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DUQ

Duquesne 10 at Toledo 49

TOL
2024 · Week 1 · Aug 29, 2024 · Glass Bowl
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Win probability · TOL
modelTOL aheadDUQ aheadconfidence bandkey playTOL scoreDUQ score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDFGTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 11:44 · Kyle Romenick punt for 46 yds for a touchback
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialBlowout marginGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+46.5+23.30−23.3−46.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 141Pregame prior+14.0Home team on offense+34.6Score differential+28.1Blowout margin+15.5Garbage-time factor+10.9Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+3.5
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 4:31: Jacquez Stuart run for 8 yds for a TD (Dylan Cunanan KICK) — TOL win probability +0.8 pts (now 96%) (top driver: TOL has the ball).
  2. TD · Q1 1:20: Noah Canty 4 Yd pass from Darius Perrantes (Brian Bruzdewicz Kick) — DUQ win probability +1.2 pts (now 6%) (top driver: DUQ has the ball).
  3. TD · Q1 1:02: Jerjuan Newton 54 Yd pass from Tucker Gleason (Dylan Cunanan Kick) — TOL win probability +1.6 pts (now 96%) (top driver: TOL has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 1:59: Anthony Torres 14 Yd pass from Tucker Gleason (Dylan Cunanan Kick) — TOL win probability +2.2 pts (now 96%) (top driver: TOL has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 11:49: Jacquez Stuart run for 1 yd for a TD (Dylan Cunanan KICK) — TOL win probability +1.8 pts (now 99%) (top driver: TOL has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
TOL made the numbers' call on 5 of 5DUQ made the numbers' call on 5 of 9
  1. Q1 9:32DUQ 4th & 1 at DUQ 25, down 7
    Close callPunted · 5.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.5%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.4%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 7:56TOL 4th & 13 at TOL 39, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 94.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.2%−0.1
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    94.3%
    average punt
  3. Q1 6:55DUQ 4th & 5 at DUQ 33, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 5.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.8%−0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.9%
    average punt
  4. Q1 6:55DUQ 4th & 5 at DUQ 33, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 5.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.8%−0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.9%
    average punt
  5. Q1 5:04TOL 4th & 1 at DUQ 35, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 93.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    94.0%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    93.8%−0.2
    45% to make
    Punt
    93.7%−0.3
    average punt
  6. Q2 10:53DUQ 4th & 8 at TOL 33, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 6.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    6.0%
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    6.0%−<0.1
    49% to make
    Punt
    5.7%−0.2
    average punt
  7. Q2 8:51DUQ 4th & 4 at TOL 4, down 14
    Close callKicked a field goal · 6.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.5%
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    6.3%−0.2
    93% to make
    Punt
    4.5%−2.0
    average punt
  8. Q2 2:21TOL 4th & 1 at DUQ 20, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 92.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    92.6%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    92.2%−0.4
    75% to make
    Punt
    91.0%−1.7
    average punt
  9. Q2 0:21DUQ 4th & 2 at TOL 33, down 18
    Close callWent for it · 5.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    5.3%−0.2
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    5.5%
    49% to make
    Punt
    4.7%−0.8
    average punt
  10. Q3 5:44DUQ 4th & 20 at DUQ 37, down 25
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.1%−0.4
    10% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.6%
    average punt
  11. Q3 2:33TOL 4th & 14 at DUQ 17, up 25
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 99.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.1%−0.3
    17% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.4%
    80% to make
    Punt
    98.5%−0.8
    average punt
