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CMU

Central Michigan 34 at Eastern Michigan 38

EMU
2024 · Week 8 · Oct 19, 2024 · Rynearson Stadium
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Win probability · EMU
modelEMU aheadCMU aheadconfidence bandkey playEMU scoreCMU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGFGTDTDFGTDFGFGTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 1:18 · Mitchell Tomasek punt for 65 yds for a touchback
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsPregame priorOffense timeouts
+39.5+19.80−19.8−39.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 80Home team on offense+5.3Score differential+1.2Garbage-time factor+1.2Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.7Pregame prior+2.6Offense timeouts+0.3
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 1:00: Jason Williams 67 Yd Fumble Return (Tristan Mattson Kick) — CMU win probability +13.8 pts (now 44%) (top driver: Deficit strained by the offense's own timeouts).
  2. FG · Q2 0:00: Jesus Gomez 48 yd FG GOOD — EMU win probability +16.3 pts (now 53%) (top driver: Offense has -8 timeouts left).
  3. TD · Q3 14:10: Bert Emanuel Jr. run for 2 yds for a TD (Tristan Mattson KICK) — CMU win probability +19.4 pts (now 61%) (top driver: CMU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 7:19: Cole Snyder pass complete to Terry Lockett Jr. for 30 yds for a TD (Jesus Gomez KICK) — EMU win probability +39.6 pts (now 53%) (top driver: Offense has -3 timeouts left).
  5. TD · Q4 1:42: Cole Snyder run for 1 yd for a TD (Jesus Gomez KICK) — EMU win probability +69.9 pts (now 87%) (top driver: EMU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
EMU made the numbers' call on 7 of 10CMU made the numbers' call on 5 of 8
  1. Q1 12:41CMU 4th & 2 at EMU 22, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 39.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    39.4%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    39.3%−0.1
    72% to make
    Punt
    38.9%−0.5
    average punt
  2. Q1 4:18EMU 4th & 1 at CMU 12, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 64.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    64.7%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    64.0%−0.7
    86% to make
    Punt
    61.7%−3.0
    average punt
  3. Q1 2:18EMU 4th & 4 at CMU 4, up 7
    Close callKicked a field goal · 65.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    65.1%
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    64.8%−0.2
    93% to make
    Punt
    62.1%−3.0
    average punt
  4. Q1 0:55CMU 4th & 7 at CMU 28, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 33.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    33.1%−0.4
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    33.5%
    average punt
  5. Q2 7:57EMU 4th & 15 at CMU 23, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 69.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    67.3%−1.7
    16% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    69.0%
    70% to make
    Punt
    64.1%−4.9
    average punt
  6. Q2 6:02CMU 4th & 5 at CMU 29, down 13
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 23.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    23.4%−0.3
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    23.8%
    average punt
  7. Q2 4:16EMU 4th & 5 at EMU 23, up 13
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 77.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    76.3%−1.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    77.4%
    average punt
  8. Q2 1:18EMU 4th & 11 at EMU 35, up 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 67.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    66.3%−1.6
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    67.9%
    average punt
  9. Q3 11:36EMU 4th & 3 at midfield, down 5
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.8 ptsPunted · 47.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    49.1%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    47.3%−1.8
    average punt
  10. Q3 7:29CMU 4th & 5 at EMU 38, up 5
    Numbers favored go for it by 2.0 ptsKicked a field goal · 58.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    59.3%
    42% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    57.4%−2.0
    38% to make
    Punt
    57.4%−2.0
