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SFPA

Saint Francis 0 at Eastern Michigan 36

EMU
2024 · Week 4 · Sep 21, 2024 · Rynearson Stadium
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Win probability · EMU
modelEMU aheadSFPA aheadconfidence bandkey playEMU scoreSFPA score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGFGTDTDFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 2:54 · Aidan Cirulli punt for 38 yds , Oran Singleton returns for no gain to the EMU 19
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsGarbage-time factorBlowout margin
+44.0+22.00−22.0−44.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 67Pregame prior+29.4Home team on offense+8.3Score differential+4.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+2.3Garbage-time factor+0.7Blowout margin+0.7
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 4:33: David Carter Jr. 99 Yd Fumble Return (Jesus Gomez Kick) — EMU win probability +0.9 pts (now 92%) (top driver: SFPA has the ball).
  2. KEY PLAY · Q2 12:36: Timeout Eastern Michigan, clock 12:36 — EMU win probability +2.2 pts (now 94%) (top driver: Lead backed by the offense's own timeouts).
  3. FG · Q2 6:46: Jesus Gomez 49 yd FG GOOD — EMU win probability +1.0 pts (now 94%) (top driver: EMU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 9:12: Delbert Mimms III run for 1 yd for a TD (Jesus Gomez PAT MISSED) — EMU win probability +3.4 pts (now 97%) (top driver: EMU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 7:38: Kendric Nowling 0 Yd Return of Blocked Punt (Jesus Gomez Kick) — EMU win probability +3.7 pts (now 99%) (top driver: SFPA has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
EMU made the numbers' call on 6 of 8SFPA made the numbers' call on 9 of 10
  1. Q1 12:06EMU 4th & 6 at midfield, tied
    Close callPunted · 93.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    93.6%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    93.6%−<0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 8:43SFPA 4th & 2 at EMU 36, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 7.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    7.4%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    7.3%−0.1
    42% to make
    Punt
    7.3%−0.2
    average punt
  3. Q1 3:02SFPA 4th & 5 at SFPA 30, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 7.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.5%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    7.5%
    average punt
  4. Q1 0:44EMU 4th & 5 at SFPA 22, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 92.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    91.9%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    91.9%
    72% to make
    Punt
    91.0%−0.9
    average punt
  5. Q2 12:36SFPA 4th & 18 at SFPA 29, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 7.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.5%−0.5
    12% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    8.0%
    average punt
  6. Q2 9:35EMU 4th & 4 at SFPA 42, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 91.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    91.3%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    90.6%−0.6
    30% to make
    Punt
    90.9%−0.3
    average punt
  7. Q2 6:46EMU 4th & 23 at SFPA 31, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 90.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    89.5%−0.8
    7% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    90.3%
    54% to make
    Punt
    89.8%−0.5
    average punt
  8. Q2 2:54SFPA 4th & 14 at SFPA 31, down 13
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 7.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.6%−0.5
    18% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    7.1%
    average punt
  9. Q3 13:04EMU 4th & 1 at EMU 49, up 13
    Close callPunted · 93.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    93.2%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    92.3%−0.9
