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NIU

Northern Illinois 9 at Miami (OH) 20

M-OH
2024 · Week 13 · Nov 19, 2024 · Yager Stadium
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Win probability · M-OH
modelM-OH aheadNIU aheadconfidence bandkey playM-OH scoreNIU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDTDFGTDTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 9:46 · Ethan Hampton sacked by Brian Ugwu for a loss of 9 yards to the M-OH 41
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsPregame priorTime remaining
+30.5+15.30−15.3−30.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 95Home team on offense+12.3Garbage-time factor+1.9Score differential+4.9Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+3.4Pregame prior+2.2Time remaining+1.5
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 2:31: Dylan Downing run for 2 yds for a TD (Dom Dzioban KICK) — M-OH win probability +4.0 pts (now 62%) (top driver: M-OH has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 3:50: Javon Tracy pass complete to Reggie Virgil for 30 yds for a TD (Dom Dzioban KICK) — M-OH win probability +15.5 pts (now 85%) (top driver: M-OH has the ball).
  3. FG · Q2 0:04: Kanon Woodill 47 yd FG GOOD — NIU win probability +2.6 pts (now 23%) (top driver: NIU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 11:51: Telly Johnson Jr. run for 2 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed) — NIU win probability +10.4 pts (now 22%) (top driver: NIU has the ball).
  5. FG · Q4 2:25: Dom Dzioban 27 yd FG GOOD — M-OH win probability +1.4 pts (now 97%) (top driver: M-OH has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
M-OH made the numbers' call on 4 of 7NIU made the numbers' call on 7 of 8
  1. Q1 11:22M-OH 4th & 3 at NIU 23, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 57.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    57.0%
    52% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    56.9%−<0.1
    70% to make
    Punt
    56.5%−0.5
    average punt
  2. Q1 8:18NIU 4th & 20 at NIU 25, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 42.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    42.4%−0.6
    9% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    43.0%
    average punt
  3. Q1 7:19M-OH 4th & 5 at M-OH 34, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 56.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    56.4%−0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    56.6%
    average punt
  4. Q1 5:36NIU 4th & 3 at NIU 26, tied
    Close callPunted · 42.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    42.9%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    42.8%−0.1
    average punt
  5. Q2 14:46NIU 4th & 12 at NIU 33, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 36.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    36.2%−1.1
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    37.3%
    average punt
  6. Q2 12:24M-OH 4th & 4 at NIU 4, up 7
    Close callKicked a field goal · 63.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    63.8%
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    63.5%−0.3
    93% to make
    Punt
    59.7%−4.2
    average punt
  7. Q2 6:51NIU 4th & 7 at M-OH 49, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 31.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    31.5%−0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    31.5%
    average punt
  8. Q2 0:04NIU 4th & 9 at M-OH 30, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 18.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    17.2%−0.5
    32% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    17.7%
    56% to make
    Punt
    16.5%−1.2
    average punt
  9. Q3 9:46NIU 4th & 5 at M-OH 32, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 18.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    18.1%
    42% to convert
    Field goal
    17.7%−0.4
    51% to make
    Punt
    16.7%−1.4
    average punt
  10. Q3 7:27M-OH 4th & 6 at M-OH 45, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 86.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    86.2%−0.5
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    86.7%
    average punt
  11. Q3 5:15NIU 4th & 15 at NIU 30, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 14.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.9%−2.2
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    15.1%
    average punt
