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NIU

Northern Illinois 23 at Ball State 25

BALL
2024 · Week 9 · Oct 26, 2024 · Scheumann Stadium
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Win probability · BALL
modelBALL aheadNIU aheadconfidence bandkey playBALL scoreNIU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGFGFGTDTDFGTDFGFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 0:03 · Ethan Hampton pass incomplete to George Dimopoulos
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore differentialBlowout margin
+33.0+16.50−16.5−33.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 88Pregame prior−19.5Home team on offense+2.3Garbage-time factor+0.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+1.2Score differential+0.3Blowout margin+0.7
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 1:51: Kadin Semonza pass complete to Tanner Koziol for 6 yds for a TD (Jackson Courville PAT MISSED) — BALL win probability +11.3 pts (now 59%) (top driver: BALL has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 1:12: Ethan Hampton pass complete to Cam Thompson for 54 yds for a TD (Kanon Woodill KICK) — NIU win probability +12.8 pts (now 59%) (top driver: NIU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 4:57: Antario Brown run for 6 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed) — NIU win probability +31.0 pts (now 50%) (top driver: NIU has the ball).
  4. FG · Q4 0:15: Kanon Woodill 47 yd FG GOOD — NIU win probability +65.6 pts (now 88%) (top driver: NIU has the ball).
  5. FG · Q4 0:02: Jackson Courville 52 yd FG GOOD — BALL win probability +55.6 pts (now 96%) (top driver: BALL has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
BALL made the numbers' call on 5 of 8NIU made the numbers' call on 4 of 6
  1. Q1 7:20NIU 4th & 6 at midfield, down 7
    Close callPunted · 73.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    73.9%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    73.8%−<0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 4:57BALL 4th & 5 at NIU 47, up 7
    Close callPunted · 28.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    28.6%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    28.6%−<0.1
    average punt
  3. Q2 12:44BALL 4th & 7 at NIU 7, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 30.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    29.7%−0.2
    28% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    29.9%
    91% to make
    Punt
    27.7%−2.2
    average punt
  4. Q2 9:40BALL 4th & 8 at NIU 29, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 33.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    32.8%−0.2
    34% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    33.0%
    58% to make
    Punt
    30.0%−3.0
    average punt
  5. Q2 0:29BALL 4th & 5 at BALL 35, up 5
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 44.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    42.5%−1.4
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    43.9%
    average punt
  6. Q2 0:03NIU 4th & 6 at BALL 36, down 5
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 58.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    59.0%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    57.8%−1.2
    42% to make
    Punt
    57.9%−1.1
    average punt
  7. Q2 0:03NIU 4th & 6 at BALL 36, down 5
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 58.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    59.0%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    57.8%−1.2
    42% to make
    Punt
    57.9%−1.1
    average punt
  8. Q3 11:53NIU 4th & 7 at BALL 46, down 5
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 53.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    54.3%−0.2
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    52.0%−2.5
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    54.5%
    average punt
  9. Q3 1:48BALL 4th & 15 at NIU 37, up 5
    Close callPunted · 56.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    55.2%−2.6
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    57.8%
