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COLG

Colgate 20 at Akron 31

AKR
2024 · Week 3 · Sep 14, 2024 · InfoCision Stadium
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Win probability · AKR
modelAKR aheadCOLG aheadconfidence bandkey playAKR scoreCOLG score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGTDTDTDTDFGFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 7:06 · Shelby Pruett punt for 50 yds
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+35.0+17.50−17.5−35.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 158Pregame prior+4.7Home team on offense+18.6Garbage-time factor+5.0Score differential+7.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+2.8Blowout margin+0.8
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 8:14: Michael Brescia run for 3 yds for a TD (Luke Vogeler KICK) — COLG win probability +2.4 pts (now 21%) (top driver: COLG has the ball).
  2. TD · Q1 1:51: Ben Finley pass complete to Charles Kellom for 7 yds for a TD (Garrison Smith KICK) — AKR win probability +4.1 pts (now 77%) (top driver: AKR has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 14:10: Ben Finley pass complete to Jake Newell for 2 yds for a TD (Garrison Smith KICK) — AKR win probability +4.9 pts (now 80%) (top driver: Not a blowout margin).
  4. TD · Q2 9:10: Ben Finley pass complete to Bobby Golden for 56 yds for a TD (Garrison Smith KICK) — AKR win probability +3.2 pts (now 80%) (top driver: AKR has the ball).
  5. TD · Q2 0:30: Ben Finley pass complete to Adrian Norton for 18 yds for a TD (Garrison Smith KICK) — AKR win probability +7.4 pts (now 88%) (top driver: AKR has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
AKR made the numbers' call on 8 of 8COLG made the numbers' call on 8 of 11
  1. Q1 10:28AKR 4th & 6 at AKR 24, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 79.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    79.3%−0.1
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    79.4%
    average punt
  2. Q1 8:26COLG 4th & 9 at COLG 30, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 21.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    21.5%−0.2
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    21.7%
    average punt
  3. Q1 6:49AKR 4th & 11 at AKR 24, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 75.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    75.0%−0.8
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    75.7%
    average punt
  4. Q1 5:49COLG 4th & 6 at AKR 34, up 14
    Close callKicked a field goal · 26.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    26.5%
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    26.3%−0.2
    47% to make
    Punt
    25.9%−0.5
    average punt
  5. Q1 0:52COLG 4th & 7 at COLG 28, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 27.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    27.4%−0.4
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    27.8%
    average punt
  6. Q2 7:37COLG 4th & 5 at COLG 30, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 21.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    21.9%−0.2
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    22.1%
    average punt
  7. Q2 7:05AKR 4th & 16 at AKR 27, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 76.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    75.0%−1.3
    15% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    76.4%
    average punt
  8. Q2 3:18COLG 4th & 2 at AKR 36, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 24.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    24.9%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    24.0%−1.0
    42% to make
    Punt
    23.5%−1.5
    average punt
  9. Q3 12:38AKR 4th & 2 at AKR 33, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 85.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    85.4%−<0.1
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    85.5%
    average punt
  10. Q3 11:03COLG 4th & 4 at COLG 27, down 11
    Close callPunted · 13.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.3%
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    14.3%−<0.1
    average punt
