Try the model
OHIO

Ohio 20 at Miami (OH) 30

M-OH
2024 · Week 8 · Oct 19, 2024 · Yager Stadium
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · M-OH
modelM-OH aheadOHIO aheadconfidence bandkey playM-OH scoreOHIO score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 2:50 · Jack Wilson punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Cade McDonald at the M-OH 49
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialPregame priorGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+31.0+15.50−15.5−31.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 144Home team on offense+26.6Score differential+9.7Pregame prior+0.7Garbage-time factor+7.2Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+7.4Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+2.8
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 8:18: Brett Gabbert pass complete to Reggie Virgil for 14 yds for a TD (Dom Dzioban KICK) — M-OH win probability +6.0 pts (now 72%) (top driver: M-OH has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 0:19: Brett Gabbert pass complete to Javon Tracy for 8 yds for a TD (Dom Dzioban PAT MISSED) — M-OH win probability +5.2 pts (now 83%) (top driver: M-OH has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 7:29: Anthony Tyus III 1 Yd Run (Two-Point Pass Conversion Failed) — OHIO win probability +8.0 pts (now 24%) (top driver: OHIO has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 1:47: Keyon Mozee run for 58 yds for a TD (Dom Dzioban KICK) — M-OH win probability +10.1 pts (now 94%) (top driver: M-OH has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 5:58: Nolan McCormick 1 Yd Run (Nick Poulos Pass to Caleb Gossett for Two-Point Conversion) — OHIO win probability +4.8 pts (now 6%) (top driver: OHIO has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
M-OH made the numbers' call on 3 of 8OHIO made the numbers' call on 5 of 7
  1. Q1 13:03M-OH 4th & 10 at OHIO 47, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 60.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    60.7%−0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    60.8%
    average punt
  2. Q1 11:06OHIO 4th & 1 at OHIO 29, tied
    Close callPunted · 39.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    39.2%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    39.1%−0.2
    average punt
  3. Q1 6:42M-OH 4th & 2 at OHIO 10, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 61.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    61.0%
    55% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    60.8%−0.2
    88% to make
    Punt
    59.6%−1.4
    average punt
  4. Q1 5:13OHIO 4th & 1 at OHIO 34, down 3
    Close callPunted · 37.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    38.2%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    37.8%−0.3
    average punt
  5. Q1 2:55M-OH 4th & 2 at M-OH 46, up 3
    Close callPunted · 61.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    62.0%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    61.7%−0.4
    average punt
  6. Q1 1:46OHIO 4th & 5 at OHIO 24, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 37.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    37.3%−0.3
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    37.6%
    average punt
  7. Q1 0:00M-OH 4th & 1 at M-OH 35, up 3
    Close callPunted · 61.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    61.7%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    61.0%−0.7
    average punt
  8. Q2 13:26OHIO 4th & 4 at OHIO 18, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 36.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    36.7%−0.1
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    36.7%
    average punt
  9. Q3 3:35M-OH 4th & 3 at M-OH 44, up 10
    Close callPunted · 81.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    82.0%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    81.6%−0.4
    average punt
  10. Q3 1:58OHIO 4th & 7 at OHIO 21, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 16.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    15.7%−1.9
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    17.7%
    average punt
  11. Q4 14:10OHIO 4th & 5 at OHIO 40, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.8%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.8%
    average punt
  12. Q4 10:10M-OH 4th & 8 at M-OH 28, up 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 98.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.5%−0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    98.6%
