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TOL

Toledo 29 at Eastern Michigan 28

EMU
2024 · Week 10 · Nov 2, 2024 · Rynearson Stadium
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Win probability · EMU
modelEMU aheadTOL aheadconfidence bandkey playEMU scoreTOL score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGFGTDTDTDFGTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 1:23 · Mitchell Tomasek punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Bryson Hammer at the 50 yard line
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore differential
+37.0+18.50−18.5−37.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 177Pregame prior−0.7Home team on offense−26.8Garbage-time factor−14.8Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−2.2Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−5.4Score differential−1.9
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q3 1:25: Joey Mattord 1 Yd Run (Two-Point Pass Conversion Failed) — EMU win probability +11.8 pts (now 83%) (top driver: EMU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q4 12:55: Tucker Gleason pass complete to Anthony Torres for 78 yds for a TD (Dylan Cunanan KICK) — TOL win probability +22.7 pts (now 40%) (top driver: TOL has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 9:51: Tucker Gleason pass complete to Junior Vandeross III for 25 yds for a TD (Tucker Gleason pass to Jerjuan Newton for Two-Point Conversion) — TOL win probability +18.5 pts (now 68%) (top driver: TOL has the ball).
  4. FG · Q4 7:08: Jesus Gomez 28 yd FG GOOD — EMU win probability +8.4 pts (now 55%) (top driver: EMU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 1:56: Tucker Gleason pass complete to Thomas Zsiros for 25 yds for a TD (Dylan Cunanan KICK) — TOL win probability +37.8 pts (now 96%) (top driver: TOL has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
EMU made the numbers' call on 7 of 11TOL made the numbers' call on 7 of 10
  1. Q1 13:54EMU 4th & 10 at midfield, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 26.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    26.9%−<0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    26.9%
    average punt
  2. Q1 8:53EMU 4th & 9 at TOL 27, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 29.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    29.4%−0.1
    31% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    29.5%
    62% to make
    Punt
    28.9%−0.6
    average punt
  3. Q1 6:07TOL 4th & 6 at EMU 45, tied
    Close callPunted · 69.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    69.7%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    69.4%−0.3
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    69.7%−<0.1
    average punt
  4. Q1 0:50TOL 4th & 8 at TOL 37, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 61.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    61.4%−0.4
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    61.7%
    average punt
  5. Q2 14:49EMU 4th & 2 at EMU 26, up 7
    Close callPunted · 38.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    38.5%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    38.3%−0.3
    average punt
  6. Q2 7:10EMU 4th & 6 at TOL 27, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 38.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    38.6%−<0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    38.6%
    62% to make
    Punt
    34.8%−3.9
    average punt
  7. Q2 5:47TOL 4th & 6 at TOL 49, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 58.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    59.1%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    59.1%
    average punt
  8. Q2 4:51EMU 4th & 7 at EMU 11, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 40.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    39.2%−1.5
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    40.7%
    average punt
  9. Q2 1:58TOL 4th & 5 at EMU 27, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 57.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    57.0%−0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    57.2%
    62% to make
    Punt
    52.4%−4.8
    average punt
  10. Q2 1:34EMU 4th & 11 at EMU 26, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 41.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    40.4%−1.9
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    42.4%
    average punt
  11. Q2 0:22TOL 4th & 1 at EMU 22, down 3
    Close callWent for it · 57.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    57.3%−0.3
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    57.6%
    72% to make
    Punt
    52.3%−5.3
    average punt
