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2024 · Week 5 · Sep 28, 2024 · Dix Stadium
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Win probability · KENT
modelKENT aheadEMU aheadconfidence bandkey playKENT scoreEMU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDFGTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 8:06 · Josh Smith punt for 38 yds
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+52.0+26.00−26.0−52.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 23Pregame prior−27.0Home team on offense−1.2Score differential−0.3Garbage-time factor−0.6Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.2Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−0.1
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 6:36: Delbert Mimms III run for 27 yds for a TD (Jesus Gomez KICK) — EMU win probability +12.0 pts (now 78%) (top driver: EMU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 5:11: Tommy Ulatowski pass complete to Luke Floriea for 43 yds for a TD (Will Hryszko KICK) — KENT win probability +11.4 pts (now 38%) (top driver: KENT has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 14:30: Chrishon McCray 65 Yd pass from Tommy Ulatowski (Will Hryszko Kick) — KENT win probability +14.0 pts (now 39%) (top driver: KENT has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 7:10: Cole Snyder run for 2 yds for a TD (Jesus Gomez KICK) — EMU win probability +13.7 pts (now 79%) (top driver: EMU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 1:51: Cole Snyder pass complete to Oran Singleton for 5 yds for a TD (Jesus Gomez KICK) — EMU win probability +9.6 pts (now 93%) (top driver: EMU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
KENT made the numbers' call on 5 of 6EMU made the numbers' call on 4 of 8
  1. Q1 8:06KENT 4th & 7 at EMU 47, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 21.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    21.2%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    21.3%
    average punt
  2. Q1 4:13EMU 4th & 10 at KENT 39, up 7
    Close callKicked a field goal · 78.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    78.2%
    30% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    78.2%−0.1
    36% to make
    Punt
    78.2%−<0.1
    average punt
  3. Q2 12:05EMU 4th & 1 at KENT 32, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 72.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    72.3%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    71.2%−1.1
    51% to make
    Punt
    70.8%−1.6
    average punt
  4. Q2 10:16KENT 4th & 17 at EMU 38, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 29.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    29.3%−0.5
    15% to convert
    Field goal
    29.7%−0.1
    38% to make
    PuntTheir call
    29.8%
    average punt
  5. Q2 8:06EMU 4th & 7 at EMU 37, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 69.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    69.0%−0.4
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    69.4%
    average punt
  6. Q2 1:00KENT 4th & 1 at KENT 34, down 7
    Close callPunted · 23.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    24.1%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    23.7%−0.4
    average punt
  7. Q3 13:11EMU 4th & 1 at EMU 34, tied
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.6 ptsPunted · 64.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    65.5%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    63.9%−1.6
    average punt
  8. Q3 8:49EMU 4th & 6 at EMU 31, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 59.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    60.0%−2.2
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    62.2%
    average punt
  9. Q3 4:06EMU 4th & 8 at KENT 8, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 77.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    76.3%−0.8
    26% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    77.1%
    90% to make
    Punt
    69.4%−7.8
    average punt
  10. Q4 15:00KENT 4th & 2 at KENT 45, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 10.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    10.5%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    9.6%−0.9
    average punt
  11. Q4 12:13KENT 4th & 12 at KENT 27, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.8%−0.3
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.2%