    average punt
  10. Q3 11:42SFPA 4th & 13 at SFPA 7, down 13
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 7.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.5%−0.7
    18% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    7.2%
    average punt
  11. Q3 7:38SFPA 4th & 17 at SFPA 18, down 19
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.2%−1.1
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.3%
    average punt
  12. Q3 6:48SFPA 4th & 15 at SFPA 20, down 26
    Close callWent for it · 0.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.3%−0.4
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.7%
    average punt
  13. Q3 6:03EMU 4th & 10 at SFPA 19, up 26
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 99.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.1%−0.2
    27% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.4%
    77% to make
    Punt
    98.1%−1.3
    average punt
  14. Q3 3:59SFPA 4th & 5 at SFPA 46, down 29
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.3%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.3%
    average punt
  15. Q3 1:32EMU 4th & 9 at EMU 20, up 29
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.7%−0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.8%
    average punt
  16. Q4 14:48SFPA 4th & 16 at SFPA 25, down 29
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−0.2
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
  17. Q4 9:17SFPA 4th & 10 at SFPA 35, down 36
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  18. Q4 4:53EMU 4th & 2 at SFPA 37, up 36
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.9%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    99.8%−0.1
    40% to make
    Punt
    99.8%−0.2
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
EMU made the numbers' call on 4 of 4
  1. Q1 4:33EMU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    92.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    92.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q3 9:12EMU Touchdown, up 19 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    96.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 7:38EMU Touchdown, up 25 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 11:20EMU Touchdown, up 35 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
SFPADrive 1FUMBLE
4 plays · 29 yds · 1:326% → 7%
Q1 14:59
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
93.9%
Adrian Mejia run for 11 yds to the SFPA 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:28
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-10
93.8%
(14:28) MCELROY, DeMarcus rush to the left for a gain of 9 yards to the SFU45 (MURPHY, Luke), clock 14:22. PENALTY SFU Holding on SKULE, Joe enforced 10 yards from the SFU36 to the SFU26 [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 14:02
1ST & 20
OWN 26
+13
93.7%
Adrian Mejia pass complete to Aaron Tutino for 13 yds to the SFPA 39Similar
Q1 13:27
2ND & 7
OWN 39
+15
93.5%
Adrian Mejia pass complete to Joe Skule for 15 yds Joe Skule fumbled, recovered by EMU JT Killen J. Killen return for 0 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 2PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 1:1494% → 93%
Q1 13:20
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+3
93.6%
Elijah Jackson-Anderson run for 3 yds to the EMU 49Similar
Q1 12:50
2ND & 7
OWN 49
+1
93.5%
Cole Snyder pass complete to Oran Singleton for 1 yd to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 12:10
3RD & 6
50
0
93.3%
Cole Snyder pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:06
4TH & 6
50
0
93.3%
Mitchell Tomasek punt for 50 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SFPADrive 3FUMBLE RETURN TD
14 plays · 79 yds · 7:277% → 8%
Q1 12:00
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+6
93.2%
Adrian Mejia run for 6 yds to the SFPA 26Similar
Q1 11:25
2ND & 4
OWN 26
+25
93.0%
Adrian Mejia pass complete to Jayden Ivory for 25 yds to the EMU 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:56