    average punt
  13. Q4 3:48M-OH 4th & 14 at OHIO 49, up 16
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 97.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.9%−0.4
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    97.3%
    average punt
  14. Q4 2:50OHIO 4th & 18 at OHIO 10, down 16
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.1%−0.1
    11% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.2%
    average punt
  15. Q4 1:50M-OH 4th & 6 at OHIO 47, up 16
    Close callPunted · 98.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.1%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    98.0%−<0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
M-OH made the numbers' call on 4 of 4OHIO made the numbers' call on 0 of 2
  1. Q2 8:18M-OH Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    71.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    71.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 0:19M-OH Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    82.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    82.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 7:29OHIO Touchdown, down 10 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    21.6%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    21.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 1:47M-OH Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    91.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    91.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 0:43M-OH Touchdown, up 23 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 5:58OHIO Touchdown, down 18 before the try
    Close callWent for two · converted
    Kick
    2.5%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    2.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
M-OHDrive 1PUNT
7 plays · 28 yds · 1:5365% → 64%
Q1 14:56
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+18
64.5%
Brett Gabbert pass complete to Reggie Virgil for 18 yds to the M-OH 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:13
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+10
64.5%
Brett Gabbert pass complete to Cade McDonald for 10 yds to the OHIO 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:45
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
64.6%
Brett Gabbert pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:40
2ND & 10
OPP 47
0
64.6%
Brett Gabbert pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:35
3RD & 10
OPP 47
0
64.5%
Brett Gabbert pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:03
4TH & 10
OPP 47
0
64.4%
Alec Bevelhimer punt for 27 yds, fair catch by Coleman Owen at the OHIO 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 2PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 1:5036% → 36%
Q1 12:56
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+3
64.4%
Anthony Tyus III run for 3 yds to the OHIO 23Similar
Q1 12:19
2ND & 7
OWN 23
+6
64.3%
Parker Navarro pass complete to Chase Hendricks for 6 yds to the OHIO 29Similar
Q1 11:46
3RD & 1
OWN 29
0
64.3%
Anthony Tyus III run for no gain to the OHIO 29Similar
Q1 11:06
4TH & 1
OWN 29
+2
64.4%
Jack Wilson punt for 45 yds , Cade McDonald returns for 2 yds to the M-OH 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 3FG
8 plays · 62 yds · 4:1764% → 65%
Q1 10:59
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+10
64.3%
Keyon Mozee run for 10 yds to the M-OH 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:04
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+32
64.4%
Brett Gabbert pass complete to Cade McDonald for 32 yds to the OHIO 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:25
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+5
65.0%
Brett Gabbert run for 5 yds to the OHIO 25Similar
Q1 8:44
2ND & 5
OPP 25
+7
64.8%
Brett Gabbert pass complete to Reggie Virgil for 7 yds to the OHIO 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:11
1ST & 10
OPP 18
0
64.8%
Brett Gabbert pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 8:05
2ND & 10
OPP 18
+3
64.8%
Keyon Mozee run for 3 yds to the OHIO 15Similar
Q1 7:21
3RD & 7
OPP 15
+5
64.5%
Dylan Downing run for 5 yds to the OHIO 10Similar
Q1 6:42
4TH & 2
OPP 10
+28
65.0%
Dom Dzioban 28 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 4PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 1:1135% → 35%
Q1 6:24
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
64.9%
Parker Navarro pass complete to Rodney Harris II for 8 yds to the OHIO 33Similar
Q1 6:01
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+1
