Try the model
M-OH

Miami (OH) 27 at Ball State 21

BALL
2024 · Week 11 · Nov 5, 2024 · Scheumann Stadium
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · BALL
modelBALL aheadM-OH aheadconfidence bandkey playBALL scoreM-OH score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGTDFGTDTDFGFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 2:20 · Brian Cooey Jr. punt for 50 yds for a 1ST down , Kevin Davis returns for 5 yds to the M-OH 22 for a 1ST down
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+35.5+17.80−17.8−35.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 108Pregame prior−10.7Home team on offense+0.7Garbage-time factor−1.2Score differential−0.9Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.6Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.7
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 8:24: Brandon Berger 46 Yd Interception Return (Jackson Courville Kick) — BALL win probability +2.2 pts (now 23%) (top driver: M-OH has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 8:52: Brett Gabbert pass complete to Kevin Davis for 12 yds for a TD (Dom Dzioban KICK) — M-OH win probability +3.8 pts (now 75%) (top driver: M-OH has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 0:33: Brett Gabbert pass complete to Javon Tracy for 10 yds for a TD (Dom Dzioban KICK) — M-OH win probability +8.3 pts (now 83%) (top driver: M-OH has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 8:01: Kadin Semonza pass complete to Justin Bowick for 55 yds for a TD (C. Pickett Run For Two-point Conversion) — BALL win probability +18.9 pts (now 41%) (top driver: BALL has the ball).
  5. FG · Q4 11:13: Dom Dzioban 28 yd FG GOOD — M-OH win probability +7.7 pts (now 67%) (top driver: M-OH has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
BALL made the numbers' call on 7 of 9M-OH made the numbers' call on 6 of 7
  1. Q1 13:33M-OH 4th & 10 at M-OH 25, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 77.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    77.9%−0.1
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    78.0%
    average punt
  2. Q1 8:24M-OH 4th & 8 at BALL 42, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 75.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    75.6%
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    75.5%−0.1
    30% to make
    Punt
    75.6%−<0.1
    average punt
  3. Q2 13:28BALL 4th & 10 at M-OH 10, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 30.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    30.1%−0.3
    24% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    30.4%
    88% to make
    Punt
    28.3%−2.1
    average punt
  4. Q2 4:33BALL 4th & 4 at M-OH 4, down 4
    Close callKicked a field goal · 31.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    30.5%
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    30.0%−0.5
    93% to make
    Punt
    24.5%−6.0
    average punt
  5. Q3 10:33BALL 4th & 5 at BALL 40, down 8
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 22.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    22.5%−0.2
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    22.6%
    average punt
  6. Q3 8:49M-OH 4th & 9 at M-OH 39, up 8
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 77.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    77.4%−1.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    78.5%
    average punt
  7. Q3 6:16M-OH 4th & 2 at M-OH 33, tied
    Close callPunted · 58.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    59.8%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    59.7%−0.1
    average punt
  8. Q3 2:20BALL 4th & 4 at BALL 33, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 44.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    45.3%−0.9
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    46.2%
    average punt
  9. Q3 2:20BALL 4th & 4 at BALL 33, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 44.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    45.3%−0.9
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    46.2%
    average punt
  10. Q4 11:13M-OH 4th & 10 at BALL 10, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 55.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    51.1%−3.0
    24% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    54.1%
    88% to make
    Punt
    35.5%−18.7
    average punt