  12. Q3 0:49DUQ 4th & 7 at DUQ 23, down 25
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.6%−0.1
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.7%
    average punt
  13. Q4 11:44DUQ 4th & 6 at TOL 46, down 32
    Close callPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.2%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    0.1%−0.1
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%−<0.1
    average punt
  14. Q4 1:08TOL 4th & 4 at DUQ 42, up 39
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 100.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    100.0%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    99.9%−0.1
    30% to make
    Punt
    99.9%−0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
TOL made the numbers' call on 7 of 7DUQ made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 11:48TOL Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 4:31TOL Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 1:20DUQ Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    6.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    6.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q1 1:02TOL Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 1:59TOL Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 11:49TOL Touchdown, up 24 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 0:14TOL Touchdown, up 31 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 7:41TOL Touchdown, up 38 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
TOLDrive 1TD
11 plays · 65 yds · 3:1096% → 96%
Q1 14:58
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-5
96.3%
(15:00) PENALTY TOLEDO False Start (Spoth,Ethan) 5 yards from TOLEDO35 to TOLEDO30. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 14:46
1ST & 15
OWN 30
+8
96.3%
Tucker Gleason pass complete to Junior Vandeross IIISimilar
Q1 14:30
2ND & 7
OWN 38
+14
96.2%
Tucker Gleason pass complete to Anthony Torres for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:12
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+7
96.2%
Jacquez Stuart run for 7 yds to the DUQ 41Similar
Q1 13:51
2ND & 3
OPP 41
0
96.1%
Tucker Gleason pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:44
3RD & 3
OPP 41
+8
96.1%
Jacquez Stuart run for 8 yds to the DUQ 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:07
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+8
96.0%
Willie Shaw III run for 8 yds to the DUQ 25Similar
Q1 12:36
2ND & 2
OPP 25
+11
95.9%
Tucker Gleason pass complete to Anthony Torres for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:11
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+5
95.9%
Tucker Gleason pass complete to Jerjuan NewtonSimilar
Q1 11:48
2ND & 5
OPP 9
+9
96.0%
Junior Vandeross III 9 Yd pass from Tucker Gleason (Dylan Cunanan Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DUQDrive 2PUNT
6 plays · 9 yds · 1:534% → 4%
Q1 11:25
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+5
95.9%
JaMario Clements run for 5 yds to the DUQ 21Similar
Q1 10:57
2ND & 5
OWN 21
+3
95.8%
JaMario Clements run for 3 yds to the DUQ 24Similar
Q1 10:09
3RD & 2
OWN 24
+1
95.7%
JaMario Clements run for 1 yd to the DUQ 25Similar
Q1 9:32
4TH & 1
OWN 25
+24
95.7%
Kyle Romenick punt for 57 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the TOL 42 , Bryson Hammer returns for 24 yds to the TOL 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TOLDrive 3PUNT
4 plays · -3 yds · 1:3296% → 95%
Q1 9:28
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
95.7%
Tucker Gleason pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 9:18
2ND & 10
OWN 42
+4
95.7%
Jacquez Stuart run for 4 yds to the TOL 46Similar
Q1 8:42
3RD & 6
OWN 46
-7
95.6%
Tucker Gleason sacked by Jason Patterson for a loss of 7 yards to the TOL 39Similar
Q1 7:56
4TH & 13
OWN 39
0
95.3%
Emilio Duran punt for 33 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DUQDrive 4PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 0:475% → 5%
Q1 7:42
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+5
95.3%
Darius Perrantes pass complete to Taj ButtsSimilar
Q1 7:09
2ND & 5
OWN 33
0
95.2%
Darius Perrantes pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:06
3RD & 5
OWN 33
0
95.3%
Darius Perrantes pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 6:55
4TH & 5
OWN 33
+18
95.3%
Kyle Romenick punt for 42 yds , Bryson Hammer returns for 18 yds to the TOL 43Similar
Q1 6:55
4TH & 5
OWN 33
+18
95.3%