  12. Q3 8:08EMU 4th & 3 at TOL 14, up 3
    Close callKicked a field goal · 53.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    52.7%
    51% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    52.1%−0.6
    84% to make
    Punt
    42.7%−10.0
    average punt
  13. Q3 5:54TOL 4th & 1 at TOL 43, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 42.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    44.5%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    40.8%−3.7
    average punt
  14. Q3 0:37TOL 4th & 10 at TOL 27, down 12
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 17.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    17.1%−1.7
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    18.7%
    average punt
  15. Q4 13:46EMU 4th & 1 at EMU 31, up 12
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.8 ptsPunted · 84.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    86.2%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    84.4%−1.8
    average punt
  16. Q4 7:08EMU 4th & 2 at TOL 10, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 40.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    39.1%−2.3
    55% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    41.4%
    88% to make
    Punt
    23.1%−18.3
    average punt
  17. Q4 6:19TOL 4th & 8 at TOL 33, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 49.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    45.0%−6.6
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    51.6%
    average punt
  18. Q4 4:47EMU 4th & 1 at EMU 29, tied
    Numbers favored go for it by 7.3 ptsPunted · 52.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    55.8%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    48.5%−7.3
    average punt
  19. Q4 1:56TOL 4th & 1 at EMU 25, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 55.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    58.1%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    48.2%−9.9
    66% to make
    Punt
    22.2%−35.9
    average punt
  20. Q4 1:23EMU 4th & 25 at EMU 10, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 13.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.2%−0.6
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    8.8%
    average punt
  21. Q4 1:03TOL 4th & 5 at EMU 45, up 7
    Close callPunted · 90.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    90.0%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    89.4%−0.5
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    89.7%−0.3
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
EMU made the numbers' call on 1 of 3TOL made the numbers' call on 3 of 4
  1. Q1 1:39EMU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    36.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    36.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 11:30TOL Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    63.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    63.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 1:25EMU Touchdown, up 12 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    82.5%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    82.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 12:55TOL Touchdown, down 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    28.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    28.2%−0.7
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 9:51TOL Touchdown, up 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersWent for two · converted
    Kick
    58.3%−1.1
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    59.3%
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 1:56TOL Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    83.8%−0.5
    97% to make
    Go for two
    84.2%
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 0:00EMU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Numbers favored kick by 7.8 ptsWent for two · failed
    Kick
    49.7%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    41.9%−7.8
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
TOLDrive 1INT
2 plays · 21 yds · 0:3678% → 78%
Q1 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+21
21.9%
Jacquez Stuart run for 21 yds to the TOL 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:18
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
22.1%
Tucker Gleason pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 2PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:1822% → 22%
Q1 14:12
1ST & 10
50
0
22.3%
Cole Snyder pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 14:08
2ND & 10
50
0
22.3%
Cole Snyder pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 14:02
3RD & 10
50
0
22.3%