  11. Q4 9:39BALL 4th & 19 at BALL 16, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 32.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    25.9%−5.6
    10% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    31.5%
    average punt
  12. Q4 9:39BALL 4th & 19 at BALL 16, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 32.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    25.9%−5.6
    10% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    31.5%
    average punt
  13. Q4 7:56M-OH 4th & 12 at M-OH 38, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 67.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    64.0%−4.9
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    68.9%
    average punt
  14. Q4 6:28BALL 4th & 4 at BALL 12, down 3
    Close callPunted · 31.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    29.5%
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    28.5%−1.0
    average punt
  15. Q4 1:48M-OH 4th & 8 at BALL 21, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 85.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    81.3%−3.2
    32% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    84.5%
    74% to make
    Punt
    64.1%−20.4
    average punt
  16. Q4 0:53BALL 4th & 18 at M-OH 42, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 17.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    12.3%
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    10.9%−1.4
    30% to make
    Punt
    10.2%−2.0
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
BALL made the numbers' call on 1 of 2M-OH made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q1 8:24BALL Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    26.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    26.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 5:48M-OH Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    73.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    73.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 8:52M-OH Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    71.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    71.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 0:33M-OH Touchdown, up 7 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    76.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    76.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 8:01BALL Touchdown, down 2 before the try
    Close callWent for two · converted
    Kick
    38.9%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    38.7%−0.2
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
M-OHDrive 1PUNT
6 plays · 0 yds · 1:2382% → 81%
Q1 14:56
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
18.3%
Brett Gabbert pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 14:44
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+5
18.4%
Brett Gabbert pass complete to Reggie Virgil for 5 yds to the M-OH 30Similar
Q1 14:09
3RD & 5
OWN 30
-5
18.7%
PENALTY MIA False Start (Tracy,Javon) 5 yards from MIA30 to MIA25. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 13:44
3RD & 10
OWN 25
0
19.0%
Brett Gabbert pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:33
4TH & 10
OWN 25
0
19.1%
Alec Bevelhimer punt for 44 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 2INT
5 plays · 18 yds · 1:4519% → 20%
Q1 13:30
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
19.1%
Kadin Semonza pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:24
2ND & 10
OWN 31
+12
19.1%
Cam Pickett run for 12 yds to the BALL 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:57
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
19.4%
Kiael Kelly run for no gain to the BALL 43Similar
Q1 12:12
2ND & 10
OWN 43
+6
19.8%
Kadin Semonza pass complete to Qian Magwood for 6 yds to the BALL 49Similar
Q1 11:45
3RD & 4
OWN 49
0
20.1%
Kadin Semonza pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 3INT TD
7 plays · 12 yds · 3:1280% → 77%
Q1 11:36
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+8
19.8%
Keyon Mozee run for 8 yds to the BALL 46Similar
Q1 10:59
2ND & 2
OPP 46
+2
19.9%
Keyon Mozee run for 2 yds to the BALL 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:14
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
20.3%
Brett Gabbert pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 10:01
2ND & 10
OPP 44
+9
20.4%
