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MORG

Morgan State 6 at Ohio 21

OHIO
2024 · Week 3 · Sep 14, 2024 · Peden Stadium
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Win probability · OHIO
modelOHIO aheadMORG aheadconfidence bandkey playOHIO scoreMORG score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 11:15 · Jack Wilson punt for 47 yds
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+43.5+21.80−21.8−43.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 42Pregame prior+33.8Home team on offense+5.6Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+6.8Score differential+1.3Garbage-time factor+1.8Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.1
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 0:00: Parker Navarro run for 10 yds for a TD (Gianni Spetic KICK) — OHIO win probability +3.0 pts (now 93%) (top driver: OHIO has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 10:20: Anthony Tyus III run for 13 yds for a TD (Gianni Spetic KICK) — OHIO win probability +3.1 pts (now 94%) (top driver: OHIO has the ball).
  3. KEY PLAY · Q3 4:43: Timeout Ohio, clock 04:43 — OHIO win probability +3.5 pts (now 95%) (top driver: OHIO has the ball).
  4. KEY PLAY · Q3 3:15: Timeout Ohio, clock 03:15 — MORG win probability +3.0 pts (now 8%) (top driver: MORG has the ball).
  5. KEY PLAY · Q4 13:25: Timeout Ohio, clock 13:25 — OHIO win probability +5.4 pts (now 99%) (top driver: OHIO has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
OHIO made the numbers' call on 4 of 4MORG made the numbers' call on 7 of 10
  1. Q1 10:14MORG 4th & 14 at MORG 44, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 7.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.4%−0.1
    18% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    7.6%
    average punt
  2. Q1 2:01MORG 4th & 10 at OHIO 13, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 8.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.5%−0.2
    26% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    8.7%
    85% to make
    Punt
    7.6%−1.0
    average punt
  3. Q2 13:20MORG 4th & 11 at MORG 24, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 8.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.9%−0.3
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    8.2%
    average punt
  4. Q2 11:15OHIO 4th & 10 at OHIO 20, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 91.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    90.9%−0.3
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    91.2%
    average punt
  5. Q2 9:41MORG 4th & 4 at MORG 39, down 11
    Close callPunted · 8.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.6%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    8.5%−0.1
    average punt
  6. Q2 6:03OHIO 4th & 6 at OHIO 42, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 91.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    91.0%−0.2
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    91.2%
    average punt
  7. Q2 3:57MORG 4th & 9 at OHIO 44, down 11
    Close callPunted · 8.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.6%
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    8.4%−0.2
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    8.6%−<0.1
    average punt
  8. Q2 0:58MORG 4th & 14 at OHIO 16, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 8.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.2%−0.6
    16% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    8.9%
    81% to make
    Punt
    7.2%−1.7
    average punt
  9. Q3 4:43MORG 4th & 5 at OHIO 5, down 15
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 7.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.7%−0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    6.7%
    92% to make
    Punt
    3.2%−3.6
    average punt
  10. Q3 3:15OHIO 4th & 9 at OHIO 22, up 15
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 95.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.9%−0.9
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    95.8%
    average punt
  11. Q4 13:25MORG 4th & 2 at OHIO 2, down 15