  11. Q3 8:42AKR 4th & 13 at AKR 23, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 85.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    84.6%−2.2
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    86.8%
    average punt
  12. Q3 8:42COLG 4th & 1 at COLG 39, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 14.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    14.9%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    13.7%−1.3
    average punt
  13. Q3 1:19COLG 4th & 16 at AKR 28, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 11.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.1%−1.1
    15% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    11.2%
    60% to make
    Punt
    8.3%−2.9
    average punt
  14. Q4 15:00AKR 4th & 7 at COLG 41, up 8
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 87.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    88.2%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    86.8%−1.4
    32% to make
    Punt
    87.5%−0.8
    average punt
  15. Q4 12:07AKR 4th & 6 at COLG 15, up 8
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 88.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    87.2%−0.6
    37% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    87.9%
    83% to make
    Punt
    79.9%−8.0
    average punt
  16. Q4 1:54COLG 4th & 4 at COLG 19, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 4.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    4.0%
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    3.6%−0.4
    average punt
  17. Q4 11:10COLG 4th & 12 at COLG 23, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 9.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.5%−0.9
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    9.4%
    average punt
  18. Q4 8:53AKR 4th & 13 at AKR 25, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 91.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    89.6%−2.0
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    91.5%
    average punt
  19. Q4 7:06COLG 4th & 5 at COLG 38, down 11
    Close callPunted · 7.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.4%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    7.3%−0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
AKR made the numbers' call on 4 of 4COLG made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 12:05COLG Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    19.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    19.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 8:14COLG Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    23.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    23.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 1:51AKR Touchdown, down 11 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    73.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    73.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 14:10AKR Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    75.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    75.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 9:10AKR Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    77.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    77.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 0:30AKR Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    83.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    83.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
COLGDrive 1TD
7 plays · 75 yds · 2:5515% → 17%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
84.6%
Michael Brescia run for 3 yds to the COLG 28Similar
Q1 14:25
2ND & 7
OWN 28
0
84.5%
Brescia,Michael rush middle (Adler,Bennett;Lavea,Lama).Similar
Q1 13:41
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+12
84.3%
Michael Brescia pass complete to Treyvhon Saunders for 12 yds to the COLG 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:18
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+2
84.1%
Marco Maldonado run for 2 yds to the COLG 42Similar
Q1 12:42
2ND & 8
OWN 42
+25
83.9%
Michael Brescia run for 25 yds to the AKR 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:05
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+33
83.0%
