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M-OH

Miami (OH) 28 at Bowling Green 12

BGSU
2024 · Week 14 · Nov 29, 2024 · Doyt L. Perry Stadium
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Win probability · BGSU
modelBGSU aheadM-OH aheadconfidence bandkey playBGSU scoreM-OH score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDSAFETYFGTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 6:49 · John Henderson punt for 13 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the BGSU 30
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorPregame priorScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+49.0+24.50−24.5−49.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 20Home team on offense−0.1Score differential−0.2Garbage-time factor−0.2Pregame prior+6.6Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.1
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 2:40: Brett Gabbert pass complete to Reggie Virgil for 20 yds for a TD (Dom Dzioban KICK) — M-OH win probability +10.4 pts (now 60%) (top driver: M-OH has the ball).
  2. TD · Q4 11:35: Jaison Patterson run for 2 yds for a TD (Zach Long KICK) — BGSU win probability +28.5 pts (now 58%) (top driver: Game still competitive relative to time left).
  3. KEY PLAY · Q4 11:29: Zach Long kickoff for 60 yds , Kevin Davis return for 19 yds to the M-OH 24 — M-OH win probability +7.7 pts (now 50%) (top driver: Game still competitive relative to time left).
  4. TD · Q4 10:35: Brett Gabbert pass complete to Javon Tracy for 72 yds for a TD (Dom Dzioban KICK) — M-OH win probability +20.3 pts (now 78%) (top driver: M-OH has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 1:52: Keyon Mozee run for 27 yds for a TD (Dom Dzioban KICK) — M-OH win probability +4.4 pts (now 99%) (top driver: M-OH has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
BGSU made the numbers' call on 10 of 12M-OH made the numbers' call on 1 of 5
  1. Q1 11:55BGSU 4th & 12 at M-OH 40, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 59.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    59.1%−<0.1
    24% to convert
    Field goal
    59.1%−<0.1
    34% to make
    PuntTheir call
    59.1%
    average punt
  2. Q1 6:49BGSU 4th & 6 at BGSU 17, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 58.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    58.3%−0.2
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    58.5%
    average punt
  3. Q1 5:12BGSU 4th & 3 at BGSU 25, down 7
    Close callPunted · 54.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    55.0%
    51% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    55.0%−<0.1
    average punt
  4. Q2 13:19BGSU 4th & 8 at M-OH 46, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 52.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    52.1%−0.2
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    51.3%−1.1
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    52.3%
    average punt
  5. Q2 7:47BGSU 4th & 9 at M-OH 23, down 5
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 53.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    52.1%−1.0
    30% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    53.1%
    70% to make
    Punt
    46.3%−6.8
    average punt
  6. Q2 0:45BGSU 4th & 4 at BGSU 32, down 9
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 41.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    40.1%−1.4
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    41.5%
    average punt
  7. Q3 12:46M-OH 4th & 3 at M-OH 32, up 9
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 60.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    60.7%−0.5
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    61.2%
    average punt
  8. Q3 10:27M-OH 4th & 9 at BGSU 35, up 9
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.0 ptsPunted · 62.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    63.0%
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    62.9%−0.1
    45% to make
    PuntTheir call
    62.0%−1.0
    average punt
  9. Q3 6:51BGSU 4th & 12 at BGSU 38, down 9
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 33.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    31.9%−2.2
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    34.1%
    average punt
  10. Q3 5:14M-OH 4th & 4 at M-OH 45, up 9
    Close callPunted · 67.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    68.4%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    68.1%−0.2
    average punt
  11. Q3 3:33BGSU 4th & 8 at BGSU 18, down 9
