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2024 · Week 1 · Aug 31, 2024 · Huskie Stadium
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Win probability · NIU
modelNIU aheadWIU aheadconfidence bandkey playNIU scoreWIU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDFGTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 7:00 · Jared Campbell punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Dane Pardridge at the NIU 32
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialBlowout marginScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsGarbage-time factor
+48.5+24.30−24.3−48.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 63Pregame prior+39.1Home team on offense+9.5Score differential+3.5Blowout margin+0.7Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+3.3Garbage-time factor+1.9
This game in five plays
  1. FG · Q1 0:51: Antonio Chadha 44 Yd Field Goal — WIU win probability +0.8 pts (now 4%) (top driver: Deficit strained by the offense's own timeouts).
  2. TD · Q2 8:47: Trayvon Rudolph 60 Yd Run (Kanon Woodill Kick) — NIU win probability +1.4 pts (now 99%) (top driver: NIU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 1:55: Keyshaun Pipkin 11 Yd pass from Ethan Hampton (Kanon Woodill Kick) — NIU win probability +1.3 pts (now 99%) (top driver: NIU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 0:40: Trayvon Rudolph 43 Yd pass from Ethan Hampton (Kanon Woodill Kick) — NIU win probability +0.6 pts (now 100%) (top driver: NIU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 13:28: Grayson Barnes 60 Yd pass from Ethan Hampton (Kanon Woodill Kick) — NIU win probability +0.2 pts (now 100%) (top driver: NIU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
NIU made the numbers' call on 1 of 1WIU made the numbers' call on 9 of 9
  1. Q1 12:46WIU 4th & 7 at WIU 21, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.1%−0.1
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.2%
    average punt
  2. Q1 8:23WIU 4th & 8 at NIU 21, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 2.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.5%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    2.5%
    74% to make
    Punt
    2.1%−0.4
    average punt
  3. Q1 0:51WIU 4th & 6 at NIU 27, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 3.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.8%−<0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    3.8%
    62% to make
    Punt
    3.3%−0.4
    average punt
  4. Q2 8:55WIU 4th & 7 at WIU 30, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 4.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.0%−0.1
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.1%
    average punt
  5. Q2 7:00WIU 4th & 6 at WIU 33, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.7%−0.2
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.9%
    average punt
  6. Q2 1:24WIU 4th & 10 at WIU 24, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.4%−0.2
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.6%
    average punt
  7. Q3 11:28WIU 4th & 8 at WIU 43, down 38
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.2%−0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.3%
    average punt
  8. Q3 1:39WIU 4th & 9 at NIU 28, down 42
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−<0.1
    31% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    0.1%
    60% to make
    Punt
    -0.2%−0.3
    average punt
  9. Q4 14:47NIU 4th & 6 at NIU 46, up 42
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%
    average punt
  10. Q4 13:31WIU 4th & 9 at WIU 23, down 42
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
NIU made the numbers' call on 7 of 7
  1. Q1 12:21NIU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    98.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 12:36NIU Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 8:47NIU Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 1:55NIU Touchdown, up 23 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 0:40NIU Touchdown, up 30 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 13:28NIU Touchdown, up 37 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 4:22NIU Touchdown, up 44 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
WIUDrive 1PUNT
6 plays · 3 yds · 2:082% → 2%
Q1 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 18
-4
98.3%
Nathan Lamb sacked by Roy Williams for a loss of 4 yards to the WIU 14Similar
Q1 14:54
2ND & 14
OWN 14
+1
98.3%
Cameren Smith run for 1 yd to the WIU 15Similar
Q1 14:54
3RD & 13
OWN 15
+11
98.3%
Nathan Lamb run for 11 yds to the WIU 26Similar
Q1 14:54
4TH & 2
OWN 26
-5
