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AKR

Akron 24 at Western Michigan 34

WMU
2024 · Week 7 · Oct 12, 2024 · Waldo Stadium
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Win probability · WMU
modelWMU aheadAKR aheadconfidence bandkey playWMU scoreAKR score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDTDTDTDTDFGTDTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 2:46 · Ryan Millmore punt for 21 yds
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+29.5+14.80−14.8−29.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 146Pregame prior+1.5Home team on offense+25.2Garbage-time factor+15.5Score differential+3.2Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+6.0Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+5.3
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 14:16: Tahj Bullock run for 5 yds for a TD (Garrison Smith KICK) — AKR win probability +10.2 pts (now 43%) (top driver: AKR has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 5:17: Hayden Wolff pass complete to Kenneth Womack for 25 yds for a TD (Luka Zurak KICK) — WMU win probability +10.1 pts (now 70%) (top driver: Not a blowout margin).
  3. TD · Q2 2:34: Broc Lowry run for 5 yds for a TD (Luka Zurak KICK) — WMU win probability +7.6 pts (now 77%) (top driver: WMU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 10:37: Jordon Simmons run for 4 yds for a TD (Garrison Smith KICK) — AKR win probability +14.5 pts (now 39%) (top driver: AKR has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 4:02: Hayden Wolff pass complete to Kaevion Mack for 10 yds for a TD (Luka Zurak KICK) — WMU win probability +13.7 pts (now 85%) (top driver: WMU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
WMU made the numbers' call on 4 of 6AKR made the numbers' call on 4 of 6
  1. Q1 12:23WMU 4th & 13 at WMU 49, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 74.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    74.0%−0.1
    21% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    74.1%
    average punt
  2. Q1 10:21AKR 4th & 7 at WMU 22, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 26.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    26.4%−<0.1
    36% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    26.5%
    72% to make
    Punt
    26.0%−0.5
    average punt
  3. Q1 7:48WMU 4th & 9 at WMU 40, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 72.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    72.1%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    72.2%
    average punt
  4. Q1 0:49WMU 4th & 3 at AKR 33, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 64.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    64.7%
    53% to convert
    Field goal
    64.2%−0.5
    49% to make
    Punt
    63.8%−0.9
    average punt
  5. Q2 12:03AKR 4th & 5 at AKR 26, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 37.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    37.0%−0.3
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    37.3%
    average punt
  6. Q2 1:06AKR 4th & 15 at WMU 31, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 28.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    27.1%−1.1
    17% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    28.2%
    54% to make
    Punt
    26.8%−1.4
    average punt
  7. Q3 5:44WMU 4th & 5 at AKR 33, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 66.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    65.9%
    42% to convert
    Field goal
    65.1%−0.8
    49% to make
    Punt
    63.7%−2.2
    average punt
  8. Q4 14:49AKR 4th & 6 at AKR 48, down 7
    Close callPunted · 20.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    20.2%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    20.2%−<0.1
    average punt
  9. Q4 11:28WMU 4th & 3 at AKR 3, up 7
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.8 ptsKicked a field goal · 86.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    86.8%
    44% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    85.0%−1.8
    93% to make
    Punt
    75.3%−11.6
    average punt
  10. Q4 7:17AKR 4th & 17 at AKR 43, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 8.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.6%−1.2
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    8.8%
    average punt
  11. Q4 2:46WMU 4th & 1 at WMU 44, up 10