    average punt
  11. Q3 6:02EMU 4th & 9 at EMU 38, down 8
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 33.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    33.3%−1.4
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    34.7%
    average punt
  12. Q3 2:09CMU 4th & 2 at EMU 33, up 8
    Numbers favored go for it by 2.1 ptsKicked a field goal · 71.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    71.8%
    57% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    69.7%−2.1
    49% to make
    Punt
    68.5%−3.3
    average punt
  13. Q3 1:05EMU 4th & 2 at EMU 33, down 11
    Close callPunted · 23.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    24.7%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    24.6%−0.1
    average punt
  14. Q4 11:30EMU 4th & 1 at EMU 49, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 6.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    6.9%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    4.3%−2.6
    average punt
  15. Q4 8:27CMU 4th & 2 at CMU 16, up 10
    Close callPunted · 82.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    82.9%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    82.4%−0.5
    average punt
  16. Q4 4:01CMU 4th & 13 at CMU 32, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 69.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    62.9%−9.8
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    72.7%
    average punt
  17. Q4 1:42EMU 4th & 1 at CMU 1, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 38.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    50.8%
    59% to convert
    Field goal
    46.3%−4.6
    94% to make
    Punt
    12.2%−38.6
    average punt
  18. Q4 0:43CMU 4th & 3 at EMU 45, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 24.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    17.8%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    10.8%−7.0
    25% to make
    Punt
    8.2%−9.5
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
EMU made the numbers' call on 2 of 4CMU made the numbers' call on 4 of 4
  1. Q1 11:13EMU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    61.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    61.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 1:41CMU Touchdown, down 7 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    30.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    30.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 1:00CMU Touchdown, tied before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    41.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    41.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 14:10CMU Touchdown, up 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    50.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    50.0%−0.2
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 13:26CMU Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    91.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    91.4%−0.2
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 10:54EMU Touchdown, down 12 before the try
    Close callWent for two · converted
    Kick
    15.5%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    15.2%−0.3
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 7:19EMU Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    33.2%−0.2
    97% to make
    Go for two
    33.4%
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 1:42EMU Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    78.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    77.9%−1.0
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
EMUDrive 1INT
3 plays · 4 yds · 0:4855% → 55%
Q1 14:59
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
55.0%
Cole Snyder pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 14:54
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+4
55.0%
Cole Snyder pass complete to Oran Singleton for 4 yds to the EMU 29Similar
Q1 14:11
3RD & 6
OWN 29
-7
55.1%
Cole Snyder pass intercepted Jordan Kwiatkowski return for 7 yds to the EMU 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 2DOWNS
5 plays · -3 yds · 1:1745% → 45%
Q1 13:58
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
55.0%
Marion Lukes run for no gain to the EMU 30Similar
Q1 13:23
2ND & 10
OPP 30
0
54.9%
