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CMU

Central Michigan 7 at Miami (OH) 46

M-OH
2024 · Week 9 · Oct 26, 2024 · Yager Stadium
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Win probability · M-OH
modelM-OH aheadCMU aheadconfidence bandkey playM-OH scoreCMU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDTDFGFGFGFGTDFGTDTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 7:34 · David Chapeau punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Cade McDonald at the M-OH 37
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+36.5+18.30−18.3−36.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 100Home team on offense+12.1Pregame prior+10.3Score differential+5.2Garbage-time factor+1.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+1.7Blowout margin+1.0
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 1:59: Myles Bailey run for 2 yds for a TD (Tristan Mattson KICK) — CMU win probability +2.4 pts (now 30%) (top driver: CMU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 14:49: Henry Hesson pass complete to Reggie Virgil for 9 yds for a TD (Dom Dzioban KICK) — M-OH win probability +2.4 pts (now 75%) (top driver: M-OH has the ball).
  3. FG · Q2 6:29: Dom Dzioban 22 yd FG GOOD — M-OH win probability +3.2 pts (now 77%) (top driver: M-OH has the ball).
  4. FG · Q3 9:19: Dom Dzioban 51 yd FG GOOD — M-OH win probability +3.2 pts (now 86%) (top driver: M-OH has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 6:18: Brett Gabbert pass complete to Javon Tracy for 36 yds for a TD (Dom Dzioban KICK) — M-OH win probability +7.5 pts (now 96%) (top driver: M-OH has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
M-OH made the numbers' call on 6 of 8CMU made the numbers' call on 6 of 8
  1. Q1 10:02M-OH 4th & 13 at CMU 13, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 74.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    74.7%−0.2
    17% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    74.8%
    85% to make
    Punt
    74.2%−0.6
    average punt
  2. Q1 5:00CMU 4th & 1 at M-OH 24, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 25.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    25.8%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    25.3%−0.5
    68% to make
    Punt
    23.9%−1.9
    average punt
  3. Q2 12:02CMU 4th & 22 at CMU 15, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 25.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    24.4%−1.6
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    26.0%
    average punt
  4. Q2 10:12M-OH 4th & 1 at CMU 23, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 73.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    72.8%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    71.7%−1.1
    70% to make
    Punt
    68.9%−4.0
    average punt
  5. Q2 6:29M-OH 4th & 4 at CMU 4, up 3
    Close callKicked a field goal · 73.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    72.7%
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    72.3%−0.4
    93% to make
    Punt
    67.7%−5.0
    average punt
  6. Q2 4:29CMU 4th & 4 at CMU 31, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 24.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    24.1%−0.4
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    24.5%
    average punt
  7. Q2 3:26M-OH 4th & 13 at M-OH 6, up 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 75.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    73.0%−2.6
    18% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    75.6%
    average punt
  8. Q2 1:56CMU 4th & 4 at M-OH 28, down 6
    Close callKicked a field goal · 26.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    26.3%
    48% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    25.9%−0.4
    60% to make
    Punt
    22.0%−4.3
    average punt
  9. Q3 13:07CMU 4th & 19 at CMU 16, down 9
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 19.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    17.0%−2.7
    10% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    19.7%
    average punt
  10. Q3 9:19M-OH 4th & 9 at CMU 33, up 9