64.5%
Anthony Tyus III run for 1 yd to the OHIO 34Similar
Q1 5:23
3RD & 1
OWN 34
0
64.7%
Parker Navarro pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 5:13
4TH & 1
OWN 34
0
65.2%
Jack Wilson punt for 28 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 5PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 1:5765% → 65%
Q1 4:52
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+2
65.0%
Kevin Davis run for 2 yds to the M-OH 40Similar
Q1 4:19
2ND & 8
OWN 40
+6
65.2%
Brett Gabbert pass complete to Cade McDonald for 6 yds to the M-OH 46Similar
Q1 3:36
3RD & 2
OWN 46
0
65.3%
Dylan Downing run for no gain to the M-OH 46Similar
Q1 2:55
4TH & 2
OWN 46
0
64.7%
Alec Bevelhimer punt for 35 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 6PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 1:0035% → 35%
Q1 2:46
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+6
64.9%
Parker Navarro pass complete to Chase Hendricks for 6 yds to the OHIO 25Similar
Q1 2:19
2ND & 4
OWN 25
0
64.4%
Parker Navarro pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 2:11
3RD & 4
OWN 25
0
64.9%
Ohio Penalty, Offensive Holding (Yards) declinedSimilar
Q1 1:46
4TH & 5
OWN 24
+6
65.5%
Jack Wilson punt for 56 yds , Cade McDonald returns for 6 yds to the M-OH 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 7PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 1:4165% → 64%
Q1 1:41
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+3
64.5%
Dylan Downing run for 3 yds to the M-OH 29Similar
Q1 0:54
2ND & 7
OWN 29
+6
64.5%
Keyon Mozee run for 6 yds to the M-OH 35Similar
Q1 0:07
3RD & 1
OWN 35
0
64.7%
Brett Gabbert pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 0:00
4TH & 1
OWN 35
0
63.9%
Alec Bevelhimer punt for 53 yds, fair catch by Coleman Owen at the OHIO 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 8PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 1:3435% → 34%
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 12
0
64.8%
Parker Navarro pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:45
2ND & 10
OWN 12
+4
64.9%
Parker Navarro pass complete to Jake Bruno for 4 yds to the OHIO 16Similar
Q2 14:07
3RD & 6
OWN 16
+2
65.4%
Parker Navarro run for 2 yds to the OHIO 18Similar
Q2 13:26
4TH & 4
OWN 18
+12
65.9%
Jack Wilson punt for 52 yds , Cade McDonald returns for 12 yds to the M-OH 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 9TD
12 plays · 58 yds · 4:5465% → 72%
Q2 13:12
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+3
65.4%
Brett Gabbert pass complete to Jordan Brunson for 3 yds to the M-OH 45Similar
Q2 12:34
2ND & 7
OWN 45
+5
65.7%
Keyon Mozee run for 5 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 11:46
3RD & 2
50
+2
65.3%
Dylan Downing run for 2 yds to the OHIO 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:59
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+7
66.0%
Dylan Downing run for 7 yds to the OHIO 41Similar
Q2 10:20
2ND & 3
OPP 41
-5
66.1%
PENALTY MIAMI False Start (Borders,Kolby) 5 yards from Ohio41 to Ohio46. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 10:00
2ND & 8
OPP 46
+18
66.0%
Brett Gabbert pass complete to Kam Perry for 18 yds to the OHIO 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:32
1ST & 10
OPP 28
-5
66.7%
PENALTY MIAMI False Start (Borders,Kolby) 5 yards from Ohio28 to Ohio33. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 9:06
1ST & 15
OPP 33
+4
66.3%
Keyon Mozee run for 4 yds to the OHIO 29Similar
Q2 8:22
2ND & 11
OPP 29
0
66.7%
Brett Gabbert pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 8:22
3RD & 11
OPP 29
+15
65.6%
PENALTY Ohio Personal Foul (Doggette,CJ) 15 yards from Ohio29 to Ohio14, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 8:18
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+14
71.6%
Brett Gabbert pass complete to Reggie Virgil for 14 yds for a TD (Dom Dzioban KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 10INT
11 plays · 43 yds · 5:2728% → 29%
Q2 8:05
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
71.6%
Parker Navarro run for 7 yds to the OHIO 32Similar
Q2 7:29
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+11
70.7%
Parker Navarro pass complete to Chase Hendricks for 11 yds to the OHIO 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:00
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+5
70.7%
Rickey Hunt Jr. run for 5 yds to the OHIO 48Similar
Q2 6:28
2ND & 5
OWN 48
+2
70.4%
Rickey Hunt Jr. run for 2 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 5:28
3RD & 3
50
+5
70.6%
Parker Navarro run for 5 yds to the M-OH 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:01
