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FOR

Fordham 17 at Bowling Green 41

BGSU
2024 · Week 1 · Aug 29, 2024 · Doyt L. Perry Stadium
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Win probability · BGSU
modelBGSU aheadFOR aheadconfidence bandkey playBGSU scoreFOR score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDFGTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 5:55 · Will Haslett punt for 46 yds
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorBlowout marginScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+37.5+18.80−18.8−37.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 135Pregame prior+4.4Home team on offense+36.1Score differential+31.2Garbage-time factor+11.8Blowout margin+16.4Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+6.0
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 0:09: Lucian Anderson III run for 13 yds for a TD (Jackson Kleather KICK) — BGSU win probability +3.2 pts (now 92%) (top driver: BGSU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 9:54: Connor Bazelak run for 8 yds for a TD (Jackson Kleather KICK) — BGSU win probability +3.9 pts (now 96%) (top driver: BGSU has the ball).
  3. FG · Q2 0:00: Bennett Henderson 24 yd FG GOOD — FOR win probability +3.5 pts (now 6%) (top driver: FOR has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 13:35: Cole Thornton 30 Yd pass from CJ Montes (Bennett Henderson Kick) — FOR win probability +5.3 pts (now 10%) (top driver: FOR has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 1:53: Connor Bazelak pass complete to Harold Fannin Jr. for a 1ST down — BGSU win probability +2.5 pts (now 99%) (top driver: BGSU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
BGSU made the numbers' call on 2 of 4FOR made the numbers' call on 9 of 11
  1. Q1 12:59FOR 4th & 15 at FOR 30, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 15.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    15.3%−0.1
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    15.4%
    average punt
  2. Q1 3:47FOR 4th & 22 at BGSU 42, down 13
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 13.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.7%−0.5
    8% to convert
    Field goal
    14.0%−0.2
    30% to make
    PuntTheir call
    14.1%
    average punt
  3. Q2 14:04FOR 4th & 4 at FOR 27, down 20
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 8.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.6%−<0.1
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    8.6%
    average punt
  4. Q2 7:58FOR 4th & 8 at FOR 42, down 27
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.1%−0.4
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.5%
    average punt
  5. Q2 5:16BGSU 4th & 9 at BGSU 40, up 27
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 97.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.0%−0.3
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    97.3%
    average punt
  6. Q2 3:38FOR 4th & 1 at FOR 27, down 27
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 1.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    2.1%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    1.6%−0.5
    average punt
  7. Q2 0:00FOR 4th & 6 at BGSU 8, down 27
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 2.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.9%−<0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    2.0%
    90% to make
    Punt
    -0.6%−2.5
    average punt
  8. Q3 12:01BGSU 4th & 5 at BGSU 30, up 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 91.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    91.8%−0.3
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    92.1%
    average punt
  9. Q3 6:55FOR 4th & 6 at BGSU 38, down 17
    Close callPunted · 6.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.4%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    6.6%−0.8
    38% to make
    PuntTheir call
    6.6%−0.8
    average punt
  10. Q3 3:01BGSU 4th & 25 at BGSU 48, up 17
    Numbers favored punt by 1.5 ptsWent for it · 94.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    93.8%−1.5
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    95.3%
    average punt
  11. Q4 10:23FOR 4th & 1 at BGSU 22, down 31
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.1%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    0.0%−0.1
    72% to make
    Punt
    -0.2%−0.4
    average punt
  12. Q4 8:51FOR 4th & 14 at BGSU 16, down 31
    Close callWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.0%−0.1
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    0.1%
    81% to make
    Punt
    -0.1%−0.3
    average punt
  13. Q4 5:55FOR 4th & 2 at FOR 23, down 31
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−<0.1
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  14. Q4 2:48BGSU 4th & 5 at BGSU 45, up 31
    Close callPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%−<0.1