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 82.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    81.6%−0.3
    32% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    81.9%
    49% to make
    Punt
    80.9%−0.9
    average punt
  11. Q3 7:34CMU 4th & 1 at CMU 20, down 12
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.1 ptsPunted · 13.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.2%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    13.1%−1.1
    average punt
  12. Q4 13:25M-OH 4th & 7 at CMU 26, up 19
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 97.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.4%−0.2
    36% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    97.6%
    64% to make
    Punt
    95.3%−2.3
    average punt
  13. Q4 12:53CMU 4th & 10 at CMU 30, down 22
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.1%−0.3
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.4%
    average punt
  14. Q4 8:32CMU 4th & 11 at CMU 32, down 29
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−0.1
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  15. Q4 3:40M-OH 4th & 8 at CMU 27, up 36
    Close callWent for it · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.9%−<0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    99.9%
    62% to make
    Punt
    99.6%−0.3
    average punt
  16. Q4 0:51M-OH 4th & 14 at CMU 23, up 36
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%−0.1
    17% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    100.0%
    70% to make
    Punt
    99.7%−0.3
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
M-OH made the numbers' call on 4 of 4CMU made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 1:59CMU Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    29.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    29.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 14:49M-OH Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    73.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    73.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 6:18M-OH Touchdown, up 18 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 11:19M-OH Touchdown, up 28 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 6:48M-OH Touchdown, up 35 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
M-OHDrive 1FG
11 plays · 65 yds · 4:3776% → 76%
Q1 14:39
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+8
76.2%
Brett Gabbert pass complete to Javon Tracy for 8 yds to the M-OH 30Similar
Q1 13:57
2ND & 2
OWN 30
+22
76.1%
Brett Gabbert pass complete to Reggie Virgil for 22 yds to the CMU 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:20
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+2
76.1%
Keyon Mozee run for 2 yds to the CMU 46Similar
Q1 12:43
2ND & 8
OPP 46
-5
76.1%
PENALTY MIA False Start (Borders,Kolby) 5 yards from CMU46 to MIA49. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 12:14
2ND & 13
OWN 49
+41
75.8%
Brett Gabbert pass complete to Javon Tracy for 41 yds to the CMU 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:24
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
0
75.9%
Dylan Downing run for no gain to the CMU 10Similar
Q1 10:50
2ND & GOAL
OPP 10
-15
75.9%
(10:53) Shotgun Gabbert,Brett pass complete short left to McDonald,Cade caught at CMU05, for 10 yards to the CMU00 TOUCHDOWN nullified by penalty, clock 10:50 PENALTY MIA Pass Interference (Tracy,Javon) 15 yards from CMU10 to CMU25. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 10:45
2ND & GOAL
OPP 25
0
75.7%
Brett Gabbert pass incomplete to Reggie VirgilSimilar
Q1 10:37
3RD & GOAL
OPP 25
+12
75.5%
Brett Gabbert pass complete to Javon Tracy for 12 yds to the CMU 13Similar
Q1 10:02
4TH & GOAL
OPP 13
+31
75.5%
Dom Dzioban 31 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 2TD
16 plays · 75 yds · 7:5724% → 30%
Q1 9:56
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
75.6%
Marion Lukes run for 15 yds to the CMU 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:18
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+9
75.3%
Tyler Jefferson pass complete to Chris Parker for 9 yds to the CMU 49Similar
Q1 8:49
2ND & 1
OWN 49
0
74.9%
Marion Lukes run for no gain to the CMU 49Similar