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 30.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    28.9%−1.8
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    30.7%
    average punt
  12. Q3 2:05M-OH 4th & 3 at BGSU 49, up 9
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.2 ptsPunted · 71.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    72.8%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    71.5%−1.2
    average punt
  13. Q4 9:47BGSU 4th & 5 at BGSU 30, down 9
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 18.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    18.3%−0.6
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    18.9%
    average punt
  14. Q4 3:45M-OH 4th & 9 at BGSU 22, up 9
    Close callWent for it · 88.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    87.3%−0.9
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    88.1%
    72% to make
    Punt
    82.6%−5.6
    average punt
  15. Q4 2:28BGSU 4th & 3 at BGSU 29, down 9
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 7.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    7.9%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    7.5%−0.4
    average punt
  16. Q4 2:28BGSU 4th & 3 at BGSU 29, down 9
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 7.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    7.9%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    7.5%−0.4
    average punt
  17. Q4 1:14BGSU 4th & 14 at BGSU 21, down 16
    Close callWent for it · 2.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    2.2%−0.1
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    2.2%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
BGSU made the numbers' call on 1 of 1M-OH made the numbers' call on 3 of 4
  1. Q1 6:44M-OH Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    42.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    42.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 2:40M-OH Touchdown, up 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    59.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    59.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q4 11:35BGSU Touchdown, down 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    44.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    44.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 10:35M-OH Touchdown, up 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    79.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    79.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 1:52M-OH Touchdown, up 15 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.1%−0.3
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.3%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
BGSUDrive 1PUNT
10 plays · 35 yds · 3:0258% → 58%
Q1 14:57
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
57.7%
Connor Bazelak pass incomplete to Jamal JohnsonSimilar
Q1 14:45
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+11
57.7%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Malcolm Johnson Jr. for 11 yds to the BGSU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:12
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+13
57.8%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Malcolm Johnson Jr. for 13 yds to the BGSU 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:50
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
57.9%
Connor Bazelak pass incomplete to Harold Fannin Jr.Similar
Q1 13:43
2ND & 10
OWN 49
+13
57.9%
Terion Stewart run for 13 yds to the M-OH 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:35
1ST & 10
OPP 38
-5
58.2%
Connor Bazelak run for a loss of 5 yards to the M-OH 43 Connor Bazelak fumbled, recovered by M-OH Connor BazelakSimilar
Q1 12:35
2ND & 15
OPP 43
0
58.0%
Connor Bazelak pass incomplete to Harold Fannin Jr.Similar
Q1 12:26
3RD & 15
OPP 43
+3
57.9%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Malcolm Johnson Jr. for 3 yds to the M-OH 40Similar
Q1 11:55
4TH & 12
OPP 40
0
57.8%
John Henderson punt for 27 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the M-OH 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 2INT
6 plays · 34 yds · 2:5442% → 43%
Q1 11:44
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+8
57.9%
Brett Gabbert pass complete to Cade McDonald for 8 yds to the M-OH 21Similar
Q1 10:58
2ND & 2
OWN 21
0
57.7%
Brett Gabbert pass incomplete to Cade McDonaldSimilar
Q1 10:48
3RD & 2
OWN 21
+4
58.0%
Dylan Downing run for 4 yds to the M-OH 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:10
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