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 5.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    6.1%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    5.2%−0.9
    94% to make
    Punt
    1.3%−4.8
    average punt
  12. Q4 8:09OHIO 4th & 5 at OHIO 46, up 15
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 96.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.8%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    96.8%
    average punt
  13. Q4 7:14MORG 4th & 5 at MORG 18, down 15
    Close callPunted · 3.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.1%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.1%−<0.1
    average punt
  14. Q4 2:42MORG 4th & 8 at OHIO 49, down 15
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 2.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    2.4%
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    2.3%−0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
OHIO made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q1 6:37OHIO Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    92.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    92.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 0:00OHIO Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    91.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    91.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 10:20OHIO Touchdown, up 14 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    93.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    93.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
MORGDrive 1PUNT
10 plays · 19 yds · 4:467% → 8%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
93.2%
Tahj Smith pass complete to J.J. Davis for 6 yds to the MORG 31Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+4
93.2%
J.J. Davis run for 4 yds to the MORG 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+3
93.2%
J.J. Davis run for 3 yds to the MORG 38Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 38
+10
93.2%
Tahj Smith pass complete to Andre Crawley for 10 yds to the MORG 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+1
93.2%
J.J. Davis run for 1 yd to the MORG 49Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 49
-5
93.2%
SMITH, Tahj pass short to the right complete for 4 yards to KENNERLY, Joseph caught at the OHI47 and advanced to the OHI47 (LEAKE, Blake). PENALTY MSU Ineligible Receiver Downfield on Pass on PHILLIP, Marquez enforced 5 yards from the MSU49 to the MSU44 [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 14
OWN 44
+1
93.2%
Tahj Smith run for 1 yd to the MORG 45 Tahj Smith fumbled, recovered by MORG return for 0 ydsSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 13
OWN 45
-1
93.2%
Tahj Smith run for a loss of 1 yard to the MORG 44Similar
Q1 10:14
4TH & 14
OWN 44
0
92.0%
Shane Messenger punt for 38 ydsSimilar
Q1 10:14
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+15
92.0%
NAVARRO, Parker pass deep to the right incomplete intended for OWEN, Coleman thrown to the MSU49. PENALTY MSU Pass Interference on GRAHAM, Josh enforced 15 yards to the OHI33 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 2TD
7 plays · 82 yds · 3:3792% → 92%
Q1 10:14
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+3
92.0%
Anthony Tyus III run for 3 yds to the OHIO 36Similar
Q1 10:14
2ND & 7
OWN 36
+14
92.0%
Parker Navarro pass complete to Mason Williams for 14 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:14
1ST & 10
50
+3
92.1%
Anthony Tyus III run for 3 yds to the MORG 47Similar
Q1 10:14
2ND & 7
OPP 47
+7
92.2%
Parker Navarro pass complete to Coleman Owen for 7 yds to the MORG 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:14
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+10
92.2%
Anthony Tyus III run for 10 yds to the MORG 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:14
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+11
92.2%
Parker Navarro pass complete to Mason Williams for 11 yds to the MORG 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:37
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+19
92.2%
Parker Navarro pass complete to Anthony Tyus III for 19 yds for a TD (Gianni Spetic KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MORGDrive 3FG