Brett Gabbert pass complete to Kam Perry for 9 yds to the BALL 35Similar
Q1 9:22
3RD & 1
OPP 35
+2
20.7%
Dylan Downing run for 2 yds to the BALL 37Similar
Q1 8:34
4TH & 3
OPP 37
-5
21.2%
PENALTY MIA Delay Of Game 5 yards from BSU37 to BSU42. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 8:24
4TH & 8
OPP 42
-46
23.4%
Brandon Berger 46 Yd Interception Return (Jackson Courville Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 4TD
6 plays · 75 yds · 2:3077% → 78%
Q1 8:18
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
23.5%
Keyon Mozee run for 1 yd to the M-OH 24Similar
Q1 7:24
2ND & 11
OWN 24
+41
24.3%
Brett Gabbert pass complete to Reggie Virgil for 41 yds to the BALL 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:38
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+1
23.9%
Keyon Mozee run for 1 yd to the BALL 34Similar
Q1 5:57
2ND & 9
OPP 34
0
24.4%
Brett Gabbert pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 5:48
3RD & 9
OPP 34
+34
22.3%
Reggie Virgil 34 Yd pass from Brett Gabbert (Dom Dzioban Kick) (Dom Dzioban KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 5FG
13 plays · 75 yds · 7:0823% → 29%
Q1 5:36
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+7
23.0%
Braedon Sloan run for 7 yds to the BALL 22Similar
Q1 5:00
2ND & 3
OWN 22
+15
23.5%
Vaughn Pemberton run for 15 yds to the BALL 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:18
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+6
24.1%
Kadin Semonza pass complete to Vaughn Pemberton for 6 yds to the BALL 43Similar
Q1 3:47
2ND & 4
OWN 43
+4
24.9%
Kiael Kelly run for 4 yds to the BALL 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:16
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+10
25.3%
Tj Horton run for 10 yds to the M-OH 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:26
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+6
26.1%
Kadin Semonza pass complete to Tanner Koziol for 6 yds to the M-OH 37Similar
Q1 1:53
2ND & 4
OPP 37
+5
26.5%
Kiael Kelly run for 5 yds to the M-OH 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:08
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+23
27.3%
Kadin Semonza pass complete to Tanner Koziol for 23 yds to the M-OH 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
0
28.1%
Kadin Semonza pass complete to Qian Magwood for no gain to the M-OH 9Similar
Q2 14:55
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
+1
28.2%
Kiael Kelly run for 1 yd to the M-OH 8Similar
Q2 14:05
3RD & GOAL
OPP 8
-2
28.3%
Kadin Semonza sacked by Corey Suttle for a loss of 2 yards to the M-OH 10Similar
Q2 13:28
4TH & GOAL
OPP 10
+27
28.6%
Jackson Courville 27 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 6TD
10 plays · 68 yds · 4:2472% → 75%
Q2 13:16
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
28.5%
Brett Gabbert pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 13:10
2ND & 10
OWN 32
+6
28.8%
Keyon Mozee run for 6 yds to the M-OH 38Similar
Q2 12:12
3RD & 4
OWN 38
+5
28.9%
Brett Gabbert pass complete to Javon Tracy for 5 yds to the M-OH 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:42
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+25
28.8%
Keyon Mozee run for 25 yds to the BALL 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:51
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+9
28.4%
Brett Gabbert pass complete to Reggie Virgil for 9 yds to the BALL 23Similar
Q2 10:24
2ND & 1
OPP 23
+6
28.5%
Keyon Mozee run for 6 yds to the BALL 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:41
1ST & 10
OPP 17
0
28.7%
Brett Gabbert pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 9:35
2ND & 10
OPP 17
+5
28.8%
Keyon Mozee run for 5 yds to the BALL 12Similar
Q2 8:52
3RD & 5
OPP 12
+12
25.0%
Brett Gabbert pass complete to Kevin Davis for 12 yds for a TD (Dom Dzioban KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 7FG
9 plays · 71 yds · 4:1127% → 32%
Q2 8:44
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
26.6%
Kadin Semonza pass complete to Cam Pickett for 5 yds to the BALL 30Similar
Q2 8:15
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+4
27.2%
Tj Horton run for 4 yds to the BALL 26Similar
Q2 7:26
3RD & 9
OWN 26
+12
25.6%
Kadin Semonza pass complete to Justin Bowick for 12 yds to the BALL 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:46
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+57
27.5%