  12. Q3 0:58M-OH 4th & 9 at M-OH 44, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 91.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    91.1%−1.0
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    92.1%
    average punt
  13. Q4 8:26M-OH 4th & 2 at NIU 40, up 8
    Numbers favored go for it by 2.5 ptsPunted · 87.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    88.1%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    85.1%−3.0
    34% to make
    PuntTheir call
    85.6%−2.5
    average punt
  14. Q4 6:37NIU 4th & 2 at NIU 30, down 8
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 11.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    11.8%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    9.8%−2.0
    average punt
  15. Q4 2:25M-OH 4th & 8 at NIU 9, up 8
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 94.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    93.6%−0.4
    27% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    94.1%
    89% to make
    Punt
    89.8%−4.2
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
M-OH made the numbers' call on 2 of 2NIU made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 2:31M-OH Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    60.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    60.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 3:50M-OH Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    78.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    78.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q4 11:51NIU Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersWent for two · failed
    Kick
    16.4%−<0.1
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    16.4%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
M-OHDrive 1MISSED FG
8 plays · 49 yds · 3:2056% → 56%
Q1 14:42
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+15
55.5%
Brett Gabbert pass complete to Javon Tracy for 15 yds to the M-OH 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:55
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+11
55.6%
Brett Gabbert pass complete to Reggie Virgil for 11 yds to the NIU 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:20
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+16
55.8%
Brett Gabbert pass complete to Reggie Virgil for 16 yds to the NIU 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:38
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
56.0%
Keyon Mozee run for no gain to the NIU 30Similar
Q1 11:58
2ND & 10
OPP 30
0
56.2%
Brett Gabbert pass incomplete to Javon TracySimilar
Q1 11:52
3RD & 10
OPP 30
+7
56.1%
Brett Gabbert pass complete to Kevin Davis for 7 yds to the NIU 23Similar
Q1 11:22
4TH & 3
OPP 23
+41
56.0%
Dom Dzioban 41 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 2PUNT
9 plays · 2 yds · 2:5844% → 44%
Q1 11:16
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+7
55.7%
Gavin Williams run for 7 yds to the NIU 30Similar
Q1 10:45
2ND & 3
OWN 30
0
55.5%
Ethan Hampton pass incomplete to Brock LampeSimilar
Q1 10:40
3RD & 3
OWN 30
+5
55.7%
Ethan Hampton pass complete to Andrew McElroy for 5 yds to the NIU 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:11
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-5
55.7%
(10:11) PENALTY NIU False Start (Lampe,Brock) 5 yards from NIU35 to NIU30. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 9:46
1ST & 15
OWN 30
+4
55.8%
Ethan Hampton pass complete to Gavin Williams for 4 yds to the NIU 34Similar
Q1 9:14
2ND & 11
OWN 34
0
55.8%
Ethan Hampton pass incomplete to Telly Johnson Jr.Similar
Q1 9:01
3RD & 11
OWN 34
-15
56.1%
(09:14) Shotgun Hampton,Ethan pass complete short right to Williams,Gavin caught at NIU32, for 10 yards to the NIU44 (Wise,Ty; Salopek,Matt) PENALTY NIU Tripping (Malcore,Evan) 15 yards from NIU34 to NIU19. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 8:49
3RD & 26
OWN 19
+6
56.0%
Gavin Williams run for 6 yds to the NIU 25Similar
Q1 8:18
4TH & 20
OWN 25
0
56.3%
Tom Foley punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Kevin Davis at the M-OH 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 3PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:5256% → 56%
Q1 8:11
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+5
56.0%
Keyon Mozee run for 5 yds to the M-OH 34Similar
Q1 7:34
2ND & 5
OWN 34
0
56.2%
Brett Gabbert pass incomplete to Kam PerrySimilar
Q1 7:29
3RD & 5
OWN 34
0
55.7%
Brett Gabbert pass incomplete to Jack ColdironSimilar
Q1 7:19
4TH & 5
OWN 34
0
55.5%
