RD & 9
OPP 41
+11
83.3%
Tucker Gleason pass complete to Thomas Zsiros for 11 yds to the CMU 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:48
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+30
88.3%
Tucker Gleason run for 30 yds for a TD (Dylan Cunanan KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 9PUNT
9 plays · 29 yds · 2:5513% → 14%
Q2 4:44
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
87.0%
Jadyn Glasser pass complete to Myles Bailey for 4 yds to the CMU 29Similar
Q2 4:14
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+5
86.9%
Myles Bailey run for 5 yds to the CMU 34Similar
Q2 3:35
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+1
86.8%
Jadyn Glasser run for 1 yd to the CMU 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:38
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+15
87.2%
Toledo Penalty, Unnecessary Roughness (Deshawn Holt) to the CMU 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:24
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
86.7%
Jadyn Glasser pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 2:15
2ND & 10
OWN 49
+5
87.2%
Marion Lukes run for 5 yds to the TOL 46Similar
Q2 2:00
3RD & 5
OPP 46
0
85.5%
Jadyn Glasser pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:49
4TH & 5
OPP 46
0
86.3%
David Chapeau punt for 32 yds, fair catch by Bryson Hammer at the TOL 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TOLDrive 10PUNT
5 plays · -7 yds · 0:4487% → 88%
Q2 1:46
1ST & 10
OWN 14
-1
87.4%
Connor Walendzak run for a loss of 1 yard to the TOL 13Similar
Q2 1:15
2ND & 11
OWN 13
-8
87.3%
Tucker Gleason sacked by Kade Kostus for a loss of 8 yards to the TOL 5Similar
Q2 1:09
3RD & 19
OWN 5
+2
88.8%
Connor Walendzak run for 2 yds to the TOL 7Similar
Q2 1:02
4TH & 17
OWN 7
+7
88.4%
Emilio Duran punt for 70 yds , Da'Raun McKinney returns for 7 yds to the CMU 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 11INT TD
2 plays · 7 yds · 0:2813% → 6%
Q2 0:50
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+7
86.9%
B.J. Harris run for 7 yds to the CMU 37Similar
Q2 0:22
2ND & 3
OWN 37
-45
93.7%
Jadyn Glasser pass intercepted Nasir Bowers return for 45 yds for a TD (Dylan Cunanan KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 12FUMBLE
3 plays · -11 yds · 0:096% → 6%
Q2 0:20
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-10
94.3%
Central Michigan Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the CMU 16Similar
Q2 0:11
1ST & 19
OWN 16
-2
94.4%
Jadyn Glasser sacked for a loss of 2 yards to the CMU 14 Jadyn Glasser fumbled, recovered by TOL Jackson Barrow , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TOLDrive 13FG
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:0795% → 96%
Q2 0:07
1ST & 10
OPP 14
0
95.3%
Tucker Gleason pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 10
OPP 14
+32
95.8%
Dylan Cunanan 32 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TOLDrive 14DOWNS
5 plays · 0 yds · 1:2996% → 96%
Q3 14:50
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+11
95.8%
Tucker Gleason pass complete to Larry Stephens for 11 yds to the CMU 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:23
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+4
95.9%
Sevaughn Clark run for 4 yds to the CMU 33Similar
Q3 13:56
2ND & 6
OPP 33
0
96.0%
Sevaughn Clark run for no gain to the CMU 33Similar
Q3 13:30
3RD & 6
OPP 33
0
95.8%
Tucker Gleason pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 13:21
4TH & 6
OPP 33
-15
95.5%
Toledo Penalty, turnover on downs. PENALTY Unsportsmanlike Conduct on HOLLEY, Eric enforced (-15 Yards) to the CMU 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 15FUMBLE
7 plays · 12 yds · 3:135% → 4%
Q3 13:15
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+2
95.2%
Marion Lukes run for 2 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 12:41
2ND & 8
50
0
95.5%
Jadyn Glasser pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 12:34
3RD & 8
50
+10
95.6%
Marion Lukes run for 10 yds to the TOL 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:00
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+7
95.7%