10 plays · 62 yds · 4:368% → 10%
Q1 6:37
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
91.9%
J.J. Davis run for 3 yds to the MORG 28Similar
Q1 6:37
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+14
91.8%
Tahj Smith pass complete to J.J. Davis for 14 yds to the MORG 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:37
1ST & 10
OWN 42
-2
91.7%
J.J. Davis run for a loss of 2 yards to the MORG 40Similar
Q1 6:37
2ND & 12
OWN 40
+33
91.8%
Tahj Smith pass complete to Andre Crawley for 33 yds to the OHIO 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:37
1ST & 10
OPP 27
0
91.4%
Tahj Smith pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 6:37
2ND & 10
OPP 27
+14
91.5%
Tahj Smith pass complete to Andre Crawley for 14 yds to the OHIO 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:37
1ST & 10
OPP 13
0
91.4%
Myles Miree run for no gain to the OHIO 13Similar
Q1 6:37
2ND & 10
OPP 13
0
91.4%
Myles Miree run for no gain to the OHIO 13Similar
Q1 6:37
3RD & 10
OPP 13
0
91.6%
Tahj Smith pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 2:01
4TH & 10
OPP 13
+30
89.7%
Beckett Leary 30 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 4TD
5 plays · 81 yds · 1:5390% → 93%
Q1 1:53
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+3
89.7%
Rickey Hunt Jr. run for 3 yds to the OHIO 22Similar
Q1 1:53
2ND & 7
OWN 22
+53
89.6%
Parker Navarro pass complete to Coleman Owen for 53 yds to the MORG 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:53
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+15
90.2%
Rickey Hunt Jr. run for 15 yds to the MORG 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+10
93.3%
Parker Navarro run for 10 yds for a TD (Gianni Spetic KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 5INT
1 play · 0 yds · 0:0093% → 93%
Q2 14:51
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+2
93.2%
Parker Navarro pass intercepted Bryan Stukes return for a loss of 2 yards to the MORG 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MORGDrive 6PUNT
5 plays · -1 yds · 1:319% → 9%
Q2 14:51
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
91.2%
Jason Collins Jr. run for 1 yd to the MORG 26Similar
Q2 14:51
2ND & 9
OWN 26
0
91.2%
Tahj Smith pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:51
3RD & 9
OWN 26
-2
91.4%
Tahj Smith pass complete to Jason Collins Jr. for a loss of 2 yards to the MORG 24Similar
Q2 13:20
4TH & 11
OWN 24
0
91.5%
Shane Messenger punt for 56 yds, downed at the OHIO 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 7PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 2:0594% → 93%
Q2 13:20
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+4
93.5%
Anthony Tyus III run for 4 yds to the OHIO 24Similar
Q2 13:20
2ND & 6
OWN 24
+1
93.5%
Anthony Tyus III run for 1 yd to the OHIO 25Similar
Q2 13:20
3RD & 5
OWN 25
-5
93.3%
Parker Navarro sacked by Lance Byndon for a loss of 5 yards to the OHIO 20Similar
Q2 11:15
4TH & 10
OWN 20
0
93.2%
Jack Wilson punt for 47 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MORGDrive 8PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 1:349% → 8%
Q2 11:15
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+4
90.8%
Tahj Smith pass complete to Andre Crawley for 4 yds to the MORG 37Similar
Q2 9:55
2ND & 6
OWN 37
+2
91.4%
Tahj Smith pass complete to Andre Crawley for 2 yds to the MORG 39Similar
Q2 9:55
3RD & 4
OWN 39
0
91.5%
Tahj Smith pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 9:41
4TH & 4
OWN 39
0
91.8%
Shane Messenger punt for 42 yds, downed at the OHIO 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 9PUNT
8 plays · 23 yds · 3:3894% → 93%
Q2 9:41
1ST & 10
OWN 19
-2
93.5%
Rickey Hunt Jr. run for a loss of 2 yards to the OHIO 17Similar
Q2 9:41
2ND & 12
OWN 17
+5
93.4%
Parker Navarro pass complete to Mason Williams for 5 yds to the OHIO 22Similar
Q2 9:41
3RD & 7
OWN 22
+16
93.2%
Parker Navarro pass complete to Coleman Owen for 16 yds to the OHIO 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:41
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+3
93.7%
Parker Navarro pass complete to Rickey Hunt Jr. for 3 yds to the OHIO 41Similar
Q2 9:41
2ND & 7
OWN 41
+5
93.8%
Parker Navarro pass complete to Coleman Owen for 5 yds to the OHIO 46Similar