57.9%
Keyon Mozee run for 7 yds to the M-OH 32Similar
Q1 9:31
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+15
57.6%
Keyon Mozee run for 15 yds to the M-OH 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:50
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
57.2%
Brett Gabbert pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 3PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 1:5458% → 57%
Q1 8:43
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+1
57.8%
Terion Stewart run for 1 yd to the BGSU 14Similar
Q1 8:08
2ND & 9
OWN 14
-4
57.8%
Connor Bazelak sacked by Savio Frazier for a loss of 4 yards to the BGSU 10Similar
Q1 7:27
3RD & 13
OWN 10
+7
57.4%
Terion Stewart run for 7 yds to the BGSU 17Similar
Q1 6:49
4TH & 6
OWN 17
0
57.3%
John Henderson punt for 13 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the BGSU 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 4TD
1 play · 30 yds · 0:0046% → 46%
Q1 6:44
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+30
53.7%
Brett Gabbert pass complete to Cade McDonald for 30 yds for a TD (Dom Dzioban KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 5PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 1:1755% → 54%
Q1 6:29
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+4
54.6%
Terion Stewart run for 4 yds to the BGSU 22Similar
Q1 6:01
2ND & 6
OWN 22
+3
54.6%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Jamal Johnson for 3 yds to the BGSU 25Similar
Q1 5:23
3RD & 3
OWN 25
0
54.1%
Connor Bazelak pass incomplete to Harold Fannin Jr.Similar
Q1 5:12
4TH & 3
OWN 25
+12
53.7%
John Henderson punt for 40 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the M-OH 47 , Cade McDonald returns for 12 yds to the M-OH 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 6INT
9 plays · 36 yds · 4:3647% → 49%
Q1 5:01
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+6
53.1%
Brett Gabbert pass complete to Cade McDonald for 6 yds to the BGSU 47Similar
Q1 4:22
2ND & 4
OPP 47
0
52.5%
Brett Gabbert pass incomplete to Cade McDonaldSimilar
Q1 4:16
3RD & 4
OPP 47
+14
52.7%
Brett Gabbert pass complete to Javon Tracy for 14 yds to the BGSU 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:30
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+12
52.0%
Keyon Mozee run for 12 yds to the BGSU 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:47
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+15
51.5%
Brett Gabbert pass complete to Cade McDonald for 15 yds to the BGSU 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:03
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
-2
51.0%
Kevin Davis run for a loss of 2 yards to the BGSU 8Similar
Q1 2:03
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
-15
51.0%
PENALTY Miami UNR: Unnecessary Roughness (Downing,Dylan) 15 yards from BGSU08 to BGSU23. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 1:10
2ND & GOAL
OPP 23
+6
50.6%
Kevin Davis run for 6 yds to the BGSU 17Similar
Q1 0:25
3RD & GOAL
OPP 17
0
50.7%
Brett Gabbert pass intercepted Jordan Oladokun return for no gain to the BGSU 41 Jordan Oladokun fumbled, recovered by M-OH Darius McclendonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 7PUNT
6 plays · 13 yds · 1:4153% → 51%
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+1
52.9%
Terion Stewart run for 1 yd to the BGSU 42Similar
Q2 14:46
2ND & 9
OWN 42
+10
52.4%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Malcolm Johnson Jr. for 10 yds to the M-OH 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:04
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+2
53.3%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Jamal Johnson for 2 yds to the M-OH 46Similar
Q2 13:19
2ND & 8
OPP 46
0
53.2%
run for no gain to the M-OH 46 fumbled, recovered by M-OH Nate PabstSimilar
Q2 13:19
3RD & 8
OPP 46
0
52.4%
Connor Bazelak pass incomplete to Harold Fannin Jr.Similar
Q2 13:19
4TH & 8
OPP 46
0
51.1%
John Henderson punt for 45 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 8SF
2 plays · -1 yds · 0:5449% → 46%
Q2 13:08
1ST & 10
OWN 1
0
51.0%
Dylan Downing run for no gain to the M-OH 1Similar
Q2 12:14
2ND & 10
OWN 1
0
54.5%
Team SafetySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 9FG
11 plays · 49 yds · 4:1754% → 57%
Q2 12:04
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+4
54.1%
Harold Fannin Jr. run for 4 yds to the BGSU 32Similar
Q2 11:20
2ND & 6
OWN 32
+6
54.1%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Jamal Johnson for 6 yds to the BGSU 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:50