    average punt
  15. Q4 1:19FOR 4th & 1 at FOR 32, down 31
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.0%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.0%−<0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
BGSU made the numbers' call on 4 of 4FOR made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 14:48BGSU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    84.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    84.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 8:20BGSU Touchdown, up 12 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    84.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    84.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 0:09BGSU Touchdown, up 19 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    89.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    89.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 9:54BGSU Touchdown, up 26 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 13:35FOR Touchdown, down 18 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    7.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    7.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 0:24FOR Touchdown, down 25 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
FORDrive 1PUNT
7 plays · -5 yds · 1:3713% → 13%
Q1 14:36
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+4
87.2%
Julius Loughridge run for 4 yds to the FOR 39Similar
Q1 14:09
2ND & 6
OWN 39
+2
87.1%
Julius Loughridge run for 2 yds to the FOR 41Similar
Q1 13:44
3RD & 4
OWN 41
-6
87.0%
CJ Montes sacked for a loss of 6 yards to the FOR 35Similar
Q1 13:15
4TH & 10
OWN 35
-5
87.0%
(13:17) PENALTY FOR False Start (Courtney,Mike) 5 yards from FOR35 to FOR30. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 12:59
4TH & 15
OWN 30
0
87.0%
Will Haslett punt for 48 yds, fair catch by Justin Pegues at the BGSU 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 2TD
11 plays · 78 yds · 4:3087% → 88%
Q1 12:50
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+3
87.0%
Terion Stewart run for 3 yds to the BGSU 25Similar
Q1 12:14
2ND & 7
OWN 25
+11
86.9%
Rahkeem Smith run for 11 yds to the BGSU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:53
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+2
86.9%
Terion Stewart run for 2 yds to the BGSU 38Similar
Q1 11:09
2ND & 8
OWN 38
+6
86.8%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Harold Fannin Jr.Similar
Q1 10:45
3RD & 2
OWN 44
+7
86.8%
Terion Stewart run for 7 yds to the FOR 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:15
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+16
86.9%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Harold Fannin Jr. for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:44
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+13
86.9%
Jaison Patterson run for 13 yds to the FOR 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:17
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+3
86.8%
Jaison Patterson run for 3 yds to the FOR 17Similar
Q1 8:42
2ND & 7
OPP 17
+10
86.7%
Justin Pegues run for 10 yds to the FOR 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:20
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
88.3%
Terion Stewart run for 7 yds for a TD (Jackson Kleather KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FORDrive 3PUNT
9 plays · 43 yds · 0:2413% → 12%
Q1 4:11
1ST & 10
OWN 15
0
87.5%
CJ Montes pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 3:47
2ND & 10
OWN 15
+9
87.9%
CJ Montes pass complete to Garrett CodySimilar
Q1 3:47
3RD & 1
OWN 24
+5
87.8%
Julius Loughridge run for 5 yds to the FOR 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:47
1ST & 5
OWN 34
+18
87.6%
Julius Loughridge run for 18 yds to the BGSU 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:47
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+18
87.5%
Julius Loughridge run for 18 yds to the BGSU 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:47
1ST & 10
OPP 30
-5
87.2%
CJ Montes sacked by Anthony Hawkins for a loss of 5 yards to the BGSU 35Similar
Q1 3:47
2ND & 15
OPP 35
0
87.5%
Ricky Parks run for no gain to the BGSU 35Similar
Q1 3:47
3RD & 15
OPP 35
-7
87.8%
CJ Montes sacked for a loss of 7 yards to the BGSU 42Similar
Q1 3:47
4TH & 22
OPP 42
0
88.0%
Will Haslett punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Justin Pegues at the BGSU 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 4TD
9 plays · 93 yds · 3:2889% → 92%
Q1 3:37
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+6
88.5%
Terion Stewart run for 6 yds to the BGSU 13Similar
Q1 3:11
2ND & 4
OWN 13
0
88.5%
Connor Bazelak pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 2:50
3RD & 4
OWN 13
+32
88.3%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Jamal Johnson for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:28
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+3