    Close callPunted · 94.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.5%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    93.8%−0.8
    average punt
  12. Q4 1:02AKR 4th & 5 at WMU 17, down 10
    Close callKicked a field goal · 6.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.9%
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    4.9%−1.0
    80% to make
    Punt
    4.0%−1.9
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
WMU made the numbers' call on 4 of 4AKR made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q1 5:18AKR Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    30.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    30.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 14:16AKR Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    43.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    43.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 12:03WMU Touchdown, down 11 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    60.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    60.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 5:17WMU Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    63.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    63.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 2:34WMU Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    72.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    72.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 10:37AKR Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    32.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    32.6%−0.2
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 4:02WMU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    76.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    76.0%−0.2
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
WMUDrive 1PUNT
8 plays · 24 yds · 2:3779% → 78%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
79.2%
Jaden Nixon run for 4 yds to the WMU 29Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+1
79.2%
Jaden Nixon run for 1 yd to the WMU 30Similar
Q1 13:19
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+22
78.7%
Hayden Wolff pass complete to Zahir Abdus-Salaam for 22 yds to the AKR 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:19
1ST & 10
OPP 48
-3
78.9%
Jaden Nixon run for a loss of 3 yards to the WMU 49Similar
Q1 13:19
2ND & 13
OWN 49
0
78.8%
Hayden Wolff pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:19
3RD & 13
OWN 49
0
78.7%
Hayden Wolff pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:23
4TH & 13
OWN 49
0
78.4%
Ryan Millmore punt for 36 yds, downed at the AKR 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 2FG
5 plays · 63 yds · 2:0222% → 22%
Q1 12:23
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+60
78.5%
Ben Finley pass complete to Adrian Norton for 60 yds to the WMU 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:23
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+5
78.2%
Ben Finley run for 5 yds to the WMU 20Similar
Q1 12:23
2ND & 5
OPP 20
0
78.2%
Ben Finley pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:23
3RD & 5
OPP 20
-2
78.3%
Ben Finley sacked by Anterio Thompson for a loss of 2 yards to the WMU 22Similar
Q1 10:21
4TH & 7
OPP 22
+38
77.6%
Garrison Smith 38 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 3PUNT
5 plays · 15 yds · 2:3378% → 76%
Q1 10:21
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+14
77.5%
Hayden Wolff pass complete to Jalen Buckley for 14 yds to the WMU 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:21
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+1
77.7%
Zahir Abdus-Salaam run for 1 yd to the WMU 40Similar
Q1 10:21
2ND & 9
OWN 40
-3
77.7%
Hayden Wolff pass complete to Zahir Abdus-Salaam for a loss of 3 yards to the WMU 37Similar
Q1 10:21
3RD & 12
OWN 37
+3
77.4%
Hayden Wolff pass complete to Zahir Abdus-Salaam for 3 yds to the WMU 40Similar
Q1 7:48
4TH & 9
OWN 40
0
76.2%
Ryan Millmore punt for 39 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 4TD
5 plays · 79 yds · 2:3023% → 28%
Q1 7:48
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+5
76.7%
Ben Finley pass complete to Jordon Simmons for 5 yds to the AKR 26Similar
Q1 7:48
2ND & 5
OWN 26
+52
76.6%
Ben Finley pass complete to Jordon Simmons for 52 yds to the WMU 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:48
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+2