Q2 9:41
3RD & 2
OWN 46
-4
93.5%
Rickey Hunt Jr. run for a loss of 4 yards to the OHIO 42Similar
Q2 6:03
4TH & 6
OWN 42
+31
92.8%
Jack Wilson punt for 47 yds , Malique Leatherbury returns for 31 yds to the MORG 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MORGDrive 10PUNT
5 plays · 14 yds · 2:069% → 8%
Q2 6:03
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+13
91.1%
Tahj Smith pass complete to Jaden Coffen for 13 yds to the OHIO 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:03
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+2
90.7%
Jason Collins Jr. run for 2 yds to the OHIO 43Similar
Q2 6:03
2ND & 8
OPP 43
-1
90.7%
Jason Collins Jr. run for a loss of 1 yard to the OHIO 44Similar
Q2 6:03
3RD & 9
OPP 44
0
91.0%
Tahj Smith pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 3:57
4TH & 9
OPP 44
0
91.9%
Shane Messenger punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Coleman Owen at the OHIO 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 11INT
3 plays · 20 yds · 1:0594% → 94%
Q2 3:57
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+11
93.5%
Anthony Tyus III run for 11 yds to the OHIO 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:57
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+9
93.3%
Parker Navarro pass complete to Anthony Tyus III for 9 yds to the OHIO 30Similar
Q2 2:52
2ND & 1
OWN 30
0
93.7%
Parker Navarro pass intercepted Jadon Carter return for no gain to the OHIO 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MORGDrive 12FG
8 plays · 18 yds · 1:549% → 9%
Q2 2:52
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+9
90.8%
Myles Miree run for 9 yds to the OHIO 25Similar
Q2 2:00
2ND & 1
OPP 25
+13
91.3%
Ohio Penalty, Unnecessary Roughness (CJ Doggette) to the OHIO 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:00
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+2
91.3%
Tahj Smith run for 2 yds to the OHIO 10Similar
Q2 1:06
2ND & 8
OPP 10
-6
90.9%
Tahj Smith sacked by Kadin Schmitz for a loss of 6 yards to the OHIO 16Similar
Q2 1:06
3RD & 14
OPP 16
0
92.0%
Tahj Smith pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:58
4TH & 14
OPP 16
+33
91.0%
Beckett Leary 33 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 13INT
3 plays · 20 yds · 0:1993% → 92%
Q2 0:54
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+16
92.5%
Parker Navarro pass complete to Coleman Owen for 16 yds to the OHIO 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:54
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+4
92.1%
Parker Navarro pass complete to Chase Hendricks for 4 yds to the OHIO 26Similar
Q2 0:35
2ND & 6
OWN 26
0
92.0%
Parker Navarro pass intercepted Ja'son Prevard return for no gain to the OHIO 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MORGDrive 14INT
4 plays · -10 yds · 0:1611% → 9%
Q2 0:28
1ST & 10
OPP 28
-10
88.8%
Tahj Smith sacked by Bradley Weaver and Kadin Schmitz for a loss of 10 yards to the OHIO 38Similar
Q2 0:28
2ND & 20
OPP 38
0
90.3%
Tahj Smith pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:12
3RD & 20
OPP 38
-1
90.6%
Tahj Smith pass intercepted Marcel Walker-Burgess return for 1 yd to the OHIO 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 15END OF HALF
1 play · -2 yds · 0:0091% → 91%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 37
-2
91.3%
[NHSG] Kneel down by NAVARRO, Parker at OHI35 (team loss of 2), clock 00:00.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 16TD
9 plays · 74 yds · 4:3490% → 94%
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+13
89.9%
Anthony Tyus III run for 13 yds to the OHIO 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+6
90.5%
Anthony Tyus III run for 6 yds to the OHIO 45Similar
Q3 14:54
2ND & 4
OWN 45
+12
90.7%
Nick Poulos run for 12 yds to the MORG 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
90.8%
Nick Poulos pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 14:54
2ND & 10
OPP 43
+4
90.7%
Anthony Tyus III run for 4 yds to the MORG 39Similar
Q3 14:54
3RD & 6
OPP 39
+17
90.4%
Nick Poulos run for 17 yds to the MORG 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OPP 22
0
90.8%
Anthony Tyus III run for no gain to the MORG 22Similar
