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WMU

Western Michigan 13 at Bowling Green 31

BGSU
2024 · Week 12 · Nov 12, 2024 · Doyt L. Perry Stadium
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Win probability · BGSU
modelBGSU aheadWMU aheadconfidence bandkey playBGSU scoreWMU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 13:07 · Ryan Millmore punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Justin Pegues at the BGSU 31
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+32.5+16.30−16.3−32.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 5Home team on offense−0.1Pregame prior+22.0Score differential−0.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.1Garbage-time factor+0.0Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.1
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 10:36: Jalen Buckley run for 6 yds for a TD (Luka Zurak KICK) — WMU win probability +7.2 pts (now 38%) (top driver: WMU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 5:12: Connor Bazelak pass complete to Harold Fannin Jr. for 25 yds for a TD (Zach Long KICK) — BGSU win probability +8.6 pts (now 73%) (top driver: BGSU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 4:02: Connor Bazelak run for 1 yd for a TD (Zach Long KICK) — BGSU win probability +5.3 pts (now 78%) (top driver: BGSU has the ball).
  4. KEY PLAY · Q2 0:33: Jaison Patterson run for 19 yds to the WMU 48 for a 1ST down — BGSU win probability +4.4 pts (now 81%) (top driver: BGSU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 11:11: Terion Stewart run for 17 yds for a TD (Zach Long KICK) — BGSU win probability +8.7 pts (now 92%) (top driver: BGSU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
BGSU made the numbers' call on 3 of 5WMU made the numbers' call on 9 of 12
  1. Q1 13:07WMU 4th & 3 at WMU 32, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 25.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    25.7%−<0.1
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    25.7%
    average punt
  2. Q1 8:32BGSU 4th & 11 at WMU 32, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 73.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    73.0%−0.1
    27% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    73.1%
    51% to make
    Punt
    73.0%−0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 7:01WMU 4th & 16 at WMU 17, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 25.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    25.3%−0.6
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    25.9%
    average punt
  4. Q1 3:38BGSU 4th & 3 at WMU 41, up 3
    Close callPunted · 73.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    73.5%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    72.9%−0.6
    32% to make
    PuntTheir call
    73.1%−0.5
    average punt
  5. Q2 14:12WMU 4th & 1 at BGSU 35, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 28.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    28.3%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    27.3%−1.1
    45% to make
    Punt
    27.0%−1.4
    average punt
  6. Q2 11:17WMU 4th & 1 at BGSU 8, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 29.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    29.0%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    27.8%−1.3
    90% to make
    Punt
    24.5%−4.5
    average punt
  7. Q2 8:23WMU 4th & 14 at BGSU 41, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 33.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    33.5%−0.6
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    33.8%−0.3
    32% to make
    PuntTheir call
    34.0%
    average punt
  8. Q2 0:39WMU 4th & 8 at BGSU 33, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 20.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    20.4%−0.6
    34% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    21.0%
    49% to make
    Punt
    19.3%−1.6
    average punt
  9. Q2 0:02BGSU 4th & 8 at WMU 46, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 79.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    79.0%−0.6
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    77.8%−1.8
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    79.6%
    average punt
  10. Q3 8:03WMU 4th & 16 at WMU 39, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 8.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.6%−2.0
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    9.5%
    average punt