Tyler Jefferson pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:17
3RD & 10
OPP 30
+8
55.0%
Tyler Jefferson run for 8 yds to the EMU 22Similar
Q1 12:41
4TH & 2
OPP 22
-11
55.1%
Tyler Jefferson sacked by James Djonkam for a loss of 11 yards to the EMU 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 3TD
5 plays · 67 yds · 1:2455% → 57%
Q1 12:37
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+31
55.3%
Cole Snyder pass complete to Markus Allen for 31 yds to the CMU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:08
1ST & 10
OPP 36
0
55.6%
Cole Snyder pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:03
2ND & 10
OPP 36
+12
55.7%
Cole Snyder run for 12 yds to the CMU 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:36
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+9
55.9%
Cole Snyder run for 9 yds to the CMU 15Similar
Q1 11:13
2ND & 1
OPP 15
+15
57.1%
Cole Snyder pass complete to Markus Allen for 15 yds for a TD (Jesus Gomez KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 4FUMBLE
9 plays · 65 yds · 3:2043% → 42%
Q1 11:11
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
56.9%
(11:11) JEFFERSON, Tyler pass deep up the middle incomplete intended for PARKER, Chris thrown to the EMU25; QB hurried by JEFFERSON, Justin and NORMAN, Jaivian, clock 11:04. PENALTY EMU Pass Interference on NORMAN, Jaivian enforced 15 yards to the CMU40 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 11:03
1ST & 10
OWN 40
-5
56.7%
Tyler Jefferson sacked by Jaivian Norman and Jefferson Adam for a loss of 5 yards to the CMU 35Similar
Q1 10:27
2ND & 15
OWN 35
+13
57.3%
Tyler Jefferson run for 13 yds to the CMU 48Similar
Q1 9:40
3RD & 2
OWN 48
+2
57.1%
B.J. Harris run for 2 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:56
1ST & 10
50
+32
57.4%
Tyler Jefferson run for 32 yds to the EMU 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:14
1ST & 10
OPP 18
-5
56.9%
Central Michigan Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the EMU 23Similar
Q1 7:56
1ST & 15
OPP 23
0
57.2%
Tyler Jefferson pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:53
2ND & 15
OPP 23
-5
57.4%
Central Michigan Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the EMU 28Similar
Q1 7:51
2ND & 20
OPP 28
+18
57.6%
Tyler Jefferson run for 18 yds to the EMU 10 Tyler Jefferson fumbled, recovered by EMU Barry Manning B. Manning return for 0 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 5FG
14 plays · 86 yds · 5:1759% → 61%
Q1 7:35
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+45
58.7%
Cole Snyder pass complete to Markus Allen for 45 yds to the CMU 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:08
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+5
59.7%
Cole Snyder pass complete to Jere Getzinger for 5 yds to the CMU 40Similar
Q1 6:48
2ND & 5
OPP 40
+7
60.0%
Delbert Mimms III run for 7 yds to the CMU 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:31
1ST & 10
OPP 33
-2
60.1%
Cole Snyder sacked by Dakota Cochran for a loss of 2 yards to the CMU 35Similar
Q1 5:54
2ND & 12
OPP 35
0
60.4%
Cole Snyder pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 5:48
3RD & 12
OPP 35
+14
59.9%
Cole Snyder pass complete to Markus Allen for 14 yds to the CMU 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:30
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+8
60.8%
Delbert Mimms III run for 8 yds to the CMU 13Similar
Q1 5:01
2ND & 2
OPP 13
0
61.1%
Cole Snyder pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 4:55
3RD & 2
OPP 13
+1
60.8%
Delbert Mimms III run for 1 yd to the CMU 12Similar
Q1 4:18
4TH & 1
OPP 12
+3
60.6%
Delbert Mimms III run for 3 yds to the CMU 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:44
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+1
61.2%
Elijah Jackson-Anderson run for 1 yd to the CMU 8Similar
Q1 3:12
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
+4
61.5%
Cole Snyder run for 4 yds to the CMU 4Similar
Q1 2:26
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
0
61.2%
Cole Snyder pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 2:18
4TH & GOAL
OPP 4
+22
60.8%
Jesus Gomez 22 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 6PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 1:2138% → 37%
Q1 2:16
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
61.7%
Marion Lukes run for 1 yd to the CMU 26Similar
Q1 1:39
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+2