    average punt
  12. Q4 10:20EMU 4th & 1 at EMU 30, up 24
    Close callPunted · 98.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.5%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    98.1%−0.4
    average punt
  13. Q4 3:44EMU 4th & 9 at KENT 43, up 19
    Close callPunted · 98.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.6%
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    98.4%−0.2
    28% to make
    PuntTheir call
    98.5%−0.1
    average punt
  14. Q4 2:45KENT 4th & 12 at KENT 25, down 19
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 2.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.3%
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    1.3%−<0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
KENT made the numbers' call on 4 of 4EMU made the numbers' call on 6 of 6
  1. Q1 10:39EMU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    78.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    78.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 0:39KENT Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    26.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    26.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 6:36EMU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    75.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    75.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 5:11KENT Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    30.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    30.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 2:12EMU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    75.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    74.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 14:30KENT Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    34.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    33.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 7:10EMU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    73.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    73.7%−0.2
    45% to convert
  8. Q3 1:51EMU Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    89.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    89.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 7:02EMU Touchdown, up 24 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.2%−0.2
    45% to convert
  10. Q4 4:07KENT Touchdown, down 19 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersWent for two · failed
    Kick
    1.8%−0.2
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    2.0%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
EMUDrive 1TD
13 plays · 75 yds · 4:2079% → 79%
Q1 14:59
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
20.7%
Cole Snyder pass complete to Terry Lockett Jr. for 4 yds to the EMU 29Similar
Q1 14:43
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+6
20.9%
Delbert Mimms III run for 6 yds to the EMU 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:17
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
21.1%
pass incomplete to Oran SingletonSimilar
Q1 14:08
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+4
21.1%
Cole Snyder pass complete to Max Reese for 4 yds to the EMU 39Similar
Q1 13:44
3RD & 6
OWN 39
+11
21.3%
Cole Snyder pass complete to Terry Lockett Jr. for 11 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:26
1ST & 10
50
+11
21.4%
Cole Snyder pass complete to Markus Allen for 11 yds to the KENT 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:54
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+4
21.6%
Delbert Mimms III run for 4 yds to the KENT 35Similar
Q1 12:40
2ND & 6
OPP 35
0
21.6%
Mimms, III,Delbert rush middle (Olds,Kameron).Similar
Q1 12:12
3RD & 6
OPP 35
+9
21.9%
Cole Snyder pass complete to Oran Singleton for 9 yds to the KENT 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:39
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+20
22.0%
Cole Snyder pass complete to Delbert Mimms III for 20 yds to the KENT 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:18
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+2
22.2%
Delbert Mimms III run for 2 yds to the KENT 4Similar
Q1 10:39
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
21.4%
Elijah Jackson-Anderson run for 4 yds for a TD (Jesus Gomez KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 2PUNT
10 plays · 40 yds · 2:2922% → 22%
Q1 10:35
1ST & 10
OWN 13
-5
21.7%