75.9%
Ben Finley pass complete to Conner Cravaack for 2 yds to the WMU 20Similar
Q1 7:48
2ND & 8
OPP 20
+18
75.9%
Ben Finley pass complete to Tahj Bullock for 18 yds to the WMU 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:18
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
72.1%
Tahj Bullock run for 2 yds for a TD (Garrison Smith KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 5DOWNS
9 plays · 44 yds · 4:2973% → 69%
Q1 5:18
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
72.6%
Hayden Wolff pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 5:18
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+10
72.6%
Hayden Wolff pass complete to Blake Bosma for 10 yds to the WMU 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:18
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+7
72.8%
Hayden Wolff pass complete to Blake Bosma for 7 yds to the WMU 42Similar
Q1 5:18
2ND & 3
OWN 42
+4
73.2%
Jalen Buckley run for 4 yds to the WMU 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:18
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+14
73.2%
Jordin Parker run for 14 yds to the AKR 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:18
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+3
73.4%
Jaden Nixon run for 3 yds to the AKR 37Similar
Q1 5:18
2ND & 7
OPP 37
+3
73.4%
Jaden Nixon run for 3 yds to the AKR 34Similar
Q1 5:18
3RD & 4
OPP 34
+1
73.4%
Zahir Abdus-Salaam run for 1 yd to the AKR 33Similar
Q1 0:49
4TH & 3
OPP 33
+2
68.9%
Hayden Wolff pass complete to Kenneth Womack for 2 yds to the AKR 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 6TD
4 plays · 69 yds · 1:3331% → 43%
Q1 0:49
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+6
68.6%
Charles Kellom run for 6 yds to the AKR 37Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 4
OWN 37
+15
67.7%
Tahj Bullock pass complete to Israel Polk for 15 yds to the WMU 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+43
67.3%
Ben Finley pass complete to Adrian Norton for 43 yds to the WMU 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:16
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
57.2%
Tahj Bullock run for 5 yds for a TD (Garrison Smith KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 7FUMBLE RETURN TD
7 plays · 19 yds · 2:1361% → 66%
Q2 14:16
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
60.9%
Jaden Nixon run for a loss of 1 yard to the WMU 24Similar
Q2 14:16
2ND & 11
OWN 24
0
60.8%
Hayden Wolff pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:16
3RD & 11
OWN 24
+17
60.5%
Zahir Abdus-Salaam run for 17 yds to the WMU 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:16
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
62.0%
Hayden Wolff pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:16
2ND & 10
OWN 41
+3
61.7%
Broc Lowry run for 3 yds to the WMU 44Similar
Q2 14:16
3RD & 7
OWN 44
0
61.7%
Hayden Wolff pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 12:03
4TH & 7
OWN 44
0
65.7%
Josh Franklin 0 Yd Fumble Return (Luka Zurak Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 8FUMBLE
11 plays · 37 yds · 5:0234% → 43%
Q2 12:03
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+5
66.0%
Jordon Simmons run for 5 yds to the AKR 26Similar
Q2 12:03
2ND & 5
OWN 26
0
65.3%
Ben Finley run for no gain to the AKR 26Similar
Q2 12:03
3RD & 5
OWN 26
0
66.0%
Ben Finley pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 12:03
4TH & 5
OWN 26
0
66.7%
Avery Book punt for 36 ydsSimilar
Q2 12:03
4TH & 5
OWN 26
+5
66.7%
BOOK, Avery punt 36 yards to the WMU38 out of bounds. PENALTY WMU Running Into the kicker on WOOTEN, Brennan enforced 5 yards from the AKR26 to the AKR31 and results in a 1ST DOWN [FAKE PUNT]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 12:03
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+16
65.4%
Jordon Simmons run for 16 yds to the AKR 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:03
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+6
64.7%
Jordon Simmons run for 6 yds to the WMU 47Similar
Q2 12:03
2ND & 4
OPP 47
+2
64.5%
Ben Finley run for 2 yds to the WMU 45Similar
Q2 12:03
3RD & 2
OPP 45
+3
65.0%
Tahj Bullock run for 3 yds to the WMU 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:03
1ST & 10
OPP 42
-1
64.6%
Charles Kellom run for a loss of 1 yard to the WMU 43Similar
Q2 7:01
2ND & 11
OPP 43
+1
57.4%