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+10
54.4%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Malcolm Johnson Jr. for 10 yds to the BGSU 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:28
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+5
55.6%
Jamal Johnson run for 5 yds to the M-OH 47Similar
Q2 9:54
2ND & 5
OPP 47
+10
55.6%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Malcolm Johnson Jr. for 10 yds to the M-OH 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:21
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+13
55.5%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Harold Fannin Jr. for 13 yds to the M-OH 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:50
1ST & 10
OPP 24
0
56.5%
Terion Stewart run for no gain to the M-OH 24Similar
Q2 8:15
2ND & 10
OPP 24
+1
56.4%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Harold Fannin Jr. for 1 yd to the M-OH 23Similar
Q2 7:51
3RD & 9
OPP 23
0
54.1%
Connor Bazelak pass incomplete to Harold Fannin Jr.Similar
Q2 7:47
4TH & 9
OPP 23
+41
56.5%
Zach Long 41 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 10TD
9 plays · 82 yds · 4:5546% → 60%
Q2 7:35
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+1
54.0%
Keyon Mozee run for 1 yd to the M-OH 19Similar
Q2 6:53
2ND & 9
OWN 19
+7
54.1%
Keyon Mozee run for 7 yds to the M-OH 26Similar
Q2 6:08
3RD & 2
OWN 26
+5
53.8%
Keyon Mozee run for 5 yds to the M-OH 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:25
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+5
53.2%
Brett Gabbert pass complete to Javon Tracy for 5 yds to the M-OH 36Similar
Q2 4:40
2ND & 5
OWN 36
+6
52.1%
Brett Gabbert pass complete to Reggie Virgil for 6 yds to the M-OH 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:00
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+28
51.6%
Brett Gabbert pass complete to Reggie Virgil for 28 yds to the BGSU 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:24
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+10
50.1%
Brett Gabbert pass complete to Cade McDonald for 10 yds to the BGSU 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:40
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+20
39.7%
Brett Gabbert pass complete to Reggie Virgil for 20 yds for a TD (Dom Dzioban KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 11PUNT
6 plays · 6 yds · 1:3443% → 40%
Q2 2:19
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+1
42.7%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Harold Fannin Jr. for 1 yd to the BGSU 27Similar
Q2 1:41
2ND & 9
OWN 27
0
41.9%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Finn Hogan for no gain to the BGSU 27Similar
Q2 1:30
3RD & 9
OWN 27
+5
40.7%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Harold Fannin Jr. for 5 yds to the BGSU 32Similar
Q2 0:45
4TH & 4
OWN 32
0
39.6%
John Henderson punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Cade McDonald at the M-OH 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 12END OF HALF
1 play · -1 yds · 0:0062% → 62%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 30
-1
37.9%
(00:42) Kneel down by Miami (OH) at Miami29 for loss of 1 yard.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 13PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 1:4661% → 61%
Q3 14:32
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
39.2%
Brett Gabbert pass complete to Cade McDonald for 3 yds to the M-OH 28Similar
Q3 13:58
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+2
38.5%
Keyon Mozee run for 2 yds to the M-OH 30Similar
Q3 13:21
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+2
38.4%
Brett Gabbert pass complete to Reggie Virgil for 2 yds to the M-OH 32Similar
Q3 12:46
4TH & 3
OWN 32
0
39.3%
Alec Bevelhimer punt for 52 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 14INT
3 plays · 11 yds · 1:1039% → 39%
Q3 12:39
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+2
39.3%
Terion Stewart run for 2 yds to the BGSU 15Similar
Q3 12:04
2ND & 8
OWN 15
+9
39.2%
Jamal Johnson run for 9 yds to the BGSU 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:29
1ST & 10
OWN 24
0
39.0%
Connor Bazelak pass intercepted Ty Wise return for no gain to the BGSU 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 15PUNT
6 plays · 1 yds · 0:5765% → 63%
Q3 11:24
1ST & 10
OPP 36
0
35.3%
Brett Gabbert pass incomplete to Javon TracySimilar
Q3 11:18
2ND & 10
OPP 36
0
35.3%
Brett Gabbert pass incomplete to Reggie VirgilSimilar
Q3 11:11
3RD & 10
OPP 36
+6
35.7%
Dylan Downing run for 6 yds to the BGSU 30Similar
Q3 10:37
4TH & 4
OPP 30
-5
37.4%