  11. Q3 4:31WMU 4th & 1 at BGSU 44, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 2.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    2.9%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    1.7%−1.2
    27% to make
    Punt
    2.1%−0.8
    average punt
  12. Q3 0:27WMU 4th & 1 at BGSU 5, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 1.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.9%
    67% to convert
    Field goal
    1.4%−0.5
    92% to make
    Punt
    0.1%−1.8
    average punt
  13. Q4 12:38BGSU 4th & 4 at WMU 37, up 18
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 96.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    97.1%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    96.5%−0.6
    40% to make
    Punt
    96.4%−0.7
    average punt
  14. Q4 10:26WMU 4th & 6 at WMU 41, down 18
    Close callWent for it · 3.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    3.0%−0.2
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    3.3%
    average punt
  15. Q4 7:54WMU 4th & 17 at WMU 46, down 18
    Close callWent for it · 2.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    2.3%−0.5
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    2.8%
    average punt
  16. Q4 7:54WMU 4th & 17 at WMU 46, down 18
    Close callWent for it · 2.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    2.3%−0.5
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    2.8%
    average punt
  17. Q4 2:57BGSU 4th & 9 at WMU 36, up 18
    Close callPunted · 98.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.5%
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    98.5%−<0.1
    42% to make
    PuntTheir call
    98.3%−0.2
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
BGSU made the numbers' call on 4 of 4WMU made the numbers' call on 1 of 2
  1. Q2 10:36WMU Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    33.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    33.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 5:12BGSU Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    71.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    71.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 4:02BGSU Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    79.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    79.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 11:11BGSU Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    88.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    88.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 6:38BGSU Touchdown, up 23 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 0:27WMU Touchdown, down 18 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    4.4%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    4.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
WMUDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 1:4727% → 28%
Q1 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
72.6%
Jaden Nixon run for 3 yds to the WMU 28Similar
Q1 14:18
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+1
72.5%
Jaden Nixon run for 1 yd to the WMU 29Similar
Q1 13:31
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+3
72.4%
Hayden Wolff pass complete to Jordin Parker for 3 yds to the WMU 32Similar
Q1 13:07
4TH & 3
OWN 32
0
72.4%
Ryan Millmore punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Justin Pegues at the BGSU 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 2FG
15 plays · 37 yds · 4:3272% → 72%
Q1 13:04
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
72.4%
Connor Bazelak pass incomplete to Harold Fannin Jr.Similar
Q1 12:53
2ND & 10
OWN 31
+14
72.3%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Harold Fannin Jr. for 14 yds to the BGSU 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:34
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+5
72.4%
PENALTY WMU Offside (Nelson,Mason) 5 yards from BGSU45 to BGSU50. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 12:20
1ST & 5
50
-5
72.5%
(12:22) No Huddle-Shotgun Bazelak,Connor pass incomplete short right to Johnson,Trey thrown to WMU45 QB hurried by Roberson,Damari PENALTY BGSU Ineligible Downfield on Pass (Pabst,Nate) 5 yards from BGSU50 to BGSU45. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 12:11
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+5
72.4%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Harold Fannin Jr. for 5 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 11:34
2ND & 5
50
+8
