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BGSU

Bowling Green 23 at Central Michigan 13

CMU
2024 · Week 11 · Nov 5, 2024 · Kelly/Shorts Stadium
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Win probability · CMU
modelCMU aheadBGSU aheadconfidence bandkey playCMU scoreBGSU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGFGFGFGTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 11:49 · Connor Bazelak pass complete to Harold Fannin Jr. for 14 yds to the CMU 32 for a 1ST down
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+43.5+21.80−21.8−43.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 9Pregame prior−33.7Home team on offense−0.2Score differential−0.2Garbage-time factor+0.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.1Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.1
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 0:31: Tyler Jefferson run for 1 yd for a TD (Tristan Mattson KICK) — CMU win probability +9.2 pts (now 32%) (top driver: Deficit strained by the offense's own timeouts).
  2. TD · Q3 12:17: Connor Bazelak pass complete to Levi Gazarek for 9 yds for a TD (Zach Long KICK) — BGSU win probability +8.1 pts (now 82%) (top driver: BGSU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 12:17: Timeout Central Michigan, clock 12:17 — CMU win probability +2.2 pts (now 20%) (top driver: CMU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 5:42: Jaison Patterson run for 1 yd for a TD (Zach Long KICK) — BGSU win probability +7.1 pts (now 98%) (top driver: BGSU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 1:50: Jadyn Glasser run for 1 yd for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed) — CMU win probability +2.2 pts (now 3%) (top driver: CMU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
CMU made the numbers' call on 8 of 8BGSU made the numbers' call on 10 of 12
  1. Q1 11:49BGSU 4th & 2 at CMU 46, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 81.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    81.4%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    81.3%−0.2
    23% to make
    Punt
    81.4%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 9:05BGSU 4th & 12 at CMU 14, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 79.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    79.7%−0.2
    20% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    79.9%
    84% to make
    Punt
    79.3%−0.6
    average punt
  3. Q1 5:37CMU 4th & 6 at CMU 39, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 20.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    20.8%−0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    20.9%
    average punt
  4. Q1 4:13BGSU 4th & 2 at BGSU 16, up 3
    Close callPunted · 77.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    77.7%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    77.6%−0.1
    average punt
  5. Q1 3:12CMU 4th & 7 at CMU 48, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 22.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    22.1%−0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    22.1%
    average punt
  6. Q2 12:55BGSU 4th & 11 at CMU 21, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 75.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    75.0%−0.7
    25% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    75.6%
    74% to make
    Punt
    72.9%−2.7
    average punt
  7. Q2 10:11CMU 4th & 7 at CMU 47, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 23.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    22.9%−0.2
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    23.1%
    average punt
  8. Q2 5:46BGSU 4th & 11 at BGSU 34, up 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 76.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    75.9%−1.5
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    77.3%
    average punt
  9. Q2 4:08CMU 4th & 13 at CMU 17, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 22.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    21.5%−1.7
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    23.2%
    average punt
  10. Q2 2:28BGSU 4th & 10 at CMU 19, up 6
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 77.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    76.4%−0.6
    27% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    77.1%
    77% to make
    Punt
    73.0%−4.1
    average punt
  11. Q2 0:00BGSU 4th & 14 at BGSU 36, up 2
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 69.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    63.8%−3.6
    18% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    67.4%
    average punt
  12. Q2 0:00BGSU 4th & 14 at BGSU 36, up 2
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 69.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    63.8%−3.6
    18% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    67.4%