Q1 8:05
3RD & 1
OWN 49
+1
74.9%
Marion Lukes run for 1 yd to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:22
1ST & 10
50
+17
74.7%
Tyler Jefferson run for 17 yds to the M-OH 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:43
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+2
74.3%
B.J. Harris run for 2 yds to the M-OH 31Similar
Q1 6:11
2ND & 8
OPP 31
+7
74.2%
Tyler Jefferson pass complete to Evan Boyd for 7 yds to the M-OH 24Similar
Q1 5:41
3RD & 1
OPP 24
0
74.2%
Tyler Jefferson run for no gain to the M-OH 24Similar
Q1 5:00
4TH & 1
OPP 24
+4
74.5%
Marion Lukes run for 4 yds to the M-OH 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:17
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+2
73.6%
Myles Bailey run for 2 yds to the M-OH 18Similar
Q1 3:36
2ND & 8
OPP 18
+9
73.4%
Tyler Jefferson run for 9 yds to the M-OH 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:56
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+8
73.2%
Miami (OH) Penalty, Face Mask (8 yards) (8 Yards) to the M-OH 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:39
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
73.0%
Marion Lukes run for 1 yd to the M-OH 2Similar
Q1 2:03
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
0
72.6%
Tyler Jefferson pass incomplete to Chris ParkerSimilar
Q1 1:59
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
70.2%
Myles Bailey run for 2 yds for a TD (Tristan Mattson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 3TD
6 plays · 75 yds · 2:0271% → 75%
Q1 1:51
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-4
71.0%
Brett Gabbert sacked by Michael Heldman for a loss of 4 yards to the M-OH 21Similar
Q1 1:21
2ND & 14
OWN 21
+72
70.6%
Keyon Mozee run for 72 yds to the CMU 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+2
72.2%
Dylan Downing run for 2 yds to the CMU 9Similar
Q2 14:55
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
0
72.2%
Henry Hesson pass incomplete to Javon TracySimilar
Q2 14:49
3RD & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
74.5%
Henry Hesson pass complete to Reggie Virgil for 9 yds for a TD (Dom Dzioban KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 4PUNT
6 plays · 2 yds · 2:2526% → 26%
Q2 14:27
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+14
73.8%
Tyler Jefferson pass complete to Evan Boyd for 14 yds to the CMU 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:03
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+5
73.5%
Marion Lukes run for 5 yds to the CMU 22Similar
Q2 13:28
2ND & 15
OWN 22
+2
73.8%
Myles Bailey run for 2 yds to the CMU 24Similar
Q2 12:45
3RD & 13
OWN 24
-9
74.1%
Tyler Jefferson sacked by Adam Trick for a loss of 9 yards to the CMU 15Similar
Q2 12:02
4TH & 22
OWN 15
0
74.5%
David Chapeau punt for 35 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 5FG
14 plays · 46 yds · 5:2674% → 77%
Q2 11:55
1ST & 10
50
+15
74.3%
Central Michigan Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (15 Yards) to the CMU 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:34
1ST & 10
OPP 32
0
74.7%
Henry Hesson pass incomplete to Keyon MozeeSimilar
Q2 11:29
2ND & 10
OPP 32
+7
74.7%
Cade McDonald run for 7 yds to the CMU 25Similar
Q2 10:49
3RD & 3
OPP 25
+2
74.0%
Keyon Mozee run for 2 yds to the CMU 23Similar
Q2 10:12
4TH & 1
OPP 23
+1
73.1%
Dylan Downing run for 1 yd to the CMU 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:25
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+12
74.5%
Henry Hesson pass complete to Reggie Virgil for 12 yds to the CMU 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:40
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
0
74.4%
Kevin Davis run for no gain to the CMU 10Similar
Q2 8:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 10
0
75.0%
Henry Hesson pass incomplete to Cade McDonaldSimilar
Q2 7:57
3RD & GOAL
OPP 10
+5
74.2%
(08:00) Shotgun Hesson,Henry pass incomplete short left to Tracy,Javon thrown to CMU00 PENALTY CMU Roughing The Passer (Davis,Jaden) 5 yards from CMU10 to CMU05, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 7:50
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+3
75.0%