72.4%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Malcolm Johnson Jr. for 8 yds to the WMU 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:10
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+4
72.4%
Terion Stewart run for 4 yds to the WMU 38Similar
Q1 10:31
2ND & 6
OPP 38
+5
72.3%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Jaison Patterson for 5 yds to the WMU 33Similar
Q1 10:06
3RD & 1
OPP 33
+2
72.2%
Jaison Patterson run for 2 yds to the WMU 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:37
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+8
72.4%
Rahkeem Smith run for 8 yds to the WMU 23Similar
Q1 9:02
2ND & 2
OPP 23
0
72.3%
Connor Bazelak pass incomplete to Malcolm Johnson Jr.Similar
Q1 8:53
3RD & 2
OPP 23
-10
71.9%
Bowling Green Penalty, (-10 Yards) to the WMU 32Similar
Q1 8:37
3RD & 11
OPP 32
0
71.7%
Connor Bazelak pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 8:32
4TH & 11
OPP 32
+50
71.7%
Zach Long 50 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 3PUNT
5 plays · -6 yds · 0:4828% → 28%
Q1 7:49
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+5
72.0%
Jalen Buckley run for 5 yds to the WMU 18 Jalen Buckley fumbled, recovered by WMU Jalen BuckleySimilar
Q1 7:44
2ND & 15
OWN 18
0
72.1%
Hayden Wolff pass incomplete to Blake BosmaSimilar
Q1 7:23
3RD & 15
OWN 18
-1
72.3%
Hayden Wolff pass complete to Zahir Abdus-Salaam for a loss of 1 yard to the WMU 17Similar
Q1 7:01
4TH & 16
OWN 17
0
72.5%
Ryan Millmore punt for 45 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 4PUNT
6 plays · 21 yds · 3:1572% → 72%
Q1 6:53
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+2
71.9%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Malcolm Johnson Jr. for 2 yds to the BGSU 40Similar
Q1 6:13
2ND & 8
OWN 40
+12
72.0%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Terion Stewart for 12 yds to the WMU 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:44
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+1
72.4%
Jaison Patterson run for 1 yd to the WMU 47Similar
Q1 5:04
2ND & 9
OPP 47
+7
72.3%
Jaison Patterson run for 7 yds to the WMU 40Similar
Q1 4:19
3RD & 2
OPP 40
-1
72.1%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Harold Fannin Jr. for a loss of 1 yard to the WMU 41Similar
Q1 3:38
4TH & 3
OPP 41
0
71.5%
John Henderson punt for 28 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the WMU 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 5TD
13 plays · 87 yds · 7:5628% → 38%
Q1 3:32
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+9
71.6%
Hayden Wolff pass complete to Anthony Sambucci for 9 yds to the WMU 22Similar
Q1 3:00
2ND & 1
OWN 22
+6
71.2%
Hayden Wolff pass complete to Kenneth Womack for 6 yds to the WMU 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:23
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+3
70.8%
Jalen Buckley run for 3 yds to the WMU 31Similar
Q1 1:39
2ND & 7
OWN 31
+25
70.6%
Hayden Wolff pass complete to Kenneth Womack for 25 yds to the BGSU 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:08
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+1
69.5%
Jalen Buckley run for 1 yd to the BGSU 43Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 9
OPP 43
+6
69.2%
Hayden Wolff pass complete to Zahir Abdus-Salaam for 6 yds to the BGSU 37Similar
Q2 14:51
3RD & 3
OPP 37
+2
69.1%
Jalen Buckley run for 2 yds to the BGSU 35Similar
Q2 14:12
4TH & 1
OPP 35
+18
69.7%
Jalen Buckley run for 18 yds to the BGSU 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:24
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+4
68.0%
Kenneth Womack run for 4 yds to the BGSU 13Similar
Q2 12:48
2ND & 6
OPP 13
+4
67.8%
Jaden Nixon run for 4 yds to the BGSU 9Similar
Q2 12:03
3RD & 2
OPP 9
+1
68.3%
Jaden Nixon run for 1 yd to the BGSU 8Similar
Q2 11:17
4TH & 1
OPP 8
+2
68.9%
Jalen Buckley run for 2 yds to the BGSU 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:36
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
61.7%
Jalen Buckley run for 6 yds for a TD (Luka Zurak KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 6PUNT
5 plays · -4 yds · 2:0338% → 36%
Q2 10:26
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+3
62.5%
Zahir Abdus-Salaam run for 3 yds to the BGSU 40Similar
Q2 9:42
2ND & 13
OPP 40
-6
62.3%
Hayden Wolff sacked by Brock Horne for a loss of 6 yards to the BGSU 46Similar
Q2 8:54
3RD & 19
OPP 46
+5
63.3%
Hayden Wolff pass complete to Zahir Abdus-Salaam for 5 yds to the BGSU 41Similar
Q2 8:23
4TH & 14
OPP 41
0
64.1%
Ryan Millmore punt for 25 yds, fair catch by Justin Pegues at the BGSU 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 7TD