62.0%
Marion Lukes run for 2 yds to the CMU 28Similar
Q1 0:59
3RD & 7
OWN 28
0
62.8%
Tyler Jefferson pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 0:55
4TH & 7
OWN 28
+1
63.2%
David Chapeau punt for 45 yds , Oran Singleton returns for 1 yd to the EMU 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 7FG
16 plays · 49 yds · 7:4669% → 75%
Q1 0:43
1ST & 10
OWN 28
0
69.3%
Cole Snyder pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 0:37
2ND & 10
OWN 28
0
69.2%
Delbert Mimms III run for no gain to the EMU 28Similar
Q2 14:57
3RD & 10
OWN 28
+15
69.3%
(14:57) SNYDER, Cole pass deep up the middle incomplete intended for SINGLETON, Oran thrown to the CMU38, clock 14:55. PENALTY CMU Pass Interference on KENT, Donte enforced 15 yards to the EMU43 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 14:49
1ST & 10
OWN 43
-2
70.8%
Cole Snyder run for a loss of 2 yards to the EMU 41Similar
Q2 14:14
2ND & 12
OWN 41
+19
71.0%
Cole Snyder pass complete to Markus Allen for 19 yds to the CMU 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:29
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+2
72.3%
Cole Snyder run for 2 yds to the CMU 38Similar
Q2 12:49
2ND & 8
OPP 38
+3
72.7%
Deion Brown run for 3 yds to the CMU 35Similar
Q2 12:00
3RD & 5
OPP 35
+5
73.1%
Delbert Mimms III run for 5 yds to the CMU 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:22
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+1
72.6%
Delbert Mimms III run for 1 yd to the CMU 29Similar
Q2 10:44
2ND & 9
OPP 29
-6
72.7%
Cole Snyder sacked by Justin Whiteside for a loss of 6 yards to the CMU 35Similar
Q2 10:04
3RD & 15
OPP 35
+17
74.1%
Cole Snyder run for 17 yds to the CMU 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:28
1ST & 10
OPP 18
-4
73.4%
Delbert Mimms III run for a loss of 4 yards to the CMU 22Similar
Q2 8:46
2ND & 14
OPP 22
0
73.6%
Cole Snyder pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 8:41
3RD & 14
OPP 22
-1
71.0%
Cole Snyder sacked by Jaden Davis for a loss of 1 yard to the CMU 23Similar
Q2 7:57
4TH & 15
OPP 23
+41
74.9%
Jesus Gomez 41 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 8PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 1:4827% → 25%
Q2 7:50
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+2
73.5%
B.J. Harris run for 2 yds to the CMU 26Similar
Q2 7:11
2ND & 8
OWN 26
+4
73.9%
Bert Emanuel Jr. run for 4 yds to the CMU 30Similar
Q2 6:40
3RD & 4
OWN 30
-1
74.1%
Tyler Jefferson pass complete to B.J. Harris for a loss of 1 yard to the CMU 29Similar
Q2 6:02
4TH & 5
OWN 29
0
75.3%
David Chapeau punt for 53 yds, downed at the EMU 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 9PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 1:3681% → 79%
Q2 5:52
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+4
80.6%
Cole Snyder pass complete to Oran Singleton for 4 yds to the EMU 22Similar
Q2 5:16
2ND & 6
OWN 22
+1
80.6%
Delbert Mimms III run for 1 yd to the EMU 23Similar
Q2 4:29
3RD & 5
OWN 23
0
79.6%
Cole Snyder pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 4:16
4TH & 5
OWN 23
0
79.2%
Cole Snyder punt for 50 yds, downed at the CMU 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 10TD
9 plays · 73 yds · 2:3223% → 35%
Q2 4:13
1ST & 10
OWN 27
0
76.8%
Bert Emanuel Jr. run for no gain to the CMU 27Similar
Q2 3:50
2ND & 10
OWN 27
+4
77.5%
Tyler Jefferson run for 4 yds to the CMU 31Similar
Q2 3:08
3RD & 6
OWN 31
+10
77.6%
(03:08) JEFFERSON, Tyler pass deep up the middle intercepted by SCANDRETT, Quentavius at the EMU19 intended for PARKER, Chris. Scandrett return for 0 yards to the EMU19 (PARKER, Chris), clock 03:00. PENALTY EMU Holding on JENKINS, Jaheim enforced 10 yards from the CMU31 to the CMU41 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 2:53
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+15
77.7%
Bert Emanuel Jr. run for 15 yds to the EMU 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:20
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+12
76.8%
Bert Emanuel Jr. run for 12 yds to the EMU 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:58
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+11
76.9%
Gavin Harris run for 11 yds to the EMU 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:52
1ST & 10
OPP 21
-1
76.6%
Marion Lukes run for a loss of 1 yard to the EMU 22Similar
Q2 1:41
2ND & 11
OPP 22
+22