Keyon Mozee run for 3 yds to the CMU 2Similar
Q2 7:09
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
74.9%
Keyon Mozee run for 2 yds to the CMU 4Similar
Q2 6:32
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
0
74.2%
Henry Hesson pass incomplete to Kevin DavisSimilar
Q2 6:29
4TH & GOAL
OPP 4
+22
77.4%
Dom Dzioban 22 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 6PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 1:5525% → 24%
Q2 6:24
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
75.0%
Marion Lukes run for 3 yds to the CMU 28Similar
Q2 5:53
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+3
74.7%
Marion Lukes run for 3 yds to the CMU 31Similar
Q2 5:13
3RD & 4
OWN 31
0
74.8%
Marion Lukes run for no gain to the CMU 31Similar
Q2 4:29
4TH & 4
OWN 31
0
75.6%
David Chapeau punt for 60 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 7PUNT
4 plays · -3 yds · 0:5677% → 75%
Q2 4:22
1ST & 10
OWN 9
0
76.5%
Henry Hesson pass incomplete to Cade McDonaldSimilar
Q2 4:16
2ND & 10
OWN 9
+3
76.3%
Keyon Mozee run for 3 yds to the M-OH 6Similar
Q2 3:36
3RD & 13
OWN 6
0
75.6%
Henry Hesson pass incomplete to Javon TracySimilar
Q2 3:26
4TH & 13
OWN 6
+6
74.9%
Alec Bevelhimer punt for 46 yds , Donte Kent returns for 6 yds to the M-OH 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 8MISSED FG
6 plays · 18 yds · 1:2028% → 27%
Q2 3:16
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+12
72.3%
Tyler Jefferson pass complete to Solomon Davis for 12 yds to the M-OH 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:49
1ST & 10
OPP 34
0
71.0%
Tyler Jefferson pass incomplete to Tommy McIntoshSimilar
Q2 2:41
2ND & 10
OPP 34
+3
71.1%
B.J. Harris run for 3 yds to the M-OH 37Similar
Q2 2:00
3RD & 13
OPP 37
+9
73.5%
Tyler Jefferson run for 9 yds to the M-OH 28Similar
Q2 1:56
4TH & 4
OPP 28
+46
72.7%
Tristan Mattson 46 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 9FG
13 plays · 67 yds · 1:4877% → 79%
Q2 1:49
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+13
76.8%
Keyon Mozee run for 13 yds to the M-OH 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:35
1ST & 10
OWN 41
-5
78.2%
PENALTY MIA False Start (Daniel,Preston) 5 yards from MIA41 to MIA36. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 1:16
1ST & 15
OWN 36
+2
76.9%
Keyon Mozee run for 2 yds to the M-OH 38Similar
Q2 0:47
2ND & 13
OWN 38
+15
77.0%
Henry Hesson pass complete to Cade McDonald for 15 yds to the CMU 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:41
1ST & 10
OPP 47
-5
78.8%
Henry Hesson sacked by Jaden Davis for a loss of 5 yards to the M-OH 48Similar
Q2 0:32
2ND & 15
OWN 48
+19
74.7%
Henry Hesson pass complete to Kam Perry for 19 yds to the CMU 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:19
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+7
76.3%
Henry Hesson run for 7 yds to the CMU 26Similar
Q2 0:13
2ND & 3
OPP 26
0
76.0%
Henry Hesson pass incomplete to Cade McDonaldSimilar
Q2 0:07
3RD & 3
OPP 26
+21
74.9%
Henry Hesson pass complete to Javon Tracy for 21 yds to the CMU 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:05
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
0
76.0%
Henry Hesson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:01
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+23
78.5%
Dom Dzioban 23 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 10END OF HALF
2 plays · 2 yds · 0:0021% → 21%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
78.7%
Marion Lukes run for 2 yds to the CMU 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 11PUNT
5 plays · -9 yds · 1:4821% → 19%
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
79.5%
Marion Lukes run for 2 yds to the CMU 27Similar
Q3 14:19
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+7
79.4%
Marion Lukes run for 7 yds to the CMU 20Similar
Q3 13:43
3RD & 15
OWN 20
+4
80.5%
Marion Lukes run for 4 yds to the CMU 16Similar
Q3 13:07
4TH & 19
OWN 16
0
81.1%
David Chapeau punt for 32 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the CMU 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 12FG
8 plays · 15 yds · 3:3782% → 86%
Q3 12:56
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+6
81.9%