PENALTY Miami False Start (Young,John) 5 yards from BGSU30 to BGSU35. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 10:27
4TH & 9
OPP 35
0
37.3%
Alec Bevelhimer punt for 32 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 16PUNT
9 plays · 35 yds · 3:2738% → 32%
Q3 10:18
1ST & 10
OWN 3
+4
37.6%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Harold Fannin Jr. for 4 yds to the BGSU 7Similar
Q3 9:41
2ND & 6
OWN 7
+5
37.1%
Terion Stewart run for 5 yds to the BGSU 12Similar
Q3 9:11
3RD & 1
OWN 12
+1
36.3%
Terion Stewart run for 1 yd to the BGSU 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:30
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+27
36.7%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Finn Hogan for 27 yds to the BGSU 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:52
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
37.9%
Connor Bazelak pass incomplete to Harold Fannin Jr.Similar
Q3 7:47
2ND & 10
OWN 40
-2
37.4%
Jaison Patterson run for a loss of 2 yards to the BGSU 38Similar
Q3 6:59
3RD & 12
OWN 38
0
32.7%
Connor Bazelak pass incomplete to Levi GazarekSimilar
Q3 6:51
4TH & 12
OWN 38
0
32.1%
John Henderson punt for 23 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 17PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 1:2669% → 68%
Q3 6:40
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
31.4%
Keyon Mozee run for no gain to the M-OH 39Similar
Q3 5:59
2ND & 10
OWN 39
0
31.5%
Brett Gabbert pass incomplete to Reggie VirgilSimilar
Q3 5:53
3RD & 10
OWN 39
+6
32.4%
Brett Gabbert pass complete to Cade McDonald for 6 yds to the M-OH 45Similar
Q3 5:14
4TH & 4
OWN 45
0
32.0%
Alec Bevelhimer punt for 39 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the BGSU 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 18PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 1:3232% → 29%
Q3 5:05
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+8
32.0%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Rahkeem Smith for 8 yds to the BGSU 24Similar
Q3 4:38
2ND & 2
OWN 24
-10
32.3%
(04:39) No Huddle-Shotgun Stewart,Terion rush left for 0 yards to the BGSU24 (Washington,Nasir; Salopek,Matt) PENALTY BGSU Holding (Fatukasi,Tunde) 10 yards from BGSU24 to BGSU14. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 4:23
2ND & 12
OWN 14
0
30.9%
Connor Bazelak pass incomplete to Malcolm Johnson Jr.Similar
Q3 4:17
3RD & 12
OWN 14
+4
29.6%
Jaison Patterson run for 4 yds to the BGSU 18Similar
Q3 3:33
4TH & 8
OWN 18
0
28.7%
John Henderson punt for 38 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 19PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 1:2371% → 72%
Q3 3:28
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
28.8%
Brett Gabbert pass incomplete to Reggie VirgilSimilar
Q3 3:19
2ND & 10
OWN 44
+3
29.1%
Keyon Mozee run for 3 yds to the M-OH 47Similar
Q3 2:42
3RD & 7
OWN 47
+4
27.8%
Brett Gabbert pass complete to Reggie Virgil for 4 yds to the BGSU 49Similar
Q3 2:05
4TH & 3
OPP 49
0
28.2%
Alec Bevelhimer punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Justin Pegues at the BGSU 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 20TD
11 plays · 92 yds · 5:2028% → 58%
Q3 1:55
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+6
27.7%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Rahkeem Smith for 6 yds to the BGSU 14Similar
Q3 1:20
2ND & 4
OWN 14
+2
27.8%
Harold Fannin Jr. run for 2 yds to the BGSU 16Similar
Q3 0:35
3RD & 2
OWN 16
+9
25.7%
Harold Fannin Jr. pass complete to Levi Gazarek for 9 yds to the BGSU 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
26.6%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Rahkeem Smith for 8 yds to the BGSU 33Similar
Q4 14:53
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+14
28.2%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Harold Fannin Jr. for 14 yds to the BGSU 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:16
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+10
29.0%
Jaison Patterson run for 10 yds to the M-OH 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:34
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+12
30.0%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Levi Gazarek for 12 yds to the M-OH 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:03
1ST & 10
OPP 31
0
31.3%
Connor Bazelak pass incomplete to Rahkeem SmithSimilar
Q4 12:53
2ND & 10
OPP 31
+7
31.1%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Levi Gazarek for 7 yds to the M-OH 24Similar
Q4 12:08
3RD & 3
OPP 24
+22
29.0%
Jamal Johnson run for 22 yds to the M-OH 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:35