Jadyn Glasser pass complete to Jesse Prewitt III for 7 yds to the TOL 33Similar
Q3 11:29
2ND & 3
OPP 33
+10
95.3%
Marion Lukes run for 10 yds to the TOL 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:45
1ST & 10
OPP 23
-10
95.8%
Jadyn Glasser sacked by Anthony Dunn Jr. for a loss of 10 yards to the TOL 33Similar
Q3 10:02
2ND & 20
OPP 33
-7
96.2%
Marion Lukes run for a loss of 7 yards to the TOL 40 Marion Lukes fumbled, recovered by TOL Braden Awls B. Awls return for 0 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TOLDrive 16TD
7 plays · 60 yds · 2:3297% → 100%
Q3 9:49
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+4
96.7%
Tucker Gleason run for 4 yds to the TOL 44Similar
Q3 9:29
2ND & 6
OWN 44
+1
96.8%
Sevaughn Clark run for 1 yd to the TOL 45Similar
Q3 9:04
3RD & 5
OWN 45
+10
96.8%
Tucker Gleason pass complete to Anthony Torres for 10 yds to the CMU 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:37
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+6
97.1%
Tucker Gleason pass complete to Junior Vandeross III for 6 yds to the CMU 39Similar
Q3 8:13
2ND & 4
OPP 39
+7
96.9%
Tucker Gleason pass complete to Jerjuan Newton for 7 yds to the CMU 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:36
1ST & 10
OPP 32
-10
97.1%
Toledo Penalty, Offensive Holding (Jerjuan Newton) to the CMU 27Similar
Q3 7:17
1ST & 5
OPP 27
+27
99.6%
Tucker Gleason pass complete to Zy'marion Lang for 27 yds for a TD (Dylan Cunanan KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 17DOWNS
11 plays · 59 yds · 5:511% → 0%
Q3 7:08
1ST & 10
OWN 29
-3
99.5%
Marion Lukes run for a loss of 3 yards to the CMU 26Similar
Q3 6:31
2ND & 13
OWN 26
+28
99.5%
Jadyn Glasser pass complete to DeCorion Temple for 28 yds to the TOL 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:59
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+3
99.3%
Marion Lukes run for 3 yds to the TOL 43Similar
Q3 5:31
2ND & 7
OPP 43
+13
99.3%
Jadyn Glasser pass complete to Solomon Davis for 13 yds to the TOL 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:51
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+2
99.2%
Marion Lukes run for 2 yds to the TOL 28Similar
Q3 4:11
2ND & 8
OPP 28
+3
99.3%
Marion Lukes run for 3 yds to the TOL 25Similar
Q3 3:31
3RD & 5
OPP 25
+8
99.7%
Jadyn Glasser pass complete to Chris Parker for 8 yds to the TOL 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:48
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+4
99.7%
Marion Lukes run for 4 yds to the TOL 13Similar
Q3 2:05
2ND & 6
OPP 13
0
99.7%
Jadyn Glasser pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 2:01
3RD & 6
OPP 13
+1
99.7%
B.J. Harris run for 1 yd to the TOL 12Similar
Q3 1:17
4TH & 5
OPP 12
0
99.7%
Jadyn Glasser pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TOLDrive 18PUNT
6 plays · 22 yds · 2:40100% → 100%
Q3 1:12
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+2
99.7%
Tucker Gleason pass complete to Terrell Crosby Jr. for 2 yds to the TOL 14Similar
Q3 0:37
2ND & 8
OWN 14
+12
99.7%
Sevaughn Clark run for 12 yds to the TOL 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 26
0
99.8%
Tucker Gleason pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 14:54
2ND & 10
OWN 26
-3
99.8%
Sevaughn Clark run for a loss of 3 yards to the TOL 23Similar
Q4 14:22
3RD & 13
OWN 23
+11
99.8%
Tucker Gleason pass complete to Thomas Zsiros for 11 yds to the TOL 34Similar
Q4 13:32
4TH & 2
OWN 34
0
99.8%
Emilio Duran punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Donte Kent at the CMU 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 19FUMBLE
3 plays · -13 yds · 1:260% → 0%
Q4 13:25
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+1
99.9%
Jadyn Glasser run for 1 yd to the CMU 25Similar
Q4 12:44
2ND & 9
OWN 25
+2
99.9%
Marion Lukes run for 2 yds to the CMU 27Similar
Q4 11:59
3RD & 7
OWN 27
-16
99.9%
Jadyn Glasser sacked for a loss of 16 yards to the CMU 11 Jadyn Glasser fumbled, recovered by TOL Esean Carter , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TOLDrive 20FG
4 plays · -11 yds · 1:50100% → 100%
Q4 11:43
1ST & 10
OPP 11
-5
99.9%
Sevaughn Clark run for a loss of 5 yards to the CMU 16Similar