Brett Gabbert pass complete to Cade McDonald for 6 yds to the CMU 42Similar
Q3 12:15
2ND & 4
OPP 42
+3
81.9%
Keyon Mozee run for 3 yds to the CMU 39Similar
Q3 11:34
3RD & 1
OPP 39
+5
82.5%
Keyon Mozee run for 5 yds to the CMU 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:50
1ST & 10
OPP 34
-4
83.5%
Brett Gabbert sacked by Michael Heldman for a loss of 4 yards to the CMU 38Similar
Q3 10:00
2ND & 14
OPP 38
+5
83.3%
Brett Gabbert pass complete to Kam Perry for 5 yds to the CMU 33Similar
Q3 9:24
3RD & 9
OPP 33
0
83.2%
Brett Gabbert pass incomplete to Cade McDonaldSimilar
Q3 9:19
4TH & 9
OPP 33
+51
86.4%
Dom Dzioban 51 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 13PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 1:3115% → 14%
Q3 9:05
1ST & 10
OWN 11
0
85.2%
Tyler Jefferson pass incomplete to Jesse Prewitt IIISimilar
Q3 8:57
2ND & 10
OWN 11
+3
85.5%
Myles Bailey run for 3 yds to the CMU 14Similar
Q3 8:15
3RD & 7
OWN 14
+6
86.2%
Tyler Jefferson run for 6 yds to the CMU 20Similar
Q3 7:34
4TH & 1
OWN 20
0
86.4%
David Chapeau punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Cade McDonald at the M-OH 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 14TD
3 plays · 63 yds · 1:1187% → 96%
Q3 7:29
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+7
87.4%
Brett Gabbert pass complete to Reggie Virgil for 7 yds to the M-OH 44Similar
Q3 6:55
2ND & 3
OWN 44
+20
88.2%
Brett Gabbert pass complete to Cade McDonald for 20 yds to the CMU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:18
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+36
95.8%
Brett Gabbert pass complete to Javon Tracy for 36 yds for a TD (Dom Dzioban KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 15PUNT
11 plays · 6 yds · 3:487% → 5%
Q3 6:09
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+17
93.5%
B.J. Harris run for 17 yds to the CMU 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:42
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
93.2%
Tyler Jefferson pass incomplete to Tommy McIntoshSimilar
Q3 5:37
2ND & 10
OWN 42
+7
93.3%
B.J. Harris run for 7 yds to the CMU 49Similar
Q3 4:58
3RD & 3
OWN 49
+3
93.5%
B.J. Harris run for 3 yds to the M-OH 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:18
1ST & 10
OPP 48
-10
93.6%
(04:21) No Huddle-Shotgun Jefferson,Tyler pass incomplete short left to McIntosh,Tommy thrown to MIA37 QB hurried by Ugwu,Brian PENALTY CMU Holding (Koivisto,Martin) 10 yards from MIA48 to CMU42. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 4:13
1ST & 20
OWN 42
+4
94.0%
Marion Lukes run for 4 yds to the CMU 46Similar
Q3 3:41
2ND & 16
OWN 46
-5
94.2%
PENALTY CMU False Start (Koivisto,Martin) 5 yards from CMU46 to CMU41. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 3:25
2ND & 21
OWN 41
+1
94.2%
B.J. Harris run for 1 yd to the CMU 40Similar
Q3 2:44
3RD & 22
OWN 40
-15
94.5%
Central Michigan Penalty, UNR: Unnecessary Roughness (-15 Yards) to the CMU 31Similar
Q3 2:21
4TH & 31
OWN 31
+20
94.6%
David Chapeau punt for 40 yds , Cade McDonald returns for 20 yds to the M-OH 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 16FG
8 plays · 25 yds · 3:4997% → 99%
Q3 2:14
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+8
96.6%
Keyon Mozee run for 8 yds to the CMU 43Similar
Q3 1:31
2ND & 2
OPP 43
+3
96.8%
Keyon Mozee run for 3 yds to the CMU 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:45
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+7
97.0%
Keyon Mozee run for 7 yds to the CMU 33Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 3
OPP 33
+4
97.4%
Dylan Downing run for 4 yds to the CMU 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:55
1ST & 10
OPP 29
-7
97.4%
Miami (OH) Penalty, Intentional Grounding (Brett Gabbert) to the CMU 36Similar
Q4 14:44
2ND & 17
OPP 36
+2
97.5%
Keyon Mozee run for 2 yds to the CMU 34Similar
Q4 14:02
3RD & 15
OPP 34
+8
97.6%
Brett Gabbert pass complete to Kevin Davis for 8 yds to the CMU 26Similar
Q4 13:25
4TH & 7
OPP 26
+44
98.5%
Dom Dzioban 44 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 17PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q4 12:53
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
98.6%
Tyler Jefferson pass incomplete to Solomon DavisSimilar