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
57.6%
Jaison Patterson run for 2 yds for a TD (Zach Long KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 21TD
3 plays · 76 yds · 0:4557% → 78%
Q4 11:20
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+4
42.7%
Keyon Mozee run for 4 yds to the M-OH 28Similar
Q4 10:35
2ND & 6
OWN 28
+72
22.4%
Brett Gabbert pass complete to Javon Tracy for 72 yds for a TD (Dom Dzioban KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 22PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 0:3520% → 18%
Q4 10:22
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
20.2%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Malcolm Johnson Jr. for 5 yds to the BGSU 30Similar
Q4 9:59
2ND & 5
OWN 30
0
20.4%
Connor Bazelak pass incomplete to Harold Fannin Jr.Similar
Q4 9:54
3RD & 5
OWN 30
0
19.4%
Connor Bazelak pass incomplete to Finn HoganSimilar
Q4 9:47
4TH & 5
OWN 30
0
17.9%
John Henderson punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Cade McDonald at the M-OH 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 23DOWNS
12 plays · 49 yds · 5:5681% → 90%
Q4 9:41
1ST & 10
OWN 29
0
19.3%
Keyon Mozee run for no gain to the M-OH 29Similar
Q4 9:01
2ND & 10
OWN 29
+11
16.9%
Keyon Mozee run for 11 yds to the M-OH 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:24
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+7
14.9%
Brett Gabbert pass complete to Cade McDonald for 7 yds to the M-OH 47Similar
Q4 7:37
2ND & 3
OWN 47
+6
14.3%
Keyon Mozee run for 6 yds to the BGSU 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:47
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
12.8%
Keyon Mozee run for no gain to the BGSU 47Similar
Q4 6:14
2ND & 10
OPP 47
+2
11.8%
Keyon Mozee run for 2 yds to the BGSU 45Similar
Q4 5:22
3RD & 8
OPP 45
+22
11.1%
Brett Gabbert pass complete to Reggie Virgil for 22 yds to the BGSU 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:40
1ST & 10
OPP 23
0
9.3%
Brett Gabbert pass incomplete to Reggie VirgilSimilar
Q4 4:33
2ND & 10
OPP 23
+3
9.7%
Brett Gabbert pass complete to Cade McDonald for 3 yds to the BGSU 26Similar
Q4 3:48
3RD & 13
OPP 26
+4
10.2%
Keyon Mozee run for 4 yds to the BGSU 22Similar
Q4 3:45
4TH & 9
OPP 22
0
10.0%
Brett Gabbert pass incomplete to Javon TracySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 24DOWNS
5 plays · 7 yds · 1:099% → 6%
Q4 3:37
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+3
9.4%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Harold Fannin Jr. for 3 yds to the BGSU 25Similar
Q4 3:19
2ND & 7
OWN 25
-9
8.4%
Connor Bazelak sacked by Brian Ugwu for a loss of 9 yards to the BGSU 16Similar
Q4 2:41
3RD & 16
OWN 16
+13
5.4%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Malcolm Johnson Jr. for 13 yds to the BGSU 29Similar
Q4 2:28
4TH & 3
OWN 29
0
5.5%
Connor Bazelak pass incomplete to Malcolm Johnson Jr.Similar
Q4 2:28
4TH & 3
OWN 29
0
5.5%
Connor Bazelak pass incomplete to Malcolm Johnson Jr.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 25TD
2 plays · 29 yds · 0:2994% → 99%
Q4 2:21
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+2
5.7%
Keyon Mozee run for 2 yds to the BGSU 27Similar
Q4 1:52
2ND & 8
OPP 27
+27
1.3%
Keyon Mozee run for 27 yds for a TD (Dom Dzioban KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 26DOWNS
6 plays · -15 yds · 0:312% → 1%
Q4 1:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-10
2.1%
Connor Bazelak sacked by Corey Suttle for a loss of 10 yards to the BGSU 15Similar
Q4 1:27
2ND & 20
OWN 15
0
2.0%
Connor Bazelak pass incomplete to Harold Fannin Jr.Similar
Q4 1:19
3RD & 20
OWN 15
+6
2.0%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Harold Fannin Jr. for 6 yds to the BGSU 21Similar
Q4 1:14
4TH & 14
OWN 21
-11
1.0%
Connor Bazelak sacked by Adam Trick for a loss of 11 yards to the BGSU 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 27END OF GAME
2 plays · -3 yds · 1:0999% → 99%
Q4 1:09
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
-1
1.2%
(01:14) Kneel down by Miami (OH) at BGSU11 for loss of 1 yard.Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 11
-2
1.1%
(00:29) Kneel down by Miami (OH) at BGSU13 for loss of 2 yards.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 11:35
Jaison Patterson run for 2 yds for a TD (Zach Long KICK)
+28.5
TD · Q4 10:35
Brett Gabbert pass complete to Javon Tracy for 72 yds for a TD (Dom Dzioban KICK)
-20.3
TD · Q2 2:40
Brett Gabbert pass complete to Reggie Virgil for 20 yds for a TD (Dom Dzioban KICK)
-10.4
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com