64.9%
Bert Emanuel Jr. pass complete to Evan Boyd for 22 yds for a TD (Tristan Mattson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 11PUNT
5 plays · -1 yds · 0:1567% → 64%
Q2 1:33
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-1
66.9%
Delbert Mimms III run for a loss of 1 yard to the EMU 35Similar
Q2 1:26
2ND & 11
OWN 35
0
66.1%
Cole Snyder pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:23
3RD & 11
OWN 35
0
65.0%
Cole Snyder pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:18
4TH & 11
OWN 35
0
64.3%
Mitchell Tomasek punt for 65 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 12FUMBLE
1 play · 0 yds · 0:0031% → 31%
Q2 1:10
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
69.5%
B.J. Harris run for no gain to the CMU 20 B.J. Harris fumbled, recovered by EMU Dylan Shelton D. Shelton return for 0 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 13FUMBLE RETURN TD
1 play · -13 yds · 0:0056% → 56%
Q2 1:00
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+67
55.6%
Jason Williams 67 Yd Fumble Return (Tristan Mattson Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 14FG
10 plays · 43 yds · 0:4851% → 53%
Q2 0:48
1ST & 10
OWN 26
0
50.6%
Cole Snyder pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:44
2ND & 10
OWN 26
+8
50.1%
Delbert Mimms III run for 8 yds to the EMU 34Similar
Q2 0:37
3RD & 2
OWN 34
+3
40.3%
Delbert Mimms III run for 3 yds to the EMU 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:28
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+16
40.6%
Cole Snyder pass complete to Delbert Mimms III for 16 yds to the CMU 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:19
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
43.2%
Cole Snyder pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:16
2ND & 10
OPP 47
0
42.8%
Cole Snyder pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:10
3RD & 10
OPP 47
+16
40.5%
Cole Snyder pass complete to Delbert Mimms III for 16 yds to the CMU 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+48
52.8%
Jesus Gomez 48 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 15TD
2 plays · 68 yds · 0:4341% → 61%
Q3 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+66
58.9%
Marion Lukes run for 66 yds to the EMU 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:10
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
39.5%
Bert Emanuel Jr. run for 2 yds for a TD (Tristan Mattson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 16PUNT
8 plays · 25 yds · 2:3043% → 42%
Q3 14:06
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
43.2%
Delbert Mimms III run for 3 yds to the EMU 28Similar
Q3 13:38
2ND & 7
OWN 28
-6
43.3%
Cole Snyder sacked by Michael Heldman and Jason Williams for a loss of 6 yards to the EMU 22Similar
Q3 13:10
3RD & 13
OWN 22
+21
40.3%
Cole Snyder pass complete to Terry Lockett Jr. for 21 yds to the EMU 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:46
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+4
44.0%
Delbert Mimms III run for 4 yds to the EMU 47Similar
Q3 12:27
2ND & 6
OWN 47
+3
44.7%
Delbert Mimms III run for 3 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 11:42
3RD & 3
50
0
44.1%
Cole Snyder pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 11:36
4TH & 3
50
0
42.2%
Mitchell Tomasek punt for 35 yds, downed at the CMU 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 17FG
8 plays · 47 yds · 3:5659% → 70%
Q3 11:25
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+10
40.8%
Eastern Michigan Penalty, Defensive Holding (Dylan Shelton) to the CMU 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:55
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+2
37.8%
Bert Emanuel Jr. run for 2 yds to the CMU 44Similar
Q3 10:18
2ND & 8
OWN 44
+6
37.6%
Bert Emanuel Jr. run for 6 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 9:34
3RD & 2
50
+7
37.1%
Marion Lukes run for 7 yds to the EMU 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:01
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+3
36.5%
Bert Emanuel Jr. run for 3 yds to the EMU 40Similar
Q3 8:20
2ND & 7
OPP 40
0
36.0%
Bert Emanuel Jr. pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 8:16
3RD & 7
OPP 40
+2
36.3%
Bert Emanuel Jr. run for 2 yds to the EMU 38Similar
Q3 7:29
4TH & 5
OPP 38
+56
30.0%
Tristan Mattson 56 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 18PUNT