1ST & 10
OPP 49
-11
92.8%
Adrian Mejia sacked by Jefferson Adam for a loss of 11 yards to the SFPA 40Similar
Q1 10:12
2ND & 21
OWN 40
+15
92.7%
Eastern Michigan Penalty, Roughing the Passer on MCNULTY, Dramarian enforced (Dramarian McNulty) to the EMU 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:45
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+7
92.5%
Adrian Mejia pass complete to Markell Holman for 7 yds to the EMU 37Similar
Q1 9:25
2ND & 3
OPP 37
0
92.3%
Adrian Mejia pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 9:21
3RD & 3
OPP 37
+1
92.3%
Adrian Mejia run for 1 yd to the EMU 36Similar
Q1 8:43
4TH & 2
OPP 36
+5
92.2%
Adrian Mejia pass complete to Aaron Tutino for 5 yds to the EMU 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:11
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+4
91.9%
Markell Holman run for 4 yds to the EMU 27Similar
Q1 7:33
2ND & 6
OPP 27
+11
91.6%
Adrian Mejia run for 11 yds to the EMU 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:47
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+3
91.3%
Markell Holman run for 3 yds to the EMU 13Similar
Q1 6:08
2ND & 7
OPP 13
+8
91.1%
Adrian Mejia pass complete to Markell Holman for 8 yds to the EMU 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:28
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+3
90.8%
Markell Holman run for 3 yds to the EMU 2Similar
Q1 4:33
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+99
91.7%
David Carter Jr. 99 Yd Fumble Return (Jesus Gomez Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SFPADrive 4PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 1:308% → 8%
Q1 4:32
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
92.3%
Adrian Mejia run for 1 yd to the SFPA 26Similar
Q1 3:58
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+8
92.1%
Adrian Mejia pass complete to Aaron Tutino for 8 yds to the SFPA 34Similar
Q1 3:17
3RD & 1
OWN 34
-4
91.8%
Adrian Mejia sacked by Joey Zelinsky for a loss of 4 yards to the SFPA 30Similar
Q1 3:02
4TH & 5
OWN 30
0
92.1%
Aidan Cirulli punt for 38 yds, downed at the EMU 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 5FG
7 plays · 31 yds · 2:0693% → 94%
Q1 2:50
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+12
93.3%
Cole Snyder pass complete to Oran Singleton for 12 yds to the SFPA 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:32
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+2
93.1%
Elijah Jackson-Anderson run for 2 yds to the SFPA 39Similar
Q1 2:11
2ND & 8
OPP 39
+12
93.1%
Cole Snyder pass complete to Max Reese for 12 yds to the SFPA 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:49
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+5
93.3%
Elijah Jackson-Anderson run for 5 yds to the SFPA 22Similar
Q1 1:26
2ND & 5
OPP 22
0
93.2%
Elijah Jackson-Anderson run for no gain to the SFPA 22Similar
Q1 0:53
3RD & 5
OPP 22
0
92.8%
Cole Snyder pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 0:44
4TH & 5
OPP 22
+40
93.6%
Jesus Gomez 40 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SFPADrive 6PUNT
9 plays · 4 yds · 3:048% → 8%
Q1 0:40
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
91.8%
Markell Holman run for 3 yds to the SFPA 28Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+4
91.6%
Markell Holman run for 4 yds to the SFPA 32Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 3
OWN 32
0
91.7%
Adrian Mejia pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:02
4TH & 3
OWN 32
+5
91.7%
CIRULLI, Aidan punt 56 yards to the EMU12, SINGLETON, Oran returned 23 yards to the EMU35 (BROWN JR., Fran;HOCKENBERRY, Gavin), clock 14:02. PENALTY EMU Running Into the kicker enforced 5 yards from the SFU32 to the SFU37 and results in a 1ST DOWN [FAKE PUNT]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 14:02
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
91.3%
Adrian Mejia pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:02
2ND & 10