Michael Brescia pass complete to Treyvhon Saunders for 33 yds for a TD (Luke Vogeler KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 2PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 1:1783% → 82%
Q1 11:45
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
83.0%
Ben Finley pass incomplete to Jordon Simmons, broken up by Christian SweeneySimilar
Q1 11:34
2ND & 10
OWN 20
-4
82.9%
Ben Finley run for a loss of 4 yards to the AKR 16 Ben Finley fumbled, recovered by AKR Jayvin JamesSimilar
Q1 10:56
3RD & 14
OWN 16
+8
82.5%
Ben Finley pass complete to Jake Newell for 8 yds to the AKR 24Similar
Q1 10:28
4TH & 6
OWN 24
0
82.2%
Avery Book punt for 47 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLGDrive 3PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 1:5618% → 19%
Q1 10:22
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+3
82.2%
Chris Gee run for 3 yds to the COLG 32Similar
Q1 9:46
2ND & 7
OWN 32
-2
81.8%
Michael Brescia pass complete to Treyvhon Saunders for a loss of 2 yards to the COLG 30Similar
Q1 9:06
3RD & 9
OWN 30
0
81.6%
Michael Brescia sacked by Lama Lavea for 0 yards to the COLG 30Similar
Q1 8:26
4TH & 9
OWN 30
+67
81.3%
Shelby Pruett punt for 55 yds , Ahmarian Granger returns for no gain to the AKR 3 Ahmarian Granger fumbled, recovered by COLG Asauni Allen , return for no gain to the AKR 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLGDrive 4TD
1 play · 3 yds · 0:0021% → 21%
Q1 8:14
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
78.8%
Michael Brescia run for 3 yds for a TD (Luke Vogeler KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 5PUNT
6 plays · -1 yds · 1:1979% → 78%
Q1 8:08
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
79.4%
Charles Kellom run for 8 yds to the AKR 33Similar
Q1 7:41
2ND & 2
OWN 33
-2
79.3%
Ben Finley pass complete to Jarvis Rush for a loss of 2 yards to the AKR 31Similar
Q1 7:08
3RD & 4
OWN 31
-7
78.7%
Ben Finley run for a loss of 7 yards to the AKR 24 Akron Penalty, Offensive holding (Josh Blanchard) to the AKR 24Similar
Q1 7:00
4TH & 11
OWN 24
0
78.4%
Colgate Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Josh Blanchard) to the AKR 24Similar
Q1 6:49
4TH & 11
OWN 24
0
78.2%
Avery Book punt for 14 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLGDrive 6FG
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:5723% → 25%
Q1 6:46
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+4
77.4%
Zach Osborne run for 4 yds to the AKR 34Similar
Q1 6:08
2ND & 6
OPP 34
0
76.6%
pass incomplete to Treyvhon SaundersSimilar
Q1 6:01
3RD & 6
OPP 34
0
76.7%
Michael Brescia pass incomplete to Treyvhon Saunders, broken up by Paul Lewis IIISimilar
Q1 5:49
4TH & 6
OPP 34
+51
75.3%
Luke Vogeler 51 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 7TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 3:5675% → 77%
Q1 5:47
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
75.2%
Ben Finley pass complete to Charles Kellom for a loss of 2 yards to the AKR 23Similar
Q1 5:32
2ND & 12
OWN 23
+11
74.8%
Ben Finley pass complete to Bobby Golden for 11 yds to the AKR 34Similar
Q1 5:27
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+9
75.1%
Ben Finley run for 9 yds to the AKR 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:43
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+8
74.4%
Ben Finley pass complete to Jake Newell for 8 yds to the COLG 49Similar
Q1 4:15
2ND & 2
OPP 49
+7
74.3%
Jordon Simmons run for 7 yds to the COLG 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:44
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+10
73.7%
Jordon Simmons run for 10 yds to the COLG 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:10
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+24
73.3%
Ben Finley pass complete to Bobby Golden for 24 yds to the COLG 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:26
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+1
72.4%
Jordon Simmons run for 1 yd to the COLG 7Similar
Q1 1:51
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
76.6%
Ben Finley pass complete to Charles Kellom for 7 yds for a TD (Garrison Smith KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLGDrive 8PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 0:5624% → 24%
Q1 1:48
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
75.8%
pass incomplete to Marco MaldonadoSimilar