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+4
70.4%
Parker Navarro run for 4 yds to the M-OH 41Similar
Q2 4:10
2ND & 6
OPP 41
+5
70.6%
Parker Navarro pass complete to Parker Titsworth for 5 yds to the M-OH 36Similar
Q2 3:46
3RD & 1
OPP 36
+2
70.8%
Parker Navarro pass complete to Caleb Gossett for 2 yds to the M-OH 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:26
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+2
70.2%
Rickey Hunt Jr. run for 2 yds to the M-OH 32Similar
Q2 2:38
2ND & 8
OPP 32
0
70.7%
Parker Navarro pass intercepted Raion Strader return for no gain to the OHIO 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 11TD
8 plays · 43 yds · 2:1175% → 83%
Q2 2:30
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+8
75.4%
Brett Gabbert pass complete to Cade McDonald for 8 yds to the OHIO 35Similar
Q2 1:55
2ND & 2
OPP 35
0
75.8%
Brett Gabbert pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:49
3RD & 2
OPP 35
+11
74.9%
Keyon Mozee run for 11 yds to the OHIO 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:07
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+7
76.9%
Brett Gabbert pass complete to Javon Tracy for 7 yds to the OHIO 17Similar
Q2 0:32
2ND & 3
OPP 17
+9
77.1%
Brett Gabbert pass complete to Javon Tracy for 9 yds to the OHIO 8 for a 1ST down Ohio Penalty, Defensive Holding (Anthony Tyus III) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:19
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
83.4%
Brett Gabbert pass complete to Javon Tracy for 8 yds for a TD (Dom Dzioban PAT MISSED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 12END OF HALF
2 plays · 2 yds · 0:0019% → 19%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
80.9%
Rickey Hunt Jr. run for 2 yds to the OHIO 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 13TD
17 plays · 75 yds · 7:2417% → 24%
Q3 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+14
82.7%
Parker Navarro pass complete to Rodney Harris II for 14 yds to the OHIO 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:18
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+3
82.0%
Parker Navarro pass complete to Mason Williams for 3 yds to the OHIO 42Similar
Q3 13:53
2ND & 7
OWN 42
+2
82.2%
Anthony Tyus III run for 2 yds to the OHIO 44Similar
Q3 13:18
3RD & 5
OWN 44
+5
82.4%
(13:21) No Huddle-Shotgun Navarro,Parker pass incomplete short right to Hendricks,Chase thrown to MIAMI40 PENALTY MIAMI Offside 5 yards from Ohio44 to Ohio49, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 13:10
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
81.7%
Parker Navarro pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 13:01
2ND & 10
OWN 49
+11
82.5%
Parker Navarro run for 11 yds to the M-OH 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:19
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+2
81.9%
Parker Navarro run for 2 yds to the M-OH 38Similar
Q3 11:47
2ND & 8
OPP 38
0
82.8%
Parker Navarro pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 11:35
3RD & 8
OPP 38
+8
83.0%
Parker Navarro pass complete to Rodney Harris II for 8 yds to the M-OH 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:05
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+2
82.3%
Anthony Tyus III run for 2 yds to the M-OH 28Similar
Q3 10:23
2ND & 8
OPP 28
+10
82.1%
Parker Navarro run for 10 yds to the M-OH 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:53
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+2
83.2%
Parker Navarro run for 2 yds to the M-OH 16Similar
Q3 9:18
2ND & 8
OPP 16
+2
83.4%
Parker Navarro run for 2 yds to the M-OH 14Similar
Q3 8:36
3RD & 6
OPP 14
+9
84.7%
Parker Navarro pass complete to Chase Hendricks for 9 yds to the M-OH 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:04
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+4
83.9%
Anthony Tyus III run for 4 yds to the M-OH 1Similar
Q3 7:29
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
75.9%
Anthony Tyus III 1 Yd Run (Two-Point Pass Conversion Failed)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 14PUNT
7 plays · 23 yds · 3:3481% → 82%
Q3 7:09
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+6
80.9%
Keyon Mozee run for 6 yds to the M-OH 27Similar
Q3 6:18
2ND & 4
OWN 27
+10
81.6%
Brett Gabbert pass complete to Jack Coldiron for 10 yds to the M-OH 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:44
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+3
82.1%
Keyon Mozee run for 3 yds to the M-OH 40Similar
Q3 5:02
2ND & 7
OWN 40
0
83.0%