6 plays · 84 yds · 3:0564% → 73%
Q2 8:17
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+19
63.5%
Terion Stewart run for 19 yds to the BGSU 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:18
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+21
62.6%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Harold Fannin Jr. for 21 yds to the WMU 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:57
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+1
65.0%
Terion Stewart run for 1 yd to the WMU 43Similar
Q2 6:22
2ND & 9
OPP 43
+6
64.6%
Jamal Johnson run for 6 yds to the WMU 37Similar
Q2 5:41
3RD & 3
OPP 37
+12
64.0%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Malcolm Johnson Jr. for 12 yds to the WMU 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:12
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+25
72.6%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Harold Fannin Jr. for 25 yds for a TD (Zach Long KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 8INT
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:0031% → 31%
Q2 4:59
1ST & 9
OWN 15
0
69.5%
Hayden Wolff pass intercepted Jacorey Benjamin return for no gain to the WMU 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 9TD
3 plays · 26 yds · 0:5773% → 78%
Q2 4:59
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+2
72.6%
Connor Bazelak run for 2 yds to the WMU 24Similar
Q2 4:10
2ND & 8
OPP 24
+23
72.6%
Terion Stewart run for 23 yds to the WMU 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:02
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
77.9%
Connor Bazelak run for 1 yd for a TD (Zach Long KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 10MISSED FG
13 plays · 41 yds · 3:0923% → 23%
Q2 3:48
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+12
77.1%
Jaden Nixon run for 12 yds to the WMU 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:56
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+7
76.3%
Hayden Wolff pass complete to Zahir Abdus-Salaam for 7 yds to the WMU 45Similar
Q2 2:34
2ND & 3
OWN 45
+9
76.2%
Hayden Wolff pass complete to Zahir Abdus-Salaam for 9 yds to the BGSU 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:03
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+2
75.8%
Zahir Abdus-Salaam run for 2 yds to the BGSU 44Similar
Q2 1:52
2ND & 8
OPP 44
+6
75.5%
Hayden Wolff pass complete to Jordin Parker for 6 yds to the BGSU 38Similar
Q2 1:21
3RD & 2
OPP 38
+3
75.1%
Jaden Nixon run for 3 yds to the BGSU 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:12
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
74.3%
Hayden Wolff pass incomplete to Anthony SambucciSimilar
Q2 0:56
2ND & 10
OPP 35
+2
74.7%
Hayden Wolff pass complete to Jordin Parker for 2 yds to the BGSU 33Similar
Q2 0:44
3RD & 8
OPP 33
0
75.8%
Hayden Wolff pass incomplete to Jordin ParkerSimilar
Q2 0:39
4TH & 8
OPP 33
+50
76.9%
Luka Zurak 50 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 11PUNT
6 plays · 21 yds · 0:3181% → 80%
Q2 0:33
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+19
81.3%
Jaison Patterson run for 19 yds to the WMU 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:26
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
82.0%
Connor Bazelak pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:14
2ND & 10
OPP 48
+2
81.1%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Harold Fannin Jr. for 2 yds to the WMU 46Similar
Q2 0:11
3RD & 8
OPP 46
0
80.1%
Connor Bazelak pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:02
4TH & 8
OPP 46
+11
79.6%
John Henderson punt for 35 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the WMU 22 , Jordin Parker returns for 11 yds to the WMU 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 12END OF HALF
1 play · -1 yds · 0:0022% → 22%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 22
-1
78.0%
(00:00) Kneel down by Western Mich. at WMU21 for loss of 1 yard.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 13TD
9 plays · 65 yds · 3:4980% → 92%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+2
80.0%
Rahkeem Smith run for 2 yds to the BGSU 37Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 37
+2
80.3%
Terion Stewart run for 2 yds to the BGSU 39Similar
Q3 13:23
3RD & 6
OWN 39
+8
80.4%
Connor Bazelak run for 8 yds to the BGSU 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:02
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+9
82.1%
Jaison Patterson run for 9 yds to the WMU 44Similar
Q3 12:35