98.3%
PENALTY WIU Delay Of Game 5 yards from WIU26 to WIU21. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 12:46
4TH & 7
OWN 21
0
98.1%
Jared Campbell punt for 25 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the WIU 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 2TD
3 plays · 46 yds · 0:2598% → 98%
Q1 12:46
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+23
98.1%
Antario Brown run for 23 yds to the WIU 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:21
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+23
98.1%
Dane Pardridge 23 Yd pass from Ethan Hampton (Kanon Woodill PAT failed)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WIUDrive 3MISSED FG
13 plays · 46 yds · 3:492% → 2%
Q1 12:12
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+11
98.0%
Cameren Smith run for 11 yds to the WIU 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:12
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+2
98.0%
Tyler Jordan run for 2 yds to the WIU 46Similar
Q1 12:12
2ND & 8
OWN 46
+10
98.0%
Cameren Smith run for 10 yds to the NIU 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:12
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
98.0%
Nathan Lamb pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:12
2ND & 10
OPP 44
+2
98.0%
Torrance Farmer Jr. run for 2 yds to the NIU 42Similar
Q1 12:12
3RD & 8
OPP 42
+9
98.0%
Nathan Lamb pass complete to Torrance Farmer Jr. for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:12
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+10
98.0%
Torrance Farmer Jr. run for 10 yds to the NIU 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:05
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+2
97.7%
Cameren Smith run for 2 yds to the NIU 21Similar
Q1 9:05
2ND & 8
OPP 21
0
97.7%
Nathan Lamb pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 9:05
3RD & 8
OPP 21
0
97.7%
Nathan Lamb pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 8:23
4TH & 8
OPP 21
+38
97.6%
Antonio Chadha 38 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 4FUMBLE
6 plays · 67 yds · 2:5798% → 98%
Q1 8:23
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+11
97.7%
Antario Brown run for 11 yds to the NIU 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:23
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+16
97.7%
Ethan Hampton pass complete to Grayson Barnes for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:23
1ST & 10
OWN 48
-5
97.8%
Shotgun Hampton,Ethan rush right for 23 yards gain to the WIU29 (Epley,Noah) PENALTY NIU Illegal Formation 5 yards from NIU48 to NIU43. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 8:23
1ST & 15
OWN 43
+12
97.8%
Antario Brown run for 12 yds to the WIU 45Similar
Q1 8:23
2ND & 3
OPP 45
+33
97.8%
Ethan Hampton pass complete to Antario Brown for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:26
1ST & 10
OPP 12
0
97.5%
Gavin Williams run for no gain to the WIU 12 Gavin Williams fumbled, recovered by WIU Braylen BrooksSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WIUDrive 5FG
11 plays · 61 yds · 4:353% → 4%
Q1 5:26
1ST & 10
OWN 12
0
97.3%
Nathan Lamb run for no gain to the WIU 12Similar
Q1 5:26
2ND & 10
OWN 12
+14
97.3%
Nathan Lamb pass complete to Elijah Aragon for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:26
1ST & 10
OWN 26
0
97.3%
Cameren Smith run for no gain to the WIU 26Similar
Q1 5:26
2ND & 10
OWN 26
0
97.3%
Cameren Smith run for no gain to the WIU 26Similar
Q1 5:26
3RD & 10
OWN 26
+11
97.3%
Nathan Lamb pass complete to Matthew Henry for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:26
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+13
97.2%
Cameren Smith run for 13 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:20
1ST & 10
50
-10
97.0%
Nathan Lamb pass complete to Tristin Duncan for a 1ST down Western Illinois Penalty, Offensive Holding (Matthew Henry) to the NIU 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:20
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+1
96.9%
Torrance Farmer Jr. run for 1 yd to the NIU 30Similar
Q1 4:20
2ND & 9
OPP 30
+1
96.9%
Nathan Lamb run for 1 yd to the NIU 29Similar
Q1 4:20
3RD & 8
OPP 29
+2
97.0%
Cameren Smith run for 2 yds to the NIU 27Similar
Q1 0:51
4TH & 6
OPP 27
+44
96.1%
Antonio Chadha 44 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 6TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 3:1596% → 96%
Q1 0:51
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
96.3%
Ethan Hampton pass complete to Gavin WilliamsSimilar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+47
96.1%
Ethan Hampton pass complete to Trayvon Rudolph for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+8