89.0%
Jaison Patterson run for 3 yds to the BGSU 48Similar
Q1 1:56
2ND & 7
OWN 48
+7
89.1%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Malcolm Johnson Jr. for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:20
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+21
89.0%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Harold Fannin Jr. for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:46
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+11
89.1%
Terion Stewart run for 11 yds to the FOR 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:09
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+13
91.8%
Lucian Anderson III run for 13 yds for a TD (Jackson Kleather KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FORDrive 5PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 0:568% → 8%
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+4
92.1%
Julius Loughridge run for 4 yds to the FOR 25Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 25
0
92.1%
CJ Montes pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 6
OWN 25
+2
92.2%
Julius Loughridge run for 2 yds to the FOR 27Similar
Q2 14:04
4TH & 4
OWN 27
+24
92.5%
Will Haslett punt for 35 yds , Justin Pegues returns for 24 yds to the FOR 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 6TD
8 plays · 38 yds · 4:1092% → 96%
Q2 14:04
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+2
92.2%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Harold Fannin Jr.Similar
Q2 14:04
2ND & 8
OPP 36
+1
92.2%
Terion Stewart run for 1 yd to the FOR 35Similar
Q2 14:04
3RD & 7
OPP 35
+11
92.1%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Harold Fannin Jr. for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:04
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+8
92.2%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Malcolm Johnson Jr.Similar
Q2 14:04
2ND & 2
OPP 16
0
92.2%
Jaison Patterson run for no gain to the FOR 16Similar
Q2 14:04
3RD & 2
OPP 16
+7
92.1%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Jaison Patterson for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:04
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+1
92.2%
Jaison Patterson run for 1 yd to the FOR 8Similar
Q2 9:54
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
96.1%
Connor Bazelak run for 8 yds for a TD (Jackson Kleather KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FORDrive 7PUNT
6 plays · 17 yds · 1:564% → 3%
Q2 9:54
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+6
96.2%
Ricky Parks run for 6 yds to the FOR 46Similar
Q2 9:54
2ND & 4
OWN 46
-10
95.9%
No Huddle-Shotgun Montes,C.J. rush right for 3 yards gain to the FOR49 (Rhambo,Edward), out of bounds PENALTY FOR Holding (Leonard,Duke) 10 yards from FOR46 to FOR36. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 9:54
2ND & 14
OWN 36
0
96.3%
CJ Montes pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 9:54
3RD & 14
OWN 36
-5
96.4%
CJ Montes pass complete to Ricky Gonzalez II Fordham Penalty, Delay Of Game (-5 Yards) to the FOR 42Similar
Q2 7:58
4TH & 8
OWN 42
0
96.7%
Will Haslett punt for 43 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 8PUNT
6 plays · 25 yds · 2:4297% → 97%
Q2 7:58
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+12
96.8%
Terion Stewart run for 12 yds to the BGSU 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:58
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+12
96.8%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Jamal Johnson for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:58
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+2
96.9%
Terion Stewart run for 2 yds to the BGSU 37Similar
Q2 7:58
2ND & 12
OWN 37
0
96.8%
Connor Bazelak pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 7:58
3RD & 12
OWN 37
+3
96.7%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Elijah BoydSimilar
Q2 5:16
4TH & 9
OWN 40
0
97.3%
John Henderson punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Cole Thornton at the FOR 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FORDrive 9FG
16 plays · 74 yds · 5:092% → 6%
Q2 5:09
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+4
97.9%
Julius Loughridge run for 4 yds to the FOR 22Similar
Q2 4:39
2ND & 6
OWN 22
+4
98.0%
CJ Montes pass complete to Garrett CodySimilar
Q2 4:19
3RD & 2
OWN 26
+1
98.0%
Julius Loughridge run for 1 yd to the FOR 27Similar
Q2 3:38
4TH & 1
OWN 27
+3
98.5%
Julius Loughridge run for 3 yds to the FOR 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:10
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
98.6%
CJ Montes pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 3:00
2ND & 10
OWN 30
+42
98.7%
Julius Loughridge run for 42 yds to the BGSU 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:35
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+5
98.5%
Julius Loughridge run for 5 yds to the BGSU 23Similar
Q2 2:00
2ND & 5
OPP 23
+2
98.6%