Kyle Romenick punt for 42 yds , Bryson Hammer returns for 18 yds to the TOL 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TOLDrive 5TD
7 plays · 57 yds · 2:1795% → 96%
Q1 6:48
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+13
95.4%
Willie Shaw III run for 13 yds to the DUQ 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:20
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
95.3%
Tucker Gleason pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 6:07
2ND & 10
OPP 44
+1
95.3%
Willie Shaw III run for 1 yd to the DUQ 45Similar
Q1 5:20
3RD & 11
OPP 45
+10
95.1%
Tucker Gleason pass complete to Junior Vandeross IIISimilar
Q1 5:04
4TH & 1
OPP 35
+16
95.0%
Tucker Gleason pass complete to Jerjuan Newton for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:47
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+11
95.2%
Connor Walendzak run for 11 yds to the DUQ 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:31
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
96.0%
Jacquez Stuart run for 8 yds for a TD (Dylan Cunanan KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DUQDrive 6TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 3:074% → 6%
Q1 4:27
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
95.6%
Darius Perrantes pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 4:14
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-7
95.6%
Darius Perrantes sacked for a loss of 7 yards to the DUQ 18Similar
Q1 3:28
3RD & 17
OWN 18
+35
95.6%
Darius Perrantes pass complete to Ian Sheehan for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:56
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+5
95.4%
JaMario Clements run for 5 yds to the TOL 42Similar
Q1 1:32
2ND & 5
OPP 42
+23
95.1%
JaMario Clements run for 23 yds to the TOL 19 JaMario Clements fumbled, recovered by DUQ Tommy Brandt for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:23
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+15
95.0%
(01:23) No Huddle-Shotgun Perrantes,Darius pass incomplete short left to Afful,Tedy thrown to TOLEDO02, 1ST DOWN, PENALTY TOLEDO Pass Interference (Smith,Avery) 15 yards from TOLEDO19 to TOLEDO04, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 1:20
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
93.7%
Noah Canty 4 Yd pass from Darius Perrantes (Brian Bruzdewicz Kick)Similar
Q1 1:20
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
-5
93.7%
PENALTY DUQ Delay Of Game (Bruzdewicz,Brian) 5 yards from TOLEDO03 to TOLEDO08. NO PLAY.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TOLDrive 7TD
2 plays · 54 yds · 0:0096% → 96%
Q1 1:02
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+54
95.8%
Jerjuan Newton 54 Yd pass from Tucker Gleason (Dylan Cunanan Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DUQDrive 8FG
17 plays · 82 yds · 6:095% → 6%
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+21
95.2%
Taj Butts run for 21 yds to the DUQ 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:48
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+3
94.9%
Taj Butts run for 3 yds to the DUQ 38Similar
Q2 14:10
2ND & 7
OWN 38
+12
94.8%
Taj Butts run for 12 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:22
1ST & 10
50
0
94.6%
Taj Butts run for no gain to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 12:37
2ND & 10
50
+15
94.6%
Darius Perrantes pass complete to Jermaine Johnson for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:47
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+2
94.1%
Darius Perrantes pass complete to John ErbySimilar
Q2 11:24
2ND & 8
OPP 33
0
94.1%
Darius Perrantes pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 11:15
3RD & 8
OPP 33
0
94.8%
Darius Perrantes pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 10:53
4TH & 8
OPP 33
+24
95.0%
Darius Perrantes pass complete to John Erby for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:17
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+2
94.4%
JaMario Clements run for 2 yds to the TOL 7Similar
Q2 9:38
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
0
94.4%
Darius Perrantes pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 9:22
3RD & GOAL
OPP 7
+3
94.6%
Darius Perrantes pass complete to JaMario ClementsSimilar
Q2 8:51
4TH & GOAL
OPP 4
+22
94.1%
Brian Bruzdewicz 22 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TOLDrive 9MISSED FG
11 plays · 37 yds · 4:1495% → 94%
Q2 8:33
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+2
94.5%
Connor Walendzak run for 2 yds to the TOL 28Similar