Keyon Mozee run for no gain to the M-OH 40Similar
Q3 4:11
3RD & 7
OWN 40
+4
82.5%
Dylan Downing run for 4 yds to the M-OH 44Similar
Q3 3:35
4TH & 3
OWN 44
0
82.0%
Alec Bevelhimer punt for 49 yds, fair catch by Coleman Owen at the OHIO 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 15PUNT
5 plays · 14 yds · 1:2818% → 16%
Q3 3:26
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+11
82.2%
Parker Navarro pass complete to Rodney Harris II for 11 yds to the OHIO 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:57
1ST & 10
OWN 18
0
81.9%
Parker Navarro pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 2:50
2ND & 10
OWN 18
+2
82.2%
Anthony Tyus III run for 2 yds to the OHIO 20Similar
Q3 2:19
3RD & 8
OWN 20
+1
83.3%
Parker Navarro pass complete to Rickey Hunt Jr. for 1 yd to the OHIO 21Similar
Q3 1:58
4TH & 7
OWN 21
0
84.2%
Jack Wilson punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Cade McDonald at the M-OH 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 16TD
1 play · 58 yds · 0:0094% → 94%
Q3 1:47
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+58
94.3%
Keyon Mozee run for 58 yds for a TD (Dom Dzioban KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 17INT
4 plays · -6 yds · 0:397% → 6%
Q3 1:29
1ST & 10
OWN 22
-6
93.2%
Parker Navarro sacked by Brian Ugwu for a loss of 6 yards to the OHIO 16Similar
Q3 0:56
2ND & 16
OWN 16
0
93.8%
Parker Navarro pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 0:50
3RD & 16
OWN 16
0
93.9%
Parker Navarro pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 18TD
1 play · 28 yds · 0:0098% → 98%
Q3 0:43
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+28
98.1%
Brett Gabbert pass complete to Cade McDonald for 28 yds for a TD (Dom Dzioban KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 19PUNT
8 plays · 15 yds · 1:292% → 2%
Q3 0:39
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
97.8%
Nick Poulos pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 0:34
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
97.9%
Nick Poulos pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 0:26
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+10
98.1%
Nick Poulos pass complete to Coleman Owen for 10 yds to the OHIO 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
98.0%
Nick Poulos pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 14:55
2ND & 10
OWN 35
0
98.0%
Nick Poulos pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 14:46
3RD & 10
OWN 35
+5
98.2%
Nick Poulos pass complete to Rodney Harris II for 5 yds to the OHIO 40Similar
Q4 14:10
4TH & 5
OWN 40
0
98.3%
Jack Wilson punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Cade McDonald at the M-OH 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 20PUNT
6 plays · 13 yds · 3:5498% → 99%
Q4 14:04
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+5
98.3%
Kevin Davis run for 5 yds to the M-OH 20Similar
Q4 13:15
2ND & 5
OWN 20
+6
98.4%
Kevin Davis run for 6 yds to the M-OH 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:25
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+4
98.5%
Kevin Davis run for 4 yds to the M-OH 22Similar
Q4 11:41
2ND & 14
OWN 22
+7
98.5%
Dylan Downing run for 7 yds to the M-OH 29Similar
Q4 10:52
3RD & 7
OWN 29
+1
98.6%
Kevin Davis run for 1 yd to the M-OH 28Similar
Q4 10:10
4TH & 8
OWN 28
0
98.6%
Alec Bevelhimer punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Coleman Owen at the OHIO 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 21TD
12 plays · 63 yds · 4:001% → 6%
Q4 9:58
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+12
98.7%
Nick Poulos pass complete to Mason Williams for 12 yds to the OHIO 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:18
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+3
98.8%
Nick Poulos run for 3 yds to the M-OH 48Similar
Q4 8:58
2ND & 7
OPP 48
0
98.8%
Nick Poulos pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 8:49
3RD & 7
OPP 48
+9
98.9%
Nick Poulos pass complete to Rodney Harris II for 9 yds to the M-OH 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:22
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+5
98.9%
Rickey Hunt Jr. run for 5 yds to the M-OH 34Similar
Q4 7:56
2ND & 4
OPP 33
+10
98.7%
Nick Poulos run for 10 yds to the M-OH 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:23
1ST & 10
OPP 23
0
98.9%
Nick Poulos pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 7:14
2ND & 10
OPP 23
+3
99.1%
Nick Poulos run for 3 yds to the M-OH 26Similar
Q4 6:33
3RD & 13
OPP 26
+7
99.2%