    average punt
  13. Q3 13:14BGSU 4th & 4 at CMU 33, up 2
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 70.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    69.5%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    67.9%−1.6
    49% to make
    Punt
    66.5%−3.0
    average punt
  14. Q3 10:04CMU 4th & 4 at CMU 34, down 9
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 20.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    20.6%−0.3
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    20.8%
    average punt
  15. Q3 5:35BGSU 4th & 2 at CMU 8, up 9
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.2 ptsKicked a field goal · 80.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    80.2%
    54% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    79.0%−1.2
    90% to make
    Punt
    72.3%−7.9
    average punt
  16. Q3 0:08CMU 4th & 4 at BGSU 30, down 9
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 20.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    20.7%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    19.5%−1.2
    56% to make
    Punt
    17.0%−3.7
    average punt
  17. Q4 12:39BGSU 4th & 5 at BGSU 42, up 9
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 81.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    81.3%−0.6
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    81.8%
    average punt
  18. Q4 11:08CMU 4th & 5 at CMU 7, down 9
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 16.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    15.4%−0.4
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    15.8%
    average punt
  19. Q4 6:35BGSU 4th & 1 at CMU 5, up 9
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 88.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    87.8%
    67% to convert
    Field goal
    84.6%−3.3
    92% to make
    Punt
    76.9%−10.9
    average punt
  20. Q4 2:46CMU 4th & 1 at BGSU 16, down 16
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 4.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    4.1%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    3.3%−0.8
    81% to make
    Punt
    2.3%−1.8
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
CMU made the numbers' call on 1 of 2BGSU made the numbers' call on 1 of 2
  1. Q2 0:31CMU Touchdown, down 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    29.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    29.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q3 12:17BGSU Touchdown, up 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    80.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    80.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q4 5:42BGSU Touchdown, up 15 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.4%−0.2
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.5%
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 1:50CMU Touchdown, down 10 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    6.0%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    5.5%−0.5
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
BGSUDrive 1FG
15 plays · 64 yds · 5:3985% → 82%
Q1 14:44
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+6
15.5%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Jamal Johnson for 6 yds to the BGSU 28Similar
Q1 14:16
2ND & 4
OWN 28
+2
15.7%
Rahkeem Smith run for 2 yds to the BGSU 30Similar
Q1 13:40
3RD & 2
OWN 30
+16
16.0%
Terion Stewart run for 16 yds to the BGSU 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:04
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+7
16.2%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Malcolm Johnson Jr. for 7 yds to the CMU 47Similar
Q1 12:32
2ND & 3
OPP 47
0
16.4%
Connor Bazelak pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:27
3RD & 3
OPP 47
+1
16.5%
Terion Stewart run for 1 yd to the CMU 46Similar
Q1 11:49
4TH & 2
OPP 46
+14
16.9%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Harold Fannin Jr. for 14 yds to the CMU 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:07
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+20
17.0%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Harold Fannin Jr. for 20 yds to the CMU 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:29
1ST & 10
OPP 12
0
17.3%
Rahkeem Smith run for no gain to the CMU 12Similar
Q1 9:53
2ND & 10
OPP 12
+2
17.5%
Terion Stewart run for 2 yds to the CMU 14Similar
Q1 9:09
3RD & 12
OPP 14
0
18.0%
Connor Bazelak pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 9:05
4TH & 12
OPP 14
+32
18.1%
Zach Long 32 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 2PUNT
8 plays · 17 yds · 3:2018% → 19%
Q1 8:57
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+2
17.8%
Marion Lukes run for 2 yds to the CMU 24Similar
Q1 8:15
2ND & 8
OWN 24
+5
18.1%
Marion Lukes run for 5 yds to the CMU 29Similar
Q1 7:37
3RD & 3
OWN 29
+6