Alec Bevelhimer punt for 47 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 4PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 1:3544% → 44%
Q1 7:11
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+6
55.8%
Jaylen Poe run for 6 yds to the NIU 25Similar
Q1 6:28
2ND & 4
OWN 25
+1
55.6%
Ethan Hampton pass complete to Telly Johnson Jr. for 1 yd to the NIU 26Similar
Q1 5:43
3RD & 3
OWN 26
0
56.0%
Ethan Hampton pass incomplete to Cam ThompsonSimilar
Q1 5:36
4TH & 3
OWN 26
0
56.5%
Tom Foley punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Kevin Davis at the M-OH 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 5TD
8 plays · 69 yds · 3:0556% → 62%
Q1 5:36
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+5
56.1%
PENALTY NIU Offside (Williams,Roy) 5 yards from MIA31 to MIA36. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 5:24
1ST & 5
OWN 36
+13
56.7%
Brett Gabbert pass complete to Jack Coldiron for 13 yds to the M-OH 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:47
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+5
57.1%
Kevin Davis run for 5 yds to the NIU 46Similar
Q1 4:03
2ND & 5
OPP 46
+9
57.4%
Brett Gabbert pass complete to Kevin Davis for 9 yds to the NIU 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:14
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+26
57.5%
Brett Gabbert pass complete to Javon Tracy for 26 yds to the NIU 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:36
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+9
57.9%
(02:40) Shotgun Gabbert,Brett pass incomplete short middle to Tracy,Javon thrown to NIU00 broken up by Banner,Santana PENALTY NIU Pass Interference (Banner,Santana) 9 yards from NIU11 to NIU02, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 2:31
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
61.9%
Dylan Downing run for 2 yds for a TD (Dom Dzioban KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 6PUNT
9 plays · 8 yds · 2:3640% → 38%
Q1 2:22
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
60.3%
Trayvon Rudolph run for 9 yds to the NIU 34Similar
Q1 1:47
2ND & 1
OWN 34
0
59.5%
Ethan Hampton pass incomplete to La'Don BryantSimilar
Q1 1:40
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+1
60.1%
Ethan Hampton run for 1 yd to the NIU 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:47
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+1
60.4%
Ethan Hampton run for 1 yd to the NIU 36Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 9
OWN 36
+3
60.7%
Ethan Hampton pass complete to Jaylen Poe for 3 yds to the NIU 33Similar
Q2 14:56
3RD & 12
OWN 33
0
61.9%
Ethan Hampton pass incomplete to Cam ThompsonSimilar
Q2 14:46
4TH & 12
OWN 33
+6
62.0%
Tom Foley punt for 50 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the M-OH 23 , Kevin Davis returns for 6 yds to the M-OH 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 7FG
7 plays · 73 yds · 2:1462% → 63%
Q2 14:38
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+23
61.5%
Keyon Mozee run for 23 yds to the M-OH 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:09
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
63.0%
Keyon Mozee run for no gain to the M-OH 46Similar
Q2 13:15
2ND & 10
OWN 46
+50
62.8%
Brett Gabbert pass complete to Reggie Virgil for 50 yds to the NIU 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:35
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
0
64.1%
Brett Gabbert pass incomplete to Jack ColdironSimilar
Q2 12:31
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
0
64.2%
Brett Gabbert pass incomplete to Javon TracySimilar
Q2 12:27
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
0
63.7%
Brett Gabbert pass incomplete to Reggie VirgilSimilar
Q2 12:24
4TH & GOAL
OPP 4
+22
63.2%
Dom Dzioban 22 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 8PUNT
10 plays · 26 yds · 5:2437% → 33%
Q2 12:15
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
63.5%
Gavin Williams run for 4 yds to the NIU 29Similar
Q2 11:38
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+2
63.0%
Telly Johnson Jr. run for 2 yds to the NIU 31Similar
Q2 10:53
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+5
64.1%
Ethan Hampton run for 5 yds to the NIU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:16
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+8
63.6%
Telly Johnson Jr. run for 8 yds to the NIU 44Similar
Q2 9:34
2ND & 2
OWN 44
+4
63.7%
Jaylen Poe run for 4 yds to the NIU 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:54
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+4
64.0%
