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BGSU

Bowling Green 27 at Akron 20

AKR
2024 · Week 6 · Oct 5, 2024 · InfoCision Stadium
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Win probability · AKR
modelAKR aheadBGSU aheadconfidence bandkey playAKR scoreBGSU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDFGTDFGTDFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 11:37 · John Henderson punt for 49 yds
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+38.5+19.30−19.3−38.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 83Pregame prior−21.8Home team on offense−7.9Garbage-time factor−3.4Score differential−3.0Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−2.5Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−1.9
This game in five plays
  1. FG · Q2 1:55: Jackson Kleather 45 Yd Field Goal — BGSU win probability +3.6 pts (now 75%) (top driver: BGSU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 0:22: Jaison Patterson 9 Yd Run (Jackson Kleather Kick) — BGSU win probability +7.5 pts (now 84%) (top driver: BGSU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 13:13: Tahj Bullock run for 5 yds for a TD (Garrison Smith KICK) — AKR win probability +22.8 pts (now 43%) (top driver: Not a blowout margin).
  4. FG · Q4 7:13: Garrison Smith 38 yd FG GOOD — AKR win probability +10.7 pts (now 50%) (top driver: AKR has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 2:39: Harold Fannin Jr. run for 31 yds for a TD (Jackson Kleather KICK) — BGSU win probability +29.2 pts (now 90%) (top driver: BGSU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
AKR made the numbers' call on 7 of 7BGSU made the numbers' call on 4 of 6
  1. Q1 9:53AKR 4th & 16 at midfield, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 17.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    17.5%−0.1
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    17.6%
    average punt
  2. Q1 4:31AKR 4th & 7 at BGSU 30, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 18.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    18.3%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    18.3%
    56% to make
    Punt
    18.0%−0.3
    average punt
  3. Q1 2:36BGSU 4th & 2 at BGSU 33, up 4
    Close callPunted · 79.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    79.9%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    79.9%−<0.1
    average punt
  4. Q2 10:07AKR 4th & 20 at AKR 48, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 26.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    25.5%−1.4
    10% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    26.9%
    average punt
  5. Q2 1:55BGSU 4th & 3 at AKR 28, down 3
    Close callKicked a field goal · 66.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    66.4%
    52% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    65.6%−0.8
    60% to make
    Punt
    61.4%−5.0
    average punt
  6. Q2 1:33AKR 4th & 4 at AKR 31, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 31.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    31.2%−0.5
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    31.7%
    average punt
  7. Q3 11:37BGSU 4th & 14 at BGSU 33, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 77.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    76.1%−3.0
    18% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    79.1%
    average punt
  8. Q3 7:35AKR 4th & 10 at AKR 48, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 22.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    22.3%−1.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    23.4%
    average punt
  9. Q4 14:56BGSU 4th & 7 at AKR 13, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 79.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    78.8%−0.7
    34% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    79.5%
    85% to make
    Punt
    72.7%−6.8
    average punt
  10. Q4 11:33BGSU 4th & 6 at BGSU 29, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 65.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    65.7%−1.0
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    66.8%
    average punt
  11. Q4 7:13AKR 4th & 11 at BGSU 21, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 34.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    31.3%−6.5
    25% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    37.8%
    74% to make
    Punt
    22.2%−15.6
    average punt
  12. Q4 2:39BGSU 4th & 2 at AKR 31, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 54.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    53.8%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    48.0%−5.8
    54% to make
    Punt
    40.3%−13.5
    average punt
  13. Q4 0:54AKR 4th & 9 at BGSU 17, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 16.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    14.0%
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    11.3%−2.8
    80% to make
    Punt
    8.5%−5.5
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