96.4%
Antario Brown run for 8 yds to the WIU 20Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 2
OPP 20
+1
96.4%
Antario Brown run for 1 yd to the WIU 21Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 3
OPP 21
+12
96.3%
Ethan Hampton pass complete to Antario Brown for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+2
96.4%
Antario Brown run for 2 yds to the WIU 11Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 11
0
96.4%
Ethan Hampton pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 12:36
3RD & GOAL
OPP 11
+11
96.4%
Cam Thompson 11 Yd pass from Ethan Hampton (Kanon Woodill Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WIUDrive 7PUNT
7 plays · 23 yds · 3:364% → 4%
Q2 12:31
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+9
96.4%
Nathan Lamb pass complete to Christian AnayaSimilar
Q2 12:31
2ND & 1
OWN 16
+11
96.4%
Nathan Lamb pass complete to Elijah Aragon for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:31
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+1
96.3%
Cameren Smith run for 1 yd to the WIU 26Similar
Q2 12:31
2ND & 11
OWN 26
+5
96.4%
Nathan Lamb pass complete to Christian AnayaSimilar
Q2 12:31
3RD & 6
OWN 31
-5
96.4%
PENALTY WIU False Start 5 yards from WIU31 to WIU26. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 12:31
3RD & 11
OWN 26
+4
96.5%
Nathan Lamb pass complete to Alex WilliamsSimilar
Q2 8:55
4TH & 7
OWN 30
+10
96.0%
Jared Campbell punt for 40 yds , Dane Pardridge returns for 10 yds to the NIU 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 8TD
2 plays · 60 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q2 8:47
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+60
98.6%
Trayvon Rudolph 60 Yd Run (Kanon Woodill Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WIUDrive 9PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 1:383% → 3%
Q2 8:38
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+1
97.4%
Torrance Farmer Jr. run for 1 yd to the WIU 30Similar
Q2 8:38
2ND & 9
OWN 30
+2
97.4%
Torrance Farmer Jr. run for 2 yds to the WIU 32Similar
Q2 8:38
3RD & 7
OWN 32
+1
97.4%
Nathan Lamb pass complete to Elijah AragonSimilar
Q2 7:00
4TH & 6
OWN 33
0
97.2%
Jared Campbell punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Dane Pardridge at the NIU 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 10TD
11 plays · 68 yds · 5:0599% → 99%
Q2 7:00
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+6
98.5%
Ethan Hampton pass complete to Grayson BarnesSimilar
Q2 7:00
2ND & 4
OWN 38
+8
98.6%
Ethan Hampton pass complete to Gavin Williams for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:00
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+6
98.6%
Ethan Hampton pass complete to Trayvon RudolphSimilar
Q2 7:00
2ND & 4
OPP 48
+6
98.6%
Gavin Williams run for 6 yds to the WIU 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:00
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+5
98.6%
Antario Brown run for 5 yds to the WIU 37Similar
Q2 7:00
2ND & 5
OPP 37
+13
98.6%
Antario Brown run for 13 yds to the WIU 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:00
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+7
98.6%
Gavin Williams run for 7 yds to the WIU 17Similar
Q2 7:00
2ND & 3
OPP 17
+6
98.5%
Gavin Williams run for 6 yds to the WIU 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:55
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+11
98.9%
Keyshaun Pipkin 11 Yd pass from Ethan Hampton (Kanon Woodill Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WIUDrive 11PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:252% → 2%
Q2 1:49
1ST & 10
OWN 24
0
98.3%
Nathan Lamb pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:49
2ND & 10
OWN 24
0
98.4%
Nathan Lamb pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:49
3RD & 10
OWN 24
0
98.4%
Nathan Lamb pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:24
4TH & 10
OWN 24
0
98.4%
Jared Campbell punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Dane Pardridge at the NIU 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 12TD
5 plays · 60 yds · 0:4499% → 100%
Q2 1:24
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+4
98.8%
Gavin Williams run for 4 yds to the NIU 44Similar
Q2 1:24
2ND & 6
OWN 44
+8
98.8%
Ethan Hampton pass complete to Grayson Barnes for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:24
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+5
98.9%
Ethan Hampton pass complete to Grayson BarnesSimilar
Q2 0:40
2ND & 5
OPP 43
+43
99.6%
Trayvon Rudolph 43 Yd pass from Ethan Hampton (Kanon Woodill Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WIUDrive 13END OF HALF