Q4 12:53
2ND & 10
OWN 30
0
98.7%
Tyler Jefferson pass incomplete to Tommy McIntoshSimilar
Q4 12:53
3RD & 10
OWN 30
0
98.7%
Tyler Jefferson pass incomplete to Chris ParkerSimilar
Q4 12:53
4TH & 10
OWN 30
0
98.7%
David Chapeau punt for 40 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the M-OH 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 18TD
3 plays · 70 yds · 1:2699% → 100%
Q4 12:45
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+8
98.6%
Kevin Davis run for 8 yds to the M-OH 38Similar
Q4 11:55
2ND & 2
OWN 38
+60
98.8%
Kevin Davis run for 60 yds to the CMU 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:19
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
99.8%
Kevin Davis run for 2 yds for a TD (Dom Dzioban KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 19PUNT
9 plays · 10 yds · 2:280% → 0%
Q4 11:00
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+4
99.9%
Tyler Jefferson pass complete to Jesse Prewitt III for 4 yds to the CMU 26Similar
Q4 10:18
2ND & 6
OWN 26
+5
99.9%
Tyler Jefferson pass complete to Tommy McIntosh for 5 yds to the CMU 31Similar
Q4 9:44
3RD & 1
OWN 31
+2
99.9%
Myles Bailey run for 2 yds to the CMU 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:18
1ST & 10
OWN 33
-1
99.9%
Tyler Jefferson sacked for a loss of 1 yard to the CMU 32Similar
Q4 8:48
2ND & 11
OWN 32
0
99.9%
Tyler Jefferson pass incomplete to Solomon DavisSimilar
Q4 8:40
3RD & 11
OWN 32
0
99.9%
Central Michigan Penalty, Offensive Holding (Nahree Biggins) declinedSimilar
Q4 8:32
4TH & 11
OWN 32
0
99.9%
David Chapeau punt for 47 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 20TD
4 plays · 79 yds · 1:36100% → 100%
Q4 8:24
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+1
99.8%
Jordan Brunson run for 1 yd to the M-OH 22Similar
Q4 7:33
2ND & 9
OWN 22
+75
99.9%
Jordan Brunson run for 75 yds to the CMU 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:49
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-15
99.9%
PENALTY MIA UNS: Unsportsmanlike Conduct 15 yards from MIA35 to MIA20. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 6:48
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
99.9%
Jordan Brunson run for 3 yds for a TD (Kellan McLaughlin KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 21INT
3 plays · 11 yds · 0:240% → 0%
Q4 6:29
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+11
99.9%
Tyler Jefferson pass complete to Chris Parker for 11 yds to the CMU 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:05
1ST & 10
OWN 32
-10
99.9%
Tyler Jefferson pass intercepted Christian Schomer return for 10 yds to the CMU 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 22FG
10 plays · 6 yds · 5:07100% → 100%
Q4 5:58
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+2
99.9%
Josh Ringer run for 2 yds to the CMU 27Similar
Q4 5:14
2ND & 8
OPP 27
0
99.9%
Nate Milanowski run for no gain to the CMU 27Similar
Q4 4:26
3RD & 8
OPP 27
0
99.9%
Josh Ringer run for no gain to the CMU 27Similar
Q4 3:40
4TH & 8
OPP 27
+8
99.9%
Nate Milanowski run for 8 yds to the CMU 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:56
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+2
99.9%
Nate Milanowski run for 2 yds to the CMU 21Similar
Q4 2:10
2ND & 12
OPP 21
+1
99.9%
Josh Ringer run for 1 yd to the CMU 20Similar
Q4 1:51
3RD & 11
OPP 20
+2
100.0%
D'Shawntae Jones run for 2 yds to the CMU 18Similar
Q4 1:07
4TH & 9
OPP 18
-5
100.0%
PENALTY MIA Delay Of Game 5 yards from CMU18 to CMU23. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 0:51
4TH & 14
OPP 23
+41
100.0%
Kellan McLaughlin 41 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 23END OF GAME
3 plays · 8 yds · 0:420% → 0%
Q4 0:42
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
100.0%
B.J. Harris run for 7 yds to the CMU 32Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+1
100.0%
B.J. Harris run for 1 yd to the CMU 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 6:18
Brett Gabbert pass complete to Javon Tracy for 36 yds for a TD (Dom Dzioban KICK)
+7.5
FG · Q2 6:29
Dom Dzioban 22 yd FG GOOD
+3.2
FG · Q3 9:19
Dom Dzioban 51 yd FG GOOD
+3.2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com