Kadin Semonza pass complete to Justin Bowick for 57 yds to the M-OH 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:07
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+2
30.1%
Kiael Kelly run for 2 yds to the M-OH 7Similar
Q2 5:22
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
0
30.6%
Kadin Semonza pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 5:10
3RD & GOAL
OPP 7
+3
29.6%
Kadin Semonza pass complete to Christian Abney for 3 yds to the M-OH 4Similar
Q2 4:33
4TH & GOAL
OPP 4
+21
31.6%
Jackson Courville 21 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 8TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 3:5571% → 83%
Q2 4:28
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
28.9%
(04:33) Shotgun Gabbert,Brett pass incomplete short left to Tracy,Javon thrown to MIA40 PENALTY BSU Pass Interference (Baldwin,Thailand) 15 yards from MIA25 to MIA40, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 4:22
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+1
27.6%
Keyon Mozee run for 1 yd to the M-OH 41Similar
Q2 3:34
2ND & 9
OWN 41
+12
28.2%
Brett Gabbert pass complete to Reggie Virgil for 12 yds to the BALL 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:50
1ST & 10
OPP 47
-9
27.5%
Brett Gabbert sacked by Scott Hudson for a loss of 9 yards to the M-OH 44Similar
Q2 2:05
2ND & 19
OWN 44
+16
29.4%
Brett Gabbert pass complete to Javon Tracy for 16 yds to the BALL 40Similar
Q2 1:52
3RD & 3
OPP 40
+30
26.5%
Brett Gabbert pass complete to Javon Tracy for 30 yds to the BALL 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:19
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
0
25.7%
Keyon Mozee run for no gain to the BALL 10Similar
Q2 0:33
2ND & GOAL
OPP 10
+10
17.3%
Brett Gabbert pass complete to Javon Tracy for 10 yds for a TD (Dom Dzioban KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 9INT
11 plays · 36 yds · 0:2820% → 22%
Q2 0:28
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
20.4%
Kadin Semonza pass complete to Tanner Koziol for 10 yds to the BALL 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:20
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
20.7%
Kadin Semonza pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:14
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+11
20.6%
Kadin Semonza pass complete to Justin Bowick for 11 yds to the BALL 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:08
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+10
22.0%
Kadin Semonza pass complete to Tanner Koziol for 10 yds to the M-OH 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+5
21.7%
Kadin Semonza pass complete to Christian Abney for 5 yds to the M-OH 39Similar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 5
OPP 39
0
21.7%
Kadin Semonza pass intercepted Corban Hondru return for no gain to the M-OH 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 10PUNT
10 plays · 27 yds · 4:1821% → 20%
Q3 14:51
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+1
21.3%
Vaughn Pemberton run for 1 yd to the BALL 14Similar
Q3 14:02
2ND & 9
OWN 14
+3
20.5%
Cam Pickett run for 3 yds to the BALL 17Similar
Q3 13:12
3RD & 6
OWN 17
+8
19.8%
Kadin Semonza pass complete to Braedon Sloan for 8 yds to the BALL 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:41
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
20.6%
Vaughn Pemberton run for 2 yds to the BALL 27Similar
Q3 11:54
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+8
20.8%
Kadin Semonza pass complete to Cam Pickett for 8 yds to the BALL 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:23
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
21.1%
Kadin Semonza pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 11:16
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+5
20.9%
Vaughn Pemberton run for 5 yds to the BALL 40Similar
Q3 10:40
3RD & 5
OWN 40
0
21.7%
Kadin Semonza pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 10:33
4TH & 5
OWN 40
0
20.4%
Brian Cooey Jr. punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Kevin Davis at the M-OH 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 11PUNT
5 plays · 19 yds · 1:3280% → 80%
Q3 10:21
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+18
20.2%
Brett Gabbert run for 18 yds to the M-OH 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:44
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+1
18.5%
Keyon Mozee run for 1 yd to the M-OH 39Similar
Q3 9:02
2ND & 9
OWN 39