2 plays · -3 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+3
99.6%
Torrance Farmer Jr. run for 3 yds to the WIU 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 14TD
5 plays · 75 yds · 1:32100% → 100%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
99.6%
Trayvon Rudolph run for 7 yds to the NIU 32Similar
Q3 14:17
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+8
99.6%
Ethan Hampton run for 8 yds to the NIU 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:28
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+60
99.7%
Grayson Barnes 60 Yd pass from Ethan Hampton (Kanon Woodill Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WIUDrive 15PUNT
6 plays · 12 yds · 1:500% → 0%
Q3 13:18
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+10
99.7%
Cameren Smith run for 10 yds to the WIU 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:18
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+1
99.7%
Cameren Smith run for 1 yd to the WIU 42Similar
Q3 13:18
2ND & 9
OWN 42
+1
99.7%
Cameren Smith run for 1 yd to the WIU 43Similar
Q3 13:18
3RD & 8
OWN 43
0
99.7%
Nathan Lamb pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 11:28
4TH & 8
OWN 43
0
99.7%
Jared Campbell punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Dane Pardridge at the NIU 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 16TD
15 plays · 88 yds · 7:06100% → 100%
Q3 11:28
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+3
99.7%
Gavin Williams run for 3 yds to the NIU 15Similar
Q3 11:28
2ND & 7
OWN 15
+6
99.7%
Ethan Hampton pass complete to Justin LynchSimilar
Q3 11:28
3RD & 1
OWN 21
+6
99.7%
Gavin Williams run for 6 yds to the NIU 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:28
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+3
99.7%
Gavin Williams run for 3 yds to the NIU 30Similar
Q3 11:28
2ND & 7
OWN 30
+6
99.7%
Gavin Williams run for 6 yds to the NIU 36Similar
Q3 11:28
3RD & 1
OWN 36
+2
99.8%
Brock Lampe run for 2 yds to the NIU 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:28
1ST & 10
OWN 38
-10
99.8%
Ethan Hampton pass complete to Trayvon Rudolph Northern Illinois Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the NIU 36Similar
Q3 11:28
1ST & 12
OWN 36
+2
99.7%
Jaylen Poe run for 2 yds to the NIU 38Similar
Q3 11:28
2ND & 10
OWN 38
+25
99.8%
Ethan Hampton pass complete to Cam Thompson for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:28
1ST & 10
OPP 37
0
99.8%
Ethan Hampton pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 11:28
2ND & 10
OPP 37
+15
99.8%
Dane Pardridge run for 15 yds to the WIU 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:28
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+5
99.8%
Jaylen Poe run for 5 yds to the WIU 17Similar
Q3 11:28
2ND & 5
OPP 17
+10
99.8%
Jaylen Poe run for 10 yds to the WIU 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:22
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
99.8%
Jaylen Poe 7 Yd Run (Kanon Woodill PAT blocked)Similar
Q3 4:22
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+15
99.8%
PENALTY WIU Personal Foul 15 yards from NIU35 to NIU50. NO PLAY.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WIUDrive 17FG
9 plays · 50 yds · 2:360% → 0%
Q3 4:15
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+19
99.9%
Nathan Lamb pass complete to Demari Davis for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:15
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
99.9%
Nathan Lamb pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 4:15
2ND & 10
OWN 41
+11
99.9%
Nathan Lamb pass complete to Tristin Duncan for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:15
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+19
99.9%
Nathan Lamb pass complete to Tristin Duncan for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:15
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+1
99.8%
Nathan Lamb run for 1 yd to the NIU 28Similar
Q3 4:15
2ND & 9
OPP 28
0
99.8%
Nathan Lamb pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 4:15
3RD & 9
OPP 28
0
99.9%
Nathan Lamb pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 1:39
4TH & 9
OPP 28
+46
99.9%
Antonio Chadha 46 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 18PUNT
7 plays · 21 yds · 1:52100% → 100%
Q3 1:39
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
99.8%
Jaylen Poe run for 6 yds to the NIU 31Similar
Q3 1:39
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+11
99.9%
Jalen Macon pass complete to George Dimopoulus for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:39
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
99.9%
Jalen Macon pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 10