Kent State Penalty, personal foul (Tony Georges) to the KENT 8Similar
Q1 10:30
1ST & 15
OWN 8
+3
21.8%
Ayden Harris run for 3 yds to the KENT 11Similar
Q1 10:03
2ND & 12
OWN 11
+15
21.9%
Tommy Ulatowski pass incomplete to Chrishon McCray for a 1ST down Eastern Michigan Penalty, Defensive pass interference (Tyrelle Deener) to the KENT 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:59
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+24
22.0%
Tommy Ulatowski pass complete to Luke Floriea for 24 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:27
1ST & 10
50
-5
22.5%
Tommy Ulatowski pass complete to Chrishon McCray for no gain to the 50 yard line Kent State Penalty, illegal formation (Garrett Masterson) to the KENT 45Similar
Q1 9:11
1ST & 15
OWN 45
+3
22.3%
Ayden Harris run for 3 yds to the KENT 48Similar
Q1 8:48
2ND & 12
OWN 48
+5
22.3%
Tommy Ulatowski run for 5 yds to the EMU 47Similar
Q1 8:13
3RD & 7
OPP 47
0
22.6%
pass incomplete to Luke FlorieaSimilar
Q1 8:06
4TH & 7
OPP 47
0
22.3%
Josh Smith punt for 38 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 3MISSED FG
9 plays · 52 yds · 3:4778% → 77%
Q1 8:00
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+9
22.3%
Cole Snyder pass incomplete to Oran Singleton, broken up by Jaylen Dotson for a 1ST down Kent State Penalty, Defensive pass interference (Jaylen Dotson) to the EMU 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:56
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+18
22.2%
Cole Snyder pass complete to Markus Allen for 18 yds to the EMU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:30
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+14
22.0%
Cole Snyder pass complete to Terry Lockett Jr. for 14 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:11
1ST & 10
50
+9
21.7%
Cole Snyder pass complete to Terry Lockett Jr. for 9 yds to the KENT 41Similar
Q1 6:56
2ND & 1
OPP 41
+2
21.7%
Delbert Mimms III run for 2 yds to the KENT 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:20
1ST & 10
OPP 39
-6
21.9%
Cole Snyder sacked by Zaid Hamden for a loss of 6 yards to the KENT 45Similar
Q1 5:35
2ND & 16
OPP 45
-1
22.2%
Cole Snyder pass complete to Jere Getzinger for a loss of 1 yard to the KENT 46Similar
Q1 4:55
3RD & 17
OPP 46
+7
22.6%
Cole Snyder pass complete to Terry Lockett Jr. for 7 yds to the KENT 39Similar
Q1 4:13
4TH & 10
OPP 39
+57
22.7%
Jesus Gomez 57 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 4TD
9 plays · 61 yds · 3:3024% → 30%
Q1 4:09
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
23.5%
pass incomplete to Chrishon McCraySimilar
Q1 4:02
2ND & 10
OWN 39
+24
23.4%
Tommy Ulatowski pass complete to Conner Muldowney for 24 yds to the EMU 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:24
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+3
24.4%
Tommy Ulatowski run for 3 yds to the EMU 34Similar
Q1 2:44
2ND & 7
OPP 34
+6
25.0%
Jahzae Kimbrough run for 6 yds to the EMU 28Similar
Q1 2:09
3RD & 1
OPP 28
+1
24.4%
Ayden Harris run for 1 yd to the EMU 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:22
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+15
25.1%
Tommy Ulatowski pass incomplete to Chrishon McCray for a 1ST down Eastern Michigan Penalty, Defensive pass interference (Jordan Toney) to the EMU 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:17
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+3
25.2%
Ayden Harris run for 3 yds to the EMU 9Similar
Q1 0:39
2ND & 7
OPP 9
+9
30.1%
Ayden Harris run for 9 yds for a TD (Will Hryszko KICK)Similar
Q1 0:39
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
30.1%
Eastern Michigan Penalty, off-side (Sterling Miles) to the EMU 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 5Uncategorized
9 plays · 19 yds · 3:2372% → 71%
Q1 0:28
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
27.7%
Oran Singleton run for 5 yds to the EMU 30Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+9
27.7%
Delbert Mimms III run for 9 yds to the EMU 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:33
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+5
27.5%
Delbert Mimms III run for 5 yds to the EMU 44Similar
Q2 14:23
2ND & 5
OWN 44
+15
27.2%
Cole Snyder run for 5 yds to the KENT 49 Kent State Penalty, Defensive holding (Jaylen Dotson) to the KENT 41Similar
Q2 13:56
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+1
27.2%
Cole Snyder pass complete to Oran Singleton for 1 yd to the KENT 40Similar
Q2 13:22
2ND & 9
OPP 40
+7
27.5%