Ben Finley pass complete to Charles Kellom for 1 yd Charles Kellom fumbled, recovered by WMU Bilhal Kone B. Kone return for 0 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 9TD
4 plays · 58 yds · 1:4460% → 70%
Q2 7:01
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+4
60.2%
Hayden Wolff run for 4 yds to the WMU 46Similar
Q2 7:01
2ND & 6
OWN 46
+2
60.4%
Jaden Nixon run for 2 yds to the WMU 48Similar
Q2 7:01
3RD & 4
OWN 48
+27
60.1%
Hayden Wolff pass complete to Malique Dieudonne for 27 yds to the AKR 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:17
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+25
70.2%
Hayden Wolff pass complete to Kenneth Womack for 25 yds for a TD (Luka Zurak KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 10INT
3 plays · 17 yds · 1:3534% → 36%
Q2 5:17
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+14
66.2%
Ben Finley pass complete to Bobby Golden for 14 yds to the AKR 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:17
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+3
65.4%
Jordon Simmons run for 3 yds to the AKR 36Similar
Q2 3:42
2ND & 7
OWN 36
-20
63.9%
Ben Finley pass intercepted Isaiah Paul return for 20 yds to the AKR 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 11TD
3 plays · 35 yds · 1:0870% → 77%
Q2 3:42
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+11
69.5%
Hayden Wolff pass complete to Blake Bosma for 11 yds to the AKR 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:42
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+19
69.5%
Jalen Buckley run for 19 yds to the AKR 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:34
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
77.1%
Broc Lowry run for 5 yds for a TD (Luka Zurak KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 12MISSED FG
12 plays · 44 yds · 1:2827% → 24%
Q2 2:34
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
73.5%
Ben Finley pass complete to Jordon Simmons for 5 yds to the AKR 30Similar
Q2 2:00
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+8
73.2%
Ben Finley pass complete to Bobby Golden for 8 yds to the AKR 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:00
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+6
72.8%
Ben Finley pass complete to Adrian Norton for 6 yds to the AKR 44Similar
Q2 1:49
2ND & 4
OWN 44
0
72.8%
Ben Finley pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:49
3RD & 4
OWN 44
+30
73.3%
Ben Finley pass complete to Ahmarian Granger for 30 yds to the WMU 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:49
1ST & 10
OPP 26
0
70.5%
Ben Finley pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:49
2ND & 10
OPP 26
0
70.9%
Ben Finley pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:49
3RD & 10
OPP 26
-5
72.4%
Akron Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the WMU 31Similar
Q2 1:49
3RD & 15
OPP 31
0
74.1%
Ben Finley pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:06
4TH & 15
OPP 31
+48
75.8%
Garrison Smith 48 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 13FG
10 plays · 47 yds · 0:5875% → 82%
Q2 0:58
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+4
75.3%
Zahir Abdus-Salaam run for 4 yds to the WMU 35Similar
Q2 0:58
2ND & 6
OWN 35
+4
75.8%
Zahir Abdus-Salaam run for 4 yds to the WMU 39Similar
Q2 0:58
3RD & 2
OWN 39
+5
75.8%
Zahir Abdus-Salaam run for 5 yds to the WMU 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:58
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+17
76.9%
Hayden Wolff pass complete to Kenneth Womack for 17 yds to the AKR 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:58
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+7
77.4%
Hayden Wolff pass complete to Malique Dieudonne for 7 yds to the AKR 32Similar
Q2 0:58
2ND & 3
OPP 32
0
77.7%
Hayden Wolff pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:04
3RD & 3
OPP 32
+10
76.6%
Jalen Buckley run for 10 yds to the AKR 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+39
82.0%
Luka Zurak 39 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 14TD
12 plays · 77 yds · 4:2321% → 39%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 23
0
78.8%
Ben Finley pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 23
+6
78.9%
Jordon Simmons run for 6 yds to the AKR 29Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 4
OWN 29
+25
78.8%
Ben Finley pass complete to Adrian Norton for 25 yds to the WMU 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