OWN 37
-1
91.4%
DeMarcus McElroy run for a loss of 1 yard to the SFPA 36Similar
Q2 14:02
3RD & 11
OWN 36
-7
91.7%
Adrian Mejia sacked by Trey Laing for a loss of 7 yards to the SFPA 29Similar
Q2 12:36
4TH & 18
OWN 29
0
91.8%
Aidan Cirulli punt for 40 yds, downed at the EMU 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 7FG
15 plays · 38 yds · 5:4894% → 94%
Q2 12:34
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
94.0%
Cole Snyder pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 12:30
2ND & 10
OWN 31
0
93.9%
Elijah Jackson-Anderson run for no gain to the EMU 31Similar
Q2 11:57
3RD & 10
OWN 31
+21
93.8%
Cole Snyder pass complete to Oran Singleton for 21 yds to the SFPA 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:30
1ST & 10
OPP 48
-5
94.3%
Eastern Michigan Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the EMU 47Similar
Q2 11:18
1ST & 15
OWN 47
+6
94.2%
Cole Snyder pass complete to Oran Singleton for 6 yds to the SFPA 47Similar
Q2 10:51
2ND & 9
OPP 47
+2
94.2%
Elijah Jackson-Anderson run for 2 yds to the SFPA 45Similar
Q2 10:10
3RD & 7
OPP 45
+3
94.0%
Cole Snyder run for 3 yds to the SFPA 42Similar
Q2 9:35
4TH & 4
OPP 42
+7
93.8%
Cole Snyder run for 7 yds to the SFPA 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:56
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+17
94.2%
Delbert Mimms III run for 17 yds to the SFPA 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:14
1ST & 10
OPP 18
-10
94.0%
(08:14) BROWN, Deion rush to the right for a gain of 3 yards to the SFU15 (AUMUA-TUISAVURA, Buju), clock 08:11. PENALTY EMU Holding on REESE, Max enforced 10 yards from the SFU18 to the SFU28 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 7:50
1ST & 20
OPP 28
-8
94.2%
Cole Snyder sacked by Paul Tangelo for a loss of 8 yards to the SFPA 36Similar
Q2 7:03
2ND & 28
OPP 36
0
94.1%
Cole Snyder pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 6:58
3RD & 28
OPP 36
0
93.6%
Cole Snyder pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 6:55
4TH & 28
OPP 36
+5
93.3%
(06:55) GOMEZ, Jesus field goal attempt from 54 yards NO GOOD (wide right) [kick was spotted at SFU44], clock 06:51. PENALTY SFU Running Into the kicker on FRYE, Mason enforced 5 yards from the SFU36 to the SFU31 [FG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 6:46
4TH & 23
OPP 31
+49
94.3%
Jesus Gomez 49 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SFPADrive 8PUNT
8 plays · 6 yds · 3:517% → 7%
Q2 6:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
93.1%
run for a loss of 5 yards to the SFPA 20 fumbled, recovered by SFPA Adrian Mejia A. Mejia return for 0 ydsSimilar
Q2 6:08
2ND & 15
OWN 20
0
93.2%
DeMarcus McElroy run for no gain to the SFPA 20Similar
Q2 5:30
3RD & 15
OWN 20
+15
93.2%
Adrian Mejia run for 15 yds to the SFPA 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:51
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+1
92.8%
DeMarcus McElroy run for 1 yd to the SFPA 36Similar
Q2 4:12
2ND & 9
OWN 36
+5
92.8%
Adrian Mejia pass complete to Jayden Ivory for 5 yds to the SFPA 41Similar
Q2 3:35
3RD & 4
OWN 41
-10
92.7%
Adrian Mejia sacked by Dylan Shelton and Peyton Price for a loss of 10 yards to the SFPA 31Similar
Q2 2:54
4TH & 14
OWN 31
0
93.4%
Aidan Cirulli punt for 38 yds , Oran Singleton returns for no gain to the EMU 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 9DOWNS
12 plays · 37 yds · 2:1395% → 95%
Q2 2:42
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+5
94.9%
Elijah Jackson-Anderson run for 5 yds to the EMU 24Similar
Q2 2:11
2ND & 5
OWN 24
+5
94.8%
Elijah Jackson-Anderson run for 5 yds to the EMU 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:58
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+16
94.7%
Cole Snyder pass complete to Oran Singleton for 16 yds to the EMU 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:49
1ST & 10
OWN 45
-1
95.0%
Joey Mattord run for a loss of 1 yard to the EMU 44Similar
Q2 1:19
2ND & 11
OWN 44
+8
94.9%