Ricky Parks run for 2 yds to the BGSU 21Similar
Q2 1:48
3RD & 3
OPP 21
+9
98.6%
CJ Montes pass complete to Garrett Cody for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:42
1ST & 10
OPP 12
-5
98.5%
PENALTY FOR False Start (Johnson,Cody) 5 yards from BGSU12 to BGSU17. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 1:36
1ST & 15
OPP 17
-5
98.6%
CJ Montes sacked by Charles Rosser for a loss of 5 yards to the BGSU 22Similar
Q2 0:56
2ND & 20
OPP 22
0
98.1%
CJ Montes run for no gain to the BGSU 22Similar
Q2 0:34
3RD & 20
OPP 22
+14
98.7%
CJ Montes pass complete to Julius LoughridgeSimilar
Q2 0:00
4TH & 6
OPP 8
+24
94.3%
Bennett Henderson 24 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FORDrive 10TD
5 plays · 75 yds · 1:175% → 10%
Q3 14:52
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
95.5%
Julius Loughridge run for 1 yd to the FOR 26Similar
Q3 14:26
2ND & 9
OWN 26
0
95.6%
CJ Montes pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 14:15
3RD & 9
OWN 26
+44
95.7%
CJ Montes pass complete to Julius Loughridge for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:35
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+30
90.4%
Cole Thornton 30 Yd pass from CJ Montes (Bennett Henderson Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 11PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 1:1292% → 92%
Q3 13:13
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
92.2%
Rahkeem Smith run for 1 yd to the BGSU 24Similar
Q3 12:51
2ND & 11
OWN 24
0
92.3%
Connor Bazelak pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 12:37
3RD & 11
OWN 24
+6
91.9%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Finn HoganSimilar
Q3 12:01
4TH & 5
OWN 30
0
92.3%
John Henderson punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Cole Thornton at the FOR 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FORDrive 12PUNT
8 plays · 33 yds · 4:508% → 7%
Q3 11:45
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+7
92.5%
CJ Montes pass complete to Garrett CodySimilar
Q3 11:45
2ND & 3
OWN 36
+12
92.0%
CJ Montes run for 12 yds to the FOR 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:45
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+4
92.1%
Ricky Parks run for 4 yds to the BGSU 48Similar
Q3 11:45
2ND & 6
OPP 48
+6
91.9%
Ricky Parks run for 6 yds to the BGSU 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:45
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+3
91.8%
Julius Loughridge run for 3 yds to the BGSU 39Similar
Q3 11:45
2ND & 7
OPP 39
+3
91.7%
CJ Montes run for 3 yds to the BGSU 36Similar
Q3 11:45
3RD & 4
OPP 36
+2
91.7%
Julius Loughridge run for 2 yds to the BGSU 38Similar
Q3 6:55
4TH & 6
OPP 38
0
93.5%
Will Haslett punt for 32 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 13TD
14 plays · 94 yds · 4:5395% → 99%
Q3 6:46
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+22
94.8%
Terion Stewart run for 22 yds to the BGSU 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:14
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+1
95.0%
Jaison Patterson run for 1 yd to the BGSU 29Similar
Q3 5:30
2ND & 9
OWN 29
+18
95.1%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Malcolm Johnson Jr. for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:07
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+10
95.4%
(05:12) No Huddle-Shotgun Bazelak,Connor pass complete short left to Pegues,Justin caught at FOR48, for 5 yards to the FOR48 (Conway,James) PENALTY BGSU Holding (Reimer,Nick) 10 yards from BGSU47 to BGSU37. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 4:46
1ST & 20
OWN 37
+19
95.3%
Connor Bazelak run for 19 yds to the FOR 44Similar
Q3 4:26
2ND & 1
OPP 44
+7
95.6%
Terion Stewart run for 7 yds to the FOR 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:55
1ST & 10
OPP 37
0
95.6%
Connor Bazelak pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 3:49
2ND & 10
OPP 37
+15
95.6%
(03:54) No Huddle Smith,Rahkeem rush left for 1 yard gain to the FOR36 (Osmun,Andrew) PENALTY BGSU Face Mask (Gazarek,Levi) 15 yards from FOR37 to BGSU48. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 3:31
2ND & 25
OWN 48
0
95.4%
Connor Bazelak pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 3:23
3RD & 25
OWN 48
0
95.3%
Connor Bazelak pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 3:01
4TH & 25
OWN 48
+29
95.0%
John Henderson run for 29 yds to the FOR 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:39
1ST & 10
OPP 23
0
95.9%
Connor Bazelak pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 2:30
2ND & 10
OPP 23
+5
95.9%
Terion Stewart run for 5 yds to the FOR 18Similar
Q3 1:53
3RD & 5
OPP 18
+11
98.5%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Harold Fannin Jr. for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FORDrive 14DOWNS
18 plays · 60 yds · 7:170% → 0%
Q3 1:08
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+2
99.8%
CJ Montes run for 2 yds to the FOR 28Similar