AKR made the numbers' call on 2 of 2BGSU made the numbers' call on 2 of 3
  1. Q1 7:03BGSU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    82.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    82.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 0:00AKR Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    24.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    24.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 0:22BGSU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    77.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    77.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 13:13AKR Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    30.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    30.4%−0.5
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 2:39BGSU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    80.8%−0.9
    97% to make
    Go for two
    81.7%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
AKRDrive 1PUNT
9 plays · 25 yds · 5:0512% → 14%
Q1 14:58
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
11.8%
Ben Finley pass complete to Israel Polk for no gain to the AKR 25Similar
Q1 14:22
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+21
12.1%
Jordon Simmons run for 21 yds to the AKR 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:57
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+3
12.3%
Ben Finley pass complete to Jordon Simmons for 3 yds to the AKR 49Similar
Q1 13:24
2ND & 7
OWN 49
+3
12.6%
Ben Finley pass complete to Israel Polk for 3 yds to the BGSU 48Similar
Q1 12:44
3RD & 4
OPP 48
+4
12.9%
Ben Finley pass complete to Charles Kellom for 4 yds to the BGSU 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:14
2ND & 25
OWN 41
-1
13.5%
Ben Finley pass complete to Jake Newell for a loss of 1 yard to the AKR 40Similar
Q1 10:42
3RD & 26
OWN 40
+10
13.7%
Ben Finley pass complete to Charles Kellom for 10 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 9:53
4TH & 16
50
0
14.0%
Avery Book punt for 46 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 2TD
6 plays · 96 yds · 2:3986% → 87%
Q1 9:42
1ST & 10
OWN 4
+63
14.2%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Harold Fannin Jr. for 63 yds to the AKR 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:07
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+11
14.1%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Malcolm Johnson Jr. for 11 yds to the AKR 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:32
1ST & 10
OPP 22
-3
14.2%
Jaison Patterson run for a loss of 3 yards to the AKR 25Similar
Q1 7:55
2ND & 13
OPP 25
+20
14.6%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Harold Fannin Jr. for 20 yds to the AKR 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:17
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+3
14.7%
Patterson,Jaison rush (Adler,Bennett;Kapongo,Nate), PENALTY AKR substitution infraction 3 yards to the AKR08. Akron Penalty, substitution infraction (3 Yards) to the AKR 2Similar
Q1 7:03
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
13.4%
Jaison Patterson run for 2 yds for a TD (Jackson Kleather KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 3FG
7 plays · 45 yds · 2:3214% → 16%
Q1 7:03
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
14.0%
Ben Finley pass complete to Ahmarian Granger for 9 yds to the AKR 34Similar
Q1 5:59
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+33
14.6%
Ben Finley run for 33 yds to the BGSU 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:45
1ST & 10
OPP 33
-4
15.1%
Ben Finley run for a loss of 4 yards to the BGSU 37Similar
Q1 5:15
2ND & 14
OPP 37
+7
14.8%
Ben Finley pass complete to Jordon Simmons for 7 yds to the BGSU 30Similar
Q1 4:39
3RD & 7
OPP 30
0
15.2%
Ben Finley pass incomplete to Bobby GoldenSimilar
Q1 4:31
4TH & 7
OPP 30
+47
16.0%
Garrison Smith 47 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 4PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 1:5384% → 83%
Q1 4:29
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
15.8%
Lucian Anderson III run for 5 yds to the BGSU 30Similar
Q1 3:58
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+2
15.9%
Connor Bazelak run for 2 yds to the BGSU 32Similar
Q1 3:25
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+1
16.3%
Jaison Patterson run for 1 yd to the BGSU 33Similar
Q1 2:36
4TH & 2
OWN 33
0
16.8%
John Henderson punt for 41 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 5FUMBLE RETURN TD
7 plays · 74 yds · 2:3017% → 21%
Q1 2:30
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+1
16.7%
Ben Finley pass complete to Israel Polk for 1 yd to the AKR 27Similar
Q1 2:03
2ND & 9
OWN 27
+2
16.8%
Ben Finley pass complete to Jake Newell for 2 yds to the AKR 29Similar
Q1 1:23
3RD & 7
OWN 29
+19
16.9%
Ben Finley pass complete to Adrian Norton for 19 yds to the AKR 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:52
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
18.2%