Cole Snyder pass complete to Joey Mattord for 8 yds to the SFPA 48Similar
Q2 1:02
3RD & 3
OPP 48
+9
94.7%
Cole Snyder pass complete to Oran Singleton for 9 yds to the SFPA 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:56
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
95.2%
Cole Snyder pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:51
2ND & 10
OPP 39
+1
95.1%
Cole Snyder run for 1 yd to the SFPA 38Similar
Q2 0:33
3RD & 9
OPP 38
0
94.9%
Cole Snyder pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:29
4TH & 9
OPP 38
0
94.6%
Eastern Michigan Penalty, turnover on downs. PENALTY Intentional Grounding on SNYDER, Cole enforced a result of a (Yards) to the SFPA 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SFPADrive 10MISSED FG
6 plays · 43 yds · 0:227% → 7%
Q2 0:24
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+12
93.2%
Adrian Mejia pass complete to Jayden Ivory for 12 yds to the EMU 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:17
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+10
93.2%
(00:17) MEJIA, Adrian pass deep to the left incomplete intended for LAMBERT, Denzel thrown to the EMU20; QB hurried by JEFFERSON, Justin, clock 00:14. PENALTY EMU Pass Interference on WHITE, Daiquan enforced at the spot of the foul for 10 yards to the EMU33 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 0:13
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+9
92.9%
Eastern Michigan Penalty, Unnecessary Roughness (Luke Murphy) to the EMU 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:07
1ST & 10
OPP 12
0
92.7%
Adrian Mejia pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:02
2ND & 10
OPP 12
+30
92.6%
Mac Plummer 30 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 11PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 1:1493% → 93%
Q3 14:18
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+5
93.4%
Elijah Jackson-Anderson run for 5 yds to the EMU 45Similar
Q3 14:05
2ND & 5
OWN 45
+3
93.4%
Cole Snyder run for 3 yds to the EMU 48Similar
Q3 13:48
3RD & 2
OWN 48
+1
93.3%
Delbert Mimms III run for 1 yd to the EMU 49Similar
Q3 13:04
4TH & 1
OWN 49
0
92.9%
Mitchell Tomasek punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Aaron Tutino at the SFPA 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SFPADrive 12PUNT
5 plays · -3 yds · 1:198% → 7%
Q3 13:01
1ST & 10
OWN 10
-1
92.2%
Adrian Mejia pass complete to DeMarcus McElroy for a loss of 1 yard to the SFPA 9Similar
Q3 12:21
2ND & 11
OWN 9
-2
92.5%
Adrian Mejia pass complete to Aaron Tutino for a loss of 2 yards to the SFPA 7Similar
Q3 11:46
3RD & 13
OWN 7
0
92.7%
Adrian Mejia pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 11:42
4TH & 13
OWN 7
0
92.8%
Aidan Cirulli punt for 52 yds, fair catch by Oran Singleton at the SFPA 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 13TD
6 plays · 44 yds · 2:2393% → 97%
Q3 11:35
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+5
93.4%
Oran Singleton run for 5 yds to the SFPA 39Similar
Q3 11:13
2ND & 5
OPP 39
+16
93.3%
Cole Snyder pass complete to Oran Singleton for 16 yds to the SFPA 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:53
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+18
93.5%
Deion Brown run for 18 yds to the SFPA 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:17
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+2
93.5%
Delbert Mimms III run for 2 yds to the SFPA 3Similar
Q3 9:45
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
93.6%
Delbert Mimms III run for 2 yds to the SFPA 1Similar
Q3 9:12
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
97.0%
Delbert Mimms III run for 1 yd for a TD (Jesus Gomez PAT MISSED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SFPADrive 14PUNT TD
4 plays · -7 yds · 1:335% → 1%
Q3 9:11
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
95.2%
Adrian Mejia run for a loss of 5 yards to the SFPA 20 Adrian Mejia fumbled, recovered by SFPA Adrian Mejia A. Mejia return for 0 ydsSimilar
Q3 8:34
2ND & 15
OWN 20
-2
95.5%