Cole Snyder pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:54
4TH & 10
50
+18
22.4%
Mitchell Tomasek punt for 39 yds , Bryson Hammer returns for 18 yds to the TOL 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TOLDrive 3FUMBLE
8 plays · 12 yds · 2:1778% → 77%
Q1 13:44
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+2
22.4%
Jacquez Stuart run for 2 yds to the TOL 31Similar
Q1 13:22
2ND & 8
OWN 31
+8
22.6%
Tucker Gleason pass complete to Jacquez Stuart for 8 yds to the TOL 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:37
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+14
22.9%
Connor Walendzak run for 14 yds to the EMU 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:18
1ST & 10
OPP 47
-5
22.9%
Toledo Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the TOL 48Similar
Q1 12:06
1ST & 15
OWN 48
-5
23.1%
Toledo Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the TOL 43Similar
Q1 11:49
1ST & 20
OWN 43
0
23.3%
Tucker Gleason pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:45
2ND & 20
OWN 43
-10
23.4%
Toledo Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the TOL 41Similar
Q1 11:27
2ND & 22
OWN 41
0
23.5%
Tucker Gleason sacked for 0 yards to the TOL 41 Tucker Gleason fumbled, recovered by EMU Tyrell Martin , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 4MISSED FG
8 plays · 14 yds · 2:2424% → 25%
Q1 11:17
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+3
24.0%
Deion Brown run for 3 yds to the TOL 38Similar
Q1 10:41
2ND & 7
OPP 38
+5
24.4%
Cole Snyder pass complete to Terry Lockett Jr. for 5 yds to the TOL 33Similar
Q1 10:02
3RD & 2
OPP 33
+5
24.7%
Delbert Mimms III run for 5 yds to the TOL 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:39
1ST & 10
OPP 28
0
25.1%
Cole Snyder pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 9:36
2ND & 10
OPP 28
+1
25.1%
Deion Brown run for 1 yd to the TOL 27Similar
Q1 8:58
3RD & 9
OPP 27
0
25.3%
Cole Snyder pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 8:53
4TH & 9
OPP 27
+45
24.9%
Jesus Gomez 45 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TOLDrive 5PUNT
8 plays · 28 yds · 2:4375% → 74%
Q1 8:50
1ST & 10
OWN 27
0
25.1%
Jacquez Stuart run for no gain to the TOL 27Similar
Q1 8:20
2ND & 10
OWN 27
+2
25.2%
Tucker Gleason pass complete to Jacquez Stuart for 2 yds to the TOL 29Similar
Q1 7:43
3RD & 8
OWN 29
+22
25.7%
Tucker Gleason pass complete to Junior Vandeross III for 22 yds to the EMU 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:09
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+5
25.3%
Tucker Gleason pass complete to Junior Vandeross III for 5 yds to the EMU 44Similar
Q1 6:47
2ND & 5
OPP 44
-1
25.0%
Sevaughn Clark run for a loss of 1 yard to the EMU 45Similar
Q1 6:15
3RD & 6
OPP 45
0
25.1%
Tucker Gleason pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 6:07
4TH & 6
OPP 45
0
25.6%
Emilio Duran punt for 34 yds , Jaivian Norman returns for no gain to the EMU 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 6TD
11 plays · 89 yds · 4:2226% → 37%
Q1 6:01
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+11
26.4%
Cole Snyder pass complete to Oran Singleton for 11 yds to the EMU 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:48
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+8
26.5%
Cole Snyder run for 8 yds to the EMU 30Similar
Q1 5:23
2ND & 2
OWN 30
+11
27.1%
Deion Brown run for 11 yds to the EMU 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:03
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+10
27.5%
Cole Snyder pass complete to Oran Singleton for 10 yds to the TOL 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:42
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+1
28.1%
Deion Brown run for 1 yd to the TOL 48Similar
Q1 4:09
2ND & 9
OPP 48
+2
28.4%
Joey Mattord run for 2 yds to the TOL 46Similar
Q1 3:25
3RD & 7
OPP 46
+22
28.6%
Cole Snyder pass complete to Joey Mattord for 22 yds to the TOL 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:01
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+7
29.5%
Joey Mattord run for 7 yds to the TOL 17Similar
Q1 2:38
2ND & 3
OPP 17
+5
29.9%
Cole Snyder run for 5 yds to the TOL 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:20
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+6
30.1%
Cole Snyder pass complete to Oran Singleton for 6 yds to the TOL 6Similar
Q1 1:39
2ND & 4
OPP 6
+6
36.6%
Cole Snyder pass complete to Markus Allen for 6 yds for a TD (Jesus Gomez KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TOLDrive 7PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 0:4068% → 66%
Q1 1:30
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+2
32.3%
Connor Walendzak run for 2 yds to the TOL 37Similar
Q1 1:05
2ND & 8
OWN 37
0
32.6%