Kellom,Charles rush middle (Simms,Trent;Saad,Ali).Similar
Q1 0:20
2ND & 10
OWN 48
0
18.4%
Ben Finley pass incomplete to Israel PolkSimilar
Q1 0:16
3RD & 10
OWN 48
0
17.7%
Ben Finley pass incomplete to Bobby GoldenSimilar
Q1 0:00
4TH & 10
OWN 48
0
20.9%
Liam Reardon 0 Yd Fumble Return (Garrison Smith Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 6PUNT
8 plays · -8 yds · 2:3979% → 76%
Q2 14:58
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
20.6%
Jamal Johnson run for 8 yds to the BGSU 33Similar
Q2 14:25
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+6
20.4%
Rahkeem Smith run for 6 yds to the BGSU 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:54
1ST & 10
OWN 39
-8
20.7%
Connor Bazelak sacked by Bruno Dall for a loss of 8 yards to the BGSU 31Similar
Q2 13:16
2ND & 18
OWN 31
0
21.9%
Connor Bazelak pass incomplete to Malcolm Johnson Jr.Similar
Q2 13:10
3RD & 18
OWN 31
-9
22.5%
Connor Bazelak sacked by Bennett Adler for a loss of 9 yards to the BGSU 22Similar
Q2 12:23
4TH & 27
OWN 22
-5
23.6%
Bowling Green Penalty, delay of game (Darius McClendon) to the BGSU 17Similar
Q2 12:19
4TH & 32
OWN 17
0
23.6%
John Henderson punt for 42 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 7PUNT
6 plays · 19 yds · 2:0923% → 23%
Q2 12:16
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+1
23.1%
Ben Finley pass complete to Jordon Simmons for 1 yd to the AKR 42Similar
Q2 11:39
2ND & 9
OWN 42
+16
23.3%
Ben Finley pass complete to Jake Newell for 16 yds to the BGSU 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:08
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+2
24.6%
Jordon Simmons run for 2 yds to the BGSU 40Similar
Q2 10:27
2ND & 8
OPP 40
0
25.2%
pass incomplete to Adrian NortonSimilar
Q2 10:22
3RD & 8
OPP 40
-12
24.9%
Ben Finley sacked by Darius McClendon for a loss of 12 yards to the AKR 48Similar
Q2 10:07
4TH & 20
OWN 48
0
23.1%
Avery Book punt for 44 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 8FG
16 plays · 64 yds · 5:2273% → 75%
Q2 7:17
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+2
27.0%
Jaison Patterson run for 2 yds to the BGSU 10Similar
Q2 7:02
2ND & 8
OWN 10
+2
27.2%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Harold Fannin Jr. for 2 yds to the BGSU 12Similar
Q2 6:44
3RD & 6
OWN 12
+6
28.1%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Harold Fannin Jr. for 6 yds to the BGSU 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:32
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+7
27.3%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Malcolm Johnson Jr. for 7 yds to the BGSU 25Similar
Q2 6:07
2ND & 3
OWN 25
-1
27.1%
Jaison Patterson run for a loss of 1 yard to the BGSU 24Similar
Q2 5:34
3RD & 4
OWN 24
+12
28.8%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Harold Fannin Jr. for 12 yds to the BGSU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:18
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-2
27.7%
Jaison Patterson run for a loss of 2 yards to the BGSU 34Similar
Q2 4:54
2ND & 12
OWN 34
+9
29.1%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Finn Hogan for 9 yds to the BGSU 43Similar
Q2 4:39
3RD & 3
OWN 43
+6
27.6%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Jaison Patterson for 6 yds to the BGSU 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:39
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
27.1%
Connor Bazelak pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 4:34
2ND & 10
OWN 49
+7
27.5%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Finn Hogan for 7 yds to the AKR 44Similar
Q2 4:04
3RD & 3
OPP 44
+9
27.7%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Jaison Patterson for 9 yds to the AKR 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:20
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+4
27.3%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Malcolm Johnson Jr. for 4 yds to the AKR 31Similar
Q2 3:00
2ND & 6
OPP 31
+4
27.3%
Jamal Johnson run for 4 yds to the AKR 27Similar
Q2 2:24
3RD & 2
OPP 27
-1
28.5%
Jamal Johnson run for a loss of 1 yard to the AKR 28Similar
Q2 1:55
4TH & 3
OPP 28
+45
24.9%
Jackson Kleather 45 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 9PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 0:2029% → 28%
Q2 1:53
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
28.9%
Ben Finley pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:46
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
28.8%
Kellom,Charles rush middle (McGary,Avi).Similar
Q2 1:43
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+6
27.8%
Charles Kellom run for 6 yds to the AKR 31Similar
Q2 1:33
4TH & 4
OWN 31
0
28.0%
Avery Book punt for 10 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 10TD
5 plays · 41 yds · 1:0976% → 84%
Q2 1:31
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+5
23.7%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Finn Hogan for 5 yds to the AKR 36Similar
Q2 1:14
2ND & 5
OPP 36
+6
23.5%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Harold Fannin Jr. for 6 yds to the AKR 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:10