Q1 1:43
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+3
75.8%
Zach Osborne run for 3 yds to the COLG 28Similar
Q1 0:59
3RD & 7
OWN 28
0
75.4%
Michael Brescia pass incomplete to Treyvhon Saunders, broken up by Paul Lewis IIISimilar
Q1 0:52
4TH & 7
OWN 28
0
75.6%
Shelby Pruett punt for 41 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 9TD
5 plays · 69 yds · 1:3875% → 80%
Q1 0:48
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+5
74.5%
Charles Kellom run for 5 yds to the AKR 36Similar
Q1 0:13
2ND & 5
OWN 36
+36
74.3%
Ben Finley pass complete to Adrian Norton for 36 yds to the COLG 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+21
75.2%
Ben Finley pass complete to Charles Kellom for 21 yds to the COLG 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:20
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+5
74.8%
Ben Finley pass incomplete to Jake Newell for a 1ST down Colgate Penalty, Defensive pass interference (Asauni Allen) to the COLG 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:10
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
79.7%
Ben Finley pass complete to Jake Newell for 2 yds for a TD (Garrison Smith KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLGDrive 10INT
8 plays · 22 yds · 3:1323% → 25%
Q2 14:03
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
77.5%
Jake Stearney pass complete to Treyvhon Saunders for 7 yds to the COLG 32Similar
Q2 14:03
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+2
77.0%
Zach Osborne run for 2 yds to the COLG 34Similar
Q2 14:03
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+2
77.3%
Michael Brescia run for 2 yds to the COLG 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:03
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+5
77.2%
Chris Gee run for 5 yds to the COLG 41Similar
Q2 14:03
2ND & 5
OWN 41
+6
76.8%
Jake Stearney pass complete to Brady Hutchison for 6 yds to the COLG 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:50
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
74.8%
Jake Stearney pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 11TD
4 plays · 69 yds · 1:2476% → 80%
Q2 10:34
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+10
76.3%
Jordon Simmons run for 10 yds to the AKR 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:34
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
77.4%
Kellom,Charles rush left (Picariello,Dane;Kozlowski,Cole).Similar
Q2 10:34
2ND & 10
OWN 41
+3
76.7%
Ben Finley run for 3 yds to the AKR 44Similar
Q2 9:10
3RD & 7
OWN 44
+56
79.9%
Ben Finley pass complete to Bobby Golden for 56 yds for a TD (Garrison Smith KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLGDrive 12PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 1:3321% → 20%
Q2 9:10
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
79.3%
Michael Brescia run for 2 yds to the COLG 27Similar
Q2 9:10
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+3
79.2%
Michael Brescia pass complete to Mason Mozo for 3 yds to the COLG 30Similar
Q2 9:10
3RD & 5
OWN 30
0
79.4%
Michael Brescia pass incomplete to Treyvhon Saunders, broken up by Darrian LewisSimilar
Q2 7:37
4TH & 5
OWN 30
0
80.1%
Shelby Pruett punt for 37 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 13PUNT
4 plays · -6 yds · 0:3280% → 78%
Q2 7:37
1ST & 10
OWN 33
0
79.8%
pass incomplete to Jarvis RushSimilar
Q2 7:37
2ND & 10
OWN 33
0
79.7%
pass incomplete to Adrian NortonSimilar
Q2 7:37
3RD & 10
OWN 33
-6
79.0%
Ben Finley run for a loss of 6 yards to the AKR 27Similar
Q2 7:05
4TH & 16
OWN 27
0
78.3%
Avery Book punt for 50 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLGDrive 14DOWNS
8 plays · 37 yds · 3:4721% → 23%
Q2 7:05
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+2
79.0%
Michael Brescia run for 2 yds to the COLG 25Similar
Q2 7:05
2ND & 8
OWN 25
+8
79.1%
Michael Brescia pass complete to Chris Gee for 8 yds to the COLG 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:05
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+8
78.6%
Michael Brescia pass complete to Treyvhon Saunders for 8 yds to the COLG 41Similar
Q2 7:05
2ND & 2
OWN 41
+15
77.6%
Michael Brescia pass complete to Chris Gee for 15 yds to the AKR 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:05