2ND & 1
OPP 44
-5
82.3%
PENALTY BGSU False Start (Pabst,Nate) 5 yards from WMU44 to WMU49. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 12:18
2ND & 6
OPP 49
+19
82.3%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Harold Fannin Jr. for 19 yds to the WMU 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:41
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+13
82.9%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Harold Fannin Jr. for 13 yds to the WMU 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:11
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+17
91.7%
Terion Stewart run for 17 yds for a TD (Zach Long KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 14PUNT
8 plays · 7 yds · 2:5311% → 9%
Q3 10:56
1ST & 10
OWN 32
-6
89.0%
Hayden Wolff sacked by Anthony Hawkins for a loss of 6 yards to the WMU 26Similar
Q3 10:18
2ND & 16
OWN 26
+19
90.0%
Hayden Wolff pass complete to Kenneth Womack for 19 yds to the WMU 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:49
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+4
89.1%
Jalen Buckley run for 4 yds to the WMU 49Similar
Q3 9:12
2ND & 6
OWN 49
-5
89.0%
Hayden Wolff sacked by Charles Rosser for a loss of 5 yards to the WMU 44Similar
Q3 8:31
3RD & 11
OWN 44
-5
90.4%
PENALTY WMU Delay Of Game 5 yards from WMU44 to WMU39. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 8:11
3RD & 16
OWN 39
0
90.8%
Hayden Wolff pass incomplete to Blake BosmaSimilar
Q3 8:03
4TH & 16
OWN 39
0
90.9%
Ryan Millmore punt for 35 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 15TD
3 plays · 74 yds · 1:1993% → 97%
Q3 7:57
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+4
92.7%
Terion Stewart run for 4 yds to the BGSU 30Similar
Q3 7:18
2ND & 6
OWN 30
+60
92.9%
Terion Stewart run for 60 yds to the WMU 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:38
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+10
96.5%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Harold Fannin Jr. for 10 yds for a TD (Zach Long KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 16TD
14 plays · 63 yds · 5:574% → 6%
Q3 6:24
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+10
96.3%
(06:24) PENALTY BGSU Holding (Sipp Jr.,Joseph) 10 yards from WMU37 to WMU47, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 6:18
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+5
96.3%
Zahir Abdus-Salaam run for 5 yds to the BGSU 48Similar
Q3 5:47
2ND & 5
OPP 48
+1
96.4%
Jalen Buckley run for 1 yd to the BGSU 47Similar
Q3 4:58
3RD & 4
OPP 47
+3
97.0%
Hayden Wolff run for 3 yds to the BGSU 44Similar
Q3 4:31
4TH & 1
OPP 44
+9
97.1%
Jalen Buckley run for 9 yds to the BGSU 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:46
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+10
96.9%
Hayden Wolff pass complete to Jaden Nixon for 10 yds to the BGSU 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:15
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
96.8%
Hayden Wolff pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 3:09
2ND & 10
OPP 25
+7
97.0%
Zahir Abdus-Salaam run for 7 yds to the BGSU 18Similar
Q3 2:32
3RD & 3
OPP 18
+4
97.3%
Jalen Buckley run for 4 yds to the BGSU 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:00
1ST & 10
OPP 14
0
97.1%
Anthony Sambucci pass incomplete to Hayden WolffSimilar
Q3 1:53
2ND & 10
OPP 14
+5
97.4%
Zahir Abdus-Salaam run for 5 yds to the BGSU 9Similar
Q3 1:07
3RD & 5
OPP 9
+4
97.8%
Broc Lowry run for 4 yds to the BGSU 5Similar
Q3 0:27
4TH & 1
OPP 5
+5
94.3%
Jalen Buckley run for 5 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 17DOWNS
9 plays · 38 yds · 2:4396% → 97%
Q3 0:21
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
95.8%
Connor Bazelak pass incomplete to Jamal JohnsonSimilar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+3
96.1%
Jaison Patterson run for 3 yds to the BGSU 28Similar
Q4 14:24
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+29
96.5%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Harold Fannin Jr. for 29 yds to the WMU 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:11
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+4
97.0%
Terion Stewart run for 4 yds to the WMU 39Similar
Q4 13:29
2ND & 6
OPP 39
+2
97.1%
Terion Stewart run for 2 yds to the WMU 37Similar
Q4 12:46
3RD & 4
OPP 37
0
97.2%
Connor Bazelak pass incomplete to Jamal JohnsonSimilar
Q4 12:38
4TH & 4
OPP 37
0
96.7%
Connor Bazelak pass incomplete to Harold Fannin Jr.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 18DOWNS
11 plays · 22 yds · 4:385% → 3%