Jaylen Poe run for 4 yds to the M-OH 48Similar
Q2 8:13
2ND & 6
OPP 48
+1
64.2%
Jaylen Poe run for 1 yd to the M-OH 47Similar
Q2 7:31
3RD & 5
OPP 47
-2
64.7%
Telly Johnson Jr. run for a loss of 2 yards to the M-OH 49Similar
Q2 6:51
4TH & 7
OPP 49
0
66.6%
Tom Foley punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Kevin Davis at the M-OH 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 9TD
7 plays · 87 yds · 2:5566% → 85%
Q2 6:45
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+1
66.1%
Kevin Davis run for 1 yd to the M-OH 14Similar
Q2 6:02
2ND & 9
OWN 14
+10
66.5%
Northern Illinois Penalty, Defensive Holding (Cade Haberman) to the M-OH 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:39
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+8
67.0%
Brett Gabbert pass complete to Javon Tracy for 8 yds to the M-OH 36Similar
Q2 4:55
2ND & 2
OWN 36
+31
68.1%
Brett Gabbert pass complete to Javon Tracy for 16 yds to the NIU 48 for a 1ST down Northern Illinois Penalty, Targeting (Santana Banner) to the NIU 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:33
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+3
69.4%
Keyon Mozee run for 3 yds to the NIU 30Similar
Q2 3:50
2ND & 7
OPP 30
+30
84.8%
Javon Tracy pass complete to Reggie Virgil for 30 yds for a TD (Dom Dzioban KICK)Similar
Q2 3:50
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-15
84.6%
PENALTY MIA UNS: Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Virgil,Reggie) 15 yards from MIA35 to MIA20. NO PLAY.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 10INT
5 plays · 17 yds · 1:1122% → 22%
Q2 3:40
1ST & 10
OWN 33
0
78.2%
Ethan Hampton pass incomplete to Gavin WilliamsSimilar
Q2 3:34
2ND & 10
OWN 33
+2
78.7%
Telly Johnson Jr. run for 2 yds to the NIU 35Similar
Q2 2:42
3RD & 8
OWN 35
+12
79.8%
Ethan Hampton pass complete to Grayson Barnes for 12 yds to the NIU 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:29
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+3
78.5%
Gavin Williams run for 3 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 11INT
4 plays · 7 yds · 0:0685% → 85%
Q2 1:57
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+5
85.0%
Brett Gabbert pass complete to Javon Tracy for 5 yds to the M-OH 45Similar
Q2 1:51
2ND & 5
OWN 45
+2
84.5%
Keyon Mozee run for 2 yds to the M-OH 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 12FG
5 plays · 1 yds · 1:3323% → 23%
Q2 1:37
1ST & 10
OPP 31
0
76.7%
Ethan Hampton pass incomplete to La'Don BryantSimilar
Q2 1:30
2ND & 10
OPP 31
+5
77.0%
Gavin Williams run for 5 yds to the M-OH 26Similar
Q2 0:46
3RD & 5
OPP 26
-4
77.5%
Ethan Hampton sacked for a loss of 4 yards to the M-OH 30Similar
Q2 0:04
4TH & 9
OPP 30
+47
77.2%
Kanon Woodill 47 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 13END OF HALF
2 plays · -1 yds · 0:0081% → 81%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-1
81.0%
(00:02) Kneel down by Miami (OH) at MIA34 for loss of 1 yard.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 14DOWNS
13 plays · 34 yds · 5:0821% → 19%
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
79.3%
Ethan Hampton pass incomplete to Telly Johnson Jr.Similar
Q3 14:51
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+8
79.4%
Telly Johnson Jr. run for 8 yds to the NIU 33Similar
Q3 14:10
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+2
79.0%
Telly Johnson Jr. run for 2 yds to the NIU 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:30
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+4
79.4%
Telly Johnson Jr. run for 4 yds to the NIU 39Similar
Q3 12:51
2ND & 6
OWN 39
+1
79.2%
Telly Johnson Jr. run for 1 yd to the NIU 40Similar
Q3 12:10
3RD & 5
OWN 40
+10
80.1%
Ethan Hampton pass complete to Grayson Barnes for 10 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:43
1ST & 10
50
0
79.3%
Jaylen Poe run for no gain to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 10:56
2ND & 10
50
+13
80.2%
Trayvon Rudolph pass complete to Brock Lampe for 13 yds to the M-OH 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:34
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+5
79.8%
Telly Johnson Jr. run for 5 yds to the M-OH 32Similar
Q3 9:58
2ND & 5
OPP 32
0
78.8%
Ethan Hampton pass incomplete to Trayvon RudolphSimilar
Q3 9:53
3RD & 5
OPP 32
0
79.9%
Ethan Hampton pass incomplete to Grayson BarnesSimilar
Q3 9:46
4TH & 5
OPP 32
-9
81.3%
Ethan Hampton sacked by Brian Ugwu for a loss of 9 yards to the M-OH 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 15PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 2:1485% → 86%