Q2 8:09
2ND & 12
OWN 28
+12
94.2%
Tucker Gleason pass complete to Thomas Zsiros for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:51
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+6
94.5%
Connor Walendzak run for 6 yds to the TOL 46Similar
Q2 7:34
2ND & 4
OWN 46
+14
94.6%
Connor Walendzak run for 4 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down Duquesne Penalty, Defensive Holding (A.J. Ackerman) to the DUQ 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:05
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
94.6%
Tucker Gleason pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 6:50
2ND & 10
OPP 40
+8
94.6%
Tucker Gleason run for 8 yds to the DUQ 32Similar
Q2 6:29
3RD & 2
OPP 32
+3
94.5%
Sevaughn Clark run for 3 yds to the DUQ 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:29
1ST & 10
OPP 29
-15
94.5%
Tucker Gleason pass complete to Jerjuan Newton Toledo Penalty, Personal Foul (-15 Yards) to the DUQ 27Similar
Q2 4:47
1ST & 8
OPP 27
-6
94.4%
Tucker Gleason sacked by Jack Dunkley for a loss of 6 yards to the DUQ 33Similar
Q2 4:19
2ND & 14
OPP 33
+51
94.2%
Dylan Cunanan 51 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DUQDrive 10FUMBLE
1 play · -5 yds · 0:006% → 6%
Q2 4:15
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+5
94.2%
JaMario Clements run for 5 yds to the DUQ 29 JaMario Clements fumbled, recovered by DUQ Cavon ButlerSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TOLDrive 11TD
6 plays · 29 yds · 1:4195% → 96%
Q2 3:40
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+1
94.5%
Zy'marion Lang run for 1 yd to the DUQ 28Similar
Q2 3:19
2ND & 9
OPP 28
+7
94.5%
Connor Walendzak run for 7 yds to the DUQ 21Similar
Q2 2:42
3RD & 2
OPP 21
+1
94.4%
Connor Walendzak run for 1 yd to the DUQ 20Similar
Q2 2:21
4TH & 1
OPP 20
+6
94.1%
Willie Shaw III run for 6 yds to the DUQ 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:59
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+14
96.4%
Anthony Torres 14 Yd pass from Tucker Gleason (Dylan Cunanan Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DUQDrive 12INT
14 plays · 48 yds · 1:434% → 4%
Q2 1:51
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
95.6%
Taj Butts run for 3 yds to the DUQ 28Similar
Q2 1:45
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+4
95.4%
Darius Perrantes pass complete to JaMario ClementsSimilar
Q2 1:37
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+13
95.4%
Darius Perrantes pass complete to John Erby for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:16
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+14
95.4%
Darius Perrantes pass complete to John Erby for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:15
1ST & 10
OPP 41
-5
94.8%
(01:14) PENALTY DUQ False Start (McLaurin,Cameron) 5 yards from TOLEDO41 to TOLEDO46. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 1:03
1ST & 15
OPP 46
+13
95.2%
Darius Perrantes run for 13 yds to the TOL 33Similar
Q2 0:34
2ND & 2
OPP 33
0
94.4%
Darius Perrantes pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:28
3RD & 2
OPP 33
0
94.5%
Darius Perrantes pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:21
4TH & 2
OPP 33
+6
95.6%
Darius Perrantes pass complete to John Erby for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:14
1ST & 10
OPP 27
0
96.2%
Darius Perrantes pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:08
2ND & 10
OPP 27
0
96.3%
Darius Perrantes pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TOLDrive 13END OF HALF
1 play · -2 yds · 0:0097% → 97%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 13
-2
96.7%
T. Gleason takes a kneeSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TOLDrive 14TD
9 plays · 38 yds · 2:5396% → 99%
Q3 14:42
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+6
95.9%
Jacquez Stuart run for 6 yds to the DUQ 32Similar
Q3 14:09
2ND & 4
OPP 32
0
97.0%
Jacquez Stuart run for no gain to the DUQ 32Similar
Q3 13:33
3RD & 4
OPP 32
+9
96.8%
Tucker Gleason pass complete to Jerjuan Newton for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:03
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+4
97.0%
Tucker Gleason run for 4 yds to the DUQ 19Similar
Q3 12:38
2ND & 6
OPP 19
0
97.0%
Tucker Gleason pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 12:24
3RD & 6
OPP 19
+17
97.1%
Tucker Gleason run for 17 yds to the DUQ 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:02
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