18.3%
Marion Lukes run for 6 yds to the CMU 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:02
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
18.7%
Tyler Jefferson pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 6:56
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+2
18.7%
B.J. Harris run for 2 yds to the CMU 33Similar
Q1 5:55
3RD & 12
OWN 33
+6
18.7%
Tyler Jefferson run for 6 yds to the CMU 39 Tyler Jefferson fumbled, recovered by CMU Davis HeinzenSimilar
Q1 5:37
4TH & 6
OWN 39
+15
19.0%
David Chapeau punt for 51 yds , Justin Pegues returns for 15 yds to the BGSU 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 3PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 1:1880% → 79%
Q1 5:31
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+1
19.7%
Terion Stewart run for 1 yd to the BGSU 9Similar
Q1 4:55
2ND & 9
OWN 9
+7
20.0%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Harold Fannin Jr. for 7 yds to the BGSU 16Similar
Q1 4:21
3RD & 2
OWN 16
0
20.2%
Connor Bazelak pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 4:13
4TH & 2
OWN 16
0
20.6%
John Henderson punt for 39 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the CMU 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 4PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 0:5520% → 20%
Q1 4:07
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
19.9%
Tyler Jefferson pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 4:02
2ND & 10
OWN 45
+3
19.7%
B.J. Harris run for 3 yds to the CMU 48Similar
Q1 3:20
3RD & 7
OWN 48
0
20.0%
Tyler Jefferson pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 3:12
4TH & 7
OWN 48
0
19.6%
David Chapeau punt for 52 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 5FG
13 plays · 59 yds · 5:0980% → 81%
Q1 3:04
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+31
20.5%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Harold Fannin Jr. for 31 yds to the CMU 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:29
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+13
19.8%
Terion Stewart run for 13 yds to the CMU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:51
1ST & 10
OPP 36
0
19.9%
Connor Bazelak pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 1:45
2ND & 10
OPP 36
+7
20.0%
Terion Stewart run for 7 yds to the CMU 29Similar
Q1 1:01
3RD & 3
OPP 29
+9
20.2%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Malcolm Johnson Jr. for 9 yds to the CMU 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:26
1ST & 10
OPP 20
-5
20.0%
(00:33) No Huddle-Shotgun Bazelak,Connor pass complete short middle to Gazarek,Levi caught at CMU15, for 19 yards to the CMU01 (Cochran,Dakota) PENALTY BGSU Ineligible Downfield on Pass (Burns,Jake) 5 yards from CMU20 to CMU25. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 15
OPP 25
0
20.1%
Terion Stewart run for no gain to the CMU 25Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 15
OPP 25
0
20.3%
PENALTY CMU UNS: Unsportsmanlike Conduct offsetting BGSU UNS: Unsportsmanlike Conduct offsetting. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 15
OPP 25
+2
20.3%
Lucian Anderson III run for 2 yds to the CMU 27Similar
Q2 14:07
3RD & 17
OPP 27
-5
21.2%
PENALTY BGSU Delay Of Game (Bazelak,Connor) 5 yards from CMU27 to CMU32. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 13:43
3RD & 22
OPP 32
+11
21.5%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Finn Hogan for 11 yds to the CMU 21Similar
Q2 12:55
4TH & 11
OPP 21
+40
19.5%
Zach Long 40 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 6PUNT
8 plays · 22 yds · 2:3822% → 23%
Q2 12:49
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
21.5%
Marion Lukes run for 3 yds to the CMU 28Similar
Q2 12:16
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+6
21.3%
Tyler Jefferson pass complete to Chris Parker for 6 yds to the CMU 34Similar
Q2 11:38
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+25
21.8%
Myles Bailey run for 40 yds to the BGSU 26 for a 1ST down Central Michigan Penalty, Personal Foul (Dominic Serapiglia III) to the CMU 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:06
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
22.9%
Tyler Jefferson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 10:58
2ND & 10
OWN 44
+3
22.5%
B.J. Harris run for 3 yds to the CMU 47Similar
Q2 10:21
3RD & 7
OWN 47
0
23.0%
Tyler Jefferson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 10:11
4TH & 7
OWN 47
0
22.5%
David Chapeau punt for 43 yds , Justin Pegues returns for no gain to the BGSU 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 7PUNT
12 plays · 24 yds · 4:1577% → 75%
Q2 10:01
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+7
22.6%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Finn Hogan for 7 yds to the BGSU 17Similar
Q2 9:33
2ND & 3
OWN 17
0
22.1%
Terion Stewart run for no gain to the BGSU 17Similar
Q2 8:46
3RD & 3
OWN 17
+8