Q3 9:41
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
85.1%
Keyon Mozee run for no gain to the M-OH 41Similar
Q3 8:54
2ND & 10
OWN 41
-6
85.3%
Brett Gabbert sacked by Roy Williams for a loss of 6 yards to the M-OH 35Similar
Q3 8:12
3RD & 16
OWN 35
+10
84.7%
Keyon Mozee run for 10 yds to the M-OH 45Similar
Q3 7:27
4TH & 6
OWN 45
0
85.8%
Alec Bevelhimer punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Dane Pardridge at the NIU 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 16PUNT
6 plays · 9 yds · 2:0716% → 14%
Q3 7:22
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+4
83.7%
Telly Johnson Jr. run for 4 yds to the NIU 25Similar
Q3 6:38
2ND & 6
OWN 25
+10
83.6%
Ethan Hampton pass complete to La'Don Bryant for 10 yds to the NIU 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:05
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-5
83.6%
Ethan Hampton sacked by Savio Frazier for a loss of 5 yards to the NIU 30Similar
Q3 5:23
2ND & 15
OWN 30
0
85.0%
Ethan Hampton pass incomplete to Andrew McElroySimilar
Q3 5:23
3RD & 15
OWN 30
0
85.3%
Ethan Hampton pass incomplete to Andrew McElroySimilar
Q3 5:15
4TH & 15
OWN 30
0
85.6%
Tom Foley punt for 52 yds, fair catch by Kevin Davis at the M-OH 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 17PUNT
8 plays · 26 yds · 4:0988% → 91%
Q3 5:07
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+13
87.5%
Keyon Mozee run for 13 yds to the M-OH 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:32
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+7
88.6%
Keyon Mozee run for 7 yds to the M-OH 38Similar
Q3 3:50
2ND & 3
OWN 38
-8
89.3%
Brett Gabbert sacked by Devonte O'Malley for a loss of 8 yards to the M-OH 30Similar
Q3 3:00
3RD & 11
OWN 30
+13
88.6%
Brett Gabbert pass complete to Andre Johnson for 13 yds to the M-OH 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:21
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
91.6%
Brett Gabbert pass incomplete to Javon TracySimilar
Q3 2:14
2ND & 10
OWN 43
-8
91.5%
Brett Gabbert sacked by Nate Valcarcel for a loss of 8 yards to the M-OH 35Similar
Q3 1:31
3RD & 18
OWN 35
+9
91.4%
Brett Gabbert pass complete to Javon Tracy for 9 yds to the M-OH 44Similar
Q3 0:58
4TH & 9
OWN 44
0
91.4%
Alec Bevelhimer punt for 17 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the NIU 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 18TD
11 plays · 61 yds · 3:5813% → 22%
Q3 0:49
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+11
87.1%
Trayvon Rudolph run for 11 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:28
1ST & 10
50
+9
86.9%
Ethan Hampton pass complete to Andrew McElroy for 9 yds to the M-OH 41Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 1
OPP 41
+20
87.7%
Gavin Williams run for 20 yds to the M-OH 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:46
1ST & 10
OPP 21
-4
87.0%
Josh Holst run for a loss of 4 yards to the M-OH 25Similar
Q4 14:12
2ND & 14
OPP 25
+13
87.8%
(14:12) Shotgun Hampton,Ethan pass incomplete short left to McElroy,Andrew thrown to MIA21 PENALTY MIA Roughing The Passer (Ugwu,Brian) 13 yards from MIA25 to MIA12, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 14:02
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+9
87.3%
Telly Johnson Jr. run for 9 yds to the M-OH 3Similar
Q4 13:26
2ND & 1
OPP 3
0
87.5%
Telly Johnson Jr. run for no gain to the M-OH 3Similar
Q4 12:44
3RD & 1
OPP 3
+1
88.7%
Ethan Hampton run for 1 yd to the M-OH 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
0
88.3%
Ethan Hampton pass incomplete to Grayson BarnesSimilar
Q4 11:51
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
77.9%
Telly Johnson Jr. run for 2 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed)Similar
Q4 11:51
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
77.9%
PENALTY MIA UNS: Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Ugwu,Brian) 2 yards from MIA03 to MIA01. NO PLAY.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 19PUNT
8 plays · 24 yds · 3:1286% → 87%
Q4 11:38
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+9
86.3%
Keyon Mozee run for 9 yds to the M-OH 45Similar
Q4 10:45
2ND & 1
OWN 45
+7
88.1%
Brett Gabbert run for 7 yds to the NIU 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:55
1ST & 10
OPP 48
-1
88.6%
Brett Gabbert sacked by Jake Gassaway for a loss of 1 yard to the NIU 49Similar
Q4 9:21
2ND & 11
OPP 49
0
88.6%
Brett Gabbert pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 9:10
3RD & 11
OPP 49
+9
87.9%