Cole Snyder pass complete to Terry Lockett Jr. for 7 yds to the KENT 33Similar
Q2 12:38
3RD & 2
OPP 33
+1
27.8%
Delbert Mimms III run for 1 yd to the KENT 32Similar
Q2 12:05
4TH & 1
OPP 32
0
28.8%
Mimms, III,Delbert rush middle (Branch,Alex;Carroll,Mattheus).Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 6PUNT
7 plays · 30 yds · 1:4231% → 31%
Q2 11:58
1ST & 10
OWN 32
-2
30.9%
Jahzae Kimbrough run for a loss of 2 yards to the KENT 30Similar
Q2 11:41
2ND & 12
OWN 30
+26
30.7%
Tommy Ulatowski pass complete to Jahzae Kimbrough for 11 yds to the EMU 41 for a 1ST down Eastern Michigan Penalty, roughing passer (Peyton Price) to the EMU 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:26
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+13
32.8%
Ayden Harris run for 13 yds to the EMU 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:07
1ST & 10
OPP 31
0
33.4%
pass incomplete to Chrishon McCraySimilar
Q2 11:05
2ND & 10
OPP 31
-7
33.4%
Tommy Ulatowski sacked by Carter Evans for a loss of 7 yards to the EMU 38Similar
Q2 10:21
3RD & 17
OPP 38
0
32.0%
pass incomplete to Chrishon McCraySimilar
Q2 10:16
4TH & 17
OPP 38
0
30.9%
Josh Smith punt for 27 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 7PUNT
7 plays · 26 yds · 2:0669% → 68%
Q2 10:12
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+10
30.7%
Delbert Mimms III run for 10 yds to the EMU 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:51
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+1
30.5%
Delbert Mimms III run for 1 yd to the EMU 22Similar
Q2 9:22
2ND & 9
OWN 22
+12
30.9%
Cole Snyder pass incomplete to Terry Lockett Jr. for a 1ST down Kent State Penalty, Defensive pass interference (Naim Muhammad) to the EMU 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:15
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+2
30.5%
Delbert Mimms III run for 2 yds to the EMU 36Similar
Q2 8:45
2ND & 8
OWN 36
+1
30.6%
Cole Snyder pass complete to Terry Lockett Jr. for 1 yd to the EMU 37Similar
Q2 8:13
3RD & 7
OWN 37
0
30.6%
pass incomplete to Oran SingletonSimilar
Q2 8:06
4TH & 7
OWN 37
0
31.7%
Mitchell Tomasek punt for 50 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 8INT
3 plays · 10 yds · 1:1733% → 34%
Q2 7:54
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+4
33.0%
Ky Thomas run for 4 yds to the KENT 17Similar
Q2 7:16
2ND & 6
OWN 17
+6
33.4%
Tommy Ulatowski pass complete to Dashawn Martin for 6 yds to the KENT 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:37
1ST & 10
OWN 23
0
34.0%
Tommy Ulatowski pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 9TD
1 play · 27 yds · 0:0078% → 78%
Q2 6:36
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+27
22.0%
Delbert Mimms III run for 27 yds for a TD (Jesus Gomez KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 10TD
4 plays · 60 yds · 1:0826% → 38%
Q2 6:19
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+3
25.7%
Ky Thomas run for 3 yds to the KENT 43Similar
Q2 5:49
2ND & 7
OWN 43
+14
26.1%
Ky Thomas run for 14 yds to the EMU 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:11
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+43
37.5%
Tommy Ulatowski pass complete to Luke Floriea for 43 yds for a TD (Will Hryszko KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 11TD
11 plays · 75 yds · 2:5168% → 79%
Q2 5:03
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
32.2%
Cole Snyder pass incomplete to Max Reese Eastern Michigan Penalty, inelgible downfield on pass (-5 Yards) to the EMU 20Similar
Q2 4:57
1ST & 15
OWN 20
0
32.4%
Cole Snyder pass incomplete to Oran Singleton, broken up by Kaden BeattySimilar
Q2 4:52
2ND & 15
OWN 20
+18
32.6%
Cole Snyder pass complete to Markus Allen for 18 yds to the EMU 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:22
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+5
31.4%
Elijah Jackson-Anderson run for 5 yds to the EMU 43Similar
Q2 4:01
2ND & 5
OWN 43
+11
30.8%
Cole Snyder pass complete to Oran Singleton for 11 yds to the KENT 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:26
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+2
30.6%
Delbert Mimms III run for 2 yds to the KENT 44Similar
Q2 2:56
2ND & 8
OPP 44
+23
30.8%
Delbert Mimms III run for 23 yds to the KENT 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:37
1ST & 10
OPP 21
0
29.8%
pass incomplete to Markus AllenSimilar
Q2 2:31
2ND & 10
OPP 21
+17
30.1%
Cole Snyder run for 17 yds to the KENT 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:12