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+13
23.3%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Malcolm Johnson Jr. for 13 yds to the AKR 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:04
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+8
23.1%
Jaison Patterson run for 8 yds to the AKR 9Similar
Q2 0:22
2ND & 2
OPP 9
+9
15.6%
Jaison Patterson 9 Yd Run (Jackson Kleather Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 11END OF HALF
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:0019% → 19%
Q2 0:19
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
19.3%
Ben Finley run for a loss of 1 yard to the AKR 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 12PUNT
7 plays · 8 yds · 3:2382% → 80%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
17.9%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Finn Hogan for 5 yds to the BGSU 30Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+7
17.4%
Jaison Patterson run for 7 yds to the BGSU 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+1
17.2%
Connor Bazelak run for 1 yd to the BGSU 38Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 38
-1
17.0%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Harold Fannin Jr. for a loss of 1 yard to the BGSU 37Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 10
OWN 37
-4
18.1%
Connor Bazelak sacked by CJ Nunnally IV for a loss of 4 yards to the BGSU 33Similar
Q3 11:37
4TH & 14
OWN 33
0
20.2%
John Henderson punt for 49 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 13PUNT
10 plays · 30 yds · 4:0220% → 21%
Q3 11:37
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+2
19.9%
Jordon Simmons run for 2 yds to the AKR 20Similar
Q3 11:37
2ND & 8
OWN 20
0
19.9%
Ben Finley pass incomplete to Adrian NortonSimilar
Q3 11:37
3RD & 8
OWN 20
+11
19.1%
Ben Finley pass complete to Adrian Norton for 11 yds to the AKR 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:37
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
20.3%
Simmons,Jordon rush middle (Simms,Trent;Horne,Brock).Similar
Q3 11:37
2ND & 10
OWN 31
+17
20.2%
Ben Finley pass complete to Israel Polk for 17 yds to the AKR 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:37
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+2
22.0%
Ben Finley pass complete to Jordon Simmons for 2 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 11:37
2ND & 8
50
+3
22.4%
Jordon Simmons run for 3 yds to the BGSU 47Similar
Q3 11:37
3RD & 5
OPP 47
-5
22.3%
Akron Penalty, false start (Tyhler Williams) to the AKR 48Similar
Q3 11:37
3RD & 10
OWN 48
0
20.4%
Ben Finley pass incomplete to Adrian NortonSimilar
Q3 7:35
4TH & 10
OWN 48
0
20.9%
Avery Book punt for 50 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 14FG
16 plays · 85 yds · 15:0483% → 84%
Q3 15:00
4TH & 2
OPP 8
-5
17.4%
Bowling Green Penalty, delay of game (Darius McClendon) to the AKR 13Similar
Q3 7:35
1ST & 10
OWN 2
0
19.8%
Patterson,Jaison rush middle (McCoy,Bryan).Similar
Q3 7:35
2ND & 10
OWN 2
+8
20.0%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Finn Hogan for 8 yds to the BGSU 10Similar
Q3 7:35
3RD & 2
OWN 10
+6
20.4%
Harold Fannin Jr. run for 6 yds to the BGSU 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:35
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+6
19.4%
Jaison Patterson run for 6 yds to the BGSU 22Similar
Q3 7:35
2ND & 4
OWN 22
+4
18.9%
Rahkeem Smith run for 4 yds to the BGSU 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:35
1ST & 10
OWN 26
-10
19.1%
Connor Bazelak pass incomplete to Finn Hogan Bowling Green Penalty, Offensive holding (Tunde Fatukasi) to the BGSU 16Similar
Q3 7:35
1ST & 20
OWN 16
0
19.5%
Connor Bazelak pass incomplete to Malcolm Johnson Jr.Similar
Q3 7:35
2ND & 20
OWN 16
-5
19.7%
Bowling Green Penalty, false start (Alex Wollschlaeger) to the BGSU 11Similar
Q3 7:35
2ND & 25
OWN 11
+19
19.7%
Lucian Anderson III run for 19 yds to the BGSU 30Similar
Q3 3:24
3RD & 6
OWN 30
+33
19.4%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Finn Hogan for 33 yds to the AKR 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:24
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+21
17.2%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Harold Fannin Jr. for 21 yds to the AKR 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:24
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+3
16.7%
Jaison Patterson run for 3 yds to the AKR 13Similar
Q3 3:24
2ND & 7
OPP 13
-4
16.7%
Connor Bazelak sacked by Aman Greenwood and Zy Brockington for a loss of 4 yards to the AKR 17Similar
Q3 3:24
3RD & 11
OPP 17
+9
17.5%
Jaison Patterson run for 9 yds to the AKR 8Similar
Q4 14:56
4TH & 7
OPP 13
+31
16.5%
Jackson Kleather 31 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 15TD
4 plays · 75 yds · 1:4316% → 43%
Q4 14:56
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+48
16.0%
Ben Finley pass complete to Adrian Norton for 48 yds to the BGSU 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:56