Brett Gabbert pass complete to Kevin Davis for 9 yds to the NIU 40Similar
Q4 8:26
4TH & 2
OPP 40
0
87.3%
Alec Bevelhimer punt for 31 yds, fair catch by Dane Pardridge at the NIU 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 20FUMBLE
8 plays · 20 yds · 2:2813% → 13%
Q4 8:14
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+13
86.6%
Ethan Hampton pass complete to Brock Lampe for 13 yds to the NIU 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:52
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+9
86.3%
Ethan Hampton pass complete to Andrew McElroy for 9 yds to the NIU 31Similar
Q4 7:35
2ND & 1
OWN 31
0
83.6%
Ethan Hampton pass incomplete to Grayson BarnesSimilar
Q4 7:29
3RD & 1
OWN 31
-1
85.0%
Telly Johnson Jr. run for a loss of 1 yard to the NIU 30Similar
Q4 6:37
4TH & 2
OWN 30
+4
88.6%
Trayvon Rudolph run for 4 yds to the NIU 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:08
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+3
87.5%
Telly Johnson Jr. run for 3 yds to the NIU 37Similar
Q4 5:46
2ND & 7
OWN 37
-8
87.2%
Ethan Hampton sacked by Corey Suttle for a loss of 8 yards to the NIU 25 Ethan Hampton fumbled, recovered by M-OH Brian Ugwu , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 21FG
11 plays · 16 yds · 3:2194% → 97%
Q4 5:46
1ST & 10
OPP 25
-5
93.6%
PENALTY MIA False Start (Nank,Charlie) 5 yards from NIU25 to NIU30. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 5:40
1ST & 15
OPP 30
+1
93.5%
Keyon Mozee run for 1 yd to the NIU 29Similar
Q4 4:54
2ND & 14
OPP 29
+1
94.1%
Keyon Mozee run for 1 yd to the NIU 28Similar
Q4 4:07
3RD & 13
OPP 28
+17
94.0%
Keyon Mozee run for 17 yds to the NIU 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:19
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+1
96.1%
Dylan Downing run for 1 yd to the NIU 10Similar
Q4 3:15
2ND & 9
OPP 10
+3
96.3%
Dylan Downing run for 3 yds to the NIU 7Similar
Q4 3:10
3RD & 6
OPP 7
-2
95.9%
Dylan Downing run for a loss of 2 yards to the NIU 9Similar
Q4 2:25
4TH & 8
OPP 9
+27
97.4%
Dom Dzioban 27 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 22MISSED FG
14 plays · 50 yds · 1:543% → 4%
Q4 2:11
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
97.5%
Josh Holst pass complete to Gavin Williams for no gain to the NIU 25Similar
Q4 1:58
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+5
97.4%
Josh Holst pass complete to Gavin Williams for 5 yds to the NIU 30Similar
Q4 1:54
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+6
97.2%
Josh Holst pass complete to Andrew McElroy for 6 yds to the NIU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:50
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
97.1%
Josh Holst pass incomplete to Gavin WilliamsSimilar
Q4 1:43
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+5
97.1%
Josh Holst run for 5 yds to the NIU 41Similar
Q4 1:37
3RD & 5
OWN 41
+9
97.2%
Josh Holst pass complete to Andrew McElroy for 9 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:31
1ST & 10
50
0
96.9%
Josh Holst pass incomplete to Andrew McElroySimilar
Q4 1:20
2ND & 10
50
+8
97.0%
Josh Holst pass complete to Cam Thompson for 8 yds to the M-OH 42Similar
Q4 0:54
3RD & 2
OPP 42
+3
96.7%
Josh Holst pass complete to Gavin Williams for 3 yds to the M-OH 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:39
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+14
96.5%
Josh Holst run for 14 yds to the M-OH 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:26
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
96.0%
pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:17
2ND & 10
OPP 25
+3
96.4%
Kanon Woodill 42 yd FG BLOCKED blocked by Corey Suttle (00:20) Woodill,Kanon field goal attempt from 42 yards NO GOOD blocked by Suttle,Corey (H: Barnes,Grayson, LS: Hatfield,Isaac), clock 00:17 recovered by MIA Strader,Raion at NIU39 Strader,Raion return 3 yards to the NIU36 (Taylor Jr.,Rickey). , Raion Strader return for 3 yds to the NIU 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 23END OF GAME
1 play · -1 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 36
-1
98.9%
(00:17) Kneel down by Miami (OH) at NIU37 for loss of 1 yard.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 3:50
Javon Tracy pass complete to Reggie Virgil for 30 yds for a TD (Dom Dzioban KICK)
+15.5
TD · Q4 11:51
Telly Johnson Jr. run for 2 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed)
-10.4
TD · Q1 2:31
Dylan Downing run for 2 yds for a TD (Dom Dzioban KICK)
+4
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com