OWN 42
+4
99.9%
Jalen Macon run for 4 yds to the NIU 46Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 6
OWN 46
0
99.9%
Jalen Macon pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 14:47
4TH & 6
OWN 46
0
99.9%
Tom Foley punt for 32 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WIUDrive 19PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 1:160% → 0%
Q4 14:47
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+3
99.9%
Nathan Lamb pass complete to Tristin DuncanSimilar
Q4 14:47
2ND & 7
OWN 25
+2
99.9%
Cameren Smith run for 2 yds to the WIU 23Similar
Q4 14:47
3RD & 9
OWN 23
0
99.9%
Nathan Lamb pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 13:31
4TH & 9
OWN 23
0
99.9%
Jared Campbell punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Dane Pardridge at the NIU 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 20TD
13 plays · 64 yds · 5:31100% → 100%
Q4 13:31
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+11
99.9%
Jalen Macon pass complete to Jaylen Poe for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:31
1ST & 10
OWN 47
-10
99.9%
Northern Illinois Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the NIU 40Similar
Q4 13:31
1ST & 17
OWN 40
+3
99.9%
Jaylen Poe run for 3 yds to the NIU 43Similar
Q4 13:31
2ND & 14
OWN 43
+9
99.9%
Jaylen Poe run for 9 yds to the WIU 48Similar
Q4 13:31
3RD & 5
OPP 48
+14
99.9%
Jalen Macon pass complete to Jaylen Poe for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:31
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+6
99.9%
Jalen Macon run for 6 yds to the WIU 28Similar
Q4 13:31
2ND & 4
OPP 28
+14
99.9%
Jalen Macon pass complete to George Dimopoulus for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:31
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+9
99.9%
Jalen Macon run for 9 yds to the WIU 5Similar
Q4 13:31
2ND & 1
OPP 5
+3
99.9%
Justin Lynch run for 3 yds to the WIU 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:31
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+3
99.9%
Justin Lynch run for 3 yds to the WIU 5Similar
Q4 13:31
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
0
99.9%
Jalen Macon pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 8:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
99.9%
Jalen Macon 5 Yd Run (Kanon Woodill Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WIUDrive 21TD
10 plays · 81 yds · 4:560% → 0%
Q4 7:55
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+6
99.9%
Nathan Lamb pass complete to Tristin DuncanSimilar
Q4 7:55
2ND & 4
OWN 25
+4
99.9%
Nathan Lamb run for 4 yds to the WIU 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:55
1ST & 10
OWN 29
0
99.9%
Nathan Lamb run for no gain to the WIU 29Similar
Q4 7:55
2ND & 10
OWN 29
+15
99.9%
Nathan Lamb run for 15 yds to the WIU 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:55
1ST & 10
OWN 44
-1
99.9%
Nathan Lamb pass complete to Christian AnayaSimilar
Q4 7:55
2ND & 11
OWN 43
+27
99.9%
Nathan Lamb pass complete to Demari Davis for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:55
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+3
99.9%
Cameren Smith run for 3 yds to the NIU 27Similar
Q4 7:55
2ND & 7
OPP 27
0
99.9%
Nathan Lamb pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 2:59
3RD & 7
OPP 27
+27
100.0%
Torrance Farmer Jr. 27 Yd pass from Nathan Lamb (Antonio Chadha Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 22END OF GAME
10 plays · 57 yds · 2:59100% → 100%
Q4 2:59
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
100.0%
Josh Holst pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 2:59
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+9
100.0%
Justin Lynch run for 9 yds to the NIU 34Similar
Q4 2:39
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+2
100.0%
Justin Lynch run for 2 yds to the NIU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:39
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+16
100.0%
Josh Holst pass complete to Andrew McElroy for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:00
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+31
100.0%
Justin Lynch run for 31 yds to the WIU 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:00
1ST & 10
OPP 17
0
100.0%
Justin Lynch run for no gain to the WIU 17Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 10
OPP 17
-1
100.0%
J. Holst takes a kneeSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 8:47
Trayvon Rudolph 60 Yd Run (Kanon Woodill Kick)
+1.4
TD · Q2 1:55
Keyshaun Pipkin 11 Yd pass from Ethan Hampton (Kanon Woodill Kick)
+1.3
FG · Q1 0:51
Antonio Chadha 44 Yd Field Goal
-0.8
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com