25.0%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Rahkeem Smith for 8 yds to the BGSU 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:20
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
24.1%
Connor Bazelak pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 8:20
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-5
24.6%
PENALTY BGSU Illegal Substitution (Patterson,Jaison) 5 yards from BGSU25 to BGSU20. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 8:01
2ND & 15
OWN 20
+15
24.0%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Rahkeem Smith for 15 yds to the BGSU 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:39
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
23.1%
Terion Stewart run for no gain to the BGSU 35Similar
Q2 7:06
2ND & 10
OWN 35
0
23.5%
Connor Bazelak pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 6:59
3RD & 10
OWN 35
-5
24.1%
(07:06) No Huddle-Shotgun Bazelak,Connor pass complete short right to Smith,Rahkeem caught at BGSU32, for 16 yards to the CMU49 (Whiteside,Justin; Wiliams,Jason) PENALTY BGSU Illegal Formation (Wollschlaeger,Alex) 5 yards from BGSU35 to BGSU30. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 6:26
3RD & 15
OWN 30
+4
25.0%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Harold Fannin Jr. for 4 yds to the BGSU 34Similar
Q2 5:46
4TH & 11
OWN 34
0
25.5%
John Henderson punt for 66 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 8PUNT
6 plays · -3 yds · 1:3825% → 25%
Q2 5:46
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-5
25.1%
PENALTY CMU False Start (Serapiglia III,Dominic) 5 yards from CMU20 to CMU15. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 5:38
1ST & 15
OWN 15
0
25.5%
Myles Bailey run for no gain to the CMU 15Similar
Q2 5:00
2ND & 15
OWN 15
+2
25.7%
Myles Bailey run for 2 yds to the CMU 17Similar
Q2 4:18
3RD & 13
OWN 17
0
25.1%
Tyler Jefferson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 4:08
4TH & 13
OWN 17
0
25.0%
David Chapeau punt for 37 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 9FG
7 plays · 35 yds · 1:4076% → 77%
Q2 4:08
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+15
23.8%
PENALTY CMU Personal Foul (White,Xavier) 15 yards from BGSU46 to CMU39, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 4:01
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+5
23.3%
Terion Stewart run for 5 yds to the CMU 34Similar
Q2 3:28
2ND & 5
OPP 34
+15
23.1%
(03:33) No Huddle-Shotgun Bazelak,Connor pass incomplete deep middle to Hogan,Finn thrown to CMU12 broken up by McKinney,Da'Raun PENALTY CMU Targeting (Brown,Lawai'a) 15 yards from CMU34 to CMU19, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 3:20
1ST & 10
OPP 19
0
23.2%
Terion Stewart run for no gain to the CMU 19Similar
Q2 2:39
2ND & 10
OPP 19
0
23.4%
Connor Bazelak pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 2:32
3RD & 10
OPP 19
0
24.0%
Connor Bazelak pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 2:28
4TH & 10
OPP 19
+37
23.2%
Zach Long 37 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 10TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 1:4520% → 32%
Q2 2:16
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
20.2%
Marion Lukes run for 3 yds to the CMU 28Similar
Q2 1:56
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+1
19.1%
Tyler Jefferson run for 1 yd to the CMU 29Similar
Q2 1:45
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+44
19.5%
Tyler Jefferson run for 44 yds to the BGSU 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:41
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+14
22.4%
(01:45) Shotgun Jefferson,Tyler pass incomplete short left to Parker,Chris thrown to BGSU10 PENALTY BGSU Pass Interference (Benjamin,Jacorey) 14 yards from BGSU27 to BGSU13, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 1:28
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+6
22.4%
Marion Lukes run for 6 yds to the BGSU 7Similar
Q2 1:00
2ND & 4
OPP 7
+6
22.7%
Marion Lukes run for 6 yds to the BGSU 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:31
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
31.9%
Tyler Jefferson run for 1 yd for a TD (Tristan Mattson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 11PUNT
9 plays · -4 yds · 0:2471% → 67%
Q2 0:24
1ST & 10
OWN 40
-10
29.3%
(00:29) No Huddle-Shotgun Bazelak,Connor pass incomplete short left to Johnson Jr.,Malcolm thrown to CMU44 PENALTY BGSU Holding (Fatukasi,Tunde) 10 yards from BGSU40 to BGSU30. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 0:16
1ST & 20
OWN 30
+13
31.2%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Jaison Patterson for 13 yds to the BGSU 43Similar
Q2 0:11
2ND & 7
OWN 43
0
30.3%
Connor Bazelak pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:06
3RD & 7
OWN 43
-7
31.0%
Connor Bazelak sacked by Jonah Pace for a loss of 7 yards to the BGSU 36Similar
Q2 0:00
4TH & 14
OWN 36
+15
32.9%