Tucker Gleason pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 0:57
3RD & 8
OWN 37
0
33.1%
Tucker Gleason pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 0:50
4TH & 8
OWN 37
0
33.9%
Emilio Duran punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Oran Singleton at the EMU 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 8PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 0:5637% → 36%
Q1 0:45
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+9
36.6%
Oran Singleton run for 9 yds to the EMU 27Similar
Q1 0:13
2ND & 1
OWN 27
0
37.4%
Cole Snyder pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 0:07
3RD & 1
OWN 27
-1
36.7%
Cole Snyder pass complete to Jere Getzinger for a loss of 1 yard Jere Getzinger fumbled, recovered by EMUSimilar
Q2 14:49
4TH & 2
OWN 26
+9
36.3%
Mitchell Tomasek punt for 37 yds , Bryson Hammer returns for 9 yds to the TOL 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TOLDrive 9TD
8 plays · 54 yds · 3:1767% → 72%
Q2 14:47
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+13
33.0%
Tucker Gleason pass complete to Thomas Zsiros for 13 yds to the EMU 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:28
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+8
33.5%
Sevaughn Clark run for 8 yds to the EMU 33Similar
Q2 13:50
2ND & 2
OPP 33
+11
33.2%
Tucker Gleason pass complete to Sevaughn Clark for 11 yds to the EMU 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:17
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+3
33.6%
Connor Walendzak run for 3 yds to the EMU 19Similar
Q2 12:40
2ND & 7
OPP 19
+12
34.1%
Tucker Gleason pass complete to Connor Walendzak for 12 yds to the EMU 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+4
34.6%
Tucker Gleason pass complete to Connor Walendzak for 4 yds to the EMU 3Similar
Q2 11:30
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
27.9%
Tucker Gleason run for 3 yds for a TD (Dylan Cunanan KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 10FG
10 plays · 48 yds · 4:1632% → 40%
Q2 11:26
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
32.3%
Cole Snyder pass complete to Oran Singleton for 4 yds to the EMU 29Similar
Q2 11:00
2ND & 6
OWN 29
0
32.7%
Joey Mattord run for no gain to the EMU 29Similar
Q2 10:24
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+29
32.4%
Cole Snyder run for 29 yds to the TOL 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:53
1ST & 10
OPP 42
-10
35.6%
Eastern Michigan Penalty, Offensive Holding (Deion Brown) to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 9:26
1ST & 18
50
0
34.7%
Cole Snyder pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 9:18
2ND & 18
50
+19
34.5%
Cole Snyder pass complete to Elijah Jackson-Anderson for 19 yds to the TOL 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:46
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+8
36.9%
Elijah Jackson-Anderson run for 8 yds to the TOL 23Similar
Q2 8:03
2ND & 2
OPP 23
0
37.4%
Cole Snyder pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 7:58
3RD & 2
OPP 23
-4
36.4%
Delbert Mimms III run for a loss of 4 yards to the TOL 27Similar
Q2 7:10
4TH & 6
OPP 27
+45
39.5%
Jesus Gomez 45 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TOLDrive 11PUNT
5 plays · 24 yds · 1:2261% → 59%
Q2 7:09
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+20
39.4%
Sevaughn Clark run for 20 yds to the TOL 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:39
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
38.1%
Tucker Gleason pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 6:35
2ND & 10
OWN 45
0
38.8%
Tucker Gleason pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 6:31
3RD & 10
OWN 45
+4
39.4%
Tucker Gleason pass complete to Jerjuan Newton for 4 yds to the TOL 49Similar
Q2 5:47
4TH & 6
OWN 49
0
40.6%
Emilio Duran punt for 43 yds, downed at the EMU 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 12PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:4541% → 40%
Q2 5:36
1ST & 10
OWN 8
0
41.2%
Cole Snyder pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 5:29
2ND & 10
OWN 8
+3
41.1%
Deion Brown run for 3 yds to the EMU 11Similar
Q2 4:56
3RD & 7
OWN 11
0
40.3%
Cole Snyder pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 4:51
4TH & 7
OWN 11
0
39.6%
Mitchell Tomasek punt for 36 yds , Jaivian Norman returns for no gain to the EMU 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TOLDrive 13MISSED FG
7 plays · 20 yds · 2:4561% → 55%
Q2 4:43
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
39.2%
Tucker Gleason pass complete to Jerjuan Newton for no gain to the EMU 47Similar
Q2 4:05
2ND & 10
OPP 47
+15
40.0%
Sevaughn Clark run for 15 yds to the EMU 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:39