Q3 0:40
2ND & 8
OWN 28
+2
99.8%
Julius Loughridge run for 2 yds to the FOR 30Similar
Q3 0:00
3RD & 6
OWN 30
+12
99.8%
CJ Montes run for 12 yds to the FOR 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:46
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+3
99.8%
CJ Montes pass complete to Cole ThorntonSimilar
Q4 14:20
2ND & 7
OWN 45
+1
99.8%
Ricky Parks run for 1 yd to the FOR 46Similar
Q4 13:51
3RD & 6
OWN 46
-5
99.8%
PENALTY FOR False Start (Duetsch,Owen) 5 yards from FOR46 to FOR41. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 13:12
3RD & 11
OWN 41
+7
99.9%
CJ Montes run for 7 yds to the FOR 48Similar
Q4 12:30
4TH & 4
OWN 48
-15
99.9%
(12:39) No Huddle-Shotgun Montes,C.J. pass complete short left to Loughridge,Julius caught at FOR45, for 6 yards to the BGSU46 (White,Dayln; McClendon,Darius) PENALTY BGSU Targeting (McClendon,Darius) 15 yards from FOR48 to BGSU37, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 11:51
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+4
99.9%
Ricky Parks run for 4 yds to the BGSU 27Similar
Q4 11:10
2ND & 6
OPP 27
+5
99.9%
CJ Montes run for 5 yds to the BGSU 22Similar
Q4 10:41
3RD & 1
OPP 22
0
99.9%
CJ Montes run for no gain to the BGSU 22Similar
Q4 10:23
4TH & 1
OPP 22
+10
99.8%
CJ Montes run for 10 yds to the BGSU 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:52
1ST & 10
OPP 12
0
99.9%
CJ Montes pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 9:46
2ND & 10
OPP 12
0
99.9%
CJ Montes pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 9:29
3RD & 10
OPP 12
-4
99.9%
CJ Montes sacked by Joseph Sipp Jr. for a loss of 4 yards to the BGSU 16Similar
Q4 8:51
4TH & 14
OPP 16
0
99.9%
CJ Montes pass complete to Julius LoughridgeSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 15TD
3 plays · 86 yds · 1:14100% → 100%
Q4 8:42
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+5
99.9%
Jaison Patterson run for 5 yds to the BGSU 19Similar
Q4 8:02
2ND & 5
OWN 19
+8
99.9%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Jamal Johnson for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:28
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+73
99.9%
Terion Stewart 73 Yd Run (Jackson Kleather Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FORDrive 16PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 1:240% → 0%
Q4 7:19
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+2
99.9%
CJ Montes pass complete to Garrett CodySimilar
Q4 6:46
2ND & 8
OWN 17
0
99.9%
CJ Montes pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 6:30
3RD & 8
OWN 17
+6
99.9%
CJ Montes run for 6 yds to the FOR 23Similar
Q4 5:55
4TH & 2
OWN 23
0
99.9%
Will Haslett punt for 46 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 17PUNT
8 plays · 22 yds · 2:54100% → 100%
Q4 5:42
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+3
99.9%
Chris Edmonds run for 3 yds to the BGSU 26Similar
Q4 5:25
2ND & 7
OWN 26
+14
99.9%
Lucian Anderson III run for 14 yds to the BGSU 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:55
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+8
99.9%
Mar'Kel Porter run for 8 yds to the BGSU 48Similar
Q4 4:27
2ND & 2
OWN 48
+10
99.9%
(04:31) No Huddle-Shotgun Porter,Mar'Kel rush right for 1 yard gain to the BGSU49 (Johnson,Justin) PENALTY BGSU Holding (Cleaver,Blane) 10 yards from BGSU48 to BGSU38. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 4:04
2ND & 12
OWN 38
+5
99.9%
Chris Edmonds run for 5 yds to the BGSU 43Similar
Q4 3:23
3RD & 7
OWN 43
+2
99.9%
Lucian Anderson III pass complete to Jamal JohnsonSimilar
Q4 2:48
4TH & 5
OWN 45
0
99.9%
John Henderson punt for 50 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FORDrive 18TD
7 plays · 95 yds · 2:050% → 1%
Q4 2:29
1ST & 10
OWN 5
+18
100.0%
CJ Montes pass complete to Garrett Cody for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:08
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+6
100.0%
Ricky Parks run for 6 yds to the FOR 29Similar
Q4 1:50
2ND & 4
OWN 29
+3
100.0%
Jack Kaiser run for 3 yds to the FOR 32Similar
Q4 1:30
3RD & 1
OWN 32
0
100.0%
Jack Capaldi pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:19
4TH & 1
OWN 32
+3
100.0%
Jack Kaiser run for 3 yds to the FOR 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:58
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+5
100.0%
Jack Kaiser run for 5 yds to the FOR 40Similar
Q4 0:24
2ND & 5
OWN 40
+60
99.5%
Jack Betten 60 Yd pass from Jack Capaldi (Bennett Henderson Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 19END OF GAME
2 plays · -1 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
99.8%
C. Bazelak takes a kneeSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 13:35
Cole Thornton 30 Yd pass from CJ Montes (Bennett Henderson Kick)
-5.3
TD · Q2 9:54
Connor Bazelak run for 8 yds for a TD (Jackson Kleather KICK)
+3.9
FG · Q2 0:00
Bennett Henderson 24 yd FG GOOD
-3.5
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com