5 plays · 13 yds · 1:2529% → 28%
Q3 7:27
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+12
29.1%
Cole Snyder run for 12 yds to the EMU 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:58
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+1
29.6%
Cole Snyder run for 1 yd to the EMU 38Similar
Q3 6:13
2ND & 9
OWN 38
0
29.2%
Cole Snyder pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 6:07
3RD & 9
OWN 38
0
28.3%
Cole Snyder pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 6:02
4TH & 9
OWN 38
+14
27.5%
Mitchell Tomasek punt for 44 yds , Donte Kent returns for 14 yds to the CMU 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 19FG
6 plays · 35 yds · 3:4071% → 76%
Q3 5:49
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+5
29.0%
Bert Emanuel Jr. run for 5 yds to the CMU 37Similar
Q3 5:02
2ND & 5
OWN 37
+22
28.1%
Bert Emanuel Jr. pass complete to Marion Lukes for 22 yds to the EMU 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:20
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+5
25.7%
Marion Lukes run for 5 yds to the EMU 36Similar
Q3 3:38
2ND & 5
OPP 36
+2
23.8%
Bert Emanuel Jr. run for 2 yds to the EMU 34Similar
Q3 2:55
3RD & 3
OPP 34
+1
23.7%
Bert Emanuel Jr. run for 1 yd to the EMU 33Similar
Q3 2:09
4TH & 2
OPP 33
+51
24.0%
Tristan Mattson 51 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 20PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 1:0220% → 18%
Q3 2:07
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
20.4%
Cole Snyder pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 2:02
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
20.1%
Cole Snyder pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 1:57
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+8
19.5%
Cole Snyder run for 8 yds to the EMU 33Similar
Q3 1:05
4TH & 2
OWN 33
+4
18.3%
Mitchell Tomasek punt for 48 yds , Donte Kent returns for 4 yds to the CMU 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 21TD
6 plays · 77 yds · 2:2577% → 95%
Q3 0:51
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+13
23.0%
Marion Lukes run for 13 yds to the CMU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:16
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+6
19.8%
Bert Emanuel Jr. run for 6 yds to the CMU 42Similar
Q4 14:59
2ND & 4
OWN 42
+48
19.1%
Bert Emanuel Jr. pass complete to Solomon Davis for 48 yds to the EMU 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:17
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+1
18.1%
Marion Lukes run for 1 yd to the EMU 9Similar
Q4 13:38
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
+7
15.7%
(13:38) BAILEY, Myles pass to the right incomplete intended for VANTIMMEREN, Nathan thrown to the EMU0, clock 13:35. PENALTY EMU Pass Interference on MURPHY, Luke enforced at the spot of the foul for 7 yards to the EMU2 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 13:26
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
4.6%
Gavin Harris 2 Yd Run (Tristan Mattson Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 22TD
8 plays · 75 yds · 2:294% → 16%
Q4 13:23
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
3.6%
Cole Snyder pass complete to Oran Singleton for 1 yd to the EMU 26Similar
Q4 12:52
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+14
3.3%
Cole Snyder pass complete to Oran Singleton for 14 yds to the EMU 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:37
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
3.4%
Cole Snyder pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 12:32
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+8
3.3%
Cole Snyder run for 8 yds to the EMU 48Similar
Q4 12:15
3RD & 2
OWN 48
+1
3.3%
Delbert Mimms III run for 1 yd to the EMU 49Similar
Q4 11:30
4TH & 1
OWN 49
+2
2.7%
Delbert Mimms III run for 2 yds to the CMU 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:08
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
2.8%
Cole Snyder pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 10:54
2ND & 10
OPP 49
+49
15.9%
Cole Snyder pass complete to Terry Lockett Jr. for 49 yds for a TD (Cole Snyder pass to Joey Mattord for Two-Point Conversion)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 23PUNT
6 plays · 8 yds · 2:2085% → 86%
Q4 10:47
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+3
15.0%
Bert Emanuel Jr. run for 3 yds to the CMU 11Similar