Markell Holman run for a loss of 2 yards to the SFPA 18Similar
Q3 7:49
3RD & 17
OWN 18
0
95.5%
Adrian Mejia pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 7:38
4TH & 17
OWN 18
0
99.2%
Kendric Nowling 0 Yd Return of Blocked Punt (Jesus Gomez Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SFPADrive 15DOWNS
4 plays · -6 yds · 0:481% → 1%
Q3 7:36
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
99.3%
DeMarcus McElroy run for 2 yds to the SFPA 27Similar
Q3 7:03
2ND & 8
OWN 27
-6
99.2%
St. Francis (PA) Penalty, Intentional Grounding (Adrian Mejia) to the SFPA 21Similar
Q3 6:55
3RD & 15
OWN 20
0
99.3%
Adrian Mejia pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 6:48
4TH & 15
OWN 20
-7
99.3%
run for a loss of 7 yards to the SFPA 19 fumbled, recovered by SFPA Justin Thompson J. Thompson return for 6 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 16FG
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:4499% → 100%
Q3 6:47
1ST & 10
OPP 19
0
99.4%
Delbert Mimms III run for no gain to the SFPA 19Similar
Q3 6:14
2ND & 10
OPP 19
0
99.4%
Cole Snyder pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 6:10
3RD & 10
OPP 19
0
99.4%
Cole Snyder pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 6:03
4TH & 10
OPP 19
+37
99.7%
Jesus Gomez 37 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SFPADrive 17PUNT
5 plays · 21 yds · 2:010% → 0%
Q3 6:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+16
99.6%
Adrian Mejia run for 16 yds to the SFPA 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:24
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+4
99.6%
Markell Holman run for 4 yds to the SFPA 45Similar
Q3 4:44
2ND & 6
OWN 45
+1
99.7%
Markell Holman run for 1 yd to the SFPA 46Similar
Q3 4:06
3RD & 5
OWN 46
0
99.7%
Adrian Mejia pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 3:59
4TH & 5
OWN 46
0
99.7%
Aidan Cirulli punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Max Reese at the EMU 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 18PUNT
6 plays · 11 yds · 2:20100% → 100%
Q3 3:52
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+2
99.8%
Deion Brown run for 2 yds to the EMU 11Similar
Q3 2:52
2ND & 8
OWN 11
+8
99.8%
Cole Snyder run for 8 yds to the EMU 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:41
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+5
99.8%
Cole Snyder run for 5 yds to the EMU 24Similar
Q3 2:08
2ND & 5
OWN 24
-4
99.8%
Elijah Jackson-Anderson run for a loss of 4 yards to the EMU 20Similar
Q3 1:36
3RD & 9
OWN 20
0
99.8%
Cole Snyder pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 1:32
4TH & 9
OWN 20
0
99.8%
Mitchell Tomasek punt for 49 yds, fair catch by Aaron Tutino at the SFPA 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SFPADrive 19PUNT
5 plays · -6 yds · 1:360% → 0%
Q3 1:24
1ST & 10
OWN 31
-6
99.8%
Adrian Mejia sacked by Jefferson Adam for a loss of 6 yards to the SFPA 25Similar
Q3 0:46
2ND & 16
OWN 25
+3
99.8%
DeMarcus McElroy run for 3 yds to the SFPA 28Similar
Q3 0:06
3RD & 13
OWN 28
-3
99.8%
Adrian Mejia pass complete to Sam Penna for a loss of 3 yards to the SFPA 25Similar
Q4 14:48
4TH & 16
OWN 25
0
99.9%
Aidan Cirulli punt for 69 yds, downed at the EMU 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 20TD
8 plays · 94 yds · 3:26100% → 100%
Q4 14:46
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+5
99.9%
Deion Brown run for 5 yds to the EMU 11Similar
Q4 14:09
2ND & 5
OWN 11
+3
99.9%
Deion Brown run for 3 yds to the EMU 14Similar
Q4 13:24
3RD & 2
OWN 14
+5
99.9%
Joey Mattord run for 5 yds to the EMU 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:52
1ST & 10
OWN 19
-9
99.9%
(12:52) SALEM, Jermiah pass deep to the left incomplete intended for FRACASSI, Quinn thrown to the EMU40, clock 12:47. PENALTY EMU Holding on MAYO, Chris enforced half the distance from the goal, 9 yards from the EMU19 to the EMU10 [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 12:45
1ST & 19
OWN 10
0
99.9%
Joey Mattord run for no gain to the EMU 10Similar