    40% to make
    PuntTheir call
    57.1%−0.7
    average punt
  10. Q4 13:25NIU 4th & 4 at NIU 20, down 5
    Close callPunted · 37.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    37.3%
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    36.9%−0.4
    average punt
  11. Q4 8:52BALL 4th & 8 at NIU 33, up 5
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 73.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    72.4%−0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    72.5%
    49% to make
    Punt
    70.2%−2.3
    average punt
  12. Q4 2:36BALL 4th & 10 at BALL 49, up 2
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 72.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    69.8%−0.4
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    70.2%
    average punt
  13. Q4 1:51BALL 4th & 3 at NIU 16, up 2
    Numbers favored go for it by 2.9 ptsKicked a field goal · 81.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    79.1%
    51% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    76.2%−2.9
    81% to make
    Punt
    51.8%−27.2
    average punt
  14. Q4 0:15NIU 4th & 7 at BALL 30, down 2
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 25.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    18.0%−24.4
    37% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    42.4%
    56% to make
    Punt
    9.6%−32.9
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
BALL made the numbers' call on 2 of 2NIU made the numbers' call on 2 of 3
  1. Q1 10:26BALL Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    23.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    23.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 0:49NIU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    71.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    71.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 1:51BALL Touchdown, up 12 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    58.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    58.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 1:12NIU Touchdown, down 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    54.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    54.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 4:57NIU Touchdown, down 2 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    37.4%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    36.5%−0.9
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
BALLDrive 1TD
11 plays · 62 yds · 4:2217% → 21%
Q1 14:48
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+12
17.1%
Braedon Sloan run for 12 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:16
1ST & 10
50
+20
17.4%
Vaughn Pemberton run for 20 yds to the NIU 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:36
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
17.8%
Kadin Semonza pass incomplete to Christian AbneySimilar
Q1 13:25
2ND & 10
OPP 30
+13
17.9%
Vaughn Pemberton run for 13 yds to the NIU 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:41
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+6
18.4%
Kadin Semonza pass complete to Tanner Koziol for 6 yds to the NIU 11Similar
Q1 12:11
2ND & 4
OPP 11
+3
18.7%
Braedon Sloan run for 3 yds to the NIU 8Similar
Q1 11:51
3RD & 1
OPP 8
+3
18.8%
Braedon Sloan run for 3 yds to the NIU 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:14
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
0
19.2%
Kadin Semonza pass incomplete to Braedon SloanSimilar
Q1 11:07
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+2
19.3%
Charlie Spegal run for 2 yds to the NIU 3Similar
Q1 10:26
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
20.7%
Kadin Semonza pass complete to Tanner Koziol for 3 yds for a TD (Jackson Courville KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 2PUNT
7 plays · 25 yds · 2:5480% → 77%
Q1 10:14
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
20.4%
Josh Holst pass complete to Grayson Barnes for 11 yds to the NIU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:44
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+10