76.6%
Ben Finley pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 46
+11
76.7%
Ben Finley pass complete to Tahj Bullock for 11 yds to the WMU 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 35
-5
75.5%
Akron Penalty, False Start (Josh Blanchard) to the WMU 40Similar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 15
OPP 40
+6
77.5%
Jordon Simmons run for 6 yds to the WMU 34Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 9
OPP 34
+7
75.6%
Ben Finley pass complete to Adrian Norton for 7 yds to the WMU 27Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 2
OPP 27
+5
76.4%
Jordon Simmons run for 5 yds to the WMU 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+15
75.1%
Ben Finley pass complete to Jordon Simmons for 15 yds to the WMU 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+3
75.1%
Tahj Bullock pass complete to Jordon Simmons for 3 yds to the WMU 4Similar
Q3 10:37
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
60.7%
Jordon Simmons run for 4 yds for a TD (Garrison Smith KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 15DOWNS
9 plays · 42 yds · 4:5368% → 68%
Q3 10:37
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
68.2%
Jaden Nixon run for 5 yds to the WMU 30Similar
Q3 10:37
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+10
68.9%
Akron Penalty, Defensive Holding (Lama Lavea) to the WMU 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:37
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+3
70.4%
Jaden Nixon run for 3 yds to the WMU 45Similar
Q3 10:37
2ND & 7
OWN 45
+3
70.9%
Jalen Buckley run for 3 yds to the WMU 48Similar
Q3 10:37
3RD & 4
OWN 48
+14
70.2%
Hayden Wolff pass complete to Malique Dieudonne for 14 yds to the AKR 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:37
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+3
71.6%
Broc Lowry run for 3 yds to the AKR 35Similar
Q3 10:37
2ND & 7
OPP 35
-7
72.4%
Broc Lowry sacked by Kabbash Richards for a loss of 7 yards to the AKR 42Similar
Q3 10:37
3RD & 14
OPP 42
+9
68.7%
Hayden Wolff pass complete to Zahir Abdus-Salaam for 9 yds to the AKR 33Similar
Q3 5:44
4TH & 5
OPP 33
0
68.0%
Hayden Wolff pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 16FUMBLE
3 plays · -7 yds · 0:5338% → 36%
Q3 5:44
1ST & 10
OWN 33
0
62.4%
Ben Finley pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 5:44
2ND & 10
OWN 33
-3
63.0%
Ben Finley run for a loss of 3 yards to the AKR 30Similar
Q3 4:51
3RD & 13
OWN 30
-4
64.2%
Ben Finley run for a loss of 4 yards to the AKR 26 Ben Finley fumbled, recovered by WMU Popeye Williams P. Williams return for 0 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 17TD
3 plays · 26 yds · 0:4971% → 85%
Q3 4:51
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+2
70.9%
Jaden Nixon run for 2 yds to the AKR 24Similar
Q3 4:51
2ND & 8
OPP 24
+14
70.9%
Hayden Wolff pass complete to Kaevion Mack for 14 yds to the AKR 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:02
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+10
84.5%
Hayden Wolff pass complete to Kaevion Mack for 10 yds for a TD (Luka Zurak KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 18PUNT
10 plays · 31 yds · 4:1321% → 20%
Q3 4:02
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+17
78.8%
Ben Finley pass complete to Jordon Simmons for 17 yds to the AKR 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:02
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+3
77.8%
Jordon Simmons run for 3 yds to the AKR 37Similar
Q3 4:02
2ND & 7
OWN 37
+3
77.4%
Jordon Simmons run for 3 yds to the AKR 40Similar
Q3 4:02
3RD & 4
OWN 40
+4
77.1%
Tahj Bullock run for 4 yds to the AKR 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:02
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+8
76.6%
Ben Finley pass complete to Israel Polk for 8 yds to the WMU 48Similar
Q3 4:02
2ND & 2
OPP 48
-5
74.9%
FINLEY, Ben pass to the left complete for 45 yards to NORTON, Adrian caught at the WMU42 and advanced to the WMU3 (HALLOCK, Tate). PENALTY AKR Ineligible Receiver Downfield on Pass enforced 5 yards from the WMU48 to the AKR47 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 4:02
2ND & 7
OWN 47
+3
75.9%
Charles Kellom run for 3 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 0:00
3RD & 4
50
+3
77.0%
Ben Finley pass complete to Adrian Norton for 3 yds to the WMU 47Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 1
OPP 47
-5
78.2%