Q4 12:07
2ND & 19
OWN 10
+1
99.9%
Joey Mattord run for 1 yd to the EMU 11Similar
Q4 11:20
3RD & 18
OWN 11
+89
99.9%
Jeremiah Salem pass complete to Zyell Griffin for 89 yds for a TD (Jesus Gomez KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SFPADrive 21PUNT
7 plays · 10 yds · 2:010% → 0%
Q4 11:18
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.9%
Adrian Mejia pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 11:10
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+9
99.9%
Adrian Mejia pass complete to Scott Raymond for 9 yds to the SFPA 34Similar
Q4 10:27
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+1
99.9%
Caron Madison run for 1 yd to the SFPA 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:51
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
99.9%
Adrian Mejia pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 9:47
2ND & 10
OWN 35
0
99.9%
Adrian Mejia pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 9:43
3RD & 10
OWN 35
0
99.9%
Adrian Mejia run for no gain to the SFPA 35 Adrian Mejia fumbled, recovered by SFPASimilar
Q4 9:17
4TH & 10
OWN 35
0
99.9%
Aidan Cirulli punt for 51 yds , Max Reese returns for no gain to the EMU 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 22DOWNS
9 plays · 43 yds · 4:20100% → 100%
Q4 9:13
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+5
99.9%
Deion Brown run for 5 yds to the EMU 25Similar
Q4 8:40
2ND & 5
OWN 25
0
99.9%
Deion Brown run for no gain to the EMU 25Similar
Q4 7:55
3RD & 5
OWN 25
+15
99.9%
St. Francis (PA) Penalty, Roughing the Passer on TANGELO, Paul enforced (Paul Tangelo) to the EMU 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:42
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+9
99.9%
Joey Mattord run for 9 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 7:16
2ND & 1
50
+5
99.9%
St. Francis (PA) Penalty, Offsides (Paul Tangelo) to the SFPA 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:56
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+2
99.9%
Joey Mattord run for 2 yds to the SFPA 43Similar
Q4 6:15
2ND & 8
OPP 43
-1
99.9%
Joey Mattord run for a loss of 1 yard to the SFPA 44Similar
Q4 5:28
3RD & 9
OPP 44
+7
99.9%
Jeremiah Salem pass complete to Isaac Smith for 7 yds to the SFPA 37Similar
Q4 4:53
4TH & 2
OPP 37
0
99.9%
Jeremiah Salem pass complete to Blake Daniels for no gain to the SFPA 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SFPADrive 23INT
4 plays · 11 yds · 1:570% → 0%
Q4 4:45
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+3
100.0%
Adrian Mejia run for 3 yds to the SFPA 40Similar
Q4 4:09
2ND & 7
OWN 40
+2
100.0%
Brayden Porter run for 2 yds to the SFPA 42Similar
Q4 3:32
3RD & 5
OWN 42
+6
100.0%
Adrian Mejia run for 6 yds to the SFPA 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:48
1ST & 10
OWN 48
-11
100.0%
Adrian Mejia pass intercepted Ali Abdul-Barr return for 11 yds to the SFPA 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 24END OF GAME
7 plays · 29 yds · 2:06100% → 100%
Q4 2:41
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+2
100.0%
Jayvin Norman run for 2 yds to the SFPA 32Similar
Q4 1:56
2ND & 8
OPP 32
+2
100.0%
Jayvin Norman run for 2 yds to the SFPA 30Similar
Q4 1:51
3RD & 6
OPP 30
+5
100.0%
Jeremiah Salem pass complete to Adam Rammouni for 5 yds to the SFPA 25Similar
Q4 1:26
4TH & 1
OPP 25
+3
100.0%
St. Francis (PA) Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Kevon Walker) to the SFPA 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:01
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+5
100.0%
Jeremiah Salem run for 5 yds to the SFPA 6Similar
Q4 0:35
2ND & 5
OPP 6
+1
100.0%
Jayvin Norman run for 1 yd to the SFPA 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 7:38
Kendric Nowling 0 Yd Return of Blocked Punt (Jesus Gomez Kick)
+3.7
TD · Q3 9:12
Delbert Mimms III run for 1 yd for a TD (Jesus Gomez PAT MISSED)
+3.4
KEY PLAY · Q2 12:36
Timeout Eastern Michigan, clock 12:36
+2.2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com