97.2%
PENALTY DUQ Offside (Kurzinger,Kevin) 1 yard from DUQ02 to DUQ01. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 11:49
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
99.0%
Jacquez Stuart run for 1 yd for a TD (Dylan Cunanan KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DUQDrive 15PUNT
11 plays · 24 yds · 5:401% → 1%
Q3 11:24
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+5
98.8%
Darius Perrantes pass complete to Jermaine JohnsonSimilar
Q3 10:56
2ND & 5
OWN 18
+2
98.8%
JaMario Clements run for 2 yds to the DUQ 16Similar
Q3 10:03
3RD & 7
OWN 16
+20
98.9%
Darius Perrantes run for 20 yds to the DUQ 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:19
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+8
98.8%
Darius Perrantes pass complete to John ErbySimilar
Q3 8:41
2ND & 2
OWN 44
+3
98.8%
JaMario Clements run for 3 yds to the DUQ 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:01
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+2
98.9%
Darius Perrantes pass complete to John ErbySimilar
Q3 7:11
2ND & 8
OWN 49
+10
99.0%
Darius Perrantes run for 10 yds to the DUQ 39 Darius Perrantes fumbled, recovered by DUQ Darius PerrantesSimilar
Q3 6:22
3RD & 18
OWN 39
+3
98.9%
Darius Perrantes pass complete to JaMario ClementsSimilar
Q3 6:01
4TH & 15
OWN 42
-5
99.0%
(06:01) PENALTY DUQ False Start (Arrington,Ty) 5 yards from DUQ42 to DUQ37. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 5:44
4TH & 20
OWN 37
0
98.7%
Kyle Romenick punt for 34 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TOLDrive 16MISSED FG
12 plays · 54 yds · 2:4499% → 99%
Q3 5:17
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+9
99.4%
Tucker Gleason pass complete to Thomas ZsirosSimilar
Q3 5:11
2ND & 1
OWN 38
0
99.4%
Tucker Gleason pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 4:57
3RD & 1
OWN 38
+3
99.4%
Willie Shaw III run for 3 yds to the TOL 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:43
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+10
99.4%
Tucker Gleason pass complete to Junior Vandeross III for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:29
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+15
99.4%
(04:28) No Huddle-Shotgun Gleason,Tucker pass incomplete deep middle to Lang,Zy'marion thrown to DUQ22 PENALTY DUQ Pass Interference (Epps,Antonio) 15 yards from DUQ49 to DUQ34, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 4:22
1ST & 10
OPP 34
0
99.4%
Tucker Gleason pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 4:13
2ND & 10
OPP 34
+14
99.5%
Tucker Gleason pass complete to Sevaughn Clark for a 1ST down Duquesne Penalty, Face Mask (14 yards) (14 Yards) to the DUQ 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:59
1ST & 10
OPP 13
-15
99.5%
(04:00) No Huddle-Shotgun Gleason,Tucker pass complete short right to Holley,Eric caught at DUQ10, for 5 yards to the DUQ08 (Lowery,Malichi) PENALTY TOLEDO Pass Interference (Zsiros,Thomas) 15 yards from DUQ13 to DUQ28. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 3:29
1ST & 25
OPP 28
+6
99.4%
Sevaughn Clark run for 6 yds to the DUQ 22Similar
Q3 3:08
2ND & 19
OPP 22
+5
99.5%
Sevaughn Clark run for 5 yds to the DUQ 17Similar
Q3 2:37
3RD & 14
OPP 17
0
99.5%
Tucker Gleason pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 2:33
4TH & 14
OPP 17
+35
99.4%
Dylan Cunanan 35 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DUQDrive 17PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 1:311% → 1%
Q3 2:20
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+2
99.3%
Jr. Shawn Solomon run for 2 yds to the DUQ 22Similar
Q3 1:37
2ND & 8
OWN 22
+1
99.4%
Jr. Shawn Solomon run for 1 yd to the DUQ 23Similar
Q3 1:04
3RD & 7
OWN 23
0
99.4%
Darius Perrantes pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 0:49
4TH & 7
OWN 23
+41
99.4%
Kyle Romenick punt for 39 yds , Bryson Hammer returns for 41 yds to the DUQ 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TOLDrive 18TD
2 plays · 21 yds · 0:27100% → 100%
Q3 0:41
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+11
99.6%
Willie Shaw III run for 11 yds to the DUQ 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:14
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+10
99.8%
Willie Shaw III run for 10 yds for a TD (Dylan Cunanan KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DUQDrive 19PUNT
9 plays · 29 yds · 3:160% → 0%
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
99.9%
Jr. Shawn Solomon run for 1 yd to the DUQ 26Similar