Q3 14:54
2ND & 10
OPP 22
+9
90.8%
Nick Poulos run for 9 yds to the MORG 13Similar
Q3 10:20
3RD & 1
OPP 13
+13
93.9%
Anthony Tyus III run for 13 yds for a TD (Gianni Spetic KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MORGDrive 17MISSED FG
12 plays · 70 yds · 5:378% → 8%
Q3 10:20
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+28
92.5%
Jason Collins Jr. run for 28 yds to the OHIO 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:20
1ST & 10
OPP 47
-1
91.3%
Jason Collins Jr. run for a loss of 1 yard to the OHIO 48Similar
Q3 10:20
2ND & 11
OPP 48
+6
91.7%
Jason Collins Jr. run for 6 yds to the OHIO 42Similar
Q3 10:20
3RD & 5
OPP 42
+14
91.4%
Tahj Smith pass complete to Marquez Phillips for 14 yds to the OHIO 28 for a 1ST down Ohio Penalty, Offsides (Yards) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:20
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+4
90.5%
Jason Collins Jr. run for 4 yds to the OHIO 10Similar
Q3 10:20
2ND & 6
OPP 10
-2
90.5%
Jason Collins Jr. run for a loss of 2 yards to the OHIO 12Similar
Q3 10:20
3RD & 8
OPP 12
+10
91.0%
Tahj Smith pass complete to Malique Leatherbury for 10 yds to the OHIO 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:20
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
-2
90.6%
Jason Collins Jr. run for a loss of 2 yards to the OHIO 4Similar
Q3 10:20
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
-1
90.5%
Tahj Smith run for a loss of 1 yard to the OHIO 5Similar
Q3 10:20
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
0
91.0%
Tahj Smith pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 4:43
4TH & GOAL
OPP 5
+22
91.9%
Beckett Leary 22 yd FG BLOCKED blocked bySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 18PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 1:2895% → 95%
Q3 4:43
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+2
95.4%
Rickey Hunt Jr. run for 2 yds to the OHIO 23Similar
Q3 4:43
2ND & 8
OWN 23
-1
95.3%
Rickey Hunt Jr. run for a loss of 1 yard to the OHIO 22Similar
Q3 4:43
3RD & 9
OWN 22
0
95.2%
Nick Poulos pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 3:15
4TH & 9
OWN 22
0
95.1%
Jack Wilson punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Malique Leatherbury at the MORG 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MORGDrive 19DOWNS
12 plays · 52 yds · 4:508% → 7%
Q3 3:15
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+3
92.1%
J.J. Davis run for 3 yds to the MORG 46Similar
Q3 3:15
2ND & 7
OWN 46
+7
92.0%
J.J. Davis run for 7 yds to the OHIO 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:15
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+2
91.6%
Myles Miree run for 2 yds to the OHIO 45Similar
Q3 3:15
2ND & 8
OPP 45
+15
91.5%
Ohio Penalty, Face mask (15 yards) (Bradley Weaver) to the OHIO 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:15
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+8
90.6%
Myles Miree run for 8 yds to the OHIO 20Similar
Q3 3:15
2ND & 2
OPP 20
+12
90.6%
Myles Miree run for 12 yds to the OHIO 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
-2
92.1%
Myles Miree run for a loss of 2 yards to the OHIO 10Similar
Q4 14:11
2ND & GOAL
OPP 10
+3
92.3%
J.J. Davis run for 3 yds to the OHIO 7Similar
Q4 14:11
3RD & GOAL
OPP 7
+5
92.8%
J.J. Davis run for 5 yds to the OHIO 2Similar
Q4 13:25
4TH & GOAL
OPP 2
-3
93.2%
J.J. Davis run for a loss of 3 yards to the OHIO 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 20PUNT
12 plays · 41 yds · 5:1699% → 97%
Q4 13:25
1ST & 10
OWN 5
+1
98.6%
Anthony Tyus III run for 1 yd to the OHIO 6Similar
Q4 12:06
2ND & 9
OWN 6
-2
99.1%
Nick Poulos sacked by Lance Byndon for a loss of 2 yards to the OHIO 4Similar
Q4 12:06
3RD & 11
OWN 4
+15
99.2%
Nick Poulos pass complete to Coleman Owen for 15 yds to the OHIO 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:06
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+6
99.0%
Anthony Tyus III run for 6 yds to the OHIO 25Similar
Q4 12:06
2ND & 4
OWN 25
+10
99.0%
Morgan State Penalty, Defensive Holding (10 Yards) to the OHIO 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:06
1ST & 10
OWN 41
-10
99.1%
Nick Poulos sacked by Elijah Williams for a loss of 10 yards to the OHIO 31Similar