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
21.2%
Elijah Jackson-Anderson run for 4 yds for a TD (Jesus Gomez KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 12PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 1:1225% → 25%
Q2 2:12
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
25.0%
Ayden Harris run for 6 yds to the KENT 31Similar
Q2 1:59
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+3
25.9%
Ayden Harris run for 3 yds to the KENT 34Similar
Q2 1:21
3RD & 1
OWN 34
0
25.6%
Harris,Ayden rush middle (Carter,David;Price,Peyton).Similar
Q2 1:00
4TH & 1
OWN 34
+1
24.6%
Josh Smith punt for 51 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the EMU 16 , Oran Singleton returns for 1 yd to the EMU 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 13END OF HALF
5 plays · 22 yds · 0:2977% → 78%
Q2 0:53
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+6
23.4%
Cole Snyder pass complete to Max Reese for 6 yds to the EMU 22Similar
Q2 0:47
2ND & 4
OWN 22
+8
23.0%
Cole Snyder pass complete to Oran Singleton for 8 yds to the EMU 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:42
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+5
23.0%
Cole Snyder run for 5 yds to the EMU 35Similar
Q2 0:32
2ND & 5
OWN 35
+3
22.4%
Cole Snyder run for 3 yds to the EMU 38Similar
Q2 0:24
3RD & 2
OWN 38
+1
22.1%
Elijah Jackson-Anderson run for 1 yd to the EMU 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 14TD
3 plays · 75 yds · 0:2925% → 39%
Q3 14:59
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
25.0%
Tommy Ulatowski pass complete to Luke Floriea for 10 yds to the KENT 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:30
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+65
39.0%
Chrishon McCray 65 Yd pass from Tommy Ulatowski (Will Hryszko Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 15PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 1:0865% → 63%
Q3 14:19
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
35.1%
pass incomplete to Terry Lockett Jr.Similar
Q3 14:13
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+5
35.4%
Delbert Mimms III run for 5 yds to the EMU 30Similar
Q3 13:50
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+4
35.7%
Cole Snyder pass complete to Oran Singleton for 4 yds to the EMU 34Similar
Q3 13:11
4TH & 1
OWN 34
+4
36.6%
Mitchell Tomasek punt for 46 yds , Luke Floriea returns for 4 yds to the KENT 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 16PUNT
3 plays · -1 yds · 1:1639% → 38%
Q3 12:59
1ST & 10
OWN 24
-7
39.4%
Tommy Ulatowski run for a loss of 7 yards to the KENT 17Similar
Q3 12:25
2ND & 17
OWN 17
+4
39.3%
Tommy Ulatowski run for 4 yds to the KENT 21Similar
Q3 11:43
3RD & 13
OWN 21
+2
38.1%
Ayden Harris run for 2 yds to the KENT 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 17PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 1:5563% → 59%
Q3 10:44
1ST & 10
OWN 27
-3
37.4%
Delbert Mimms III run for a loss of 3 yards to the EMU 24Similar
Q3 10:07
2ND & 13
OWN 24
+6
38.6%
Cole Snyder pass complete to Max Reese for 6 yds to the EMU 30Similar
Q3 9:27
3RD & 7
OWN 30
+1
39.2%
Cole Snyder pass complete to Delbert Mimms III for 1 yd to the EMU 31Similar
Q3 8:49
4TH & 6
OWN 31
0
40.9%
Mitchell Tomasek punt for 40 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 18Uncategorized
2 plays · 2 yds · 0:3042% → 43%
Q3 8:40
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+2
42.3%
Ky Thomas run for 2 yds to the KENT 31Similar
Q3 8:10
2ND & 8
OWN 31
-1
42.8%
Tommy Ulatowski sacked by Joey Zelinsky for a loss of 1 yard to the KENT 30 Tommy Ulatowski fumbled, recovered by EMU Justin Jefferson , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 19TD
4 plays · 30 yds · 0:5266% → 79%
Q3 8:02
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+1
34.5%
Elijah Jackson-Anderson run for 1 yd to the KENT 29Similar
Q3 7:35
2ND & 9
OPP 29
+5
34.8%
Kent State Penalty, off-side (Kaden Beatty) to the KENT 24Similar
Q3 7:22
2ND & 4
OPP 24
+22
34.4%
Cole Snyder pass complete to Terry Lockett Jr. for 22 yds to the KENT 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:10
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
20.7%
Cole Snyder run for 2 yds for a TD (Jesus Gomez KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 20FUMBLE
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:0026% → 26%
Q3 7:02
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