Q4 14:48
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+11
99.9%
Jordan Heisey pass complete to Tedy Afful for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:27
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+5
99.9%
Jordan Heisey run for 5 yds to the DUQ 42Similar
Q4 13:50
2ND & 5
OWN 42
+8
99.8%
Jr. Shawn Solomon run for 8 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:13
1ST & 10
50
+4
99.9%
Jr. Shawn Solomon run for 4 yds to the TOL 46Similar
Q4 12:20
2ND & 6
OPP 46
0
99.9%
Jr. Shawn Solomon run for no gain to the TOL 46Similar
Q4 11:51
3RD & 6
OPP 46
0
99.9%
Jordan Heisey pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 11:44
4TH & 6
OPP 46
0
99.9%
Kyle Romenick punt for 46 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TOLDrive 20TD
9 plays · 80 yds · 3:47100% → 100%
Q4 11:28
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+8
99.9%
John Alan Richter pass complete to Cooper RuskSimilar
Q4 11:07
2ND & 2
OWN 28
+4
99.9%
Sevaughn Clark run for 4 yds to the TOL 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:05
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+27
99.9%
John Alan Richter pass complete to CC Ezirim CC Ezirim fumbled, recovered by DUQ Cc Ezirim for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:53
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+1
99.9%
Sevaughn Clark run for 1 yd to the DUQ 40Similar
Q4 9:23
2ND & 9
OPP 40
0
99.9%
John Alan Richter pass complete to Cooper RuskSimilar
Q4 8:58
3RD & 9
OPP 40
+15
99.9%
(09:02) No Huddle-Shotgun Richter,John Alan pass incomplete deep right to Stephens,Larry thrown to DUQ16 PENALTY DUQ Pass Interference (Colston,Javon) 15 yards from DUQ40 to DUQ25, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 8:52
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+4
99.9%
Sevaughn Clark run for 4 yds to the DUQ 21Similar
Q4 8:05
2ND & 6
OPP 21
+3
99.9%
Sevaughn Clark run for 3 yds to the DUQ 18Similar
Q4 7:41
3RD & 3
OPP 18
+18
99.9%
Zy'marion Lang 18 Yd pass from John Alan Richter (Spencer Conrad Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DUQDrive 21PUNT
7 plays · 12 yds · 3:380% → 0%
Q4 7:20
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+7
99.9%
Jordan Heisey pass complete to Khiryn BoydSimilar
Q4 6:41
2ND & 3
OWN 25
+3
99.9%
Caleb Jones run for 3 yds to the DUQ 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:58
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+4
99.9%
Jordan Heisey run for 4 yds to the DUQ 32Similar
Q4 5:11
2ND & 6
OWN 32
+3
99.9%
Caleb Jones run for 3 yds to the DUQ 35Similar
Q4 4:25
3RD & 3
OWN 35
-5
99.9%
(04:36) No Huddle-Shotgun Jones,Caleb rush middle for 2 yards gain to the DUQ37 (Ollison II,Damon; Shamma,Laith) PENALTY DUQ Delay Of Game 5 yards from DUQ35 to DUQ30. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 3:42
3RD & 8
OWN 30
+22
100.0%
Kyle Romenick punt for 40 yds , Julian Allen returns for 22 yds to the DUQ 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TOLDrive 22END OF GAME
9 plays · 26 yds · 3:28100% → 100%
Q4 3:28
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+3
100.0%
Dane Nauman run for 3 yds to the DUQ 45Similar
Q4 3:06
2ND & 7
OPP 45
+3
100.0%
Dane Nauman run for 3 yds to the DUQ 42Similar
Q4 2:25
3RD & 4
OPP 42
-5
100.0%
PENALTY TOLEDO Delay Of Game 5 yards from DUQ42 to DUQ47. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 2:15
3RD & 9
OPP 47
-5
100.0%
(02:15) No Huddle-Shotgun Richter,John Alan pass complete short left to Willoughby,Jediyah caught at DUQ33, for 16 yards to the DUQ31 (Summerlin,Isaiah) PENALTY TOLEDO Illegal Formation 5 yards from DUQ47 to TOLEDO48. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 1:41
3RD & 14
OWN 48
+10
99.9%
John Alan Richter pass complete to Jediyah WilloughbySimilar
Q4 1:08
4TH & 4
OPP 42
+14
99.9%
John Alan Richter pass complete to Dane Nauman for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:59
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+3
100.0%
Dane Nauman run for 3 yds to the DUQ 25Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 7
OPP 25
+3
100.0%
Dane Nauman run for 3 yds to the DUQ 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 1:59
Anthony Torres 14 Yd pass from Tucker Gleason (Dylan Cunanan Kick)
+2.2
TD · Q3 11:49
Jacquez Stuart run for 1 yd for a TD (Dylan Cunanan KICK)
+1.8
TD · Q1 1:02
Jerjuan Newton 54 Yd pass from Tucker Gleason (Dylan Cunanan Kick)
+1.6
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com