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+4
77.3%
Michael Brescia run for 4 yds to the AKR 40Similar
Q2 7:05
2ND & 6
OPP 40
+3
77.1%
Michael Brescia run for 3 yds to the AKR 37Similar
Q2 7:05
3RD & 3
OPP 37
+1
77.3%
Zach Osborne run for 1 yd to the AKR 36Similar
Q2 3:18
4TH & 2
OPP 36
-4
77.1%
Zach Osborne run for a loss of 4 yards to the AKR 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 15TD
12 plays · 60 yds · 2:4880% → 88%
Q2 3:18
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+12
79.9%
Charles Kellom run for 12 yds to the COLG 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:18
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+7
80.5%
Charles Kellom run for 7 yds to the COLG 41Similar
Q2 3:18
2ND & 3
OPP 41
+9
80.6%
Ben Finley pass complete to Jake Newell for 9 yds to the COLG 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:00
1ST & 10
OPP 32
0
80.7%
pass incomplete to Adrian NortonSimilar
Q2 2:00
2ND & 10
OPP 32
-3
80.6%
Charles Kellom run for a loss of 3 yards to the COLG 35Similar
Q2 1:49
3RD & 13
OPP 35
-10
78.8%
Finley,Ben rush , PENALTY AKR holding (Williams,Tyhler) 10 yards to the COL25. Akron Penalty, Offensive holding (Tyhler Williams) to the COLG 45Similar
Q2 1:49
3RD & 23
OPP 45
+15
78.3%
Colgate Penalty, personal foul (Cole Kozlowski) to the COLG 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:49
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+7
80.6%
Tahj Bullock pass complete to Jake Newell for 7 yds to the COLG 23Similar
Q2 1:49
2ND & 3
OPP 23
0
80.6%
Kellom,Charles rush middle (Tedim,Justin).Similar
Q2 1:09
3RD & 3
OPP 23
+6
79.6%
Ben Finley pass complete to Charles Kellom for 6 yds to the COLG 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:09
1ST & 10
OPP 17
-1
80.5%
Ben Finley run for a loss of 1 yard to the COLG 18Similar
Q2 0:30
2ND & 11
OPP 18
+18
87.9%
Ben Finley pass complete to Adrian Norton for 18 yds for a TD (Garrison Smith KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLGDrive 16END OF HALF
2 plays · -5 yds · 0:0014% → 14%
Q2 0:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
86.1%
Colgate Penalty, false start (Ryan Steinbrink) to the COLG 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 17PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 2:2287% → 86%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
86.7%
Jordon Simmons run for 1 yd to the AKR 26Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 26
0
86.7%
Simmons,Jordon rush middle (Kozlowski,Cole).Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 9
OWN 26
+7
86.1%
Ben Finley pass complete to Jake Newell for 7 yds to the AKR 33Similar
Q3 12:38
4TH & 2
OWN 33
0
86.1%
Avery Book punt for 46 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLGDrive 18PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 1:3514% → 13%
Q3 12:38
1ST & 10
OWN 21
-10
86.1%
Jake Stearney pass complete to Brady Hutchison for no gain to the COLG 21 Colgate Penalty, Offensive holding (Dave Thomson) to the COLG 11Similar
Q3 12:38
1ST & 20
OWN 11
0
86.2%
pass incomplete to Brady HutchisonSimilar
Q3 12:38
2ND & 20
OWN 11
+3
86.4%
Jake Stearney pass complete to Marco Maldonado for 3 yds to the COLG 14Similar
Q3 12:38
3RD & 17
OWN 14
+13
86.9%
Jake Stearney pass complete to Jariyah Sawyer for 13 yds to the COLG 27Similar
Q3 11:03
4TH & 4
OWN 27
0
87.2%
Shelby Pruett punt for 66 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 19PUNT
6 plays · 16 yds · 2:2187% → 87%
Q3 11:03
2ND & 10
OWN 7
+1
86.9%
Charles Kellom run for 1 yd to the AKR 8Similar
Q3 11:03
3RD & 9
OWN 8
+18
86.3%
Ben Finley pass complete to Adrian Norton for 18 yds to the AKR 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:03
1ST & 10
OWN 26
-3
87.2%
Charles Kellom run for a loss of 3 yards to the AKR 23Similar
Q3 11:03
2ND & 13
OWN 23
0
86.9%
pass incomplete to Terence ThomasSimilar
Q3 11:03
3RD & 13
OWN 23
0
86.4%
pass incomplete to Adrian NortonSimilar
Q3 8:42
4TH & 13
OWN 23
0
86.5%
Avery Book punt for 47 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLGDrive 20FG
17 plays · 42 yds · 7:2314% → 13%
Q3 8:42
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+3
86.2%
Zach Osborne run for 3 yds to the COLG 33Similar
Q3 8:42
2ND & 7
OWN 33
+5
86.1%
Marco Maldonado run for 5 yds to the COLG 38Similar