25.9%
Ky Thomas run for 9 yds to the KENT 34 Ky Thomas fumbled, recovered by EMU JT KillenSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 21FG
8 plays · 26 yds · 2:4779% → 81%
Q3 6:53
1ST & 10
OPP 34
0
20.9%
Mimms, III,Delbert rush middle (Olds,Kameron;Baka,Josh).Similar
Q3 6:08
2ND & 10
OPP 34
+14
20.8%
Cole Snyder run for 14 yds to the KENT 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:52
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+9
20.5%
Delbert Mimms III run for 9 yds to the KENT 11Similar
Q3 5:38
2ND & 1
OPP 11
+4
20.5%
Delbert Mimms III run for 4 yds to the KENT 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:20
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
-1
20.5%
Cole Snyder run for a loss of 1 yard to the KENT 8 Cole Snyder fumbled, recovered by EMU Cole Snyder Snyder,Cole rush middle for loss of 1 yard to the KSU08, fumble by Snyder,Cole recovered by EMU Snyder,Cole, Snyder,Cole rush (Baka,Josh).Similar
Q3 4:48
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
0
20.2%
Snyder,Cole rush left (Baka,Josh).Similar
Q3 4:11
3RD & GOAL
OPP 8
0
20.9%
pass incomplete to Oran SingletonSimilar
Q3 4:06
4TH & GOAL
OPP 8
+26
19.1%
Jesus Gomez 26 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 22FUMBLE
5 plays · 18 yds · 0:4320% → 21%
Q3 3:59
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+2
19.5%
Ayden Harris run for 2 yds to the KENT 32Similar
Q3 3:22
2ND & 8
OWN 32
+15
19.6%
Eastern Michigan Penalty, personal foul (Trey Laing) to the KENT 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:16
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+1
21.1%
Tommy Ulatowski pass complete to Chrishon McCray for 1 yd to the KENT 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 23TD
3 plays · 24 yds · 0:4284% → 93%
Q3 2:33
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+13
16.2%
Cole Snyder pass complete to Oran Singleton for 13 yds to the KENT 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:07
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+6
16.2%
Delbert Mimms III run for 6 yds to the KENT 5Similar
Q3 1:51
2ND & 4
OPP 5
+5
6.6%
Cole Snyder pass complete to Oran Singleton for 5 yds for a TD (Jesus Gomez KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 24DOWNS
6 plays · 20 yds · 1:4711% → 10%
Q3 1:47
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+12
10.6%
Ayden Harris run for 12 yds to the KENT 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:20
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+3
11.0%
Ayden Harris run for 3 yds to the KENT 40Similar
Q3 0:46
2ND & 7
OWN 40
0
10.2%
pass incomplete to Chrishon McCraySimilar
Q3 0:40
3RD & 7
OWN 40
+5
10.0%
Tommy Ulatowski pass complete to Jay Jay Etheridge for 5 yds to the KENT 45Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 2
OWN 45
0
10.2%
pass incomplete to Chrishon McCraySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 25TD
4 plays · 45 yds · 0:4894% → 98%
Q4 14:50
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
6.4%
pass incomplete to Oran SingletonSimilar
Q4 14:47
2ND & 10
OPP 45
+3
2.2%
Delbert Mimms III run for 3 yds to the KENT 42Similar
Q4 14:09
3RD & 7
OPP 42
+15
2.1%
Cole Snyder pass incomplete to Terry Lockett Jr. for a 1ST down Kent State Penalty, roughing passer (Kameron Olds) to the KENT 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:02
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+27
2.0%
D. Mimms III run for 27 yds for a TD (J. Gomez KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 26PUNT
9 plays · 13 yds · 1:372% → 2%
Q4 13:50
1ST & 10
OWN 14
0
2.3%
pass incomplete to Dashawn MartinSimilar
Q4 13:43
2ND & 10
OWN 14
+15
2.3%
Tommy Ulatowski pass complete to Chrishon McCray for 15 yds to the KENT 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:22
1ST & 10
OWN 29
-5
2.3%
Kent State Penalty, false start (Jimto Obidegwu) to the KENT 24Similar
Q4 13:09
1ST & 15
OWN 24
0
2.3%
pass incomplete to Dashawn MartinSimilar
Q4 13:03
2ND & 15
OWN 24
+3
2.2%
Ky Thomas run for 3 yds to the KENT 27Similar
Q4 12:22
3RD & 12
OWN 27
0
2.1%
pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 12:13
4TH & 12
OWN 27
0
2.1%
Josh Smith punt for 52 yds , Oran Singleton returns for no gain to the EMU 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 27PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 1:4198% → 98%
Q4 12:01
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+4
2.0%