20.7%
Josh Holst pass complete to Grayson Barnes for 10 yds to the NIU 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:32
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+3
20.8%
Antario Brown run for 3 yds to the NIU 49Similar
Q1 8:47
2ND & 7
OWN 49
+6
21.2%
Josh Holst pass complete to Brock Lampe for 6 yds to the BALL 45Similar
Q1 7:47
3RD & 1
OPP 45
+5
22.0%
Antario Brown run for 5 yds to the 50 yard line Antario Brown fumbled, recovered by NIU Evan Malcore , return to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 7:20
4TH & 6
50
0
22.9%
Tom Foley punt for 50 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 3PUNT
6 plays · 33 yds · 2:1523% → 25%
Q1 7:12
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+8
23.1%
Braedon Sloan run for 8 yds to the BALL 28Similar
Q1 6:34
2ND & 2
OWN 28
+20
23.9%
Kadin Semonza pass complete to Braedon Sloan for 20 yds to the BALL 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:59
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+2
24.8%
Kiael Kelly run for 2 yds to the BALL 46Similar
Q1 5:19
2ND & 12
OWN 46
+7
25.1%
Vaughn Pemberton run for 7 yds to the NIU 47Similar
Q1 5:04
3RD & 5
OPP 47
0
25.5%
Kadin Semonza pass incomplete to Qian MagwoodSimilar
Q1 4:57
4TH & 5
OPP 47
0
25.1%
Brian Cooey Jr. punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Dane Pardridge at the NIU 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 4TD
7 plays · 90 yds · 4:0275% → 77%
Q1 4:51
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+1
25.1%
Antario Brown run for 1 yd to the NIU 9Similar
Q1 4:06
2ND & 11
OWN 9
+8
25.9%
Josh Holst pass complete to Keyshaun Pipkin for 8 yds to the NIU 17Similar
Q1 3:23
3RD & 3
OWN 17
+27
26.7%
Josh Holst pass complete to Cam Thompson for 27 yds to the NIU 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:53
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+9
26.1%
Josh Holst run for 9 yds to the BALL 47Similar
Q1 2:18
2ND & 1
OPP 47
-4
25.9%
Josh Holst sacked by Riley Tolsma for a loss of 4 yards to the NIU 49Similar
Q1 1:28
3RD & 5
OWN 49
+17
26.9%
Josh Holst run for 17 yds to the BALL 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:49
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+34
22.7%
Antario Brown run for 34 yds for a TD (Kanon Woodill KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 5FG
10 plays · 68 yds · 2:3125% → 28%
Q1 0:15
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+17
25.1%
Kadin Semonza pass complete to Justin Bowick for 17 yds to the BALL 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+14
26.1%
Kadin Semonza pass complete to Braedon Sloan for 14 yds to the NIU 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:46
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+34
26.7%
Cam Pickett run for 34 yds to the NIU 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:15
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+2
27.4%
Braedon Sloan run for 2 yds to the NIU 8Similar
Q2 13:37
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
-10
27.8%
(13:43) Shotgun Horton,TJ rush left for 7 yards gain to the NIU01 (Urwiler,Quinton), out of bounds PENALTY BSU Holding (Abney,Christian) 10 yards from NIU08 to NIU18. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 13:15
2ND & GOAL
OPP 18
+11
27.7%
Kiael Kelly pass complete to Kadin Semonza for 11 yds to the NIU 7Similar
Q2 12:47
3RD & GOAL
OPP 7
0
28.0%
Kadin Semonza pass incomplete to Braedon SloanSimilar
Q2 12:44
4TH & GOAL
OPP 7
+24
28.0%
Jackson Courville 24 yd FG GOODSimilar
Q2 12:44
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+15
27.8%
PENALTY NIU UNR: Unnecessary Roughness (Haberman,Cade) 15 yards from BSU35 to BSU50. NO PLAY.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 6INT
4 plays · 1 yds · 1:2572% → 70%
Q2 12:35
1ST & 10
OWN 18
0
28.1%
Antario Brown run for no gain to the NIU 18Similar
Q2 11:52
2ND & 10
OWN 18
+1
28.7%
Josh Holst pass complete to Trayvon Rudolph for 1 yd to the NIU 19Similar
Q2 11:10
3RD & 9
OWN 19
0
30.0%
Josh Holst pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 7FG
4 plays · 2 yds · 1:2631% → 35%
Q2 11:06