0
18.1%
Brett Gabbert pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 8:58
3RD & 9
OWN 39
0
18.6%
Brett Gabbert pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 8:49
4TH & 9
OWN 39
0
20.5%
Alec Bevelhimer punt for 31 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 12TD
4 plays · 70 yds · 0:3821% → 41%
Q3 8:39
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+15
21.3%
Kadin Semonza pass complete to Justin Bowick for 15 yds to the BALL 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:13
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
22.9%
Kadin Semonza pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 8:09
2ND & 10
OWN 45
0
22.0%
Kadin Semonza pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 8:01
3RD & 10
OWN 45
+55
40.9%
Kadin Semonza pass complete to Justin Bowick for 55 yds for a TD (C. Pickett Run For Two-point Conversion)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 13PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 1:3463% → 61%
Q3 7:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
37.4%
Keyon Mozee run for 3 yds to the M-OH 28Similar
Q3 7:08
2ND & 7
OWN 28
0
37.2%
Brett Gabbert pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 7:00
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+5
39.0%
Brett Gabbert run for 5 yds to the M-OH 33Similar
Q3 6:16
4TH & 2
OWN 33
0
38.9%
Alec Bevelhimer punt for 53 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 14PUNT
8 plays · 19 yds · 3:5142% → 42%
Q3 6:11
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+3
41.5%
Braedon Sloan run for 3 yds to the BALL 17Similar
Q3 5:33
2ND & 7
OWN 17
+4
41.9%
Kiael Kelly run for 4 yds to the BALL 21Similar
Q3 4:49
3RD & 3
OWN 21
+6
40.6%
Braedon Sloan run for 6 yds to the BALL 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:05
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+4
43.2%
Kadin Semonza pass complete to Justin Bowick for 4 yds to the BALL 31Similar
Q3 3:27
2ND & 6
OWN 31
+4
44.2%
Kadin Semonza pass complete to Cam Pickett for 4 yds to the BALL 35Similar
Q3 3:11
3RD & 2
OWN 35
+2
44.3%
Vaughn Pemberton run for 2 yds to the BALL 33Similar
Q3 2:20
4TH & 4
OWN 33
+5
42.4%
Brian Cooey Jr. punt for 50 yds for a 1ST down , Kevin Davis returns for 5 yds to the M-OH 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:20
4TH & 4
OWN 33
+6
42.4%
Brian Cooey Jr. punt for 50 yds for a 1ST down , Kevin Davis returns for 6 yds to the M-OH 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 15FG
14 plays · 52 yds · 5:4862% → 67%
Q3 2:01
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
38.1%
Keyon Mozee run for no gain to the M-OH 38Similar
Q3 1:29
2ND & 10
OWN 38
+5
38.8%
Keyon Mozee run for 5 yds to the M-OH 43Similar
Q3 0:00
3RD & 5
OWN 43
+7
39.4%
Brett Gabbert pass complete to Javon Tracy for 7 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:57
1ST & 10
50
0
37.6%
Brett Gabbert pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 14:51
2ND & 10
50
+15
38.6%
Keyon Mozee run for 15 yds to the BALL 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:08
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+1
36.1%
Keyon Mozee run for 1 yd to the BALL 34Similar
Q4 13:31
2ND & 9
OPP 34
+17
36.6%
Brett Gabbert pass complete to Javon Tracy for 17 yds to the BALL 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:48
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+12
36.1%
Brett Gabbert pass complete to Jack Coldiron for 12 yds to the BALL 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:08
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
0
36.4%
Brett Gabbert pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 11:55
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
-5
37.3%
Brett Gabbert pass complete to Kevin Davis for a loss of 5 yards to the BALL 10Similar
Q4 11:16
3RD & GOAL
OPP 10
0
40.4%
Brett Gabbert pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 11:13
4TH & GOAL
OPP 10
+28
32.6%
Dom Dzioban 28 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 16PUNT
6 plays · -9 yds · 1:3037% → 34%
Q4 11:09
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
37.2%
Kadin Semonza pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 11:01
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+1
36.9%
Kiael Kelly run for 1 yd to the BALL 26Similar
Q4 10:23
3RD & 9
OWN 26
-10
34.4%
Kadin Semonza sacked by Corey Suttle for a loss of 10 yards to the BALL 16Similar