Q4 10:11
2ND & 7
OWN 11
+1
13.0%
Marion Lukes run for 1 yd to the CMU 12Similar
Q4 9:28
3RD & 6
OWN 12
-4
14.9%
Tyler Jefferson sacked for a loss of 4 yards to the CMU 16 Tyler Jefferson fumbled, recovered by CMU Davis Heinzen , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q4 8:34
4TH & 2
OWN 16
-8
14.0%
(08:34) CHAPEAU, David punt 45 yards to the EMU39, SINGLETON, Oran returned 8 yards to the EMU47 (WHITESIDE, Justin), clock 08:33. PENALTY EMU Holding on MILES, Sterling CMU Holding on KWIATKOWSKI, Jordan , Offsetting penalties [FAKE PUNT]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 8:27
4TH & 2
OWN 16
0
14.0%
punt for 29 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 24TD
3 plays · 45 yds · 1:0613% → 53%
Q4 8:25
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+11
12.9%
Terry Lockett Jr. run for 11 yds to the CMU 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:58
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+4
13.7%
Cole Snyder pass complete to Markus Allen for 4 yds to the CMU 30Similar
Q4 7:19
2ND & 6
OPP 30
+30
53.3%
Cole Snyder pass complete to Terry Lockett Jr. for 30 yds for a TD (Jesus Gomez KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 25PUNT
6 plays · 7 yds · 3:1462% → 66%
Q4 7:15
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
38.3%
Marion Lukes run for 6 yds to the CMU 31Similar
Q4 6:42
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+4
35.9%
Tyler Jefferson run for 4 yds to the CMU 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:08
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
35.5%
Marion Lukes run for no gain to the CMU 35Similar
Q4 5:29
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+3
32.7%
Tyler Jefferson run for 3 yds to the CMU 38Similar
Q4 4:44
3RD & 7
OWN 38
-6
30.6%
Tyler Jefferson sacked by Trey Laing and Donovan Green for a loss of 6 yards to the CMU 32Similar
Q4 4:01
4TH & 13
OWN 32
+18
33.9%
David Chapeau punt for 48 yds , Oran Singleton returns for 18 yds to the EMU 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 26TD
10 plays · 62 yds · 2:1037% → 87%
Q4 3:52
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+4
36.8%
Cole Snyder run for 4 yds to the EMU 42Similar
Q4 3:10
2ND & 6
OWN 42
+38
38.5%
Delbert Mimms III run for 38 yds to the CMU 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:17
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+12
28.0%
Cole Snyder pass complete to Markus Allen for 12 yds to the CMU 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:59
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+7
32.3%
Delbert Mimms III run for 7 ydsSimilar
Q4 1:56
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
-2
32.9%
Delbert Mimms III run for a loss of 2 yards to the CMU 3Similar
Q4 1:51
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
26.4%
Delbert Mimms III run for 2 yds to the CMU 1Similar
Q4 1:42
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
86.6%
Cole Snyder run for 1 yd for a TD (Jesus Gomez KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 27DOWNS
6 plays · 30 yds · 0:5724% → 28%
Q4 1:40
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+12
76.1%
Tyler Jefferson run for 12 yds to the CMU 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:26
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+11
74.6%
Tyler Jefferson run for 11 yds to the CMU 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:11
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+7
71.3%
Tyler Jefferson pass complete to Chris Parker for 7 yds to the EMU 45Similar
Q4 0:53
2ND & 3
OPP 45
0
65.6%
Tyler Jefferson pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:49
3RD & 3
OPP 45
0
69.5%
Tyler Jefferson pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:43
4TH & 3
OPP 45
0
72.2%
Tyler Jefferson pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 28END OF GAME
1 play · -3 yds · 0:0092% → 92%
Q4 0:38
1ST & 10
OWN 45
-3
92.0%
(00:38) [SG] Kneel down by SNYDER, Cole at EMU42 (team loss of 3), clock 00:32.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 1:42
Cole Snyder run for 1 yd for a TD (Jesus Gomez KICK)
+69.9
TD · Q4 7:19
Cole Snyder pass complete to Terry Lockett Jr. for 30 yds for a TD (Jesus Gomez KICK)
+39.6
TD · Q3 14:10
Bert Emanuel Jr. run for 2 yds for a TD (Tristan Mattson KICK)
-19.4
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com