Q4 11:10
2ND & 15
OPP 16
0
99.9%
Sevaughn Clark run for no gain to the CMU 16Similar
Q4 10:36
3RD & 15
OPP 16
-6
99.9%
John Alan Richter sacked by Michael Heldman for a loss of 6 yards to the CMU 22Similar
Q4 9:53
4TH & 21
OPP 22
+40
99.9%
Dylan Cunanan 40 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 21PUNT
6 plays · 13 yds · 1:580% → 0%
Q4 9:53
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
99.9%
Jadyn Glasser pass complete to Jesse Prewitt III for 9 yds to the CMU 34Similar
Q4 9:18
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+7
99.9%
(09:18) GLASSER, Jadyn pass up the middle incomplete intended for MCINTOSH, Tommy thrown to the CMU41, clock 09:16. PENALTY TOLEDO Pass Interference on BLAKE, Zeke enforced at the spot of the foul for 7 yards to the CMU41 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 9:11
1ST & 10
OWN 41
-3
99.9%
Jadyn Glasser sacked by Malachi Davis and Esean Carter for a loss of 3 yards to the CMU 38Similar
Q4 8:37
2ND & 13
OWN 38
0
99.9%
Jadyn Glasser pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 8:35
3RD & 13
OWN 38
0
99.9%
Jadyn Glasser pass complete to B.J. Harris for no gain to the CMU 38Similar
Q4 7:55
4TH & 13
OWN 38
+1
99.9%
David Chapeau punt for 44 yds , Bryson Hammer returns for 1 yd to the TOL 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TOLDrive 22PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 2:13100% → 100%
Q4 7:49
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+2
99.9%
Sevaughn Clark run for 2 yds to the TOL 36Similar
Q4 7:03
2ND & 8
OWN 36
-2
99.9%
Sevaughn Clark run for a loss of 2 yards to the TOL 34Similar
Q4 6:14
3RD & 10
OWN 34
+4
99.9%
John Alan Richter pass complete to Sevaughn Clark for 4 yds to the TOL 38Similar
Q4 5:36
4TH & 6
OWN 38
+6
99.9%
Emilio Duran punt for 38 yds , Donte Kent returns for 6 yds to the CMU 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 23TD
13 plays · 70 yds · 4:070% → 0%
Q4 5:35
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+11
99.9%
Jadyn Glasser pass complete to Chris Parker for 11 yds to the CMU 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:02
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+24
99.9%
Jadyn Glasser pass complete to Chris Parker for 24 yds to the TOL 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:33
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+9
99.9%
Jadyn Glasser pass complete to Jesse Prewitt III for 9 yds to the TOL 26Similar
Q4 4:05
2ND & 1
OPP 26
0
99.9%
Jadyn Glasser pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 4:01
3RD & 1
OPP 26
+10
99.9%
Marion Lukes run for 10 yds to the TOL 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:23
1ST & 10
OPP 16
0
99.9%
Jadyn Glasser pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 3:18
2ND & 10
OPP 16
+2
99.9%
Marion Lukes run for 2 yds to the TOL 14Similar
Q4 2:39
3RD & 8
OPP 14
-5
99.9%
Central Michigan Penalty, Delay Of Game (Elijah Rikard) to the TOL 19Similar
Q4 2:29
3RD & 13
OPP 19
0
99.9%
Jadyn Glasser pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 2:24
4TH & 13
OPP 19
+13
99.9%
Jadyn Glasser pass complete to Jesse Prewitt III for 13 yds to the TOL 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:56
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+4
99.9%
Jadyn Glasser run for 4 yds to the TOL 2Similar
Q4 1:28
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
99.9%
Marion Lukes run for 2 yds for a TD (Tristan Mattson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TOLDrive 24END OF GAME
2 plays · 3 yds · 0:37100% → 100%
Q4 1:08
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+2
99.9%
Dane Nauman run for 2 yds to the TOL 11Similar
Q4 0:31
2ND & 8
OWN 11
+1
99.9%
Dane Nauman run for 1 yd to the TOL 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 0:22
Jadyn Glasser pass intercepted Nasir Bowers return for 45 yds for a TD (Dylan Cunanan KICK)
+6.7
TD · Q2 4:48
Tucker Gleason run for 30 yds for a TD (Dylan Cunanan KICK)
+5
TD · Q3 7:17
Tucker Gleason pass complete to Zy'marion Lang for 27 yds for a TD (Dylan Cunanan KICK)
+2.5
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com