Q4 12:32
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+3
95.1%
Hayden Wolff pass complete to Jordin Parker for 3 yds to the WMU 40Similar
Q4 11:59
2ND & 7
OWN 40
0
95.6%
Jaden Nixon run for no gain to the WMU 40Similar
Q4 11:31
3RD & 7
OWN 40
-5
95.7%
PENALTY WMU False Start (Kushi,Tedi) 5 yards from WMU40 to WMU35. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 11:09
3RD & 12
OWN 35
+6
96.1%
Hayden Wolff pass complete to Zahir Abdus-Salaam for 6 yds to the WMU 41Similar
Q4 10:26
4TH & 6
OWN 41
+12
95.9%
Hayden Wolff pass complete to Kenneth Womack for 12 yds to the BGSU 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:46
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
95.8%
Zahir Abdus-Salaam run for no gain to the BGSU 47Similar
Q4 9:21
2ND & 10
OPP 47
+2
95.8%
Jalen Buckley run for 2 yds to the BGSU 45Similar
Q4 8:44
3RD & 8
OPP 45
-9
96.0%
Hayden Wolff sacked by Jordan Porter for a loss of 9 yards to the WMU 46Similar
Q4 7:54
4TH & 17
OWN 46
+13
96.8%
Hayden Wolff pass complete to Anthony Sambucci for 13 yds to the BGSU 41Similar
Q4 7:54
4TH & 17
OWN 46
+13
96.8%
Hayden Wolff pass complete to Anthony Sambucci for 13 yds to the BGSU 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 19PUNT
11 plays · 23 yds · 4:4899% → 100%
Q4 7:45
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+5
98.9%
Terion Stewart run for 5 yds to the BGSU 46Similar
Q4 6:59
2ND & 5
OWN 46
+6
99.0%
Terion Stewart run for 6 yds to the WMU 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:12
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+2
99.2%
Terion Stewart run for 2 yds to the WMU 46Similar
Q4 5:27
2ND & 8
OPP 46
0
99.2%
Jaison Patterson run for no gain to the WMU 46Similar
Q4 4:41
3RD & 8
OPP 46
+9
99.3%
Jaison Patterson run for 9 yds to the WMU 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:54
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+3
99.3%
Jaison Patterson run for 3 yds to the WMU 34Similar
Q4 3:09
2ND & 7
OPP 34
+2
99.5%
Jaison Patterson run for 2 yds to the WMU 36Similar
Q4 3:05
3RD & 9
OPP 36
0
99.5%
Terion Stewart run for no gain to the WMU 36Similar
Q4 2:57
4TH & 9
OPP 36
0
99.6%
John Henderson punt for 24 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the WMU 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 20INT
11 plays · 76 yds · 1:512% → 3%
Q4 2:41
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+25
98.2%
Hayden Wolff pass complete to Zahir Abdus-Salaam for 25 yds to the WMU 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:26
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
98.0%
Hayden Wolff pass complete to Zahir Abdus-Salaam for no gain to the WMU 37Similar
Q4 2:05
2ND & 10
OWN 37
+8
98.1%
Hayden Wolff pass complete to Blake Bosma for 8 yds to the WMU 45Similar
Q4 2:00
3RD & 2
OWN 45
+2
98.1%
Hayden Wolff pass complete to Zahir Abdus-Salaam for 2 yds to the WMU 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:54
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+16
98.0%
Jalen Buckley run for 16 yds to the BGSU 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:44
1ST & 10
OPP 37
0
97.8%
Hayden Wolff pass incomplete to Kenneth WomackSimilar
Q4 1:38
2ND & 10
OPP 37
+9
97.8%
Hayden Wolff pass complete to Jalen Buckley for 9 yds to the BGSU 28Similar
Q4 1:32
3RD & 1
OPP 28
+5
97.6%
Jalen Buckley run for 5 yds to the BGSU 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:16
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+6
97.5%
Hayden Wolff pass complete to Jalen Buckley for 6 yds to the BGSU 17Similar
Q4 1:03
2ND & 4
OPP 17
+5
97.5%
Hayden Wolff pass complete to Jalen Buckley for 5 yds to the BGSU 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:50
1ST & 10
OPP 12
0
97.5%
Hayden Wolff pass intercepted, touchback.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 21END OF GAME
2 plays · -2 yds · 0:20100% → 100%
Q4 0:20
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-1
99.6%
(00:25) Kneel down by Bowling Green at BGSU19 for loss of 1 yard.Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 11
OWN 19
-1
99.6%
(00:14) Kneel down by Bowling Green at BGSU18 for loss of 1 yard.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 11:11
Terion Stewart run for 17 yds for a TD (Zach Long KICK)
+8.7
TD · Q2 5:12
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Harold Fannin Jr. for 25 yds for a TD (Zach Long KICK)
+8.6
TD · Q2 10:36
Jalen Buckley run for 6 yds for a TD (Luka Zurak KICK)
-7.2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com