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+1
38.9%
Sevaughn Clark run for 1 yd to the EMU 31Similar
Q2 3:13
2ND & 9
OPP 31
+6
39.3%
Tucker Gleason pass complete to Jerjuan Newton for 6 yds to the EMU 25Similar
Q2 2:28
3RD & 3
OPP 25
-2
40.8%
Tucker Gleason pass complete to Jerjuan Newton for a loss of 2 yards to the EMU 27Similar
Q2 1:58
4TH & 5
OPP 27
+45
44.6%
Dylan Cunanan 45 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 14PUNT
5 plays · -1 yds · 0:2044% → 43%
Q2 1:54
1ST & 10
OWN 27
-1
44.1%
Cole Snyder pass complete to Oran Singleton for a loss of 1 yard to the EMU 26Similar
Q2 1:43
2ND & 11
OWN 26
0
44.5%
Cole Snyder pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:38
3RD & 11
OWN 26
0
43.5%
Cole Snyder pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:34
4TH & 11
OWN 26
0
42.6%
Mitchell Tomasek punt for 26 yds, downed at the TOL 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TOLDrive 15DOWNS
10 plays · 44 yds · 1:0352% → 52%
Q2 1:25
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+21
47.7%
Tucker Gleason pass complete to Jerjuan Newton for 21 yds to the EMU 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:13
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+3
44.1%
Connor Walendzak run for 3 yds to the EMU 43Similar
Q2 0:55
2ND & 7
OPP 43
0
44.5%
Tucker Gleason pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:49
3RD & 7
OPP 43
+12
45.2%
Connor Walendzak run for 12 yds to the EMU 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:39
1ST & 10
OPP 31
0
43.3%
Tucker Gleason pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:35
2ND & 10
OPP 31
+9
43.5%
Tucker Gleason pass complete to Jerjuan Newton for 9 yds to the EMU 22Similar
Q2 0:26
3RD & 1
OPP 22
0
46.2%
Tucker Gleason pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:22
4TH & 1
OPP 22
-1
48.0%
Tucker Gleason run for a loss of 1 yard to the EMU 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 16END OF HALF
1 play · -2 yds · 0:0046% → 46%
Q2 0:16
1ST & 10
OWN 23
-2
45.9%
(00:16) [NHSG] Kneel down by SNYDER, Cole at EMU21 (team loss of 2), clock 00:11.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 17FG
15 plays · 64 yds · 6:4543% → 57%
Q3 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+8
42.5%
Deion Brown run for 8 yds to the EMU 30Similar
Q3 14:11
2ND & 2
OWN 30
+1
45.9%
Cole Snyder pass complete to Jere Getzinger for 1 yd to the EMU 31Similar
Q3 13:27
3RD & 1
OWN 31
+11
45.2%
Cole Snyder pass complete to JB Mitchell III for 11 yds to the EMU 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:47
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+6
47.4%
Cole Snyder run for 6 yds to the EMU 48Similar
Q3 12:23
2ND & 4
OWN 48
-1
48.3%
Deion Brown run for a loss of 1 yard to the EMU 47Similar
Q3 11:46
3RD & 5
OWN 47
+17
47.6%
Cole Snyder pass complete to Joey Mattord for 17 yds to the TOL 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:20
1ST & 10
OPP 36
-10
49.7%
(11:20) SNYDER, Cole pass short to the left incomplete intended for MATTORD, Joey thrown to the TOL35, clock 11:15. PENALTY EMU Holding on ANDERSON, Joshua enforced 10 yards from the TOL36 to the TOL46 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 11:13
1ST & 20
OPP 46
0
48.3%
Cole Snyder pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 11:05
2ND & 20
OPP 46
+5
48.1%
Joey Mattord run for 5 yds to the TOL 41Similar
Q3 10:37
3RD & 15
OPP 41
+5
47.3%
Toledo Penalty, Offsides (Deshawn Holt) to the TOL 36Similar
Q3 10:19
3RD & 10
OPP 36
+15
49.3%
(10:19) SNYDER, Cole pass up the middle incomplete intended for REESE, Max thrown to the TOL22, clock 10:16. PENALTY TOL Pass Interference on BARROW, Jackson enforced 15 yards to the TOL21 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 10:15
1ST & 10
OPP 21
-1
51.7%
Deion Brown run for a loss of 1 yard to the TOL 22Similar
Q3 9:35
2ND & 11
OPP 22
-5
52.8%
Cole Snyder sacked by Martez Poynter for a loss of 5 yards to the TOL 27Similar
Q3 8:52
3RD & 16
OPP 27
+13
50.0%
Joey Mattord run for 13 yds to the TOL 14Similar
Q3 8:08
4TH & 3
OPP 14
+32
57.3%
Jesus Gomez 32 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TOLDrive 18DOWNS
7 plays · 19 yds · 2:0847% → 46%
Q3 8:02
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+4
53.3%
Jacquez Stuart run for 4 yds to the TOL 26Similar
Q3 7:29
2ND & 6
OWN 26
+8
53.0%
Jacquez Stuart run for 8 yds to the TOL 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:11
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+8
52.6%
Tucker Gleason pass complete to Junior Vandeross III for 8 yds to the TOL 42Similar
Q3 6:38
2ND & 2
OWN 42
0
50.8%
Tucker Gleason pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 6:32
3RD & 2
OWN 42
+1
51.2%
Connor Walendzak run for 1 yd to the TOL 43Similar