1ST & 10
OPP 31
0
30.9%
Kadin Semonza pass incomplete to Cam PickettSimilar
Q2 11:00
2ND & 10
OPP 31
+3
30.9%
Braedon Sloan run for 3 yds to the NIU 28Similar
Q2 10:19
3RD & 7
OPP 28
+1
30.9%
Braedon Sloan run for 1 yd to the NIU 29Similar
Q2 9:40
4TH & 8
OPP 29
+47
34.5%
Jackson Courville 47 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 8FUMBLE
7 plays · 17 yds · 2:4568% → 66%
Q2 9:21
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+1
31.7%
Josh Holst pass complete to Trayvon Rudolph for 1 yd to the NIU 43Similar
Q2 8:51
2ND & 9
OWN 43
+7
32.6%
Telly Johnson Jr. run for 7 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 8:10
3RD & 2
50
+4
32.9%
Telly Johnson Jr. run for 4 yds to the BALL 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:21
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+2
33.3%
Josh Holst run for 2 yds to the BALL 44Similar
Q2 6:52
2ND & 8
OPP 44
0
33.7%
Josh Holst pass incomplete to Trayvon RudolphSimilar
Q2 6:36
3RD & 8
OPP 44
+3
34.4%
Josh Holst run for 3 yds to the BALL 37 Josh Holst fumbled, recovered by BALL Keionte NewsonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 9TD
14 plays · 63 yds · 4:2640% → 59%
Q2 6:17
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+12
39.9%
Kadin Semonza pass complete to Braedon Sloan for 12 yds to the BALL 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:52
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
41.4%
Kadin Semonza pass incomplete to Tanner KoziolSimilar
Q2 5:46
2ND & 10
OWN 49
0
41.2%
Cam Pickett run for no gain to the BALL 49Similar
Q2 5:14
3RD & 10
OWN 49
+18
40.3%
Kadin Semonza pass complete to Tanner Koziol for 18 yds to the NIU 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:33
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+7
43.5%
Kiael Kelly run for 7 yds to the NIU 26Similar
Q2 3:56
2ND & 3
OPP 26
+1
44.3%
Vaughn Pemberton run for 1 yd to the NIU 27Similar
Q2 3:36
3RD & 4
OPP 27
+7
43.8%
Kadin Semonza pass complete to Malcolm Gillie for 7 yds to the NIU 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:02
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+3
45.4%
Braedon Sloan run for 3 yds to the NIU 17Similar
Q2 2:25
2ND & 7
OPP 17
0
45.9%
Kadin Semonza pass incomplete to Qian MagwoodSimilar
Q2 2:12
3RD & 7
OPP 17
+9
45.3%
Kadin Semonza pass complete to Justin Bowick for 9 yds to the NIU 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:52
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+2
47.3%
Kiael Kelly run for 2 yds to the NIU 6Similar
Q2 1:51
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
58.6%
Kadin Semonza pass complete to Tanner Koziol for 6 yds for a TD (Jackson Courville PAT MISSED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 10TD
7 plays · 75 yds · 0:3545% → 59%
Q2 1:47
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
55.4%
Ethan Hampton pass complete to Cam Thompson for 5 yds to the NIU 30Similar
Q2 1:41
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+6
54.7%
Ethan Hampton pass complete to Trayvon Rudolph for 6 yds to the NIU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:30
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
54.9%
Ethan Hampton pass incomplete to Cam ThompsonSimilar
Q2 1:24
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+10
55.4%
Ethan Hampton pass complete to Andrew McElroy for 10 yds to the NIU 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:20
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
54.3%
Ethan Hampton pass incomplete to Dane PardridgeSimilar
Q2 1:12
2ND & 10
OWN 46
+54
41.4%
Ethan Hampton pass complete to Cam Thompson for 54 yds for a TD (Kanon Woodill KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 11PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 0:2244% → 43%
Q2 0:51
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+5
43.6%
Kadin Semonza pass complete to Tanner Koziol for 5 yds to the BALL 35Similar
Q2 0:44
2ND & 5
OWN 35
0
44.7%
Kadin Semonza pass incomplete to Cam PickettSimilar
Q2 0:40
3RD & 5
OWN 35
0
43.3%
Kadin Semonza pass incomplete to Justin BowickSimilar
Q2 0:29
4TH & 5
OWN 35
+25
42.9%