Q3 8:42
3RD & 2
OWN 38
+1
85.6%
Michael Brescia run for 1 yd to the COLG 39Similar
Q3 8:42
4TH & 1
OWN 39
+1
86.5%
Michael Brescia run for 1 yd to the COLG 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:42
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+1
85.7%
Jake Stearney pass complete to Mason Mozo for 1 yd to the COLG 41Similar
Q3 8:42
2ND & 9
OWN 41
+10
85.8%
Jake Stearney pass complete to Winston Moore for 10 yds to the AKR 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:42
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+2
84.8%
Chris Gee run for 2 yds to the AKR 47Similar
Q3 8:42
2ND & 8
OPP 47
0
84.8%
Jake Stearney pass incomplete to Treyvhon Saunders, broken up by Rich BenengeSimilar
Q3 8:42
3RD & 8
OPP 47
+9
85.4%
Jake Stearney pass complete to Treyvhon Saunders for 9 yds to the AKR 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:42
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+16
84.8%
Michael Brescia run for 16 yds to the AKR 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:42
1ST & 10
OPP 22
-5
83.7%
Brescia,Michael rush (Lewis III,Paul;McCoy,Bryan), PENALTY COL illegal formation 5 yards to the AKR17. Colgate Penalty, illegal formation (K2 Dickens) to the AKR 27Similar
Q3 8:42
1ST & 15
OPP 27
0
84.5%
Colgate Penalty, illegal shift (K2 Dickens) to the AKR 27Similar
Q3 8:42
1ST & 15
OPP 27
+1
84.5%
Zach Osborne run for 1 yd to the AKR 26Similar
Q3 8:42
2ND & 14
OPP 26
0
84.7%
pass incomplete to Mason MozoSimilar
Q3 8:42
3RD & 14
OPP 26
-5
85.7%
Colgate Penalty, false start (Ryan Steinbrink) to the AKR 31Similar
Q3 8:42
3RD & 19
OPP 31
+3
85.9%
Jake Stearney pass complete to Jariyah Sawyer for 3 yds to the AKR 28Similar
Q3 1:19
4TH & 16
OPP 28
+45
87.1%
Luke Vogeler 45 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 21FG
15 plays · 60 yds · 17:5386% → 90%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 44
-5
86.2%
Ben Finley run for a loss of 5 yards to the COLG 49Similar
Q3 1:19
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+16
88.1%
Ben Finley pass complete to Bobby Golden for 16 yds to the AKR 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:19
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
89.3%
pass incomplete to Bobby GoldenSimilar
Q3 1:19
2ND & 10
OWN 41
0
88.9%
Ben Finley pass complete to Jake Newell for no gain to the AKR 41Similar
Q3 1:19
3RD & 10
OWN 41
+15
88.2%
Colgate Penalty, personal foul (Joe Kelly) to the COLG 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 15
OPP 49
+8
89.1%
Ben Finley pass complete to Israel Polk for 8 yds to the COLG 41Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 7
OPP 41
0
89.0%
pass incomplete to Adrian NortonSimilar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 7
OPP 41
+12
88.0%
Ben Finley pass complete to Bobby Golden for 12 yds to the COLG 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+5
89.9%
Jordon Simmons run for 5 yds to the COLG 24Similar
Q4 13:13
2ND & 5
OPP 24
-5
90.4%
Ben Finley pass intercepted for a 1ST down Colgate Penalty, off-side (Dane Picariello) to the COLG 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:13
1ST & 10
OPP 19
0
90.3%
pass incomplete to Bobby GoldenSimilar
Q4 13:13
2ND & 10
OPP 19
+4
90.3%
Ben Finley pass complete to Charles Kellom for 4 yds to the COLG 15Similar
Q4 12:17
3RD & 6
OPP 15
0
90.0%
pass incomplete to Israel PolkSimilar
Q4 12:07
4TH & 6
OPP 15
+32
90.2%
Garrison Smith 32 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLGDrive 22Uncategorized
6 plays · 10 yds · 0:535% → 5%
Q4 1:54
1ST & 10
OWN 13
-5
95.4%
Colgate Penalty, false start (Sean Haney) to the COLG 8Similar
Q4 1:54
1ST & 15
OWN 8
+8
95.4%
Jake Stearney pass complete to Chris Gee for 8 yds to the COLG 16Similar
Q4 1:54
2ND & 7
OWN 16
0
95.3%
pass incomplete to Winston MooreSimilar
Q4 1:54
3RD & 7
OWN 16
+3
95.8%
Jake Stearney run for 3 yds to the COLG 19Similar
Q4 1:54
4TH & 4
OWN 19
+4
95.9%
Jake Stearney pass complete to Jariyah Sawyer for 4 yds to the COLG 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:01
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+11
95.4%