Akron Penalty, False Start (Jayvin James) to the AKR 48Similar
Q4 14:49
4TH & 6
OWN 48
0
80.2%
Avery Book punt for 25 yds, downed at the WMU 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 19FG
6 plays · 70 yds · 3:2186% → 87%
Q4 14:49
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+6
85.5%
Jalen Buckley run for 6 yds to the WMU 33Similar
Q4 14:49
2ND & 4
OWN 33
+61
85.9%
Jalen Buckley run for 61 yds to the AKR 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:49
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
-1
87.7%
Jaden Nixon run for a loss of 1 yard to the AKR 7Similar
Q4 14:49
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+2
87.7%
Hayden Wolff pass complete to Kenneth Womack for 2 yds to the AKR 5Similar
Q4 14:49
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
+2
86.8%
Jaden Nixon run for 2 yds to the AKR 3Similar
Q4 11:28
4TH & GOAL
OPP 3
+20
87.3%
Luka Zurak 20 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 20PUNT
9 plays · 18 yds · 4:1113% → 7%
Q4 11:28
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
87.1%
Ben Finley pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 11:28
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+7
87.3%
Ben Finley pass complete to Tahj Bullock for 7 yds to the AKR 32Similar
Q4 11:28
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+18
86.1%
Ben Finley pass complete to Tahj Bullock for 18 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:28
1ST & 10
50
+5
83.6%
Ben Finley run for 5 yds to the WMU 45Similar
Q4 11:28
2ND & 5
OPP 45
+2
83.6%
Jordon Simmons run for 2 yds to the WMU 43Similar
Q4 7:48
3RD & 3
OPP 43
+1
89.2%
Jordon Simmons run for 1 yd to the WMU 42Similar
Q4 7:48
4TH & 2
OPP 42
-15
90.0%
FINLEY, Ben pass to the right complete for 8 yards to GRANGER, Ahmarian caught at the WMU34 and advanced to the WMU34 (WASHINGTON, Nyquann). PENALTY AKR Pass Interference on NORTON, Adrian enforced 15 yards to the AKR43 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 7:17
4TH & 17
OWN 43
+3
92.8%
Avery Book punt for 35 yds , Zahir Abdus-Salaam returns for 3 yds to the WMU 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 21PUNT
8 plays · 19 yds · 4:3192% → 96%
Q4 7:17
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
92.2%
Jalen Buckley run for no gain to the WMU 25Similar
Q4 7:17
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-1
92.1%
Jaden Nixon run for a loss of 1 yard to the WMU 24Similar
Q4 7:17
3RD & 11
OWN 24
+11
91.6%
Zahir Abdus-Salaam run for 11 yds to the WMU 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:17
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+3
92.5%
Zahir Abdus-Salaam run for 3 yds to the WMU 38Similar
Q4 7:17
2ND & 7
OWN 38
+3
92.9%
Zahir Abdus-Salaam run for 3 yds to the WMU 41Similar
Q4 2:54
3RD & 4
OWN 41
+3
95.4%
Broc Lowry run for 3 yds to the WMU 44Similar
Q4 2:46
4TH & 1
OWN 44
0
95.6%
Ryan Millmore punt for 21 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 22MISSED FG
7 plays · 43 yds · 1:446% → 6%
Q4 2:46
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+22
94.2%
Ben Finley pass complete to Adrian Norton for 22 yds to the WMU 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:00
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+16
93.5%
Ben Finley pass complete to Bobby Golden for 16 yds to the WMU 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:00
1ST & 10
OPP 22
0
92.7%
Ben Finley pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 2:00
2ND & 10
OPP 22
+3
93.1%
Jordon Simmons run for 3 yds to the WMU 19Similar
Q4 2:00
3RD & 7
OPP 19
+2
93.0%
Ben Finley pass complete to Adrian Norton for 2 yds to the WMU 17Similar
Q4 1:02
4TH & 5
OPP 17
+34
94.1%
Garrison Smith 34 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 23END OF GAME
2 plays · -2 yds · 1:0298% → 98%
Q4 1:02
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-1
98.4%
[NH] Kneel down by TEAM at WMU19 (team loss of 1).Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 11
OWN 19
-1
98.4%
[NH] Kneel down by TEAM at WMU18 (team loss of 1), clock 00:00.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 10:37
Jordon Simmons run for 4 yds for a TD (Garrison Smith KICK)
-14.5
TD · Q3 4:02
Hayden Wolff pass complete to Kaevion Mack for 10 yds for a TD (Luka Zurak KICK)
+13.7
TD · Q2 14:16
Tahj Bullock run for 5 yds for a TD (Garrison Smith KICK)
-10.2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com