Elijah Jackson-Anderson run for 4 yds to the EMU 25Similar
Q4 11:32
2ND & 6
OWN 25
+3
1.8%
Elijah Jackson-Anderson run for 3 yds to the EMU 28Similar
Q4 10:58
3RD & 3
OWN 28
+2
1.8%
Cole Snyder pass complete to Jere Getzinger for 2 yds to the EMU 30Similar
Q4 10:20
4TH & 1
OWN 30
+12
1.7%
Mitchell Tomasek punt for 55 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the KENT 27 , Luke Floriea returns for 12 yds to the KENT 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 28TD
5 plays · 73 yds · 0:532% → 4%
Q4 10:14
1ST & 10
OWN 27
-1
1.9%
Tommy Ulatowski run for a loss of 1 yard to the KENT 26Similar
Q4 9:39
2ND & 11
OWN 26
+6
1.8%
Tommy Ulatowski pass complete to Jahzae Kimbrough for 6 yds to the KENT 32Similar
Q4 9:21
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
-5
5.2%
Kent State Penalty, off-side (Chrishon McCray) to the EMU 8Similar
Q4 9:21
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
-57
5.2%
Harris,Ayden rush (Martin,Tyrell).Similar
Q4 9:21
3RD & 5
OWN 32
+68
4.2%
Chrishon McCray 68 Yd pass from Tommy Ulatowski (Two-Point Run Conversion Failed)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 29TD
6 plays · 47 yds · 2:0897% → 100%
Q4 9:10
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+2
3.0%
Elijah Jackson-Anderson run for 2 yds to the KENT 45Similar
Q4 8:38
2ND & 8
OPP 45
+5
2.9%
Kent State Penalty, off-side (Zaid Hamden) to the KENT 40Similar
Q4 8:19
2ND & 3
OPP 40
+8
2.8%
Cole Snyder run for 8 yds to the KENT 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:40
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+6
2.8%
Cole Snyder run for 6 yds to the KENT 26Similar
Q4 7:02
2ND & 4
OPP 26
+26
0.3%
Deion Brown run for 26 yds for a TD (Jesus Gomez KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 30TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 2:450% → 3%
Q4 6:52
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
0.3%
Ayden Harris run for 3 yds to the KENT 28Similar
Q4 6:12
2ND & 7
OWN 28
0
0.3%
pass incomplete to Jay Jay EtheridgeSimilar
Q4 6:05
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+22
0.3%
Tommy Ulatowski pass complete to Dashawn Martin for 22 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:31
1ST & 10
50
+6
0.3%
Jordan Lowe run for 6 yds to the EMU 44Similar
Q4 5:02
2ND & 4
OPP 44
+39
0.3%
Tommy Ulatowski pass complete to Chrishon McCray for 39 yds to the EMU 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:39
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+1
0.4%
Jordan Lowe run for 1 yd to the EMU 4Similar
Q4 4:07
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
3.1%
Tommy Ulatowski 4 Yd Run (Two-Point Pass Conversion Failed)Similar
Q4 4:07
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
-62
3.2%
Tommy Ulatowski pass incomplete to Dashawn MartinSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 31PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 0:2099% → 99%
Q4 4:04
1ST & 10
OPP 44
-1
1.3%
Deion Brown run for a loss of 1 yard to the KENT 45Similar
Q4 3:55
2ND & 11
OPP 45
0
1.3%
Brown,Deion rush left (Woods,Mason;Dotson,Jaylen).Similar
Q4 3:52
3RD & 11
OPP 45
+2
1.3%
Deion Brown run for 2 yds to the KENT 43Similar
Q4 3:44
4TH & 9
OPP 43
0
1.4%
Mitchell Tomasek punt for 16 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 32DOWNS
4 plays · -2 yds · 0:572% → 2%
Q4 3:42
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+6
2.2%
Tommy Ulatowski pass complete to Jay Jay Etheridge for 6 yds to the KENT 33Similar
Q4 3:16
2ND & 4
OWN 33
-8
2.2%
Tommy Ulatowski sacked by Sterling Miles for a loss of 8 yards to the KENT 25Similar
Q4 2:53
3RD & 12
OWN 25
0
2.0%
pass incomplete to Dashawn MartinSimilar
Q4 2:45
4TH & 12
OWN 25
0
2.0%
pass incomplete to Chrishon McCraySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 33Uncategorized
3 plays · 24 yds · 1:2699% → 99%
Q4 2:39
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+2
1.1%
Cole Snyder pass complete to Quinn Fracassi for 2 yds to the KENT 23Similar
Q4 2:00
2ND & 8
OPP 23
+7
0.9%
Elijah Jackson-Anderson run for 7 yds to the KENT 16Similar
Q4 1:13
3RD & 1
OPP 16
+15
0.8%
Deion Brown run for 15 yds to the KENT 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 14:30
Chrishon McCray 65 Yd pass from Tommy Ulatowski (Will Hryszko Kick)
+14
TD · Q3 7:10
Cole Snyder run for 2 yds for a TD (Jesus Gomez KICK)
-13.7
TD · Q2 6:36
Delbert Mimms III run for 27 yds for a TD (Jesus Gomez KICK)
-12
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com