Brian Cooey Jr. punt for 43 yds , Dane Pardridge returns for 25 yds to the NIU 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 12DOWNS
7 plays · 17 yds · 0:2159% → 59%
Q2 0:24
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+13
40.9%
Ethan Hampton pass complete to Trayvon Rudolph for 13 yds to the BALL 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:20
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
39.8%
Ethan Hampton pass incomplete to Cam ThompsonSimilar
Q2 0:14
2ND & 10
OPP 40
0
40.3%
Ethan Hampton pass incomplete to Trayvon RudolphSimilar
Q2 0:07
3RD & 10
OPP 40
+4
41.7%
Ethan Hampton run for 4 yds to the BALL 36Similar
Q2 0:03
4TH & 6
OPP 36
0
41.4%
Ethan Hampton pass incomplete to George DimopoulosSimilar
Q2 0:03
4TH & 6
OPP 36
0
41.4%
Ethan Hampton pass incomplete to George DimopoulosSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 13END OF HALF
2 plays · -1 yds · 0:0046% → 46%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-1
45.7%
(00:00) Kneel down by Ball St. at BSU35 for loss of 1 yard.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 14PUNT
6 plays · 39 yds · 2:5558% → 56%
Q3 14:48
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+10
41.7%
Antario Brown run for 10 yds to the NIU 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:09
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+26
42.2%
Telly Johnson Jr. run for 26 yds to the BALL 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:29
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+1
39.2%
Gavin Williams run for 1 yd to the BALL 48Similar
Q3 12:47
2ND & 9
OPP 48
+2
40.0%
Telly Johnson Jr. run for 2 yds to the BALL 46Similar
Q3 12:04
3RD & 7
OPP 46
0
41.0%
Josh Holst pass incomplete to Cam ThompsonSimilar
Q3 11:53
4TH & 7
OPP 46
0
44.2%
Tom Foley punt for 43 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 15PUNT
18 plays · 60 yds · 9:5946% → 56%
Q3 11:47
1ST & 10
OWN 3
+5
46.1%
Vaughn Pemberton run for 5 yds to the BALL 8Similar
Q3 11:15
2ND & 5
OWN 8
+1
46.4%
Vaughn Pemberton run for 1 yd to the BALL 9Similar
Q3 10:37
3RD & 4
OWN 9
+6
45.8%
Braedon Sloan run for 6 yds to the BALL 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:00
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+5
48.2%
Braedon Sloan run for 5 yds to the BALL 20Similar
Q3 9:31
2ND & 5
OWN 20
+3
48.9%
Braedon Sloan run for 3 yds to the BALL 23Similar
Q3 8:56
3RD & 2
OWN 23
+2
49.1%
Vaughn Pemberton run for 2 yds to the BALL 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:16
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
51.0%
Kadin Semonza pass complete to Christian Abney for 9 yds to the BALL 34Similar
Q3 7:43
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+6
53.5%
Vaughn Pemberton run for 6 yds to the BALL 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:59
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+1
54.7%
Kadin Semonza pass complete to Braedon Sloan for 1 yd to the BALL 41Similar
Q3 6:28
2ND & 9
OWN 41
+1
54.6%
Braedon Sloan run for 1 yd to the BALL 42Similar
Q3 5:44
3RD & 8
OWN 42
+14
53.7%
Kadin Semonza pass complete to Tanner Koziol for 14 yds to the NIU 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:09
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+6
58.3%
Vaughn Pemberton run for 6 yds to the NIU 38Similar
Q3 4:28
2ND & 4
OPP 38
+6
58.7%
Vaughn Pemberton run for 6 yds to the NIU 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:35
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+1
61.2%
Braedon Sloan run for 1 yd to the NIU 33Similar
Q3 2:47
2ND & 11
OPP 33
+5
61.9%
Kadin Semonza pass complete to Malcolm Gillie for 5 yds to the NIU 28Similar
Q3 2:29
3RD & 6
OPP 28
-9
61.1%
Kadin Semonza sacked by Skyler Gill-Howard for a loss of 9 yards to the NIU 37Similar
Q3 1:48
4TH & 15
OPP 37
0
56.4%
Kadin Semonza punt for 35 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 16PUNT
7 plays · 18 yds · 3:1445% → 40%
Q3 1:39
1ST & 10
OWN 2
+8
54.8%
Ethan Hampton pass complete to Cam Thompson for 8 yds to the NIU 10Similar
Q3 1:00
2ND & 2
OWN 10
+1
55.1%
Antario Brown run for 1 yd to the NIU 11Similar
Q3 0:00
3RD & 1