Q4 12:06
2ND & 20
OWN 31
+5
99.0%
Anthony Tyus III run for 5 yds to the OHIO 36Similar
Q4 12:06
3RD & 15
OWN 36
+10
99.0%
Nick Poulos pass complete to Anthony Tyus III for 10 yds to the OHIO 46Similar
Q4 8:09
4TH & 5
OWN 46
0
99.2%
Jack Wilson punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Malique Leatherbury at the MORG 13Similar
Q4 8:09
1ST & 10
OWN 13
-5
96.9%
Morgan State Penalty, False Start (Kahari Finley) to the MORG 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MORGDrive 21PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:554% → 3%
Q4 8:09
1ST & 15
OWN 8
0
96.5%
Tahj Smith pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 8:09
2ND & 15
OWN 8
0
96.6%
Tahj Smith pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 8:09
3RD & 15
OWN 8
+10
96.7%
Tahj Smith pass complete to Myles Miree for 10 yds to the MORG 18Similar
Q4 7:14
4TH & 5
OWN 18
0
97.1%
Shane Messenger punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Coleman Owen at the OHIO 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 22FUMBLE
8 plays · 16 yds · 3:1199% → 98%
Q4 7:14
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+5
99.3%
Rickey Hunt Jr. run for 5 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 7:14
2ND & 5
50
+4
99.3%
Rickey Hunt Jr. run for 4 yds to the MORG 46Similar
Q4 7:14
3RD & 1
OPP 46
+2
99.3%
Rickey Hunt Jr. run for 2 yds to the MORG 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:34
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+22
99.5%
Nick Poulos run for 22 yds to the MORG 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:34
1ST & 10
OPP 22
0
99.5%
HUNT JR., Rickey rush to the left for a gain of 12 yards to the MSU22 (RUFUS, Lovelace), out of bounds, 1ST DOWN. PENALTY OHI Holding on WEATHERSPOON, Davion MSU Offsides on WILLIAMS, Elijah , Offsetting penalties [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 4:03
1ST & 10
OPP 22
-17
99.5%
Nick Poulos run for a loss of 17 yards to the MORG 39 Nick Poulos fumbled, recovered by MORG Adrian Littleton A. Littleton return for 0 ydsSimilar
Q4 4:03
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+5
97.5%
SMITH, Tahj pass short to the right incomplete intended for LEATHERBURY, Malique thrown to the MSU42. PENALTY OHI Offsides on SEEGARS, Kaci enforced 5 yards from the MSU39 to the MSU44 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MORGDrive 23DOWNS
6 plays · 12 yds · 1:213% → 2%
Q4 4:03
1ST & 5
OWN 44
0
97.5%
Tahj Smith pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 4:03
2ND & 5
OWN 44
+5
97.5%
Tahj Smith pass complete to Malique Leatherbury for 5 yds to the MORG 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:03
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
97.5%
Tahj Smith pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 4:03
2ND & 10
OWN 49
0
97.5%
Tahj Smith pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 4:03
3RD & 10
OWN 49
+2
97.5%
Tahj Smith run for 2 yds to the OHIO 49Similar
Q4 2:42
4TH & 8
OPP 49
0
97.8%
Tahj Smith pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 24END OF GAME
6 plays · -6 yds · 2:00100% → 100%
Q4 2:00
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+4
99.5%
Anthony Tyus III run for 4 yds to the MORG 47Similar
Q4 2:00
2ND & 6
OPP 47
+6
99.5%
Anthony Tyus III run for 6 yds to the MORG 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:00
1ST & 10
OPP 41
-10
99.5%
TYUS III, Anthony rush to the right for a gain of 7 yards to the MSU34 (SHELL, Xavier;STUKES, Bryan). PENALTY OHI Holding on ATKINSON, Christophe enforced 10 yards from the MSU41 to the OHI49 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 2:00
1ST & 20
OWN 49
-4
99.5%
[NHSG] Kneel down by POULOS, Nick at OHI45 (team loss of 4).Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 24
OWN 45
-2
99.5%
[NHSG] Kneel down by POULOS, Nick at OHI43 (team loss of 2), clock 00:00.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
KEY PLAY · Q4 13:25
Timeout Ohio, clock 13:25
+5.4
KEY PLAY · Q3 4:43
Timeout Ohio, clock 04:43
+3.5
TD · Q3 10:20
Anthony Tyus III run for 13 yds for a TD (Gianni Spetic KICK)
+3.1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com