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+22
19.8%
Ben Finley pass complete to Bobby Golden for 22 yds to the BGSU 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:13
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
42.6%
Tahj Bullock run for 5 yds for a TD (Garrison Smith KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 16PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 1:4068% → 67%
Q4 13:13
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
31.7%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Malcolm Johnson Jr. for 4 yds to the BGSU 29Similar
Q4 13:13
2ND & 6
OWN 29
0
30.7%
Patterson,Jaison rush middle (McCoy,Bryan).Similar
Q4 13:13
3RD & 6
OWN 29
0
32.4%
Connor Bazelak pass incomplete to Levi GazarekSimilar
Q4 11:33
4TH & 6
OWN 29
0
33.3%
John Henderson punt for 51 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 17FG
9 plays · 59 yds · 4:2034% → 50%
Q4 11:33
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+10
34.3%
Ben Finley pass incomplete to Adrian Norton for a 1ST down Bowling Green Penalty, Defensive holding (Jordan Oladokun) to the AKR 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:33
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+9
34.8%
Ben Finley run for 9 yds to the AKR 39Similar
Q4 11:33
2ND & 1
OWN 39
+19
38.5%
Jordon Simmons run for 19 yds to the BGSU 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:33
1ST & 10
OPP 42
0
39.9%
Ben Finley pass incomplete to Israel PolkSimilar
Q4 11:33
2ND & 10
OPP 42
+22
39.7%
Jordon Simmons run for 22 yds to the BGSU 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:33
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+5
42.3%
Ben Finley run for 5 yds to the BGSU 15Similar
Q4 11:33
2ND & 5
OPP 15
-2
42.3%
Ben Finley sacked by Charles Rosser for a loss of 2 yards to the BGSU 17Similar
Q4 11:33
3RD & 7
OPP 17
-4
39.5%
Ben Finley pass complete to Israel Polk for a loss of 4 yards to the BGSU 21Similar
Q4 7:13
4TH & 11
OPP 21
+38
50.1%
Garrison Smith 38 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 18TD
12 plays · 70 yds · 4:2756% → 90%
Q4 7:06
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
44.4%
Connor Bazelak pass incomplete to Finn Hogan, broken up by Bruno DallSimilar
Q4 7:06
2ND & 10
OWN 30
+10
45.2%
Justin Pegues run for 10 yds to the BGSU 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:06
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+7
41.7%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Levi Gazarek for 7 yds to the BGSU 47Similar
Q4 7:06
2ND & 3
OWN 47
+3
40.1%
Jaison Patterson run for 3 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:06
1ST & 10
50
+4
39.6%
Jaison Patterson run for 4 yds to the AKR 46Similar
Q4 7:06
2ND & 6
OPP 46
+5
39.7%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Malcolm Johnson Jr. for 5 yds to the AKR 41Similar
Q4 7:06
3RD & 1
OPP 41
+2
39.4%
Jaison Patterson run for 2 yds to the AKR 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:06
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+6
39.6%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Harold Fannin Jr. for 6 yds to the AKR 33Similar
Q4 7:06
2ND & 4
OPP 33
0
37.4%
Connor Bazelak pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 7:06
3RD & 4
OPP 33
+2
39.5%
Jaison Patterson run for 2 yds to the AKR 31Similar
Q4 2:39
4TH & 2
OPP 31
+31
10.3%
Harold Fannin Jr. run for 31 yds for a TD (Jackson Kleather KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 19DOWNS
9 plays · 58 yds · 1:4518% → 16%
Q4 2:39
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
18.4%
Jordon Simmons run for 3 yds to the AKR 28Similar
Q4 2:39
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+17
19.2%
Ben Finley pass complete to Ahmarian Granger for 17 yds to the AKR 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:00
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+18
18.8%
Ben Finley run for 18 yds to the BGSU 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:00
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+19
21.3%
Ben Finley pass complete to Jordon Simmons for 19 yds to the BGSU 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:00
1ST & 10
OPP 18
0
27.0%
pass incomplete to Adrian NortonSimilar
Q4 2:00
2ND & 10
OPP 18
+1
25.0%
Jordon Simmons run for 1 yd to the BGSU 17Similar
Q4 1:04
3RD & 9
OPP 17
0
19.8%
pass incomplete to Jake NewellSimilar
Q4 0:54
4TH & 9
OPP 17
0
16.3%
pass incomplete to Ahmarian GrangerSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 20END OF GAME
2 plays · -2 yds · 0:0091% → 90%
Q4 0:54
1ST & 10
OWN 17
-2
9.5%
Connor Bazelak run for a loss of 2 yards to the BGSU 15Similar
Q4 0:54
2ND & 12
OWN 15
-2
9.7%
Connor Bazelak run for a loss of 2 yards to the BGSU 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 2:39
Harold Fannin Jr. run for 31 yds for a TD (Jackson Kleather KICK)
-29.2
TD · Q4 13:13
Tahj Bullock run for 5 yds for a TD (Garrison Smith KICK)
+22.8
FG · Q4 7:13
Garrison Smith 38 yd FG GOOD
+10.7
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com