OWN 11
+3
57.9%
Telly Johnson Jr. run for 3 yds to the NIU 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:45
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+6
56.1%
Ethan Hampton pass complete to Cam Thompson for 6 yds to the NIU 20Similar
Q4 14:16
2ND & 4
OWN 20
0
55.7%
Antario Brown run for no gain to the NIU 20Similar
Q4 13:35
3RD & 4
OWN 20
0
58.8%
Ethan Hampton pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 13:25
4TH & 4
OWN 20
0
60.3%
Tom Foley punt for 35 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 17FG
11 plays · 22 yds · 4:2667% → 84%
Q4 13:18
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+1
66.8%
Braedon Sloan run for 1 yd to the BALL 46Similar
Q4 12:44
2ND & 9
OWN 46
0
66.9%
Kadin Semonza pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 12:29
3RD & 9
OWN 46
+9
66.6%
Kadin Semonza pass complete to Tanner Koziol for 9 yds to the NIU 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:00
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+1
71.2%
Vaughn Pemberton run for 1 yd to the NIU 44Similar
Q4 11:28
2ND & 9
OPP 44
-5
73.0%
PENALTY BSU False Start (Mucciolo,Jon) 5 yards from NIU44 to NIU49. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 10:59
2ND & 14
OPP 49
+12
71.9%
Kadin Semonza pass complete to Tanner Koziol for 12 yds to the NIU 37Similar
Q4 10:35
3RD & 2
OPP 37
+2
72.8%
Vaughn Pemberton run for 2 yds to the NIU 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:51
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+1
75.8%
Vaughn Pemberton run for 1 yd to the NIU 34Similar
Q4 9:15
2ND & 9
OPP 34
+1
76.1%
Braedon Sloan run for 1 yd to the NIU 33Similar
Q4 8:58
3RD & 8
OPP 33
0
76.4%
Kadin Semonza pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 8:52
4TH & 8
OPP 33
+50
83.7%
Jackson Courville 50 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 18TD
13 plays · 75 yds · 3:4417% → 50%
Q4 8:41
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
82.8%
Ethan Hampton pass complete to Dane Pardridge for a loss of 1 yard to the NIU 24Similar
Q4 8:12
2ND & 11
OWN 24
+11
83.4%
Ethan Hampton pass complete to Cam Thompson for 11 yds to the NIU 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:50
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+1
81.5%
Ethan Hampton pass complete to Grayson Barnes for 1 yd to the NIU 36Similar
Q4 7:32
2ND & 9
OWN 36
0
81.7%
Ethan Hampton pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 7:27
3RD & 9
OWN 36
+15
83.4%
(07:31) Shotgun Hampton,Ethan pass incomplete deep middle to Thompson,Cam thrown to BSU40 PENALTY BSU UNS: Unsportsmanlike Conduct (McClain,Eric) 15 yards from NIU36 to BSU49, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 7:19
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+7
78.8%
Antario Brown run for 7 yds to the BALL 42Similar
Q4 6:59
2ND & 3
OPP 42
+7
78.8%
Antario Brown run for 7 yds to the BALL 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:18
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+15
78.6%
(06:23) No Huddle-Shotgun Hampton,Ethan pass incomplete deep left to Thompson,Cam thrown to BSU00 PENALTY BSU Pass Interference (Yates,Willizhuan) 15 yards from BSU35 to BSU20, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 6:10
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+8
78.6%
Ethan Hampton pass complete to Trayvon Rudolph for 8 yds to the BALL 12Similar
Q4 5:36
2ND & 2
OPP 12
0
77.3%
Ethan Hampton pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 5:25
3RD & 2
OPP 12
+6
80.8%
Telly Johnson Jr. run for 6 yds to the BALL 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:57
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
49.9%
Antario Brown run for 6 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 19PUNT
7 plays · 12 yds · 2:1071% → 72%
Q4 4:46
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+2
70.7%
Braedon Sloan run for 2 yds to the BALL 39Similar
Q4 4:10
2ND & 8
OWN 39
+10
73.7%
Cam Pickett run for 10 yds to the BALL 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:27
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
76.3%
Braedon Sloan run for no gain to the BALL 49Similar