(06:35) No Huddle-Shotgun Poulos,Nick pass incomplete short right to Owen,Coleman thrown to MIAMI19 PENALTY MIAMI Pass Interference (Caldwell,Ambe') 7 yards from MIAMI26 to MIAMI19, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 6:27
1ST & 10
OPP 19
0
99.1%
Nick Poulos pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 6:11
2ND & 10
OPP 19
+18
99.1%
Nick Poulos pass complete to Chase Hendricks for 18 yds to the M-OH 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:58
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
94.3%
Nolan McCormick 1 Yd Run (Nick Poulos Pass to Caleb Gossett for Two-Point Conversion)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 22PUNT
6 plays · -4 yds · 2:0597% → 97%
Q4 5:53
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
97.2%
Keyon Mozee run for no gain to the OHIO 45Similar
Q4 5:05
2ND & 10
OPP 45
0
97.3%
Keyon Mozee run for no gain to the OHIO 45Similar
Q4 4:23
3RD & 10
OPP 45
-5
97.4%
(04:23) PENALTY MIAMI False Start (Smith,Gregory) 5 yards from Ohio45 to Ohio50. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 3:53
3RD & 15
50
+1
97.4%
Keyon Mozee run for 1 yd to the OHIO 49Similar
Q4 3:48
4TH & 14
OPP 49
0
97.2%
Alec Bevelhimer punt for 31 yds, fair catch by Coleman Owen at the OHIO 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 23PUNT
4 plays · -8 yds · 0:533% → 3%
Q4 3:43
1ST & 10
OWN 18
0
97.0%
Nick Poulos pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 3:34
2ND & 10
OWN 18
-8
97.1%
Nick Poulos sacked for a loss of 8 yards to the OHIO 10Similar
Q4 2:55
3RD & 18
OWN 10
0
97.3%
Nick Poulos pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 2:50
4TH & 18
OWN 10
0
97.3%
Jack Wilson punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Cade McDonald at the M-OH 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 24PUNT
6 plays · 4 yds · 0:5398% → 99%
Q4 2:43
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+3
97.9%
Keyon Mozee run for 3 yds to the OHIO 48Similar
Q4 2:00
2ND & 7
OPP 48
+1
98.3%
Keyon Mozee run for 1 yd to the OHIO 49Similar
Q4 1:55
3RD & 8
OPP 49
+2
98.4%
Keyon Mozee run for 2 yds to the OHIO 47Similar
Q4 1:50
4TH & 6
OPP 47
0
98.6%
Alec Bevelhimer punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Coleman Owen at the OHIO 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 25Uncategorized
12 plays · 31 yds · 1:452% → 7%
Q4 1:50
1ST & 10
OWN 10
-5
97.6%
PENALTY Ohio False Start 5 yards from Ohio10 to Ohio05. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 1:45
1ST & 15
OWN 5
+6
97.7%
Nick Poulos pass complete to Caleb Gossett for 6 yds to the OHIO 11Similar
Q4 1:38
2ND & 9
OWN 11
-6
97.6%
(01:45) No Huddle-Shotgun Poulos,Nick pass complete deep left to Owen,Coleman caught at Ohio32, for 21 yards to the Ohio32 (Caldwell,Ambe') PENALTY Ohio Holding 6 yards from Ohio11 to Ohio05. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 0:55
2ND & 15
OWN 5
+10
97.8%
Rickey Hunt Jr. run for 10 yds to the OHIO 15Similar
Q4 0:48
3RD & 5
OWN 15
+7
97.6%
Nick Poulos run for 7 yds to the OHIO 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:05
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+19
95.6%
Nick Poulos run for 9 yds to the OHIO 31 for a 1ST down Miami (OH) Penalty, Defensive Holding (Ambe' Caldwell) to the OHIO 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:05
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
94.9%
Nick Poulos pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:05
2ND & 10
OWN 41
0
95.1%
Nick Poulos pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:05
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+2
93.7%
Nick Poulos pass complete to Coleman Owen for 2 yds to the M-OH 30Similar
Q4 0:05
2ND & 8
OPP 30
+4
93.4%
Nick Poulos pass complete to Rickey Hunt Jr. for 4 yds to the M-OH 26Similar
Q4 0:05
3RD & 4
OPP 26
+15
93.8%
No Huddle-Shotgun Poulos,Nick pass incomplete deep right to Hendricks,Chase thrown to MIAMI00 PENALTY MIAMI Pass Interference (Hardrick,William) 15 yards from MIAMI26 to MIAMI11, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 0:05
1ST & 10
OPP 11
0
93.4%
Nick Poulos pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 26END OF 4TH QUARTER
2 plays · -2 yds · 0:0097% → 97%
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+2
96.7%
run for 2 yds to the OHIO 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 1:47
Keyon Mozee run for 58 yds for a TD (Dom Dzioban KICK)
+10.1
TD · Q3 7:29
Anthony Tyus III 1 Yd Run (Two-Point Pass Conversion Failed)
-8
TD · Q2 8:18
Brett Gabbert pass complete to Reggie Virgil for 14 yds for a TD (Dom Dzioban KICK)
+6
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com