Jake Stearney sacked by CJ Nunnally IV for a loss of 4 yards to the COLG 34 Jake Stearney fumbled, recovered by AKR Nathan Kapongo , return for 0 yards Akron Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Nathan Kapongo) to the COLG 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLGDrive 23PUNT
5 plays · -2 yds · 0:5711% → 9%
Q4 12:07
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
89.3%
Michael Brescia run for a loss of 2 yards to the COLG 23Similar
Q4 12:07
2ND & 12
OWN 23
0
89.5%
Michael Brescia pass incomplete to Jariyah Sawyer, broken up by Catrell WhiteSimilar
Q4 12:07
3RD & 12
OWN 23
0
90.2%
pass incomplete to Winston Moore Colgate Penalty, inelgible downfield on pass (Yards) to the COLG 23Similar
Q4 11:10
4TH & 12
OWN 23
0
91.2%
Shelby Pruett punt for 49 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 24PUNT
4 plays · -3 yds · 2:1791% → 91%
Q4 11:10
1ST & 10
OWN 28
-10
90.8%
Ben Finley sacked by Cole Kozlowski for a loss of 10 yards to the AKR 18Similar
Q4 11:10
2ND & 20
OWN 18
+6
90.6%
Ben Finley pass complete to Jarvis Rush for 6 yds to the AKR 24Similar
Q4 11:10
3RD & 14
OWN 24
+1
90.1%
Charles Kellom run for 1 yd to the AKR 25Similar
Q4 8:53
4TH & 13
OWN 25
0
91.3%
Avery Book punt for 57 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLGDrive 25PUNT
5 plays · 20 yds · 1:478% → 8%
Q4 8:53
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+15
92.1%
Michael Brescia pass complete to Treyvhon Saunders for 15 yds to the COLG 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:53
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+3
91.2%
Michael Brescia pass complete to Marco Maldonado for 3 yds to the COLG 36Similar
Q4 8:53
2ND & 7
OWN 36
+2
90.7%
Marco Maldonado run for 2 yds to the COLG 38Similar
Q4 8:53
3RD & 5
OWN 38
0
90.8%
pass incomplete to Winston MooreSimilar
Q4 7:06
4TH & 5
OWN 38
0
92.5%
Shelby Pruett punt for 50 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 26INT
13 plays · 57 yds · 5:1293% → 96%
Q4 7:06
1ST & 10
OWN 12
0
93.0%
pass incomplete to Bobby GoldenSimilar
Q4 7:06
2ND & 10
OWN 12
+29
92.9%
Ben Finley pass complete to Adrian Norton for 29 yds to the AKR 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:06
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+7
93.8%
Ben Finley pass complete to Israel Polk for 7 yds to the AKR 48Similar
Q4 7:06
2ND & 3
OWN 48
+2
93.8%
Ben Finley pass complete to Israel Polk for 2 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 7:06
3RD & 1
50
+1
93.5%
Ben Finley run for 1 yd to the COLG 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:06
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+17
93.8%
Ben Finley pass complete to Israel Polk for 17 yds to the COLG 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:06
1ST & 10
OPP 32
0
93.9%
pass incomplete to Adrian NortonSimilar
Q4 7:06
2ND & 10
OPP 32
-9
93.8%
Ben Finley sacked by Cole Kozlowski for a loss of 9 yards to the COLG 41Similar
Q4 7:06
3RD & 19
OPP 41
+24
93.2%
Ben Finley pass complete to Adrian Norton for 24 yds to the COLG 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:06
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+1
93.9%
Ben Finley run for 1 yd to the COLG 16Similar
Q4 7:06
2ND & 9
OPP 16
0
93.9%
pass incomplete to Adrian NortonSimilar
Q4 7:06
3RD & 9
OPP 16
-15
93.6%
Akron Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Da'Quan Thomas) to the COLG 31Similar
Q4 1:54
3RD & 24
OPP 31
0
96.3%
Ben Finley pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 27Uncategorized
4 plays · 21 yds · 0:1097% → 97%
Q4 1:01
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+8
96.8%
Jordon Simmons run for 8 yds to the COLG 26Similar
Q4 0:55
2ND & 2
OPP 26
+7
96.8%
Jordon Simmons run for 7 yds to the COLG 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:51
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+6
96.8%
Ben Finley pass complete to Jarvis Rush for 6 yds to the COLG 13Similar
Q4 0:51
2ND & 4
OPP 13
+2
96.8%
Charles Kellom run for 2 yds to the COLG 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 0:30
Ben Finley pass complete to Adrian Norton for 18 yds for a TD (Garrison Smith KICK)
+7.4
TD · Q2 14:10
Ben Finley pass complete to Jake Newell for 2 yds for a TD (Garrison Smith KICK)
+4.9
TD · Q1 1:51
Ben Finley pass complete to Charles Kellom for 7 yds for a TD (Garrison Smith KICK)
+4.1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com