Q4 2:50
2ND & 10
OWN 49
0
76.3%
Kadin Semonza pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 2:46
3RD & 10
OWN 49
0
73.5%
Kadin Semonza pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 2:36
4TH & 10
OWN 49
+6
72.1%
Kadin Semonza punt for 36 yds , Dane Pardridge returns for 6 yds to the NIU 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 20INT
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:0635% → 34%
Q4 2:32
1ST & 10
OWN 21
0
65.3%
Ethan Hampton pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 2:26
2ND & 10
OWN 21
0
66.4%
Ethan Hampton pass intercepted Joey Stemler return for no gain to the NIU 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 21MISSED FG
8 plays · 7 yds · 0:3080% → 82%
Q4 2:21
1ST & 10
OPP 23
0
79.6%
Vaughn Pemberton run for no gain to the NIU 23Similar
Q4 2:12
2ND & 10
OPP 23
+7
80.7%
Kiael Kelly run for 7 yds to the NIU 16Similar
Q4 2:00
3RD & 3
OPP 16
-5
82.4%
PENALTY BSU False Start (Mucciolo,Jon) 5 yards from NIU16 to NIU21. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 1:55
3RD & 8
OPP 21
+5
82.3%
Kadin Semonza pass complete to Justin Bowick for 5 yds to the NIU 16Similar
Q4 1:51
4TH & 3
OPP 16
+33
81.9%
Jackson Courville 33 yd FG BLOCKED blocked by Santana BannerSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 22FG
14 plays · 50 yds · 1:3131% → 88%
Q4 1:46
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
69.2%
Ethan Hampton pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:42
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+5
69.9%
Ethan Hampton pass complete to Grayson Barnes for 5 yds to the NIU 25Similar
Q4 1:38
3RD & 5
OWN 25
+6
70.5%
Ethan Hampton pass complete to Dane Pardridge for 6 yds to the NIU 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:26
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
67.8%
Ethan Hampton pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:21
2ND & 10
OWN 31
+11
71.6%
Ethan Hampton pass complete to Trayvon Rudolph for 11 yds to the NIU 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:12
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+14
67.9%
Ethan Hampton pass complete to Cam Thompson for 14 yds to the BALL 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:05
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
64.2%
Ethan Hampton pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:59
2ND & 10
OPP 44
+11
66.4%
Ethan Hampton pass complete to Dane Pardridge for 11 yds to the BALL 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:47
1ST & 10
OPP 33
0
61.6%
Ethan Hampton pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:38
2ND & 10
OPP 33
+8
62.3%
Ethan Hampton pass complete to Trayvon Rudolph for 8 yds to the BALL 25Similar
Q4 0:24
3RD & 2
OPP 25
-5
65.7%
PENALTY NIU False Start (Hensley,Mark) 5 yards from BSU25 to BSU30. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 0:20
3RD & 7
OPP 30
0
78.0%
Ethan Hampton pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:15
4TH & 7
OPP 30
+47
12.5%
Kanon Woodill 47 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 23FG
6 plays · 39 yds · 0:0523% → 96%
Q4 0:07
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+34
23.3%
Kadin Semonza pass complete to Malcolm Gillie for 34 yds to the NIU 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:05
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+5
29.2%
Kadin Semonza pass complete to Tanner Koziol for 5 yds to the NIU 35Similar
Q4 0:02
2ND & 5
OPP 35
+52
96.2%
Jackson Courville 52 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 24FUMBLE
2 plays · -8 yds · 0:0016% → 16%
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+11
83.9%
Ethan Hampton pass complete to Cam Thompson for a loss of 8 yards to the NIU 26 lat. to for 11 yds Trayvon Rudolph fumbled, recovered by BALL Myles NorwoodSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
FG · Q4 0:15
Kanon Woodill 47 yd FG GOOD
-65.6
FG · Q4 0:02
Jackson Courville 52 yd FG GOOD
+55.6
TD · Q4 4:57
Antario Brown run for 6 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed)
-31
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com