John Henderson punt for 48 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the CMU 31 , Donte Kent returns for 15 yds to the CMU 49 Central Michigan Penalty, Illegal Block (Bryce Rowe) to the CMU 31Similar
Q2 0:00
4TH & 14
OWN 36
+15
32.9%
John Henderson punt for 48 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the CMU 11 , Donte Kent returns for 15 yds to the CMU 49 Central Michigan Penalty, Illegal Block (Bryce Rowe) to the CMU 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 12FUMBLE
2 plays · 13 yds · 0:0030% → 30%
Q3 14:44
1ST & 10
OWN 26
-13
30.3%
Tyler Jefferson sacked by Anthony Hawkins for a loss of 13 yards to the CMU 39 Tyler Jefferson fumbled, recovered by BGSU Joseph Sipp Jr. , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 13TD
7 plays · 39 yds · 2:2274% → 82%
Q3 14:39
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
26.0%
Terion Stewart run for no gain to the CMU 39Similar
Q3 14:07
2ND & 10
OPP 39
0
26.2%
Connor Bazelak pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 14:01
3RD & 10
OPP 39
+6
27.0%
Jaison Patterson run for 6 yds to the CMU 33Similar
Q3 13:14
4TH & 4
OPP 33
+20
28.7%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Malcolm Johnson Jr. for 20 yds to the CMU 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:43
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+4
25.9%
Terion Stewart run for 4 yds to the CMU 9Similar
Q3 12:17
2ND & 6
OPP 9
+9
17.8%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Levi Gazarek for 9 yds for a TD (Zach Long KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 14PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 2:0120% → 19%
Q3 12:05
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+1
20.0%
Marion Lukes run for 1 yd to the CMU 29Similar
Q3 11:33
2ND & 9
OWN 29
+9
20.0%
Marion Lukes run for 9 yds to the CMU 20 Marion Lukes fumbled, recovered by CMU Marion LukesSimilar
Q3 10:46
3RD & 18
OWN 20
+14
18.8%
Marion Lukes run for 14 yds to the CMU 34Similar
Q3 10:04
4TH & 4
OWN 34
+3
18.6%
David Chapeau punt for 41 yds , Justin Pegues returns for 3 yds to the BGSU 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 15MISSED FG
10 plays · 64 yds · 4:2482% → 82%
Q3 9:59
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+3
18.4%
Jaison Patterson run for 3 yds to the BGSU 31Similar
Q3 9:21
2ND & 7
OWN 31
+41
18.4%
Jaison Patterson run for 41 yds to the CMU 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:50
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+1
16.2%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Harold Fannin Jr. for 1 yd to the CMU 27Similar
Q3 8:05
2ND & 9
OPP 27
+11
16.4%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Jamal Johnson for 11 yds to the CMU 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:18
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+4
16.2%
Jaison Patterson run for 4 yds to the CMU 12Similar
Q3 6:33
2ND & 6
OPP 12
0
16.2%
Connor Bazelak pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 6:33
3RD & 6
OPP 12
-5
16.7%
PENALTY BGSU False Start (Gazarek,Levi) 5 yards from CMU12 to CMU17. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 6:26
3RD & 11
OPP 17
+9
17.0%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Harold Fannin Jr. for 9 yds to the CMU 8Similar
Q3 5:35
4TH & 2
OPP 8
+23
17.7%
Zach Long 27 yd FG BLOCKED blocked by Jonah Pace (05:45) Long,Zach field goal attempt from 27 yards NO GOOD blocked by Pace,Jonah (H: Kenner,Travis, LS: Carlson,George), clock 05:35 recovered by CMU Spann,Caleb at CMU08 Spann,Caleb return 23 yards to the CMU31 (Porter,Jordan). , Caleb Spann return for 23 yds to the CMU 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 16DOWNS
11 plays · 42 yds · 5:2216% → 15%
Q3 5:30
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
16.1%
B.J. Harris run for no gain to the CMU 31Similar
Q3 4:45
2ND & 10
OWN 31
+3
14.9%
Jadyn Glasser run for 3 yds to the CMU 34Similar
Q3 4:11
3RD & 7
OWN 34
+8
14.6%
B.J. Harris run for 8 yds to the CMU 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:11
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+1
15.7%
B.J. Harris run for 1 yd to the CMU 43Similar
Q3 4:11
2ND & 9
OWN 43
+15
15.6%
Bowling Green Penalty, (15 Yards) to the BGSU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:11
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+6
16.8%
Marion Lukes run for 6 yds to the BGSU 30Similar
Q3 4:11
2ND & 4
OPP 30
+2
17.8%
Marion Lukes run for 2 yds to the BGSU 32Similar
Q3 4:11
3RD & 6
OPP 32
+4
16.9%
Marion Lukes run for 4 yds to the BGSU 28Similar
Q3 4:11
4TH & 2
OPP 28
-10
15.8%
Central Michigan Penalty, Illegal Block (-10 Yards) to the BGSU 30Similar
Q3 0:08
4TH & 4
OPP 30
+3
14.5%
Marion Lukes run for 3 yds to the BGSU 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 17PUNT
5 plays · 15 yds · 2:2184% → 84%
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+10
16.3%