Q4 9:39
4TH & 19
OWN 16
+1
33.6%
Brian Cooey Jr. punt for 45 yds , Kevin Davis returns for 1 yd to the M-OH 40Similar
Q4 9:39
4TH & 19
OWN 16
+1
33.6%
Brian Cooey Jr. punt for 45 yds , Kevin Davis returns for 1 yd to the M-OH 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 17PUNT
5 plays · -2 yds · 1:3572% → 67%
Q4 9:31
1ST & 10
OWN 40
-10
28.2%
(09:39) Shotgun Mozee,Keyon rush left for 25 yards gain to the BSU35 (Newson,Keionte; Udo,George) PENALTY MIA Holding (Young,John) 10 yards from MIA40 to MIA30. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 8:56
1ST & 20
OWN 30
0
32.2%
Brett Gabbert pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 8:53
2ND & 20
OWN 30
0
32.6%
Brett Gabbert pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 8:46
3RD & 20
OWN 30
+8
33.9%
Keyon Mozee run for 8 yds to the M-OH 38Similar
Q4 7:56
4TH & 12
OWN 38
0
33.5%
Alec Bevelhimer punt for 54 yds , Qian Magwood returns for no gain to the BALL 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 18PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 1:2137% → 33%
Q4 7:49
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+5
36.6%
Kadin Semonza pass complete to Justin Bowick for 5 yds to the BALL 11Similar
Q4 7:18
2ND & 5
OWN 11
+1
36.4%
Kadin Semonza pass complete to Cam Pickett for 1 yd to the BALL 12Similar
Q4 6:36
3RD & 4
OWN 12
0
34.1%
Kadin Semonza pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 6:28
4TH & 4
OWN 12
0
32.5%
Brian Cooey Jr. punt for 33 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the BALL 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 19FG
10 plays · 24 yds · 4:3176% → 91%
Q4 6:19
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
24.1%
Keyon Mozee run for no gain to the BALL 45Similar
Q4 5:41
2ND & 10
OPP 45
+5
22.9%
Keyon Mozee run for 5 yds to the BALL 40Similar
Q4 4:50
3RD & 5
OPP 40
+5
22.3%
Brett Gabbert pass complete to Kevin Davis for 5 yds to the BALL 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:11
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+9
19.9%
Keyon Mozee run for 9 yds to the BALL 26Similar
Q4 3:13
2ND & 1
OPP 26
+3
18.2%
Keyon Mozee run for 3 yds to the BALL 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:29
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+2
16.4%
Keyon Mozee run for 2 yds to the BALL 21Similar
Q4 1:56
2ND & 8
OPP 21
0
11.1%
Brett Gabbert pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:52
3RD & 8
OPP 21
0
11.2%
Brett Gabbert pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:48
4TH & 8
OPP 21
+39
9.1%
Dom Dzioban 39 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 20DOWNS
8 plays · 33 yds · 0:4817% → 12%
Q4 1:41
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+12
17.4%
Kadin Semonza pass complete to Justin Bowick for 12 yds to the BALL 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:31
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+29
17.3%
Kadin Semonza pass complete to Malcolm Gillie for 14 yds to the M-OH 49 for a 1ST down Miami (OH) Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (Eli Blakey) to the M-OH 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:26
1ST & 10
OPP 34
0
24.9%
Kadin Semonza pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:10
2ND & 10
OPP 34
+1
22.8%
Kadin Semonza run for 1 yd to the M-OH 35Similar
Q4 0:59
3RD & 11
OPP 35
-7
18.3%
Kadin Semonza sacked by Matt Salopek for a loss of 7 yards to the M-OH 42Similar
Q4 0:53
4TH & 18
OPP 42
0
12.2%
Kadin Semonza pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 21END OF GAME
5 plays · -8 yds · 0:5295% → 94%
Q4 0:52
1ST & 10
OWN 42
-1
5.3%
(00:53) Kneel down by Miami (OH) at MIA41 for loss of 1 yard.Similar
Q4 0:47
2ND & 11
OWN 41
-1
5.3%
(00:51) Kneel down by Miami (OH) at MIA40 for loss of 1 yard.Similar
Q4 0:15
3RD & 12
OWN 40
-5
5.8%
PENALTY MIA Illegal Formation 5 yards from MIA40 to MIA35. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 0:00
3RD & 17
OWN 35
-1
5.6%
(00:11) Kneel down by Miami (OH) at MIA34 for loss of 1 yard.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 8:01
Kadin Semonza pass complete to Justin Bowick for 55 yds for a TD (C. Pickett Run For Two-point Conversion)
+18.9
TD · Q2 0:33
Brett Gabbert pass complete to Javon Tracy for 10 yds for a TD (Dom Dzioban KICK)
-8.3
FG · Q4 11:13
Dom Dzioban 28 yd FG GOOD
-7.7
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com