Q3 5:54
4TH & 1
OWN 43
-2
53.9%
Connor Walendzak run for a loss of 2 yards to the TOL 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 19TD
10 plays · 41 yds · 4:2562% → 83%
Q3 5:50
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+4
62.4%
Cole Snyder run for 4 yds to the TOL 37Similar
Q3 5:22
2ND & 6
OPP 37
+7
62.8%
Elijah Jackson-Anderson run for 7 yds to the TOL 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:00
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+9
63.3%
Cole Snyder pass complete to Terry Lockett Jr. for 9 yds to the TOL 21Similar
Q3 4:41
2ND & 1
OPP 21
0
64.5%
Cole Snyder run for no gain to the TOL 21Similar
Q3 4:07
3RD & 1
OPP 21
+4
63.6%
Cole Snyder run for 4 yds to the TOL 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:31
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+4
65.7%
Elijah Jackson-Anderson run for 4 yds to the TOL 13Similar
Q3 2:57
2ND & 6
OPP 13
+1
68.2%
Elijah Jackson-Anderson run for 1 yd to the TOL 12Similar
Q3 2:06
3RD & 5
OPP 12
+10
67.6%
Cole Snyder pass complete to Joey Mattord for 10 yds to the TOL 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:48
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
71.0%
Toledo Penalty, Personal Foul (Deshawn Holt) to the TOL 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:25
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
82.7%
Joey Mattord 1 Yd Run (Two-Point Pass Conversion Failed)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TOLDrive 20PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:3924% → 21%
Q3 1:16
1ST & 10
OWN 27
0
76.4%
Sevaughn Clark run for no gain to the TOL 27Similar
Q3 0:49
2ND & 10
OWN 27
0
77.9%
Tucker Gleason pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 0:42
3RD & 10
OWN 27
0
78.4%
Tucker Gleason pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 0:37
4TH & 10
OWN 27
+5
79.1%
Emilio Duran punt for 56 yds , Oran Singleton returns for 5 yds to the EMU 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 21PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 1:4185% → 86%
Q3 0:27
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+6
85.4%
Cole Snyder run for 6 yds to the EMU 28Similar
Q4 14:58
2ND & 4
OWN 28
-2
85.9%
Deion Brown run for a loss of 2 yards to the EMU 26Similar
Q4 14:25
3RD & 6
OWN 26
+5
85.4%
Cole Snyder pass complete to Terry Lockett Jr. for 5 yds to the EMU 31Similar
Q4 13:46
4TH & 1
OWN 31
0
85.7%
Cole Snyder punt for 49 yds, downed at the TOL 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TOLDrive 22TD
3 plays · 80 yds · 0:4818% → 40%
Q4 13:43
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
81.9%
Tucker Gleason pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 13:38
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+2
82.4%
Jacquez Stuart run for 2 yds to the TOL 22Similar
Q4 12:55
3RD & 8
OWN 22
+78
59.7%
Tucker Gleason pass complete to Anthony Torres for 78 yds for a TD (Dylan Cunanan KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 23INT
4 plays · 10 yds · 2:1440% → 47%
Q4 12:53
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
40.3%
Delbert Mimms III run for 2 yds to the EMU 27Similar
Q4 12:17
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+5
43.2%
Delbert Mimms III run for 5 yds to the EMU 32Similar
Q4 11:34
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+3
44.6%
Cole Snyder pass complete to Max Reese for 3 yds to the EMU 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:39
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-23
46.5%
Cole Snyder pass intercepted Nasir Bowers return for 23 yds to the EMU 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TOLDrive 24TD
2 plays · 27 yds · 0:4249% → 68%
Q4 10:33
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+2
50.9%
Tucker Gleason run for 2 yds to the EMU 25Similar
Q4 9:51
2ND & 8
OPP 25
+25
32.4%
Tucker Gleason pass complete to Junior Vandeross III for 25 yds for a TD (Tucker Gleason pass to Jerjuan Newton for Two-Point Conversion)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 25FG
8 plays · 70 yds · 2:3640% → 55%
Q4 9:44
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+6
40.4%
Delbert Mimms III run for 6 yds to the EMU 26Similar
Q4 9:27
2ND & 4
OWN 26
+14
41.2%
Cole Snyder run for 14 yds to the EMU 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:07
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
44.5%
Cole Snyder pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 9:02
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+42
42.7%
Cole Snyder pass complete to Oran Singleton for 42 yds to the TOL 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:34
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+4
48.3%