Terion Stewart run for 10 yds to the BGSU 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:52
1ST & 10
OWN 37
-3
15.6%
Connor Bazelak sacked for a loss of 3 yards to the BGSU 34Similar
Q4 14:10
2ND & 13
OWN 34
+5
17.4%
Jaison Patterson run for 5 yds to the BGSU 39Similar
Q4 13:31
3RD & 8
OWN 39
+3
15.6%
Terion Stewart run for 3 yds to the BGSU 42Similar
Q4 12:39
4TH & 5
OWN 42
0
16.5%
John Henderson punt for 56 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 18PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 1:2613% → 11%
Q4 12:34
1ST & 10
OWN 2
+3
12.8%
Marion Lukes run for 3 yds to the CMU 5Similar
Q4 11:58
2ND & 7
OWN 5
+2
12.6%
Marion Lukes run for 2 yds to the CMU 7Similar
Q4 11:14
3RD & 5
OWN 7
0
11.9%
Jadyn Glasser pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 11:08
4TH & 5
OWN 7
0
11.4%
David Chapeau punt for 26 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the CMU 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 19TD
10 plays · 33 yds · 5:1888% → 98%
Q4 11:00
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+7
11.9%
Terion Stewart run for 7 yds to the CMU 26Similar
Q4 10:17
2ND & 3
OPP 26
+1
10.6%
Terion Stewart run for 1 yd to the CMU 27Similar
Q4 9:34
3RD & 4
OPP 27
+13
10.1%
Jaison Patterson run for 13 yds to the CMU 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:52
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+2
8.6%
Jaison Patterson run for 2 yds to the CMU 16Similar
Q4 8:10
2ND & 12
OPP 16
+5
8.9%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Justin Pegues for 5 yds to the CMU 11Similar
Q4 7:21
3RD & 7
OPP 11
+6
8.7%
Terion Stewart run for 6 yds to the CMU 5Similar
Q4 6:35
4TH & 1
OPP 5
+4
9.1%
Jaison Patterson run for 4 yds to the CMU 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:42
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
2.0%
Jaison Patterson run for 1 yd for a TD (Zach Long KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 20TD
16 plays · 75 yds · 3:462% → 3%
Q4 5:36
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+25
2.0%
Jadyn Glasser pass complete to Gavin Harris for 25 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:09
1ST & 10
50
+7
1.5%
Jadyn Glasser pass complete to Solomon Davis for 7 yds to the BGSU 43Similar
Q4 4:41
2ND & 3
OPP 43
+6
1.5%
Jadyn Glasser pass complete to Jesse Prewitt III for 6 yds to the BGSU 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:02
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+12
1.2%
Jadyn Glasser pass complete to Chris Parker for 12 yds to the BGSU 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:41
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+2
1.4%
Marion Lukes run for 2 yds to the BGSU 23Similar
Q4 3:14
2ND & 8
OPP 23
0
1.4%
Jadyn Glasser pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 3:02
3RD & 8
OPP 23
+7
1.2%
Jadyn Glasser pass complete to Chris Parker for 7 yds to the BGSU 16Similar
Q4 2:46
4TH & 1
OPP 16
+13
1.4%
Marion Lukes run for 9 yds to the BGSU 7 for a 1ST down Bowling Green Penalty, (4 Yards) to the BGSU 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:24
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
1.8%
(02:29) Shotgun Glasser,Jadyn sacked for loss of 9 yards to the BGSU12 (Brown,Dontrez, Rosser,Charles) PENALTY BGSU Holding (Horne,Brock) 2 yards from BGSU03 to BGSU01, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 2:06
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
1.8%
Marion Lukes run for no gain to the BGSU 1Similar
Q4 1:56
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
1.3%
Jadyn Glasser run for no gain to the BGSU 1Similar
Q4 1:50
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
3.3%
Jadyn Glasser run for 1 yd for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 21END OF GAME
6 plays · 41 yds · 1:4398% → 98%
Q4 1:43
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+18
2.1%
Terion Stewart run for 18 yds to the CMU 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:06
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+5
2.0%
PENALTY CMU Delay Of Game (Kostus,Kade) 5 yards from CMU28 to CMU23. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 0:36
1ST & 5
OPP 23
-10
2.1%
(00:41) Stewart,Terion rush middle for 2 yards gain to the CMU21 (Wiliams,Jason) PENALTY BGSU Holding (Fatukasi,Tunde) 10 yards from CMU23 to CMU33. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 0:29
1ST & 15
OPP 33
+29
2.0%
Terion Stewart run for 29 yds to the CMU 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
-1
2.0%
C. Bazelak takes a kneeSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 0:31
Tyler Jefferson run for 1 yd for a TD (Tristan Mattson KICK)
+9.2
TD · Q3 12:17
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Levi Gazarek for 9 yds for a TD (Zach Long KICK)
-8.1
TD · Q4 5:42
Jaison Patterson run for 1 yd for a TD (Zach Long KICK)
-7.1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com