Delbert Mimms III run for 4 yds to the TOL 14Similar
Q4 8:01
2ND & 6
OPP 14
0
48.7%
Cole Snyder pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 7:56
3RD & 6
OPP 14
+4
46.1%
Cole Snyder pass complete to Jamarien Wheeler for 4 yds to the TOL 10Similar
Q4 7:08
4TH & 2
OPP 10
+28
54.5%
Jesus Gomez 28 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TOLDrive 26PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 0:4754% → 50%
Q4 7:06
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
45.8%
Tucker Gleason pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 6:59
2ND & 10
OWN 31
+2
46.5%
Jacquez Stuart run for 2 yds to the TOL 33Similar
Q4 6:26
3RD & 8
OWN 33
0
47.4%
Tucker Gleason pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 6:19
4TH & 8
OWN 33
0
49.6%
Emilio Duran punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Oran Singleton at the EMU 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 27PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 1:2551% → 48%
Q4 6:12
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+5
50.8%
Joey Mattord run for 5 yds to the EMU 25Similar
Q4 5:41
2ND & 5
OWN 25
0
51.8%
Cole Snyder pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 5:37
3RD & 5
OWN 25
+4
49.4%
Cole Snyder run for 4 yds to the EMU 29 Cole Snyder fumbled, recovered by EMU Mickey Rewolinski M. Rewolinski return for 0 ydsSimilar
Q4 4:47
4TH & 1
OWN 29
+8
48.2%
Cole Snyder punt for 39 yds , Maxen Hook returns for 8 yds to the TOL 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TOLDrive 28TD
5 plays · 60 yds · 2:4656% → 96%
Q4 4:42
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+26
44.1%
Sevaughn Clark run for 26 yds to the EMU 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:13
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+5
39.5%
Sevaughn Clark run for 5 yds to the EMU 29Similar
Q4 3:32
2ND & 5
OPP 29
+4
38.9%
Sevaughn Clark run for 4 yds to the EMU 25Similar
Q4 2:49
3RD & 1
OPP 25
0
42.2%
Sevaughn Clark run for no gain to the EMU 25Similar
Q4 1:56
4TH & 1
OPP 25
+25
4.4%
Tucker Gleason pass complete to Thomas Zsiros for 25 yds for a TD (Dylan Cunanan KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 29PUNT
6 plays · -15 yds · 0:2710% → 10%
Q4 1:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-10
10.1%
Cole Snyder sacked by D'Andre Ragin and Cavon Butler for a loss of 10 yards to the EMU 15Similar
Q4 1:31
2ND & 20
OWN 15
0
11.1%
Cole Snyder pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:29
3RD & 20
OWN 15
0
10.9%
Cole Snyder pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:25
4TH & 20
OWN 15
-5
10.4%
Eastern Michigan Penalty, Delay Of Game (TEAM) to the EMU 10Similar
Q4 1:23
4TH & 25
OWN 10
0
10.4%
Mitchell Tomasek punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Bryson Hammer at the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TOLDrive 30PUNT
7 plays · 5 yds · 0:1596% → 95%
Q4 1:18
1ST & 10
50
0
4.2%
Connor Walendzak run for no gain to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 1:12
2ND & 10
50
+2
4.2%
Connor Walendzak run for 2 yds to the EMU 48Similar
Q4 1:08
3RD & 8
OPP 48
+3
4.2%
Connor Walendzak run for 3 yds to the EMU 45Similar
Q4 1:03
4TH & 5
OPP 45
0
4.8%
Emilio Duran punt for 27 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 31TD
9 plays · 82 yds · 0:596% → 11%
Q4 0:59
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+1
6.1%
Cole Snyder pass complete to Joey Mattord for 1 yd to the EMU 19Similar
Q4 0:41
2ND & 9
OWN 19
0
5.1%
Cole Snyder pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:34
3RD & 9
OWN 19
+13
4.8%
Cole Snyder pass complete to Oran Singleton for 13 yds to the EMU 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:25
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+18
4.5%
Cole Snyder pass complete to Oran Singleton for 18 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:18
1ST & 10
50
0
5.7%
Cole Snyder pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:13
2ND & 10
50
+14
5.4%
Cole Snyder pass complete to JB Mitchell III for 14 yds to the TOL 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:07
1ST & 10
OPP 36
0
6.1%
Cole Snyder pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 10
OPP 36
+36
10.9%
Cole Snyder pass complete to Terry Lockett Jr. for 36 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 1:56
Tucker Gleason pass complete to Thomas Zsiros for 25 yds for a TD (Dylan Cunanan KICK)
-37.8
TD · Q4 12:55
Tucker Gleason pass complete to Anthony Torres for 78 yds for a TD (Dylan Cunanan KICK)
-22.7
TD · Q4 9:51
Tucker Gleason pass complete to Junior Vandeross III for 25 yds for a TD (Tucker Gleason pass to Jerjuan Newton for Two-Point Conversion)
-18.5
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com